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More Filipinos tap BNPL services as credit access remains limited

PICKAWOOD/UNSPLASH

THE USE of buy now, pay later (BNPL) services among Filipinos increased in the first quarter from the previous year amid limited access to credit and lending products, according to a study by TransUnion.

TransUnion’s Consumer Pulse Study showed that among the Filipino respondents who said they have heard of BNPL, which was at 82% of the total, 63% said they made at least one BNPL transaction in the past year, up from 61% in the first quarter of 2023.

The survey was conducted from Feb. 6-14 and covered 977 Filipino consumers aged 18 years and older.

Gen Z’s drove the increase in the use of BNPL services, with 81% being aware of these products and 65% saying they used BNPL in the past 12 months, up from 57% a year prior, which was the biggest increase among all generations.

“Gen Z’s technological literacy and personal financial outlook appeared to contribute to a trend observed with buy now, pay later services — an alternative credit-enabled payment method that allows consumers to immediately finance purchases and pay them back in fixed installments over a relatively short period of time,” TransUnion said.

Easy application was the top reason Gen Zs cited for using BNPL, along with simply wanting to try it (17%), spreading payments over time (11%) and as an alternative to afford a larger purchase (11%).

Meanwhile, 68% of Millennials who claimed awareness of BNPL (86%) said they made at least one BNPL purchase in the period, TransUnion said.

“For many Filipinos, buy now, pay later services offer financial convenience and flexibility by letting them tailor their payment terms to best suit their needs and preferences,” said Weihan Sun, principal of Research and Consulting for Asia Pacific at TransUnion.

“With the noted increase in usage of such services among consumers, especially the younger generation, businesses and other players in the formal financial sector must develop robust underwriting systems to efficiently cater to the expectations of an increasingly digital savvy demographic. This entails striking a delicate balance between capitalizing on the growing opportunities and mitigating potential risks in terms of operational efficiency and delinquency management,” Mr. Sun added.

The study showed that 96% of Filipino respondents see credit as important in achieving their financial goals, TransUnion said. However, only 35% of them said they have sufficient access to credit and lending products, down from 46% in the same period last year, the study showed.

Of the Filipinos surveyed, Gen Z, or those aged 18-26, said they had the least access to credit and lending products at 32%. This was followed by Baby Boomers (30%), Millennials (28%) and Gen X (26%). 

Majority or 88% of the survey’s Gen Z Filipino respondents said they carried out online transactions in the first quarter. Meanwhile, 89% of them said they expected their income to increase in the next 12 months.

MONITORING CREDIT, FRAUD
Amid increased online transactions, TransUnion’s study also found that more Filipinos are monitoring their credit, with 70% of the respondents saying checked their credit reports at least monthly, up from 65% last year.

“This uptick reflects a growing awareness of the importance of credit health and its implications on financial opportunities,” it said.

The age group that checked their credit reports the most was Millennials at 75%, followed by Gen Z at 74%, Gen X at 65%, and Baby Boomers at 56%.

The Gen Z respondents who said they did not monitor their credit reports also went down to 14% from 17% at end-2023.

“Over the past year, the percentage of Gen Z Filipinos who said they do not monitor their credit reports fell every quarter — all the way from 29% in Q1 2023,” TransUnion said.

The top reason for Gen Zs checking their credit reports was for protection against fraud at 55%. This was followed by finding ways to improve their credit score (34%) and to learn about possible credit offers (30%).

“Among methods employed by fraudsters, phishing — the deceptive practice of masquerading as a trustworthy entity in e-mails or via websites to steal sensitive information — was the most reported scheme (49%) among Filipinos who said they were targeted with online, e-mail, phone call or text messaging fraud attempts in the last three months,” TransUnion said.

“Other common fraud methods reported were smishing (43%) — similar to phishing but conducted through SMS text messaging — and money or gift card scams — where victims are deceived into sending money or purchasing gift cards under false pretenses (36%),” it added.

Younger generations showed growing awareness of these kinds of financial scams, it said, as Gen Z Filipinos who said they were not aware of being targeted by fraudulent schemes in the last three months dropped to 28% from 37% last year.

“As technology advances, consumers now have access to a variety of payment options that cater to their preferences. Yet, alongside the growth of digital convenience comes the inherent risk of fraud. Although it is encouraging to see the increased ability of younger Filipinos to recognize fraudulent schemes, fraudsters remain relentless in their efforts to adapt and exploit vulnerabilities,” Mr. Sun said. 

“These dynamics underscore the critical need for proactive fraud prevention strategies which encompass robust security measures and continuous consumer education by financial institutions. As more members of Gen Z enter the consumer market, implementing multi-layered defenses against fraud while ensuring friction-right customer experiences becomes crucial for the long-term success of all financial institutions in the country,” he added. — A.M.C. Sy

Philippine Seven board OK’s move to reduce board size

BW FILE PHOTO

7-ELEVEN operator Philippine Seven Corp. said its board has approved a move to reduce the number of the company’s directors to nine from 11 to optimize governance practices.

The amended number of directors is provided under the sixth article of the company’s amended articles of incorporation, Philippine Seven Corp. said in a regulatory filing.

“Upon ratification by the stockholders, the amended articles of incorporation will be further amended to facilitate compliance with Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)-recommended best practices on corporate governance and to ensure compliance of required number of independent directors,” it said.

The approved amendment will take effect once approved by the SEC and during the company’s annual stockholders meeting in 2025.

Philippine Seven Corp. announced separately that its board also approved the eligibility of Jose T. Pardo to be elected as independent director for another term, citing his experience and expertise.

“The extension of term shall provide continuity and the transition to the board succession planning program,” Philippine Seven Corp. said.

“The company would require his continued guidance and leadership, with the other two independent directors elected last year, for continuity in the board to keep track of the valuable information of management’s pivot projects that has assisted the board to make forward thinking decisions,” it added.

The board will recommend the extension of Mr. Pardo’s term limit for stockholder approval during the company’s annual stockholders meeting on July 18.

On Thursday, Philippine Seven Corp. shares climbed by 6.9% or P6 to P93 per share. — Revin Mikhael D. Ochave

Underestimating human stupidity

FREEPIK

Yubal Noah Harari’s 21 Lessons for the 21st Century, published in 2018, is indeed a “probing and visionary investigation” into the most imperative, most compelling issues in the 21st century. Equally intriguing are the sub-headings he assigned to each sub themes of the five challenges he identified for this century, namely, technological, political, despair and hope, truth, and resilience.

On work, he warned us “when you grow up, you might not have a job.” On civilization, he argued that “there is just one civilization in the world.” On justice, he opined “our sense of justice might be out of date.” On education, he was rather emphatic that “change is the only constant.”

Under the challenge posed by despair and hope, the 11th lesson for Harari has something to do with war.

War remains resonant to us today because despite two world wars, we continue to think and act cluelessly as to their painful lessons. George Santayana’s warning against those who cannot remember the past seems lost to many generations of political and military leadership. We continue to see and experience conflicts in the 21st century. The Imperial War Museums (IWM) chronicles the wars in Sierra Leone which started in 1991 and lasted until 2002, Afghanistan from 2001 to 2014, Iraq from 2003 to 2011, Libya from 2011 to 2020, Syria from 2011 to 2023, and Yemen in 2014 and the situation there is still precarious.

War remains a buzzword today because nations continue to play hegemony as a board game. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022 was actually its third after the annexation of Crimea by the Russian Federation in 2014 and the war in Donbas between 2014 and 2022. We cannot overemphasize the IMF’ reference to the war in Ukraine as an unmitigated catastrophe for global peace. Aside from the inevitable consequences on human lives, the Ukraine war has also compounded the challenges of inflation, poverty, food security, deglobalization, and environmental degradation. The war has so far destroyed physical capital, millions of residents have fled the country, and the economy is a total mess.

War troubles us to no end because its unnecessary brutality could truly make us skeptical about humanity. The heinous attack on Israel by Hamas on Oct. 7, 2023, unleashed another endless cycle of retribution. Many Arabs have themselves held Hamas accountable for what happened. One can denounce Hamas’ brutal takeover of Gaza, its strategy of “armed resistance,” Hamas’ strategy of hiding behind the civilian Palestinian community, and its desire to continue destabilizing the Arab world. They fuel dissent to force other Arab nations to rescue it from the war it initiated against Israel. So far, some Arab nations like Egypt, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates have been reported to view Hamas and Islamic Jihad as “threats to their own national security.” Hamas’ agenda goes beyond the possible two-state solution; it is pledged to protect its own fighters rather than uphold its broader governance responsibility over the citizens of Gaza. Brutality stares in the face of Gaza residents who have no food and water, have seen their shelters flattened to the ground, and are always vulnerable to murder and rape.

The brutality of war can be inflicted not only on human lives and national security, but also on national and global economies. IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva was more than diplomatic when she said that un-certainty now hangs over the Middle East region. Some 80% of Gaza’s economy has been wiped out, while the scope of the war has expanded with Iran launching its first direct attack on Israel two weeks ago. Attacks by the Houthi rebels in Yemen on ships navigating the Red Sea have disrupted trade routes in the Suez Canal, quadrupled transport cost, and cancelled many tourist trips to the area. Funds that could have financed economic devel-opment will now have to be diverted to war rehabilitation.

For Harari, the last few decades have been the most peaceful era in human history. Human violence in early agricultural times caused 15% of human deaths; in the 20th century only 5%; today, human violence is responsible for only 1% of deaths. Ironically, since the Global Financial Crisis of 2008-2009, the international situation has deteriorated, warmongering has resumed, and military expenditure has risen.

But there is a difference between what is happening today and the First World War.

In the past, successful wars held much appeal to the ruling elite. Successful wars contributed to economic prosperity and political power. From the times of the Assyrians and the Qin, Harari claims that great empires owed their status to violent wars of conquest. In the same way, Japan, Germany, and Britain founded their territorial power on victorious war exploits and plunder. The US expanded the Union by military action in California, Nevada, Utah, Arizona, New Mexico, and parts of Colorado, Kansas, Wyoming, and Oklahoma.

Today, successful wars may be extinct. This may have been caused by a change in the nature of the economy. Economic assets back then were mostly material such that military success could easily enrich conquering states. Ancient empires prospered from the trade of slaves and taking over wheat fields and gold mines. Yes, some terrorist states could still loot oil wells and plunder banks, but the returns could be relatively feeble.

Today, this is no longer feasible for giant states like China and the United States. With a GDP of over $20 trillion, how would China justify fighting a direct war against the United States and paying the huge expenses of waging a war, and after that, paying all the war damages for a hundred billion dollars? It’s arguable unlikely that the People’s Liberation Army would march into Silicon Valley and loot Apple, Facebook, and Google. As Harari said, “there is no silicon mine in Silicon Valley.”

Since Hiroshima and Nagasaki, the big powers have refrained from fighting one another directly. They have instead shifted to what used to be called low-intensity conflict, or low-stake conflict, in which the use of nuclear arms is not an option. Proxy war is one option. Even provoking a small country with nuclear capability should not be considered; one cannot underestimate human folly.

Cyberwarfare, according to Harari, is another reason why a hegemonic agenda may not prosper today. One does not even have to possess an enormous mighty army or nuclear armament. If China, or the United States, at-tacks even just an emerging country with moderate cyberwarfare capabilities, malware and logic bombs, Harari projects, “could stop air traffic in Dallas, cause trains to collide in Philadelphia and bring down the electric grid in Michigan.” We are living with technologies that could cause high damage but low profit in establishing economic empires.

But people can be stupid, Harari warned. World War II could have been avoided if the Japanese generals, admirals, economists, and journalists did not concur with the view “that without control of Korea, Manchuria, and the Chinese coast, Japan was doomed to economic stagnation.” With Germany and Italy, Japan fought and lost the war, but they prospered after their defeat.

How do we then appreciate the bullying by China of the Philippines?

China is definitely playing with fire. It simply ignored the unanimous ruling of the Arbitral Tribunal in the South China Sea (read, West Philippine Sea) that “the pre-existing historic rights no longer exist as they are not com-patible with UNCLOS. Accordingly, the Tribunal concluded that China’s claims were contrary to UNCLOS and exceeded the geographic limits imposed by it.”

There is definitely a scope for understanding Beijing’s stubborn attitude. As Former US State Secretary Henry Kissinger emphasized in his interview with Charlie Rose in December 2023, China has both a long history and a different sense of history.

They will continue to insist on their historic rights because they believe they are simply restoring them over the whole of the South China Sea, even with territorial overlaps with several countries. Despite the cultural revolu-tion and the demolition of ancient feudal culture, China continues to adhere to the idea that they are zhongguo, or the “Middle Kingdom.” China believes that what it is doing is in keeping with its majestic conduct and great achievement accumulated over thousands of years.

If Chairman Mao were alive today, we don’t know what kind of policy he would take on the South China Sea. It would not be too unlikely for him to instruct the Chinese Cost Guard to continue hosing us with water for the next 1,000 years. They have been into brinkmanship for thousands of years, they can afford to sustain it for another millennium. We hope war with China is not imminent.

For Harari, the exit strategy is humility.

If China realizes that its interest could be parallel with world peace as well as regional stability and understanding, humility has a chance of being born. The only wild card is when human stupidity gets in the way.

 

Diwa C. Guinigundo is the former deputy governor for the Monetary and Economics Sector, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP). He served the BSP for 41 years. In 2001-2003, he was alternate executive director at the International Monetary Fund in Washington, DC. He is the senior pastor of the Fullness of Christ International Ministries in Mandaluyong.

The idea of an exciting romcom

By Brontë H. Lacsamana, Reporter

Movie Review
The Idea of You
Directed by Michael Showalter
Prime Video

THE BEST-selling book The Idea of You by Robinne Lee has earned a movie adaptation, a cause for celebration for many women that enjoyed the fantasy of a 40-year-old woman being swept away by a 20-year-old world-famous boyband member. For others not exposed to the book, having beloved star Anne Hathaway and young romcom favorite Nicholas Galitzine attached to the title is enough of a draw.

Directed by Michael Showalter and co-written by Jennifer Westfeldt, the film is pretty much fan fiction focused on getting together with a Harry Styles-type fellow (of British boyband One Direction fame). It follows sophisticated, middle-aged art gallerist and divorcée Solène Marchand (Hathaway), who accompanies her teenage daughter to the Coachella music festival, where she meets mega celebrity Hayes Campbell (Galitzine) of the band August Moon.

It’s filmed with realism despite the story itself clearly being a work of fantasy, as the older woman is whisked away on a steamy, globe-trotting affair with the young man of her dreams. There’s no surprise the novel blew up over the pandemic — it has enviable travel, a genuine connection between two unlikely souls, and neverending sex.

Depending on your tolerance for overly romantic stories, you will either feel your heart flutter or groan at all the clichés. The Idea of You leans into it, bringing to a wider audience a form of art that generally appeals to women.

The film addresses the rarity of a romcom where a woman in a May-December situation is depicted as living her best life, at the cost of society’s standards. “People hate happy women,” Solène’s daughter Izzy says, in support of her mother’s choices (after the initial shock of finding out, of course). But the backlash is instantaneous, with people online calling Solène a cougar and a Yoko Ono for potentially breaking up the boyband.

It would work better, though, if Solène wasn’t such a mopey caricature. She’s reduced to a heartbroken woman, suffering from trust issues from her recent divorce. Her gallery is such a small one that the hot, rich celebrity hunk that’s courting her is able to buy out all of the art in it within minutes. When she takes him to a sizeable house that her evil ex-husband used to call just a “starter home,” she cries about the trauma she’s been through.

After that, he whisks her away on the romantic, sexual adventure, because there’s no more art in the gallery to sell (he bought it all out!) and her daughter is away all summer (she’s at camp!). At this point, if not for Hathaway’s charm and star power, this woman’s lack of a life outside of the fantasy would simply be unwatchable.

Though it’s great to depict how people can have worth despite feeling small and undesirable, it probably wouldn’t have hurt to give the character of Solène a bit more ambition, appeal, and dignity along with the relatability. Many young women look up to the image of a hot, quirky, trendsetting middle-aged gallerist, or magazine editor, or cultured wine lady, or the like — that feels like what Solène could have been if she hadn’t been dumbed down for mainstream audiences. It would give a Hayes Campbell type all the more reason to find her alluring. The Idea of You really is a testament of Anne Hathaway’s undeniable talent that she made Solène feel like a person rather than a one-dimensional fanfic stand-in for the average lovelorn woman.

Meanwhile, Galitzine, who is no stranger to this genre after his proud military man turn in Purple Hearts and his repressed, gay prince in Red, White, and Royal Blue, ticks all the boxes of the dream guy. (Yes, he had a great comedic role in Bottoms, but he wasn’t a romantic lead in that one.) The film kind of fails to set up Hayes as the most well-groomed, artistically inclined member of August Moon, making the art gallerist-celebrity client cover-up for their relationship seem laughably fake. But Galitzine somehow manages to sell the ruse in the few moments it comes up.

(Spoilers ahead.)

Near the end, the film tackles repercussions, with toxic online fanbases and their wide reach affecting the daughter, Izzy (played believably by Ella Rubin). The ending has a touch of realism to it, given how it doesn’t sanitize the fantasy and fool us into believing the controversial relationship can easily work out. More could have been said about how internet culture magnifies rabid fan phenomena and the problematic way people treat women past their prime, but it doesn’t give the characters means to directly address it outside of on-the-nose feminist one-liners.

While the story itself screams fanfic, which means audiences should already expect fanfic tropes and clichés, the ideas being played with hint at there being something more. It fully accepts the romcom genre and its blandest, most predictable elements despite the potential for more nuance. Even the unearned needledrops of Maggie Rogers’ beautiful song “Light On” (to open the film, and in a “five years later” transition) feel like wasted potential.

In fact, the biggest accomplishment made by The Idea of You is pairing up Hathaway and Galitzine. Their individual charisma plus their strong chemistry made every scene better than it really is. The film may have had the idea of being an exciting romcom, but it sadly doesn’t live up to it.

The Idea of You is available on Prime Video.

Analysts’ April inflation rate estimates

HEADLINE INFLATION may have quickened for a third straight month in April and possibly breached the Philippine central bank’s 2-4% target range, analysts said. Read the full story.

 

Analysts’ April inflation rate estimates

PNB net profit up on higher interest income, lower expenses

WIKIPEDIA.ORG

PHILIPPINE National Bank’s (PNB) net income rose by 10.39% in the first quarter amid higher interest earnings and decreased provisions and expenses, it reported on Thursday.

The bank’s net income stood at P5.31 billion in the first quarter, climbing from the P4.81 billion booked in the same period last year, according to part of PNB’s unaudited financial statement for the period disclosed to the stock exchange.

Its full quarterly report was unavailable as of press time.

The bank’s net interest income grew by 11.87% year on year to P11.69 billion last quarter from P10.45 billion.

Net earnings from service fees and commissions likewise increased by 23.74% to P1.18 billion in the period from P1.55 billion a year prior.

As a result, PNB’s core income was at P12.88 billion in the first quarter, climbing by 7.27% from P12 billion in the comparable year-ago period.

Meanwhile, non-interest income decreased by 65.05% to P1.19 billion in the January-March period from P3.4 billion a year prior.

This came even as the bank booked higher trading and investment and foreign exchange gains of P522.327 million from P387.564 million, as income from other sources dropped to P665.539 million from P3.011 billion previously.

The decline in non-interest earnings caused PNB’s total operating income to go down by 8.69% to P14.06 billion in the first quarter from P15.4 billion in the same period a year ago.

Meanwhile, operating expenses decreased by 7.53% to P7.34 billion in the period from P7.94 billion a year prior.

The bank set aside lower loss provisions in the first quarter at P619.76 million, down 61.62% from P1.61 billion in the same period last year.

PNB’s loans and receivables declined by 1.01% to P609.95 billion at end-March from P616.71 billion at end-2023, its consolidated statements of condition showed.

On the funding side, deposit liabilities also went down by 1.25% to P916.39 billion as of March from P927.97 billion at end-2023.

The bank’s total assets stood at P1.196 trillion at end-March, down by 1.2% from P1.21 trillion at last year’s close.

Meanwhile, its total equity grew by 2.86% to P196.62 billion in the period from P191.15 billion at end-2023.

PNB’s shares declined by 25 centavos or 1.15% to close at P21.45 apiece on Thursday. — A.M.C. Sy

Hell’s Kitchen and Stereophonic tie for most 2024 Tony nominations

STEREOPHONICPLAY.COM

NEW YORK — Alicia Keys’ musical Hell’s Kitchen and 1970s rock-inspired Stereophonic led the nominations for the 2024 Tony awards, American theater’s highest honors, followed by The Outsiders, Cabaret at the Kit Kat Club, and Appropriate.

The nominations, announced by the Tony Awards committee on Tuesday, also include multiple nods for Merrily We Roll Along, Water for Elephants, Purlie Victorious: A Non-Confederate Romp Through the Cotton Patch, and Suffs.

Suffs, which chronicles the National American Woman Suffrage Association’s fight for voting rights, was produced by former first lady and 2016 presidential candidate Hillary Clinton.

“Congratulations to @suffsmusical on the Tony nod for Best Musical, plus five other nominations!” Clinton wrote on X with a photo of herself and the show’s lead Jenny Anderson at the Broadway premiere.

The winners will be announced at a June 16 ceremony that also marks the 77th anniversary of the awards honoring Broadway talent.

Hell’s Kitchen and Stereophonic each received 13 nominations with The Outsiders, based on S.E. Hinton’s 1967 young adult novel and Francis Ford Coppola’s 1983 film adaptation, receiving 12 and Cabaret at the Kit Kat Club, a revival of the 1966 musical, garnering nine.

“Thank you to Susie Hinton, who at 15 years old wrote the novel The Outsiders, an unflinching, raw, real portrait of what it actually feels like to be a teenager growing up in the great class divide chasm of America,” said Danya Taymor, nominated for best direction of a musical for her work on The Outsiders.

“It’s a story for everyone that can help us all hold one another close through the hardest of times. It’s an honor to be able to share this story with a new generation of theatergoers,” she added.

Dancer and educator, Camille A. Brown, could be the first Black woman to win a Tony for best choreography following her nomination for Hell’s Kitchen.

“I am absolutely honored and thrilled to receive this nomination for my work on Hell’s Kitchen. To celebrate being born and raised in NYC and create movement to Alicia Keys music was a dream and to be acknowledged is really special. Shoutout to my hometown, Queens, NY!” she said in a statement.

Nominees for best actor in a play are William Jackson Harper, Leslie Odom, Jr., Liev Schreiber, Jeremy Strong, and Michael Stuhlbarg while nominees for best musical actor are Brody Grant, Jonathan Groff, Dorian Harewood, Brian d’Arcy James, and Eddie Redmayne.

Contenders for best actress in a play are Betsy Aidem, Jessica Lange, Rachel McAdams, Sarah Paulson, and Amy Ryan. Musicals nominees are Eden Espinosa, Maleah Joi Moon, Kelli O’Hara, Maryann Plunkett, and Gayle Rankin.

The event, at New York City’s Lincoln Center for the Performing Arts, will feature returning host actress Ariana DeBose and will air on CBS and Paramount+, the committee said. — Reuters

Microsoft to invest $2.2B in cloud and AI services in Malaysia

WIKIMEDIA.ORG

KUALA LUMPUR — Microsoft said on Thursday it will invest $2.2 billion over the next four years in Malaysia to expand cloud and artificial intelligence (AI) services in the company’s latest push to promote its generative AI technology in Asia.

The investment, the largest in Microsoft’s 32-year history in Malaysia, will include building cloud and AI infrastructure, creating AI-skilling opportunities for 200,000 people, and supporting the country’s developers, the company said.

“We want to make sure we have world class infrastructure right here in the country so that every organization and startup can benefit,” Microsoft Chief Executive Satya Nadella said during a visit to Kuala Lumpur.

Microsoft will also work with the Malaysian government to establish a national AI Centre of Excellence and enhance the nation’s cybersecurity capabilities, the company said in a statement.

Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim, who met Mr. Nadella on Thursday, said the investment supported Malaysia’s efforts in developing its AI capabilities.

Microsoft is trying to expand its support for the development of AI globally. Mr. Nadella this week announced a $1.7-billion investment in neighboring Indonesia and said Microsoft would open its first regional data center in Thailand. — Reuters

Think tank backs P690 hike in daily wages

PHILIPPINE STAR/EDD GUMBAN

IBON Foundation said it is proposing a P690 across-the-board increase in daily wages to bring worker pay more in line with the prevailing cost of living.

“The National Capital Region has the largest minimum wage of all regions at P610, but this is a bit more than half (51%) of the P1,197 living wage (for a family of five),” IBON said, citing the results of a study.

It said such an increase will address wage injustices and ensure that nominal wages keep pace with the cost of living, providing “substantial immediate relief” to workers and their families.

Federation of Free Workers President Jose Sonny G. Matula said in a Viber message to BusinessWorld: “Given the rising cost of living and ongoing inflation and the high rate of hunger as shown by the Social Weather Station survey, even a modest wage increase is critical.”

Renato B. Magtubo, chairman of Partidong Manggagawa, in a text to BusinessWorld, concurred, but warned of possible negative effects on employers and the economy.

“The proposal will face enormous challenge(s) from employers. Economists also believe that a P690 wage increase would not be beneficial to the economy,” he said.

Mr. Matula countered that a wage increase can have “broad positive impacts” on the economy.

“By ensuring that more money remains in the hands of workers, we are not only supporting individual livelihoods but also fostering overall economic growth. Workers typically spend their earnings within their local communities, benefiting local manufacturers, producers, and the informal economy,” he added.

Between 1989 and 2023, while worker productivity  increased by 88% after adjusting for inflation, the minimum wage declined in real terms by over 22%, IBON study found.

IBON added that giving workers the equivalent of 50% of profits is “more than fair” given the years in which employers earned outsized profits while paying workers low wages.

Mr. Matula urged employers to share their profits and invest in a “stable, productive workforce.”

“This approach is not only beneficial for workers but also the economy, driving growth and prosperity across communities,” he added.

Wage increase bills are pending in the House of Representatives and the Senate, with proposals for increases ranging from P100 to P750.

“The proposal for a P690 increase in the minimum wage would greatly help workers and their families cope with the rising cost of living,” Mr. Magtubo said.

Meanwhile, another IBON study found that the real number of unemployed in February was 7.5 million, as opposed to the Philippine Statistics Authority estimate of 1.8 million in its Labor Force Survey.

“This estimate includes… the 3.8 million unpaid family workers who should not really be counted among those employed,” IBON said in its study.

It added the lack of jobs hits the younger generation the worst. IBON said in February, those aged 15-24 holding jobs fell to 6.2 million from 6.8 million a year earlier.

“This is concerning since youth employment is key in achieving the hyped demographic dividend, or when the increasing share of productive working-age population with higher incomes results in faster economic growth,” it said. — Chloe Mari A. Hufana

Business-school blather can’t beat real-world CEO know-how

FREEPIK

MANAGEMENT THEORY is in a dismal state. The theory that dominated business thinking from the late 1970s onwards — call it neo-liberalism for short — lies in ruins thanks to Enron and the global financial crisis. But the the-ory that replaced it — stakeholder capitalism for short — is proving no better.

Stakeholder capitalism depends on the idea that companies should consider the interests of a wider range of people than shareholders. But what successful company fails to consider the interests of workers or customers? And how does this so-called theory help you to choose one set of priorities over another? Prioritizing all stakeholders means having no priorities and no focus. The main tenets of this theory are collapsing. Engaging in politically progressive causes? Google recently sacked 28 employees who held a sit-in against a company contract with the Israeli government. Bringing your whole self to work? Try sticking a Hamas flag on your desk if Hamas is your thing. Paying obeisance to the rules of ESG and DEI? Conservative legislatures are up in arms about both ideas while serious academics are unstitching the DEI-ESG tapestry.

What’s needed is a new management theory that avoids both the deceptive certainties of neoliberalism and the equally deceptive vagaries of stakeholder capitalism. But where can we find the material for such a rethinking? Not in the great US business schools, which are either stuck on hold in stakeholder land or determined to replace the vague rhetoric of stakeholder capitalism with the even vaguer rhetoric of “corporate purpose.” Not in management consul-tancies such as McKinsey, which is engaged in a vast exercise in woke-washing over its role in corporate scandals. And not in the great US IT companies, which operate according to the idiosyncratic rules of the information economy (give away services to your users while selling user information to advertisers). Instead, I am increasingly persuaded that the answer lies in talking to hard-headed CEOs who run first-class companies in unglamorous bits of the real economy.

Xavier Huillard, the chairman and CEO of Vinci SA, tells me, in a very French way, that “I am not a businessman. I am a philosopher. I am a chemist of human beings.” Yet he is a philosopher with a very practical bent. Vinci is one of the world’s leading construction and concession groups. The group’s portfolio includes more than 50% of France’s tolled motorways; airports that process 210 million passengers a year, including those of ANA in Portugal and Gatwick in England; and a host of energy companies. It recently announced a deal to purchase a majority stake in Edinburgh Airport. In 2023 the group’s revenues rose by 11.6%. Some 78% of the company’s revenues are derived from Europe and 43% from France. Vinci played a leading role in building Paris’ corporate district, La Défense, and owns the Stade de France, the stadium where the Olympics are about to be held. But, ominously for its home country and continent, the company is looking outside the European Union for future growth, a habit that the French finance minister, Bruno Le Maire, is likely to encourage with his decision to tax the “excess profits” of French toll road operators in the 2024 budget.

Huillard has construction in his blood. His father built much of the infrastructure of the Ivory Coast after independence, including the giant Basilica of Our Lady of Peace, modeled on St. Peter’s in Rome, as chief contractor to Félix Houphouët-Boigny (aka “the old one”), the country’s first president from 1960 to his death in 1993. He himself gravitated back to the construction and contracting world after a brief spell in the civil service, first working for Sogea SA, “a sort of mini-Vinci,” then moving to Vinci. He has been CEO since 2006, after a boardroom struggle with the previous CEO who tried to sack him and ended up being sacked himself, and chairman since 2010. During his time at the top of the company, he has developed striking solutions to three of the biggest problems facing contemporary management.

The first problem is top-down management. A double curse, top-down management leads to the multiplication of levels of control while also transferring decision-making power from the people who have the most practical knowledge to the people who have the least. This is a problem the world over: US companies are becoming more top-heavy despite all the rhetoric about flat management. Gary Hamel and Michele Zanini calculate that the average US company with more than 5,000 employees has eight levels of managers sitting on top of frontline workers. Huillard argues that it is a particular problem in France. The French see the world from Paris outward and from the top down. They also fetishize academic intelligence rather than practical knowledge. The instinctive French view is that power should be handed to brilliant meritocrats, and the horny-handed sons of toil should simply implement their ideas. This French problem is magnified by the European Union’s tendency to follow France down the road to over-centralization and over-regulation.

Huillard’s solution to the problem is to “invert the pyramid”: Break the company into individual business units, sub-contract decision-making to the lowest possible level and keep the headquarters as lean as possible. (Huillard is par-ticularly proud that the headquarters of Vinci Energies is only about 60-strong, the same as it was a decade ago.) The company is divided into some 5,000 business units largely in charge of their own affairs. The heads of the business units essentially run their own mini-firms, he argues. Only local managers can understand the local regulatory environment, which varies enormously from country to country and even region to region. What is right for Lyon is not nec-essarily right for Edinburgh. Managers work their way up from the localities rather than being parachuted in from Paris. How do you prevent a decentralized company from fragmenting into little pieces? This question is rendered more urgent by Vinci’s acquisitions of some 40 to 50 new companies a year, some of them, such as Edinburgh airport, quite big.

Huillard points to the importance of two things: a common management culture and employee shareholding. Vinci is united by a collective management philosophy which emphasizes devolution and empowerment. Whether that philosophy can be deployed to potential acquisitions is an important consideration in deciding whether to buy them. Some 84% of the company’s employees in France hold shares in the Group and 80% of employees are eligi-ble to become shareholders. “That changes everything,” he says: It strengthens loyalty to the company and helps people to understand the overall strategy.

But the company is also held together by a further force: the will of the boss. The chairman likes to point to the paradox of French history: The French are both regicides and royalists. No sooner have they killed their kings (or presidents) than they create new ones. Huillard points out that his seat in the company boardroom is the only one with two buttons — one to speak, and an extra one that he can press to shut off anybody who he thinks is talking for too long (and, one gets the sense from the twinkle in his eye, perhaps saying the wrong thing).

The second big problem Huillard has tackled is short-term thinking. Both governments and public intellectuals have got into the habit of criticizing capital markets for encouraging short-term thinking. Huillard argues that this argument does not apply to all companies. Some companies are built to last — Vinci is a 125-year-old company that deals in the long-cycles of infrastructure projects. And managers can guard against short-term pressures by institutionalizing a long-term focus. Huillard does this by choosing his investors carefully, screening out opportunists, reserving the largest block of shares, 12%, for employees. “Great companies should choose their sharehold-ers rather than shareholders choosing great companies,” he says, because the critical shortage in the world is not money but ideas.

He adds that politicians are even more preoccupied by the short-term than the worst sort of companies. During the 30 glorious years that followed the Second World War, politicians focused on long-term projects such as nuclear power, high-speed rail, and human capital. Now, thanks in part to social media, they live for the moment, chasing popularity or treating companies as cash cows or otherwise putting their immediate survival above the long-term good of the economy.

European politicians combine this obsession with the short-term with a commitment to top-down management. France is more centralized now than it was five years ago; the EU is more regulation-obsessed; and the economy is more sluggish. Huillard rails against “the bureaucratic hydra” of the European ruling class that is killing the entrepreneurial spirit and consigning the continent to the slow lane. (Reminded of the British term “the blob,” he repeats it with Gallic enunciation and enthusiasm but adds that America is far better at pursuing free-market capitalism than Britain.) The result is that Vinci is being “encouraged out of Europe” — into Australia, New Zealand, and the United States.

Many American CEOs in the energy sector, not least Charles Koch, link this hostility to government regulation with skepticism about green philosophy. Not so Huillard. He worries about global warming and environmental damage. He weaves environmental considerations into everything that Vinci does, not least its system of rewards and promotion. He also regards environmentalism as a vital tool for generating corporate loyalty. “The state of the planet’s health has led a growing number of talented young people to give up hope and abandon belief in our history, future or scientific progress,” he says, but if you can demonstrate that the company is solving the plan-et’s problems you can turn despair into hope and social angst into corporate energy.

The French boardroom is full of big figures such as Jean-Paul Agon, the chairman of L’Oréal SA, and Maurice Lévy, the chairman of the Publicis Groupe SA, who manage their companies for the long-term. But Huillard is unusual in his willingness to distill his ideas into a theory: Devolve power to frontline workers and expect long-term thinking to come from business rather than politics. And in a country that remains bewitched by the wisdom of the state, he is unusual in being willing to tell government what to do rather than to bow the knee to France’s self-appointed guardians, the Énarques (or graduates of the ENA school).

Share decision-making with other creative forces in society rather than pretending that the state is omnicompetent, he says. Decentralize decision-making as far as possible: “Decentralization is the mother of reforms.” Think in the long-term rather than respond to immediate crises. The only way to solve the decarbonization problem is to build 20 new nuclear power stations, whatever the anti-nuclear lobby says. Replace industrial-era thinking with something more flexible and open. The same advice applies to both political and business leaders the world over.

BLOOMBERG OPINION

Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) of select ASEAN economies, April 2024

PHILIPPINE MANUFACTURING activity in April expanded at its fastest pace in five months amid an increase in output and new orders, S&P Global said on Thursday.  Read the full story.

 

Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) of select ASEAN economies, April 2024

GSIS written insurance premiums rise by 12% in Q1

GSIS FACEBOOK PAGE

GOVERNMENT Service Insurance System (GSIS) saw its written insurance premiums grow by 12% in the first quarter to P2.98 billion from P2.65 billion, it said on Thursday.

“The GSIS General Insurance has issued 52,644 total policies, with total sum insured amounting to P798.4 billion,” the state-run pension fund said in a statement.

This resulted in a 35% increase in net income to P3.3 billion, up from P2.4 billion in the same period last year.

The net worth of the GSIS General Insurance Fund (GIF) grew by 7% to P54.63 billion at end-March from P51.26 billion at end-2023.

“The sustained momentum of the performance of the GSIS has proven to be a catalyst of the economic development of the Philippines through supporting both the public and the private sectors,” GSIS President and General Manager Jose Arnulfo “Wick” A. Veloso said.

“GSIS is aggressively campaigning for the protection of all government insurable assets and interests. We protect the government’s budget and individual programs against unexpected insurable losses such as fire, earthquakes and typhoons. And more importantly, we are able to pool long-term funds and put them in investments to help grow the overall economy,” he added.

GSIS Senior Vice-President for Insurance Valerie K. Marquez added that the state pension fund will soon be issuing parametric insurance for local government units. The policy will pay out benefits based on the occurrence of a pre-defined event, such as earthquakes of a specific magnitude or typhoon winds breaching a specific speed.

“We believe this type of insurance will help many LGUs as this does not require the traditional process of claims adjustment after a loss event. GSIS will pay out automatically when the triggering condition is met,” Ms. Marquez said. — A.M.C. Sy