UK briefing touts PHL growth, admits headwinds
ECONOMIC managers pitched British investors in London by citing the Philippines’ strong economic outlook and pace of reforms, despite recent difficulties with inflation.
“Our growth performance for the first semester of this year was below expectations, hampered by elevated inflation and supply issues. Like the rest of the economies in the world, the Philippines is not exempted from challenges,” Finance Secretary Carlos G. Dominguez III said in a speech before about 300 British executives on Tuesday during the London leg of the Philippine Economic Briefing, a copy of which was distributed to reporters.
“But what differentiates our economy from many is the decisiveness, the extent, and the pace by which we are implementing policy and infrastructure reforms. We remain one of the best-performing economies in the region and our outlook is strong,” he added.
He also noted the government’s “decisiveness” to push medium to long-term reforms such as the Tax Reform for Acceleration and Inclusion (TRAIN) law that lowered personal income taxes while raising and adding levies on fuel, tobacco, automobiles, minerals, and sugary drinks, among others.
He also noted complementary anti-red tape measures such as the Ease of Doing Business act, which requires government offices to shorten their processing times, as well as the national ID system. He also noted the “continued liberalization of foreign ownership in business,” as embodied in the upcoming Foreign Investments Negative List being reviewed by the President, which is expected to be more welcoming to foreign ownership.
Gross domestic product (GDP) grew 6% in the second quarter from 6.6% a year ago and in the first quarter this year, closing at a 6.3% growth in the first semester versus 6.6% in the comparable period in 2017 — below the government’s 7-8% target range.
“At the moment, the Philippine economy is experiencing elevated inflation rates. We have determined that the sources of inflationary pressure have been the spike in food prices, sharp rise in international oil prices and an adjustment in the peso’s exchange rate,” he added.
Inflation in August accelerated to 6.4% from 5.7% a month earlier and 2.6% a year earlier. In the eight months to August inflation averaged 4.8%, well above the central bank’s 2-4% target range.
This week, the peso also depreciated to a fresh 12-year low ahead of expected rate hikes from the Federal Reserve and the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas.
Mr. Dominguez also said that the government remains “on course” towards reaching its medium-term goals, which include reducing poverty incidence to 14% by 2022, from 21.6% in 2015. It also aims to ramp up infrastructure spending to 7.4% of GDP over the next four years from 5.6% last year.
“Our growth target is consistent with projections of multilateral institutions and global think tanks. With higher public investment, we are confident our growth target is achievable,” Budget Secretary Benjamin E. Diokno said at the same event.
“Government spending will remain sustainable, and supportive of economic growth and development,” he added, noting that the country’s “sound, prudent and sustainable economic blueprint” will ensure that UK firms invest in a “bright spot.”
He said the debt ratio to gross domestic product was 36.6% in 2017, well below the 60% threshold deemed “fiscally sound.”
Mr. Dominguez also touted the government’s second package of tax reforms reducing corporate income tax rates and streamlining fiscal incentives
“The rationalization of our fiscal incentives, in turn, will create a level playing field for our enterprises and attract new players to compete. The accretion of so many incentive schemes through the uncoordinated action of legislators and economic zones in the past has produced something near chaos,” he said.
“While other countries give incentives for a limited period, the tax incentives handed out now by law in the Philippines are in lieu of all taxes, both national and local, and apply forever, even if the firm no longer produces a net positive benefit for the country,” he said, noting some $5.6 billion worth of incentives were awarded, with some $800 million possibly lost due to transfer pricing abuse.”
The House of Representatives approved on final reading House Bill 8083 on Sept. 10, which seeks to cut the corporate income tax rate gradually from 30% currently to 20% by 2029, via a two-percentage-point reductions every other year starting 2021.
Fiscal incentives will be limited to industries identified in the Strategic Investments Priority Plan (SIPP) that meet performance standards. Redundant incentives will be repealed, but the government will retain and harmonize some perks in a single menu, including: a three-year income tax holiday, after which applies a special income tax rate of 18% starting 2021, and possibly 13% by 2029; deductions for labor, research and development, training, and infrastructure development costs; and some customs duties exemptions.
Also at the briefing were Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Ernesto M. Pernia, Trade Secretary Ramon M. Lopez, Transportation Secretary Arthur P. Tugade, Public Works and Highways Secretary Mark A. Villar, Tourism Secretary Bernadette Romulo-Puyat, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas Deputy Governor Diwa C. Guinigundo, and Bases Conversion and Development Authority President and Chief Executive Officer Vivencio B. Dizon. — Elijah Joseph C. Tubayan