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Metro Manila, Cavite and a few other areas with significant contributions to the national economy will remain under General Community Quarantine (GCQ) until July 15. With that, the government, people, and business will just have to wait another two weeks to see if these places can transition to the more lenient Modified General Community Quarantine (MCGQ). It depends mainly on the trend of the number of COVID-19 cases reported daily.
In a June 2020 Outlook Report by Moody’s Investor Service titled, “Global economy is limping back to life, but the recovery will be long and bumpy,” the firm noted that the second quarter of 2020 would “go down in history as the worst quarter for the global economy since at least World War II.” But, on the bright side, Moody’s also said it was expecting “a gradual recovery beginning in the second half of the year.”
Last Monday, June 15, was the 75th birth anniversary of the late Senator Miriam Defensor Santiago. She was 71 when she succumbed to lung cancer in September 2016, shortly after losing her third and final bid for the presidency. No less than President Rodrigo Duterte himself preferred to her as the most qualified presidential candidate in 2016. But it was not her fate.
The jury is still out on whether distance education, or even physical distancing in education, will effectively keep our children healthy, physically safe, and properly educated during the COVID-19 pandemic. I am sure there is plenty of research out there on the pros and cons of distance learning. More should be made public to help people make informed decisions based on data.
This is my 10th weekly column written in “quarantine.” And in that period, Metro Manila has dealt with the COVID-19 pandemic by going through varying degrees of lockdown. The “stay at home” protocol has disrupted many if not most aspects of people’s daily lives. By next week, however, there may be changes to the situation in and of the National Capital Region.
Some common folks theorize that fishing can still be good after a storm. This works on assumptions that: 1.) storms do not necessarily bother deep-sea fish, so bottom fishing is an option; and, 2.) fish don’t get to feed much during a storm and are thus hungry after. So, even if waters are still murky or cloudy after a storm, it can be easy to get fish to bite as long as you get their attention with the right bait.
I have yet to see data on how many businesses, particularly small and medium enterprises, in Metro Manila will not survive 2020 as a consequence of the COVID-19 pandemic. A few will probably start reopening by next week, some more perhaps by June 1. And of those that can resume by the second semester, I doubt very much if most will make it to the end of the year.
My friend Meniong, the late Negros Oriental governor and congressman Herminio G. Teves, would have been 100 years old on April 25. But it was not his fate to reach that milestone. It has been almost a year since he passed on last May 15, just 20 days after he celebrated his 99th birthday. It is in crucial times like now that I truly miss his practicality and old-age wisdom.
I choose to make a distinction between what we now commonly refer to as the “new normal” as opposed to the way things were pre-COVID-19. In my opinion, what is now emerging from this pandemic -- and the lockdown -- is actually a “temporary normal” that may last for about two to three years, or until mass vaccination is available to protect people against the coronavirus.
I am certain the COVID-19 lessons from Taiwan, Korea, and Hong Kong, as well as Japan and Singapore, and even in the United States, Italy, and the rest of Europe are not lost on our public officials and business leaders. I am likewise certain that many factors are now under consideration as the country decides on the next course or phase of action.
Expect some form of “rationing” to start in about two weeks, even with some easing on the Luzon-wide lockdown after April 30. And by this, I refer not only to food and other items but also in terms of work opportunities and access to various types of services. In fact, I foresee “rationing” to be a big part of our lives in the next couple of years, at least. What will be rationed? Supplies, to begin with. Many manufacturers and processors are still grappling with bottlenecks in raw material supply, in personnel, and in distribution. And even after the enhanced community quarantine (ECQ), as we move to another mode of quarantine or restriction, many of these bottlenecks will remain. For how long, we do not know.
First, there was the Great War, or the First World War, that ran from 1914 to 1918. Then, there was the Great Depression, or the worldwide economic recession that started in the United States in 1929 and lasted until the late 1930s. And prior to these, there was the Great Plague or the “Great Mortality” of 1347-1351, deemed the most devastating plague pandemic in history.
As I started to write this weekly column, my third in “quarantine,” a Paul Williams song titled, “What Would They Say,” came to mind. For those who may not remember that 44-year-old song, or were not yet alive at the time, I share with you below some of its lyrics. I recall the song was used in the 1976 TV movie The Boy in a Plastic Bubble, which got four Emmy nominations.
I spent some time outside the house yesterday, sitting in the driveway to get some sun. I have not done that for a long time. It was pleasant to enjoy a slight breeze, and hear birds chirping. And from where I sat, which was about 50 meters from the main road just outside our community’s main gate, I could see a few cars and motorcycles, and pedestrians passing by.
It is perhaps the loneliest and not the fittest, that are most likely to avoid COVID-19. “Lockdowns,” social distancing, and “independent” living are nothing new to people who live isolated, hermit-like lives. They live off-grid, away from crowds, and keep to themselves. They put a premium on privacy, and rarely use the internet or social media accounts.
Intelligence collection and intelligence analysis are key components of the intelligence-gathering discipline. But, gathering intelligence is not always clandestine, does not necessarily entail espionage, or employ subterfuge. At times, in fact, information is freely given or divulged with consent, either through human source, or research in open publication.
One media giant is now under fire from the government for alleged violations of its legislative franchise to broadcast. And while the concerns of ABS-CBN are now headlines, it is not really unusual for media companies -- or personalities -- to be in the sights of politicians at one time or the other. After all, news media have significant influence on Philippine political dynamics.
I am sure many people have shifted to cashless payments a long time ago, starting with doing credit card bill payments online. And then there came bills for household utilities like electric, telephone, water, cable TV and/or Internet service. In my case, in the last 20 years, I have found electronic and online payment to be a convenient and efficient mode of paying for personal bills.
Any idea or initiative, no matter how good or useful, can be prone to abuse. And this is on the part of either the people proposing or implementing the initiative, or the people that are intended to benefit from it. Worse, the negative consequences of such an initiative at times outweigh its benefits, or have unintended economic or social costs.
I worry that we are leaving our children, and their children, a world far worse than what we inherited from our predecessors. There is no doubt in my mind that there will be a tipping point at some time. When, where, and how, no one can predict. But, going by what is currently happening around us, it seems that point is nearing.
As of this writing, there were about 4,600 reported cases of Novel Corona Virus worldwide, and with about 100 deaths attributed to it specifically in China, where it all started. The world is worried, perhaps even more worried than when SARS or MERS wrought havoc years back. Incidentally, all these deadly viral infections started to occur only in the last 20 years.
ERP or Electronic Road Pricing is a mechanism presently used in a number of countries that charge motorists a certain amount for passing a particular road at a particular hour. It is similar to a toll fee, but pricing is determined primarily by “congestion” and time of use. The fee is higher when one chooses to pass a main road at “peak” hours.
The Tagaytay City of today is not the same sleepy town I knew 25 years ago when my family started frequenting the place on weekends and holidays. Back then, there were still lots of open spaces, clearings, green grass, trees, and pineapple plants. And, one could easily view Taal Lake and the volcano from anywhere on the ridge, along the main highway to Nasugbu.
If some of our people have little regard for their own safety, can we still expect them to have any regard for the safety of the rest of us? Self-preservation is a natural instinct. And yet, with the way some of us conduct ourselves, this does not seem evident. And with this being the case, then maybe little to nothing can be expected from us with respect to the preservation of others.
As I wrote this on Christmas Day, I couldn’t help but think about how technological advances particularly in communication have changed many of us, socially. I went simply by the number of Christmas greetings I had received these past few days: no greetings via telephone call or via e-mail; and, only one Christmas card via regular post/mail.
The House Committee on Ways and Means has approved the proposed “Single-Use Plastic Bag Tax Act,” which will impose a P20 per kilogram tax on single-use plastic shopping bags. The bill is estimated to raise about P4.8 billion annually for the government -- money that will finance activities under the Solid Waste Management Act of 2000.
During the Prohibition Era (1920--1933) in the United States, when the sale, manufacture, and transportation of alcoholic beverages was illegal throughout that country, illicit or hidden establishments emerged to illegally sell or serve liquor. Such a club or bar, called a speakeasy (or a blind pig or a blind tiger) became very popular among both the rich and poor.
Kudos to McDonald’s Philippines for giving senior citizens, presumably retirees, a “second” chance. Golden Arches Development Corp. (which operates McDonald’s Philippines) has said it has signed agreements with the Manila and Pasay City governments for the employment of senior citizens and persons with disabilities (PWDs) in McDonald’s branches in these cities.
If memory serves me, only two city mayors so far have become presidents of the republic: Joseph “Erap” Estrada and Rodrigo “Digong” Duterte. But Erap, from mayor of San Juan, first became a senator, and then the vice-president (1992-1998). Digong, on the other hand, was mayor of Davao City when he resigned to run -- successfully -- for the presidency.
“Build it and they will come,” was the old paradigm for retail. Without a physical store, a retailer could not expect to sell much. It was an imperative that to put a store with shelves fully stocked with products in high traffic areas. And thus, the management emphasis on “location, location, location.” Being at the right place was key or central to business success.
Investors in the “vaping” industry may soon get burned and find their money going up in smoke. Pardon the pun, but that is precisely what will happen if the Executive or Congress -- or both -- make good the Department of Health (DoH) threat recently to completely ban the sale, importation, distribution, and use of electronic or e-cigarettes and other vaping instruments.
The spread of African Swine Fever (ASF) among local pigs is already wreaking havoc on the local food production chain. As hog producers face losses due to dropping farm gate prices, as a result of a declining demand for pork, food processors are also now calling for a temporary ban on the use of local pork for canned and processed meat production.
I was at a 7-Eleven one early morning, having breakfast. From where I sat, I saw the display shelves behind the counter. They were full of various brands of cigarettes. And this, to me, indicated that despite the increase in taxes on tobacco products, the ban on smoking in public places as well as tobacco advertising, and the big and bold graphic health warnings on cigarette packs, many people still continue to smoke.
With over 30,000 stores globally, Starbucks is now the world’s largest “coffee” store chain. And while it is present in over 70 countries, in reality, however, only four big markets account for more than half of those stores: the United States, China, Japan, and Canada. In the Philippines, it reportedly has around 250 stores nationwide.
More than a year ago I wrote about a commentary in The World Post regarding new Dutch technology that was looking into incineration as a “clean” alternative to garbage disposal. And while we have existing laws on promoting solid waste management and banning incineration, I believe this matter deserves a second-look by our policy makers.
About a couple of years ago, a big parking lot was put up at the corner of Yakal St. and Chino Roces Ave. in Brgy. San Antonio, Makati City. At the start, very few cars could be seen parked there. But now, it is usually full. The lot appears privately owned, and the parking privately managed. But the benefit is to the public, particularly the San Antonio community.
When I went to UP Diliman, parking was not a problem. Far more students stayed in dormitories or commuted to and from school in those days. And of the few who drove to school, many of them were in car pools. In my case, I was lucky enough to be in such a pool, and there were five to six of us regularly taking the same ride going home to the south.
Change is inevitable, in anything. Nothing can forever remain constant. And change coming is just as sure as all living things die, eventually. But change doesn’t always mean moving forward. Sometimes, out of necessity, change means going back to the way things were. Again, not necessarily by choice, but as a matter of need.
A newspaper report quoted NEDA Secretary Ernesto Pernia as claiming that a National ID System -- which in our case, rolls out this month -- will help curb leakages in the government’s cash transfer programs as it can help better identify “deserving beneficiaries” and also correct the “lag between the need of the citizens who merit assistance, and the provision of the budget.”
I had breakfast at a 7-Eleven yesterday. I had a hot meal with hot coffee. It was a satisfying, and inexpensive, experience. The sad part, however, is that no matter how much a store tries to maintain order and cleanliness, its effort will always fall flat when up against customers who have little regard for the store itself and their fellow customers.
About two weeks ago, I had lunch at a culinary school in Makati City. I was seated somewhere between the main door and the buffet table. From where I sat, I could clearly see the main bar and the staff behind it -- as well as the school computer, which was, the whole time I was there for lunch, logged on to the social media application Facebook.
Southern Leyte has declared itself to be in a “state of calamity,” the fourth province to do so in recent weeks, because of the spread of the mosquito-borne tropical disease dengue. Such a declaration allows the provincial government to access funds set aside for disasters or calamities, and use them to pay for interventions that can help address the epidemic.
Should we relocate the National Government and its agencies outside of Metro Manila to decongest the metropolis? Should we take note of the claim of the state-run Bases Conversion and Development Authority (BCDA) that its New Clark City in Tarlac -- about 100 kilometers outside of Metro Manila -- is ready to become the new government center by 2030?
Farmers and economists alike see the urgent need to improve the agriculture sector, mainly with the aim of ensuring food security, and one hopes that 66-year-old William Dollente Dar of Santa Maria, Ilocos Sur may just be the man to get the job done. He is no stranger to the Agriculture portfolio, having once served as Secretary of the Department of Agriculture during the Estrada Administration.