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Palay farmgate price resumes upward trend in early December

THE AVERAGE farmgate price of palay, or unmilled rice, resumed its upward path in the first week of December, rising 0.4% to P15.62 per kilogram (kg), the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) said.

According to PSA’s weekly palay and corn price update, the average wholesale price of well-milled rice rose 0.1%, week-on-week to P37.23, while retail prices fell 0.3% to P41.44.

The average wholesale price of regular-milled rice fell 0.2% week-on-week to P33.09 per kg, while retail prices fell 0.3% to P36.57.

The farmgate price of palay briefly increased before declining again in late November. However, on a year-on-year basis, it fell 22.3% in the first week of December. The recent bout of volatility has been described as a natural market adjustment before establishing a new normal value following the disruptions of 2019, when the price structure was upended by imports.

The Rice Tariffication Law, or Republic Act No. 11203, was signed in March, removing limits on the entry of imported rice, which have to pay a 35% tariff if imported from within Southeast Asia. The large volume of imports disrupted the domestic palay market, pressuring farm incomes.

The average farmgate price of yellow corn grain fell 0.5% week-on-week, to P11.92 per kg. The average wholesale price rose 1.2% to P21.30. The retail price rose 0.6% to P25.86.

The farmgate price of white corn grain averaged P13.24 per kg, up 0.8% week-on-week. The average wholesale price was unchanged at P17, while the average retail price increased 0.2% to P26.74. — Vincent Mariel P. Galang

Davao business chamber volunteers services for farm logistics upgrades

DAVAO CITY’s business chamber has offered to work with the Department of Agriculture (DA) and the Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) to plan for improved farm logistics.

John Carlo B. Tria, president of the Davao City Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Inc. (DCCCII), said the association will be initiating discussions with the two departments after Agriculture Secretary William D. Dar’s announcement Friday that the construction of farm-to-market roads, especially in conflict-affected areas, will be among the top priorities this year.

“(W)e are open to dialogue… to help build strong logistics networks and infrastructure such as cold storage facilities, which will help farmers and consumers. Having better logistics helps farmers by minimizing the volatility in prices since excess produce need not go to waste or drive down prices as they can be stored,” Mr. Tria said in a statement late Tuesday.

Asked to comment, Mr. Tria said setting up a good logistics network can be fast-tracked through private-public partnerships.

He said improvements in the supply chain are particularly important in Mindanao given that it provides “about 40% of the country’s food supply, and where prices of commodities are often lower than the rest of the country.”

“This will allow food to get to consumers quickly and cheaply.”

Mr. Tria also said that a stable food supply will have a positive impact on other sectors such as tourism.

“If food prices go up, so will the cost of eating in restaurants and tourism establishments, which may make them less competitive,” he said. — Carmelito Q. Francisco

Inflation target range implies 0.3% cap on price growth month-on-month — Finance dep’t

PRICE gains in general goods need to be capped at 0.3% month-on-month this year for inflation to land within the official 2-4% target range in 2020, according to an economic bulletin issued by the Department of Finance (DoF).

“For inflation to fall within the target range, the month-on-month price change should be at most 0.3% per month,” the DoF said Wednesday.

A rise of 0.3% month-on-month points to 2.7% inflation in January, 2.8% in February and 3.1% in March, it said. In December inflation came in at 2.5%, which was also the 2019 average.

The DoF is banking on productivity programs for the agriculture sector to ease gains in food prices to keep monthly gains within 0.3%.

The 2-4% inflation target applies until 2022, when the current government steps down.

“Productivity programs for agriculture will ease seasonal food price increases in the future. The Department of Agriculture (DA) has set up programs to modernize agriculture, build farm-to-market roads, develop value chains and enhance research and development,” it said.

However, public and private economists have warned that a Middle Eastern conflict are a risk to global oil prices, which could cause overall inflation to accelerate further this year.

For December, the DoF said inflation rose 0.7% month-on-month due to holiday demand for fish and vegetables, whose prices accelerated by 5% and 3.7%, respectively.

It said price gains were tempered by a continued easing in rice prices, which brought overall food inflation to 2.1%.

“In the non-food group, inflation rose 2.4% boosted by a seasonal upsurge in health (3.5%), restaurants (3.3%), and household furnishings (3.2%) prices. This was dampened by lower electricity and fuel prices (0.8%),” it added. — Beatrice M. Laforga

Stronger fourth quarter GDP expected on strong jobs data — UA&P, FMIC

FOURTH QUARTER gross domestic product (GDP) likely ended on a “stronger” note with positive employment and lower poverty data boosting investment during the period, the University of Asia and the Pacific (UA&P) and the First Metro Investment Corp. (FMIC) said.

The projection was made ahead of the official release of fourth quarter GDP data this month.

“Recent economic indicators point to a stronger Q4 and 2020, with positive employment print and poverty data indicating better investment numbers for the last quarter of 2019. Household consumption will still benefit from this, softer inflation (on average) and low interest rate,” UA&P and FMIC said in their December issue of The Market Call, released Wednesday.

Economists also said investment spending in the last quarter will further accelerate on the back of a strong rebound in infrastructure and capital outlays in the last two months of 2019.

Citing data from the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA), the report said the economy added about 1.3 million jobs in 2019 and recorded all-time low rates in both unemployment and underemployment at 4.5% and 13%, respectively.

The poverty rate moved closer to the government’s 14% target by 2022, dropping to 16.6% in 2018 from 23.3% in 2015, for average decline of 2.2 percentage points annually since 2015.

Meanwhile, they said consumer spending was likely to have posted above-average gains during the quarter amid easing inflation, which is estimated to average 1.4% during the last quarter of 2019.

Inflation picked up to 2.5% in December to bring the full-year average to 2.5%, well within the official 2-4% target range.

“The peso may have seen its best months as we expect higher BoT/CAB (balance of trade/current account balance) deficits in Q4 with national government ramping up infrastructure spending and the economic momentum gather(ing) pace,” it said.

UA&P and FMIC maintained a 6-6.5% GDP growth forecast for 2019, similar to the narrowed official target issued by the government.

The economy grew by 5.6%, 5.5% and 6.2% in the first three quarters of 2019, bringing the year-to-date average to 5.8%. It would take a 6.7% growth in the fourth quarter to hit the low end of the official target.

Moving forward, UA&P and FMIC said they expect “a last 25 bps (basis points) cut in policy rate by the Monetary Board (MB) in Q1-2020.”

Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas Governor Benjamin E. Diokno told reporters Tuesday that monetary authorities may deliver another 25-bp cut to benchmark policy rates.

The Monetary Board is due to meet on Feb. 6 and on March 19 during the first quarter.

If rates are cut as advertised, they will follow 75 bps worth of rate cuts in 2019, partially reversing the 175-bps of rate hikes in 2018, when inflation rose to multi-year highs. — Beatrice M. Laforga

A new year for us and for CITIRA

With the close of the decade, we have seen how Philippine taxation has been transformed by numerous developments unfolding in the landscape. Several changes that are in the works may make progress in the coming months. One of them is the second package of the tax reform, which proposes to rationalize tax incentives.

In the predecessor bill, known as the Tax Reform for Attracting Better and High-quality Opportunities (TRABAHO), our legislators proposed a sunset provision for the tax incentives of projects or activities that are currently registered under various incentive-giving laws. The registered projects can continue to be entitled to their existing tax incentives, e.g., income tax holiday (ITH) or the preferential 5% gross income tax (GIT), for a maximum of five years. For those enjoying the 5% GIT, the entitlement depends on the number of years the tax perk has been availed of.

When the 18th Congress opened last year, the Corporate Income Tax and Incentives Rationalization Act or the CITIRA bill, which incorporated a majority of the proposals under TRABAHO, was filed and was approved by the House of Representatives. Among the additions introduced was this sunset provision:

“Provided, finally, that existing registered activities which will qualify for registration under the Strategic Investment Priority Plan, may opt to be governed by the provisions of this Act. In such case, the said enterprise shall be required to surrender its certificate of registration, which shall be deemed as an express waiver of their privilege to avail of incentives provided in the incentives law under which they were previously registered.”

The CITIRA bill provides registered projects or activities two options. They may either (1) continue enjoying their current tax incentives, subject to a set limit, or (2) part with their existing tax incentives and avail of the perks available under CITIRA, as long as these activities meet the prescribed conditions.

For example, let us assume Project A currently enjoys the 5% GIT. With the proposed provision, Project A could give up such tax concessions by surrendering the certificate covering its existing incentive, and avail of the tax incentives granted under CITIRA, e.g., ITH for three to six years, 18% preferential income tax, or the enhanced deductions for two to four years. The only condition that Project A has to satisfy is that it is an existing registered activity which will qualify for registration under the Strategic Investment Priority Plan (SIPP).

Moving further, let us assume that CITIRA takes effect, and Project A opts to avail of the tax incentives under the new regime. If Project A’s tax incentives are about to expire, will it be allowed to renew or refresh its tax incentives if it surrenders its certification of registration and its activities are still included in the SIPP? Can Project A continue applying for the renewal of tax incentives as long as it remains to be qualified under the SIPP and gives up its previous registration certificate?

To my mind, the proposed provision seems to yield an affirmative answer.

Is this the intent of our lawmakers though? Wouldn’t this be contrary to the limited incentive period proposed by CITIRA, and ultimately, to the tax reform’s objective that the incentives be time-bound? Nevertheless, if our lawmakers contemplated possible renewals of tax incentives for existing registered enterprises, shouldn’t they draft the bill to clearly express this intent?

A law, which is clear and unambiguous, should be applied as stated. There should only be room for application, and none for interpretation. It is a cardinal rule in statutory construction of laws, that if the language of the tax law is written in clear terms free from ambiguity, then it must be applied to the letter to ease tax compliance.

In this day and age, when time and resources are scarce, who would not want clear and straightforward tax rules and policies? Taxpayers can use their resources for activities more valuable than resolving vague tax law provisions at length. More importantly, a clear tax law would minimize the troubles of our tax authority when it comes to implementation and would also lessen the burden on taxpayers in terms of tax compliance.

CITIRA still has a chance to improve in the Senate and the bicameral deliberations. The bill was transmitted from the House of Representatives to the Senate on Sept. 16. At this stage, the Technical Working Group of the Senate Committee on Ways and Means has prepared the final committee report and is ready to file it for deliberations.

Just like some of us who look forward to kicking off 2020 with a good start, the CITIRA bill also deserves an opportunity to start the year well. With the upcoming deliberations, let us hope that the bill is enhanced to achieve its purported end of realizing fairness, improving the competitiveness of the Philippines across the ASEAN, plugging tax leakages, and rationalizing tax incentives to the most reasonable and competitive extent possible.

The views or opinions expressed in this article are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of Isla Lipana & Co. The content is for general information purposes only, and should not be used as a substitute for specific advice.

 

Noelie Kristine M. Tagle is a manager at the Tax Services Department of Isla Lipana & Co., the Philippine member firm of the PwC network.

+63 (2) 8845-2728

noeli.tagle@pwc.com

Main index drops as US-Iran tensions escalate

THE MAIN INDEX returned to red territory on Wednesday after investors shied away from the market due to increasing tensions between the United States and Iran.

The Philippine Stock Exchange index (PSEi) lost 104.46 points or 1.33% to close at 7,736.24 on Wednesday. The broader all shares index likewise fell 52.77 points or 1.13% to 4,595.58.

“Iran fired missiles on two US army bases in Iraq, while gold surged as investors stayed in cash and safer haven assets with rising geopolitical tensions today,” Regina Capital Development Corp. Head of Sales Luis A. Limlingan said in a mobile message yesterday.

Iran fired a missile attack on two Iraqi military bases that housed US coalition troops on Wednesday morning, a retaliatory act following US’ killing of Iranian military commander Qassem Soleimani last week.

US President Donald Trump and Iraqi military initially claimed zero casualties from the attack, but the market was nonetheless down following the events.

For Diversified Securities, Inc. Equity Trader Aniceto K. Pangan, the decline in the local bourse on Wednesday was also affected by the stocks of water concessionaires.

“Market was down today…also (due to) the confusion on the government’s plan on how to remove the onerous provisions in the water concession agreement whether thru imposition or negotiation,” he said in a text message on Wednesday.

President Rodrigo R. Duterte said Tuesday he is offering new water contracts to Manila Water Co., Inc. (MWC) and Maynilad Water Services, Inc., which they have to accept, otherwise the government will take over the water distribution services in Metro Manila.

These contracts, Malacañang said, will not have the same “onerous” provisions that were in the previous water contracts of MWC and Maynilad.

Shares in MWC lost 66 centavos yesterday, while shares in its parent Ayala Corp. lost 10 centavos. For Maynilad investor Metro Pacific Investments Corp., losses reached eight centavos yesterday. DMCI Holdings, Inc., which is also an investor in Maynilad, meanwhile inched up two centavos.

Sub-sectors of the local bourse were mostly losers yesterday: industrials by 226.51 points or 2.34% to 9,440.03; holding firms by 122.31 points or 1.58% to 7,606.20; financials by 26.42 points or 1.44% to 1,804.45; property by 26.58 points or 0.64% to 4,090.05; and services by 3.07 points or 0.19% to 1,544.93.

The only counter that ended in the green was mining and oil, which added 80.55 points or 1% to 8,083.22.

Value turnover on Wednesday stood at P5.17 billion with 1.76 billion issues changing hands, lower than Tuesday’s P6.49-billion worth, with 2.19 billion issues.

Stocks that declined reached 126 yesterday, double the 60 stocks that advanced at the close of trading. Some 52 stocks closed the session unchanged.

Overseas investors remained sellers on Wednesday, but net foreign outflows were trimmed to P428.75 million from Tuesday’s P492.57 million. — Denise A. Valdez

Peso edges sideways

THE PESO was nearly flat on Wednesday amid tensions in the Middle East. — BW FILE PHOTO

THE PESO moved sideways on Wednesday as it was supported by the influx of remittances amid risk-off sentiment arising from escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

The local unit closed at P50.756 per dollar on Wednesday, almost flat from its P50.76 finish on Tuesday, according to data from the website of the Bankers’ Association of the Philippines.

The peso opened at P51.16 against the greenback. Its weakest showing was at P51.25, while its strongest was at P50.74 versus the dollar.

Dollars traded rose to $1.963 billion from $1.627 billion on Tuesday.

UnionBank of the Philippines, Inc. Chief Economist Ruben Carlo O. Asuncion said he initially expected a depreciation for the local unit given the retaliatory act by Iran.

Reuters reported that Iran launched 15 missiles at US-led forces in Iraq following the death of their top military official due to a Washington-sponsored drone strike, which ignited worries that a war might break out in the Middle East.

Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei said the missile attack was a “slap on the face” of the United States and that US troops should leave the region. He was addressing a gathering of Iranians who chanted “Death to America.”

“But it seems that the peso this week has shown some resilience and it may be coming from remittance inflows and other dollar receipts,” Mr. Asuncion said in a text message.

Historically, remittance inflows peak during the Christmas holiday season as well as enrolment season.

Latest Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas data showed cash remittances in October picked up by 8% to $2.671 billion from $2.474 billion in the same month last year.

“The peso gradually appreciated towards the close amid easing tensions between the US and Iran after the latter said that it does not intend to go into war after making retaliatory attacks on US military bases in Iraq,” a trader said in an e-mail.

For today, Mr. Asuncion gave a forecast range of P50.60-50.90, while the trader sees the local unit playing around P50.60-50.80 against the dollar. — L.W.T. Noble with Reuters

Manila troops to help evacuate Filipinos in Iraq

Roy A. Cimatu DENR
Roy A. Cimatu, President Rodrigo R. Duterte’s special envoy to the Middle East, told in a separate briefing that he would fly to the Middle East on Thursday to manage the repatriation of Filipinos in affected areas.

By Charmaine A. Tadalan, Vincent Mariel P. Galang and
Vann Marlo M. Villegas, Reporters

THE Philippines will send troops to help evacuate Filipinos from Iraq, where fresh tensions have erupted after an Iranian general was killed in a US drone strike last week, Manila’s Defense chief said on Wednesday.

The Southeast Asian nation will send a Coast Guard ship, air assets and two battalions of soldiers as part of a humanitarian mission, Defense Secretary Delfin N. Lorenzana said at a briefing streamed on the website of CNN Philippines.

“The two battalions will not be there to engage in combat,” he said.

Mr. Lorenzana said the government would prioritize Filipinos in Iraq, which hosts about 1500 Filipinos, Iran and Libya, where there is a conflict between the nation’s militia and the United Nations-backed government.

A Philippine Coast Guard ship in Malta might be used to move Filipinos from Iraq or Iran to Qatar, he said.

The Philippine Embassy in Iraq raised the highest crisis alert level there, which requires the evacuation of Filipinos, Foreign Affairs Assistant Secretary Eduardo Martin R. Meriez told reporters.

Evacuees would have to decide whether to return to the Philippines or go to neighboring Middle Eastern states, Interior Secretary Eduardo Año said at a separate briefing.

Iran on Wednesday attacked two American bases in Iraq with more than a dozen missiles, Iranian official news media and US officials said, in retaliation for a US strike that killed top Iranian commander Qasem Soleimani in Baghdad’s international airport on Friday.

The Philippine Embassy in Iraq on Sunday advised Filipino workers there to go on leave.

The Pentagon said US President Donald Trump had ordered the killing after a pro-Iran mob laid siege on the US embassy.

Mr. Trump on Saturday threatened to hit 52 Iranian sites “very hard” if Iran attacks Americans or US assets in retaliation.

The Pentagon said it was assessing whether any American troops had been killed or injured in the strikes. US officials said there were no immediate indications of American casualties.

After the strikes, President Trump met at the White House with his top national security advisers, including Defense Secretary Mark Esper and Gen. Mark Milley, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, to discuss possible retaliatory options, according to the New York Times.

TRANSFER PLAN
Roy A. Cimatu, President Rodrigo R. Duterte’s special envoy to the Middle East, told in a separate briefing that he would fly to the Middle East on Thursday to manage the repatriation of Filipinos in affected areas.

He said that the Philippine embassy in Baghdad would serve as the assembly area for Filipinos before they are flown to Amman, Jordan, assuming the airport there is still operating.

Otherwise, Filipinos will have to travel by land. From there, they will be flying to Dubai where a plane on standby could take them home.

Mr. Cimatu said the biggest problem they face is the uncertainty of where the next attacks will be.

He also assured that Filipinos won’t be put at risk Mr. Duterte said the country would side with the US if a Filipino is hurt by Iran’s attacks.

Labor Secretary Silvestre H. Bello III told reporters separately the agency would send officials to Middle Eastern countries for the repatriation process.

State officials will be sent to Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Lebanon and the United Arab Emirates to reach Filipino workers there, he said.

Mr. Bello said there are more than two million documented Filipinos in the Middle East. The number could go up if undocumented workers are included.

Budget dep’t says P1.9B ready for Filipinos’ transfer

THE Budget department on Wednesday said funds are in place for the evacuation of Filipinos in the Middle East amid ongoing tensions between the US and Iran.

At least three agencies have P1.9 billion in emergency funds for the repatriation, Budget Assistant Secretary Rolando U. Toledo said at a briefing.

The official said P1.29 billion will come from the Foreign Affairs department, P100 million from the Overseas Workers Welfare Administration budget and another P500 million from the OWWA fund, which is made up of contributions from Filipino workers overseas.

The government can use P13 billion in contingency fund from this year’s national budget, Mr. Toledo said.

President Rodrigo R. Duterte this week said he might ask Congress to convene in a special session to discuss the budget for the repatriation of Filipinos in Iraq and other Middle Eastern countries.

Meanwhile, Labor Secretary Silvestre M. Bello III Mr. said the agency was working on “alternative markets” in case the more than two million Filipino workers in the Middle East are forced to come home. These countries include China, Russia, Canada, Germany and Japan.

“That is the reason why we also came out with a profile of overseas worker there,” the Labor chief said. “We know where to deploy them.” — Vann Marlo M. Villegas

Prosecutors to probe recruiter of dead Filipina in Kuwait

GOVERNMENT prosecutors will look at the possible liability of the recruiter of an Overseas Filipino Worker (OFW) who died in Kuwait, Justice Secretary Menardo I. Guevarra said on Wednesday.

“The NBI will do its own autopsy even as the Department of Justice (DoJ) examines any possible liability on the part of Jeannelyn Villavende’s recruiter,” he told reporters.

Ms. Villavende, a housemaid was allegedly killed by her employer in Kuwait. Preliminary reports showed she was beaten up.

A certificate of embalmment showed she died because of heart and respiratory failure due to multiple injuries on her vascular system, according to reports.

Mr. Guevarra said Kuwaiti authorities have exclusive jurisdiction over the crime. The Justice department can provide legal assistance by submitting documents, affidavits of family members, an autopsy report, e-mails, text messages and photos, among other things.

The Philippine Overseas Employment Administration (POEA) has stopped sending Filipino domestic workers to Kuwait after the incident. — Vann Marlo M. Villegas

Duterte appoints new high court justice

PRESIDENT Rodrigo R. Duterte has appointed a Court of Appeals Justice to the Supreme Court.

Appellate court Justice Samuel H. Gaerlan will occupy the post left by Chief Justice Diosdado M. Peralta after he was promoted.

Mr. Gaerlan, who graduated from San Beda College of Law in 1985, will retire in December 2028. He has been serving at the Court of Appeals since 2009.

He was among the 15 applicants for the position. The Judicial and Bar Council nominated him along with Court of Appeals Justices Manuel M. Barrios, Ramon R. Garcia, Jhosep Y. Lopez, and Eduardo B. Peralta, Jr. and Court Administrator Jose Midas P. Marquez.

He took his oath before Mr. Duterte on Jan. 8, according to Justice Secretary Menardo I. Guevarra, an ex-officio member of JBC.

Mr. Gaerlan was the 13th justice appointed by Mr. Duterte to the high court. — Vann Marlo M. Villegas

Duterte vows to jail officials for ‘onerous’ water deals

PRESIDENT Rodrigo R. Duterte on Wednesday vowed to prosecute officials responsible for onerous provisions in the government’s contracts with water utilities.

In a speech, Mr. Duterte said he had given Manila Water Co., Inc. and Maynilad Water Services “the choice, not an ultimatum” to accept new contracts without the clauses that allegedly disadvantage the government.

Officials of both water providers face criminal liability if they refuse, Mr. Duterte said, adding that the state could take over their facilities.

“Sign the new contract because if you don’t I will nationalize and take over the operations and I’ll send you to jail,” Mr. Duterte said. “I have two years to do that and I can do it,.”

Mr. Duterte’s six-year term ends in 2022.

Justice Secretary Menardo I. Gueverra on Tuesday said they were still finalizing draft contracts that are “fair and equitable.”

Mr. Duterte cited a “conspiracy theory” that there was a scheme to defraud the government, noting that copies of the water contracts had been kept from the public.

He accused Maynilad and Manila Water of committing “economic plunder” by imposing fees even if they had failed to deliver their promised water treatment services.

“I will see to it that a billionaire goes to prison,” Mr. Duterte said. — Gillian M. Cortez

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