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Power franchise renewal process adds uncertainty to Iloilo investment climate

THE ILOILO City business sector said the investment climate is being hurt by uncertainty over an ongoing power franchise renewal process, and called on Congress to select the provider that will best serve consumer interests.
“Whatever decisions they come up with, either PECO (Panay Electric Company, Inc.) or the new player, it should always be to the advantage of the Ilonggos,” Iloilo Business Club Inc. (IBC) Executive Director Lea E. Lara said.
The House of Representatives is currently evaluating PECO’s renewal application, as its 25-year franchise is due to expire in January. Hoping to take over the franchise is MORE Electric and Power Corp. (MORE Power).
Ms. Lara said the IBC does not have enough information to judge whether MORE Power could provide better service as the company has not contacted the group to present its investment plan.
“We are vulnerable to this. In our desire to replace PECO thinking it’s really the best plan, we ended up with a company which is unknown to us. So it is really difficult to comment,” she said.
PECO is facing complaints of alleged over-billing.
MORE Power was previously MORE Minerals Corp., a unit of Enrique K. Razon, Jr.’s Monte Oro Resources and Energy, Inc. (MORE). Earlier this month, the new company’s officials briefed the media on its technical, operational, and financial capabilities.
MORE Power’s franchise application has been approved at the committee level and is now up for House plenary deliberation.
“If ever there is a transition period… it’s too difficult to comment as of the moment, we do not have enough information,” Ms. Lara said.
Ms. Lara said IBC concurs with the Iloilo Economic Development Foundation (ILED) that the franchise holder should deliver world-class service to one of the country’s fastest-developing cities.
The Iloilo City Council has authorized the city government to intervene in the House deliberations. — Louine Hope U. Conserva

Boracay worker-aid program stops taking new applicants

THE LABOR department said it will stop processing new applications for its financial assistance program for workers affected by Boracay’s six-month closure amid a shortage of funds and fraud allegations, ahead of the resort island’s limited reopening on Oct. 26.
In Department Advisory No. 3, series of 2018 dated Oct. 10, the Department of Labor and Employment (DoLE) said that it will no longer process applications for the Boracay Emergency Employment Program (BEEP) Adjustment Measures Program (AMP) for formal-sector workers affected by the island’s rehabilitation.
“This Department shall cease processing new applications from workers whose names are not included in the database of profiled affected formal-sector workers,” the advisory, which was signed by labor secretary Silvestre H. Bello III, said.
DoLE added, “As the number of BEEP AMP applications exceeded the funds allocated for the program, priority shall be given to those who were profiled and verified.”
In DoLE’s Department Order No. 191 issued in May, the DoLE funded BEEP AMP from the Presidential Contingency Program. It authorized financial support, administrative funds for DoLE Region 6 to monitor and implement the program, and administrative funds for the Bureau of Local Employment (BLE).
DoLE Region 6 said on social media Thursday that DoLE can only assist 17,000 beneficiaries but the number being processed has exceeded DoLE’s funding capacity.
“By July 10, a total of 21,286 have been profiled, some 20% higher than the fund allocation. To date however, DoLE has received more than 30,000 applications, almost double the number of workers covered by the fund allocation,” DoLE Region 6 reported.
On the other hand, DoLE Region 6 said that the issuance of DA No. 3 is also in relation to alleged fraudulent activities of workers claiming eligibility as beneficiaries.
“DOLE 6 has recently started a thorough investigation on the alleged fraudulent activities of employers and employees in Boracay who were purportedly defrauding the Department in order to avail of the program’s financial assistance,” it said.
Boracay is set to reopen after the completion of Phase 1 of its rehabilitation. The Department of Environmental and Natural Resources (DENR) announced last week that only 159 establishments have clearance to operate when the island starts receiving visitors again. — Gillian M. Cortez

Domestic trade flows decline in 2017 — PSA

DOMESTIC TRADE in 2017 declined year-on-year in both volume and value, according to the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA).
The statistics agency said domestic trade by volume in 2017 was 23.4 million tons, down 3.9% from a year earlier.
In value terms, domestic trade declined 12.2% to P765.38 million.
Commodity flow, also known as domestic trade, measures the flow of goods through the water, air and rail transport systems. In 2017, water transport accounted for 99.9% of the total and the remaining 0.1% was accounted for by air transport.
Most of the eight commodity categories monitored by the PSA gained in volume.
Chemical and related products rose 23.2% to 1.04 million tons. However, value fell 16.1% to P48.94 million.
This was followed by beverages and tobacco which were up 3.6% at 700,178 tons, while value plunged 26.6% to P33.35 million.
Coming in third were animal and vegetable oils, fats and waxes which rose 3.1% by volume to 107,059 tons. Value, on the other hand, rose 103.7% to P6 million.
Other gainers were machinery and transport equipment (up 1.1% at 2.76 million tons) and manufactured goods classified chiefly by material (up 0.5% at 3.59 million tons).
Crude materials, inedible, except fuels fell 25.1% to 1.56 million tons while value rose 3.4% to P17.45 million.
Mineral fuels, lubricants and related materials fell 13.3% to 5.38 million tons with value dropping 12.9% to P68.86 million.
Miscellaneous manufactured articles fell 7.3% to 669,793 tons while food and live animals also declined 0.7% to 6.57 million tons.
The National Capital Region posted the highest outflow by value amounting to P206.4 billion or 27% of the total. This was followed by Central Visayas and Western Visayas with P118.63 billion and P115.88 billion, respectively.
Calabarzon (Cavite, Laguna, Batangas, Rizal, and Quezon) had the smallest outflow of P845.02 million.
In terms of inflow, Central Visayas shipped in P138.13 billion worth of goods last year, or about 18% of all traded commodities.
Meanwhile, the Cagayan Valley had the smallest inflow of P111.32 million. — Janina C. Lim

How are online merchants and intermediaries taxed?

Innovations brought about by information and communication technology have dramatically changed how people behave and go about their daily tasks. As the number of computer-literate, digital individuals increases, the easier it becomes to exchange information and facilitate remote transactions.
Conducting business has also become more convenient. Responding to clients’ inquiries and delivering goods and services are now more efficient for both buyers and sellers. Thanks to the continuous development of innovative, disruptive e-commerce technology, the Internet has transformed into an infinite marketplace where everything and anything can be bought and sold.
In the Philippines, a joint report by Globe Telecom and online news portal Rappler revealed that the penetration rate of mobile Internet is growing at 150% every year, with average users spending 3.2 hours on mobile Internet, and 5.2 hours on desktops and tablets.
The same report noted that five out of 10 Filipinos recently bought something from the Internet, including games, music, apps, services, and physical goods.
Like-minded entrepreneurs have welcomed this digital phenomenon with open arms, judging from the popularity of e-commerce websites such as Lazada, Zalora, and Shoppee, which have millions of pesos in sales.
Since these are new business platforms that were not even present a few decades ago, the Bureau of Internal Revenue (BIR) has seen fit to remind the transacting parties of their tax obligations while keeping in mind the shared interests of the government, that is, to ensure the proper collection of taxes from profits gained in the conduct of online business transactions. These policies are intended to complement the Electronic Commerce Act of 2000, otherwise known as Republic Act 8792.
On Aug. 5, 2013, the BIR issued Revenue Memorandum Circular No. 055-13, which further reiterated the taxpayers’ obligations in relation to online business transactions. The regulation enumerated the responsibilities of online merchant and online intermediaries on tax compliance, to ensure that proper taxes are remitted to the government and all the transactions using the internet are properly receipted.
The regulation views an “online merchant” as an e-commerce business owner that owns a website and sells his own products and services, appearing like a virtual store. Likewise, it also defined “online intermediaries” as third parties that offer intermediation services between two trading parties. The intermediary acts as a conduit for goods or services offered by a supplier to a consumer, for which it receives commission.
For online merchants, the tax obligation is straightforward. Online merchants are basically covered by existing tax regulations, as an entity directly selling goods or services. Specifically, online merchants are required to: register the business at the Revenue District Office (RDO); secure Authority to Print invoices/receipts, which may either be manual or computerized accounting system; issue registered invoices/receipts for every sales transaction; withhold required creditable withholding tax (CWT)/expanded withholding tax (EWT) and remit tax to the BIR; file applicable tax returns or other reports required for compliance and pay correct taxes; and keep books of account as required by law, making them available anytime for inspection and verification by the BIR for compliance with tax rules.
However, complications arise when the online platform provider is not the actual merchant. RMC 055-13 foresaw this, and stipulated no exceptions for filing tax for e-commerce platforms, even if online intermediaries are given different requirements. Their tax responsibilities may differ as to whether they actually act as an agent of the merchant, or are considered the merchant itself.
The instances when the online intermediary is considered the actual merchant itself are:

1) When consumers buy goods or services from an intermediary service provider who controls such collection of buyers’ payments, and thereafter receives commission from the merchant/retailer, and;

2) When the intermediary markets multiple products for its own account.

According to RMC 055-13, an Online Intermediary which acts as an agent of the merchant is obligated to:

a. Issue the merchant’s acknowledgement receipt (for goods)/official receipt [OR] (for services) for the buyer to claim the goods/service (in this case, the merchant acting as the principal shall assign a number of pads of such receipts to the intermediary/agent);

b. Ensure the merchant delivers the goods to the buyer with an accompanying invoice or merchant performs the purchased service, and;

c. Issue an OR to the merchant for the full amount of the agreed commission, and reflecting therein the amount withheld by the merchant.

However, if the Online Intermediary controls the collections/payments of buyers or markets products/services for its own account, and is therefore considered the retailer/merchant for the purpose of taxation, it is required to:

a. Issue the invoice/OR for the full amount of the sale to the buyer — if paid through a bank, or issue electronically the invoice/OR for the full amount of the sale to the buyer -if paid by credit card;

b. Issue the acknowledgment receipt to the bank (or through the credit card company) for the amount received;

c. Remit the amount to the merchant retailer net of intermediary’s agreed mark-up/commission (include in the said remittance to merchant/retailer the 10% EWT) — if paid through a bank, or pay the commission of the credit card company net of the 10% EWT and remit the balance to the merchant retailer net of intermediary’s agreed mark-up/commission — if paid by credit card.

Note that this regulation explicitly subjects the income payments made to online intermediaries to 10% EWT. Interestingly, it effectively amends RR 2-98, by specifying the applicable EWT rate for commissions or service fees paid to online intermediaries.
Without this regulation, the income payments to online intermediaries may be subjected to 2% EWT which is the rate imposed on contractors engaged in other computer-related activities under RR 2-98.
Given the above requirements of RMC 055-13, entities offering intermediary services, and those partnering with them, should always take into consideration the proper classification of online intermediaries for taxation purposes in order to comply with the tax rules.
Both RA 8792 and RMC 055-13 were considered ahead of their time when they were enacted/issued. However, in the last five years, the e-commerce community has attracted even more budding entrepreneurs to the market, and virtual shopping is still evolving. As technological innovations continue, let us remain hopeful that taxing authorities will remain on top with timely and updated revenue regulations.
This article is for general information only and is not a substitute for professional advice where the facts and circumstances warrant. The views and opinion expressed above are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of SGV & Co.
 
Mailyn P. Consignado is a Senior Associate at SGV — Financial Services Tax.

Structural weaknesses in our economy: What to do?

In my last column, “The Structural Weaknesses of the Philippine Economy,” I said that the recent economic data show the structural weaknesses of the Philippine economy: low agricultural productivity, weak export growth, and undiversified export base, with much export concentrated in low value-added electronics sector.
The structural weaknesses are manifested in our widening current account and balance of trade deficits and vulnerability to all sorts of shocks, from food supply to oil price shocks. The structural weaknesses also constrain the country’s economic growth because the BSP would have to slow down the economy lest rising inflation or a steeply falling peso destabilizes the economy.
I traced these structural weaknesses to the four binding constraints I keep writing about: 1. Monopolies in strategic industries, namely, telecommunications, shipping, and ports. 2. The National Food Authority’s monopoly on rice importation and the Department of Agriculture’s obsession with an unrealistic rice self-sufficiency policy, 3. Labor rigidities, in the form of high entry-level wages relative to productivity, and highly restrictive labor security regulations in the Labor Code, and 4. Overregulation of the rural land market due to CARP (Comprehensive Agrarian Reform Program) restrictions and Department of Agrarian Reform’s overreach of its powers.
These binding constraints are responsible for the country’s inability to increase and diversify its exports, particularly toward agricultural and labor-intensive exports; to increase agricultural productivity that will lower food prices and make the economy more resilient to natural disasters and other food supply shocks; and to build up the manufacturing sector with high-paying jobs for the mass of unemployed and underemployed.
What should we do now?
1. Congress should do a surgical amendment to the Constitution by removing the foreign ownership restrictions in the Constitution. Congress should forget about federalism for now because federalism is still contentious and is a net negative for the economy. However, politically, focusing on the economic provisions is more feasible and timely.
Removing the foreign ownership restrictions in the Constitution will dramatically increase foreign investments and help finance the growing current account and balance of trade deficits. It will facilitate more competition in strategic industries, and lower prices and increase the quality of transportation, telecommunications, and other services. Liberalization will also make manufacturing and agriculture more competitive, as the output of these strategic industries (transport and telecoms) are inputs to manufacturing and agriculture. Finally, liberalization will improve the quality of infrastructure because foreign investors can fully invest in airports, seaports, mass transport systems and operate them.
The second best solution is for Congress to pass the Philippine Service Act Amendment. The PSA Amendment will remove transportation and telecommunications from the definition of public utilities, paving for 100% foreign ownership in transportation and telecommunications. The PSA Amendment has been passed by the House and is pending approval in the Senate. President Duterte should certify the bill as urgent.
2. Abolish the NFA rice importation monopoly and fully liberalize rice importation. The bill passed by the House is defective: it allows the NFA to continue licensing and regulating traders. The Senate should completely abolish the NFA’s rice import monopoly and remove its regulatory and licensing functions.
If rice consumers are to fully benefit from the lower rice prices because of import liberalization, the government should set the lowest possible tariff revenue. The 35% tariff set in the various bills will just encourage smuggling. Besides, the so-called revenue from the high tariff will probably be lost to graft and corruption, just like what happened to the Road Users Tax and the Agricultural Competitiveness Enhancement Fund. Better to give the tariff revenue as a direct subsidy to rice farmers.
3. Defer TRAIN 2 or the rebranded TRABAHO tax reform bill. TRABAHO is causing a lot of uncertainty, particularly for investors in PEZA enterprises. PEZA investments have already fallen to P88 billion, a drop of 55%, in the first nine months of the year. It’s also a reckless gamble at a time when we badly need more exports and BPO revenue growth to offset the growing BOT and current account deficits.
The Department of Finance (DoF) should go back to the drawing board. TRABAHO is wrongly designed. In its desire to curb abuses, it is throwing out the baby with the bathwater. Even its maximal position is politically infeasible, creating a lot of enemies, from tertiary school owners to BPO investors. Politically powerful interests, such as gaming, geothermal, and renewable energy, have gotten exemptions under the House bill, undercutting the legitimacy and moral position of DoF’s claim toward performance-based and time-bound incentives.
4. We need to promote responsible mining because we need mineral exports as a huge dollar-earner, just as it is in Australia. President Duterte’s proposal to ban mining altogether is stupid and simplistic. In fact, given our weak institutions, banning mining will only result in more illegal miners not following environment laws.
5. Tourism is another potential winner. It generates jobs in the countryside and is a dollar earner. However, tourism’s potential cannot be realized for so long as our tourism infrastructure remains poor and decrepit. Unfortunately, President Duterte likes to keep nonperforming assets like Transportation Secretary Tugade in his Cabinet.
In this regard, the Duterte government should pivot back toward the PPP mode of financing and implementing projects. Its shift toward ODA (Official Developmental Assistance) has proven to be a bust. The Chinese and Philippine bureaucracies are expectedly slow. Moreover, Chinese ODA is subject to currency and geopolitical risks.
6. The government should stop taxing labor-intensive industries. Businesses, especially SMEs, are suffering from a high legal minimum wage, too many holidays, increased SSS pensions, restrictive labor-security regulations, and other impositions. The government is threatening to punish businesses more with anti-employment measures, all but ensuring that labor-intensive industries, such as garments and light manufacturing, stay away and capitalists substitute machines for labor. These anti-labor utilizing measures include the ending ENDO bill, which President Duterte certified as urgent, and the mandatory 105 maternity leave for women workers.
We need a farsighted and courageous politician who will shepherd amendments to the restrictive provisions in the Labor Code and make stakeholders agree to a win-win solution. For example, minimum wages and the labor security provisions can be waived in exchange for the business to be a closed union shop, i.e. for laborers to be members of unions. This will allow for labor unions to support the Labor Code amendments for flexible labor policies and enable unionized labor to expand membership and capture some of the profits of companies through collective bargaining agreements.
If we don’t amend the restrictive provisions in the Labor Code, we will never be able to industrialize and we will continue to export labor as the source of our dollar revenue.
7. Steps must be taken toward a freer rural land market. Congress needs to pass a Farmland as Collateral bill to enable CLOAs (Certificate of Land Ownership Awards) to be bankable, to remove the regulations on leasing, and enable non-original landowners to buy more than five hectares of land. Since CARP-ER (Comprehensive Agrarian Reform Program with Extension and Reforms) has expired, the Department of Agrarian Reform (DAR), guilty of overreach and overregulation, must be abolished or repurposed, like the National Food Authority. Lastly, collective CLOAs, which represent 50% of all CLOAs, must be broken up into individual CLOAs.
For so long as the rural land market remains restricted, capital, management, and technology will not flow into agriculture, ensuring our continued low agricultural productivity. Wrong policies, such as free irrigation and rice self-sufficiency, are currently driving agriculture, thanks to another nonperforming asset, Agriculture Secretary Manny Piñol. No surprise that agriculture will post almost flat growth for the year, amid rising food prices and fast population growth.
Recent economic data — rising food prices, sharply widening current account and balance of trade deficits, anemic agricultural performance, and weak export growth and undiversified export base — are the canaries in the coal mine. These show the structural weaknesses of the Philippine economy and warn of the deeper dangers ahead.
BBB — the government’s signature infrastructure program — will not fix these structural problems. Presidential bluster is also not enough. If change is coming, then let it be structural change.
 
Calixto V. Chikiamco is a board director of the Institute for Development and Econometric Analysis.
idea.introspectiv@gmail.com
www.idea.org.ph

Inflation, fare hike petitions, and TNCs competition

The Duterte economic team aka “Dutertenomists” composed of the DBCC, the Secretaries of DoF, DBM and NEDA and Governor of BSP have been peddling the “6.7% inflation rate will be the peak” statement after the September inflation was announced. They are daydreaming, of course.
Not included in their calculations and projections is the granting of huge fare hikes for public land transportation any day from October to December. And this will have a big inflationary pressure in the last three months of the year.
Here is a summary of various fare hike petitions that I gathered from various sources. The provincial air-con buses seem to have a minimum fare of P50 to encourage many short-distance passengers to take the non-aircon ordinary buses instead. The last fare hikes granted by the Land Transportation Franchising and Regulatory Board (LTFRB) were March 29, 2011 for Metro Manila buses and December 15, 2008 for provincial buses.
Public Land Transportation
Not included in these fare adjustments are under-recoveries for zero fare adjustments in 2018 nine months alone, and 12 months of 2017.
The LTFRB is among the dinosaur agencies, outmoded 1960s thinking bureaucrats who still think until now that fare adjustment is a function of politics and bureaucracy, not of changing world oil prices, peso exchange rate, and supply-demand dynamics.
In the transport network companies (TNCs) sector for instance, LTFRB has been engaged in two forms of command and control policies: (1) franchise control (limiting or capping the number of franchise units), (2) fare control via surge price control to 2x maximum, and abolition of P2/minute, which it later retracted.
While TNCs fare control has been partially addressed, LTFRB has not lifted its franchise control, which may be construed as favoring the big taxi companies.
When Uber left Southeast Asia in April 2018, Singapore-based Grab became the dominant player in the region and in the Philippines. Shortly after, many new local TNCs sprouted in the country like HirNa, GoLag, Iparra, MiCab, Mober and U-Hop.
Now a new but big regional TNC player, Indonesia-based Go-Jek, wants to enter the Philippines. Most if not all local TNCs are worried when Go-Jek initiates a ‘price war’ as its entry promotion, which Grab can easily match.
Is Go-Jek entry good for the Philippine economy?
From the perspective of passengers and the public, the answer is Yes. This means more competition, more choices, shorter waiting time. Which means many car owners will consider leaving their cars at home and take any of the competing TNCs going to work, which can help reduce Metro Manila traffic.
From the perspective of local TNCs, the answer is No. The likelihood that they will be eased out and might go bankrupt is high. Unless they will consolidate and merge with each other, pool their capital and technology resources and possibly invite foreign investors and players.
From the perspective of dominant player Grab, the answer is likely Yes. This will dispel or disprove lousy accusations by the public and even by some government agencies like the PCC that they are a “virtual monopoly” and hence, must be constantly monitored if not be over-regulated and over-bureaucratized.
From the perspective of government, it is a mixed challenge. To accommodate a new big player and allow existing players to adjust and expand, LTFRB must lift the 65,000 cap for TNCs franchise, either double it or abolish the cap altogether. This will diminish the bureaucrats’ power to harass both TNCs and individual car franchise applicants but at the same time, they will be praised by the public for easing the supply gap of TNCs.
The fear of “more TNCs = more traffic” can easily be countered by the fact or possibility of “more TNCs = more car owners leaving their cars at home.”
The nationalism card or “have more local players, reduce foreign competition” does not hold water always. The Philippines auto industry is composed of 100% multinationals — Toyota, Mitsubishi, Hyundai, Kia, BMW, GM, Ford, etc. and we are okay. The same for buses, there is not a single local auto firm.
Bottom line, there should be more competition, more capitalism, and less politics and bureaucratism.
 
Bienvenido S. Oplas, Jr. is the president of Minimal Government Thinkers
minimalgovernment@gmail.com

The conservative yet unconventional Governor

Nesting Espenilla is a low-key Governor of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP). He avoids the limelight, and that’s the way it should be for the head of an independent, non-political Central Bank.
But unavoidably, he becomes headline news, especially during uncertain times when prices and the exchange rate are the issues of the day.
As BSP Governor, he is principally responsible for keeping prices stable but at the same enabling a macroeconomic environment that encourages growth, investments, and jobs. This is a delicate task. As students of economics know, a trade-off occurs in the short run between growth and investments on the one hand and inflation on the other hand.
A central banker, by tradition, has to exercise prudence and hence tends to be conservative. Governor Espenilla acknowledges his conservatism. But this does not suggest at all that he lacks boldness. In the age of the black swan, when extreme outliers emerge, causing great impact for better or for worse, the qualities of being both cautious and bold are essential.
This combination of being conservative and being boldly unconventional has led to a BSP regime that many analysts have not fully appreciated. For Espenilla’s BSP, depreciation is no longer a dirty word. Inflation targeting is no longer sacrosanct. Dogma is out, context matters.
Give credit to the BSP and its leadership for being a significant contributor to the current growth momentum.
The noticeable turnaround happened in 2012. Growth rates since then have exceeded six percent. In the past decades, from the post-dictatorship late 1980s till Gloria Arroyo’s term in the 2000s, the economy could hardly sustain over time a growth rate of six percent and above. The term “boom and bust” describes our economy then.
To be sure, several factors explain the current uninterrupted high growth rates. These include the widening of the fiscal space, thanks to the 2012 sin tax reform; the awakening of animal spirits and the resultant revival of manufacturing; and the improvement in governance during the term of Noynoy Aquino.
But let’s not forget that investor confidence and economic performance are also deeply influenced by interest rates, exchange rate, and prices. It was during the governorship of Amando Tetangco, Jr., with able support from his Deputy Governors, Espenilla and Diwa Guinigundo, that the BSP charted a new path of advocating a competitive exchange rate and a monetary policy that is most responsive to growth.
(It is amazing that different political administrations have respected the independence of the BSP by making meritocracy and technocracy the criteria for governorship. Gloria Arroyo appointed Tetangco as BSP Governor. Noynoy Aquino reappointed him. After Tetangco’s two terms, Rodrigo Duterte appointed Espenilla the BSP Governor. It was a surprising appointment, considering that Espenilla is not linked to the Duterte camp and is in fact a high school pal of Aquino. But this shows how the institution based on meritocracy has endured.)
Before Tetangco’s and Espenilla’s terms, the BSP had a bias for a strong currency and low inflation, but which undermined the real sector of the economy. In truth, the currency overvaluation, inter alia, explained the episodes of economic crisis we went through.
A strong currency leading to overvaluation is worrisome during times of growth. Growth begets capital inflow, which overvalues the peso. In turn, overvaluation hurts Philippine exports and Philippine-made goods that compete with cheapened imports.
For years, the currency overvaluation was an economic binding constraint. The BSP, then under Tetangco and now under Espenilla, has addressed this binding constraint. The economy was likewise fortunate to have benign inflation for several years. The threat of overvaluation nevertheless remains, despite the peso’s depreciation.
The BSP’s policy stance has succeeded in stemming further appreciation and enabling growth that shows signs of structural transformation.
The current depreciation of the peso and the rise in inflation rate have led some quarters to criticize the economic managers, including Governor Espenilla. One perception is that the Philippine peso is one of the worst currency performers. But regardless of the drivers of the exchange rate — US interest rates, flight of hot money, the current account deficit, investor uncertainty, among others — the fact is that the nominal rate has to be aligned to the real rate. In short, depreciation is the direction.
This is a basic rule in economics — the alignment of the nominal and real prices to avoid distortions. To illustrate, the nominal wage should be consistent with the real wage; hence the regular wage adjustments. The fixed excise tax rates on fuel and other goods are also adjusted to maintain their real value.
Incidentally, with respect to the exchange rate, a distortion leaning towards devaluation or undervaluation can be beneficial for emerging economies to gain greater competitiveness.
We have calculated the real effective exchange rate, and depending on the choice of the base year, we find that the nominal and real rates are more or less aligned. The worse case is the peso still being slightly overvalued. In other words, the BSP’s policy preference is to allow some depreciation. Without depreciation, the peso would have been stronger, but that would have been bad for exports and import substitutes (and to jobs and incomes of families of overseas Filipino workers).
Some analysts have likewise criticized BSP for being reactive in combating inflation. They say that the BSP should have raised interest rates much earlier. The problem with this is that a rise in interest rates is an inappropriate instrument to tame supply-side inflation. How can increasing interest rates address the rice shortage or increasing world prices of crude oil? The BSP eventually hiked interest rates to manage inflation expectations.
Parenthetically, critics have blamed the economic managers for the rise in inflation. They describe present inflation as runaway, galloping, or soaring. Do read the literature on inflation and growth (R. Dornbusch and S. Fischer, 1991 and M. Bruno and W. Easterly, 1995) to understand why these critics are mistaken.
The economic managers are responsible for the comprehensive tax reform also known as TRAIN, which has contributed to inflation. But a breakdown of the causes of inflation shows that the TRAIN’s contribution to inflation is minimal. Separate estimations of the BSP, Department of Finance, and nongovernment entities like Action for Economic Reforms uphold this view.
A hard reform like TRAIN is a necessary condition for sustaining growth and making growth inclusive. It is long overdue. A lesson from contemporary economic history is to do critical reforms when growth is good.
We continue to have high growth. In fact, economic performance could have been better if not for the problems created by President Duterte. For example, the spike in the price of rice is the fault of no less than President Duterte for siding with the narrow protectionist rice policy of the Department of Agriculture and National Food Authority. In other instances, Duterte ignored the advice of the economic managers, and encouraged populist but fiscally irresponsible measures.
Amid the complex if not volatile political and economic situation, we need the qualities of technocrat reformers like Governor Espenilla. Fiercely independent, conservative at the same time unconventional, astute in economics and political economy, and honorable.
(Governor Espenilla, who is on extended medical leave, celebrated his 60th birthday on Oct. 12.)
 
Filomeno S. Sta. Ana III coordinates the Action for Economic Reforms.
www.aer.ph

Innovation in the business ecosystem

Changes by man to survive and improve himself and his environment are recorded in history as Civilization. In the 4.54 ± 0.05 billion years of the earth’s estimated existence, spontaneous changes in nature and intervening changes by the biblical “all creatures big and small” developed interdependencies that bonded groups and communities with similar ways and common concerns. In their “ecosystems” or close environment, all co-evolve in competition and collaboration on available resources, and the joint adaptation to external disruptions.
James Moore in his Harvard Business Review article “Predators and Prey: A New Ecology of Competition” (Publication May 1, 1993) compares companies operating in the increasingly interconnected world of commerce to a community of organisms adapting and evolving to survive, calling this a “business ecosystem” with its operators and publics. Moore, who was a Senior Fellow at Harvard Law School’s Berkman Center for Internet & Society, talks about the awesome changes that the new technologies have wrought on the business ecosystem.
“We need new solutions to the current and emerging challenges confronting businesses and society. As the great scientist Albert Einstein once said, ‘Insanity is doing the same thing over and over again, and expecting different results.’ The ability to innovate, is thus a must,” Ma. Victoria Españo, President of the Financial Executives Institute of the Philippines (FINEX) said. Thus the theme of the 2018 FINEX Annual Conference and celebration of FINEX’s 50th founding anniversary held last Friday October 12 was “Future-proofing though Innovation.”
H.E. Kok Li Peng, Ambassador, Embassy of the Republic of Singapore in the Philippines, delivered the keynote address at the FINEX conference. She was the best first speaker for the occasion under the theme of innovative technology, for Singapore is probably the best business (and political) case for success and recognition above and beyond the initial barriers to even mere survival. Singapore is an island-state of 722.5 km2, just a little bigger than congested Metro Manila with its 619.57 km2 and its 20,785/km2 density. Singapore has 5.6 million residents, 39% of whom are foreign nationals, including permanent residents. It is the first third-world economy to become first-world in barely two decades since its independence in 1965.
The Singaporean economy is known as one of the freest, most innovative, most competitive, most dynamic and most business-friendly, according to most economic measurements. By the Corruption Perceptions Index, Singapore is consistently perceived as one of the least corrupt countries in the world up to now, along with New Zealand and the Scandinavian countries. The Singaporean Ambassador humbly avoided claiming all those accolades, but concentrated on the unfailing Singaporean zest for excellence and the government-encouraged innovative mode in all endeavors, personal and socioeconomic.
Perhaps both the conscious and the subliminal image of Singapore as a successful business model energized by creativeness, invention and innovation has guided the businesses of the world, in the fast-moving era of technology and communication. Can we really “fool-proof” the future with relentless innovation and invention, as the FINEX conference dared to ask?
Of the biggest conglomerates in the Philippines, Ayala and the Aboitiz groups bared their strategic plans, both based on the dynamics of innovative technologies to drive faster to objective corporate destinations. Both divulged the creation of independent “Chief Innovation Officers” directly reporting to the Chief Executive Officer (CEO) or the Chief Operating Officer (COO) but in most cases under administrative lines to the Chief Finance Officer (CFO) or the head of Corporate Planning. Vincent Tobias, Head of Innovation, Ayala Corporation, and Jojo Guingao, Chief Digital Officer, Aboitiz Equity Ventures both endeavored to prove Mansfield and Felder’s Chair, Josiah Go’s most basic guideline: the question to start innovation is, “Why not?”
Jikyeong Kang, PhD, President and Dean, Asian Institute of Management (A.I.M.), and Bro. Armin Luistro, President, De La Salle University Philippines (DLSU), both said that Academe has responded to the urgency of the awareness and solutions for the rapid changes in business ecosystems, and A.I.M. and DLSU have set up courses and programs in Innovation as a main business strategy studied in theory and later application in the real workplace.
Workings of the new technologies were discussed by Ramon Jocson, Executive VP and Head of Enterprise Services, Bank of the Philippine Islands, who spoke on the leaps and bounds of electronic banking; Boris Tanyu Van, Lead of McKinsey Digital and Analytics, Philippines and Stephanie Sy, founder and CEO, Data Thinking Machines Data Science (a Forbes Asia under-30 awardee for Enterprise Technology) discussed developments in fintech (new technologies for finance) and artificial intelligence (AI and/or robotics).
But can the CEOs/COOs in businesses really understand and appreciate all the new and overwhelming mumbo-jumbo of the new technologies? Will they readily accept and allow the innovations proposed by their so-called “Innovation Officers” and make these part of their business strategies? How will the Chief Financial Officers (CFOs) do cost-benefit analysis on expensive technologies and untested innovations? These were questions from the floor and in the minds of the audience at the FINEX forum on “Future-proofing through Innovation.”
Imam Hussein, Director of Business Development for Emerging Markets Digital Transformation, APAC, Microsoft keynoted the concluding session with a clear message that there is no other way but to innovate in business. Change or be changed. Donald Lim, Country CEO of Dentsu Aegis Network, Philippines recommends social media advertising, which is fast-eating into company budgets for 6-second TV commercials (declined from the 30-second commercials before) and other main media ads. Kenneth Lingan, Country Head of Google Philippines observes that the advertising spend of many companies on internet presence is now about 20% of the advertising budget, compared to the 2% of before (the last decade).
Margot Torres, Managing Director of McDonald’s Philippines, admits to following the “70-20-10” marketing strategy of Coca-Cola, which many businesses have adopted as their effective guiding rule: 70% of electronic marketing budget should go to “story-telling” about the product (no hard-sell) in the internet; the next 20% to innovating from what worked in the 70% — measurement of reach (which can more easily be done in the internet) and the next 10% will be for contingencies. What the heck, the cost of advertising in social media is negligible compared to huge amounts to be spent in mainstream media, with greater and surer reach. Way to go, agrees Rizalina Mantaring, Chairperson of Sun Life Philippines, who has used social media for their business strategy of “story-telling” about life and needs, with little or no direct mention of Sun Life products and services.
There is no fool-proof way of securing the future for businesses, the theorists and academics might say. But the practitioners firmly believe that businesses must be up to date with changes and sensitivities in the business ecosystem, as more readily communicated in the new technologies. More than the awareness, there must be the proactive innovations in product and strategies, to get there ahead of the others: Be different and better.
 
Amelia H. C. Ylagan is a Doctor of Business Administration from the University of the Philippines.
ahcylagan@yahoo.com

Meralco stops bleeding, frustrates NLEX, 108-105

By Michael Angelo S. Murillo
Senior Reporter
THE Meralco Bolts finally returned to winning in the Philippine Basketball Association Governors’ Cup on Sunday, coming from behind in the closing moments to defeat the now-skidding NLEX Road Warriors, 108-105, in league action at the Smart Araneta Coliseum.
Pushed to the wall by NLEX, Meralco (2-6) rode on the clutch plays of Baser Amer and import Allen Durham late in the match to snap a six-game losing streak while dealing the Road Warriors (4-5) a third defeat in a row in the season-ending PBA tournament.
The contest was nip-and-tuck off the starting block with the two teams fighting to a 6-all count with 3:32 to go in the first quarter.
NLEX eventually settled for a 17-13 lead with one quarter down.
The two teams continued to slug it out in the second period, hardly allowing one another to make much headway.
JR Quiñahan helped the Road Warriors to a 26-21 advantage with six minutes left in the frame after stringing up six straight points.
Mr. Durham though would pull the Bolts back as they tied the count at 32-all by the 1:44 mark.
NLEX then outscored Meralco, 7-4, the rest of the way to hold control by the halfway point, 39-34.
The Road Warriors opened the second half with an 8-2 blast to extend their lead to 47-38 in the first two minutes of the third period.
They would maintain control amid repeated attempts by the Bolts to rally back, holding a 58-51 advantage with six minutes to go in the third canto.
Mr. Durham pushed Meralco to within two points, 60-58, at the 5:23 mark only see his team left behind anew by NLEX, 71-60, after two minutes.
The Road Warriors held a 14-point cushion, 80-66, heading into the fourth quarter.
Meralco started the fourth period bent on making up for lost ground behind Mr. Durham and Baser Amer.
But NLEX collectively stayed on top things, not allowing Meralco to gain much headway in its push.
Mr. Durham, however, would not allow the Road Warriors run away with the win.
He led once again a Bolts rally to come within four points, 93-89, with 5:05 left on the clock.
NLEX import Aaron Fuller steadied things for his team to create further distance anew, 101-93, after two minutes.
Meralco forged ahead to try and claw its way back, tying the count at 105-all with 46 ticks remaining, thanks to an and-one play from Mr. Amer.
The Road Warriors tried to regain the lead but turned the ball over, allowing the Bolts to snatch the victory.
The Bolts capitalized on the opportunity as Mr. Amer once again delivered with a three-pointer with 15 seconds left in the game to make it 108-105 in favor of Meralco.
NLEX tried to salvage the game after but Meralco would not allow it as time expired.
Mr. Durham had 36 points, 18 rebounds and seven assists to lead Meralco with Mr. Amer adding 22 points.
Chris Newsome had 14 points and nine assists.
Mr. Fuller, meanwhile, led NLEX with 31 points, 13 rebounds and six assists.
Larry Fonacier had 21 points while Mr. Quiñahan added 17.

Now-rolling UST books 3rd straight UAAP win

By Michael Angelo S. Murillo
Senior Reporter
THE University of Santo Tomas Growling Tigers are officially on a roll in UAAP Season 81 after picking up their third straight win with a 78-70 victory over the Far Eastern University Tamaraws on Sunday at the Mall of Asia Arena.
Finishing the first round of the ongoing University Athletic Association of the Philippines season with back-to-back victories, the Tigers began the second round on a high note by showcasing a gutsy performance that had them taking everything that the Tamaraws threw at them and rising to book the win.
The contest started tight with both teams making runs and counter-runs.
UST though would make a late charge in the first quarter, led by guard Renzo Subido, to hold a 23-19 lead at the end of the first 10 minutes.
The Tigers continued with their spirited play to start the second quarter, outscoring the Tamaraws, 6-0, to stretch their lead to 10 points, 29-19, at the 5:23 mark of the canto.
Alec Stockton tried to rally FEU back but they could only come within four points, 37-33, by the halftime break.
FEU tied the count at 37-all early in the third period as Richard Escoto racked up four straight points.
UST though countered with a 7-0 blast after to build a 44-37 advantage midway into the frame.
The Tamaraws were undeterred as they kept coming back.
They tied the score at 46-all with 1:25 to go off a made basket by Axel Iñigo.
When third-quarter play ended, the two teams were levelled at 49-all.
The two teams began the fourth quarter angling to create leverage to pull away.
Back-to-back triples by veteran guard Marvin Lee pushed UST to a 55-51 lead a minute and a half into the final quarter.
The Tigers would add up to it, with Subido and Germy Mahinay helping their team to a 63-54 advantage with a little over five minutes left.
Arvin Tolentino moved to tow the Tamaraws back but UST continued to find ways to fend them off.
The Tigers held a 70-60 lead entering the last two minutes and just held on the rest of the way for the win.
Zach Wang led the way for UST with 20 points followed by Lee and Subido with 17 and 14 points, respectively.
Mahinay finished with 10 points and eight boards.
FEU, meanwhile, was paced by Escoto and Tolentino with 12 and 11 points each.
Incidentally, Tolentino was ejected from the game in the closing moments following a disqualifying foul on Wang.
“We played well again. The game of the kids came out in this one and we’re happy with the win. There is still a long ways to go. We are not going to be satisfied with these wins,” said UST coach Aldin Ayo after their win, speaking of their victory over FEU and their ongoing winning streak.

Houston piles on late, routs Boston in ALCS Game One

BOSTON — Justin Verlander pitched six gritty innings, and Carlos Correa delivered the tiebreaking single in the sixth that sent the Houston Astros to a 7-2 victory over the host Boston Red Sox on Saturday night in Game 1 of the American League Championship Series (ALCS).
Game 2 is Sunday night in Boston, when left-hander David Price pitches for the Red Sox opposite Astros right-hander Gerrit Cole.
Verlander (1-0) gave up two runs in the fifth, needing 33 pitches to get through the frame. He allowed two singles, one to Mookie Betts in the first and one to Steve Pearce in the fifth, but did enough to win his 13th postseason game.
In his 23rd postseason start, Verlander struck out six and matched a postseason career high with four walks.
George Springer extended his postseason hitting streak to 10 games with a two-run single off Chris Sale in the second, and Correa delivered a single off Joe Kelly (0-1) that made it 3-2 after Verlander’s laborious inning.
Josh Reddick and Yuli Gurriel added insurance in the ninth with home runs off Brandon Workman. Reddick opened the inning with a solo drive to center field, and Gurriel hit a three-run homer inside the Pesky Pole down the right field line with one out.
Correa’s clutch hit to left field occurred three batters after third baseman Eduardo Nuñez’s fielding error on a potential double-play grounder by Gurriel.
Alex Bregman scored on Correa’s hit after starting the inning by getting hit by Kelly’s 100 mph fastball. He briefly stared at Kelly before taking first and appeared to do so again after scoring.
Before Correa’s hit, Verlander labored through the fifth but did not allow the Red Sox to go ahead.
Verlander issued his first bases-loaded walk since Aug. 3, 2015, when he walked Mitch Moreland to make it 2-1. After Betts hit into a force play at the plate, the Red Sox tied the game on a wild pitch on a check-swing by Andrew Benintendi, but Verlander ended the at-bat with a called strike three on the left fielder.
Benintendi dropped his bat and vocalized his disagreement with plate umpire James Hoye’s call. In between innings, Boston manager Alex Cora was ejected by Hoye for arguing.
In the ALCS for the first time since 2013, the Red Sox got four innings from Sale, who struggled early and allowed two runs on one hit while working around four walks. Overall, Boston allowed 10 walks, setting a team record for a nine-inning postseason game, and also hit three batters.
Sale ran into trouble with two outs in the second, and the Astros capitalized. The left-hander hit Martin Maldonado with a 96 mph fastball around a pair of walks and was one strike away from getting out of it, but Springer laced a full-count fastball under Nuñez’s glove and into left field for a 2-0 lead.
Ryan Pressly worked around a throwing error by Correa in a scoreless seventh, Lance McCullers Jr. pitched a perfect eighth and Collin McHugh finished up. — Reuters

Philippines ends Asian Para Games bid at a much improved 11th place from 24th


PROMISE fulfilled. This after the Philippine Team churned out a highly improved performance in the just-concluded 2018 Asian Para Games in Jakarta, Indonesia, with 29 total medals, including 10 golds.
After a week-long competition, Philippine para athletes fared better than the two previous editions of the Games, adding eight silver and 11 bronze medals to their total to finish at 11th place, a significant improvement from the 24th spot they were in the 2014 Asian Para Games in Incheon, South Korea, where the country had five silver and five bronze medals.
Prior to leaving for Indonesia, chef de mission Francis Carlos Diaz said that hopes were high that Filipino para athletes would do well in the Jakarta Games owing to the “richer delegation” that the country was sending.
“Coming from the Incheon Asian Para Games in 2014 we have a richer delegation this time around in terms of experience and skill, after all it’s four years of athletic competition. Our training has been all year long like the ordinary athletes,” Mr. Diaz shared to members of media.
“We improved a lot in terms of support. I wouldn’t say the numbers but by far the grant that the Philippine Sports Commission gave to this bunch of athletes is really astronomical in terms of figures. The fund was for their training and equipment, training supply and uniforms. All of these were given by the government. In terms of private support, we have had some support from small companies which have somehow contributed for our athletes’ campaign. They are not yet major sponsors but they have been a big help,” he added.
Providing the most medals to the Philippines’ campaign in Indonesia was the chess team, led by FIDE master Sander Severino, who won four gold medals individually or as part of a team.
Mr. Severino, diagnosed with muscle dystrophy during childhood, topped the individual standard P1 (physically handicapped) competition and joined forces with Henry Lopez and Jasper Rom to rule the team event.
He also won the top hardware in the men’s individual rapid P1 event and men’s teams rapid P1 along with Messrs. Lopez and Rom.
The other gold chess medal came from men’s team standard VI B2/B3 care of Menandro Redor, Israel Peligro and Arman Subaste.
The team also had two silver and six bronze medals.
Also a big winner was the swimming team with eight medals, three of which were gold.
Ernie Gawilan, who was born with no legs and an underdeveloped left limb, won three gold and two silver medals.
The Davao native won gold in the men’s 200m individual medley SM7, men’s 100m backstroke S7 and men’s 400m freestyle S7 (6-7), and silver in men’s 50m freestyle S7 and men’s 100m backstroke freestyle S7.
Teammate Gary Bejino, meanwhile, had one silver and two bronze medals.
Cycling had three medals with Arthus Bucay winning gold in the men’s C5 individual pursuit 4000m event and bronze in men’s time trial (C5). Godfrey Taberna accounted for the other cycling bronze in the men’s road race (C4).
Tenpin bowling and powerlifting had two medals each.
Kim Ian Chin won gold in the mixed singles TPB10-Mixed and joined forces with Samuel Matias for silver in the mixed doubles TPB10 + TPB10 in ten pin bowling.
Women’s powerlifter Achelle Guion bagged silver in the women’s up to 45kg event while Olympian Adeline Dumapong-Ancheta added a bronze in the women’s over 86kg.
Polio-stricken Rio Paralympics bronze medallist Josephine Medina won silver in the men’s single TT 8 event.
When the battle smoke cleared in the 2018 Asian Para Games, which took place from Oct. 6 to 13, China topped the medal standings with 172 gold, 88 silver and 59 bronze medals, followed by South Korea (53-45-47), Iran (51-42-43), Japan (45-70-83), and Indonesia (37-47-51).
Rounding out the top 10 were Uzbekistan (35-24-18), Thailand (23-33-50), Malaysia (17-26-25), India (15-24-33), and Hong Kong (11-16-21).
The Philippine Team, composed of 57 athletes who competed in 10 sporting events, was due to the country later yesterday.
As stipulated by law, athletes who won medals are up for cash incentives from the government — P1 million for gold, P500,000 silver and P200,000 for bronze. — Michael Angelo S. Murillo

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