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Bohol lifts COVID test requirement for fully-vaccinated tourists, Boracay to follow suit 

PANGLAO MUNICIPAL TOURISM OFFICE

FULLY-VACCINATED tourists going to Boracay will no longer be required to present a negative COVID-19 test result starting sometime in November as the island will soon hit 100% inoculation for residents and workers, according to the Tourism department.    

Bohol, another popular destination, has lifted the test requirement following a meeting Friday by the provincial task force against coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). 

In a statement on his Facebook page, Gov. Arthur C. Yap said the province’s mayors and members of the local medical society agreed that a negative test result can now be waived for tourists who will present a full vaccination proof from the Department of Health’s VaxCertPH system.    

Mr. Yap has signed an executive order on the new rule that takes effect Oct. 25.  

Tourism Secretary Bernadette Romulo-Puyat, in a statement on Sunday, said Governor Florencio T. Miraflores of Aklan, which has jurisdiction over Boracay, has made a “commitment… to accept visitors with proof of full vaccination — in lieu of a negative RT-PCR test result — once the island reaches a 100% vaccination rate among its residents.”  

As of Oct. 24, the Department of Tourism (DoT) estimated a 91% vaccination rate among tourism workers on the island and 62.78% for residents.   

“Our vaccination rollouts are crucial in protecting our tourism workers as they face visitors every day. With 100% of tourism workers in Boracay inoculated, the DoT is confident that in the weeks to come, tourism arrivals on the island will further increase and more tourism establishments will be able to reopen to restore jobs,” Ms. Puyat said.   

With restrictions eased since the second week of September, DoT said Boracay recorded 6,702 arrivals that month and 17,995 in the first three weeks of October.    

DoT also said there were no new active cases on the island as of Oct. 18.  

The entire Aklan province, covering mostly areas within the Panay mainland, had 197 active COVID-19 cases as of Oct. 23.  

“We believe that with the 100% inoculation of the island’s workers, the confidence of more Filipinos to travel will be restored, and that the island will be back on its feet sooner than anticipated,” said Ms. Puyat. — MSJ 

Next PHL gov’t needs tougher stance, foreign allies in South China Sea dispute — analyst 

PHILIPPINE COAST GUARD PHOTO

THE PHILIPPINES should take a more determined stance while forging stronger ties with foreign allies to assert its claim in the disputed South China Sea, an analyst said as China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs again brushed off last week the country’s protests against its “threats” and “provocation.” 

“Silence on our part means that the Philippines had accepted China’s de facto control of the South China Sea,” Renato C. de Castro, international studies professor at the De La Salle University, told BusinessWorld via Viber on Saturday.  

“We should continue filing diplomatic protests.”  

China maintains that it owns most of the disputed waters and has been abiding by international laws.   

“China’s position on the South China Sea issue is consistent and clear, and our maritime law enforcement departments has followed the UNCLOS (United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea) and other international law to have operations that defend our rights,” Wang Wenbin, a Chinese spokesman, said during a Beijing news briefing Thursday.   

“That is legitimate and justified.” 

The Department of Foreign Affairs (DFA) on Wednesday noted on Twitter that over 200 radio challenges, sounding of sirens, and blowing of horns have been made by Chinese government vessels against Philippine authorities conducting legitimate and routine patrols over and around its territory and maritime zones.  

DFA described China’s acts as “provocative” that not only threatened the peace and security of the South China Sea but also ran contrary to China’s obligations under international law.  

“There have been 211 notes verbale issued since 2016, majority of which (153) were filed in 2021,” said DFA Assistant Secretary Eduardo Martin R. Meñez on Thursday via WhatsApp, noting that the Philippines’ latest protest was on Sept. 30.  

Of the 153 filed this year, China officially acknowledged and responded to 151 complaints, but has not stopped activities in the Philippines’ exclusive zone that has been confirmed by an international arbitration court ruling in 2016.  

Mr. Renato also recommended that the Philippines join other navies for joint patrols and Freedom of Navigation operations.  

Australia, the United Kingdom, and the United States announced a security pact in September to strengthen presence in the Indo-Pacific region.   

Mr. Renato said the next Philippine leader who will be elected in the May 2022 polls must veer away from President Rodrigo R. Duterte’s defeatist approach.  

“We cannot afford an administration that will adopt a policy of appeasement again in the next six years,” he said. “We need a leader who can stand on the ground without being violent.”  

Mr. Renato also disagreed with presidential candidates planning to undertake joint development projects with the Chinese.  

“The Chinese will use this to trap you. If you become economically dependent on the Chinese, it will hold you by the neck, so let’s never fall for that,” he said in English and Filipino. — Alyssa Nicole O. Tan 

House rep pushes for approval of bill creating commission for boxing, combat sports 

REUTERS

A HOUSE lawmaker has called for the swift approval of a bill that will create a commission to support the growth of professional boxing and combat sports in the country.  

“For all the accolades that our boxers and combatant champions bring, it is high time that their welfare is prioritized,” said Camariñes Sur Rep. Luis Raymund “LRay” F. Villafuerte, Jr. in a statement.  

Mr. Villafuerte is seeking for the House’s consideration and approval of House Bill 9443 or the proposed Philippine Boxing and Combat Sports Commission Act.    

The proposed commission would be tasked to protect the welfare of combat sports athletes along with formulating and implementing a national policy for its growth and regulation in line with international standards.  

The measure would also mandate that matches can only be held if a practicing physician is present at ringside, ambulance services are available at the event venue, and if there is a nearby hospital.  

All professional boxers and combat sports athletes will also be automatically enrolled for government benefits such as social security and health insurance along with all related benefits provided under the law.  

They will also be exempted from paying travel-related taxes if they are competing in international events under the measure.    

The bill is pending in a technical working group with representatives from the House Committees on Government Reorganization and Games and Amusements.  

Mr. Villafuerte said that they are awaiting comments from the Department of Budget and Management on funding of the proposed commission. 

A counterpart bill in the Senate, filed by retired boxer and Senator Emmanuel “Manny” D. Pacquiao, Sr., was passed on Sept. 20. — Russell Louis C. Ku 

1st 7.6-km stretch of Davao coastal road eyed for opening by March 2022 

DPWH

DAVAO CITY — About 42% of the 18.2-kilometer Davao coastal road project is planned to be inaugurated by March next year, a Public Works department official said.   

The initial 7.62-km segment that will be opened stretches from Bago Aplaya in the southwestern part of the city to Times Beach, according to April Momo, an engineer at the Department of Public Works and Highways (DPWH)-Davao Region office.   

“That segment A is still proposed for inauguration by March of 2022. There will be two exits,” she said in a mix of English and Filipino, referring to exit points in Talomo and Times Beach.    

The remaining half of the coastal highway leads towards R. Castillo Street in Davao City’s central area. Construction for one of its major components, the Bucana Bridge, is expected to start within the first quarter next year.   

The P3.11-billion bridge will be funded through a China government grant, with the agreement signed by the Chinese Embassy in Manila and DPWH in December last year.  

The Davao coastal road will provide an alternative route to the Pan-Philippine Highway in the southern part of the city, which has been experiencing heavy traffic congestion. It will also serve as a diversion road for inter-provincial and regional transport movements. — Maya M. Padillo 

P5M worth of smuggled onions, other agri goods seized in CdO 

BUREAU OF CUSTOMS

CUSTOMS and law enforcement authorities found over the weekend millions worth of suspected smuggled agricultural products at a warehouse in Cagayan de Oro (CdO) in southern Philippines.  

The Bureau of Customs, in a statement on Sunday, said the warehouse located in Barangay Puntod was inspected and confirmed to contain imported garlic, onion, mung beans, carrots, and other assorted commodities.  

“The agricultural products shall be subject to seizure and forfeiture proceedings under Section 224 of the Customs Modernization and Tariff Act if the necessary import documents are not presented within 15 days,” Customs said.   

Sacks of red onions with an estimated value of P5 million were immediately seized from the storage facility as the Department of Agriculture verified that it has not issued an importation permit for these.  

The warehouse has been sealed and activities within the area have been suspended until clearance requirements for the other products are completed, the bureau said.  

Amendments to control fuel prices win support in House

PHILSTAR

By Russell Louis C. Ku

THE CHAIRMAN of the House Energy Committee said that he supports a Department of Energy (DoE) proposal to amend the oil deregulation law by introducing checks on the industry’s ability to charge high prices during crises.

“I have long pushed for a special mechanism to prevent overpricing in emergency situations. The Oil Deregulation Law does not give oil companies blanket authority to take advantage of consumers,” Pampanga Rep. Juan Miguel M. Arroyo said in a statement.

The DoE has asked Congress to amend the oil deregulation law to allow the government to intervene in the event of prolonged increases in the retail price of and to require the unbundling of retail fuel costs.

Mr. Arroyo said retail prices also reflect the industry’s cost of storage and marketing, which he also blamed for higher prices.

He said by telephone that he would hold a committee hearing this week to discuss amendments and consider the suspension of the excise tax, summoning officials from the DoE and Department of Finance (DoF).

The oil industry was deregulated through Republic Act 8479 or the Downstream Oil Industry Deregulation Act of 1998 to encourage competition and investment in the industry.

Energy officials have also submitted a letter to the Presidential Legislative Liaison Office to ask President Rodrigo R. Duterte to certify the amendments to the oil deregulation law as urgent. Congress will resume plenary session on Nov. 8.

According to a think tank, the suspension of taxes on fuel products would result in at least a 20% price decrease, which could help cushion the public impact of volatility in the international oil market.

Terry Ridon, convenor of Infrawatch PH, proposed that Mr. Duterte consider suspending the value-added tax and excise fees on petroleum products to address rising oil prices.

“With this volatile price environment, the public cannot wait for new legislation to address problems requiring urgent solutions,” he said in a policy paper.

The suspension of oil taxes would lead to a decline in the price of gasoline by P17.5 or 25% to P52.5/L while diesel costs would fall by P11.35 or 22.7% to P38.65, according to Mr. Ridon.

He said that these estimates are based on the assumption of pump prices for diesel and gasoline of around P50 and P70 per liter (/L) respectively.

“This affords the public the space to prepare for graduated price adjustments in the event the suspension is lifted, when new fiscal measures are implemented to more adequately respond to price volatility in the international oil market while balancing revenue and public impact,” Mr. Ridon said.

However, the DoF has warned that the suspension of excise tax would result in as much as P131.4 billion in foregone revenue for 2022, which could affect the management of the economic recovery.  

Mr. Ridon said by chat message that the suspension of taxes should only be short term until the price of crude oil “reverts an average price of around $70 per barrel.”

He also called on the government to reduce discretionary spending such as confidential and intelligence expenses, which need to be diverted to the pandemic containment effort while fuel taxes are suspended.

IBON Foundation said Saturday that suspending the excise tax will immediately lower the pump price of diesel and gasoline by P6.72 and P6.33 (/L).

It said government revenue lost can be offset by a suspension of corporate income tax cuts under the Corporate Recovery and Tax Incentives for Enterprises (CREATE) Law.

CREATE, signed on March 26, effectively reduced the corporate income tax rate to 25% for large corporations and 20% for small to medium businesses with net taxable income not exceeding P5 million, and total assets, excluding land, not exceeding P100 million starting July 2020.

“The group noted that the government projects revenue losses of P115.8 billion in 2021 and P101.8 billion in 2022 from CREATE’s corporate income tax cuts,” IBON said in a statement.

Energy Secretary Alfonso G. Cusi said rising in oil prices are due to the sudden increase in demand due to a surge in economic activity in other countries, a production slowdown, stockpiling ahead of winter, and international sanctions on Iran and Venezuela.

As of Oct. 19, pump prices for gasoline and diesel have increased by P19.65/L and P18/L respectively year to date, according to the DoE.

Northern Mindanao, Davao airports remain on list of priority infrastructure

PHILSTAR FILE PHOTO

THE AIRPORTS in the regional centers of Northern Mindanao and Davao are still on the government’s revised priority list of infrastructure projects, both with pending unsolicited proposals that have been granted original proponent status.

Mylah Faye B. Cariño, National Economic and Development Authority (NEDA) Northern Mindanao regional director, said the Laguindingan Airport that replaced the old Cagayan de Oro airport and the Davao International Airport are among the 28 projects included in the administration’s priorities.

The identified projects mainly focus on the southern island’s network of transport and logistics system with 21 related to improving mobility for people and goods.

“To achieve the socio-economic agenda (of the administration) … among the drivers is the acceleration of infra construction and development of industries that will yield robust growth across the country and create jobs,” Ms. Cariño said during last week’s five-day Kusog Mindanaw 2021 virtual conference.

Both airport contracts were originally lined up for private-public partnership covering development, construction, and maintenance under a 30-year concession period.

In 2018, original proponent status was given to Aboitiz InfraCapital, Inc. for Laguindingan and Chelsea Logistics Holdings Corp. for Davao. Their proposals have yet to undergo the Swiss challenge process that would allow competitors to submit counteroffers.

Ms. Cariño also said NEDA is looking further in its planning to set up a “foundation for the next administration.”

One of the main components of ongoing policy adjustments is better “regional equity.”

“We are working to ensure data- and science-driven way of allocating resources across the regions and provinces,” she said.

“And as we implement the Mandanas ruling that gives local government units more resources (from national taxes), we have to be more discerning in how we allocate resources to the most important use.”

Under the National Government’s revised infrastructure priority list of 112 projects worth P4.69 trillion, Mindanao is getting an 11.76% share or P551.42 billion.

Ms. Cariño said prior to the latest project list revision in June, the P4.13-trillion flagship program as of 2020 allocated about 26.7% to the capital region Metro Manila, 51.5% to the rest of Luzon, 13.1% to Mindanao, and 8.7% to the Visayas.

Undersecretary Romeo M. Montenegro, executive director of the coordinating agency Mindanao Development Authority, said infrastructure priorities must be determined in line with boosting the southern islands’ strength, which is agriculture.

“In terms of looking at the way forward, in the process of identifying what projects should be implemented and where in Mindanao, in terms of connectivity — whether road, bridge, airport or seaport — should be linked to agricultural productivity,” he said at the same forum. 

“The need to overlay poverty situation, our commodities in Mindanao, and the kind of projects that will have to be implemented… should be the rationale and the basis by which the National Government identifies and prioritizes what projects to be implemented in the context of Build, Build, Build,” he said. — Marifi S. Jara

Regional NGOs say new ADB energy policy falls short on ditching fossil fuels

REUTERS

By Bianca Angelica D. Añago, Reporter

NON-GOVERNMENT organizations (NGOs) within the Asian Development Bank’s (ADB) coverage area have expressed concerns about the bank’s new Energy Policy, saying that it does not do enough to deny funding to fossil fuel projects.

Announced just weeks before the 26th Conference of the Parties to the United Nations (UN) Framework Convention on Climate Change (COP26) on Oct. 31 to Nov. 12, the ADB has demonstrated an unwillingness “to close off options for financing for oil, gas, or coal and gas co-fired projects,” according to Tanya Lee Roberts-Davis, Energy Policy and Campaigns strategist of the NGO Forum on ADB.

Ms. Roberts-Davis said the policy leaves the door open for supporting coal expansion via financial intermediaries and associated infrastructure, cross-border oil and gas pipelines, diesel-powered plants in island and conflict-affected areas, liquified natural gas terminals, fossil fuel-reliant blue hydrogen, large-scale dams, waste to energy incinerators, and geothermal ventures.

“The conditionalities placed on gas financing are vague and the wording on coal remains ambiguous,” she added.

She said that though the policy allows the ADB to finance the early retirement of coal-fired power plants, it still has active direct investments in coal, for instance in the Jamshoro Project in Pakistan.

The ADB’s policy announcement coincided with the launch of the UN’s Production Gap Report, which confirmed the critical need to halt fossil fuel-dependent operations worldwide.

Grant Hauber, Energy Finance advisor of the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis, said the policy “falls materially short of being the manifesto for supporting a sustainable, low-carbon future.”

Mr. Hauber said that while the ADB focuses on eliminating coal support, “it leaves a significantly wide door open to other fossil fuels.”

Competitively procured renewable energy (RE) is the low-cost solution for Southeast Asia, he added.

“The private sector is excited to invest in it and can significantly expand its role in the energy market,” Mr. Hauber said.

He also noted that the ADB could do the greatest good by supporting the RE rollout by helping members modernize and strengthen their transmission grids, facilitate the adoption of storage technology, and work with governments on developing economically and sustainability-driven sector policies and regulations.

DTI urges companies to step up AI adoption

REUTERS

COMPANIES need to put artificial intelligence (AI) at the center of their modernization efforts in order to remain competitive after the pandemic, the trade department said.

Trade Undersecretary Rafaelita M. Aldaba said: “Initiatives such as AI must be harnessed and be placed at the core of all our endeavors to ensure that we will not only overcome overwhelming obstacles but also guarantee that our industries will remain adaptable (and ensure that) they thrive moving forward,” Ms. Aldaba said in a statement Sunday.  

The Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) also announced an Oct. 27 event on AI to boost competitiveness.

It added that the event will guide industries in preparing AI-adapted business strategies.

“This occasion will also showcase some the country’s experts in the field of AI who will deepen and broaden our understanding and appreciation of this new technology,” the DTI said.

“Through this event, a productive and constructive engagement is envisaged to revolve around aspects of paramount importance such as the potential of the envisioned National Center for AI research; experiences and insights on the adoption of AI by businesses, especially during the pandemic; and, critical issues surrounding AI particularly those that are related to ethics, governance and regulation,” it added. — Revin Mikhael D. Ochave 

Why data governance matters

With the rise in regulatory requirements and global industry standards to address the increased business consumption and volume of consumer data caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, companies have placed greater significance on the protection and handling of data. Now perceived as part of the wider challenge of maintaining operational resilience, issues in data quality, security, privacy and the threat of cyber-attacks rank higher on the data agenda of many organizations.

However, compliance with data handling policies can no longer be entrusted to Data Protection Officers (DPOs) alone — there needs to be an entire data lifecycle management process that is sustained by more individuals who will be held specifically accountable for both the responsible use and protection of data. This presents organizations with the opportunity to maximize data value through improved data governance, taking advantage of increased data volume to automate and scale data governance processes while ensuring its ethical use.

THE NEED FOR DATA GOVERNANCE
While data governance refers to the exercise of authority, control and shared decision-making over the management of data assets, it should be distinct from the concept of data management. Data management is the practice of ensuring that an organization’s data is accurate, relevant and effective in fulfilling its business objectives. This includes activities to maintain data such as data classification, labeling, and proper handling. Data governance, on the other hand, sets the policies on how an organization manages data, and implements and monitors compliance.

Data governance is mandatory for success if an organization wants to maintain a “single source of truth” to its data, enabling it to reduce redundant data, enhance data quality and maximize the value of information. According to the EY article “Three priorities for financial institutions to drive a next-generation governance framework,” organizations must focus on three key areas in governing the use of data.

DATA PRIVACY
Regulations around data privacy have become increasingly difficult to comply with, given the current data storage and access technologies. In the past, ensuring data privacy only entailed focusing on role-based access controls (RBAC) that restricted sensitive data access. Now, the widespread adoption of the cloud and the introduction of open application programming interfaces introduced new challenges not addressed by traditional controls. This makes it highly difficult for organizations to monitor the legitimate use of personal data, ensure transparency or obtain consent from individuals, and exercise data deletion for a specific individual.

Companies must take a structured approach along the entire data lifecycle to achieve compliance. Meeting customer needs and achieving compliance with privacy regulations requires organizations to be transparent in how they store, process, control, and distribute private data. While modern data privacy controls are growing as a trend, these controls are predicated on the exponential growth and diversity in data usage and sourcing. Traditional risk-based approaches that apply retrospective controls will not be sufficient to manage the complexity of data privacy as technologies and use cases become more sophisticated. For companies to ensure proper processing of personal data, they must take a structured approach along the entire data lifecycle similar to the traditional “process and controls” approach, with more forward-looking considerations.

CLOUD PLATFORMS AND DATA FABRICS
New technologies using public cloud will offer a competitive advantage if they can automate controls and reduce costs while being able to properly use data. The use of the cloud in particular can be seen as a new challenge for data governance or a simple extension of an existing technology practice. However, organizations must take the opportunity to use modern technologies to actually solve challenges in data governance.

A well-formed data governance framework for the cloud will need to consider regulation, visibility, data classification, risk management and change management. Organizations will need to determine the controls required to be compliant across regions, keep abreast of changing global regulations, and provide evidence that the necessary controls are in place. They must also determine how data should be classified, how different classifications should be handled, and how operational risk should be measured and reported. Organizations will need to exercise key controls in moving data while avoiding control gaps and ensuring consistency. These controls must be maintained over time, while the information in the cloud should be automatically tagged to make it useful for enterprise reporting.

ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE AND MACHINE LEARNING
Innovation through artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) is not just driving business transformation — it also highlights unique risks and challenges regarding the governance of data. Both AI and ML applications are becoming more accessible and powerful as firms increase their access to open-source algorithms, use of big data, and low-cost computing.

Organizations need to establish an AI/ML governance framework that addresses the data-related risks of AI/ML ecosystems in aggregate. The framework should use cases where new technologies are applied and include early risk assessments based on an understanding of AI and ML. It should ultimately be automated to balance risk against data value, mapped against clear benefits and business outcomes. As these technologies become more accessible and advanced, in turn becoming integral components of business functions, achieving this level of automation and integration will be imperative for organizations.

CLEAR DATA GOVERNANCE POLICIES AS A NEW BUSINESS IMPERATIVE
As companies grow increasingly cognizant of the disruption and risks posed by weak data protection, they need to develop robust data governance frameworks and prioritize improving controls over the ethical use of data. Organizations cannot wait for a cyber-attack or data breach — they must shift to a proactive strategy with enhanced capabilities in areas such as privacy frameworks, data and analytics growth, data traceability and detection, and data security and controls.

By strengthening capabilities that approach data in a protective and operationally efficient manner, organizations can enable a data governance framework that supports key business outcomes focused on long-term growth.

This article is for general information only and is not a substitute for professional advice where the facts and circumstances warrant. The views and opinions expressed above are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of SGV & Co.

 

Nixon C. Garais is a manager of SGV & Co.

Why 25 previous conferences have failed to stop climate change

CHUTTERSNAP AND UNSPLASH

But this one could succeed

THERE HAVE BEEN 25 conferences under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change since the body first met in 1995. Over that period, some 894 billion metric tons of carbon dioxide, about 37% of all greenhouse pollution in human history, has been emitted. What makes anyone think that the 26th meeting starting Oct. 31 — COP26 — will be any more effective?

The answer lies in the age-old challenges of forging major international agreements — and it may be more hopeful than you think.

One adage of multilateralism is that effective global accords can be deep and narrow, or broad and shallow, but won’t work if they try to be both deep and broad. The 1987 Montreal Protocol, which controlled chemicals that damage the ozone layer, is a classic example of the former. The treaty’s effects are deep — it’s legally binding on every UN member state and on its own will reduce global warming by as much as one degree Celsius — but its scope is narrow, in regulating a single niche set of compounds.

The UN’s human rights treaties, on the other hand, set sweepingly broad global standards for relations between the individual and the state. Their enforcement, however, is shallow, with even signatories often appearing to treat them as worthless paper promises. Nine of the 10 countries rated lowest for gender equality under the Women Peace and Security Index have ratified the UN’s Convention on the Elimination of all Forms of Discrimination Against Women.

This dichotomy puts climate talks at a disadvantage from the start. Their intent is stunningly broad: remaking the energy systems that have powered the entire planet since the Industrial Revolution, as well as land-use practices we’ve employed since the Stone Age. At the same time, enforcement must be deep, because the world can’t afford a repeat of the emissions trajectory we’ve been on since that first meeting.

To compound the problem, individual nations are deeply divided on how to proceed. This is best exemplified by the split between the Group of Seven major advanced economies — which together have accounted for about 53% of historical carbon emissions1 — and the Group of 77 developing nations. Controlling emissions in post-industrial economies whose populations have peaked is a far easier business than it is in nations just embarking on the rapid increase in population, income, and industrial activity that we call development.

The G-77, whose largest representatives include China, India, Brazil, and Indonesia, is often portrayed as the wrecker of negotiations: refusing to accept constraints on the ability to pollute and arguing that richer nations must cut their emissions faster before poorer ones agree to any absolute limits. G-7 countries are accused of making no allowances for the leg-up their own economies received from decades of emissions, and haranguing developing nations that have few alternative options.

This division has frequently shaped the talks. The core of the Kyoto Protocol, the first major climate agreement adopted at COP3 in 1997, was in essence a treaty between the G-7 plus the former Soviet Union, Australia, and New Zealand. If action on climate change is going to be hostage to the resolution of centuries-old disputes between colonial nations and their former empires, though, the prospects for the planet are grim, indeed.

Believe it or not, there’s still reason for optimism. One surprising fact about Kyoto is that an agreement widely considered a failure was in many ways a success. The countries that remained in the deal didn’t just meet the target of a 5% reduction in emissions over the two decades following 19902 — they went well beyond it, with reductions of 11% that deepened to 17% by 2019. That fits well with evidence that ambitious goals are more likely to be achieved than timid ones.

The problem with Kyoto wasn’t that countries didn’t reach the targets they’d committed to — it’s that too few committed to targets at all. Once you include the US and Canada, which pulled out of the protocol, that 11% drop in emissions narrows to a 2.2% fall. Throw in the developing economies that were excluded at the outset, and the picture is even worse. While fossil-fuel emissions from the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development rich-countries’ club fell about 4.4% between 1998 (the year after Kyoto was signed) and 2019, those from the rest of the world more than doubled.

That points to the last reason for cautious optimism. For most of the time these meetings have been taking place, delegates’ pre-eminent national interest in low-cost energy has been most easily served by remaining wedded to fossil fuels, while the physical risks of climate change have seemed remote and theoretical. Both sides of that equation are now changing with blistering speed.

Renewables are the cheapest source of new power generation for two-thirds of the world’s population, and even undercut existing fossil-fired power in China, India, and much of Europe, according to BloombergNEF. Electric vehicles made up 17% of car sales in the European Union in the June quarter, and 13% in China. While the current energy crisis will cause a short-term rise in fossil emissions to plug short supplies of power, China is redoubling its efforts to rein in polluting industries and India has warned that high oil prices will speed the transition to zero-carbon technologies.

On the other side of the ledger, recent floods in China, Germany, and India, and wildfires in Canada, plus the most active Atlantic hurricane season on record last year are evidence of the way the effects of climate change are growing ever closer. In just the US, there have been 18 separate billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2021 alone.

Countries at international conferences aren’t in it for show or charity. They’ll only sign up to agreements that they perceive to be in their best interests. For most of the past three decades, the raw economics of energy and climate have stood in the way of making a worthwhile deal. Finally, now, there’s an ill wind at negotiators’ backs.

BLOOMBERG OPINION

 

1Including the European Union as a whole, which is represented at the G-7 without being technically a member. The G-7 are the United States, Japan, Germany, France, the United Kingdom, Italy, and Canada.

2Technically, the end-date was an average of emissions during the period 2008 to 2012.

Security sector reform for the new administration

PHILIPPINE STAR/ MICHAEL VARCAS

The Philippines once again finds itself at a crossroads in a defining election season. Merely choosing between contending ideologies or programs of government has always been a luxury for Filipinos. Elections for this Southeast Asian nation are rather a time to determine which primary issue is on the ballot — good governance, the rule of law, or democracy itself. This coming election year, it is all of the above.

More than at any other time since the fall of the Marcos dictatorship, the fate of the nation is not just about a choice for a strong economy but, more importantly, about whether the economy — and our very sovereignty — will be saved by our ability to keep our democracy.

The delineation of who are the opposition and the administration candidates is a way for the public to distinguish between those who will seek to govern with fidelity to democratic principles versus those who have become enamored with a system of government that favors weak institutions; between those who believe that democracy still delivers development outcomes best and those who are willing to explore illiberal government — essentially, authoritarianism. For the latter, the transition from the current dispensation would be very nearly seamless. The country is teetering on the edge of the precipice.

The true opposition will need to claw the country back from the brink. This needs to begin with the determined and systematic undoing of the current administration’s authoritarian policies, programs and activities. For most people yearning for a return to decency, responsiveness, and competence in government, this undoing will center around what social scientist Nicole Curato has referred to as “the securitization of social issues.”

From the pandemic to the war on drugs to the manner in which the government has dealt with the threat of terrorism (external or internal), the security sector, especially the police, has played an outsized and wholly inappropriate role for the Duterte administration.

While it is said that truth is the first casualty of war, due process, the respect for human rights, and the diminution of individual liberties have been selectively sacrificed by this government in the name of greater efficiency and effectiveness to deliver social and economic goods. This is a textbook case. In what is referred to as an illiberal government’s toolkit to leverage populist governance, a Brookings report argues that, “(l)iberal principles — political ideas that espouse the importance of individual liberties, minority rights, and the separation of power across levers of government — and democratic institutions — processes that translate popular will into public policy through legitimate elections — are being pulled apart” (“The Anatomy of Illiberal States”).

There is a method to the madness. Communities truly feel (and do not imagine) the immediate increased peace and safety. But this has been a quick fix and at the end of the day, this method has neither stemmed the high COVID-19 transmission rate nor the availability of illicit drugs in our streets.

This has all been a play of light and shadows. This is essentially about instilling fear, and this method, we attest, can be efficacious.

It then falls upon the opposition candidates to present a path forward for the country. It is not easy, for we have strayed far off from the straight path. The policy declaration alone will be fraught with risks.

The opposition cannot ignore the 800-pound gorilla in the room. And to mix metaphors, the big gorilla is the security sector that occupies the room and that constricts the breathing space of a democracy already on oxygen support. It is the instrumentalities of State security that have been used, very possibly criminally, against the State’s own citizenry.

So, what direction should be taken? A new administration must send up and down the chain of command an unimpeded directive that breaks away from policies and practices that violate human rights and constitutional processes like due process.

It must communicate a clear message to the public that accountability will be taken seriously, including conducting the necessary investigations and holding erring personnel immediately to account — in a manner that is serious and robust in substance and process so as not to be mistaken as merely performative. It must manifest a desire and commitment to correct the institutions by undertaking reforms in staffing, structure, systems and strategies, policies, programs and behavior.

Further, it must acknowledge that the digression from professional and legal standards and procedures emanated from the high-ranking officers of the Philippine National Police (PNP) and from the corrupting elements at the highest levels in the executive branch.

And how will the above look like in concrete terms?

1.) Rescind all government memoranda that codify Oplan Tokhang.

2.) Fully cooperate with the Supreme Court on its decision ordering the Philippine National Police (PNP) to submit the data on the Duterte administration’s war on drugs.

3.) Investigate, in support of the efforts of the Department of Justice, all cases of killings of alleged drug suspects reported by human rights and civil society groups and the media, beyond the cases acknowledged by the PNP.

4.) Suspend or replace any police chief and station or precinct commanders who have been (or will be) named or charged in court cases related to the war on drugs.

5.) Critically review the Anti-Terrorism Act and the Human Security Act.

6.) Disavow “lawfare” in all its forms, and commit to repair the institutional damage wrought by it.

7.) Disband the National Task Force to End Local Communist Armed Conflict (NTF-ELCAC).

8.) Suspend or replace any military officer and personnel who have been (or will be) named or charged in court cases related to human rights violations, including red-tagging and extra-judicial killings.

9.) Review and enhance the mandate and capacity of the Commission on Human Rights.

10.) Resume in earnest the peace talks.

11.) Reaffirm the Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court (ICC).

The list of reforms is long and hard. There is so much at stake in the forthcoming elections. Security sector reforms are the clear expression of the electoral issues on good governance, rule of law, and democracy itself.

 

Jose Maria M. Mendoza works in development policy and management, with a focus on justice, human rights, and democracy.