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Poultry prices expected to remain stable following Taal ashfall

POULTRY PRICES are expected to remain stable amid calamity conditions just south of Metro Manila, with a full eruption of Taal Volcano in Batangas still not ruled out.

“I don’t expect much impact given that most of Batangas is not affected. (It is) limited to several towns near the volcano,” Philippine Institute for Development Studies (PIDS) Research Fellow Roehlano M. Briones said in a text message.

Batangas is part of the CALABARZON region, which also includes Cavite, Laguna, Rizal, and Quezon. The region is one of the top producers of chicken in the Philippines.

The national inventory of chicken at the start of 2019 was 186.37 million birds, up 6.03% year-on-year. Calabarzon had the second-largest population at about 24 million birds, consisting of 9.33 million broilers, 13.98 million layers, and 2.73 million native or improved varieties. Central Luzon topped the list at 31.764 million birds.

United Broilers and Raisers Association (UBRA) Chairman Gregorio A. San Diego said that the impact of the activity at Taal is not yet being felt by the industry.

“We are still in the process of evaluating the situation but as far as farmgate prices are concerned, we have not felt any impact yet,” he said in a separate text message.

According to UBRA’s weekly monitoring, as of Jan. 10, the price of regular-sized chicken was P72.25 per kilo, down 9% week-on-week, while prime sized chicken averaged P73.67 per kilo, down 9% week-on-week.

Philippine National Bank (PNB) economist Jun Trinidad said in a note that food prices, specifically of chicken and hogs, as well as fish, may rise due to the calamity since the region is a significant contributor.

Finance Undersecretary Gil S. Beltran said that the increase in price will be tempered since there are other regions that can fill demand.

Taal Volcano emitted large volumes of ash on Jan. 12. Alert level 4 is still up, which means that a “hazardous explosive eruption is possible within hours to days” despite the weakening of the ash plume.

The ashfall in the area around Taal, according to the Department of Agriculture (DA), caused P577.39 million worth of agricultural damage, affecting around 2,772 hectares of land and 1,967 animals.

Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Ernesto M. Pernia said that volcanic activity and associated earthquakes have caused P7.63 billion worth of economic damage in Batangas. — Vincent Mariel P. Galang

Palay farmgate price rises 0.1% in mid-December

THE average farmgate price of palay, or unmilled rice, rose 0.1% week-on-week in the second week of December to P15.64 per kilogram (kg), the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) said.

According to PSA’s weekly palay and corn price update, the average wholesale price of well-milled rice dropped 0.1%, week-on-week to P37.18 per kg, while retail prices climbed 0.02% to P41.45.

The average wholesale price of regular-milled rice fell 0.1% week-on-week to P33.05 per kg, while retail prices fell 0.1% to P36.55.

Palay prices generally weakened in 2019. Year-on-year, the price of palay, the form in which farmers sell their harvest, declined 21.9%. The weakening of prices followed the implementation of the Rice Tariffication Law in March, which removed most restrictions on imported rice.

The average farmgate price of yellow corn grain rose 2% week-on-week, to P12.16 per kg. The average wholesale price rose 0.3% to P21.36. The retail price was stable at P25.86.

The farmgate price of white corn grain averaged P13.22 per kg, down 0.2% week-on-week. The average wholesale price fell 0.6% to P16.90, while the average retail price declined 0.2% to P26.70. — Vincent Mariel P. Galang

Fitch Solutions says drug price controls a threat to pharma multinationals

FITCH SOLUTIONS Macro Research said the government’s plan to impose price controls on a list of widely-used drugs will be positive for the market over the long term but will likely threaten the operations of multinational drugmakers, whose business models are based on expensive medicines under patent protection.

Fitch Solutions said the price controls will likely restrict the growth of the pharmaceutical market over the short term.

“Pressure on pharmaceutical prices will continue to threaten the operations of multinational drugmakers in the Philippines. The introduction of a maximum retail price scheme will exacerbate a tough environment, with price controls being applied at all stages of supply chain,” according to a commentary published by Fitch Solutions, a part of Fitch Group.

However over the longer term, it said the price controls will likely be “positive for the market” given the expected increase in sales due to higher demand and greater competition among suppliers.

“If patients and other payers are attracted to the new lower-priced pharmaceuticals, greater demand should attract more suppliers to the Philippine market, which is often overlooked by firms seeking opportunities in Asia Pacific,” it said.

Fitch Solutions said that the proposed scheme will likely affect large drugmakers in Europe and US the most since the price controls will mainly be implemented on newly-introduced products for the treatment of chronic diseases.

It said the scheme may also affect distributors, pharmacies and private hospitals, citing the Pharmaceutical Healthcare Association of the Philippines’ (PHAP) warnings of the negative impact on retailers. It said it may even push manufacturers to rethink their plans to launch new medicines in the Philippine market.

“It could also lead to pharmaceutical companies withdrawing existing products, which would harm the public,” it said.

It said a policy of generics substitution will “over the longer term, as is common throughout the Asia region, (lead to decelerating) market growth… due to increasing cost-containment and initiatives to improve the cost-efficiency of pharmaceutical spending.”

“An increasing focus on cost-effective expenditure will further promote generic substitution rhetoric. As such, generic medicine sales growth will outperform overall market growth over the long term,” it added.

The government is looking to implement a Maximum Drug Retail Price (MDRP) scheme that aims to impose price controls on widely-used drugs.

In an interview with ABS-CBN aired Monday, President Rodrigo R. Duterte said he will sign a draft executive order covering the MDRP scheme.

The Department of Health (DoH) released in September a proposed list of 120 drugs covered by MDRP, which will lead to “a mean price reduction of 56% from the prevailing market.”

Included in the list are drugs addressing hypertension, diabetes, cardiovascular disease, chronic lung diseases, neonatal diseases and major cancers, as well as diseases that have high treatment costs, including chronic renal disease, psoriasis, and rheumatoid arthritis.

The DoH hopes to lower prices of some medicines through the scheme but a group of pharmaceutical firms said the government can reduce prices by buying in bulk and selling them through state hospitals, instead. — Beatrice M. Laforga

IRA ruling could see more functions shifted to LGUs

THE government could respond to a Supreme Court ruling increasing local governments’ share of national government revenue by shifting more of its functions to the local level, Finance Secretary Carlos G. Dominguez III said.

Mr. Dominguez said giving local government units (LGUs) more responsibility for tasks currently taken on by the national government was one of the options in response to the so-called Mandanas ruling, which sought to broaden the definition of “national government income” eligible for distribution to LGUs under an allocation called the Internal Revenue Allotment (IRA).

The case, Mandanas vs. Ochoa, takes its name from Hermilando I. Mandanas, a former governor and legislator from Batangas province. Mr. Mandanas in 2012 questioned the basis for determining the IRA pool, noting that local governments were owed about P500 billion in arrears since 1992 due to a more restrictive definition of “national government revenue” which left out revenue earned by the Bureau of Customs.

The Local Government Code entitles LGUs to a share of national government revenue. In July 2018, the Supreme Court ruled that the LGU’s “just share” covered all other forms of national tax, not just internal revenue taxes.

Mr. Dominguez said apart from shifting more functions to LGUs to comply with the ruling, the government is also considering requesting Congress to amend the law, or to declare the ruling “fiscally unsustainable.”

“That will be a very significant chunk of the revenue going to the LGUs,” he said.

“The first option is to comply with decision… however, in order to comply, we will also have to transfer some of the costs that are being incurred by the national government to the local government. You can’t just take the money, you should also take some of the responsibility. So that is being studied right now by the Department of Budget and Management and ourselves (DoF),” he said.

“The second option we have is to request the Congress to change the law and say it should be 30% of what the BIR collects. In that way that will defeat the decision of the Supreme Court.”

“The third option is to declare it fiscally unsustainable, so we won’t have to do it. So this is a legal problem that has become a fiscal problem,” he added.

He said the government has two years to decide before the ruling takes effect. — Beatrice M. Laforga

PHL agreed to water terms in 1997 when fiscal position was weak — Dominguez

THE Philippines “gave up its sovereignty” in negotiating the water privatization contracts in 1997 at a time when the government could not improve its water distribution system using its own resources, Finance Secretary Carlos G. Dominguez III said.

“When the contracts were bid out in 1997, the Philippines was paying 700 basis points over the benchmark for its loans, 7% over the loans. Right now, we are paying less than a third of 1% over the loans. Our situation has changed. Apparently in 1997, in order to attract bidders, the government gave up its sovereignty,” Mr. Dominguez said at an event in Makati City Thursday.

He said that the water contracts in 1997, which are being reviewed, led to the “surrender” of the government’s duty to protect the people.

“If you really read the contracts… the government appoints a regulator and that regulator, together (with the water companies), we’re supposed to come up with the rates. If I don’t agree with the regulator, the concessionaire has the option to go to arbitration… in Singapore to decide for us, and the government is prohibited from making any comments. That is a surrender of the government’s obligation to protect its (people).. so we are saying that’s the fundamental problem… That’s what we are looking at the moment,” he said.

Asked on the status of the water agreements with Manila Water Co., Inc. and Maynilad Water Services, Inc., Mr. Dominguez told reporters that “the case is still under discussion.”

Justice Secretary Menardo I. Guevarra has said that consultants from the Asian Development Bank (ADB) will help the government revise the economic and financial terms of the agreements.

Mr. Dominguez said contract reviews are normal.

“We are reviewing it in order to update the contracts to the new reality that we are in now,” he added.

Mr. Guevarra, whose department is leading the review, is waiting on the input of the Finance department, especially on the financial and economic terms.

President Rodrigo R. Duterte said last week that the government will offer new contracts to Maynilad and Manila Water without “onerous” provisions, under threat of nationalization if they do not accept. — Beatrice M. Laforga

Shares extend decline following US-China deal

PHILIPPINE STOCKS continued to decline on Thursday as investors chose to flock to Wall Street amid lingering concerns following the signing of the phase one trade deal between United States and China.

The bellwether Philippine Stock Exchange index (PSEi) lost 11.22 points or 0.14% to close at 7,653.18 on Thursday, while the broader all shares index dipped 8.30 points or 0.18% to 4,531.

“Investors continued to pour money in the US market after President Donald Trump signed the first phase of a trade pact with China,” Regina Capital Development Corp. Head of Sales Luis A. Limlingan said in a mobile message yesterday.

US and China successfully moved closer to resolving its two-year conflict over tariffs after signing the first segment of its trade deal on Wednesday. US Vice-President Mike Pence also told Fox Business Network that the two countries have already started talks on its phase two deal.

Following the Washington signing ceremony on Wednesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite indices all climbed 0.31%, 0.19% and 0.08%, respectively.

Most Southeast Asian stock markets also gained ground on Thursday after the United States and China signed an interim trade deal.

However, despite the signing of the trade deal, investors were cautious as China’s commitments seem “neither ground-breaking nor sufficiently binding in the specifics,” Mizuho analysts said in a note.

“The big picture is that ‘Phase-1’ is a partial deal that merely pauses the US-China trade conflict, buying time to sort out differences, but far from a lasting resolution,” the analysts said, as reported by Reuters.

Trade-sensitive Singapore shares edged higher amid gains in financial and telecommunication firms. DBS Group Holdings Ltd. added 0.7% and heavyweight Singapore Telecommunications Ltd. jumped 1.2%.

Meanwhile, Indonesia’s benchmark index swung between gains and losses, while Thai shares ticked higher.

Back home, more sectoral indices recorded losses on Thursday, led by property, which dropped 27.13 points or 0.67% to 3,997.13. Industrials shed 46.60 points or 0.49% to 9,336.62; holding firms erased 33.45 points or 0.44% to 7,460.01; and services slipped by 1.11 point or 0.07% to 1,554.94.

The advancers were financials, which added 18.59 points or 1.03% to 1,821.31, and mining and oil, which gained 78.95 points or 0.99% to 8,048.41.

Value turnover totalled P6.44 billion with 1.04 billion issues changing hands, from Wednesday’s turnover of P7.04 billion and 667.02 million issues.

Declining stocks beat those that increased, 112 against 89, while 32 names ended unchanged.

Foreign investors remained sellers on Thursday, but net outflows dropped to P478.39 million from the P883.99 million seen on Wednesday. — Denise A. Valdez with Reuters

Peso declines further vs dollar despite signing of US-China deal

THE PESO weakened on Thursday even after the signing of the phase one deal between the United States and China, suggesting that markets may not be fully convinced of the positive impact of the landmark agreement on tariffs between the two countries.

The local unit finished trading at P50.831 per dollar on Thursday, weakening by 11.60 centavos from its Wednesday close of P50.715-to-a-dollar, according to data from the website of the Bankers’ Association of the Philippines.

The peso opened at P50.63 against the greenback. Its intraday low was at P50.888, while its strongest showing for the day was at P50.62 versus the dollar.

Dollars traded dipped to $1.224 billion from $1.25 billion on Wednesday.

A trader and an analyst said the peso’s weakness came as markets were not yet “convinced” on the impact of the signed phase one deal between Washington and Beijing.

“The peso depreciated as market optimism waned on news that current US tariffs on Chinese goods will remain until a second phase trade deal be signed despite the recent signing of a first phase trade deal,” a trader said in an e-mail.

According to UnionBank of the Philippines, Inc. Chief Economist Ruben Carlo O. Asuncion, the market seemed to be “not so convinced yet of the potential positive impact of the phase one deal between the US and China.”

“Clarity and feasibility of the features of the said trade deal are some of the market qualms. But still, the peso’s decline may have come from the mere preference for the yuan, at this point,” he said in a text message.

Reuters reported that US Vice-President Mike Pence said on Wednesday that the discussions regarding the phase two deal between the world’s two biggest economy are already on track.

“We’ve already begun discussions on a Phase 2 deal,” he said in an interview with Fox Business Network hours after the initial trade pact which defused some tensions but has left some major issues unresolved.

Key officials from the US previously said they will review the removal of more tariffs only after the elections in November.

The yuan firmed in offshore markets on Thursday after the signing of the phase one deal which will roll back some tariffs imposed and will also increase China’s purchase of US products. However, most of the levies will remain and a number of other sore spots remain unresolved.

The offshore yuan inched up by 0.1% to 6.8855 per dollar on Thursday.

The trader expects the peso to range within the P50.75 to P50.95 level today, while Mr. Asuncion said the local unit could play around P50.70 to P51.00. — L.W.T. Noble with Reuters

DTI offers loans to shops near Taal Volcano

THE Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) is offering P50 million in loans to businesses that will either rebuild structures damaged by Taal Volcano’s eruptions or relocate there.

The special window for microfinance program is part of a P3-billion fund launched in 2017 to provide an alternative to loan shark’s predatory rates, Trade Secretary Ramon M. Lopez told reporters on Thursday.

Batangas province, where Taal volcano is located, has been placed in a state of calamity.

“We have about P50 million for a start to allocate to businesses that would like to borrow,” he said.

The agency is also offering P7,000 to P10,000 in livelihood grants per business, Mr. Lopez said.

“We are now preparing a livelihood assistance for those who would like to revive their small business,” he said, adding that the program would focus on small and micro-businesses.

The Trade department in December said it would produce livelihood kits for calamity-affected areas.

Assistance to businesses affected by the Taal calamity will be offered in the form of cards that function like gift cards, instead of goods. This would prevent good from expiring and logistics complications, Mr. Lopez said.

The livelihood assistance cards can be used at partner groceries and shops. Grantees will be required to report their sales to the agency, which will also offer livelihood training programs.

About 40% of companies in nearby areas suspended operations for one to two days, while the majority of companies continued operations, Mr. Lopez said. — Jenina P. Ibañez

QC ordered to pay relatives of dump site victims

A QUEZON CITY court ordered the local government to pay P6.27 million in damages to 57 relatives of the victims of a dump site tragedy that killed about 300 people two decades ago.

In a 133-page decision dated Oct. 30 but released only on Wednesday, the court ordered the city to pay P110,000 to the legal heirs of each victim of the Payatas dump site tragedy. Quezon City must also pay P50,000 each in moral damages, P10,000 in exemplary or corrective damages and P100,000 in lawyer’s fees.

The amount is much lower than the P3.3 million claimed by each plaintiff.

The court said the Quezon City’s failure to properly maintain, manage and operate a dump site led to the collapse of the upper part of the garbage mountain that killed about 300 people.

It noted that despite complaints about the rising pile of garbage that resulted in a temporary closure, the local government reopened the site for the entire Metro Manila.

The “improper and irresponsible” dumping of waste that created a “mountain-like pile of garbage” was the cause of the deaths and loss of properties, it said.

“The mountain-like trash in itself is a testament of the city government’s gross negligence in the management and operation of the dumpsite,” the court said.

Quezon City earlier said the plaintiffs had “willingly and voluntarily assumed the risk by refusing to be relocated to safer places,” saying it was their own negligence that caused the tragedy. — Vann Marlo M. Villegas

Retired police chief to be indicted for graft

THE Department of Justice (DoJ) has endorsed the indictment of President Rodrigo R. Duterte’s former police chief for corruption.

In a statement, DoJ said prosecutors had found probable cause to charge retired police chief Oscar D. Albayalde for failing to enforce the dismissal of 12 rogue cops.

The DoJ also recommended the indictment of the 12 policemen accused of recycling illegal drugs seized from legitimate police operations in 2013.

The findings against Mr. Albayalde will be forwarded to the Office of the Ombudsman, which has jurisdiction over corruption cases, the agency said.

Prosecutors dismissed falsification, negligence and misappropriation complaints against Mr. Albayalde, Undersecretary Markk L. Perete told reporters in a group message — Vann Marlo M. Villegas

P35M evacuation center in Manaoag ready for use

A NEW evacuation center in Manaoag, Pangasinan has been completed at a cost of P34.74-million, the Department of Public Works and Highways (DPWH) said on Thursday. The project covers “the construction of a two-storey accommodation building, a separate toilet and bathroom building for male and female, a three-storey laundry/drying area and water tank building, and three (3) single-storey buildings for the generator, garbage disposal, and pump room,” DPWH Region I Director Ronnel M. Tan said in his report submitted to the office of Secretary Mark A. Villar. A single-storey office building for the Ilocos Regional Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council and Office of the Civil Defense has also been built nearby. DPWH said the project features green engineering such as solar-powered light posts, and planting of trees. “This evacuation center complete with all the necessary facilities on a 3,296-square meter land area donated by the local government of Manaoag will serve as a temporary home for displaced families in the occurrence of typhoons and other calamities,” Mr. Villar is quoted in the statement. The evacuation center, apart from housing residents affected by disasters, can also be used for recreational activities, site location for distribution of relief supplies, feeding programs and medical mission, the DPWH said. — Arjay L. Balinbin

Retired Air Force chief to head PNOC-EC

PAF.MIL.PH

FORMER PHILIPPINE Air Force (PAF) chief Lozzano D. Briguez, who retired from the post on Thursday, will be appointed to head the exploration arm of the Philippine National Oil Company (PNOC). President Rodrigo R. Duterte made the announcement during Mr. Briguez’s retirement ceremony Thursday. “Now as good as any other time to tell you that from here he will be heading an office, a critical one,” Mr. Duterte said. The PNOC Exploration Corp. (PNOC-EC) is a state-run firm focusing on the Philippines’ oil and gas resources. Last October, the President fired Pedro A. Aquino, Jr. as PNOC-EC head for “loss of confidence.” Meanwhile, Major General Allan T. Paredes, head of the Armed Forces of the Philippines Air Logistics Command, has been appointed PAF commander effective Jan. 17. — Gillian M. Cortez