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Home sales in Singapore drop on ‘Hungry Ghost’ month

SINGAPORE — Singapore home sales fell in September as developers marketed fewer projects in a month considered inauspicious by Chinese homebuyers.

Developers sold 657 units last month, down from a revised 1,246 in August, according to Urban Redevelopment Authority data released Monday. That’s the lowest sales since January. A total of 73 new units were offered, down from 794 in August, the data showed.

The seventh month of the lunar calendar year, known as the Hungry Ghost Month, is a time homebuyers avoid property purchases. This year, that period lasted for the latter part of August and most of September.

Despite a slow month, Singapore’s property market is showing signs of a turnaround. Home prices rose for the first time in four years, snapping a record run of declines and confirming recent signs that the property market is rebounding. An index tracking private residential prices gained 0.5% in the three months ended Sept. 30 from the previous quarter, according to preliminary data from the Urban Redevelopment Authority released Oct. 2.

Developers have sold about 9,000 units this year, eclipsing the full-year totals for 2014 to 2016. Still, the bulk of Singapore’s cooling measures rolled out since 2009 remain in place. Before the latest data, a 15-quarter decline in prices was the longest since the residential index was first published in 1975.

Developers launched new units in some older projects last month. Stars of Kovan marketed 25 new units last month while Sims Urban Oasis launched 20 units, the data showed. — Bloomberg

Happy Death Day tops box office

WASHINGTON – Comedy horror slasher Happy Death Day had an excuse to celebrate this weekend as it stormed straight to the top of the North American box office, industry estimates showed Sunday.

With takings of $26.5 million according to Exhibitor Relations, it comfortably knocked last week’s leader, the long-awaited Blade Runner sequel, into second place. The film follows a college student who repeatedly relives the day she was murdered until she discovers who killed her.

Blade Runner: 2049 continued what has been seen as a disappointing run – halving last weekend’s earnings with takings of $15.1 million.

In at third was STX Entertainment’s The Foreigner, starring Jackie Chan as a man who seeks revenge after his daughter is killed in a terrorist attack. The action thriller took a modest $12.8 million.

Horror sensation It slipped into fourth in its sixth week in theaters, with takings dropping by over a third from last weekend to $6 million (total earnings $314.9 million). After spending its first weekend in second place, Fox’s The Mountain Between Us, starring Idris Elba and Kate Winslet, fell to fifth, taking $5.6 million.

Rounding out the top 10 were: American Made ($5.4 million); Kingsman: The Golden Circle ($5.3 million); The Lego Ninjago Movie ($4.3 million); My Little Pony: The Movie ($4 million); and Victoria and Abdul ($3.1 million). – AFP

MacroAsia, PTC Holdings to set up aviation school via joint venture

MACROASIA Corp. and PTC Holdings, Corp. are set to establish an aviation school scheduled to open next year.

The Lucio Tan-owned company and the crew management firm had an initial investment of $3 million for the joint venture to establish First Aviation Academy, Inc., which will be based in Subic International Airport. MacroAsia has a 51% share in the venture, while PTC has 49%.

The joint venture is seen to expand the aviation services of MacroAsia. Mr. Chua previously said the company will be focusing on its aviation-related businesses instead of growing other businesses like its mining unit, MacroAsia Mining Corp.

MacroAsia said they expect to produce more than 300 pilots and achieve about $17 million in cumulative revenue for the first five years of its operations.

MacroAsia President and COO Joseph T. Chua said that they target to provide aviation manpower to foreign airlines, as well as Philippine Airlines (PAL), which is also owned by Mr. Tan.

“We can provide substantial savings to PAL,” MacroAsia President and COO Joseph T. Chua told reporters.

Mr. Chua said that they plan to supply graduates from the school to foreign-owned airlines first, and eventually, to PAL.

PTC CEO Gerardo A. Borromeo said PTC is adapting to current industry needs regarding aviation human resources. “We need a lot of people,” Mr. Borromeo told BusinessWorld during the event. However, aside from the numbers, Mr. Borromeo said that PTC has training geared towards management capabilities of aviation professionals, particularly pilots, who are expected not only to know the technicalities of flying but knowing how to handle various situations that may arise in the aircraft.

Mr. Borromeo added that existing training by PTC for mechanics and flight attendants, “will be combined” with the aviation services of MacroAsia, such as ground handling.

MacroAsia partnered with PTC for the experience of the latter in crew management. PTC Group, the parent company of the PTC Holdings, now has a chain of diversified services, which include chartering, logistics and freight forwarding, and fuel distribution and renewable energy development. The company is known for its crew management and maritime services.

MacroAsia recorded a net income of P372.24 million for the second quarter. — Patrizia Paola C. Marcelo

Clinton accuses WikiLeaks of blunting impact of Trump tape

SYDNEY — Hillary R. Clinton Monday accused WikiLeaks of working with Russia to deflect attention away from an infamous tape of Donald J. Trump bragging about groping women in the run-up to the US presidential election.

The former secretary of state’s devastating election loss to Mr. Trump remains raw and she again lashed out at WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange and his alleged role in damaging her candidacy.

“Assange has become a kind of nihilistic opportunist who does the bidding of a dictator,” she said in an interview with the Australian Broadcasting Corporation, referring to Russian President Vladimir Putin.

“WikiLeaks is unfortunately now practically a fully-owned subsidiary of Russian intelligence.”

The US intelligence community concluded Mr. Putin ordered an influence campaign to discredit Ms. Clinton and had a “clear preference” for Mr. Trump in last year’s poll.

Ms. Clinton used the bombshell Trump tape as an example of how WikiLeaks allegedly tried to deflect attention away from a bad news story, resurrecting the incident in the wake of Hollywood mogul Harvey Weinstein’s fall from grace over his treatment of women.

In the 2005 videotape, which surfaced in October last year, Mr. Trump brags about being able to get away with groping women.

“When you’re a star, they let you do it,” he said. “Grab them by the pussy. You can do anything,” Mr. Trump added.

Mr. Trump said the comments were “locker-room banter.” Several women subsequently accused him of sexual misconduct, which he denounced as lies.

Within hours of the tape emerging, WikiLeaks published more than 2,000 hacked e-mails from the personal account of Ms. Clinton’s campaign chair John Podesta, which she said blunted its impact.

“WikiLeaks, which in the world in which we find ourselves promised hidden information, promised some kind of secret that might be of influence, was a very clever, diabolical response to the Hollywood Access tape,” she said, referring to the Trump recording.

“And I’ve no doubt in my mind that there was some communication if not coordination to drop those the first time in response to the Hollywood Access tape.”

Reacting on Twitter, Mr. Assange attacked Ms. Clinton as “creepy.”

“There’s something wrong with Hillary Clinton. It is not just her constant lying. It is not just that she throws off menacing glares and seethes thwarted entitlement,” the Australian tweeted with a link to the ABC interview.

“Watch closely. Something much darker rides along with it. A cold creepiness rarely seen.”

Ms. Clinton claimed WikiLeaks’ actions were motivated by Mr. Assange’s personal dislike of her.

“I had a lot of history with him because I was secretary of state when WikiLeaks published a lot of very sensitive information from our State Department and our Defense Department,” she said.

“If he’s such a martyr of free speech, why doesn’t WikiLeaks ever publish anything coming out of Russia? You don’t see damaging, negative information coming out about the Kremlin on WikiLeaks,” Ms. Clinton added.

Mr. Assange, who has spent five years inside the Ecuador embassy in London to avoid extradition to Sweden on sexual assault charges, has denied Russia was the source behind the leaked documents. — AFP

Businesses get green light to tap CAFGUs for security

THE BUSINESS sector, particularly banana companies, has been given the go signal by the military to tap the Citizen Armed Force Geographical Units (CAFGU) to help guard their facilities. Lt. Gen. Rey Leonardo B. Guerrero, commander of the Eastern Mindanao Command, said members of the paramilitary unit are ready to enhance the security forces of companies in areas threatened by communist rebels. “CAFGUs will communicate with the stakeholders in the area,” Mr. Guerrero said last week following a proposed agreement between the Department of National Defense and the banana companies, which continue to be the target of extortion and violent attacks by the New People’s Army (NPA). Based on the military’s estimate, the NPA has collected some P1.3 billion from businesses in the Davao Region this year. Mr. Guerrero, who spoke on behalf of Defense Secretary Delfin N. Lorenzana during the banana congress last week, also said the military will intensify its support to the companies by ensuring peace and order in their areas. Other parts of Mindanao where extortion activities are rampant are in Surigao del Sur, South Cotabato, Compostela Valley, Sarangani, and Davao City. — Carmelito Q. Francisco

Dispelling some of the Philippines’ FDI fears

By Euben C. Paracuelles

FOREIGN direct investment (FDI) has received increased attention from locals in recent days after Senator Franklin Drilon from the opposition highlighted a “very alarming” drop in FDI this year as a “serious concern (ABS-CBN News).” He cited that the equity capital component of FDI fell by 90.3% year on year in 1st half of 2017.

We think this represents only part of the FDI picture and thus may be misleading. Overall FDI inflows fell by a much smaller 14% year on year in 1st half of 2017. In addition, year-on-year FDI data are distorted by a large base effect from the foreign purchase of a large stake in a local bank last year, which led to a surge in inflows of about $2 billion in April 2016.

After stripping out this base effect, we estimate total FDI inflows are up about 65% year on year in 1st half of 2017.

Given the chunky nature of FDIs, we prefer to gauge underlying trends by looking at FDI levels on a 12-month rolling sum basis, which are still clearly showing a pickup despite the political transition.

The latest release from the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) also shows that, for July, equity capital already rose sharply to $131 million from the monthly average of $23 million in 1st half. This is likely to pick up further in the near term due to two large impending acquisitions. One is for a stake in an energy company ($1.3 billion) (Reuters) and the other is a buyout of a tobacco operator ($1 billion) (Rappler).

Moreover, debt instruments have been the bigger driver of FDI over the last few years. Although some investors argue that this category of FDI does not represent actual foreign exchange flows (which may be why Drilon excluded these data), it is defined as “lending by parent companies abroad to their local affiliates to fund existing operations and business expansion,” which is consistent with international standards and alleviates these concerns. (The other component that’s growing on a year-on-year basis is retained earnings. However, on a trend basis, this has also been very stable.)

Importantly, in the longer term, we think equity FDI is set to pick up given rising potential growth and more FDI-friendly reforms.

Following the 2014 liberalization of the banking sector, ten new foreign entrants are already operating in the country and, as we understand it, there are eight more in the pipeline.

Other reforms such as the shortening of the negative investment list and the roll-out of some foreign-funded infrastructure projects are also likely to be implemented.

We are watching political risks, particularly from a further decline in President Duterte’s popularity, as these could have implications on the execution of reforms.

However, our view of a positive growth outlook remains. We believe this bodes well for underlying FDI prospects, even if monthly volatility in the data continues.

 

Euben C. Paracuelles is the ASEAN economist of Nomura.

ASEAN single-window platform TradeNet seen launching by Dec.

THE Department of Finance (DoF) is set to roll out its trade facilitation platform to the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) Single Window (ASW) by December this year, starting with the most-traded commodities.

Finance Undersecretary and Chief Economist Gil S. Beltran said that the program, called TradeNet, will perform the functions of the country’s National Single Window (NSW), allowing traders to use the system to apply for import and export permits for shipments, in a single agency.

He said that the program will initially be applicable to imports, or exports of rice,  sugar, used motor vehicles, chemicals (toluene), frozen meat, medicine (for humans, animals or fish) and cured tobacco.

“The initial deployment will allow traders to use the system for the first seven commodities that represent 50% of the total trade volume of the Philippines,” Mr. Beltran was quoted as saying in a statement from the DoF yesterday.

The NSW, which  will eventually be interconnected by December to the ASEAN Single Window, is a regional initiative that aims to speed up cargo clearances and promote economic integration by enabling the electronic exchange of border documents among the organization’s 10 member-states.

According to Mr. Beltran, there are at least 16 agencies involved in the processing of permits for the trade of the said commodities.

These include the  Bureau of Animal Industry (BAI), National Tobacco Administration (NTA), Fair Trade and Enforcement Bureau (FTEB), National Food Authority (NFA), Bureau of Plant Industry (BPI), Food and Drugs Administration (FDA), National Meat Inspection Service (NMIS), Bureau of Internal Revenue (BIR) and Bureau of Customs (BoC).

Other goods will be “progressively placed,” in TradeNet in coordination with other government agencies.

The program aims to shorten the processing time of import/export clearances, reduce the number of transactions and required documents to be submitted, and remove red tape that has plagued businesses and citizens dealing with the government.

On top of facilitating trade, the program will “heighten transparency in customs procedures and improve revenue collection.”

“The steering committee handles the NSW and aims at facilitating trade transactions. We want, as much as possible, to reduce processing time, cut transaction costs and enhance competitiveness. The NSW is one of the most important reforms in government,” said Mr. Beltran, who also chairs the NSW panel.

“We are all performing important functions that will impact our [country’s] capability to generate investments. This is the reason why NSW was created,” he added.

In 2015, the country committed to join the ASW by the second quarter of 2016; but the BoC canceled the initial bidding process that year, claiming there were other data systems that are more cost-effective.

Of the 10 ASEAN member states, only Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, and Thailand have successfully integrated into the ASW. — Elijah Joseph C. Tubayan

Fed sees more rate hikes

BOSTON — The Federal Reserve will probably need to raise interest rates in December and then three of four times “over the course of next year,” assuming the US unemployment rate continues to fall and inflation rises, Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren said.

If inflation reaches the Fed’s goal while the unemployment rate, now at a 16-year low of 4.2%, is below 4% that may be a signal that the economy could be overheating, Rosengren suggested in an interview.

To stabilize inflation at 2%, Rosengren said, “you might have to overshoot” by pushing rates higher than the level expected in a healthy economy. In September, Fed officials estimated that so-called neutral rate to be 2.8%.

The comments mark Rosengren, who does not vote on policy this year, as slightly more hawkish than most of his colleagues.

The Fed left rates unchanged last month, but signaled it would likely raise them again in December, and three more times next year.

Still, Rosengren’s view lags the faster rate-hike path signaled by many monetary policy rules, including one authored and championed by Stanford University professor John Taylor.

Rosengren spoke at an interview on Saturday at the close of a two-day conference on monetary policy rules, during which Taylor gave a formal presentation.

Taylor, among several candidates being considered by President Donald Trump to run the US central bank after Fed Chair Janet Yellen’s term ends in February, has long argued that the Fed has kept rates too low for too long because of the risk of unwanted inflationary pressures.

Taylor also embraces legislation, now under consideration by the US Congress, that would require the Fed to follow a monetary policy rule like his when setting policy. That is a requirement resisted by many Fed officials, including Yellen and Rosengren, who said at the conference that legislating a monetary policy rule would be “counterproductive.”

Still, asked how he would feel if the next Fed chair wanted to enshrine a rule that suggests a faster pace of rate hikes into law, Rosengren sounded unbothered.

“My hope would be that they were flexible and pragmatic enough that if the rule wasn’t working particularly well that they would make adjustments,” he said. — Reuters

Overseas Filipinos’ cash remittances

REMITTANCES hit a five-month high in August, according to data the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) released yesterday, shoring up expectations that household consumption continued to be a key driver of economic growth last quarter. Read the full story.

Is your company ready for tax reform?

Tax reform has been in the headlines lately. After almost two decades, we are about to see more concrete action towards the much-awaited comprehensive reform of the 1997 National Internal Revenue Code.

While the two versions of tax reform are still being debated, as there are a number of differences between the version of the House of Representatives and the version of the Senate, companies are already wondering how tax reform will particularly impact their businesses. So many businesses, so many industries, and we can only surmise that there could be numerous implications that will be created by the tax reform — and we are only at the Package One, of five packages, of the proposed comprehensive tax reform program. Nonetheless, here are some of the implications.

ON EMPLOYEE COMPENSATION
The most popular among the provisions in the proposed tax reform bills is the income tax table. Using the current tax table, an employee earning taxable income of P600,000 per year (or P50,000 per month) falls under the maximum tax rate of 32%. Under the proposed new income tax table (both at the House and Senate), the amount of P600,000 per year falls under the bracket of 25%, two income tax brackets below the maximum tax rate. This would allow the companies to evaluate the salary structure of employees (either for new hires or for giving a salary raise) in computing their intended take-home pay, by carefully considering the borderlines defined by the income tax brackets. The evaluation becomes more meaningful if the calculation considers the allowed non-taxable de minimis benefits for the employees.  The difference might not be that material to the companies, but to a hardworking employee, every penny counts.

For fringe benefits tax (FBT), under the present rules, the monetary value of the benefits given to a supervisory or a managerial level employee is taxed by dividing the monetary value by 68% and then by multiplying the grossed-up monetary value by 32%. Thus, for a P100,000 monetary value of fringe benefits granted by an employer, the latter should pay and remit tax worth P47,059. Under the proposed rule by the House (up to the taxable year 2019), the FBT shall be computed by using 70%-30% (instead of 68%-32%). Thus, for a P100,000 monetary value, the FBT to be paid will be reduced to P42,857. This difference could be magnified depending on the total actual monetary value of fringe benefits granted by the companies and depending on the number of affected supervisory/managerial employees. Thus, certain compensation planning can also be done by an employer specific for its supervisory/managerial employees.

TRANSPORTATION EXPENSES AND PRICES OF GOODS
Also covered in a long debate is the proposed imposition/increase in excise tax on automobiles and on oils and fuels.  The increase in excise tax on transportation would lead to a domino effect, increasing your company’s transportation expenses; this increment would, in turn, result in your company passing the burden to the ultimate consumers in terms of raising the prices of goods for sale. If your company is in trading/manufacturing, the purchase of materials/goods at a higher cost would normally result in a higher product price for consumers.

Considering the above, your company might want to assess alternative measures to cut costs on other expenditures to keep your product price competitive.

Needless to say, those in the automobile industry are the ones most affected by the excise tax, and this should be considered when formulating a business strategy or business model to cope with the changing tax environment. Nevertheless, innovation could be a positive consequence.

ON DIVIDENDS TO BE DECLARED TO INDIVIDUAL STOCKHOLDERS
At present, the final tax to be withheld by corporations on dividends to a Filipino citizen or to a resident alien individual is 10%. Under the proposed Senate bill, the rate will be increased to 20%. Thus, subject to when the proposal will be finalized into a law, corporations might be thinking about the timing of declaring dividends, or on converting its retained earnings to additional equity or to certain valid business appropriations, which are all dependent on the corporation’s business objectives.

ON SELLING DOMESTIC EQUITY INVESTMENTS
With regard to the sale of investments in domestic stock, if these are not listed or not traded in the Philippine Stock Exchange, the sale of these by a company not engaged in the ordinary course of trading/dealing investments is subject to 5%/10% tax.  This is the current rule. A 5% rate is imposed on the first P100,000 gain, while the 10% rate is imposed on the excess of the P100,000 gain.

Under the proposed Senate bill, the 5%/10% rate will be increased to 20%. Hence, the tax impact on gain would double in selling investments in domestic stocks that are not listed or not traded in the Philippine Stock Exchange. Would this lead to investing and trading in listed domestic shares instead? Well, we are all on the lookout on whether there will also be an increase in the tax rate on trading listed domestic shares.

The above discussion merely presents a basic analysis, and more comprehensive ones can be done depending on the specific business operations of your company. Let us also be cautious in case more changes are introduced to the proposed tax reform bills. The prudent course of action for your company would be to keep abreast of the tax reform developments and to be proactive in evaluating the possible impact of these developments on your company’s business. Is your company ready for tax reform?

Olivier D. Aznar is a partner with the Tax Advisory and Compliance division of P&A Grant Thornton.

Filling Spaces (10/17/17)

Greener Filinvest City

Filinvest City said it is pursuing a “more stringent” certification under the so-called LEED rating system or the Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design.

There are “only two other developments in the world — in Japan and Italy” that have the LEED’s Neighborhood Development (ND)-Plan certification, it said in a statement.

Filinvest City said it is bullish in securing that “coveted recognition” as it embarked on a “transformation” that included among others the Spectrum Midway Linear Park, a foliage-canopied walkway that cuts through the north and south ends of the Alabang business district.

“Already in place as well is a thriving bird habitat, a living creek, a bike trail, and tree-canopied road networks,” read the statement.

“In the LEED ND rating system, the major prerequisites and credits considered are categorized as Smart Location and Linkage, which considers transit accessibility, ecosystems and open spaces, and jobs and housing proximity; Neighborhood Pattern and Design which looks into walkable streets, neighborhood connections, parking and transportation demand, among others.”

Filinvest said it “deliberately takes all these into account.”

Microtel’s energy savings

Microtel by Wyndham said it has so far saved P2.3 million in power costs after signing up for a program by the Manila Electric Co. (Meralco).

In a statement, the no-frills hotel brand said the program allowed it to “keep operating costs low, room rates affordable, and service efficient.”

Meralco’s “Peak/Off-Peak Program” provides competitive rates to businesses whose energy demand falls during off-peak hours.

For hotel chains, “the crucial hours are actually at nighttime,” according to the statement.

Microtel by Wyndham is an international chain of over 300 hotels throughout the US, Canada, Mexico and the Philippines, according to the company’s Web site. It has 13 properties in the Philippines, with the first three ones built in Tarlac, Batangas and Cavite.

Bristol turnover

Upscale property brand Filigree said its Bristol at Parkway Place will start turning over units in the first quarter of next year.

The 40-storey condominium is located within Filinvest City in Alabang and is the second installment of the master-planned upscale high-rise residential complex called Parkway Place.

“Set to start turn over in the first quarter of 2018, it is no doubt that Bristol at Parkway Place by Filigree will soon join the ranks of the most iconic symbols of luxury living,” a statement read.

Unit sizes range from 53 square meters to 168 square meters, some of them having balconies that offer views of the city skyline stretching to Laguna de Bay.

How PSEi member stocks performed — October 13, 2017

Here’s a quick glance at how PSEi stocks fared on Friday, October 13, 2017.