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Unwitting Zuckers of Zuckerberg’s Facebook

George Orwell’s omnipresent Big Brother, which he predicted in his book, Nineteen Eighty-Four, written in 1949, may have already become a reality. And we may already be glimpsing the vision of John the Apostle in the Book of Revelation about every person in the world needing “the Mark of the Beast” to be able to buy or sell anything.

These days, every time I go online to seek information on a subject, say, gout, I subsequently and invariably receive a stream of unsolicited information on products and services related to gout/purine/uric acid with an accompanying sales pitch.

Obviously, my name and personal information are contained in a humongous database and my online search on gout automatically triggers a process that kicks off a response from concerned marketing firms with whom my name and data have been shared.

It is common knowledge that companies, from banks to insurance firms to consumer products marketers, routinely share — in fact, sell — customer information to other firms, unless the subjects specifically prohibit such a sharing.

But that kind of sharing is small-time compared to the humongous online database generated and controlled by a Big Brother kind of entity to which we, as consumers, have unwittingly — even willingly — given access to some of the most intimate insights into our lives.

The result is that this equivalent of Orwell’s omnipresent eavesdropper is able to monitor our every move — or our every material need — and is able to translate that into a marketing opportunity for its business customers/subscribers. Whenever we buy or sell anything, and whatever activity we may engage in online, the information is fed into that ever expanding file in which we are indexed.

Who or which would that omnipresent entity be that has such access to the personal information of billions of people in the world? It is social media.

There are several existing social media platforms, but the biggest Big Brother of them all is Facebook, a company founded by a high-tech genius named Mark Zuckerberg. As of 2017, Facebook had 2.2 billion active users.

In effect, billions of Facebook users (some of them fanatics) bear the Mark of Zuckerberg. Isn’t this eerily similar to the Mark of the Beast?

Facebook is particularly popular among Filipinos.

The Philippines may be trailing other countries on such key factors as the economy, business and industry, tourism, culture, sports, the arts and technology, but we Pinoys are said to be the World’s Number One in terms of Facebook usage. This is according to a report of the social media management platform, Hootsuite, and We Are Social Ltd., a consultancy based in the United Kingdom

I must confess to being a Facebook user, although I do not share too much information about myself. I regularly post my newspaper column and often kibitz on the conversations of friends, and occasionally, let loose expressions of outrage over social and political ills. And, oh yes, I often brag about my grandchildren. Otherwise, for a Facebook user, I consider myself a relatively private person.

There are some obvious reasons for the popularity of Facebook among our people. Our extended family system, coupled with the Pinoy Diaspora, has found in Facebook a beautiful tie that binds us across time and distance. The other reason is our inherent desire to socialize — even the most reticent among us — with the added advantage that Facebook allows us to be a joiner without the inconvenience of actual physical contact.

And, most of all, to paraphrase the lyrics of the song, Roses and Lollipops, it is because “We try acting grown-ups, but as a rule, we’re all little children…” Like kids, we like to tell about our joys and our pains. We like to greet others and to be greeted in return. And we love pictures of ourselves and those close to us.

Even our lovable habit of offering to share food with anyone who sees us eating (“Kain tayo!”), finds social media expression in the way we take a photograph of our favorite dish and post it online before proceeding to consume it.

We willingly share our personal information and make it public through social media in any number of ways. Heart-warming. Trusting. Innocent. Funny. Naughty. Naïve. Proud. Boastful. Ridiculous. Uncouth. Tragic.

Nikolas Cruz, the shooter who killed 17 at the Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School in Parkland, Florida posted his inner demons on social media. Tragically, no one took it seriously enough to intervene.

Facebook’s terms of usage list clearly enough the way information that we post will be shared, including sharing it with companies that market products and services — as well as specialist groups that promote politicians. But most of us don’t bother with such details.

Which brings me to the current furor in the United States over the way the personal information of 50 million Facebook users had been used to get candidate Donald Trump elected president.

In a move so reminiscent of the antics of the Philippine legislature, there are calls for an inquiry on Capitol Hill to get to the bottom of this. Actually, the use of the Internet and of insights on online users for political purposes isn’t new.

When senator Barack Obama first ran for president, his campaign team is said to have put the Internet to astonishingly effective use, not only for political propaganda but also for fund-raising.

The presidential campaign of President Rodrigo Duterte is also said to have been boosted by social media, with Facebook executives suspected to have had a hand in it.

But what riles political and media observers, as well as average Americans, is the way the personal information of the 50 million US Facebook users had been tweaked by a Russian-American techie, Aleksander Kogan, to extract in-depth insights on them without their permission, and how these insights were used for the Trump campaign by Cambridge Analytica, a British firm which had eventual Trump adviser Steve Bannon as a vice-president.

The situation becomes fuzzier with the reported involvement of Wikileaks’ Julian Assange, who had hacked the e-mails of the Democrats and presidential candidate Hillary Clinton. Thus, the suspected involvement of the Russians in connection with its interference in the US presidential election.

There is a growing demand to put Zuckerberg on the carpet, based on the principle of command responsibility, because his company allowed “bad actors” to exploit the personal information of the 50 million Americans, not simply enabling one presidential candidate to win but also, quite possibly, allowing Vladimir Putin’s techies to throw America’s digital system off kilter.

How all of these straws get woven into one sinister plot, if at all, is up in the air. But one thing is certain, the red flag has been raised over the trustworthiness of Facebook as a depository of insights into private lives, not just in America but in the rest of the world, as well.

In an interview with CNN, Zuckerberg admitted being concerned enough to concede that some kind of regulation of social media might be necessary.

But whatever regulatory measures might be put in place, there will always be those who will find a loophole in them for less than benign purposes.

My own advice to fellow Facebook users is, keep your innermost secrets to yourselves. Don’t post them.

However, you can go right ahead and keep posting your favorite dishes. And brag about your grandkids.

 

Greg B. Macabenta is an advertising and communications man shuttling between San Francisco and Manila and providing unique insights on issues from both perspectives.

gregmacabenta@hotmail.com

Peso drops ahead of two-day break

THE PESO weakened against the dollar on Tuesday ahead of expected market inflows today ahead of a two-day trading break.

The local currency ended yesterday’s session at P52.32 versus the greenback, 11.5 centavos weaker than the P52.215-per-dollar finish on Monday.

The peso opened the session stronger at P52.15 against the dollar, while its best showing stood at P52.135. Its intraday low was at P52.33 versus the greenback, which was just a centavo below yesterday’s finish.

Dollars traded increased to $718.9 million from the $690.9 million traded on Monday.

A trader said the market saw strong dollar demand late afternoon, dampening the local currency to near its intraday low.

“I think the upsurge was due mostly on covering of sell flow tomorrow (Wednesday),” the trader said on Tuesday. “We are expecting large amount of inflow come tomorrow, that’s why there’s short covering today.”

Meanwhile, Ruben Carlo O. Asuncion, chief economist at UnionBank of the Philippines, attributed the weak peso to higher oil prices in the world market.

“Although the US dollar value dropped, it seems the downward pressure today came from the lingering tension in the Middle East, pushing the Brent higher,” he said in a text message.

Oil prices rose on Monday with international Brent crude futures opening above $70 per barrel for the first time since January.

Prices were lifted by expectations that Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries leader Saudi Arabia may extend supply cuts into 2019, as well as concerns that the United States may re-introduce sanctions against Iran.

Another trader, on the other hand, said the peso weakened as the dollar “regained strength” after the tensions between the US and China on trade policies subsided.

“The peso weakened towards the closing today after the easing of trade tensions between US and China over steel tariffs which has boosted the dollar’s recovery,” the trader said in an e-mail on Tuesday.

Last week, the local currency dropped as President Donald J. Trump slapped new tariffs on Chinese goods worth about $50 billion following a seven-month investigation into alleged intellectual property theft.

For today, the first trader expects the peso to move between P52.15 and P52.40, while the second trader gave a wider forecast range of P52 and P52.40.

“Moving forward, we expect market to cap gain because given the holidays, we will have to cover for remittance,” the first trader said. — K.A.N. Vidal with Reuters

San Miguel, Magnolia welcome finals break

By Michael Angelo S. Murillo
Senior Reporter

HAVING played every other day in the last couple of weeks, PBA Philippine Cup finals protagonists San Miguel Beermen and Magnolia Hotshots Pambansang Manok said they welcome the break afforded by the observance of Holy Week.

Following Game Two on Sunday where the Beermen pulled even in their best-of-seven championship series, the finals of the season-opening Philippine Basketball Association (PBA) tournament takes a week-long lull in action for Holy Week and returns on Easter Sunday for Game Three.

The finals combatants said they will be using the break to recharge their troops, both physically and mentally, to put themselves in better position for the sprint to the finish when action resumes.

“It (the break) has advantages and disadvantages of course. Just like what happened to us entering the finals we had a five-day break before our first game and I think we did not handle it well as we fell short in the opener. But we’ve learned our lesson,” said San Miguel coach Leo Austria following their Game Two win as he alluded to their Game One loss where they had the rug pulled from under them by Magnolia.

“But generally it is good for us. In our system we have a rotation of nine to 10 players, and majority of them average 38 minutes of play. So this break gives them ample time to recharge and strengthen especially Chris Ross. Our physical therapist said we must limit his time because of his thigh injury but he doesn’t want to rest. So the break should help him,” he added.

The San Miguel coach went on to say that for Holy Week they would continue to practice till Thursday to prepare for the rest of the series, now rendered a best-of-five.

VERY MUCH WELCOME
Magnolia views the break the same way as San Miguel, underscoring it should only make the series all the more engaging.

“It is very much welcome. I think in the past few weeks we have been playing every other day so it’s good for the players,” said Magnolia coach Chito Victolero, who is angling to give the team its first title in five years and his first as a PBA coach.

“It’s good for the players to step away from basketball for a while and freshen their minds and rest, and I guess it’s the same for San Miguel. It will also be good for fans as they get to see their favorite players recharged and play their usual game,” he added.

Mr. Victolero said they resume practice today after their game last Sunday.

Game Three of PBA Philippine Cup finals series is set for 6:30 p.m. at the Smart Araneta Coliseum.

Kiteboarding ace Tio fired up to represent Philippines and Boracay

By Michael Angelo S. Murillo
Senior Reporter

LATER this year 17-year-old Boracay kiteboarder Christian Tio will be representing the Philippines at the Youth Olympic Games III after emerging victorious at the Asian qualifiers early this month in Thailand.

Tio will be the lone representative of the Philippines in kiteboarding to the Games to be held in October in Buenos Aires, Argentina, and it is something the young athlete is looking forward to as he gets to showcase his skills for flag and country as well as his hometown of Boracay, which is in the news of late.

“Competing in Argentina is amazing [as I get] to represent my country, my home in Boracay. I do this a lot, traveling around the world but the Youth Olympics is more special,” Tio shared to BusinessWorld recently after topping the first-ever Kitesurfing Youth Olympic Qualifiers Asia at Pranburi from March 13 to 18.

He competed at the Boys Asia division and finished with 26 points after 20 elimination rounds to wind up on top and book his place in the Youth Olympics.

In winning his event, Tio, who is supported by energy drink Red Bull, beat out Haoran Zhang of China and Thai Sarun Rupchorn, who wound up second and third, respectively, on the podium.

Tio said he felt at ease during the competition which greatly helped in his performance.

“I mostly do freestyle which is different from racing, but I have done this before and I just needed a few days to warm up to get better and better results during the week,” he said of the mind-set he had during the competition.

BORACAY ISSUE
Turning to the Boracay issue, the Filipino-Norwegian kiteboarding ace, the son of kiteboarders Chris Mohn and Liezl Tio, admitted that he has not been able to follow the latest developments on it as he has been busy training but shared that he hopes all will be settled soon and that he is proud to represent it in every competition he engages in.

“Boracay is my home and I’m proud to represent my island,” said Tio.

Boracay has been in the news of late over long-term environmental concerns and authorities are mulling its temporary closure to tourists to give time to rehabilitate it.

As to kiteboarding as a sport, Tio said he hopes more Filipinos get to take it up as it is something that is in synch with the Philippines as a country.

“We have a lot of nice beaches and a lot of wind, there is a lot of potential for the sport, we just need more riders,” he said.

“The kiteboarding scene here right now is still quite small but it’s quickly growing. The more others can come and support, the more the talent develops,” he added, referring to sponsors like Red Bull which have been throwing their support behind the sport.

Tio began his professional career at the age of 14. When he was 10 years old, he competed at the Kiteboard Tour Asia’s Asia championship tour where he went against older and more experienced kitesurfers.

He also competed at the Junior Kitesurfing World Championships in 2014 and 2015, taking home second place.

The 2018 Summer Youth Olympic Games, from Oct. 6 to 18, will showcase over 3,500 young athletes who will represent over 200 countries around the world. Kitesurfing will be among a number of sports to make their debut as part of the Olympic program. Other debuting sports include Freestyle BMX, futsal, sports climbing, karate, and breakdancing.

Vios Cup 5 kicks off next month

“WAKU DOKI” motoring action takes center stage anew next month with the kickoff of the one-make race Vios Cup.

Now on its fifth year of staging, Toyota Motor Philippines (TMP) will once again gather some of the top race drivers in the country in its three-leg competition, which has become one of the most awaited motorsports events in the country since its inception in 2014.

The first and last legs of the Vios Cup this year will be held at the Clark International Speedway in Pampanga, while the second leg will be held at Filinvest, Alabang, bringing the motorsports experience back to the streets of Metro Manila.

A brainchild of former TMP President Michinobu Sugata, the Vios Cup is designed primarily to relive motorsports in the country in a waku doki (exciting) manner.

For this year, TMP said it remains committed to this grassroots racing program and develop basic motorsports knowledge and racing skills in the country.

For the fifth season of the Vios Cup, competitors have been divided into three racing categories, namely, Super Sporting Class, Sporting Class, and Promotional Class.

New celebrity racers such as actors’ Diego Loyzaga, Sofia Andres, Chie Filomeno, and Sam Milby are also on tap, joining veteran Vios Cup participants Gretchen Ho, Aubrey Miles, Fabio Ide, and Troy Montero.

Car enthusiasts can also expect upgrades this year in the Super Sporting specifications such as the lightweight hood and trunk lid to further maximize the speed performance of the Vios.

Moreover, it is now equipped with TRD Rotor Disc Brakes providing higher braking power.

The first leg of Vios Cup Season 5 rolls off on April 28, beginning at 10 a.m. The event is open to the public, and admission is free.

The event is done in partnership with Bridgestone and ROTA, supported by Motul, Brembo, AVT, 3M, Denso, OMP, and Tuason Racing. — Michael Angelo S. Murillo

Children’s Games special edition for Duterte

A SPECIAL edition of the UNESCO-recognized Children’s Games was held in Maasin City last Saturday in advance celebration of President Rodrigo R. Duterte’s 73rd birthday today.

The games visited the President’s birthplace where 702 kids from 66 barangays enjoyed playing various team sports as well as Filipino parlor games.

PSC Regional Coordinator for Visayas Nonnie Lopez said that “the PSC is one with President Duterte’s wish for the well-rounded development of the Filipino children through sports. That is why we strategically chose to do it in his birthplace in Southern Leyte.”

Lopez added that “this is the first time that the Children’s Games did it along the coastal areas of the country in hopes of leading the children not only in sports, but also in the preservation of our natural resources.”

PSC Chairman William Ramirez relayed his greetings and said that “the PSC celebrates the birthday of President Rodrigo R. Duterte with a big edition of the Children’s Games. The commission will continue to work along the directive of the president in bringing sports to the farthest end of the Philippines and engage the youth in sports.”

The five-day special edition kicked-off on March 24 in the towns of Libagon, Sogod and Tomas Oppus where 376 children participated.

Another day of games will be done today with joining municipalities of Macrohon, Padre Burgos, Malitbog and Limawasa Island, before the culminating activity tomorrow with Liloan, San Francisco and Pintuyan, San Ricardo participating.

Seventeen more Children’s Games have been scheduled and more are being coordinated to be held this year.

Fultz scores 10 points in return to playoff-bound Sixers

LOS ANGELES — Former first-overall pick Markelle Fultz delivered 10 points in his much-anticipated return as the playoff-bound Philadelphia 76ers crushed the Denver Nuggets, 123-104, on Monday.

The return of guard Fultz, who was a top pick in the 2017 NBA entry draft, comes just a day after the 76ers clinched their first playoff spot in six years.

Joel Embiid scored a team-high 20 points and 13 rebounds and Ben Simmons had seven points, 13 rebounds and 11 assists for the Sixers, who recorded their seventh straight win to move within one game of third place in the Eastern Conference.

With 10 games left in the regular season, Philadelphia will use that time to determine how Fultz can fit into their playoff plans.

Fultz played 15 minutes as a backup guard to Simmons and finished five-of-13 from the field with eight assists and four rebounds in his first game since Oct. 23.

It was just the fifth career NBA game for Fultz who was initially diagnosed with a right shoulder problem then told he had a scapular imbalance.

But with their first playoff berth since 2012 safely tucked away, the club decided it was time for Fultz’s season debut.

Fultz checked in to a standing ovation from the crowd of 20,500 at the Wells Fargo Arena with 2:54 left in the first quarter and drove down the baseline for a quick basket.

Later in the game the crowd chanted, “We Want Fultz!”

Will Barton led the Nuggets with 25 points.

Elsewhere, Kemba Walker moved a step closer to becoming the Charlotte Hornet’s all-time leading scorer with a 31-point performance in a 137-128 overtime victory against the New York Knicks.

Walker was four-of-four from the field as he carried his team over the hump in the extra session at the Spectrum Center on Monday.

He is now 20 points shy of breaking Dell Curry’s franchise scoring record and is in position to do so at home Wednesday against LeBron James’ Cleveland Cavaliers.

Trey Burke scored a game-high 42 points for the Knicks who fell to 27-48 on the season.

In Detroit, the Pistons used a balanced attack to win their fourth game in five contests and claim a 112-106 victory over the Los Angeles Lakers.

Reggie Jackson led the charge with 20 points as six Pistons scored in double figures.

Jackson, who returned to the lineup four games ago after missing 37 games with a foot injury, stayed in the contest right down to the final buzzer. — AFP

Aranar-Nualla tandem wins DSCPI First Quarter Ranking

SEAN MISCHA ARANAR and Ana Leonila Nualla and the pair of Michael Angelo Marquez and Stephanie Sabalo captured the 2018 DanceSports Council of the Philippines, Inc. (DSCPI) First Quarter Ranking Competition recently at the Valle Verde Country Club Ballroom Hall in Pasig City.

Aranar and Nualla bested Mark Jayson Gayon and Mary Joy Renigen to take home the Grade A Standard title, while Marquez and Sabalo beat Cristian Vanni and Camilla Mola to win the Grade A Latin crown of the competition organized by DSCPI President Becky Garcia.

The competition was sponsored by the Philippine Sports Commission, Philippine Olympic Committee, Philippine Amusement and Gaming Board, GNK Ballroom, C+H Multimedia Solutions, Inc., Flawless, Retro DCG-FM 105.9, Studio AK and The Greenery Bulacan.

Aldrin Perez and Cristina Irish Armstrong defeated Michel Flores and Ariane Rose Madrid for the Grade B Standard plum, while Filemon Baguio II and Jhistine Glyde Baguio beat Darren De Guzman and Danica De Guzman for the Grade B Latin crown.

Jose Michael Angelo Cabarles and Febrah Mae Tacorda beat Efren Cesista and Gilie Ballovar to capture the Grade C Standard title while Shaquille Jay Hanz Basan and Cindy Jaz Basan won over Gelmar Ballovar and Sheena Badong to gain the Grade C Latin crown.

The next DanceSport events are the 2018 DSCPI Midyear Ranking and Competition in July 2018, Palarong Pambansa DanceSport Competition on April 17 in Vigan, Ilocos Sur and Cebu WDSF Open and DanceSport sa Sugbu on Sept. 8 at the Waterfront Hotel in Lahug, Cebu.

For inquiries, you may reach the DSCPI Secretariat at 637-2314.

On the ropes

Following their four-set loss to the University of Santo Tomas (UST) Golden Tigresses on Sunday, the National University (NU) Lady Bulldogs were seen breaking down in tears.

I would not blame the young NU ladies for such. Not only was it their fourth straight defeat, I guess some realization also sunk in that they are now on the ropes in the ongoing women’s volleyball tournament for Season 80 of the University Athletic Association of the Philippines.

While the Lady Bulldogs were a picture of “dominance” in the opening round with a 6-1 record, in the second it has been anything but that as they have yet to book a win and have now fallen from first place to now fourth at 6-5.

NU is not exactly playing poor volleyball of late but just could not finish things in their favor.

One would think that at this point of the competition it is now about just adjusting some aspects here and there of a team’s game, yet we have seen erstwhile league-leading NU “regress” in one way or another.

The game against UST last time around was I think representative of how it has been for the Lady Bulldogs for much of the second round.

Looking at their game, I see a lot of “tentativeness” especially when things are not going their way and/or when they are being challenged big time.

Following a great first set where they came from behind to claim the frame, the Lady Bulldogs just could not sustain such for the rest of the match, especially during moments when push came to shove.

Jaja Santiago continued to be the dominant hitter that she is but collectively NU was just outplayed by UST which obviously had a firmer grip on its game and who it is as team.

Coach Babes Castillo tried everything he can to inspire and calm his players but the Lady Bulldogs were not able to respond once again, which undoubtedly is disconcerting, and even, scary.

Good thing for NU in its next two games it will be facing struggling teams University of the Philippines (3-8) and University of the East (2-9) before taking on Far Eastern University (7-4) in its last game.

It might be a good opportunity for the Lady Bulldogs to catch a break and book wins that could well help them create some distance from their closest pursuers Adamson University (5-6) and UST (4-7), and push them inside the Final Four.

But still the need for NU to shape up pronto could not be more underscored lest it find itself finishing another season with a lot of questions hovering over it.

It is not yet late as there are still enough games left to turn things around. So what gives, Lady Bulldogs?

 

Michael Angelo S. Murillo has been a columnist since 2003. He is a BusinessWorld reporter covering the Sports beat.

msmurillo@www.bworldonline.com

Sixers’ Fultz unfolds

Considering how Markelle Fultz’s rookie season has unfolded, describing it as “bizarre” would be an understatement. As the first overall pick in the 2017 draft, he looked to have a promising start to his National Basketball Association career. Unfortunately, shoulder issues and changes in his shooting mechanics (and which led to which depends on the source of information) compelled him to stay in the sidelines after just three games. Since then, speculation had been rampant on what exactly ailed him, and how these concerns would affect his confidence moving forward.

Yesterday, Fultz managed to answer a fair number of questions when he trekked to the Wells Fargo Center in uniform. True, he didn’t put up sterling numbers; in 14 minutes of play, he posted 10 points (on five-of-13 shooting from the field, four rebounds, and eight assists. Then again, they were, if nothing else, indicative of his progress. He certainly looked sharp, displaying nothing of the tentativeness that marked his pre- and early-season outings. And, more tellingly, his jumper (which appeared to be broken in workout videos that surfaced as late as in January) mimicked what he had in college, and what had the Sixers trading up just to acquire him last June.

Needless to say, Fultz’s tireless work ethic helped no end. For all his problems, he never stopped pushing himself to get ready for his return to action. And, to their credit, Sixers officials, teammates, and fans never wavered in their support. It’s why president of hoops operations Bryan Colangelo peached understanding throughout yesterday’s pregame presser, why the 20,585-strong crowd gave him a standing ovation, and why the bench cheered in his every move even during garbage time.

For the foreseeable future, Fultz will be spelling preemptive Rookie of the Year Ben Simmons at the point. He will be playing limited minutes, to be sure, but his importance to the Sixers’ success cannot be overemphasized. He’s undergoing a process, but he’s also a major part of The Process. And if they’re keen on living up to their promise, they need him to do so as well. Meanwhile, all and sundry can rest easy knowing the first step back has been made. As head coach Brett Brown said, “knowing what I know and seeing what I’ve seen, and understanding how special that kid is from a human being standpoint, it’s a good day.”

 

Anthony L. Cuaycong has been writing Courtside since BusinessWorld introduced a Sports section in 1994.

Brick-by-brick hardening of US stance to Russia

WASHINGTON — America’s most sweeping expulsion of Russian diplomats since the Cold War may have seemed like a dramatic escalation in Washington’s response to Moscow, but the groundwork for a more confrontational US posture had been taking shape for months — in plain sight.

While President Donald Trump’s conciliatory rhetoric toward Moscow has dominated headlines, officials at the US State Department, Pentagon, and White House made a series of lower-profile decisions over the past year to counter Russia around the world — from Afghanistan to North Korea to Syria.

The State Department earlier in March announced plans to provide anti-tank missiles to Ukraine to defend against Russia-backed separatists in eastern Ukraine. Mr. Trump’s predecessor as president, Barack Obama, had declined to do so over fears of provoking Moscow.

In Syria last month, the US military killed or injured as many as 300 men working for a Kremlin-linked private military firm after they attacked US and US-backed forces. The White House, meanwhile, firmly tied Russia to deadly strikes on civilians in Syria’s eastern Ghouta region.

Both the White House and Pentagon’s top policy documents unveiled in January portrayed Russia as an adversary that had returned to the center of US national security planning.

That was all before the US said on Monday it would expel 60 Russian diplomats, joining governments across Europe in punishing the Kremlin for a nerve agent attack on a former Russian spy in Britain that they have blamed on Moscow.

Russia has denied any involvement.

With Monday’s announcement, however, it was unclear whether Mr. Trump is promoting — or just acquiescing to — the tougher US stance developed by his advisers and generals.

Mr. Trump’s critics sought to portray him as a reluctant actor in any get-tough approach to Russia, even though one senior administration official described him as involved “from the beginning” in the expulsions of Russian diplomats.

“It is disturbing how grudgingly he came to this decision,” said US Representative Adam Smith, the top Democrat on the House Armed Services Committee.

Still, the Trump administration’s actions run counter to widespread perception, fueled by the president’s own statements, that Mr. Trump has softened America’s stance toward Russian President Vladimir Putin amid a US investigation into Moscow’s meddling in the 2016 presidential election.

Regardless of the tough actions, the inconsistent messaging may undermine Washington’s strategy to deter Moscow’s aggressive behavior, experts warn.

“US signaling is all undercut by Trump’s lack of seriousness about Russia,” said Andrew Weiss, a Russia expert at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.

Just last Tuesday, Mr. Trump congratulated Putin on his re-election, drawing sharp criticism from fellow Republicans.

But in another sign of mixed messaging, Mr. Trump two days later named John Bolton, a strident Russia hawk, to become his national security adviser.

DOWNWARD SPIRAL
Although the nerve agent attack was the official trigger for the US expulsions, Trump administration officials warned that the attack should not be viewed in isolation, citing a series of destabilizing and aggressive actions by Moscow.

In Afghanistan, Mr. Trump’s top commander on the ground accused Russia again last week of arming Taliban militants.

On North Korea, Mr. Trump himself told Reuters in January that Russia was helping Pyongyang evade United Nations sanctions.

And less than two weeks ago, the Trump administration imposed the first sanctions against Russia for election meddling and cyber attacks, though it held off on punishing business magnates close to Putin.

US officials and experts widely expect ties to further deteriorate, at least in the near term, and caution that Russia’s next steps could extend far beyond retaliation against American diplomats.

“The risk of escalation doesn’t just come from tit-for-tat punishments,” said Matthew Rojansky, a Russia expert at the Wilson Center think tank in Washington, citing the potential for more aggressive moves from the Middle East to the cyber realm.

US officials have said the Trump administration still seeks to avoid a complete rupture in bilateral relations. One official said Russian cooperation was still sought to address thorny diplomatic issues like North Korea and Iran. — Reuters

S. Korea says watching China closely as senior North Korean visits

BEIJING/SEOUL — South Korea said on Tuesday it was closely watching events that are unfolding rapidly in Beijing, where diplomatic sources said a senior North Korean official was visiting amid reports it was leader Kim Jong Un ahead of a series of historic summits.

Bloomberg, citing three unidentified sources, reported on Monday that Kim was in Beijing in what would be his first known trip outside North Korea since taking power in 2011. The unconfirmed visit also comes ahead of a potential summit with US President Donald Trump.

“The presidential Blue House is watching things in Beijing very closely, while keeping all possibilities open,” said the senior official in Seoul, who spoke on condition of anonymity.

Improving bilateral ties between North Korea and China would be a positive sign before the planned summits, he said.

A Reuters reporter saw a convoy leave Beijing’s Diaoyutai State Guest House, where senior foreign leaders often stay on visits to the Chinese capital, and drive north on Tuesday morning. It was unclear where the convoy was headed.

A senior US official who follows North Korea closely said the available evidence suggested that Kim had traveled to Beijing to meet Chinese President Xi Jinping, but stressed that has not been confirmed.

Diplomatic sources in Beijing said a senior North Korean official was in town, but did not know exactly who.

Underscoring the mystery surrounding the trip, one senior Beijing-based diplomatic source told Reuters simply: “We just don’t know.”

One source with ties to China’s leadership said it was possible Kim’s younger sister, Kim Yo Jong, was in the city. She visited South Korea for the Winter Olympics last month, paving the way for a summit between the two Koreas.

South Korean news agency Newsis reported that Kim Yo Jong and the North’s ceremonial leader, Kim Yong Nam, were visiting Beijing, citing an unidentified North Korea-related source in Beijing.

The pair visited South Korean President Moon Jae-in at his office in Seoul during the Winter Olympics in February.

The US official, speaking on the condition of anonymity, said it was unlikely Kim Jong Un would have sent his sister on such an important mission because that might create an impression she is important enough to be sent on such a high-profile trip, unlike her ceremonial visit to South Korea for the Olympics.

On the contrary, the official said, a summit with Xi would underscore Kim’s standing as a world leader.

Xi and Kim Jong Un both have reasons to meet in advance of Kim’s meetings with Moon and possibly also Trump, the US official said.

“Xi has met Trump, and in many respects learned how to deal with him better than some people here do,” the official said.

“At the same time, despite the recent tensions, he needs to know what Kim has in mind for dealing with the South and the US, and he still has a lot of leverage with the North.”

PURPOSE UNKNOWN
The details of Kim Jong Un’s visit, including its purpose and itinerary, were not yet known, Bloomberg reported. Japanese media reported on Monday that a high-ranking Pyongyang official appeared to have arrived by train in Beijing.

The Blue House official said the South Korean government had been aware of “related movements” in North Korea, such as the train, for a few days but he could not confirm whether Kim or another high-ranking North Korean official was visiting China.

Beijing is the main ally of secretive and isolated North Korea, as well as its biggest trading partner.

China has not confirmed any visit by a North Korean but has not totally censored speculation Kim Jong Un might be in town.

Searches on Baidu News, China’s equivalent of Google News, brought up two stories in the simplified Chinese edition of Taiwanese newspaper the China Times that reported, citing what it said were Internet rumors, that he was on a secret visit to Beijing.

One of the paper’s reports showed pictures taken from Chinese social media of what was purportedly Kim Jong Un’s train in China.

There were also posts on Chinese social media talking about the possibility Kim Jong Un was in China, some citing family members in the Chinese border city of Dandong where the main train link between the two countries is located.

The North Korean leader is due to hold separate summits with South Korea in late April and the US in May, including a potential meeting with Mr. Trump.

“The fact that the summits are being held has been beyond our expectations. Right now, the situation surrounding the Korean peninsula is moving very quickly and it would be inadvisable to think with prejudice,” the Blue House official said.

Kim Jong Un’s father, Kim Jong Il, met then-president Jiang Zemin in China in 2000 before a summit between the two Koreas in June that year.

Kim Jong Il was considered at the time to have made the visit to reaffirm close ties with the North’s biggest ally. — Reuters

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