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Philippine trade year-on-year performance

THE PHILIPPINES can be expected to remain one of Southeast Asia’s fastest-growing economies, the World Bank said in its latest report, even as the global lender maintained the country’s growth projection for this year. Read the full story.

Monsanto sees profit rise on more soy planting

EVERYTHING’S pointing to another year of growth for US seed giant Monsanto.

Pretax earnings in the fiscal year through August are expected to increase, the St. Louis-based company said Thursday is its first quarter earnings statement. Commodity prices have stabilized from the free-fall of recent years, with corn prices starting 2018 at the same price they began 2017. Like last year, farmers are expected to buy the most expensive, newest hybrid seeds, and companies won’t have to slash prices to keep customers.

Prices “are challenging for growers, but when the environment is stable, they can figure out how to operate in that environment,” Brett Wong, an analyst at Piper Jaffray & Co., said by phone. “The industry has stabilized and there’s good demand for new products.”

While the company isn’t providing detailed guidance for full-year earnings, as its $66-billion takeover by Germany’s Bayer AG is still pending, Monsanto will be helped by growth in its soybean business. US farmers are planting the crop more than ever, devoting as many acres to the oilseed as they will to corn. Adoption of Xtend, the company’s new herbicide system for soy, is expected to double in acreage this year.

South American farmers are also buying more of the company’s Intacta-branded soybean seeds, which are resistant to caterpillars, and at higher prices, Christopher Perrella, a Bloomberg Intelligence analyst, said in a note last month.

Recent US tax reform legislation will have a positive impact on Monsanto’s effective tax rate in fiscal 2019, the company said. Early estimates are that the rate for the current financial year shouldn’t be more than 30%, and could be lower.

Monsanto expects the Bayer deal to close in early 2018, with about half of regulatory approvals secured so far. It also said its digital agriculture platform, Climate FieldView, was on 35 million paid acres last year, and expects the total to grow to 50 million acres.

Roundup, Monsanto’s blockbuster herbicide, is also making a comeback. The price of glyphosate, the active ingredient in the weedkiller, is rebounding faster than expected as Chinese producers of generic brands cut output due to environmental restrictions, Don Carson, an analyst at Susquehanna Financial Group, said in a note. The increase for gross profit in 2018 for the company’s unit that produces glyphosate will exceed $1 billion for the first time in three years, according to Carson.

A positive regulatory environment is also helping glyphosate, with the European Union recently renewing the chemical’s registration for five years, and the US Environmental Protection Agency concluding that it likely doesn’t cause cancer.

Monsanto’s Xtend made headlines last year because dicamba, a herbicide that the new seeds are resistant to, has a propensity to drift when sprayed. There have been thousands of complaints made by farmers who say drifting dicamba damaged non-resistant crops in adjacent fields. The EPA has issued more restrictive rules for applying the herbicide, and some states are adding other constraints.

Monsanto’s corn business saw lower volumes in the US and Brazil, and its profit declined 22% in the first quarter.

Overall, net income excluding one-time items was 41 cents a share in the three months through November compared with 21 cents a year earlier. That compares with the 42-cent average of 14 analysts’ estimates compiled by Bloomberg. Revenues of $2.65 billion missed the $2.77-billion average estimate. — Bloomberg

VAT refunds from this day forward

MOST PEOPLE are delighted to jump-start 2018 with their new set of bucket lists such as #travelgoals, #fitnessgoals, and of course, #relationshipgoals.

On the corporate side, retailers are hustling to unload last season’s collections to give way to new arrivals; gym owners excitedly welcome back existing members as well as new joiners who wish to unload excess inches gained over the holidays; and auditors embark on another busy season with the aim of finishing the audit of their clients’ financial statements in time for the April 15 deadline of the Bureau of Internal Revenue (BIR).

It is essential for companies reporting a VAT-refundable position to consider the following relevant points of Revenue Memorandum Circular (RMC) 89-2017 issued by the BIR in November to amend the provisions of RMC 51-2007 in relation to the processing of requests for refund or Tax Credit Certificate (TCC) of excess input VAT.

AVENUE FOR FILING REFUND/TCC
Previously, taxpayers seeking to secure a refund/TCC of their excess input VAT from the government filed their applications with the Revenue Office where they are registered. Direct exporters, on the other hand, had the option to file such applications with the VAT Credit Audit Division (VCAD) of the National Office (pursuant to Revenue Administrative Order No. 2-2014). Under the new RMC, the BIR now requires direct exporters to submit their refund applications to VCAD. However, if the direct exporter is registered as a large taxpayer, it has still the option to file claims with the LT Division having jurisdiction over the claimant.

Moreover, VAT refund/TCC claims filed by indirect exporters, i.e., those supplying goods and services to direct exporters registered with the Board of Investments (BoI), Philippine Economic Zone Authority (PEZA), and the Subic Bay Metropolitan Authority (SBMA) among others, as well as claims for other tax types (e.g., income tax) shall still be processed by the concerned Revenue Office.

AUTHORIZED APPROVING OFFICIAL
The circular also designated the approving BIR official depending on the amount sought for refund. Claims amounting to P75 million and below shall be approved by the Assistant Commissioner — Assessment Service (ACIR-AS), while those in excess of P75 million but not more than P150 million shall be authorized by the Deputy Commissioner — Operations Group (DCIR-OG). Claimants seeking refunds/TCCs of more than P150 million need the approval of the Commissioner of Internal Revenue (CIR).

With regard to the claims filed with the RDO amounting to P10 million or below, the Regional Director shall be authorized to recommend the issuance of the refund or TCC.

TIMELINE
Until last year, the BIR had 120 days to process VAT refund/TCC claims counted from the date of filing of the application pursuant to Section 112(C) of the Tax Code. Following this provision, the RMC also provides the timeline for processing VAT refund claims, which basically formalized the existing practice of the BIR prior to the issuance of the new RMC.

Under the RMC, all claims processed by VCAD and claims amounting to more than P10 million filed with the RDO shall be forwarded to the Tax Audit Review Division (TARD) within 80 days from the date of application for further review. The TARD, on the other hand, shall process and forward such claims to the approving official within 100 days from the date of application. Lastly, the approving official shall issue the BIR’s decision on the refund/TCC claim within the 120-day period.

For dockets that will be transmitted to the National Office after the 80-day period, the TARD shall no longer have the authority to accept and process these claims except for justifiable reasons.

However, with the enactment and implementation of the Republic Act No. 10963, also known as the Tax Reform for Acceleration and Inclusion (TRAIN), effective January 2018, the period for the BIR to grant a refund or issue a TCC was shortened to 90 days. While there is a need for the BIR to issue a clarification as to the timeframe moving forward, the author is hopeful that the 30-day reduction under the TRAIN will not affect the feasibility of meeting the 90-day timeline given the BIR’s current practice. Of course, actual results depend largely on the volume of the application and the BIR’s existing human resources.

In case the BIR is not able to issue its decision (i.e., whether to grant or deny the request for refund/TCC) within the prescribed period, the claim is “deemed denied” and the only remedy available in this type of situation is to seek judicial cure by way of elevating the claim to the Court of Tax Appeals (CTA).

It would be worthwhile to know that refund claims filed with the Courts undergo a more tedious process; it takes two to three years before an appeal is decided. Further, this course of action entails additional costs like filing fees, professional fees for legal and Independent Certified Public Accountant (ICPA) services (as needed), and other incidental expenses. Prudence would suggest that monitoring and timely coordination with the BIR (considering the stringency of the new RMC as to the timeline of processing VAT refund claims) as regards the requirements and resolution of any issues that may be noted during the review of the application should be undertaken by the claimant not only to expedite the processing of refund/TCC claims but also to prevent the incurrence of such additional legal costs.

The success of a refund claim largely depends on the compliance of the claimant to the requirements set by the tax laws and regulations. But more important, planning personal events and corporate agendas and deadlines in an orderly fashion and ahead of time is a sure prescription for a worry-free 2018.

The views or opinions expressed in this article are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of Isla Lipana & Co. The content is for general information purposes only, and should not be used as a substitute for specific advice.

Ranier C. Matriano is a Senior Consultant at the Tax Services Department of Isla Lipana & Co., the Philippine member firm of PwC global network.

845 2728

ranier.c.matriano@ph.pwc.com

Nation at a Glance — (01/11/18)

News stories from across the nation. Visit www.bworldonline.com (section: The Nation) to read more national and regional news from the Philippines.

ECB hawks take lead on QE debate as doves stay quiet

AS THE European Central Bank (ECB) enters 2018, the debate over its stimulus plans is being dominated by policy makers warning against keeping policy ultra-loose for too long.

With the euro-area economy expanding solidly after three years of negative interest rates and quantitative easing (QE), hawks such as Bundesbank President Jens Weidmann have stepped up calls for a definite end-date to bond purchases. Even Executive Board member Benoit Coeure, a leading proponent of QE when the region faced deflation, now sees a “reasonable chance” the latest extension of the program to September will be the last.

The key though is whether President Mario Draghi and doves such as chief economist Peter Praet also adjust their positions. They’ve stayed quiet this year, letting the latest slowdown in inflation do the talking. Investors should gain an insight into the discussion on Thursday, when the account of the Dec. 14 Governing Council meeting is published.

“If we continue to hear only from the hawks there may be a perception that the mood has shifted in their direction more than it actually has,” said Oliver Rakau, an economist at Oxford Economics in Frankfurt. “The numbers clearly show the recovery is more sustained now, but I wouldn’t expect any sudden shift in ECB policy.”

The euro has climbed more than 1% since the ECB’s December policy meeting, though it has weakened slightly in recent days.

Bond holdings under QE will reach €2.55 trillion ($3 trillion) by September — equivalent to a quarter of gross domestic product, similar to the Federal Reserve’s program at its peak — and officials have pledged to do more if needed. Their own projections don’t see inflation back in line with the goal of just under 2% until at least late 2020.

HALF AND HALF
Yet economic growth is the fastest in a decade, and the broadest in the single currency’s history. That’s giving credence to the arguments of minority, if vocal, dissenters such as Weidmann and Dutch central-bank governor Klaas Knot who say price pressures are mounting and the ECB must stop before risks such as elevated asset valuations undermine financial stability.

Half of the six-member Executive Board, which proposes and implements policy, appears to be reluctant to extend QE again. In addition to Coeure, Yves Mersch has warned his colleagues that the ECB shouldn’t “fall behind the curve” by acting too timidly. Sabine Lautenschlaeger has long been on the record as saying she’s skeptical of the need for QE.

STATUS QUO
“Hawks such as Weidmann and Knot are still the outliers, but where they lead, the rest of the council is likely to soon follow,” Marchel Alexandrovich, an economist at Jefferies International Ltd. in London, wrote in a client note. Even so, “with core inflation once again disappointing expectations, makes it easy for Draghi to maintain the status quo for another few months.”

Euro-area inflation slowed to 1.4% in December and the underlying rate, excluding volatile components such as food and energy, held at a meagre 0.9%.

One development policy makers will be keenly watching is wage negotiations in Germany, where the IG Metall union is negotiating on behalf of 3.9 million metalworkers and engineers for a 6% pay hike and more flexible hours. It’ll hold talks with employers such as automakers on Thursday.

Without a significant pick-up in salaries in Europe’s strongest economy, where unemployment is at a record low, the ECB has little reason to believe it’s on track to hit its goal.

“Core inflation is still subdued and the German pay negotiations are key,” said Piet PH Christiansen, an economist at Danske Bank A/S in Copenhagen. “But in any case, with the strong economy emboldening the hawks, we are in for a more split Governing Council.”  Bloomberg

Manila to host Blockchain & Bitcoin Conference Philippines

On January 25, Manila for the first time will host Blockchain & Bitcoin Conference Philippines, an event dedicated to cryptocurrency, blockchain and ICO.

Philippines is a pioneer in the digital assets regulation
At the end of November 2017, the Philippines` Securities and Exchange Commission announced its intention to introduce cryptocurrencies in the legal field. This means that soon the state can become one of the pioneers in the field of regulating digital assets. Legislative security will positively affect the popularity of the Philippines in the crypto community.

Participants are crypto industry professionals
Crypto experts from all over the world will take part in the event: representatives of financial institutions, bankers, entrepreneurs, investors, lawyers, developers of blockchain solutions, startups and professional traders.

Guests will enjoy not only the conference, but also an exhibition
The event takes place in the format of a conference + exhibition, which simplifies the search for potential business partners. Within the conference, speakers will discuss legislative changes in the field of cryptocurrencies and tokens in the Philippines, share the experience of preparing a startup for the ICO, advise which digital assets should be invested in the new year and tell about the benefits of blockchain for business.

Representatives of the international crypto community will gather in the exhibition area: suppliers of mining equipment and farms, crypto exchanged, blockchain projects and investment funds.

The event is held by the international company Smile-Expo
The organizer of the event is Smile-Expo, the company that conducts events of the Blockchain & Bitcoin Conference network in 15 countries of Europe and Asia.

Venue: Edsa Shangri-La Hotel, Manila.

Follow the news on the official website of Blockchain & Bitcoin Conference Philippines.

Trade deficit widens in November as imports outpaced exports

THE Philippines registered a November trade deficit of $3.78 billion in its balance of trade in goods, wider than the $2.49 billion shortfall in the same month last year, the Philippine Statistics Authority reported earlier.

Merchandise exports grew 1.6% to $4.96 billion in November according to the government’s latest trade data that was released earlier this morning. This was slower compared to the 7.1% posted in October, but was a reversal from the 4.5% decline during the same month last year. By major commodities, exports of mineral products grew 128.5% to $364.28 million, offsetting the declines seen in exports of manufactured goods (-1.5% to $4.13 billion) and agro-based products (-28.5% to $288.48 million). Electronic products, which accounts 58.1% of the total outbound shipments, expanded by 12.7% to $2.88 billion in November.

Meanwhile, imports grew 18.5% to $8.74 billion in the same month, higher than October’s 13.1% growth albeit lower than the 21% seen in November 2016. Imports of raw materials and intermediate goods increased by 18.9% to $3.31 billion while that of capital goods ($2.88 billion) and consumer goods ($1.62 billion) went up by 16.1% and 14.4%, respectively. — Lourdes O. Pilar

Factory output contracts in November 

FACTORY output declined for the third straight month in November, the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) reported earlier this morning.

Preliminary results from the PSA’s Monthly Integrated Survey of Selected Industries (MISSI) showed that the November factory output – as measured by the Volume of Production Index (VoPI) – contracted by 8.1%. The recent figure was lower than the 5.8% contraction recorded in October and a reversal of the 15.1% growth registered in November 2016.

Sectors that posted double-digit declines were: chemical products (-62.7%), tobacco products (-48.3%), textiles (-33.8%), and footwear and wearing apparel (-23.9%).

Average capacity utilization, which is the extent by which industry resources are being used in the production of goods, was estimated at 83.9% with eleven of the 20 sectors registered capacity utilization rates of 80% and above. — Camille A. Aguinaldo

Meralco bares rate hike from tax reform

THE Manila Electric Co. (Meralco) expects an 8-centavo increase in electricity cost per kilowatt-hour (/kWh) as early as next month with the application of new taxes on coal, oil and power transmission, a company official said yesterday, adding that part of the increment will be implemented in phases.

“Total is 8 centavos,” Lawrence S. Fernandez, Meralco vice-president and head of utility economics, told reporters when asked to quantify how much more consumers will pay with the enforcement of new taxes under Republic Act No. 10963 or Tax Reform for Acceleration and Inclusion (TRAIN) Act.

“[That’s the] full impact… for Meralco customers this year.”

Mr. Fernandez said Meralco derived its computation using power dispatch levels in November 2017, which saw a third of Meralco’s requirements come from coal-fired power plants and a smaller portion from an oil-fired facility.

He said that the excise taxes on coal and oil would translate to an additional 1 centavo/kWh which will be implemented on a staggered basis since it would depend on power generators’ existing stock of fuel.

RA 10963 provides for a P50 per metric ton (/MT) excise tax on coal that will rise to P100/MT next year and further to P150/MT starting 2020, besides subjecting imported coal to the value added tax.

The law also provides a P2.50 per liter excise tax on oil that rises to P4.50 per liter next year and further to P6 per liter starting 2020.

The bigger impact would come from a 7 centavos/kWh increase in transmission charge, Mr. Fernandez added.

The staggered one-centavo increase could start in February, but if grid operator National Grid Corporation of the Philippines (NGCP) were to include in its January billing the tax on power transmission, next month’s rate increase would even be bigger, he said.

Mr. Fernandez said that since TRAIN took effect on Jan. 1, Meralco expects its January bill from NGCP to reflect the 12% value-added tax (VAT). He said TRAIN had repealed the VAT exemption granted to NGCP by RA 9511, which gave it the franchise to engage in the business of transmitting electricity through a high-voltage network of interconnected transmission lines, substations and related facilities.

Meralco’s controlling stakeholder, Beacon Electric Asset Holdings, Inc., is partly owned by PLDT, Inc. Hastings Holdings, Inc., a unit of PLDT Beneficial Trust Fund subsidiary MediaQuest Holdings, Inc., has interest in BusinessWorld through the Philippine Star Group, which it controls.

Electricity contributes 4.51% to the theoretical basket of basic goods and services used by a typical Filipino household on which annual inflation is computed.

ESTIMATED INFLATION IMPACT
ING Bank N.V. Manila expects inflation to pick up by 3.7% this year on the back of rising crude prices, coupled with the impact of TRAIN.

The forecast is higher than the 3.4% given by the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP), coming from a 3.2% reading in 2017. This, however, will still fall within BSP’s 2-4% target band for 2018.

“We believe that inflation pressures in 2018 would be more intense,” ING economist Jose Mario I. Cuyegkeng said in a market report yesterday.

“We estimate that the direct impact of the tax reform-related excise taxes would result to a 0.8-1 percentage point (ppt) increase.”

RA 10963 reduces personal income taxes for those earning below P2 million, alongside a simpler system for computing donor and estate taxes.

Foregone revenues will be offset by the removal of some VAT exemptions; increased tax rates for fuel, automobiles, tobacco, coal, minerals, documentary stamps, foreign currency deposit units, capital gains for stocks not in the stock exchange, and stock transactions; as well as new taxes for sugar-sweetened drinks and cosmetic surgery.

Second-round effects that will be felt through rising transport fares as well as higher wages and production costs would also drive prices up by another percentage point, Mr. Cuyegkeng added.

The inflation uptrend is expected to prod the BSP to raise rates twice this year, even as these will lag behind the United States where three tightening moves are expected from the Federal Reserve.

Central bank officials said they expect new taxes to add less than 1 ppt to inflation this year, even as they said the BSP is ready to adjust policy tools should the pace pick up beyond expectation.

BOND YIELDS RISING
Faster inflation is also expected to exert upward pressure on interest rates, with yields at the secondary market already trading higher in 2018’s first trading week.

Higher rates fetched for US Treasuries and higher funding requirements from domestic capital markets are also spurring a pickup in rates.

“Market had become more wary of inflation expectations and had priced this in with spreads to inflation rising by 20bps (basis points) in 2H 2017 from 1H 2017… [W]ith inflation rising in 2017 to 3.2% from 1.8% in 2016, market had shaken off some complacency and started to exact a higher inflation premium,” ING Bank said in the report.

Previously, players had asked for “modest” yields as inflation stood favorable, even settling below the target range at 1.8% in 2016. However, the pickup in prices last year and future prospects made them change tack.

Expectations of additional rate hikes by the Fed are also triggering higher rates sought by market players.

Still, this is seen countered by ample funding held by the Bureau of the Treasury, giving the government space to be more discerning of bond bids.

Mr. Cuyegkeng said two retail Treasury bond offers last year generated “substantial cash” for the government worth P430 billion. A $1-billion global note offer expected this month would also boost public coffers.

“Government cash position is healthy for most of 1H 2018. This would allow government to manage bond yields at auctions,” the bank analyst said.

“We expect this cash position to have a positive effect on local bond market.”

The Treasury rejected all bids at yesterday’s offer of 10-year bonds as yields sought by market players were higher than expected. — Victor V. Saulon and Melissa Luz T. Lopez

Stock mart resumes climb to new record high

By Arra B. Francia
Reporter

THE PHILIPPINE STOCK EXCHANGE INDEX (PSEi) broke through the 8,900 line on Tuesday, resuming its ascent to a fresh peak on the back of expectations that the next tax reform package will cut corporate income tax rates.

The fifth trading day of 2018 saw PSEi log its fourth record high, gaining 2.04% or 178.60 points to finish 8,923.72 on Tuesday. It was now up 4.27% from its record-high 8,558.42 finish in 2017.

Timson Securities, Inc. Equities trader Jervin S. de Celis attributed the main index’ jump yesterday to news on the Department of Finance (DoF) plan to submit three more tax reform packages to Congress within the year, including the second one that will slash corporate income taxes to 25% from 30% currently.

“That’s what’s keeping the PSEi going up since our corporate income tax is the highest among Southeast Asian nations. Most of our neighboring countries implement corporate tax rates between 12.5% and 25%,” Mr. De Celis said in a mobile phone message.

Foreign investors continued to bet on the strength of the Philippine economy, with net foreign inflows ballooning to P1.42 billion from P1.202 billion on Monday.

All six sectoral indices moved into positive territory, with the property sector lodging the biggest increase at 2.4%, followed by financials at 2.24%.

Summit Securities, Inc. President Harry G. Liu said that apart from the tax reform program, investors are banking on companies’ year-end financial reports.

“Of course there’s the tax reform program, the infrastructure program. And then you have the yearend reports, these are the ones that are causing the market to get more positive,” Mr. Liu said in a telephone interview.

He added that such developments pointing to further boost to the macroeconomy down the road will continue to fuel investor optimism.

“So looking at it, I think in the long term this trend would be very much upward-looking,” Mr. Liu said.

“In the short term, maybe we can meet a bit of resistance for profit-taking. But nevertheless, my long term picture should be about 10,000 for the year.”

Timson Securities’ Mr. De Celis said the PSEi could breach the 9,000 mark as early as this week. Some analysts had earlier projected the market reach this level later into the year. “This week, the PSEi breaching the 9,000 is highly like since we are just a few points away from it and this is due to optimism on economic reforms of the current administration as well as the expected higher government spending on infrastructure projects,” he said. “While the ascent of the PSEi is too fast and steep, it may consolidate probably above 8,800-9,000 level once the market has already factored in these news.”

Gov’t sets preliminary tax collection goals until 2022

THE GOVERNMENT has set preliminary annual collection targets until 2022 for its two main revenue bureaus as it keeps its eye on an P8.44-trillion plan to build infrastructure until then.

The Bureau of Customs (BoC) has been entrusted with a P581.3-billion collection program for this year, Department of Finance (DoF) documents show. The preliminary target is 26.48% more than the P459.6 billion set for 2017, as stated in the latest Budget of Expenditures and Sources of Financing.

For the Bureau of Internal Revenue (BIR), the government is looking at a P2.039-trillion target this year. BIR Commissioner Caesar R. Dulay has said that medium-term targets are still up for discussion with the economic managers of the Development Budget Coordination Committee.

For 2019, the government is looking at a P2.309-trillion target for the BIR, 13.24% more than this year, and P662.2 billion for the BoC, which is 13.19% higher than in 2018.

In 2020, the BIR is tasked to rake in 13.34% more at P2.617 trillion, while BoC has a 12.99% bigger target at P748.2 billion.

The BIR in 2021 is expected collect P2.942 trillion, 12.42% more than the preceding year, while the BoC should rake in P826.2 billion, up 10.43%.

At the end of the administration’s six-year term in 2022, BIR collections should reach P3.312 trillion, 12.58% more than in 2021, and the BoC take should hit P914.8 billion, or 10.72% more.

Latest available government data show that the BIR collected P1.621 trillion as of November last year, 12% more than the P1.45 trillion it got in 2016’s corresponding 11 months.

The same comparative 11 months saw the BoC collecting 14% more at P413.1 billion from P361.5 billion. — Elijah Joseph C. Tubayan

BSP cites drivers of stronger FDI inflows

By Melissa Luz T. Lopez
Senior Reporter

THE PHILIPPINES’ infrastructure spending program and warmer ties with China and Russia will support stronger foreign investment inflows this year, the country’s central bank chief said, alongside robust expansion of local industries.

Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) Governor Nestor A. Espenilla, Jr. said foreign direct investments (FDI) are on track to keep growing this year to reach a new record high.

As of its December review, the central bank saw FDI net inflows hitting a fresh high of $8.2 billion this year, up from an expected $8-billion stash in 2017 on the back of “sustained positive developments.” Improving global economic conditions are shaping up to be favorable for more businesses to place their bets here.

“FDI inflows uptick is further seen in 2018 in line with the continued fast tracking and modernization of the country’s infrastructure as well as growing interests from non-traditional investment sources such as China and Russia,” BSP Governor Nestor A. Espenilla said in an e-mail interview with BusinessWorld.

FDIs are a key source of capital for the local economy, which create more jobs for Filipinos as these fuel business expansions.

Some $5.839 billion in new investments entered the country as of September last year, close to matching the $5.85 billion in FDIs tallied in 2016’s comparable nine months.

The central bank is scheduled to release October FDI data today.

The United States, Singapore and the Netherlands were the biggest sources of foreign capital as of end-September, according to BSP data.

Cozier ties between Manila and Beijing amid President Rodrigo R. Duterte’s “pivot” to China are expected to unlock additional trade and investments between the two nations.

China has already pledged around $7.34 billion in soft loans and grants for the Philippines over the past two years, according to the Department of Finance.

The recovery of the manufacturing sector and the steady growth of services supported the influx of foreign capital last year, alongside the rollout of previously approved big-ticket infrastructure projects under the public-private partnership scheme, the BSP chief said.

This year, he again sees manufacturing — particularly of electronics and motor parts — as the biggest beneficiary of new investments. Other attractive industries include renewable energy and waterworks; real estate; entertainment financial and insurance activities; and wholesale and retail trade.

The Duterte administration’s “Build, Build, Build” mantra on infrastructure development would also entice more foreign businesses to place their bets here, Mr. Espenilla said.

On the central bank’s part, regulatory reforms to improve ease of doing business and deepen the local debt market are also expected to unlock more opportunities for FDIs.

“Strong economic fundamentals; young, reliable and educated workforce; as well as the government’s commitment to carry out reforms toward structural transformation and infrastructure development, should attract more investments into the country,” Mr. Espenilla said in his e-mail.