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Battery storage seen as critical for RE adoption 

By Ram Christian S. Agustin 

THE Philippine Electricity Market Corp. (PEMC) said greater use of battery energy storage system (BESS) will be crucial in promoting renewable energy (RE) and achieving energy security. 

In a dialogue on Wednesday organized by the Asian Development Bank, the PEMC said it is embarking on a study of deploying more BESS to ensure that some RE systems whose power generation is intermittent, such as wind and solar, have a means of parking their power for later use.  

In an e-mail interview, PEMC Corporate Planning and Communications Department Head Clares Loren C. Jalocon said storage is viewed as a growth industry in the coming years, and that adjustments to how it is regulated are required.    

“It was initially determined in the ongoing study that the current rules in the market revolve much on the registration of the BESS facilities, and need to be reinforced in the areas of scheduling and dispatch, with due regard on market governance considering the high flexibility of BESS,” he added.  

RE facilities operate on a “must dispatch” and “priority dispatch” basis under the rules of the Philippine Wholesale Electricity Spot Market (WESM). RE capacity participating in the market grew 50% in the first year of implementation of the dispatch regime, he said.    

The PEMC has joined the Southeast Asian Energy Transition Partnership program of the United Nations Office for Project Services.  

The partnership agreement involves the preparation of an energy transition roadmap that revolves around “introducing market mechanisms and enhancements” to promote renewable technology and ensure supply stability and diversification.      

The partnership will start with a study on the role of BESS in the electricity market, specifically in achieving grid security and reliability due to the variable and intermittent output of clean energy technologies.    

According to WESM’s technical committee study, BESS can support grid stability by enabling load shifting and load following due to its ability to withdraw from or inject power to the grid.   

Power stored in BESS addresses the variability and intermittency of RE resources.    

“When the line limitation eases or the stored supply is needed, the BESS can discharge the stored energy for the grid’s consumption,” he added. 

In a recent briefing of the Energy Task Force Election, the Department of Energy said it is also looking into BESS facilities that can augment the grid supply for the May 9 elections and the supply-challenged dry season.  

DTI issues digital transformation checklist for MSMEs

THE Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) said it launched a self-assessment tool for micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs) which will allow them to evaluate the degree to which they are ready to embark on digital transformation. 

Trade Secretary Ramon M. Lopez said during second meeting of the E-commerce Promotion Council that business must tap the opportunities on offer from the digital economy by equipping themselves with the necessary skills to navigate the digitally-enhanced market.   

Mr. Lopez said MSMEs can take a test online and receive a scorecard that will recommend specific training topics to help MSMEs make progress on their digital transformations.    

“MSMEs may opt to visit the website of DTI or the NegosyoCenter.online website and its learning resources. They can also visit their nearest Negosyo Center to inquire about the next steps, from how to create an e-mail account (Level 0) to data analytics (Level 3). There is information available for our micro, small, medium enterprises and DTI is here to help,” Mr. Lopez added.    

The MSME diagnostic toolkit was developed by Thames International for the DTI.    

In a baseline study conducted by the DTI intended to identify the level of digitalization among Philippine MSMEs, only 6% of the respondents said they employed advanced digital tools for their businesses while 23% reported not using digital tools at all.   

Meanwhile, the DTI’s employment outlook for the e-commerce industry came in at 86.7% on E-commerce Job Outlook Index.   

“One of the key strategies of the e-Commerce Philippines 2022 Roadmap is to make available a talent pool of digitally skilled workers. Skills mismatch has often been cited as a perennial problem in various industries and if we are to achieve maximum growth for the e-commerce sector, we must understand the e-commerce workforce ecosystem and identify the demand requirement so we can supply relevant skills,” Mr. Lopez said.  

The Job Outlook study also revealed that MSMEs require more digital talent in content creation and technical skills, while larger companies are seeking digital talent proficient in business intelligence and strategy.  

The DTI said it plans to collaborate with the Department of Labor and Employment and Technical Education and Skills Development Authority in building a pool of digitally skilled talent to address industry demand. — Ram Christian S. Agustin

Bongbong supporters switch to Isko 

ISKO MORENO DOMAGOSO FB PAGE

TWO pro-administration groups in central Philippines formerly associated with the only son and namesake of the late dictator Ferdinand E. Marcos have switched their support to Manila City Mayor Francisco “Isko” M. Domagoso, the latter’s office said on Wednesday. 

In a statement, his camp said more than 50 officers of Partido Federal ng Pilipinas, the political party of Ferdinand “Bongbong” R. Marcos, Jr., and a group called Marcos Pa Rin joined a volunteer alliance in the Visayas that supports Mr. Domagoso and presidential daughter Sara Duterte-Carpio. 

“The endorsement of the original officers and members of the Partido Federal ng Pilipinas (PFP) is a big boost to Moreno’s campaign as the party is aligned with President Duterte,” it added. Ms. Carpio, who is Davao City’s mayor, is Mr. Marcos’ vice-presidential running mate. 

The officers, who signed a manifesto of support at a ceremony in Iloilo City, said they were supporting Mr. Domagoso and Ms. Carpio because both are “top performing mayors.” 

“We commit ourselves to work together and ensure their victory in the May 9 national and local elections,” the officers said, based on the press release sent by Mr. Domagoso’s camp. 

This was the second time that leaders of Mr. Marcos’ political party came out to disown their original standard bearer, according to the statement. “Last March 30, the original officers and members of PFP surfaced in Iligan City to throw their full support behind Mayor Isko.” 

Mr. Marcos took his oath as Partido Federal chairman a day before he filed his candidacy for president in October. He is leading in presidential opinion polls, where Vice-President Maria Leonor “Leni” G. Robredo is a distant second. 

Ikaw Muna (IM) Pilipinas, a national volunteer group that was formed in 2021 to push Mr. Domagoso’s presidential bid defected to Ms. Robredo on Tuesday, saying he doesn’t stand a chance of winning. 

Thousands of supporters have been attending Ms. Robredo’s campaign sorties in several vote-rich areas. On Saturday, she drew more than 200,000 supporters — the biggest crowd in her presidential campaign so far — at a rally in Pampanga province north of Manila, the capital. 

Mr. Domagoso has been aiming for the endorsement of President Rodrigo R. Duterte, whose daughter Sara is leading in vice-presidential opinion polls. 

Also on Wednesday, more than 60 retired officers of the Philippine police and the defunct Philippine Constabulary endorsed Ms. Robredo for president. 

The endorsement came after a meeting with the vice-president, who vowed to wage a war against drug lords. 

The anti-illegal drug campaign should also address demand concerns through public education and rehabilitation of users, they said in a statement. 

“We believe that is the candidate with the required sincerity, political will, leadership, competency and necessary moral strength and integrity to implement such critical programs for the best interest of the country,” they said. 

Mr. Duterte’s drug war that has killed thousands has been criticized by domestic and international civic groups and rights watchdogs.   

The Philippine justice department said last year that there were irregularities surrounding the deaths of suspects in raids involving his anti-illegal drug campaign. 

Meanwhile, Catanduanes Governor Joseph C. Cua endorsed Ms. Robredo for president at a campaign rally in the province, where she got 72,964 votes against Mr. Marcos’s 12,894 votes in the 2016 vice-presidential race. 

His brother Peter, chief of San Andres town in Catanduanes, also backed Ms. Robredo’s candidacy during the rally, which drew 12,000 supporters. 

He said all 11 mayors in the province were endorsing Ms. Robredo and her running mate Senator Francis “Kiko” N. Pangilinan. — Kyle Aristophere T. Atienza 

DoJ probes fake drug war death certificates

PHILSTAR FILE PHOTO

THE JUSTICE department is investigating allegations that police falsified the death certificates of suspected pushers to cover up the fact that they were killed in drug raids. 

“The alleged falsification of death certificates as a cover-up for the true cause of death is part of the drug war review being conducted by the Department of Justice (DoJ), with the assistance of the National Bureau of Investigation (NBI),” Justice Secretary Menardo I. Guevarra told reporters in a Viber message on Wednesday. 

Forensic expert Raquel B. del Rosario-Fortun, who has been examining the exhumed remains of drug war victims since July, has said some death certificates showed victims dying of natural causes even if they had gunshot wounds consistent with homicide. 

Of 46 cases she examined, one death certificate was missing and several others were incomplete, she told a news briefing on Tuesday. She added that at least 32 bodies had gunshot wounds as the cause of death. 

“The original problem that we encountered was the absence of a copy of the death certificate in some records or files that we reviewed,” Mr. Guevarra said. “The certificates may have been issued all right, but some of them were not found in the police files.” 

Government prosecutors have filed charges in court against law enforcers in four cases and plan to probe 250 more of what could have been wrongful deaths in President Rodrigo R. Duterte’s war on drugs, Mr. Guevarra told the United Nations Human Rights Council in February. 

An inter-agency committee formed 15 teams last year that probed extralegal killings and human rights violations during these operations. 

Last month, the International Coalition for Human Rights, a global human rights watchdog, said it would sanction the “architects” of Mr. Duterte’s war on drugs. 

The measure by the group is a follow-up on a report conducted last year by Investigate PH, an independent human rights group that alleged patterns of systemic human rights violations including crimes against humanity by the government. 

Filipino lawyers have been calling on the International Criminal Court (ICC) to resume its probe of the government’s anti-illegal drug campaign, saying the Justice department was only looking into 52 deaths out of the tens of thousands killed. — John Victor D. Ordoñez 

Half of Philippines under Alert Level 1

PHILIPPINE STAR/ VICTOR MARTIN

MORE than half of the Philippines including the capital region would be kept under the most relaxed coronavirus alert level until the end of April, the presidential palace said on Wednesday. 

In a statement, presidential spokesman Jose Martin M. Andanar said 887 or 54% of 1,634 cities in the country would be under Alert Level 1 from April 16 to 30. 

The Philippines posted 1,906 new coronavirus infections from April 4 to 10, 29% lower than a week earlier, health authorities said this week. 

Health Undersecretary Maria Rosario S. Vergeire said on Tuesday said infections might have plateaued, with cases continuing to fall. 

The government had fully vaccinated 66.74 million people as of April 11, while 12.53 million people have received booster shots. 

Under the first alert level, all establishments and activities are allowed at full capacity. — KATA

Comelec deploys local absentee voting ballots 

SCREEN GRAB FROM @JABJIMENEZ
SCREEN GRAB FROM @JABJIMENEZ

THE COMMISSION on Elections (Comelec) on Wednesday started deploying local absentee ballots and other election materials for people who can’t vote on election day. 

“The Committee on Local Absentee Voting has commenced the deployment of local absentee ballots and other election paraphernalia to government agencies, Armed Forces of the Philippines, Philippine National Police, media entities and corporations,” it tweeted. 

Local absentee voting will be held from April 27 to 29.  

About 84,000 government workers, soldiers and journalists will be allowed to vote before the rest of Filipino voters because they will be working on May 9. — JVDO 

Rescue, clearing operations continue as over 42,000 displaced in storm Agaton’s aftermath 

SEARCH and rescue teams from the police regional office in Eastern Visayas prepare for deployment on April 13 in Leyte, one of the worst hit provinces by storm Agaton, with landslides and flooding reported in several areas.  — POLICE REGIONAL OFFICE 8

SEARCH and rescue operations continued on Wednesday in parts of east-central Philippines that were struck by landslides and flooding triggered by days of rains brought by storm Agaton, with international name Megi.  

In Eastern Visayas, the police regional office deployed more teams in Leyte, one of the most affected provinces where at least 21 people in one community died from a landslide.   

More than 40 people have been reported dead, based on the national disaster management agencys tally, but the official death toll is expected to go higher based on incoming reports from local authorities.  

Almost 581,000 people have been affected, including 42,354 who were displaced and mostly staying in 348 evacuation centers.   

Search and rescue efforts were focused in Baybay city, a mountainous area prone to landslides in the eastern Philippines, which has seen the majority of casualties so far, data from police and disaster agencies showed. Images on social media showed bodies, including those of children, being pulled from under thick mud during rescue operations.  

Meanwhile, survivors were still being evacuated from flooded areas, Philippine Coast Guard Spokesperson Armando A. Balilo told a public briefing on Wednesday. 

“Water systems here have been bogged down so our problem is drinking water,” Norberto Oja, a health officer in Baybay, told DZRH radio station. The city has also sought help from nearby areas to boost its healthcare capacity, he added.  

Baybay Mayor Jose Carlos Cari told DZMM radio station, “There’s aid like food and medicines but the problem is management in evacuation centers.”  

Mark Timbal, spokesperson of the national disaster agency, told DZRH radio station rescuers had to be cautious because it was still raining in some areas and the risk of landslides was still high.  

“The landslides reached far beyond the hazard area, up to relatively safer areas of the community,” he said.  

DAMAGE ON AGRI, INFRA
Meanwhile, the Department of Public Works and Highways (DPWH) on Wednesday said manpower and equipment resources remain on the ground and are continuously undertaking clearing operations.   

It said 29 road sections 13 in Western Visayas, 2 in Central Visayas, and 14 in Eastern Visayas were still closed to traffic as of 7:00 a.m. of Wednesday, mainly due to flooding, landslide, rockslide, and road cut, among others.  

Another 29 road sections including those in Calabarzon, three Visayas regions, Northern Mindanao, Davao, and Soccsksargen were reported to have limited access due to soil slope collapse, flooding, landslide, road slip, soil erosion, fallen trees/debris, sinking/damaged paved road, scouring of shoulder, settled foundation, and damaged bridge approach.  

Efforts are in full swing with men and machinery deployed at various points to clear roadblocks brought by tropical depression Agaton, specifically in the Visayas,DPWH Secretary Roger G. Mercado said.  

Assessment of the infrastructure damage cost in most regions were still ongoing, according to the department.   

For Region 13 or Caraga, the initial damage estimate stood at P145.390 million. 

Partial cost of damage is at P145.390 million (for Region 13 only); assessment still on-going in other affected areas,the DPWH said in a statement. 

In agriculture, crop damage estimate has risen to P423.8 million, according to the Department of Agriculture.  

Damage and losses have been reported in Western Visayas, Eastern Visayas and Caraga, affecting 6,557 farmers, with volume of production loss at 25,165 metric tons (MT) and 10,920 hectares of agricultural areas.  

Affected commodities include rice, corn, high value crops, and livestock.  

Rice is the most affected crop with damage amounting P403.5 million, affecting 10,729 hectares or 24,738 MT.  

This is followed by high-value crops, such as banana and cacao, at P17.1 million, corn at P3.2 million, and livestock and poultry at P5,000.  

The department said assessment of damage and losses in the agri-fisheries sector are ongoing.  

FAIR WEATHER 
Agaton, which developed into a tropical storm over the weekend, dissipated on Wednesday morning after days of moderate but almost continuous rains over central and southern parts of the country, according to state weather agency PAGASA.   

Improved weather conditions are expected across the country in the coming days, except for scattered rains and thunderstorms in eastern parts of the Visayas and northern parts of Mindanao.   

On Maundy Thursday, Good Friday, Black Saturday, and Easter Sunday (April 14 – 17), generally fair weather conditions apart from isolated passing rain showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon or evening,PAGASA said in a special weather bulletin as the mainly Catholic Philippines goes on holiday for the Holy Week. Marifi S. Jara, Arjay L. Balinbin, Luisa Maria Jacinta C. Jocson, and Reuters 

Senator asks DepEd to enhance primary curriculum on sex education, child rights

DEPED

A SENATOR on Wednesday called on the Department of Education (DepEd) to enhance the primary school curriculum on sex education and child rights in light of the recent passage of a law raising the age of sexual consent.  

Senator Sherwin T. Gatchalian, chair of the Senate Committee on Basic Education, Arts and Culture, said these issues should be taken up at the basic education level.  

Republic Act 11648 or the Act Raising the Age of Sexual Consent, signed into law in March, increased the age for determining statutory rape to below 16 from 12. This means those who engage in sexual activities with children below 16 years old are liable for committing statutory rape.  

Part of the role of schools is to teach young people about their rights and how to care for their health, so we must strengthen the capacity of schools, especially teachers and staff, to guide our students,Mr. Gatchalian, who is seeking reelection in May, said in a statement in Filipino.  

Citing a study by the Philippine Institute for Development Studies in March last year, he noted gaps in the implementation of the comprehensive sexuality education such as lack of qualified manpower, facilities, training, and instructional materials.  

The senator also noted the importance of children protection programs executed by specialized committees at the school level. Alyssa Nicole O. Tan

Lacson-Sotto tandem claims experience as lawmakers would make them ‘best executives’ 

PRESIDENTIAL aspirant Senator Panfilo “Ping” M. Lacson, Sr. and his running mate, Senate President Vicente C. Sotto III, on Wednesday said their experience as legislators would make them good implementers of the law if elected as the countrys top leaders.  

When it comes to the executive department, the problem is that some of the laws we created have implementing rules and regulations different from the spirit of the law,Mr. Sotto said in a statement in mixed English and Filipino.   

Thats why were saying, the ones who crafted the laws will be the best executives,he added.  

In their campaign sorties, the tandem has been prioritizing dialogues with local government officials and other stakeholders to hear what particular areas of governance need improvement.  

Mr. Lacson said they are taking particular note of innovative local public service programs that could be replicated on a national level.  

He cited as examples the program in Tuguegarao City wherein public services are brought directly to communities, and free franchise and vehicle registration for tricycle drivers and operators in some localities.  

These programs, the presidential aspirant said, motivated him to implement the Budget Reform Advocacy for Village Empowerment (BRAVE) policy further, where local governments will get a more equitable share of the national budget. Alyssa Nicole O. Tan

Romblon reelectionists, other candidates seek Comelec probe on alleged rampant vote buying

CANDIDATES (from left) Joey G. Venancio for congressman and Eduardo C. Firmalo for governor, with Provincial Board Member Jose M. Madrid who is seeking reelection, hold a press conference in Odiongan, Romblon to urge the poll body to probe alleged vote-buying activities by other candidates.  

CANDIDATES for local positions, including reelectionists, and the lone congressional seat in Romblon have called on the Commission on Elections (Comelec) to investigate what they called rampantvote buying in the province by incumbent officials aligned with presidential candidate Ferdinand BongbongR. Marcos, Jr.   

Its very alarming. Reports of vote buying has started in several towns of Romblon, as early as the first week of this month,Provincial Board Member Jose M. Madrid, who is seeking reelection under the Aksyon Demokratiko party, is quoted in a press release following a recent press conference held in the town of Odiongan.   

Mr. Madrid said incumbent officials under the party of presidential candidate Bongbong Marcoshave started making a list of voters who will be given cash gifts a day before the May 9 election.  

Its another style of vote buying this time since the reportedly ayuda, is a cash assistance under the governments social amelioration program and not from the provincial government,he said.  

Election Commission George Erwin M. Garcia declined to comment on the issue for now.   

“No comment/s po muna in the meantime,he told BusinessWorld via Viber.  

Jean Encinas-Franco, a political science professor at the University of the Philippines, said Comelec should immediately investigate the issue to preserve the credibility of the 2022 elections and to allay fears that the presidential race is highly favorable to Mr. Marcos. 

She said in a text message that the Comelec should probe the incident thoroughly and prove its independence given that it is now governed by people whose appointment papers were signed by President Rodrigo R. Duterte.  

“All the more that it should prove its independence.”  

Mr. Marcos’ spokesman, Victor D. Rodriguez, did not reply to a request for comment via Viber.   

The press briefing was attended by congressional candidate Joey G. Venancio, also running under Aksyon Demokratiko; Liberal Partys Eduardo C. Firmalo, a former governor who is aiming for the same position; and Vice Governor Felix F. Ylagan, who is seeking reelection under Aksyon Demokratiko.   

Mr. Firmalo said penalties against individuals engaged in vote buying, especially candidates themselves, should be strictly imposed. with reports from John Victor D. Ordoñez and Kyle Aristophere T. Atienza 

How China’s lockdowns are rippling through the economy 

REUTERS

CHINA’S lockdowns to contain the country’s worst COVID outbreak since early 2020 have battered the economy, stalling production in major technology and financial hubs like Shenzhen and Shanghai, and halting spending by millions of people shut in their homes.  

The restrictions are intended to eradicate any trace of the virus in the community, but they’ve also pressured everything from manufacturing and trade to inflation and food prices.  

Premier Li Keqiang has repeatedly warned of risks to economic growth, telling local authorities on Monday they should “add a sense of urgency” when implementing existing policies. The government is holding firm to its COVID Zero approach for now, a strategy economists say will push growth down to 5% this year, below the official target of around 5.5%. 

Here’s a deeper look at how the lockdowns are impacting critical sectors across the world’s second-largest economy.   

COMMODITIES HIT
China posted sluggish commodities imports in March, as elevated prices due to the war in Ukraine and tightening virus restrictions took their toll on demand.  

Natural gas purchases were worst affected, dropping below 8 million tons to their lowest level since October 2020. Crude and coal purchases were also running well behind last year’s schedule. 

China’s domestic metals fabricators are facing hurdles to transport raw materials and finished products, which have led to output cuts. Six out of twelve copper-rod plants in Shanghai’s neighboring provinces surveyed by Shanghai Metals Market earlier said they either have halted or plan to halt output. The researcher also predicted a rise in aluminum inventories. 

Meanwhile, Chinese buyers have slashed liquefied natural gas purchases in the world’s biggest LNG importer as prices soar and domestic demand stalls. Imports in the first quarter fell 14% from the same period last year, according to shipping data, and private companies are spurning offers to use once-highly coveted slots at state-owned receiving terminals. 

Shanghai’s city-wide lockdown has created congestion at the world’s largest port, with queues of vessels building there and at other stops handling diverted shipments. The number of container ships waiting off Shanghai as of April 11 was 15% higher than a month earlier, according to Bloomberg shipping data.  

A shortage of port workers in Shanghai is slowing the delivery of documentation needed for ships to unload cargoes, according to ship owners and traders. Meanwhile, vessels carrying metals like copper and iron ore are left stranded offshore as trucks are unable to send goods from the port to processing mills, they said. 

Data on Wednesday also showed the lockdowns having a notable impact on imports, which fell 0.1% on year in March, the first contraction since August 2020.  

MANUFACTURING WOES
China’s purchasing managers surveys show manufacturing contracted in March, with small and medium-sized firms particularly shaken by operational snags. The Caixin index, based on surveys of smaller, export-oriented businesses, dropped to its worst level since the start of the pandemic two years ago.  

Some large manufacturing firms have been able to keep operations going by adopting a so-called closed loop system, in which employees were kept at factory locations and tested regularly. However, those protocols aren’t perfect: One member of a European Union trade group said last week that work can be “very, very difficult,” even with permission to operate amid restrictions. 

Some technology companies have suspended production as China’s restrictive policies weigh on a sector already contending with a shortage of components. 

Most major tech manufacturers — from Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp. to Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. and iPhone maker Foxconn Technology Group — froze operations in the early days of Shanghai’s outbreak. Many have since resumed after setting up closed-loop systems.  

Logistics jams are constricting shipments of components, draining inventories to the point where some manufacturers including Pegatron, Wistron Corp. and Compal Electronics Inc. are down to just a few weeks’ stocks, consultancy Trendforce estimates. The ongoing global supply crunch could worsen if local manufacturing is disrupted, constraining stock of computers and gaming consoles to smartphones, servers and electric vehicles.  

AUTOMOTIVE PAIN
Overall passenger vehicle sales slid 10.9% last month, suggesting pressure in the massive car market.  

Some automakers are hitting production snags because of lockdowns. Tesla, Inc.’s Shanghai factory has been shut down since March 28 because of restrictions in the city. The plant typically produces more than 2,000 cars every day, according to an estimate earlier this month from Dan Ives, an analyst at Wedbush Securities, Inc.  

Volkswagen AG was also forced to suspend production in Shanghai this month, while Chinese EV upstart Nio, Inc. said Saturday it halted production and delayed deliveries because many suppliers had to close shop.  

Auto parts maker Robert Bosch GmbH said Monday it shuttered two of its factories in China and operated closed-loop systems at two others, adding that it was seeing “temporary effects on logistics and supply chain sourcing.” 

CONSTRUCTION SNAGS
Domestic sales of excavators — a leading indicator for construction — plunged almost 64% in March from a year ago, indicating strain in the sector. 

China’s home sales slump also deepened last month: The 100 biggest companies in the debt-ridden property industry saw a 53% drop in sales from a year earlier, according to preliminary data from China Real Estate Information Corp. The decline was the steepest this year. 

Steel rebar inventory in China suggests construction activity “may have shifted to a lower gear,” according to analysis published last week by David Qu, an economist covering China for Bloomberg Economics. 

INFLATION RISKS
The lockdowns have driven up food costs and may endanger the nation’s ability to secure enough grains for the year as the curbs complicate China’s important spring planting season.  

Fresh vegetable prices jumped 17.2% on year in March, compared to a drop of 0.1% in February, data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed this week. Chinese farmers in some parts of the northeast, which produces more than a fifth of China’s national grain output, have had to contend with restrictions that prevent them from plowing their fields and sowing seeds. — Bloomberg

Economic risk trend for PHL banks revised to ‘stable’ amid eased restrictions

S&P GLOBAL RATINGS has revised its economic risk trend for Philippine banks to “stable” from “negative” as the easing of mobility restrictions could help improve lenders’ asset quality. 

“We have revised our economic risk trend for the Philippines to stable from negative. Philippines’ ratio of restructured loans is significantly lower than that of regional peers such as Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand,” it said in a report. 

The debt watcher in a note on Tuesday said the industry’s nonperforming loan (NPL) ratio has likely already peaked and is set for a gradual decline. It said the economy’s rebound and write-offs could help improve asset quality. 

“[However,] some slippage is possible from the restructured pool, especially from the services sector and from stretched consumers. We believe Philippine banks are well placed to absorb this residual stress given their improved capitalization and adequate provisioning coverage,” S&P said. 

Central bank data showed banks’ NPL ratio hit a three-month high of 4.24% in February. Soured loans rose by 2.38% to P472.664 billion from a year earlier. 

The industry’s NPL ratio reached a 13-year high of 4.51% in July and August 2021, still well below the 17.6% seen in the aftermath of the Asian Financial Crisis in 2002. 

The banking sector is seen to benefit from the gradual easing of mobility restrictions amid declining coronavirus cases, the debt watcher said. 

However, potential outbreaks remain a risk given uncertainties regarding the severity of its impact, it added. 

“A reimposition of strict mobility curbs will hurt businesses and consumers, resulting in further asset quality pain for the banking sector,” S&P said. 

Metro Manila and some provinces were under Alert Level 3 in January to curb the Omicron surge that followed the holiday season. Restrictions were gradually eased and most areas in the country are now under the most relaxed Alert Level 1. 

However, officials are monitoring another transmissible variant of the virus called Omicron XE, which has already been detected in some parts of Asia like Thailand and India.  

Based on S&P’s assessment, as for economic risks, the Philippine banking industry sees very high risk in terms of economic resilience and low risk of economic imbalances. Credit risks in the economy also pose a high risk to the sector. 

Meanwhile, for industry risks, there is high risk for institutional framework but low when it comes to competitive dynamics and system-wide funding. 

Net earnings of Philippine banks climbed by 44% to P223.66 billion in 2021 from a year earlier, based on central bank data. It was driven by a decline in lenders’ loan loss provisioning as the economy rebounded. — Luz Wendy T. Noble