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Reports: Clippers to sign Noah for rest of season; NBA Draft on Oct. 16

LOS ANGELES Clippers will sign center Joakim Noah for the remainder of the season, Shams Charania of The Athletic reported Saturday.

The 35-year-old veteran signed a 10-day contract with the Clippers two days before the coronavirus pandemic forced the league to shut down on March 11. That deal was due to expire this week, per the report.

Noah hasn’t played in the National Basketball Association this season. He played in 42 games for the Memphis Grizzlies last season and averaged 7.1 points, 5.7 rebounds and 2.1 assists.

The 6-foot-11, Noah spent his first nine seasons (2007–16) with the Chicago Bulls. He was a two-time All-Star as well as the NBA Defensive Player of the Year for the 2013–14 season.

Noah also spent part of two seasons with the New York Knicks during his 12 NBA seasons. He has averages of 8.8 points, 9.1 rebounds, 2.8 assists and 1.3 blocked shots in 667 career games (512 starts) since being selected with the ninth overall pick in the 2007 NBA Draft.

The Clippers were 44-20 and in second place in the Western Conference at the time of the hiatus. They are part of the NBA’s planned 22-team restart in Orlando, Florida, scheduled for late July, with training camps set to open on June 30.

Meanwhile, the 2020 NBA Draft will take place on Oct. 16, ESPN’s Adrian Wojnarowski reported Saturday.

The draft’s early entry deadline will be Aug. 17 and the early withdrawal deadline will be Oct. 6, per the report.

Citing sources, Wojnarowski also reported that free agency will open at 6 p.m. ET on Oct. 18. A moratorium period, when free-agent deals can be reached but not officially completed, will run from Oct. 19–23.

As previously announced, the NBA Draft Lottery will take place on Aug. 25. — Reuters

MLB snag

If there’s anything the postponement of the players’ decision on Major League Baseball’s latest proposal to terms governing the 2020 season shows, it’s that external factors remain major stumbling blocks to any agreement. The union’s executive board scuttled formal voting, originally scheduled today, after franchise facilities were affected by coronavirus infections, leading to a league-wide closure of training camps. When they will reopen and when ballots will be filled and counted remain up in the air. Clearly, safety considerations come first.

Needless to say, the turn of events worsened an already tenuous situation. Negotiations under which competition could commence, continue, and culminate had already hit a snag. Along with other considerations, MLB players wanted a 70-game season at full prorated salaries. Owners refused to come up with a counteroffer, instead sticking to their latest one of 60 matches and an assurance of no grievances. The latter was up for a vote before the latest wave of infections hit, with rejection likely compelling commissioner Rob Manfred to come up with a mandated schedule open to legal challenges.

To argue that MLB is nowhere close to finding a solution would be an understatement. In large measure, the problem is nothing new; history has proven the league to be susceptible to injury from self-inflicted wounds. Which is just too bad, because acceptance of collective objectives is just the start of a long process. As the experience of the far more progressive National Basketball Association has indicated, there are countless other challenges to hurdle in the face of both the pandemic and increasing civil unrest brought about by the need to forward just causes.

At this point, fans have no choice but to cling to the hope that more reasonable quarters will prevail. Given life-and-death concerns, sports may seem trivial. To the contrary, they serve a crucial purpose at a time when all and sundry are desperate to find any semblance of normalcy to their lives. They uplift and counter pessimism, their very presence exemplifying the will not merely to survive, but to thrive. And, in this regard, those in MLB would do well to understand its raison d’etre, and fast. Else, it will wind up realizing too late that it was its own worst enemy.

 

Anthony L. Cuaycong has been writing Courtside since BusinessWorld introduced a Sports section in 1994. He is a consultant on strategic planning, operations and Human Resources management, corporate communications, and business development.

Brazil records nearly 50,000 coronavirus deaths as crisis deepens

RIO DE JANEIRO — Nearly 50,000 people have died from the coronavirus in Brazil, the world No. 2 hotspot, with 1,022 fatalities in the last 24 hours, the Health Ministry said on Saturday.

A total of 49,976 people have officially died from COVID-19 (coronavirus disease 2019) in Brazil, according to the ministry, with a total of 1,067,579 confirmed cases. Only the United States has recorded more deaths and cases.

Brazil confirmed its first case of the novel coronavirus on Feb. 26 and passed 1 million cases on Friday. Experts say the true numbers are likely far higher due to a lack of widespread testing.

Since first arriving in the continent-size country, the virus has spread relentlessly, eroding support for right-wing President Jair Bolsonaro and raising fears of economic collapse after years of anemic growth.

Mr. Bolsonaro, sometimes called the “Tropical Trump,” has been widely criticized for his handling of the crisis. The country still has no permanent health minister after losing two since April, following clashes with the president.

Mr. Bolsonaro has shunned social distancing, calling it a job-killing measure more dangerous than the virus itself. He has also promoted two anti-malarial drugs as remedies, chloroquine and hydroxychloroquine, despite little evidence they work.

Brazil is not the only country in Latin America to have been hit hard by the outbreak. On Saturday, the region passed 2 million cases, with 2,004,019 registered according to a Reuters tally. — Reuters

Governments find it’s easier to provide virus relief than end it

WITHIN 24 hours of Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison’s announcement this month that his government was scaling back crisis support for childcare providers, Frances Crimmins was inundated with calls and e-mails from parents pulling their kids out of the centers she runs.

“It really was like a slap in the face to this sector,” said Ms. Crimmins, CEO of YWCA, which operates six early learning centers in Canberra.

Australia’s success in containing the pandemic is allowing it to dial back the emergency support for some industries. But exiting such programs are already proving harder than starting them, a dilemma fellow developed-nations are also starting to face.

“The decisions for broad based support was the right thing to do,” said Takatoshi Ito, an economist at Columbia University and former senior official at the Japanese finance ministry. “But the challenge is how to withdraw.”

And there’s a lot of measures to unwind after governments piled in like never before to shield economies from the unprecedented second-quarter slump. Almost $11 trillion of fiscal resources has been approved globally since the crisis began, with an extra $5 trillion still in the pipeline, according to the Institute of International Finance.

Analysis by McKinsey & Co. estimates that government deficits worldwide could reach $11 trillion this year and a cumulative total of $30 trillion by 2023, which they say will require an “epic balancing act” if authorities are to successfully contain debt while ensuring their economies grow.

For now, finance ministers and their central bank counterparts in major developed economies including the US, Japan and Europe continue to pledge more spending to support their economies. A mix of near zero interest rates, unprecedented quantitative easing and well functioning debt markets means they’re able to fund their stimulus with little stress, but that mix may not hold forever.

“The deeper question is how will governments finance future growth without jeopardizing fiscal and financial sustainability,” said Cui Li, head of macro research at CCB International Holdings Ltd. in Hong Kong. “Given the concerns for growth, I think the policy arguments are likely to sway in favor of spending.”

In the US, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell urged Congress not to pull back too quickly on federal relief for households and small businesses amid increasing debate over whether to extend temporary programs that were put in place to shield them from the pandemic.

Congress is debating whether to extend additional unemployment benefits of $600 a week, a key part of the pandemic stimulus, beyond their current expiry date of July 31. Another program to prop up small business and help them avoid layoffs is coming toward the end of its allotted funding. And lawmakers also face pressure to provide more cash to state and local governments, which start a new fiscal year on July 1 and are being forced to fire workers as their revenue dries up.

Meantime, Canada is seeking to wean millions of people off government support in what’s described as one of the trickiest economic policy maneuvers in the country’s recent history.

The UK government bowed to pressure to continue providing free meals for Britain’s poorest children over the summer after a campaign led by England soccer star Marcus Rashford. That comes as the Treasury is funding the wages of more than 11 million jobs, with a price tag some say could exceed 100 billion pounds by the time it expires in October.

It’s a similar story in the euro area. In the region’s four largest economies — Germany, France, Italy and Spain — support programs covered about 34 million jobs at the start of this month.

While some relief measures will fade away as businesses come back on stream, it will be harder to make judgment calls on pulling back on support for the labor market especially, said Fabrizio Pagani, a former adviser to the Prime Minister of Italy.

“Eventually there will be significant job reallocation and possibly unemployment,” he said. “Governments will be reluctant to see that happening.” — Bloomberg

From Spam to corned beef, sales of canned meat are booming

Canned meat is having a moment.

Demand is booming across the globe. In the US, sales surged more than 70% in the 15 weeks ended June 13. In the UK, consumption of canned corned beef has taken off. Even in South Korea, where Spam is an old favorite, sales are expanding at the fastest pace in years.

At first, people were loading up on pantry staples with a long shelf life during lockdown conditions. Then, shortages of some fresh meat supplies, especially in the US, also helped to drive sales. Now, the economic downturn is underpinning demand.

There’s the obvious factor of income here. With millions thrown out of work in the last few months, consumers are looking for a way to cut back on grocery bills, and they’re trading in fresh meat for canned varieties. But there’s also something deeper going on — a return to comfort food and nostalgia in troubled times.

Ray Herras, a graduate student at Columbia University, is a Filipino American. Spam gained popularity in the cuisines of Southeast Asia after occupying US forces brought the canned ham with them. For Mr. Herras, Spam is a taste of childhood.

“I grew up eating Spam. It is deeply ingrained in Filipino culture, but I wasn’t really eating Spam until quarantine,” said Mr. Herras, who started adding it to his grocery purchases at least every other week. He’s not sure how much longer he’ll keep the buying up, but it’s always a staple whenever he’s “feeling homesick,” he said.

Canned meat has been available for more than 80 years. It’s sometimes frowned upon by filet-mignon loving elites, but it’s also got a cult following. Spam musubi — think of it like a porky twist on sushi — is a popular snack in Hawaii. In Korea, it’s eaten with kimchi and steamed rice. In the US, a slice of fried Spam with eggs can be a breakfast treat. And in the UK, tinned corned beef is served up as hash with potatoes and fried onions.

But while the die-hard fans are always there, the recent boom in sales is something even the canned meat makers didn’t see coming.

“Even I thought it could be difficult to increase our sales of canned meat to more than what we expected,” said Kasper Lenbroch, chief executive officer of the unit that houses the Tulip brand at Danish Crown Group, Europe’s top meat processor. “It’s not very often when you’re in food that you can see traditional products like these grow as much as they have done right now.”

Sales of Tulip Pork Luncheon Meat, sold in 120 markets around the world, are expected to go up 25% this year, Mr. Lenbroch said. Sales are “growing all over,” including in the UK, Germany, Greece, Japan, and Singapore, among many others.

Marfrig Global Foods SA, the Brazilian beef giant, is seeing a similar jump at its Uruguay business, which supplies corned beef to the US Sales of the product are expected to reach as high as 3,500 metric tons this year, said Marcelo Secco, CEO of the unit. That would be up almost double compared with 2019, when about 1,800 tons were sold, he said.

Mr. Secco points to the recent jump in US meat prices as turning consumers on to canned alternatives. Some of America’s biggest livestock slaughter plants were forced to close earlier this year after coronavirus outbreaks saw thousands of workers falling ill. That caused wholesale beef prices to double in about a month. While the market has come back down, corned beef was there to help fill supply gaps — and now that consumers have returned to the old staple, they may be more inclined to stick with it.

“There isn’t a supermarket in the US that doesn’t have corned beef,” Mr. Secco said. “It’s a product that everyone knows.”

While US sales of canned meat have slowed since an initial surge when lockdowns started in mid-March, they are still well above 2019 levels. In the week ended June 13, sales were up 17%, according to Nielsen data.

Hormel Food Corp.’s Spam was already seeing sales growth in the past several years, but nothing like the increase taking place now.

“The last time Spam saw a similar pattern in interest was back to when the brand started during the Great Depression. The economic situation wasn’t great — that was carried into World War II,” said Brian Lillis, Hormel’s senior brand manager for Spam. “What we saw over the last few months is really people all over the country purchasing the product.”

Spam has a storied history in South Korea, the No. 2 consumer after the U.S. It’s a popular holiday gift sold in lavish packages, which make up about 60% of annual sales, according to CJ CheilJedang Corp., the Korean producer of the tinned ham.

When coronavirus cases started spreading in the country in February and March, consumers stayed home and cooked more — but many people still had leftover Spam from holiday packages. It wasn’t until April that sales really started taking off.

In the two months of April and May, CJ saw Spam sales soar more than 50% from a year earlier.

“The outbreak of coronavirus has revived the domestic canned food industry, which was on the verge of entering a period of stagnation,” said Lee Seung Hoon, a spokesman at CJ. “Now we are expecting growth in the market.” — Bloomberg

Time is money: the armchair traders of lockdown

STOCKHOLM — At 7 a.m. on Friday morning, Dean d’Arco, 31, a phone shop manager from Belfast, Northern Ireland, logged on for his last day as a round-the-clock armchair stock market trader.

During almost three months on coronavirus furlough, he was one of a swelling number of stuck-at-home punters using their free time to ride a climbing stock market which rebounded after a giant slump in March.

As lockdown lifts, Mr. d’Arco is now returning to work, but he doesn’t plan on giving up his new-found interest in financial markets entirely.

“It’s given me a routine, a reason to get out of bed in the morning,” Mr. d’Arco said of his time on furlough, adding that his new hobby was also a welcome social activity.

Along with his friend Damian McVeigh, 31, the pair put in 70-plus hours a week on trading apps, staking a substantial part of their savings in the process, despite neither having prior experience in financial markets.

“I only play with savings I can afford to lose and I’ve made a good return and have no regrets,” Mr. McVeigh, who is a quantity-surveyor by trade, said.

Around the world, online retail brokers are booming this year, with global app eToro increasing new account openings by 400%, compared to the same period last year.

EToro customers invested $300 billion in Q1, part of a global surge in activity on retail trading platforms which played a role in the recent stock market rally.

“We began to see record levels of activity when the coronavirus pandemic started,” said Johanna Kull, an economist for Swedish trading app Avanza.

“Stock market gains have mostly been led by government and central bank stimulus, but increased retail trading activity has pushed up prices and caused volatility in specific small cap stocks,” she said.

Mr. McVeigh said he has invested around 5,000 pounds ($6,300) and made a 20% profit by trading around 80 companies and commodities such as oil.

A WhatsApp messenger group chat set up to plan a now-canceled holiday became an active stock market discussion forum when Mr. McVeigh started talking about the plight of his ex-employer, a listed company he had staff shares in.

“FEELS LIKE BETTING”

Fueled by the stimulus packages, trading indexes have rallied hard since lows in March, with the Nasdaq last week briefly beating the 10,000 mark for the first time.

Two weeks ago, a flurry of activity was seen in bankrupt or soon-to-be-bankrupt stocks with Hertz, Chesapeake, Whiting, and JC Penney rising 300% to 500% before pulling back a bit, leaving seasoned traders scratching their heads.

“It feels like betting when it comes to struggling companies,” said Mr. McVeigh, who bought shares in Valaris, a company which he doesn’t expect to survive but still made him a profit.

The pair say that in general, though, buying stocks feels different from gambling because it is not a win-or-lose proposition like betting on the outcome of a football match.

More recently, anxiety about a second wave of coronavirus infections has hit markets, with the S&P 500 last week suffering its worst weekly decline since March 20.

“I didn’t get too badly caught by the big dip. I took most of my capital out when some stocks rose beyond their pre-pandemic level, as that just felt unnatural to me,” said Mr. McVeigh, adding he wished he’d taken out all his funds.

Both men said it will be impossible to trade as intensely when they return to work, so they plan to change their trading strategy to focus on long-term stocks.

“The way things are now, if you take your eyes off it for a moment you can lose serious cash,” Mr. McVeigh said, adding: “But I won’t stop, I enjoy it too much.”

Mr. D’Arco said he plans to buy into innovative tech companies, ones he calls “future game changers”.

Mr. McVeigh, the more pragmatic of pair, said: “I expect there to be a crash soon. I plan on picking up undervalued stocks when that happens and hold them for long-term gain.” — REUTERS

Singapore plans more than $14 billion to super-charge innovation

Singapore is positioning itself for a post-COVID world with massive investment in innovation, over and above the immediate support it’s giving to help the economy rebound from possibly its worst downturn on record.

The government will set aside more than S$20 billion ($14.3 billion) to support research in “high impact areas” such as health and biomedical sciences, climate change and artificial intelligence, Deputy Prime Minister Heng Swee Keat said in a televised speech Saturday. The investment is part of a five-year research and development plan, which is currently being finalized.

“All countries, including us, are providing immediate support, to provide a cushion,” said Mr. Heng, who is also finance minister. “But we are going further, investing to give everyone a springboard, to bounce back from this even stronger. In Singapore, we never stop thinking of tomorrow.”

Mr. Heng’s speech is the final one in a series of ministerial broadcasts as the nation girds for an upcoming election. On Friday, the city-state entered the second phase of re-opening its economy after a multi-month lockdown to avert the coronavirus’ spread.

With Singapore’s economy facing its biggest contraction since independence in 1965, and employment sliding in the first quarter by the most on record, Mr. Heng said the government’s most urgent task is job creation. Officials have pledged to create 100,000 jobs and training opportunities to help cushion the blow.

TRADE-RELIANT ECONOMY

“We are doing our best to keep viable businesses afloat, helping them hold on to their workers for as long as possible, so that you can preserve your livelihoods,” Mr. Heng said, while also highlighting that it was the first time the government has provided direct cash support to self-employed workers on a large scale.

Among one of the most export-dependent economies in the world, Singapore has no choice but to double down on its trade status coming out of the crisis, said Mr. Heng. “We are finished if we close up,” he said.

Mr. Heng reiterated the government’s commitment to infrastructure investment, including greener developments and food security initiatives. A series of industry-led groups assembled by the government will explore new opportunities in areas such as robotics, e-commerce and supply-chain digitization, he added.

The unprecedented stimulus and investment pledged is a particular shock for Singapore, which is traditionally prudent with its fiscal spending. Mr. Heng acknowledged that he “never expected to put up four budgets, one after another, within just 100 days” for a total of almost S$100 billion, and more than half financed from past reserves.

“We are very grateful to our past generations, whose blood, sweat and tears left us with these deep financial reserves,” said Mr. Heng. “So let us remember — once we have recovered from this crisis, our generation must build back better.”

GLOBALLY COMPETITIVE

It’s only the second time that Singapore has drawn down on its national savings. In 2009, it received approval to use S$4.9 billion of reserves to help fund the government’s support package during the global financial crisis. The government paid back the amount drawn to the reserves in 2011 after the crisis passed.

Mr. Heng noted that Singapore has remained one of the most competitive economies in the world. That distinction was highlighted earlier this week when the city-state retained its No. 1 position in a global competitiveness ranking by IMD Business School in Switzerland.

A stronger domestic economy will help Singapore strengthen its reputation with investors globally, Mr. Heng said.

“A trusted and reliable Singapore, relevant to the world, will in turn attract investments into Singapore, and give Singaporeans an edge in seeking opportunities at home or abroad.” he said. “This Singapore premium is precious.” — Bloomberg

Net FDI inflows tumble in March as virus spooks investors

By Luz Wendy T. Noble, Reporter

FOREIGN DIRECT investment (FDI) inflows tumbled in March as the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic escalated around the world, further dampening investor sentiment.

Data from the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) showed FDI net inflows slid 18.5% to $507 million in March from the $622 million recorded a year ago. The March figure was $2 billion higher than the $505 million recorded in February.

“The progression of the COVID-19 crisis into a full-scale pandemic and its adverse impact on the global economy dampened investor sentiment and investment activity during the month,” the BSP said.

The lower FDI net inflows was mainly due to a 33.5% plunge in net investments in debt instruments, including intercompany borrowings to $278 million in March.

Reinvested earnings also slipped 37.9% to $57 million in March from the $91 million a year ago.

On the other hand, equity other than reinvestment of earnings surged by 53.1% to $172 million from the $112 million a year ago. This was attributed to a 50% rise in placements to $196 million, while withdrawals jumped by 31% to $24 million.

Placements mainly came from Japan and Taiwan, and infused in industries such as administrative and support service; manufacturing; and financial and insurance industries, the BSP said.

Inflows to equity and investment fund shares also went up by 12.3% to $228 million from the $203 million in March 2019.

Year-to-date, FDI inflows contracted by 14.2% to $1.669 billion.

“This developed on account of the 41% decline in net investments in debt instruments to $828 million from $1.4 billion. Likewise, reinvestment of earnings dipped by 24.1% to $187 million from $247 million in the previous year,” the BSP said.

Asian Institute of Management economist John Paolo R. Rivera said investor sentiment in the country was improving at the start of the year, but was dampened by the Taal volcano eruption and coronavirus outbreak.

“Recall that FDI in January went up due to Philippines’ strong macroeconomic fundamentals resulting in continued investor confidence in the economy despite global economic risks driven by political and economic conflicts between major countries,” he said in an e-mail.

FDI inflows in January rose by 12% to $657.1 million from the $586 million level a year ago.

“Investor confidence is also being driven by how they [investors] benchmark our response to the pandemic relative to other economies,” Mr. Rivera added.

UnionBank of the Philippines, Inc. Chief Economist Ruben Carlo O. Asuncion also blamed the pandemic for the lower FDI inflows in March.

“The virus spread has clearly dampened planned investment expansion and activity by foreign investors,” he said in an e-mail.

In March, the World Health Organization declared the outbreak of COVID-19 a pandemic, as the disease spread around the world and sickened tens of thousands.

The BSP downgraded its 2020 FDI projection last week to $4.1 billion from its $8.8 billion outlook last year. FDI inflows stood at $7.647 billion in 2019.

Economists said an urgent response to the pandemic and the development of a vaccine will be the key factors for a recovery in foreign investments.

“FDIs may likely and slowly return once the economy is fully rebooted, particularly MSMEs (micro-, small, and medium-sized enterprises), tourism, and infrastructure. This will likely stimulate investor confidence,” Mr. Rivera said.

“However, timing is of the essence as other countries are also racing to attract FDIs,” he added.

Meanwhile, Mr. Asuncion stressed the importance of containment efforts to boost investor confidence in the Philippines.

“As the economies around the world begin to reopen, even as the threat of a second wave of infections hovers over the horizon, a major support to FDI inflows recovery in the coming months hinges on the importance of the COVID-19 containment efforts by the authorities,” he said, noting fiscal and monetary response may even come a secondary factor for investors to consider.

Gov’t tax haul drops 49% in May

By Beatrice M. Laforga, Reporter

The government’s tax haul continued to slump in May, as the deferment of tax payments and slowdown in economic activity took its toll.

Citing preliminary data, the Department of Finance (DoF) on Friday said combined tax collections by the Bureau of Internal Revenue (BIR) and Bureau of Customs (BoC) declined 48.62% to P135.45 billion last month from P263.64 billion a year ago.

Collections fell 61.72% short of the P353.8-billion combined BIR-BoC target for the month.

Broken down, BIR’s total collections for the month plunged 48.68% to P105.44 billion from P205.47 billion in May 2019. It also missed its P320.47-billion collection target by around 67%.

The bureau’s Large Taxpayers Service (LTS) generated P41.1 billion in May, down 49% from P81.32 billion logged a year ago. This figure was 71% short of the P139.58-billion collection goal.

Total income tax from large taxpayers stood at P60.38 billion in May, down 51% from a year ago and 74% short of the P232.68 billion target.

Value-added tax (VAT) collections were halved to P15.43 billion from P32.38 billion seen a year ago. LTS’ collections of VAT likewise slid 40% year on year to P12.47 billion.

For Customs, collections from duties and taxes dropped 48% to P30.01 billion in May from P58.17 billion a year ago. It failed to meet its P33.333 billion target for the month.

In the January to May period, the combined collections of the two biggest revenue-generating agencies in the country slipped 17.7% to P874.91 billion from P1.062 trillion in the same period last year.

This was 24.9% lower than the P1.164-trillion target for the five-month period.

BoC collected P210.18 billion in five months, down 16.5% from a year ago and missing the P213.51-billion goal.

BIR collected P664.74 billion during the January to May period, 27.13% lower year-on-year and 21.7% short of the P848.91 billion target.

Finance Secretary Carlos G. Dominguez III on Tuesday attributed the lower collection on the
lockdown’s impact on the economy, as well as the deferment of the filing and payment of income taxes.

The lockdown in Metro Manila and other parts of the country continued through May before restrictions began easing in June.

Deadlines of filing and settling tax returns have been pushed back several times due to lockdown, with the final deadline for income tax pushed back to June 15 from the original April 15 schedule.

Mr. Dominguez said they expect state tax collections to “catch up” by the end of June.

Collection targets for the two agencies have been slashed on expectations of a deeper economic slowdown. The BIR is tasked to collect only P1.744 trillion this year, while BoC’s reduced target was pegged at P541.703 billion.

Development Budget Coordination Committee (DBCC) estimated government revenues will settle at P2.929 trillion this year, lower than the previously estimated of P3.17 trillion as the economy is expected to shrink by 2-3.4%.

Philippines’ current account swings to a surplus in Q1

By Luz Wendy T. Noble, Reporter

The Philippines’ current account swung to a surplus in the first quarter of 2020, on the back of a slimmer trade deficit caused by disruptions due to the coronavirus pandemic and falling oil prices.

Data released by the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) showed a current account surplus of $92 million in the first three months, reversing the $1.688 billion deficit seen during the same period a year ago.

“This developed mainly from the lower deficit in the trade in goods account and higher net receipts in the secondary income account, which were mitigated partly by the decline in net receipts of trade in services and primary income,” BSP said in a statement on Friday.

The current account shows the country’s overall economic interaction with the rest of the world covering trade in goods and services; remittances from overseas Filipino workers; profit from Philippine investments abroad; interest payments to foreign creditors; as well as gifts, grants and donations to and from abroad.

The BSP last week said it now expects the current account deficit to further narrow to $1.9 billion or 0.5% of gross domestic product (GDP), from its earlier estimate of $8.4 billion or 2.1% of GDP this year.

In 2019, the current account was at a deficit of $464 million, lower than the $8.773 billion gap in 2018. At this level, the current account accounted for 0.1% of GDP from 2.4% of GDP in 2018.

Meanwhile, the country’s balance of payments (BoP) stood at a deficit of $68 billion in the first quarter, a reversal from the $3.797 billion seen in the January to March 2019 period.

The BoP measures the country’s transactions with the rest of the world at a given time. A deficit means more funds fled the economy than what went in, while a surplus shows that more money entered the Philippines.

The central bank now projects BoP to end the year at a surplus of $600 million, smaller than the $3 billion surfeit outlook in November.

In 2019, BoP was at a surplus of $7.843 billion, reversing the $2.306 billion deficit recorded in the prior year.

Rizal Commercial Banking Corp. Chief Economist Michael L. Ricafort said the current account surplus was on the back of narrower trade deficit caused by the dramatic drop in oil prices and the virus outbreak.

“The lockdown in Metro Manila and Luzon in the second half of March already caused a sharp decline in both imports and exports as many manufacturers and other businesses experienced a sharp reduction in production/operations and sales,” he said in an e-mail.

“The sharp decline in global oil prices [also] reduced the country’s import bill and helped in further narrowing the country’s trade deficit,” he added.

Latest data from the Philippine Statistics Authority showed the April trade deficit was at $499.21 million, much lower than the $3.8 billion shortfall last year and the biggest trade gap in more than five years or since the $257.18 million in March 2015.

The figures were on the back of a 50.8% contraction in merchandise exports to $2.78 billion as well as the 65.3% drop in merchandise imports to $3.28 billion.

The import bill likewise decreased by 27% to $26.54 billion on a cumulative basis against the government’s target of 5.5% contraction this year.

Mr. Ricafort said he expects the current account likely to remain in surplus, with the height of lockdowns in many economies seen in April and May, causing disruption to global supply chains.

“Going forward, other factors that could support current account include the further re-opening of the economies locally and in many other countries that could also lead to some pick up in OFW (overseas Filipino workers) remittances, BPO (business process outsourcing) revenues, POGO (Philippine offshore gaming operators) revenues in the coming months,” he said.

Mr. Ricafort said foreign tourism receipts look unlikely to bounce back sooner as social distancing measures and travel restrictions continue to be in place to prevent further spread of the virus as economies fear the possibility of a second wave of infections.

Online sellers operating on irregular basis not required to register – DTI

The Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) on Friday clarified online sellers who operate on an “irregular” basis or sell homemade products as a hobby are not required to register.

“If one is just selling intermittently or on an irregular basis or selling homemade stuff as a hobby, it is understood they are not yet in business thus they are not required to register,” Trade and Industry Secretary Ramon M. Lopez said during the virtual hearing of the House Ways and Means Committee.

His remark came after the Bureau of Internal Revenue (BIR) issued a memorandum on June 1 reminding businesses that earn income “through the use of any electronic platforms and media, and other digital means” to register on or before July 31. It also “encouraged” these businesses to voluntarily declare their past transactions and pay taxes on these without any penalty on or before July 31.

In 2013, BIR issued a memorandum reminding businesses that online sales are taxable, but only the 2020 circular imposed a deadline to settle past taxes.

Mr. Lopez said online businesses that generate regular sales, even if such activity is small in size, must be registered.

“Anyway, the annual income below P250,000 is exempted from the income tax according to the BIR ruling,” he added.

Mr. Lopez underscored the importance of registering with the government, saying this is “key to consumer protection.”

“There is greater traceability if online sellers are registered and this increases the trust factor and confidence of online buyers in making the transaction online,” he said.

Lawmakers also urged the BIR to automate filing and payment of taxes, lessen the requirements for registration, and remove the registration fee of P500 to incentivize online businesses to register.

“We are studying that. We are really streamlining the registration process,”BIR Deputy Commissioner Arnel S.D Guballa said. — Genshen L. Espedido

661 new COVID-19 cases brings total to 28,459 says DoH

The Department of Health (DoH) reported an additional 661 new coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases on Friday, bringing the tally of positive cases to 28,459.

Those were the numbers as of 4 p.m. Friday, Health Undersecretary Maria Rosario S. Vergeire reported at a briefing.

Sa total confirmed natin, meron tayong 288 recovered kaya ang recoveries ay 7,378. Sa deaths naman, meron nadagdag na 14, kaya nasa 1,130 deaths na naitala,” she said during the briefing. (Of our total confirmed cases, there are 288 who recovered which makes the total recoveries 7,378. For deaths, there are an additional 14 which makes it 1,130 total deaths recorded.)

Last Thursday’s data release had the total number of COVID-19 cases at 27,779.

Of the 661 additional cases, 460 were “fresh” cases while 201 were “late” cases. “Fresh” cases are test results that were released to a patient within the last three days before the DoH announcement, while “late” cases are test results that were released to a patient four days or more before the DoH announcement.

Ms. Vergeire also warned the public against considering the steroid called dexamethasone as a “miracle” cure for COVID-19 as this is still not yet approved locally as a treatment for the virus. Dexamethasone was seen to improve some severe cases of COVID-19 in trials by researchers in the UK, but more studies and trials are ongoing to confirm this.

Hindi ito lunas sa COVID-19 at kami nagbibigay ng babala sa unregulated use sa gamot na ito na walang payo o prescription ng doktor (This is not a cure for COVID-19 and we are giving a warning on the unregulated use of this medicine without advice and a prescription from the doctor),” she said.

The Food and Drug Administration on Friday released an advisory which stated that the selling of unregistered dexamethasone, selling of the drug without a prescription, and selling of the drug online are illegal.

Dexamethasone was the “magic pill” President Rodrigo R. Duterte mentioned in a speech earlier this week. Both Ms. Vergeire and his Spokesperson Harry L. Roque denied its effectiveness since it’s seen to treat only a small percentage of severe cases and more studies need to be done. — Gillian M. Cortez

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