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Tense Israel in waiting as attack threat looms

Supporters of bereaved family members and the families of hostages who were kidnapped during the deadly Oct. 7 attack by Palestinian Islamist group Hamas, protest on a Day of Disruption by anti-government protest groups outside the Knesset, Israel’s Parliament in Jerusalem, May 20, 2024. — REUTERS

RAMLA, Israel — Israel’s ambulance service has stocked blood supplies in a fortified underground center, factories have moved out hazardous materials and municipal authorities are checking bomb shelters and water supplies as the country waits for a threatened attack from Iran and its proxies.

Israel has been fortifying its home front for months and many preparations have been in place since the start of the war in Gaza last October, when thousands of Hamas-led gunmen carried out a devastating cross-border attack on Israeli communities.

But the urgency has risen sharply over the past 10 days as a relatively contained conflict with the Iranian-backed Hezbollah movement in southern Lebanon has threatened to spiral into an all-out regional war.

“I know that the citizens of Israel are on alert, and I ask of you one thing — keep patient and cool,” Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said on Wednesday while meeting new army recruits.

“We are prepared for both defense and attack, we are striking our enemies and are also determined to defend ourselves,” he said.

Israel now finds itself facing the threat of a multifront war, confronting a clutch of militant movements — Hamas, Hezbollah, the Houthis in Yemen, all backed and funded by its longstanding enemy Iran.

An attack is expected in the coming days following vows from Iran and Hezbollah to retaliate for the assassinations last week of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran and Hezbollah military commander Fuad Shukr in Beirut.

After months of alarm and an attack by hundreds of Iranian missiles in April that was thwarted by Israel’s air defenses and the help of international allies, Israelis have become used to the crisis.

Tens of thousands of people were evacuated from northern areas in range of Hezbollah rockets at the start of the war and many border areas now have a ghostly, abandoned air.

But a prolonged bombardment from Hezbollah’s rocket arsenal could reach deeper into the country to sensitive targets like the port city of Haifa in northern Israel, which is well in range.

The city’s Rambam Hospital has been on alert since last October and has readied its three-floor, fortified underground facility to treat patients.

“We’re waiting to see what happens,” said David Ratner, a hospital spokesperson.

ALERT SYSTEM
The military is on high alert and last weekend it augmented its nationwide system of air raid sirens and broadcast alerts to include real-time text messages to be sent to residents in targeted areas.

Many local councils have advised residents to reduce non-essential activity, stay near protected areas and avoid large gatherings.

In Haifa, public bomb shelters have been equipped with digital systems so they can be unlocked remotely during an attack, said Yair Zilberman, director of the city’s security and emergency services department. They are also being equipped with generators.

A number of underground parking lots have been approved as makeshift shelters with enough space for thousands of residents if needed, Mr. Zilberman said.

In the city of Ramla in central Israel, national ambulance service Magen David Adom (MDA) has been collecting blood donations in a subterranean service center, shielded with extra-thick concrete walls, blast doors and airlocks.

“We’ve got the threats from Iran, we’ve got threats from Hezbollah,” said MDA’s Aryeh Myers. “Massive rocket attacks, massive threats to the state of Israel and we want to make sure that we are ready for anything.”

Last Thursday, the Environmental Protection Ministry held a situational assessment to decide how best to protect factories with inventories that could be dangerous if targeted in a missile strike, or how to deal with an attack on a building that contains asbestos.

The military said the Home Front Command keeps in constant contact with factories and local authorities to maintain a “complete picture of the inventory levels of hazardous materials.”

The Bazan Group, which operates in Haifa one of the largest oil refineries in the eastern Mediterranean, told Reuters it was “working to maintain energy security and the continuity of fuel supply to the economy.”

Mass cash withdrawals are another scenario for which authorities are preparing.

“The stock of banknotes and coins in the Bank of Israel and the banking system will, according to every visible forecast, be sufficient,” the Bank of Israel said. — Reuters

Paris mayor wants Olympic flame balloon to stay near Louvre after games end

THE OLYMPIC CAULDRON and the Arc de Triomphe after sunset in Paris, France, July 30, 2024. — REUTERS

PARIS — Paris mayor Anne Hidalgo said she hopes the Olympic flame suspended below its balloon can remain in central Paris near the Louvre museum after the games end.

The flame — which is not a flame but an illusion of fire created with lights — has become a fixture of the Paris Olympics, with hundreds of Parisians and tourists coming to watch it every evening when it goes up at sundown in the Jardin des Tuileries park near the Louvre.

Ms. Hidalgo said it was not her decision to make, as the Louvre and Tuileries are state property, but added she had written to President Emmanuel Macron, asking for the flame to remain in place and not be moved to another location.

“I would very much like to keep this symbol of the games at this very spot because elsewhere it would not have the same significance,” Ms. Hidalgo said in an interview with France 2 television on Wednesday.

“Our heritage has been magnified by these games, and I think we need to add to it. Everybody is in love with Paris today, so let’s continue,” she said.

The designer of France’s Olympic cauldron, Mathieu Lehanneur, has said it would be an honor if the attraction were to become a permanent feature of the Paris skyline, much like the Eiffel Tower did after the 1889 World Fair.

Every day since the games opened, thousands have booked free tickets to get a close-up view of the cauldron in the daytime, before it rises above the French capital suspended below a hot-air balloon.

The balloon and its cauldron were unveiled on July 26, when French three-time Olympic gold medalists Marie-Jose Perec and Teddy Riner lit the flame at the end of the opening ceremony.

The Eiffel Tower, Paris’ best-known landmark, was built for the 1889 World Fair and meant to be destroyed. That never happened.

For now, the flame is set to be dismantled after the Olympic and Paralympic Games are over. Some have suggested it be moved to Parc de la Villette in northeast Paris, where several countries including host nation France have built national centers for their delegations.

French state-owned electric utility EDF, which is in charge of the flame, has said the flame is based on the simultaneous and controlled projection of a spray of mist and a powerful beam of light. — Reuters

Investors feel the pinch of thriftier consumers on company profits

A SHOPPER carries shopping bags as she walks on a street in Paris, France, June 10, 2022. — REUTERS/SARAH MEYSSONNIER/FILE PHOTO

MILAN — Investors in large consumer-goods companies are having to up their stock-picking game, as a post-pandemic spending splurge dries up and increasingly price-sensitive shoppers start to erode corporate pricing power.

Profit warnings in sectors ranging from luxury to food and airlines have fed into worries about a slowdown in the United States and other major economies.

These growth concerns were one of the factors behind a selloff that stripped around $4.8 trillion off global equities in just three days this month.

Stock pickers now need to identify those businesses that won’t suffer from a normalisation of spending patterns, let alone from an economic recession.

“Consumers have been able to absorb price increases thanks also to the exceptionally high level of savings accumulated (during the pandemic). It seems that now this is coming to an end,” Chiara Robba, head of LDI equity at Generali Asset Management in Paris, said.

“The second-quarter reporting season is showing some signs of consumer slowdown with consequent attempts from companies to reduce prices to boost consumption,” she said.

S&P Global’s business activity surveys in July suggested firms in the United States and the euro zone weren’t able to pass on higher costs quite as easily as before.

There’s now a long list of company earnings that point to a softening of pricing power or weakness in consumer spending.

Notable examples include Nestle and Ryanair in Europe and McDonald’s in the U.S., along with payment firms such as Visa and Worldline. In many cases, share prices have tumbled.

Forty companies have cut guidance so far this season in Europe, BofA said on Tuesday, the most in over a year, with a majority citing weak demand, including, surprisingly, in the U.S..

“Signs of consumer weakness have caused concern,” it said.

SOBERING-UP LUXURY SPENDING
The high-margin luxury industry hasn’t escaped and while companies point to the long downturn in China, investors are also paying close attention to spending patterns elsewhere.

Kering’s Saint Laurent cut prices of its Loulou bag in France, the UK, U.S. and China by 10-15% in May in a “very rare” move for the sector which Barclays said could reflect the brand acknowledging its earlier price hikes had been too aggressive.

Following three years of above-average increases, luxury price inflation is showing signs of returning to its long-term range of 5-7%, or below, said Luca Solca, an analyst at Bernstein in London.

“Weak brands that had been jumping on the bandwagon and increased prices materially are forced now to correct through discounts and promotions,” he said. “This is happening because middle-class consumers in the West are sobering up from the post-pandemic euphoria.”

Burberry, which sacked its CEO and warned on profit in July, has been cited as one example. Its shares erased almost one fifth of their value on earnings day.

Swatch and Hugo Boss have become the two most shorted stocks on the pan-Europe STOXX 600 index following disappointing numbers, data from Mediobanca shows.

Even sector leader LVMH, Europe’s second-largest listed company behind Danish drugmaker Novo Nordisk NOVO isn’t immune.

“There is certainly a sense of consumer resistance to higher prices, given the ongoing cost of living crisis,” Sanjiv Tumkur, head of equities at Rathbones Investment Management, said.

“This appears to be felt across all income segments – for example the luxury goods companies are seeing more challenging and volatile consumer conditions in many geographies, notably China, in all but the top end of the market.”

CONSUMER POLARISATION
Gillian Diesen, senior client portfolio manager at Pictet Asset Management, believes the latest earnings releases point more to consumer polarization than a generalized loss of pricing power.

“At the highest end, most premium brands… are raising pricing again this year, although at more normalized levels,” she said, adding that the trend extended beyond the luxury sector.

Carmaker Ferrari beat expectations thanks to sales of its pricier models, even though consumer demand in the auto sector has been variable.

Differentiation is a big factor too – sectors with low levels of differentiation, such as personal care and food and beverages, could be most at risk, said Generali’s Robba.

In sporting goods, Diesen said higher-end innovative brands like On and Deckers’ Hoka continue to benefit from pricing and sales growth, in contrast to mainstream names like Nike and Puma, which cut its profit outlook on Wednesday, sinking its shares to a six-year low.

In airlines, Rathbones’ Tumkur cautioned against extrapolating Ryanair’s warning to the rest of the industry, citing better demand at rivals Easyjet and Jet2.

“Ryanair is also more of a pure low-cost carrier, whereas its rivals have more exposure to package holidays, which seems to be currently prioritized more highly by customers,” he said. “As ever stock selection will be key.” — Reuters

PH team eyes 2025 Olympic Esports Games

Stock photo of a gamer man with headphones playing a video game in front of the tv | Adobe Stock

The Philippine team is bolstering its rosters as it seeks to bag multiple medals at the upcoming Olympic esports games in 2025, according to a member of the board of trustees from the Philippine Esports Organization (PESO).  

“We are currently very much focused on bridging the gaps of grassroots, finding the next talent of tomorrow, the next national team (Team Sibol),” Ronald Robins, Trustee and Vice President for PESO, said.  

The inaugural event of the Olympic esports games is set to be hosted by the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia in 2025, following the unanimous vote at the 142nd International Olympic Committee (IOC) Session in Paris.  

The IOC’s partnership with Saudi Arabia lasts a 12-year term, reflecting the country’s commitment to becoming a leading hub for sports and entertainment by 2030. 

This long-term partnership marks a transformative era for esports as it finally makes it presence felt in the global stage.  

Mr. Robins expressed his confidence in the Philippine team ‘s chances at the Olympic esports games, noting that the country has bagged multiple championships in big esports competitions, especially in mobile games.  

Notable victories include MLBB World Championships (2021 to 2023) and VALORANT Champions Tour 2021: Southeast Asia Stage 3 Challengers Playoffs, among others.  

“It will definitely be one of the sports that will bring home the most number of medals and trophies (for the Philippines) from the Olympics,” Mr. Robins said. “Yan na yung pinaka-position natin na sureball na yan [That is what we believe, it is a sure thing for us].”  

He highlighted the Philippines’ culture of unity will be its competitive edge at the upcoming Olympic event.  

“It’s a combination of multiple managers and team coaches from different teams in the country, helping each other, to coach and manage one time for the country to win,” Mr. Robins said. “The culture has unity so that’s why as we send our national team out, ang lakas [It’s strong].” 

In pursuit of the country’s Olympic dream, PESO continues to craft programs designed to ensure sustainable growth in the community and benefit future generations of esports enthusiasts.Edg Adrian A. Eva

Top recycling facility in Mexico, Pampanga opens its doors to solons

One of the top recycling companies in the country welcomed House Speaker Martin Romualdez and a team of legislators from the House of Representatives (HOR) to their Mexico, Pampanga facility last Monday to clarify the nature of its operations and to express their support for Congress’ campaign against POGOs and illegal drugs.
Infinity Eight Trading and Marketing Corp. (Infinity Eight) legal counsel Atty. Stephen Jaromay said the company “is fully supportive of the efforts of Congress to shut down POGOs and to combat illegal drugs.”
“We likewise welcome the opportunity to clarify any misconceptions or misunderstandings about the nature of Infinity Eight’s operations.”
The lawyer, accompanied by officers and staff of Infinity Eight, welcomed the House delegation to their company headquarters. In a short briefing, the legislators were provided with a background of the company and its plastic recycling operations.
Atty. Jaromay informed lawmakers that the original facilities of Infinity Eight are located in Plastic City in Valenzuela.
Showing photos of the damage caused by Typhoon Carina to its equipment in their Valenzuela facility, Atty. Jaromay said “the company decided to move its main base of operations here due to the threats posed by chronic flooding in Valenzuela.”
“So this facility houses all the major components of their operations, such as junk reception and processing, recycling facilities, and company headquarters,” explained Atty. Jaromay, who added that the residence of the family that owns the compound is also located inside the same.
The company profile on the Infinity Eight website says its reputation is “built upon technological advancement in processing scrap materials for recycling purposes” such as carton, plastics, and steel. Established in Valenzuela City three decades ago, the company at present recycles more than 3,000 tons of PET bottles monthly, and has the capacity to recycle more than 1,000 tons of Polyethylene (PE) and Polypropylene (PP) plastic pellets monthly.
The profile further states that it has serviced customers in China, Taiwan, Japan, Vietnam, Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand, Korea, and the United States for years, proof of “the high standard and quality of PET bottle flakes produced by Infinity Eight Trading and Marketing Corp. Over the past years, the plastic pellets the company produced have already been widely recognized by both local and overseas customers due to its high degree of purities.”
Among the lawmakers with the Speaker during the briefing and site visit were Deputy Speaker and Pampanga 3rd District Rep. Aurelio “Dong” Gonzalez, Jr., Deputy Speaker and Iloilo 1st District Rep. Janette Garin, Transportation Committee Chair and Antipolo 2nd District Rep. Romeo Acop, Dangerous Drugs Committee Chair and Surigao Del Norte 2nd District Rep. Robert Ace Barbers, Public Order and Safety and Chair and Santa Rosa Lone District Rep. Dan Fernandez, Games and Amusements Chair and Cavite 6th District Rep. Antonio Ferrer, Accounts Chair and Abang Lingkod Rep. Joseph Stephen “Caraps” Paduano, and Surigao Del Sur 2nd District Rep. Johnny Pimentel.
The legislators had earlier visited and inspected the Zun Yuan POGO facilities in Bamban, Tarlac, and the Lucky South 99 site in Porac, Pampanga. They later inspected the Empire 999 Realty Corp. warehouse in Mexico, Pampanga where P3.6 billion worth of shabu was seized by law enforcement authorities last year.
Mr. Romualdez said the site visits would allow legislators to see how the POGO and drug operations were conducted up close, and guide them in taking the steps necessary to hold the POGO and illegal drug syndicates accountable.

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One-stop shop for parents: Edamama’s omnichannel strategy in the Philippines

The parenting market in the Philippines is underserved, according to parenting platform Edamama, which has been building an online-to-offline retail experience for its target market since its inception in May 2020.

“We really want to be where the customer is, and 90% of retail in the Philippines today is still offline, so our goal is really to build the leading omnichannel in the country,” said Bela Gupta D’Souza, one of Edamama’s founders, in an August 1 interview.

Interview by Patricia Mirasol
Video editing by Jayson Mariñas

Bangladesh awaits installation of interim government after weeks of strife

STOCK PHOTO | Image by Mohammad Rahmatullah from Pixabay

 – Bangladesh is set to get a new, interim government headed by Nobel Peace Prize-winning economist Muhammad Yunus on Thursday, after weeks of tumultuous student protests forced Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina to resign and flee to India.

Mr. Yunus, 84, Bangladesh’s only Nobel laureate and a harsh critic of Mr. Hasina, was recommended for the job by the student protesters who led the campaign against Mr. Hasina.

He was expected to be sworn in as chief adviser along with a team of advisers later on Thursday in an interim government which the army chief said may include 15 members, although discussions on the names continued till late on Wednesday.

Ms. Hasina’s Awami League party was not involved in all-party discussions led by army chief General Waker-Uz-Zaman, who announced Ms. Hasina’s resignation on Monday.

Her son Sajeeb Wazed Joy said in a Facebook post late on Wednesday that the party had not given up yet and was ready to hold talks with opponents and the administration.

“I had said my family will no longer be involved in politics but the way our party leaders and workers are being attacked, we cannot give up,” Ms. Joy said.

Mr. Yunus is known as the ‘banker to the poor’ and was awarded the 2006 Nobel Peace Prize for founding a bank that pioneered fighting poverty with small loans to needy borrowers.

He is due to arrive in the capital Dhaka from Paris on Thursday, where he had been receiving medical treatment.

“I’m looking forward to going back home and see what’s happening there and how we can organise ourselves to get out of the trouble that we’re in,” Yunus said before he boarded a flight on Wednesday evening.

Ms. Hasina’s dramatic exit on Monday from the country she ruled for four terms – and was reelected to a fifth in January – triggered jubilation and violence across Bangladesh, as crowds stormed and ransacked her official residence unopposed.

She fled to neighboring India where she is taking shelter at an air base near the capital New Delhi.

Student protests against quotas for government jobs spiraled in July, killing about 300 people and injuring thousands, as demonstrations were met with a violent crackdown that was criticized internationally although the government denied using excessive force.

The protests were fueled by tough economic conditions and political repression as well.

After years of strong growth as the garment industry expanded, the $450 billion economy struggled with costly imports, inflation and unemployment and the government had sought a bailout from the International Monetary Fund.

Yunus and the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP), Ms. Hasina’s main political opponent, called for calm and an end to violence on Wednesday.

“No destruction, revenge or vengeance,” said Ms. Hasina’s arch rival and BNP leader Khaleda Zia, 78, in a video address from her hospital bed to hundreds of her supporters at a rally in Dhaka on Wednesday.

Ms. Zia, who was released from house arrest on Tuesday, and her exiled son Tarique Rahman, addressed the rally and called for national elections to be held within three months.

On Wednesday, a court overturned Yunus’ conviction in a labour case in which he was handed a six-month jail sentence in January. Mr. Yunus had called his prosecution political, part of a campaign by Ms. Hasina to quash dissent.

“Let us make the best use of our new victory,” Mr. Yunus said. – Reuters

 

Hottest oceans in 400 years endanger Great Barrier Reef, scientists say

 – Water temperatures in and around Australia’s Great Barrier Reef have risen to their warmest in 400 years over the past decade, placing the world’s largest reef under threat, according to research published on Thursday.

The reef, the world’s largest living ecosystem, stretches for some 1,500 miles (2,400 km) off the coast of the northern state of Queensland. The research is rare in putting the effects of man-made climate change into historical context, as other surveys on damage to the reef have a shorter time frame.

A group of scientists at universities across Australia drilled cores into the coral and, much like counting the rings on a tree, analyzed the samples to measure summer ocean temperatures going back to 1618.

Combined with ship and satellite data going back around a hundred years, the results show ocean temperatures that were stable for hundreds of years begin to rise from 1900 onwards as a result of human influence, the research concluded.

From 1960 to 2024, the study’s authors observed an average annual warming for January to March of 0.12°C (0.22°F) per decade.

Since 2016, the reef has experienced five summers of mass coral bleaching, when large sections of the reef turn white due to heat stress, putting them at greater risk of death.

These summers were during five of the six warmest years in the last four centuries, the study showed.

“The world is losing one of its icons,” said Benjamin Henley, an academic at the University of Melbourne and one of the study’s co-authors.

“I find that to be an absolute tragedy. It’s hard to understand how that can happen on our watch in our lifetime. So it’s very, very sad.”

The last temperature data point, from January to March of this year, was the highest on record and “head and shoulders” above any other year, Mr. Henley said.

Coral reefs protect shorelines from erosion, are home to thousands of species of fish, and are an important source of tourism revenue in many countries.

At least 54 countries and regions have experienced mass bleaching of their reefs since February 2023 as climate change warms the ocean’s surface waters, the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has said.

The Great Barrier Reef is not currently on UNESCO’s list of world heritage sites that are in danger, though the UN recommends it should be added.

Australia has lobbied for years to keep the reef – which contributes A$6.4 billion ($4.2 billion) to the economy annually – off the endangered list, as it could damage tourism.

Lissa Schindler, Great Barrier Reef campaign manager at the Australian Marine Conservation Society, said the research showed Australia needed to do more to reduce its emissions.

“Australia must increase its ambition, action and commitments to battle climate change and protect our greatest natural asset,” she said. – Reuters

China urges ITA to intensify testing of US athletes

 – China’s anti-doping agency (CHINADA) on Thursday urged the International Testing Agency (ITA) to intensify testing of US track and field athletes, after American sprinter Erriyon Knighton tested positive for the banned substance trenbolone.

CHINADA accused the US Anti-Doping Agency (USADA) earlier this week of double standards, saying its U.S. counterpart had been “trying its best” to clear U.S. athletes while accusing CHINADA and the World Anti-Doping Agency (WADA) of cover-ups.

Mr. Knighton tested positive for trenbolone this year but was not suspended for the Paris Games after an arbitrator found the result was likely caused by contaminated meat. The USADA chief has been outspoken about 23 Chinese swimmers who tested positive before the 2021 Tokyo Olympics but were allowed to compete.

CHINADA said on Thursday that trenbolone was a common contaminant in the United States, and athletes everywhere including US athletes should pay close attention to meat contamination. Citing a recent WADA statement, it said that 31% of US athletes were inadequately tested in the 12 months prior to the Tokyo Games.

“In light of the above, we strongly call on the International Testing Agency (ITA) to intensify testing on the U.S. track and field athletes,” CHINADA said in a statement on its WeChat account.

“We also strongly recommend that the Athletics Integrity Unit (AIU) strengthen anti-doping supervision of the US track and field, prevent the doping risks and strictly investigate relevant cases, in an endeavor to truly protect the legitimate rights and interests of the clean athletes around the world, and to rebuild the trust of global athletes in fair play.” – Reuters

BOJ debated further rate hikes in July, prompting hawkish shift

REUTERS

 – Bank of Japan policymakers, in deciding a landmark increase in interest rates last month, discussed further rate hikes, a summary of the discussion showed on Thursday, prompting a hawkish shift that has contributed to global market turmoil.

One member of the policy board said the central bank should eventually raise its policy rate to around 1% or higher, according to the summary of opinions, the first time a BOJ policymaker has specified a potential endpoint.

In the surprise move on July 31, the central bank raised its short-term policy target to 0.25%, its highest in 15 years, from a zero-to-0.1% range, and released a plan for tapering its huge asset buying in a landmark shift away from a decade-long stimulus program.

The July increase and subsequent comments by BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda signalling the chance of further rate hikes – along with indications that the Federal Reserve was preparing to cut US rates – caused a spike in the battered yen and contributed to global market turmoil.

The nine-member board debated the risk that rising import costs and steady wage increases might push up inflation more than expected, the summary showed, highlighting a growing sense in the board that more rate hikes might be needed.

“The BOJ must proceed with further adjustment of the degree of monetary accommodation as appropriate”, even after July’s hike if companies continue to raise prices, wages and capital spending, one member was quoted as saying.

Those discussions, which market participants on Thursday said were more hawkish than expected, were likely behind Ueda’s market-moving comments. The ensuing rout led to remarks by BOJ Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida on Wednesday playing down the chance of a near-term rate hike.

Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki on Thursday declined to comment on Mr. Uchida’s remarks, telling a press conference the specifics of monetary policy are for the central bank to decide.

 

FOCUS ON INFLATION OVERSHOOT

One board member in July called for the BOJ to keep raising rates in a “timely and gradual manner”, as Japan’s neutral rate – the level of borrowing costs that neither cools nor overheats the economy – seems to be at least around 1%, the summary showed.

That was the first time a BOJ policymaker, even anonymously, has cited a specific level for Japan’s neutral rate.

Mr. Ueda has repeatedly said it is hard to specify Japan’s neutral rate, keeping markets wondering how far the central bank would tighten. While the BOJ does not issue an official estimate of the neutral rate, analysts see it between 1% and 1.5%.

At the July meeting, some members warned against hiking rates too soon, saying policy normalization “must not be an end in itself”, with recent data showing weak signs in consumption. Two board members voted against the July rate hike.

But discussions on the price outlook focussed on the risk of an inflation overshoot, the summary showed.

“The likelihood of achieving our inflation target has increased further. That said, upside risks to prices require attention, since a rising number of industries have seen supply shortages and excess demand as a result of labor shortages,” one board member said.

“Upward pressure on prices is likely to remain because of tight labor market conditions” and rising import prices due to the impact of the yen’s declines, another said. – Reuters

Qantas slashes former CEO’s exit pay after damning governance report

REUTERS

Australia’s Qantas said it was cutting its former CEO’s exit bonuses by A$9.3 million ($6 million) after an external review found him responsible for measures alienating travelers, employees and shareholders in the COVID era and beyond.

The decision marks a gloomy footnote to the 15-year rein of Alan Joyce at Australia’s dominant airline, who brought forward his retirement to last September under a cloud of lawsuits alleging unfair pandemic sackings and selling tickets to cancelled flights.

Qantas was one of Australia’s top brands for years even as Joyce leaned into controversy. In 2011, he grounded its entire fleet over a union dispute, but the sacking of 1,700 ground staff in 2020 while collecting COVID stimulus payments, followed by a surge of flight cancellations and lost luggage once COVID border restrictions lifted, prompted analysts to warn the cost of repairing the airline’s reputation may hurt profit.

Mr. Joyce’s final compensation totaled A$21.4 million including bonuses, but the company said at the time it reserved the right to withhold some pending an external review of how the airline which sells nearly two-thirds of Australian domestic fares was run.

Qantas published the review on Thursday, which blamed the company’s reputational crisis on a “command and control” leadership style, and said it was cutting Mr. Joyce’s final package to just over half the original amount.

“There was too much deference to a long-tenured CEO who had endured and overcome multiple past operational and financial crises,” said the report by McKinsey & Co senior adviser Tom Saar.

“(Qantas) had a ‘command and control’ leadership style with centralized decisions and an experienced and dominant CEO,” the report added.

“This contributed to a top-down culture, which impacted empowerment and a willingness to challenge … decisions of concern. That cultural characteristic underpinned some of the events that affected the group’s reputation.”

The Qantas board had “limited visibility or appreciation of the manifestation of this cultural characteristic”, the report noted, adding that the company had already replaced some directors and top managers.

The company was also re-setting its relationships with external stakeholders, the report said, in light of an “adversarial approach to engagement” under Mr. Joyce.

And the airline had brought in a stricter internal approval process for CEO share sales, the report said, noting Mr. Joyce’s sale of A$17 million of Qantas shares in June 2023, a few months before his scheduled retirement, contributed to a loss of trust among stakeholders.

Qantas agreed in May to pay A$120 million to settle a regulator lawsuit over the sale of thousands of tickets on already cancelled flights.

The airline, which reports full-year results on Aug. 29, is still waiting to learn how much it must pay after losing a separate lawsuit which found it illegally fired 1,700 ground staff in 2020 to stop them from taking industrial action like strikes. – Reuters

Second hottest July breaks 13-month record streak, EU scientists say

 – Last month was the second hottest July for the planet on record, breaking a 13-month period when each month was warmest, which had been in part fueled by the warming El Nino weather pattern, the European Union’s Copernicus Climate Change Service said on Thursday.

The month was 1.48 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) above the pre-industrial reference of 1850-1990, Copernicus said in a monthly report, while the last 12 months were 1.64 C above the pre-industrial average due to climate change.

July also recorded the two hottest days on record.

Copernicus attributes the high temperatures largely to greenhouse gas emissions from fossil fuel-based industries and noted that oceans not normally impacted by El Nino saw an unusual rise in temperatures.

“This El Nino has ended but this magnitude of global temperature rises, the big picture is quite similar to where we were a year ago,” Julien Nicolas, a climate researcher with Copernicus, told Reuters.

“We are not done with temperature records causing heatwaves … We know this long-term warming trend can be with a very high level of confidence related to the human impact on climate.”

Above-average temperatures were recorded in southern and eastern Europe, the western United States, western Canada, most of Africa, the Middle East, Asia and eastern Antarctica.

Near or below-average temperatures were seen in northwestern Europe, western Antarctica, parts of the United States, South America and Australia.

July 2024 was also wetter than average in northern Europe and southeastern Turkey while drought warnings persisted in southern and eastern Europe.

Arctic sea ice was down more than in 2022 and 2023 at 7% below average though not as severe as the record 14% drop in 2020. Antarctic sea ice was the second lowest extent for July at 11% below average compared with 15% below in July last year.

Global sea temperatures remain at near record highs with this July only 0.1 C below July last year, ending a 15-month consecutive new record streak.

“What we saw was surprising in terms of how much warmer it has been. That raises the question of what is happening to the ocean outside this natural climate pattern like El Nino or La Nina events. Are there shifts in the ocean currents?” Mr. Nicolas said. – Reuters