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Palace open to China’s invitation for joint exploration on disputed waters

The Palace on Monday said it is open to the suggestion of the People’s Republic of China to conduct military exercises and energy exploration with ASEAN states in the disputed waters of South China Sea.
China also insisted that non-ASEAN countries, especially the United States should be excluded from the said joint activities in the South China Sea.
“We understand the invitation of China [that] it wants closer cooperation among its neighbors and the US is not its neighbor and therefore we understand that we are amenable to a joint exploration in disputed areas, and we are pushing for 60-40 sharing 60 percent accruing to Filipinos, of course,” Presidential Spokesperson Harry L. Roque, Jr. said in a press briefing in Malita, Davao Occidental on Monday morning, August 6. — Arjay L. Balinbin

Justice department to receive higher budget next year

The Department of Justice (DoJ) will be receiving higher funding in 2019 at P21.35 billion, an 8.59% increase from 2018, as proposed by the National Expenditure Program (NEP).
“The total 2019 program budget of the Department of Justice, including its constituents and attached agencies is P20.04 billion for 2019. As you will know, this is only 0.53% or half of 1% of the total national budget for 2019, amounting to P3.7 trillion,” Secretary Menardo I. Guevarra said during the budget hearing, on Monday, Aug. 6. — Charmaine A. Tadalan

Taiwan government seeks visa-free privilege for citizens visiting the Philippines

The Taiwanese government is requesting the Philippines to grant Taiwanese tourists visa-free privilege.
Alfred Y.H. Yang, director for the Economic Division of the Taipei Economic and Cultural Office in the Philippines (TECOP), lamented that the agency has been seeking its counterpart here, the Manila Economic and Cultural Office, to grant similar perks but long-standing negotiations have not borne fruit.
“We wish the Philippine side will also give us the similar treatment on the visa-waiver program. Until now we’re still discussing,” Mr. Yang told reporters in a media roundtable in Manila City on Monday, Aug. 6.
“They always say they are starting. But I think the man reason for the starting for such a long time is the budget. We respect your side but we need reciprocal [treatment],” he added.
The TECOP recently extended the 14-day free visa free program for another year. Initially set for nine months, the program was stretched to July 2019 after Taiwan saw a record number of Filipino tourist arrivals last year. — Janina C. Lim
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PNB earnings surge in January-June period

Philippine National Bank (PNB) saw its net profit higher in the first half of the year brought about by growth in its total operating income.
In a regulatory filing late Monday, Aug. 6, the Tan-led bank’s consolidated net income stood at P5.4 billion in the six months ending June, doubling from the P2.7 billion it booked in the same period last year.
The bank said the growth in total operating income “provided the momentum for the strong performance” as core income as well as non-recurring revenues increased. — Karl Angelo N. Vidal

Philippine Business Bank posts higher first-half net profit

Philippine Business Bank (PBB) logged higher net income in the first half of the year from the previous semester as it saw sustained strong loan demand.
In a disclosure to the local bourse Monday, the Yao-led lender posted a net profit of P348.2 million in the January-June period, up 16.1% from the P299.8 million booked in the second half of 2017.
PBB saw its core income jump by 58.5% to P669.9 million in the first six months of 2018 from the P422.7 million in the same period last year.
Interest income grew 40.2% to P2.5 billion from the P1.8 billion year-on-year. This resulted to a pickup in net interest income to P1.8 billion, up 27.9% in a comparable year-ago period. — Karl Angelo N. Vidal

Government fully awards Treasury bills at auction

The government made a full award of the Treasury bills (T-bill) it auctioned off on Monday as rates on the longer tenors slipped.
The Bureau of the Treasury (BTr) borrowed P15 billion as planned at its T-bills auction on Monday.
Total tenders amounted to P46.4 billion, climbing from the P35.8 billion recorded at last week’s offering.
Broken down, the government borrowed P4 billion as planned via the 91-day tenor as tenders by investors amounted to P11.355 billion. The average rate rose 2.9 basis points to 3.29% from the 3.261% logged in the previous auction.
The Treasury also made a full award of the 182-day papers as it raised P5 billion out of the total offers totaling P17.316 billion. However, the average yield declined 10.8 basis points to 4.186% from last week’s 4.294%.
For the 364-day T-bills, the BTr borrowed P6 billion out of the P17.712 billion offered by banks and other financial institutions. The average rate likewise slid a tad by 0.1 basis point to 4.899% from the 4.9% tallied in the previous offering.
At the secondary market prior to the auction, three-month and six-month papers were quoted at 3.6594% and 4.2217%, respectively, while one-year securities fetched a 4.8241% yield. — Karl Angelo N. Vidal

Boracay road works finished in time for October opening — DPWH

The Department of Public Works and Highways (DPWH) said the rehabilitation work being done on roads in Boracay is set to meet its October deadline, in time for the reopening of the island.
In a statement on Monday, Aug. 6, the agency said DPWH Secretary Mark A. Villar conducted an inspection in the island last week and found significant development in the ongoing works.
“We have started the pouring of concrete and installation of pipes along Cagban to Elizalde Compound. As of now, we are almost 40% complete,” the secretary was quoted as saying.
He added, “Now 60 percent completed, the construction of the missing gap, along the circumferential road, will facilitate travel around the famous Puka Beach.” — Denise A. Valdez

Oil firms to lower fuel prices tomorrow

Oil companies are rolling back the cost of petroleum products this week, although at a rate lower than the price increases in recent weeks.
Gasoline and diesel products will both be cheaper by P0.10 per liter, while kerosene prices will be lower by P0.25 per liter.
Seaoil Philippines, Inc. will be among the first to cut prices at 12:01 a.m. on Tuesday, Aug. 7. Most oil companies will be reducing prices at 6:00 a.m. tomorrow.
The reduction this week follows last month’s almost weekly price increases, which peaked at P1.15 per liter for gasoline last Tuesday. Diesel and kerosene prices also rose significantly last week at P0.95 and P0.85 per liter, respectively.
Meanwhile, Petron Corp. said it is now accepting the Pantawid Pasada Card distributed by the Department of Transportation and Department of Energy in 740 service stations nationwide.
It said the stations are marked with a Pantawid Pasada Program signage and are along high-traffic transport routes. Public utility jeepney drivers just need to present their cards to any service station attendant for proper identification and validation before fueling up with diesel. — Victor V. Saulon

COL Financial lowers end-2018 projection for PSE index

COL Financial Group, Inc expects the Philippine Stock Exchange index (PSEi) to end at the 8,600 level by the end of the year, revising downward its earlier projection following higher than expected inflation figures and the continued outflow of foreign funds from the local market.
The local brokerage firm counted a number of risks that the bourse encountered during the first half of the year, including faster inflation, delays in the implementation of rate hikes by the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas, and the movement of funds away from emerging markets (EM).


This prompted the group to lower its end-2018 projections by 7.5%, from the 9,300 level it predicted last February.
“The good news is negatives have already been priced in. In terms of valuation, (stocks) are already very cheap,” COL Financial Chief Equity Strategist April Lynn C. Lee-Tan said in a media briefing in Ortigas Center on Monday. — Arra B. Francia

SM Prime profit up by 16% in first half

The property firm of country’s richest man Henry Sy, Sr. reported a 16% profit growth for the first six months of 2018, driven by the provincial expansion of its malls alongside higher demand for residential properties.
SM Prime Holdings, Inc. said in a statement on Monday, Aug. 6, that its net income reached P16.62 billion for the January to June period, on the back of a 15% uptick in consolidated revenues to P49.77 billion.
“SM Prime’s expansion projects in various progressive provincial areas in the Philippines, as well as bolstered presence in Metro Manila, allowed the Company to maintain double-digit growth in all of our businesses,” SM Prime President Jeffrey C. Lim was quoted as saying in a statement. — Arra B. Francia

China prepared for long trade war with US, state media says

After a weekend of claims by U.S. President Donald Trump that he has the upper hand in the trade war with China, Beijing responded through state media by saying the nation is ready to endure the economic fallout.
China is prepared for a “protracted war” and doesn’t fear sacrificing short-term economic interests, according to an editorial in the nationalist Global Times on Sunday evening. “Considering the unreasonable U.S. demands, a trade war is an act that aims to crush China’s economic sovereignty, trying to force China to be a U.S. economic vassal.”
The exchange of barbs between the two sides follows the release late Friday in Beijing of a tariff list designed to retaliate against the U.S. threat to impose new duties on $200 billion of Chinese imports. The worsening of the tension comes amid a slowing of China’s economy, declines in the currency and a bear market in stocks.
Trump told an audience of diehard supporters on Saturday that playing hardball on trade is “my thing.”
“We have really rebuilt China, and it’s time that we rebuild our own country now,” Trump said Saturday during about an hour of free-wheeling remarks at a rally outside Columbus, Ohio. China’s market declines weaken that nation’s bargaining power in the escalating trade war, he added.
Recent comments and developments in the trade dispute John Bolton says U.S. will take the trade war “far enough to get China to change” Larry Kudlow says Trump won’t back off of China Trump says U.S. has upper hand with China Tit-for-tat becomes the norm
Trump continued his focus on tariffs Sunday morning, tweeting that the duties are working “big time” and that imported goods should be taxed or made in the U.S. He also suggested duties will allow paying down “large amounts of the $21 trillion in debt that has been accumulated” while reducing taxes for Americans.
“Every country on earth wants to take wealth out of the U.S., always to our detriment,” Trump tweeted, “I say, as they come, Tax them.”
The yuan extended gains following a rally triggered by a surprise China central bank move to make it more expensive to bet against the currency. China stepped in Friday to try to cushion the yuan after a record string of weekly losses saw the currency closing in on the key milestone of 7 per dollar.
Duties ranging from 5 percent to 25 percent will be levied on 5,207 kinds of imports from America if the U.S. delivers its proposed taxes on another $200 billion of Chinese goods, the Ministry of Finance said in a statement on its website late Friday.
Including the new tariffs already in force, China has now identified almost 6,000 items for higher import taxes, including liquid natural gas, soybeans, and other products. That covers more than two-thirds of the value of China’s imports from the U.S., but it excludes products such as big aeroplanes and some computer chips, which China struggles to produce domestically.
“Chinese buyers don’t have any bargaining power on these products. Even if the trade war escalates, China would rather lift the 25 percent tariffs to 50 percent, instead of imposing any tariffs on integrated circuits or big airplanes,” according to Larry Hu, head of China economics at Macquarie Securities Ltd. in Hong Kong. “What’s the point of imposing tariffs? Chinese companies would have to pay all the additional costs.”
In addition, more than 500 goods on the lists aren’t traded at all, and China imported less than a million dollars worth of about another 2,000 items, according to a Bloomberg analysis of 2016 trade flows. Hu says one speculation about these phantom items is that the government is bluffing to create a longer list.
President Trump last week ordered officials to consider imposing a 25 percent tax on $200 billion worth of imported Chinese goods, up from an initial 10 percent rate. The move was intended to bring China back to the negotiating table for talks over U.S. demands for structural changes to the Chinese economy and a cut in the bilateral trade deficit, but China’s response suggests that tactic hasn’t worked.
“In the face of the bullying of the Donald Trump administration, Beijing must remain sober-minded and never let emotion override reason when deciding how to respond,” according to an editorial by the China Daily, the flagship state-run English newspaper. “Given China’s huge market, its systemic advantage of being able to concentrate resources on big projects, its people’s tenacity in enduring hardships and its steadiness in implementing reform and opening-up policies, the country can survive a trade war.” — Bloomberg

Gold may hit $1,300 by end of year, ICBC says

Gold’s plunge to the lowest level in more than a year may be close to ending, and prices could climb back to $1,300 by December, according to ICBC Standard Bank Plc.
Bullion is set to average $1,260 an ounce in the third quarter and rise further in the following three months as interest rate increases are priced in and physical demand emerges, Marcus Garvey, a London-based commodities strategist, said in an interview in India. “We are going to see almost certainly two U.S. interest rate hikes come this year, but they are already, if not fully priced, fairly nearly. So there isn’t a huge scope for a surprise there.”
Gold’s appeal has been fading this year with prices sliding near to the key $1,200 level, partly because of an upbeat outlook on the U.S. economy that’s strengthened the dollar. The metal saw some relief on Friday as U.S. hiring cooled in July and China moved to support its currency.
“There is a risk in the short term for a dip below $1,200 if the current market dynamics persist,” Garvey said on the sidelines of a conference in Kochi. “But looking at the next six months, we are actually around the bottom for this cycle already, so it is more suited in the long term for investors as a decent level for purchasing for their portfolios,” he said.
Although the headline level for the U.S. business cycle looks very healthy, there are some concerns over credit stress, making it questionable whether the U.S. consumer can withstand materially higher interest rates, he said.
Hedge Funds
The view that bullion’s pain may be nearing an end is shared by Nic Johnson, a Pacific Investment Management Co. money manager, who said late last month that falling gold prices in the absence of rising real yields suggest the metal has cheapened versus other U.S.-denominated haven assets. That along with comments by President Donald Trump “lamenting the strong dollar” could reignite interest in the metal, he said in a blog.
Still, the big money is wagering gold’s recent troubles aren’t over. The latest government data show hedge funds and other large speculators raised net-short bets on the precious metal in the week to July 31 to the most since at least 2006. Traders are concerned a stronger dollar, economic growth and the Federal Reserve’s plan to raise interest rates will further dim prospects. — Bloomberg

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