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Exporters support clusters to raise manufacturing competitiveness

EXPORTERS have expressed their support for the clustering of shipping and manufacturing hubs to lower logistics costs and make exports more competitive.
“The Philippines should follow the success of other countries in developing strong export clusters centered near hub seaports in a bid to become a major exporting nation,” the Philippine Exporters Confederation, Inc. said in a statement over the weekend.
The group was citing one of the three policy briefs published by The Arangkada Philippines Project (TAPP) of the Joint Foreign Chamber of Commerce in the Philippines (JFC).
“A powerful way to drive productivity is for regional governments to work with their private sectors to promote cluster formation by strengthening and building upon existing or emerging clusters, where competitive advantage and product or service differentiation already exists,” according to the recommendation made by the JFC.
The policy brief described clusters as “geographic concentrations of interconnected companies and institutions in a particular field.”
“Clusters encompass an array of linked industries and other entities important to competition. They include, for example, suppliers of specialized inputs such as components, machinery, and services, and providers of specialized infrastructure,” it added.
The recommendation, drawn up in the policy brief on Philippine seaports and shipping, cited as an example of a potential cluster in the country the shipbuilding and ship repair industry based in Subic.
The paper noted that Clark-Subic-Tarlac-Pampanga-Zambales region has other potential clusters, such as mango production in Zambales, which could develop into a robust trading hub, bringing more frequent ship visits to the area.
Aside from the Clark-Tarlac-Subic Corridor, the paper cited other ports and airports where the country could build strategic regional clusters — Batangas for food processing and manufacturing hubs; Coron and Aklan for tourism aside from food and fisheries; Davao for banana and pineapple production among others.
It said the PHIVIDEC industrial estate in Cagayan de Oro can house food processing and cold storage facilities.
Leyte can serve a cluster for coconut farming.
Sarangani and General Santos, meanwhile, can serve as a fisheries cluster.
The report also noted that Cebu can serve as a cluster for the furniture industry with the potential for manufacturers to consolidate in a planned area near a modern port.
“Airport, port, and logistics infrastructure in various regional cluster areas should be developed to address the needs of each kind of good and trade traffic,” it said.
“The cluster by its nature must aim to scale up, to lower costs, produce larger volumes, attract larger ships, and lower costs to become competitive in global markets.”
The paper also stressed the need to offer incentives, including fiscal ones, which will attract domestic and foreign exporters to locate in the clusters.
It added that the country can look to Thailand which has established a successful model of industrial clustering.
“The quality of port infrastructure, port efficiency, and hub port connectivity to feeder ports need considerable improvement. The cost to export should be more competitive and excessive fees imposed by foreign shippers should be regulated,” it noted.
“Increasing global trade presents immense opportunity for Philippine ports to scale up to become more significant in intra-regional trade. Intra-Asia trade is growing strongly and becoming more important than TransPacific and Asia-Europe shipping,” it added. — Janina C. Lim

Poverty database bill hurdles House committees

A SUBSTITUTE bill establishing a data collection system for welfare beneficiaries, has been approved by two committees at the House of Representatives.
Seal of the Philippine House of Representatives
House Bill (HB) 8217, or the Consolidated Poverty Data Collection (CPDC) System Act will set up the data collection effort at local government unit (LGU) level. The bill said the database is an “economic and social tool towards the formulation and implementation of poverty alleviation and development programs.”
The bill names the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) as the lead implementing agency, in coordination with the Department of Information and Communications Technology and the Department of Interior and Local Government.
LGUs will serve as the primary data collectors, which will require the deployment of additional PSA statisticians at the provincial level.
Data collected by LGUs is to be transmitted to the PSA, which will compile them in a national CPDC System databank. LGUs may maintain their own CPDC database for planning and program implementation at the local level.
The bill has also provided measures to protect the privacy of participants and requires voluntary participation by individuals.
It provides for financial assistance to low-income LGUs.
“Fourth, fifth, and sixth class LGUs shall be given assistance in the first three years of implementation of the act,” according to the bill.
The bill consolidates HBs 4700 and 5588, and was reported out by the Committees on Poverty Alleviation and Appropriations to the Rules Committee. — Charmaine A. Tadalan

PCCI backs Davao City as gateway for Mindanao

TAGUM CITY, DAVAO DEL NORTE — The Philippine Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Inc. (PCCI) has endorsed Davao City as the main international gateway for Mindanao and called for the development of a bigger airport.
On the sidelines of the Mindanao Business Conference here last week, Samie C. Lim, PCCI vice president for retail and tourism, said it is important to have an identified hub for Mindanao to serve as an anchor in the promotion of tourism.
“What must be done is for Mindanao to have a single international gateway, not each city vying to have one because, if that is the case, the government budget will be split,” Mr. Lim said.
The Francisco Bangoy International Airport, also called Davao International Airport (DIA), has been lined up for development since the previous administration, but the planned auction for a public-private partnership project has been put on hold.
The Duterte administration previously announced that it is looking at funding the project through treasury funds.
With DIA having limited space for expansion, there have been discussions at the regional level for the development of a new airport. Among the sites floated were Samal Island and Tagum City.
Mr. Lim said with Davao City already established as Davao Region’s commercial center, both the business sector and the government should work together in identifying a property for a bigger airport facility.
He acknowledged that identifying the site and the planning would take a “very long process,” and said it should be started soon.
Mr. Lim added that it does not “have to be government (that finances it) as there are private companies willing to do it.”
“There are companies that cannot bag projects in Metro Manila and that these companies, which are awash with money, can be invited to invest here,” he said.
At the same time, the PCCI official said infrastructure for “seamless connectivity” between the city and other Mindanao destinations must be developed, along with other tourism facilities, attractions, activities such as festivals, and even medical services.
Mr. Lim said the PCCI is currently working on raising $20 million that will be invested particularly for tourism projects in 20 destinations around the country, including the cities of Tagum and Davao.
The business sector, through the Davao City Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Inc., has also been pushing for the development of a bigger airport as well as the creation of a management agency that will be independent from the Civil Aviation Authority of the Philippines. — Carmelito Q. Francisco

Bill filed to exempt OFW dependents from travel tax

A BILL exempting the dependents of Overseas Filipino Workers from paying travel tax has been filed at the House of Representatives.
House Bill 8196, introduced by Bulacan Rep. Jose Antonio R. Sy-Alvarado, will cover dependents of either married or solo parents working overseas.
Passengers leaving the country are charged P1,620 travel tax for economy and business class seats, regardless of the place where the air ticket was issued, as provided in Presidential Decree 1183. The rate increases to P2,700 for first class tickets.
At present, migrant workers are exempted from paying travel tax, documentary stamp tax and airport fees.
If enacted, the bill will change Section 35 of the Migrant Workers and Overseas Filipinos Act of 1995, as amended, by including in the exemption the dependents of OFWs.
Mr. Sy-Alvarado filed the measure in consideration of the economic contributions of OFWs.
“The total remittances of our beloved overseas workers amount to billions of dollars which in return contributes to a positive impact on the country’s earnings and foreign exchange rate,” he said in the explanatory note.
The bill intends to “alleviate their sacrifices to their respective families and recognize their valuable role,” he added.
The proposed bill is pending at the House Committee on Overseas Affairs with a related measure House Bill 6138, authored by Davao del Norte Rep. Pantaleon D. Alvarez and Ilocos Norte Rep. Rodolfo C. Fariñas. — Charmaine A. Tadalan

Government cash utilization improves to 86% in August

CASH utilization by government agencies improved to 86% in August from 78% in July, the Department of Budget and Management (DBM) said.
Cash use by national government agencies, local government units (LGUs), and state-owned corporations declined from 91% a year earlier.
Utilization is measured via the Notice of Cash Allocation, a disbursement authority issued by the DBM, allowing agencies to withdraw funds from the Bureau of the Treasury to pay for contracted projects.
The NCA balances are usable until the end of each quarter, when they lapse.
The government spent P1.81 trillion of the P2.12 trillion budget in the eight months to August, leaving a balance of P304.83 billion.
In August, about P217.71 billion was disbursed, in part tapping the previous month’s balances. Only P82.85 billion was released in July.
National government departments had an average NCA usage ratio of 84% in August.
Other executive offices such as the Anti-Money Laundering Council, Commission on Higher Education, and the Housing and Land Use Regulatory Board, among others, had the lowest utilization rates, averaging 43%.
This was followed by the National Economic and Development Agency and the Department of Energy with 54% and 69% NCA usage rates, respectively.
Budgetary support funds for Government Owned and Controlled Corporations had an 89% usage rate, while local government units used 91% of the NCA releases. — Elijah Joseph C. Tubayan

Gov’t borrowing rises sharply in July amid foreign loan inflows

GOVERNMENT borrowing surged in July amid inflows of foreign funds for new program loans, according to Bureau of the Treasury (BTr) data.
National government loans totaled P44.40 billion, against P14.21 billion a year earlier.
Borrowing from foreign sources was P23.07 billion, against P1.18 billion a year earlier, accounting for 52% of the overall loan portfolio.
During the month, the government received P21.39 billion worth of program loans.
Funds borrowed from domestic sources total P21.32 billion, up from P13.08 billion a year earlier.
All domestic loans in July came in the form of Treasury bond issues. A year earlier the government maintained a net redemption position in bonds.
The government borrows funds to pay for public projects and programs beyond its ability to finance from the budget, amid an aggressive spending program largely focused on infrastructure.
The government hopes to maintain a budget deficit of 3% of gross domestic product, a rule of thumb widely deemed to represent prudent deficit-spending levels.
In the seven months to July, overall gross borrowing fell 2.83% from a year earlier to P505.26 billion.
This is equivalent to 56.88% of the P888.23 billion programmed for borrowing this year.
Of the total, P178.90 billion was sourced from foreign lenders, up 27.43% from a year earlier, and accounting for 35.41% of the seven-month loan portfolio.
The government borrowed P326.36 billion from domestic creditors, down 14.02% from a year earlier. — Elijah Joseph C. Tubayan

DoLE notes over 8,000 job openings in sales, BPO

THE labor department said its jobs portal is showing the availability of about 4,000 positions each in sales and Business Process Outsourcing (BPO).
The Department of Labor and Employment (DoLE) said in a statement: “There are 4,616 vacancies in the sales sector; 4,173 vacancies in the BPO sector, particularly for call center agents; and 835 vacancies in the food service industry.” DoLE was citing data compiled by the Bureau of Local Employment (BLE).
DoLE added that openings in the sales sector consist of “promo salesperson (1,588), customer service assistant (666), cashier (409), retail/wholesale establishment salesperson (325), sales associate professional (291), retail trade salesman (254), market salesperson (245), sales clerk (220), salesman (218), stall salesperson (200), and real estate salesman (200).”
For the food service industry, the available positions were for service crew (380), cooks (231), and food servers (224).
These job vacancies are listed in PhilJobNet, the labor department’s official job portal.
The portal also lists openings for 644 domestic helpers and 476 staff nurses. Positions in the construction industry include 400 construction laborers and 204 carpenters.
Last week, the Social Weather Stations (SWS) said its June 2018 Survey shows that labor force participation fell to 68.3% from 74.7% a year earlier. The Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) also reported in its Labor Force Survey for July that underemployment rose to 17.2% from 16.3% a year earlier. — Gillian M. Cortez

Can the PHL fully participate in ASEAN Taxation Cooperation?

(Second of two parts)
Embracing the Automatic Exchange of Information (AEoI), whether in the form of FATCA and/or CRS, affects stakeholders ranging from the government and businesses down to the ordinary consumers of financial products and services. As such, the uncertainties arising from the supposed implementation are definitely not in line with the goal of maintaining a stable financial and investing environment – something that the Philippines needs in order to sustain growth in the years to come.
Like any other big-ticket decision, implementation comes with various challenges at all levels. It is therefore crucial for all stakeholders to acknowledge them and plan ahead to ensure survival amid the disruption.
GOVERNMENT AND KEY REGULATORY INSTITUTIONS
The primary player if the Philippines is to achieve the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC)’s vision of economic integration is the government. As previously stated, taxation cooperation, which requires participation in and implementation of the AEoI initiative, is crucial towards realizing an interdependent and highly connected ASEAN economy. Before any treaty can be fully implemented in the Philippines, concurrence of two-thirds of the Senate is required under Article II, Section 21 of the 1987 Constitution. Thus, implementing FATCA and/or CRS must be dealt with by the legislative branch before significant progress can be made.
At the regulatory level, agencies would need to draft implementing regulations and other pronouncements that will serve as the most reliable references for stakeholder decisions to ensure compliance. At a minimum, these must include: (1) definition, basic concepts and guiding principles; (2) registration and due diligence requirements; and (3) a mechanism for the reporting and exchange of reportable financial information.
These pronouncements should be clear as to the form of report to be submitted by reporting financial institutions, i.e., adherent to the international standards prevalent at the time of implementation. The regulators may issue further guidance to supplement these pronouncements in the form of frequently asked questions (FAQs) and/or an implementation handbook that tackles operational challenges and strategies on a more granular level. It is paramount that the requirements are tailor-fit to the Philippines’ economic and business environment and needs.
Regulators must also demonstrate their readiness to implement on all levels. They must ensure that their personnel possesses the necessary knowledge and technical competence to facilitate resolution of questions and uncertainties that may come up for the stakeholders. Post-implementation, regulatory personnel must also keep themselves abreast of the developments in the international field and be responsive to these changes.
As the AEoI involves the transfer of confidential information, the importance of having a reliable and incorruptible data infrastructure can never be undermined. Regulators must ensure that a system is in place that protects the integrity of financial information being reported.
Other necessary actions may branch out as the regulators face the implementation challenges on a daily basis. Clearly, much still needs to be done. However, it all needs to start from a certainty about Philippines participation in the AEoI initiative, which is still greatly dependent on the legislative chambers.
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
Financial institutions must initially assess the level of compliance that may be required of them. Other than depository and custodial institutions, financial institutions may also include specified insurance companies, investment entities as well as trusts and other similar arrangements.
Depending on the result of the foregoing, financial institutions must chart their own compliance programs while considering overall business strategies and needs. As with any business decision, implementing key changes requires an investment, the magnitude of which depends on the entity’s available resources and current state of compliance.
After determining the necessary level of compliance based on the regulations and guidance published by the regulators, financial institutions will need to assess compliance gaps. A good starting point would be the current anti-money laundering (AML)/know-your-customer (KYC) policy. Financial institutions may build on their AML/KYC policy and make adjustments to comply with the regulatory requirements under FATCA and/or CRS. Naturally, in conducting a compliance gap exercise, deep understanding and knowledge about the requirements is necessary. Thus, financial institutions must ensure that their decision-makers are well-equipped and ready before starting the discourse.
Financial institutions must also inform account holders, current and prospective, that certain information may be reported, as mandated by regulators pursuant to an AEoI agreement. This poses challenges to maintaining relationships with account holders as it attracts questions and, not to mention, raises the prospect of reporting confidential information to regulators.
Consumers should also be educated on how their financial information will be handled both by the financial institutions and the government. Moreover, as account holders, they will be required to certify their citizenship and/or tax residence to financial institutions. For entities, additional steps are needed as they need to certify their proper FATCA and/or CRS classification.
IS THE PHILIPPINES READY TO PARTICIPATE AND COOPERATE?
Clearly, non-participation may not be an option for the Philippines. Central to AEC’s taxation cooperation mandate is the participation of all of the member states in the AEoI initiatives.
If the Philippines does not participate, it will gain a bad reputation as non-participation creates a notion of lack of support towards global and regional tax transparency, and countering tax evasion and other harmful tax practices. Financial institutions from other participating countries will be reluctant to deal or transact with Philippine financial institutions and tax residents since they are likely to face unnecessary costs and difficulties arising from their association with counterparties from non-compliant jurisdictions.
Financial institutions in participating countries (i.e., reporting financial institutions or RFI) may have already encountered account holders that are tax residents of uncooperative jurisdictions. As residents of non-participating jurisdictions, these account holders can insist on their right not to provide additional information as requested by RFIs. This trend creates problems for RFIs on KYC policy documentation and monitoring aspects. As RFIs, they may decide to close financial accounts held by these uncooperative account holders should their policy dictate such treatment. Ultimately, this will lead to reduced options for Philippine tax residents to invest and conduct business activities and may therefore cast an irreversible shadow on the Philippine economy as a whole.
The first step towards continued progress is removing the uncertainty. Knowing the negative repercussions of non-participation, the Philippines should strongly consider cooperation and participation. The earlier the mandate of the government is established, the better it would be for all stakeholders. This would give all stakeholders time to prepare and make the necessary adjustments to facilitate compliance, and ultimately, minimize costs.
Prior to implementation, there needs to be an open discourse, especially during the drafting of the implementing regulations and guidance. Regulators must strike a balance between the stringency of compliance requirements, practicality of the same and business necessities, among all others. This will result in a set of compliance requirements that are tailor fit to the economy and business environment of the country.
Regulators may also tap into the ASEAN network through the AFT. Regulators may seek guidance and learn from countries that have undergone information exchanges initiatives pursuant to an AEoI agreement (e.g., Singapore and Malaysia). Regulators also have a vital role to play in streamlining implementation and addressing any questions that may arise.
It is worth emphasizing that in all stages/phases, it may be prudent for stakeholders to consider technology to aid in their drive for compliance.
There are still a number of years left before 2025 – where AEC’s vision of economic integration is expected to be realized. But the clock is ticking. Responding on an as-it-transpires basis, rather than being proactive, brings forth more problems than solutions. Needless to say, it is best for all concerned parties to act as soon as possible.
This article is for general information only and is not a substitute for professional advice where the facts and circumstances warrant. The views and opinion expressed above are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of SGV & Co.
 
Jay A. Ballesteros is an FSO Tax Partner and Gabriel Eroy is an FSO Tax Senior Associate of SGV & Co.

Reason, enlightenment and inflation

It is said that reason and enlightenment have taken a beating amid the rise of the Trumps, Erdogans and Dutertes. These belligerent strongmen have polarized society. The consequence of extreme polarization is the emergence of biases and blinders from all sides.
Look at how the issue of Philippine inflation is now being tackled. The debate is driven no longer by sound economic reasoning but by a combination of ignorance, ideological biases, and political motives.
President Rodrigo Duterte himself does not help clarify the issues. He said that Philippine inflation was a result of Trump’s imposition of higher tariffs on goods from China and other countries. Trump’s slapping of higher tariffs has triggered retaliation. Philippine trade is surely affected by this trade war, for some of our products for export are part of the global value chain. On the other hand, the Philippines can take advantage of the situation to attract firms that export to the US from China to relocate to the country.
But Duterte, who has confessed his unfamiliarity with economic issues, cannot explain how Trump’s higher tariffs translate into higher prices in the Philippines. The curt response to Duterte’s remark then is “duh!”
But the political opposition is also barking up the wrong tree on inflation. It blames the tax reform program, particularly the increase in the tax rates of fuel products, as the culprit of higher inflation. But is it?
The Department of Finance (DoF) has a breakdown of the causes of inflation. For the August 2018 inflation rate of 6.4% (year on year), the contribution of the tax reform (otherwise known as TRAIN) was 0.4 percentage point. AER has vetted the DoF’s estimate, and our own calculation (but as of April 2018, for we do not have the raw price data after said period) is close to the DoF’s, that is, 0.45 percentage point.
Part of the obfuscation is to attribute the increase in fuel prices solely to TRAIN. But TRAIN accounts for a fourth (25%) of the rise in fuel prices. The main reason for the spike in fuel price is the rise in the global price of crude oil.
It is difficult to accurately forecast world crude oil price, given its volatile nature. When the TRAIN bill was filed in the Lower House in January 2017, the oil price was at $53.37 per barrel. The price even went down in May 2017 to $49.91 per barrel during the time that the Lower House passed the bill in May 2017. In August 2018, the price shot up to $71.90 per barrel. Be that as it may, TRAIN has a provision that suspends the excise tax on fuel when the average Dubai crude oil price based on Mean of Platts Singapore (MOPS) for three months prior to the month’s scheduled increase hits $80 per barrel.
If not TRAIN, what are the principal factors driving inflation? Global factors like the sharp increase in world crude oil prices and the hike in US interest rates (contributing to the peso depreciation) account for a significant part of the inflation. Typhoons or weather disturbances have resulted in higher prices of vegetables.
Food and non-alcoholic beverage constitute the biggest weight in the consumer price index. The most sensitive item is rice, accounting for almost 10% of the index. Rice alone contributed 0.7 percentage point to the 6.4% inflation rate in August 2018. This is much bigger than what can be attributed to the whole of TRAIN.
Here, the Duterte administration failed big time. The President sided with the incompetent head of the National Food Authority who prevented the timely importation of rice, discouraged the private sector from importing, and failed to buy sufficient palay from farmers during the harvest season.
Note, too, that higher purchasing power also pushed prices up. The higher purchasing power is a result of the following factors: the increasing number of both enterprise owners who create jobs and the workers who receive salaries or wages; the personal income tax relief from TRAIN; and the additional cash transfers also from TRAIN.
Despite the different factors that account for current inflation, the opposition is targeting TRAIN. The likes of Senator Bam Aquino even insist on attributing second-round inflation effects to TRAIN. This is mistaken. Second-round effects like rising inflationary expectations and demand for wage increases are a reaction to the overall increase in prices.
For TRAIN is the target, the opposition wants its implementation, specifically the increase in fuel excise tax, suspended. The opposition has filed House Bill No. 8171 and Senate Bill No. 1798, both calling for the suspension of the TRAIN’s excise tax on fuel.
Sadly, the proposed cure is worse than the perceived disease. Suspending the incremental fuel tax brought about by TRAIN can only shed a tiny part of overall inflation, less than a third percentage point of the total inflation rate. But suspending the increase in the fuel taxes will result in heavy losses. The incremental revenue generated from the fuel taxes is expected to fetch P53.5 billion in 2018.
Concretely, that amount is nearly equivalent to funding the controversial free college education that Senator Bam Aquino champions. Senator Aquino is no different from President Duterte in being a populist, but the former opposes the taxes necessary for such spending.
Further, suspending the fuel taxes, the main source of revenues from TRAIN, endangers the personal income tax relief and the provision of the unconditional cash transfers that benefit the poorest 50% of Filipino households.
If government would not reverse the income tax relief, the disbursement for cash transfers, and other expenditures, the suspension of fuel taxes would increase the budget deficit to an uncomfortable level. The bigger deficit, in turn, would lead the government to borrow more, thus risking debt dependence, or to print money, which in turn is inflationary. Either way, investors and creditors will punish the Philippines through a credit rating downgrade and capital flight.
The economic managers of course will not allow the suspension of the fuel taxes, precisely because of its severe consequences. For standing their ground, the economic managers will earn the respect of the investor community. But the political opposition will be seen as fiscally irresponsible and ignorant of economics.
My piece of advice to the opposition: Be reasonable. Be enlightened. And instead of concentrating fire on TRAIN, do target the high prices of staple food, resulting from the administration’s bungled rice policy.
 
Filomeno S. Sta. Ana III coordinates the Action for Economic Reforms.
www.aer.ph

Dissecting the Tourism Master Plan

From a modest base in 2010, tourism has blossomed into a $38.5-billion industry comprising 12.2% of GDP in 2017. Foreign visitors topped the 6.62 million mark while domestic travelers reached 96.7 million. Curious to note that the number of domestic tourists have already surpassed the 2022 target of 86.2 million four years ahead of schedule. The industry has so far created 5.3 million jobs, most of which are in the countryside.
In the first seven months of 2018, foreign arrivals achieved a 9.47% growth despite the closure of Boracay. Foreign visitors will likely surpass the 7.4 million target this year while domestic travelers are seen to break the one hundred million threshold.
By 2022, Tourism Secretary Berna Romulo-Puyat aims to attract 12 million foreign visitors into our shores. Targets have not been adjusted yet for domestic travelers but I suspect that it will be in the vicinity of 125 million. Collectively, the tourism industry aims to generate some $71.8 billion in revenues by the time President Duterte finishes his term. It will be large enough to help, in a substantial way, balance our budget and fill the deficit in our current account.
The Department of Tourism has charted a methodical master plan to attain its goals. This master plan is embodied in the National Tourism Development Plan for 2016 to 2022. I recently spoke to Secretary Berna and Usec. Bong Bengzon (on separate occasions) and both of them appraised me on the key points of the plan. This is what I came away with.
THE STRATEGIC DIRECTION
At the heart of the plan are four objectives — to foster growth and enhance the competitiveness of the industry, while ensuring sustainability and inclusiveness.
Sec. Berna is a fervent advocate of sustainable tourism. This is what sets her apart from the ministers that preceded her. Under her baton, we can expect no natural wonder nor heritage site to be environmentally compromised in the name of short-term gain. Four months into the job and she has already gone on an offensive to ensure that the Boracay catastrophe does not happen to other tourist sites. I know for a fact that she has since banned the use of fireworks in Boracay and ordered to regulate the number of visitors that inundate Oslob. The Secretary vows to strike a balance between maximizing revenues and social responsibility.
In as far as the pursuit of growth is concerned, the biggest challenge that faces the industry is the country’s underdeveloped transport infrastructure. To address this, the DoT now works in close collaboration with both the DoTr and DPWH. The three departments sit in the same Cabinet cluster for closer coordination.
The shortage of air traffic capacity is the biggest impediment to tourism growth. To give you an idea of how acute the shortage is, as of 2015, the total capacity of our international airports (NAIA, Clark, Cebu, Davao, Iloilo, Kalibo, Caticlan, etc.) stood at 42.8 million passengers. Air traffic reached 56.5 million that year. We were operating 32% above capacity. The situation is worse today what with air traffic well over 60 million.
Air traffic is seen to reach 89.5 million by 2022 on the back of increased foreign arrivals and domestic tourism. Hence, the need for a new national gateway in Bulacan as well as auxiliary airports in Panglao, Puerto Princesa, Bacolod, Davao, Iloilo and Lagundian cannot be over emphasized. The good news is that these airports are all scheduled for successive opening within the next three years, save for the Bulacan airport which is now being obstructed by the Department of Finance.
In terms of land connectivity, the DPWH must ramp up construction of roads within tourist clusters to facilitate seamless land transfers in and around them. For those unaware, tourist clusters are groupings of touristic sites within a certain locality (eg. the Clark, Subic, Tarlac and Pampanga corridor). Between 2018 to 2022, the plan calls for the DPWH to construct 6,480 kilometers of roads within 49 tourism clusters across the country.
In terms of maritime tourism, sadly, the Philippines has not been able to cash in on the lucrative cruise line market the way Singapore and Hong Kong have. This is due to the absence of a proper cruise line terminal. Government has no plans of building a state-owned marina but ICTSI has an unsolicited proposal to build one in front of its Solaire complex. It is still unclear if ICTSI’s proposal will merit DoTr and NEDA consideration.
Investments in airports and roads will amount to some $55 billion. This comprises 99.6% of the National Tourism Development Plan’s budget.
luggage
Absorption capacity is another issue. To efficiently service the increased number of tourists, the DoT will promote private sector investments in on-the-ground logistic facilities. This includes integrated resort estates, hotels, ferry vessels, tourist coaches, and the like. This will be undertaken hand in hand with TIEZA and TEZ.
The DoT has also earmarked a budget to improve heritage sites, recreational estates and national parks.
Advertising and promotions are a vital component to the DoT plan. I was pleased to hear that the “Its more Fun in the Philippines” campaign will continue to be used. As I write this, negotiations are under way with various advertising agencies including J. Walter Thompson, Evident Communications and BBDO Guerrero, all of whom are pitching to refresh the “Its more Fun” campaign. Apart from promoting the Philippines as a tourist destination, the DoT also plans a parallel digital campaign to promote new destinations such as La Union, Romblon and Siquijor, among others.
Ad spending will focus on our 12 major markets. They are: Korea, China, Japan, Canada, USA, Germany, the UK, France, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, and Malaysia. Budget allocations are also earmarked for opportunity markets that include Spain, Italy, Israel, Turkey, Russia, India, Indonesia, Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, Thailand, and Cambodia. Altogether, the DoT has appropriated $172 million for promotions.
An important component to the plan is to enhance skills and elevate service standards among tourism practitioners, especially the front-liners. The DoT will spearhead training seminars among LGUs to develop a culture of professionalism and competence, as well as proficiency in English, Korean, Chinese, and Japanese.
RESPONSIBLE AND SUSTAINABLE TOURISM
As mentioned earlier, sustainable tourism is the cornerstone of Sec. Berna’s agenda.
Apart from ensuring that our touristic sites have preservation measures in place, the secretary plans to expand the number of cultural offerings to widen our menu of tourism products. This will lessen the wear and tear of existing tourist sites whilst making the financial benefits of tourism available to other communities.
Many countries have succeeded in their tourism programs using low-impact ecotourism as its principal product. Costa Rica, Peru, Namibia, and South Africa are among them. The DoT plans to include these offerings in the Philippine menu as revenues derived from it can go towards funding environmental protection programs.
Given the frequency of natural disasters in the country, Sec. Berna will also invest in risk reduction programs in and around tourist destinations. A budget of P89 million will go towards this purpose.
The Department of Tourism has all the components in place to achieve its goals. It has a sensible road map, a decent budget, a competent army of undersecretaries and assistant secretaries as well as a bright, hard working and honest Secretary to lead the charge. Above all, it has the full support of the Palace.
With this, there is no reason why the DoT should fail. The DoT is a bright spot of this administration and one we are all banking on.
 
Andrew J. Masigan is an economist

Cure the big trade deficit, bring in the miners

The Philippines is suffering from a deteriorating merchandise trade gap. From January to July 2018, total exports was only $38.74 billion (vs. $39.87 billion same months in 2017) while total imports was $61.23 billion (vs $52.92 billion same months in 2017). So the trade deficit was $22.49 billion or an average of $3.2 billion a month. This is the worst trade performance of the country all these years.
Among the direct results of widening trade deficit is the peso depreciation, averaging only P51/US$ last year, now trading at P54/US$. The expectations are it will depreciate to around P55 in order to further encourage exports while discouraging less essential imports.
Many sectors look at various measures to spur the country’s exports but one thing that escapes their radar is to bring in the miners — have more metal exports, raw ores or semi-processed; have more mining investments and permits.
The Duterte administration though seems to be doing the opposite. The discredited and rejected ex-DENR Secretary Gina Lopez closed many mining firms even for frivolous and unsubstantiated cases and banned open pit mining. Her successor did not significantly reverse those idiotic policies despite recommendations by the Mining Industry Coordinating Council (MICC) to remove the ban on open pit mining, among others.
Below are primary data from the DENR’s Mines and Geosciences Bureau (see Table 1).
Table1
From the above numbers, notice the following:
One, very small contribution by small-scale gold mining despite the huge environmental damage created by thousands of such units. Two, low mining investments when a huge, single biggest foreign direct investment (FDI) in the country, the $5.9-billion Tampakan gold-copper mining project, has been tempered for nearly a decade now. Three, low exports share of metallic and nonmetallic exports when the opportunities are high. Four, significant tax collections by national and local governments. And five, declining number of approved and registered MPSA, FTAA and EP.
The opportunities for high mining exports are opened by recovering prices of important metals where the Philippines has good reserves, particularly gold, copper and nickel (see Table 2).
Table2
These and related issues will be covered in the forthcoming Mining Philippines 2018 on Sept. 18-20, 2018 at Sofitel Philippine Plaza.
One pronouncement by President Duterte a few months ago is that he will ban the export of raw mining ores, only semi-processed and manufactured mining products will be exported.
This mandatory, state-dictated mining manufacturing has been done in Indonesia some two decades ago and Indonesia is a much bigger mining player than the Philippines. The result was rather catastrophic — many companies, local and foreign, that went there later became bankrupt. The capex, opex and marketing chains were larger than expected and prices of manufactured metals were highly fluctuating.
Government is a lousy business entity and, hence, cannot be trusted to render non-lousy business regulations. It should stick to enforcing its environmental rules to all players, big and small miners, and not demonize the big ones.
 
Bienvenido S. Oplas, Jr. is president of Minimal Government Thinkers, a member institute of Economic Freedom Network (EFN) Asia.
minimalgovernment@gmail.com.

Questions on TRAIN 2 a.k.a. TRABAHO

When the inflation rate of 6.4% for August was finally announced by the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) last week, there was a storm of fears that lashed stronger than the most powerful typhoon of the season (Signal No. 4), “Ompong” that trashed northern Philippines and rained heavily the whole weekend on the rest of Luzon.
Without believing the rumor of unsure inflation data, the perception still persists that inflation is very high — the highest in nine years (Ibid.), as it can be felt in the undeniable increase in prices of the basic needs of Filipinos, mainly in food and fuel/power costs. And then there is the rice shortage that the National Food (NFA) Administrator Jason Aquino admitted in February (CNN Philippines, Feb. 7, 2018).
Sen. Francis Pangilinan is worried that the NFA buffer stock is good only for two days and said that Jason Aquino should also be prosecuted for graft and made to explain the missing P20 billion worth of rice, amidst persistent reports of tons of NFA rice being sold to private traders, who rebag the grain and sell the same as commercial rice.(philstar.com Sept. 13, 2018).
And agriculturists and rice farmers are perplexed why the manipulating private traders and smugglers should be rewarded and given even freer rein by the lifting of the quantitate restrictions “QR” (agreed World Trade Organization limits to the volume of rice imports) amidst the inflation and the rice shortage. The rice tariffication law that imposes a 35% tariff on unlimited importation is being rushed by the Legislature on the urgent request of the Executive (philstar.com, July 31, 2018). With the legitimized flooding of the market with imported rice, and the abolition of the NFA regulations, how can the local farmers compete with the cheaper-produced, lower-priced, better-quality Vietnamese and Thai rice? Is rice agriculture dead, and rice self-sufficiency a lost dream in the country that consumes roughly 11.7 million tons of rice every year?
The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) says allowing cheap rice imports with tariffs will immediately lower the inflation rate by 0.4 percentage points and the price of rice by as much as P7 per kilo — but it will not bring the 2018 full-year inflation rate back to the 2% to 4% target inflation range. Agriculture groups like Samahang Industriya ng Agrikultura (Sinag) said the more foreign exporters would have access to the Philippines, they could, theoretically, manipulate supply to bring prices up.
Inflation has to be addressed, yet it seems to have swung from yes to no that the BSP will announce an early interest rate hike after its last rate hike of 50 basis points (of 100 basis points since May, its largest in a decade) to help ease the 6.4% August inflation (Bloomberg, Sept. 14, 2018). The peso gasped in sympathetic panic to P53.88 against the dollar last week, then the lowest in 13 years (BusinessWorld, Sept. 10, 2018) and even lower to P54.004 as of Sept. 14 (BSP). Analysts say the peso is getting pummeled by rising oil prices, faster inflation, fiscal and current-account deficits and the broader investor turn against emerging markets vis-à-vis the strengthening of the dollar (Bloomberg.com, Sept. 10, 2018). Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. sees the Philippines’ current account deficit continuing to deteriorate as infrastructure spending ticks up and other analysts think the peso may fall past P55 per dollar (Ibid.).
The falling peso and rising inflation: this situation seems hardly the time to be gung-ho on giant tax reforms which will change the lives for Filipinos. “Less than 10% of the population has a per capita income above the global middle-income level,” the World Bank says (ABS-CBN News, April 19, 2018). These days, an accelerating pace of inflation, triggered in large part by the government’s imposition of new taxes on a myriad of products and services, can only be expected to hit the poor most (Ibid.). The reference is to the Tax Reform for Acceleration and Inclusion program, TRAIN 1, which removed the personal income taxes for those earning below P250,000 but increased excise and value-added taxes to many goods and food consumed by all income and even no-income levels.
And TRAIN 2, second phase of the controversial tax reform has been “promised” by Pres. Duterte in his most recent State of the Nation (SONA) July 2018. Reportedly due to public backlash against TRAIN 1, the name for TRAIN 2 has been changed to “Tax Reform for Attracting Better and High Quality Opportunities” or TRABAHO. The second package proposed to cut corporate income tax from 30% to 25%and take away fiscal incentives, including tax exemption, from hundreds of businesses in export processing zones (The Philippine Star, Aug. 8, 2018).
Senate ways and means committee chairman Sonny Angara has said 0.9% or less than one percent was the highest inflation rate the DoF told lawmakers when it was badgering them to approve the TRAIN law (Ibid.). In time of 6.4% inflation (and still rising), precisely faulted by critics to be mostly because of the higher end-user taxes under TRAIN 1, how should TRAIN 2 be institutionalized, if ever?
Why reward corporations with a reduction in corporate income tax, when the highest-ranked Filipino companies in the Forbes list earn double-digit profit over sales, or well-covering inflation? Examples are Banco de Oro, with 21.19% P/S, which rough-estimated corporate tax reduction would be around PHP 7+ billion at PHP 54 to USD 1.00 at the 5% reduction by TRAIN 2 (computed flat, not yet refined to cumulative savings up to 2029 span of corporate tax reduction). Ayala Corp., which enjoys about 19% return on sales can save around PHP 38+ billion or so in corporate taxes, while San Miguel Corp. with its USD 14 billion sales will enjoy some PHP 38+ billion corporate tax reduction, assuming constant sales figures (roughly computed from 2017 Forbes Global 2000 list data).
It is not clear whether the 25% corporate income tax proposed under TRAIN 2 will be stratified according to income levels, but it would seem not, because of the government’s eagerness to cut subsidies to small businesses and those located in export processing zones — all subsidies will end in two years. These subsidized companies pay only 6% to 13% income tax, while 95% of all businesses pay the present 30% corporate income tax, the highest rate in the region, according to the Department of Finance.
It would not justify the proffered largesse to corporations, just to do what the “big boys” in the region, even if this is supposedly to increase business activity and draw foreign investments. Will the businesses who enjoy savings from reduced corporate income taxes really hire more workers and expand activities because of this (thereby increasing the tax basis, and offsetting the tax reduction)? What about workers made redundant by exiting erstwhile-subsidized companies? “TRABAHO” can be an embarrassing misnomer.
It is like taking money from the poor to give to the rich, when tax reforms based on rosy assumptions are insisted upon, in the critical Now of inflation and increasing personal tax burdens on the citizenry. Can the government be humble enough to please hold off hurried approvals for drastic economic changes, and “Study, study, study” programs and projects with true and sincere concern for the welfare and survival of the Filipino?
Moratorium on the “Go, go, go,” and do the urgent relief-and-rehabilitation for today’s inflation and peso crises, like the 100% focus of all departments and agencies on the torments of the recent super-typhoon “Ompong.” Congratulations and thank you from the Filipino people for speedy response to disaster and calamities.
 
Amelia H. C. Ylagan is a Doctor of Business Administration from the University of the Philippines.
ahcylagan@yahoo.com

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