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Is the peso undervalued?: A look at the Big Mac index

Is the peso undervalued?: a look at the Big Mac index (As of Jan. 2019)

ERC hoping to clear power deal backlog over next 18 months

THE Energy Regulatory Commission (ERC) is aiming to finish in the next 18 months up to 640 pending applications for power supply agreements (PSAs), while putting on hold some that have been elevated for Supreme Court resolution, its chairman said.
“We are upbeat for 2019 that we can deliver as much. Much of the work is housekeeping,” ERC Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Agnes VST Devanadera told reporters on Tuesday ahead of a hearing at the House of Representatives.
She said the commission was supposed to start resolving the PSAs in January, but had to first focus on pending motions that are required in order to clear the agreements. The number is also a running total because the ERC continues to receive new applications.
Her optimism this year comes after the ERC spent much of last year without a quorum to decide on many of the pending cases. The commission needs a majority vote of the four commissioners and its chairman on rate-setting cases such as PSAs.
Aside from the PSAs, the commission has to resolve applications that are confidential in nature of around 200 cases, along with filings for point-to-point transmission lines, and capital expenditure programs by power distribution utilities.
“We strengthened the ad hoc committees,” Ms. Devanadera said, adding that each commissioner had each been assigned to handle a committee to allow a reduction in the time spent in handling pending cases.
“Whatever they will finish at ad hoc level they present to the commission with minimum discussion,” she added.
She said further slowing the commission’s work was the retirement of two commissioners last year, with their replacements not coming immediately.
“We have new commissioners. We have to hear their sides and their comments. Our timeline is affected if we have new members. They will not sign just like that, that would not be fair,” she said.
Ms. Devanadera said among the pending cases where decisions had been deferred are the PSAs involving Manila Electric Co. (Meralco). These deals had been questioned by some sectors and their resolution had been elevated before the Supreme Court.
“Right now, the sense of the commission is to wait because the case in the Supreme Court has been included in the calendar several times already. So it’s moving and we’re hoping that the Supreme Court will really dispose of that,” she said. — Victor V. Saulon

Japan investors worried about PHL plans to alter incentives

THE Japan External Trade Organization (JETRO) said Japanese businesses expressed confidence in the Philippines’ current tax regime, human resources and wage structure compared to the rest of Southeast Asia, adding that proposals to roll back incentives are causing “anxiety” among investors.
Citing a recent report issued by the organization, JETRO Executive Director Takashi Ishihara told reporters Japanese businesses gave the Philippines a 40% rating in “positive appreciation” of the country’s tax incentive regime, higher than the satisfaction rates posted for Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Vietnam.
The Philippines also scored highest in the region among Japanese businesses in terms of human resources and competitive compensation levels.
Of the nine indicators rated in the business environment appreciation survey, the Philippines rated highest in three categories.
“The study, “2018 JETRO Survey on Business Conditions of Japanese companies in Asia and Oceania,” had 127 respondents with operations in the Philippines.”
A majority of Japanese businesses who participated in the survey said they have plans to expand their Philippine operations through 2020.
“In 2019-2020, 63% of PHL respondents are planning to expand their business in PHL, while 35% will keep the current size,” the report said.
Some 55% indicated plans to increase local staffing, while 39% said they will keep headcount unchanged.
“They appreciate tax incentives in Philippines. They also appreciate human resources in Philippines, English-speaking, talented human resources,” Mr. Ishihara told reporters in Makati City on Monday.
As such, the proposed second package of tax reform which intends to rationalize the incentive structure is making “many respondents… anxious and concerned about stronger taxation,” he said.
Other concerns expressed by Japanese businesses include rising waged and labor issues which are seen “to likely reduce the advantages of the PHL as an investment destination.”
In addition, the report revealed that respondents with operations in the Philippines are seeking to reduce administrative costs to make up for rising costs elsewhere.
“They are also considering changing procurement methods, so that they can be cost-competitive. Although they wish to raise local procurement, they still have some difficulties in identifying local suppliers,” the report added.
JETRO works to promote mutual trade and investment between Japan and the rest of the world. — Janina C. Lim

PNR evaluating train service to Nueva Ecija

THE Philippine National Railways (PNR) is looking to expand train service in Central Luzon, with authorities evaluating rail systems extending to Nueva Ecija.
PNR General Manager Junn B. Magno said that the company is to bring railway projects further north, with the National Economic and Development Authority (NEDA) tapped to study a Northeast Commuter Line.
“PNR has alignments from Cabanatuan to Balagtas (Bulacan). We asked NEDA already to conduct a feasibility study for a Cabanatuan to Makati line. That will be the Northeast Commuter Line,” Mr. Magno told reporters late Monday.
The NEDA is also evaluating prospects to set up a train line from Cabanatuan to Bulacan as well as San Jose, Nueva Ecija to Tarlac City which will then be connected to the North-South Commuter Railway (NSCR).
The state-owned railway is slated to implement the NSCR starting this year, which is a 147-kilometer (km) railway stretch split into three segments worth a total of P628.42 billion.
The NSCR project includes a 38km train line from Tutuban, Manila to Malolos, Bulacan; a 53km line from Malolos to Clark; and another 56km line from Manila to Calamba, Laguna.
Once completed, travel time from Central to Southern Luzon is expected to be trimmed to 1.5 hours from the current five hours by bus.
“And then possibly, they are doing feasibility study of the Cagayan railroad through a Caraballo Mountain tunnel — we’re studying that,” PNR’s Mr. Magno added, noting that his agency is currently focused on developing transport modes for the “Greater Capital Region.”
The NSCR railway project is currently the biggest infrastructure project rolled out by the Duterte administration under its “Build, Build, Build” program. Construction of the Malolos-Tutuban line is slated to start in February.
Finance Secretary Carlos G. Dominguez III and Japan International Cooperation Agency Director-General Shigenori Ogawa signed the first loan agreement for the long-haul commuter line worth P80.47 billion on Monday.
Partial NSCR operations is targeted by 2022, while full service is scheduled by April 2023.
Other train projects in the pipeline include the Metro Manila subway; the Light Rail Transit extension lines to Cavite and Masinag, Antipolo; the Metro Rail Transit line 7 to San Jose del Monte, Bulacan; and the Mindanao railway. — Melissa Luz T. Lopez

House committee approves bill tapping P123 billion from Malampaya fund for Napocor subsidy

THE House Committee on Energy on Tuesday approved a measure proposing to tap P123 billion from the Malampaya fund as a subsidy to help settle obligations of the National Power Corp. (NPC).
The unnumbered Substitute Bill, known as the “Murang Kuryente Act,” provided that a portion of the Net National Government Share from the Malampaya Natural Gas Project be used as payment for NPC’s Stranded Contract Cost (SCC) and Stranded Debts (SD) until 2023.
“Instead of an additional increase in the rates of electricity, the said P123 billion will actually temper or (result in no) increases in electricity rates,” committee chair Lord Allan Jay Q. Velasco of Marinduque said during the meeting.
He said that according to the Power Sector Assets and Liabilities Management Corp. (PSALM), the measure will reduce rates by P0.57 per kilowatt-hour (kWh), which translates to a P115 saving for households that consume an average of 200 kWh per month.
The Department of Energy reported the total balance of the Malampaya fund is P221 billion as of September.
“We only have nine days left, I think this bill is unprecedented for the number of years the Malampaya fund hasn’t been touched. Definitely there is a sense of urgency in approving it,” Mr. Velasco told reporters after the hearing, Tuesday.
The bill further provided that once the SCC and SD have been paid before the termination of the corporate life of PSALM, the net national government share shall accrue back to the special fund for the purpose of funding energy resource exploration and development programs.
Its counterpart measure, Senate Bill No. 1950, proposes to use P207 billion of the Malampaya fund. It is currently awaiting second reading in the chamber.
The committee’s vice-chair 1-CARE Rep. Carlos Roman L. Uybarreta said he sees the passage on third reading for the bill ahead of the congressional break on Feb. 6.
“If all goes well, the House can have the Murang Kuryente Act passed on 2nd reading this week and 3rd and final reading the following week before House adjourns session on Feb. 6,” Mr. Uybarreta said in a statement.
Congress will adjourn beginning Feb. 6 to make way for the campaign period. It will resume on May 20 and adjourn again on June 7. — Charmaine A. Tadalan

Freeport bill for Bataan hurdles panel

THE Senate committee on economic affairs presented to the plenary on Monday the bill strengthening the powers and functions of the Authority of the Freeport Area of Bataan (AFAB).
Senate Bill No. 2133 seeks to amend Republic Act No. 9728 or the Freeport Area of Bataan Act of 2009 to clarify and expand the freeport’s territory. The expansion will then create opportunities for more investment in Bataan, committee chair Senator Sherwin T. Gatchalian said.
“The area of development is not vast because these are mountainous and rolling areas. Of these remaining areas, only three major parcels of land are zoned to receive industrial-related investments and these are not even contiguous. This is the reason why expanding the FAB territory is sorely needed,” Mr. Gatchalian said in a statement.
The bill extends the Bataan freeport’s territory to include the rest of Mariveles outside the former Bataan Economic Zone and its municipal waters, as well as the alienable and disposable public lands and municipal waters of the expansion areas.
It also allows the AFAB to create the best model business center and one-stop shop for locators. Mr. Gatchalian said the one-stop shop approach was designed to improve ease of doing business and lower bureaucratic burdens of investing and doing business within the freeport.
The roles of the AFAB administrator and chairman were separated as well to balance the additional powers of AFAB and to provide a good governance measure.
The bill also raised the capital stock contributed by the government to the AFAB to P2.5 billion, from the present P2 billion, with an option to increase capitalization upon the discretion of the AFAB.
Mr. Gatchalian noted the Bataan Freeport may be a potential investment destination that will help improve the poverty rate in the area. He said the freeport has created 39,226 jobs as of December 2018.
“This is just a snapshot of the potential of the AFAB… and we would like to replicate its success in other parts of Bataan,” he said. — Camille A. Aguinaldo

Finance dep’t hoping to tap Israeli expertise in tech, infrastructure

THE government is looking to tap Israeli technology to boost its infrastructure program and upgrade cybersecurity, the Department of Finance (DoF) said.
Finance Secretary Carlos G. Dominguez III met with Israeli Ambassador Rafael Harpaz, where they discussed putting up a “financial protocol” that would allow the two nations to share notes and strategies on eco-friendly construction.
“There are ample opportunities for bilateral cooperation between the Philippines and Israel in the technology and construction sectors. We have invited Israeli experts in these fields to visit the Philippines to explore possible cooperation arrangements,” Mr. Dominguez was quoted as saying in a statement.
For his part, Mr. Harpaz said he was open to deepening economic ties with the Philippines, given that more Israeli companies have expressed interest in investing in the New Clark City in Pampanga, an emerging business hub in Northern Luzon.
These discussions stem from President Rodrigo R. Duterte’s visit to Jerusalem in September 2018, which reportedly yielded 21 business deals worth roughly $82.9 million.
Previously, the DoF said it is looking to tap Israel’s expertise in agriculture. The government also wanted to set up an exchange program to enhance the skills of DoF officials in finance and economics.
Total trade between the Philippines and Israel hit $170.57 million in 2018, the DoF said, with Israel the 42nd biggest destination for Philippine exports that year.
Mr. Dominguez also pressed Israel to share strategies for cyber security with the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas, at a time of increased use of digital solutions for financial transactions. Israel has emerged as among the global leaders for financial technology. — Melissa Luz T. Lopez

World Bank ease-of-doing-business ranking decline not dampening FDI

By Janina C. Lim
Reporter
THE Philippines enacted an Ease of Doing Business Law this year, during which it also fell 11 places on the World Bank’s Doing Business report to 129th place. The embarrassing result unleashed a torrent of complaints from the government — concurred in by businesses — about the fairness of the study’s methodology.
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A particular focus of the government’s wrath was the Philippines’ performance in the report’s Getting Credit metric, which officials called “grossly inaccurate” because it used “severely understated” data.
The Philippine score on that metric on the 2019 survey, released this year, had plunged to 5 points, as against the 30 points it received in the 2018 survey
“They’re not intending to revise it,” said Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) Secretary Ramon M. Lopez in a phone interview.
The DTI, together with the Department of Finance, wrote to the World Bank, saying the Philippines should have obtained a higher score on access to credit had data from all credit bureaus been taken into account.
For the latest study, the World Bank obtained its credit facility data solely from the BAP Credit Bureau, Inc. which happens to have the smallest database at 1.7 million borrower-entrepreneurs. The major credit bureaus with larger coverage were included in the previous year’s survey.
“They should find a way to include those because the reality is that they are present,” added Mr. Lopez, also the concurrent chair of the Anti-Red Tape Advisory Council (ARTAC) which was created to implement the EoDB law.
Mr. Lopez pointed out that the 2019 report “failed to reflect the reality on the ground,” as available credit has recently been growing year-on-year by nearly a fifth, thanks mostly to micro, small and medium enterprises.
Mr. Lopez said the report is widely used by the global investing community, and the country’s ranking can affect their perception of the Philippine business environment.
The good news is that the report does not seem to be deterring new investment. Foreign direct investment (FDI) hit a record $10 billion last year, when the Philippines endured an even worse 14-place decline in the study to 113th from 99th.
According to the central bank, FDI in the eight months to August totaled $7.422 billion, up 31% year-on-year.
At eight months, the total was equivalent to 82% of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas’ $9.2-billion FDI forecast for the entire year.
Despite two consecutive years of declines amounting to 25 places in the rankings, as well as falling out of the top 100, the Philippines continues to struggle to meet President Rodrigo R. Duterte’s mandate of landing within the top 20% of the 190 economies surveyed — or at least 38th.
“We can still target that ranking because all these new laws being passed will hopefully be credited by next year,” Mr. Lopez said.
He cited the Senate-approved bill amending the 38-year-old Batas Pambansa 68 or the Corporation Code of the Philippines; the updating of the implementing rules and regulations (IRR) of the Business Name Act of 1931 or Republic Act 3883; the proposed amendment to the Securities Regulations Code; and the EoDB law which missed being factored into the 2019 Doing Business survey, among others, as having the potential to boost the country’s standing.
Some business groups operating in the Philippines also called out the World Bank report’s methodology.
“I think it is unfair,” said American Chamber of Commerce of the Philippines, Inc. Senior Adviser John D. Forbes in an interview.
He noted that the Philippines undertook major reforms nearly 10 years ago, with a credit information system in which all the banks entered information on their creditors, allowing future lenders to gauge their reliability.
“In the United States we have companies get all this information from credit providers and everybody has a credit rating… We have a similar system now in the Philippines,” Mr. Forbes said in an interview.
“I have not talked to the World Bank so I don’t understand their reasoning but that shocked me and I think that was wrong,” Mr. Forbes added.
Philippine Chamber of Commerce and Industry President Ma. Alegria Sibal-Limjoco also expressed support for the government.
“Business people when we ask them say that conditions have improved. Maybe a few others are concerned with corruption, I don’t know,” she said in an interview.
But to further improve the country’s ranking, business groups said that for a real impact on ease of doing business, the government can start with the ports.
In the “Trading Across Borders” indicator where the Philippines improved slightly to a 69.90 point score from 69.39, Mr. Forbes pointed to the unnecessary nature of some documentary requirements, even after the enactment of the Customs Modernization and Tariff Act of 2016.
“The bureau has gone online. But, let’s say you have air freight coming into NAIA, the paper work is still required. So it’s more work rather than less work,” the AmCham official said.
He also pointed out “some fear of port congestion,” a side effect of increased imports associated with higher government spending.
“It has to be more seamless, more efficient. I don’t think the green lane imports are effective yet. (There are) hold ups for inspection (even though green lane users) are known to be trustworthy,” Mr. Forbes said.
“We have a problem in that case with too many imports because of high level of imports and too few exports,” he added.
In the nine months to September, the trade deficit widened by 70.5% to $29.91 billion.
“A long-term solution is needed to speed up the dispatch of shipments,” Philippine Exporters’ Confederation, Inc. President Sergio R. Ortiz-Luis, Jr. said in an interview.
The Philippine Ports Authority (PPA) has denied the existence of a congestion problem even in the weeks before the holidays.
“As far as we are concerned within our operations, there is no congestion. In fact, utilization has been high,” Jay Daniel R. Santiago, PPA general manager, told BusinessWorld in November.
The Manila port’s utilization currently stands at 70% as against the 90% recorded in 2014 when the country experienced a severe case of port congestion, according to Mr. Santiago.
“The people who think there is a port congestion problem may be considering things that happen outside the ports, particularly road congestion. For that one we’re coordinating with the road and rail sectors in order to find ways to be able to ease up road congestion,” Mr. Santiago added.
He noted that the start of operations at the Cavite Barge Terminal will help in easing congestion.
Inaugurated on Nov. 23, the Cavite terminal is expected to decongest the roadways leading to and from the port of Manila by at least 140 trucks a day.
The terminal is also expected to further ease utilization at the Manila port as the PPA can more quickly dispatch container vans.
“Were also planning to do a similar facility north of Manila. The initial location is Orion, Bataan. What will happen is that the movement of boxes will be done over the water rather than on the road,” he added.
Business groups are also clamoring to implement a more immediate solution: applying the shorter timeline to process business documents as prescribed by the EoDB law.
“We passed the ease of doing business law, almost six months ago, but it has not yet been implemented,” Mr. Ortiz-Luis said.
“Very ironic that it has not yet been implemented,” he added.
Republic Act No. 11032 or the Ease of Doing Business law, signed in May, requires processing times of three, seven and 20 days for simple, complex, and highly-technical transactions with the government.
Government officials failing to process applications on time will incur suspensions of 30 days without pay for a first offense and a three-month suspension without pay for a second offense.
A third offense comes with the penalty of dismissal and disqualification from holding public office; forfeiture of civil service eligibility and retirement benefits; and one to six years’ imprisonment.
Although the DTI as the temporary secretariat of the ARTAC succeeded in completing the law’s IRR on time, the formation of the ARTAC is crucial as it has the sole authority to formally issue the IRR and make effective the 3-7-20 processing timeline.
Mr. Lopez expects the appointments, particularly for the ARTAC’s director general and two deputy directors-general, to be issued before the year ends.
Asked if these developments will help bring the Philippines back into the top 100 for the 2020 Doing Business survey, Mr. Lopez replied in the positive.

The $23-Billion FDI potential

The Philippine government is displaying an ambitious goal of speeding up infrastructure development through its “Build, Build, Build” program. The initiative is anchored on the goal of making economic growth more inclusive and pro-poor. While its first tax reform package, the Tax Reform for Acceleration and Inclusion (TRAIN) law, and increased and new taxes can be a positive fiscal measure to support it, transforming the economy may need something more.
The mining sector is one of the industries that has the potential to turn our industrial sector into a global powerhouse. The $5.9-billion project Tampakan copper-gold deposit in South Cotabato is said to be one of the largest undeveloped deposits in the world, with 2.94 billion tons of ore with 0.6% copper and some 18 million ounces of gold. However, data from the Philippine Statistics Authority show that Mining and Quarrying declined by 1.1% during the 3rd quarter of 2018 and had the lowest contribution in the industry sector. Clearly, the country continues to fail to make the most of our mineral prospects. Other countries with a similar profile such as those in South America, Australia, and even Indonesia have taken advantage of their resources, while the Philippine mining sector is mired in regulatory and legal uncertainty.
House Bill 8400, passed on third and final reading in the House of Representatives in November and transmitted to the Senate soon after, presents a promising development in the mining sector to generate more revenues and boost economic development. The bill, which seeks to rationalize and institute a single fiscal regime applicable to all mineral agreements, paves the way toward a new mining revenue law and therefore the lifting of Executive Order 79, which bans the approval of new mining permits.
The interagency Mining Industry Coordinating Council (MICC) has recommended to lift the open pit ban in the country once mining laws, rules, and regulations are strictly enforced. The Department of Environment and Natural Resources (DENR) continuously consults and collaborates with industry experts to thoroughly understand the complex technical, social and environmental issues in the sector. This hopefully results in a more enlightened, scientific and balanced policy environment anchored on sustainability and inclusiveness.
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This is in line with what UP School of Economics professor Ramon Clarete advised in a roundtable discussion organized by independent think tank Stratbase ADR Institute (ADRI), Philippine Business for Environmental Stewardship, and the DENR. In his proposed mining fiscal regime, Clarete said it is more beneficial to attract more foreign investors to expand the mining tax base rather than impose new and higher taxes. This is especially true for large upfront investments in exploration and development even before revenues from mining operations come in. High taxes will not amount to anything if the mining tax base remains stagnant. He adds, “the only way I can have a good base is to encourage investors to find it for me. You can’t do that if you have an onerous taxation.” In hindsight, perhaps improving policies and generating more investment opportunities might be more strategic than taxing industries and the public.
Tampakan is not an isolated case of missed opportunities. Up north, Mindoro Nickel’s $2.5-billion project reportedly has some 2.9 million tons or 6.6 billion pounds of nickel. Philex Mining’s Silangan project in Surigao del Norte projects an estimate of 4.94 billion pounds of copper and 9 million ounces of gold, valued at P752 billion and P605 billion, respectively. Other pending multibillion-dollar investments include Nadecor’s King-king project in Davao del Norte, Davao Oriental’s Asiaticus project, Lepanto Mining’s FSE project in Benguet, and Masbate’s Philsaga Mining contract, among others. According to data from the American Chamber of Commerce of the Philippines, our total Foreign Direct Investments (FDI) in 2017 was only USD 10 Billion. These projects could have unleashed $23 billion in FDIs. Imagine the multiplier effect to the local and national economy when these projects are in full operation — local and national taxes, infrastructure development, employment generation, and linked industries.
These huge FDI potential should be more than enough reason for our policy makers to break the decades-long policy impasse that has frozen what used to be a great pillar of national development which contributed 5% of GNP. There is now opportunity with the passing on third reading of House Bill 8400 which proposes a new mining fiscal and revenue sharing regime that was painstakingly debated on by all of mining’s stakeholders.
Sen. Sonny Angara, chairman of the Senate committee on ways and means, has rightly acted by prioritizing the proposed bill in his committee’s agenda. If he is successful in leading his colleagues in the Senate to pass a new mining revenue regime into law, he will be credited with increasing the government’s share and the awakening of a sleeping economic giant that has been hibernating underground for decades. We hope that all the senators will also realize the strategic economic potential, seize this opportunity, and work together to pass this into law before the end of this Congress.
As growth is seen to slow down this year, it is high time to start building the foundations of sustainable economic growth. Much of the delay has been due to the uncertain policy environment that had disincentivized doing business in the Philippines for local and foreign investors. We may have several things going for us such as tourism, real estate, and construction, but there is responsible mining, too. While marred by negative media and public attention, the mining industry is not incompatible with high regard for environmental safeguards, monitoring, and enforcement. Energizing the sector will be an uphill task, but, when done sustainably, it is an opportunity we cannot afford to miss.
 
Vanessa Pepino is an environment fellow of the Stratbase ADR Institute.

‘I now pronounce you: DIVORCED’

Under Executive Order No. 209, otherwise known as The Family Code of the Philippines, only declaration of nullity of marriage and annulment of marriage can sever a marriage bond between husband and wife. Moreover, the grounds provided for by law are exclusive.
Irreconcilable differences are not valid grounds for declaration of nullity or annulment of marriage. Likewise, sexual infidelity, bigamy, or abandonment, which are some of the many causes of an irremediable marriage, are not valid grounds to sever the marriage bond. These factors, however, along with physical, verbal, or psychological abuse, may be used and considered to prove psychological incapacity, a ground for declaration of nullity under Article 36 of the Family Code.
But the stringent Molina doctrine (Republic v. CA and Molina, 268 SCRA 198) requires that psychological incapacity must be grave, incurable and existing at the time when the couples exchanged their “I do’s.” The root cause of the incapacity must likewise be medically or clinically identified, and sufficiently proven by experts, which makes the filing of a petition for declaration of nullity of marriage even more expensive.
Although the Supreme Court relaxed the application of the Molina doctrine in Marcos v. Marcos (343 SCRA 755) by clarifying that a physician is not required to examine the person to be declared psychologically incapacitated, still, the party seeking an annulment must present evidence that can adequately establish the psychological condition. Simply put, the totality of evidence presented must be able to sustain a finding of psychological incapacity, characterized as grave and existing at the time of marriage, and that the same is incurable.
The current stringent requirements to sever a marriage bond may have contributed to the decline of the reported number of marriages from years 2007 to 2016, based on data from the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA). According to PSA, “in a span of 10 years, the reported number of marriages decreased by 14.4% from 2007 to 2016.”
To give an opportunity to spouses in irremediably failed marriages to secure absolute divorce under limited grounds, as well as judicial procedures to end dysfunction of a long-broken marriage, the House of Representatives approved House Bill (HB) No. 7303, otherwise known as “Absolute Divorce Act of 2018.” This Bill also hopes to save the children from the pain, stress, and agony consequent to their parents’ constant marital clashes, and grant the divorced spouses the right to marry again for another chance to achieve marital bliss.
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Under Section 5 thereof, the following are the grounds for absolute divorce:

a. The grounds for legal separation under Article 55 of the Family Code.

b. Grounds for annulment of marriage under Article 45 of the Family Code.

c. When the spouses have been separated in fact for at least 5 years at the time the Petition for Absolute Divorce is filed and reconciliation is highly improbable.

d. Psychological Incapacity as provided for in Article 36 of the Family Code, whether or not the incapacity was present at the time of the marriage or later.

e. When one of the spouses undergoes a gender reassignment surgery or transitions from one sex to another, the other spouses is entitled to petition for absolute divorce with the transgender or transsexual as respondent, or versa.

f. Irreconcilable marital differences and conflicts which have resulted in the total breakdown of the marriage beyond repair, despite earnest and repeated efforts at reconciliation, shall entitle either spouse or both spouses to petition for absolute divorce.

In letter (a) above, the grounds for legal separation under Article 55 of the Family Code, as basis for absolute divorce, are amended. It no longer requires “repeated” physical violence as the bill removed such qualifier. It also included “chronic gambling of the respondent” as ground. Having a child with another other than one’s spouse during the marriage is also included as ground, except when upon the mutual agreement of the spouses, a child is born to them by in vitro or a similar procedure, or when the wife is a rape victim, who bears a child after the incident.
Moreover, when the spouses are legally separated by judicial decree for more than 2 years, either or both spouses can petition for an absolute divorce based on said judicial decree of separation.
The court shall not start the trial of a petition for absolute divorce unless the mandatory six-month cooling-off period is observed, except in cases which involve acts of violence against women and children under RA 9262. This serves as a final attempt to reconcile the parties.
On the effect of an absolute divorce decree to children born during the marriage, these children, as well as the adopted children, shall retain their legal status and legitimacy.
The bill, which does not provide for a retroactive application, was already approved by the House on third reading, and is now pending before the Senate. Needless to say, this bill may still undergo substantial changes/modifications given the strong opposition by the Church and conservative Filipinos.
The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author. This article is for general informational and educational purposes, and not offered as, and does not constitute, legal advice or legal opinion.
Erika Joy B. Murcia is an associate of the Angara Abello Concepcion Regala & Cruz Law Offices (ACCRALAW) Cebu Branch.
(6332) 231-4223
ebmurcia@accralaw.com.

Trying to understand Trump and Duterte loyalists

I came upon an interesting article entitled, “A Complete Psychological Analysis of Trump’ Support,” which attempts to explain the reportedly near-fanatical loyalty to President Donald Trump of his Republican voter base.
The article, written by Bobby Azarian, PhD, which came out in Psychology Today. Correctly states, “While dozens of psychologists have analyzed Trump, to explain the man’s political invincibility, it is more important to understand the minds of his staunch supporters.”
The article then cites the analysis of various psychologists to come up with 14 factors that would explain why many Trump supporters would ostensibly “follow Trump off a cliff,” adding that these are people “who will stand by (Trump’s) side no matter what scandals come to light, or what sort of evidence for immoral and illegal behavior surfaces.”
Interestingly, many of the 14 factors also apply to President Rodrigo Duterte’s rabid followers:
The first factor is “1. Practicality Trumps Morality.” According to the article, “For some wealthy people, it’s simply a financial matter. Trump offers tax cuts for the rich and wants to do away with government regulation that gets in the way of businessmen making money, even when that regulation exists for the purpose of protecting the environment,”
If that sounds familiar to Filipinos, it is because in the Philippines money buys loyalty — and this applies to every president and every politician, civil servant and businessman. For all of Duterte’s bluster about getting rid of crooks, he hasn’t done much to “drain the swamp” the way Trump vowed he would do (but hasn’t done — even making the swamp murkier).
Vote-buying is SOP in Philippine elections and those who complain the loudest about it are often the most vulnerable to selling their votes.
The Psychology Today article continues: “…people have put their practical concerns above their moral ones. To them, it does not make a difference if (Trump) is a vagina-grabber, or if his campaign team colluded with Russia.”
However, the article adds: “It is unknown whether these people are eternally bound to Trump in the way others are, but we may soon find out if the Mueller investigation is allowed to come to completion.”
In other words, if the Special Counsel provides proof that Trump conspired with the Russians, will his voter base still remain loyal to him?
I will venture a guess that if it is proven that Duterte has conspired with the Chinese to slice off parts of the Philippines, his rabid supporters will not waver in their support. In the Philippines, the saying is, “He may be a crook, but he’s our crook.” One is also expected to be loyal to one’s leader or party mate, right or wrong.
The second and third factors cited in the article are:
“2. The Brain’s Attention System Is More Strongly Engaged by Trump” and “3. America’s Obsession with Entertainment and Celebrities”
The article cites a study that monitored brain activity while participants watched 40 minutes of political ads and debate clips from the presidential candidates. The study noted Trump’s “unique ability to keep the brain engaged. While Hillary Clinton could only hold attention for so long, Trump kept both attention and emotional arousal high throughout the viewing session. This pattern of activity was seen even when Trump made remarks that individuals didn’t necessarily agree with. His showmanship and simple language clearly resonate with some at a visceral level.”
On the “entertainment” and “celebrity” factor, the article notes: “Essentially, the loyalty of Trump supporters may in part be explained by America’s addiction to entertainment and reality TV. To some, it doesn’t matter what Trump actually says because he’s so amusing to watch. With the Donald, you are always left wondering what outrageous thing he is going to say or do next. He keeps us on the edge of our seat, and for that reason, some Trump supporters will forgive anything he says. They are happy as long as they are kept entertained.”
This also applies to Duterte. Duterte’s language is down-to-earth and resonates with his listeners. He has the ability to keep his audience engaged, even getting women to cheer him on in spite of his bastos language. Duterte’s bluster and hyperbole, like Trump’s, also appear to be taken as “part of his character” and therefore “tolerable” — even “forgivable.” In fact, even “amusing and endearing.”
The fourth factor (“4. Some Men Just Want to Watch the World Burn”) isn’t unique to either Trump or Duterte. There are people who were to the devil born who simply dislike the establishment. Their support of Trump (and, conceivably, of Duterte) is simply a support for the anti-establishment, as both candidates portrayed themselves when they ran for president.
Of course, it has since been revealed that both Trump and Duterte are no different from the typical politicians. Mostly bluster, hot air and “me first.”
The fifth factor (“5. The Fear Factor: Conservatives Are More Sensitive to Threat”) seems to apply mainly to Republicans (who are usually conservatives), According to the article, “A 2008 study in the journal Science found that conservatives have a stronger physiological reaction to startling noises and graphic images compared to liberals” and to perceived threats. For instance, the election of Barack Obama as the first black US president was seen by the whites as a threat to their “special status” in America.
This factor hardly applies to Duterte, Philippine politicians and Pinoy voters who have no ideology except the ideology of power and money.
The sixth factor (“6. The Power of Mortality Reminders and Perceived Existential Threat”) is common to every homo sapien. Says the article: “Terror Management Theory predicts that when people are reminded of their own mortality, which happens with fear mongering, they will more strongly defend those who share their worldviews and national or ethnic identity, and act out more aggressively towards those who do not…thoughts of death tend to shift people towards the right.” Of course, fear-mongering is a favorite tactic of both Trump and Duterte (i.e, the fear of immigrant-terrorists, drug users and pushers), and this has generated support for them.
The seventh factor (“7. The Dunning-Kruger Effect: Humans Often Overestimate Their Political Expertise”) applies to both Trump and Duterte supporters at the lower economic levels, but even the so-called intelligentsia can get confused by trolls and purveyors of fake news. At any rate, disinformation is a favorite tool of Trump and has been used by Duterte, as well as by all politicians.
The eighth, ninth, tenth, eleventh, twelfth and fourteenth factors (“8. Relative Deprivation — A Misguided Sense of Entitlement;” “9. Lack of Exposure to Dissimilar Others;” 10. Trump’s Conspiracy Theories Target the Mentally Vulnerable;” “11. Trump Taps into the Nation’s Collective Narcissism;” “12. The Desire to Dominate Others;” and “14. Racism and Bigotry”) apply mainly to white Trump supporters, mostly below college level, who believe they are entitled to “special status” and are being “deprived” by immigrants. This does not apply to Pinoys except the poor who know they have no special status and they are routinely being deprived by the rich and powerful. One reason for supporting Duterte.
The thirteenth factor (“13. Authoritarian Personality”) applies as much to Duterte supporters as it does to Trump loyalists. According to the article, this personality “is characterized by belief in total and complete obedience to authority. Those with this personality often display aggression toward outgroup members, submissiveness to authority, resistance to new experiences, and a rigid hierarchical view of society. Authoritarianism is often triggered by fear, making it easy for leaders who exaggerate threat or fear monger to gain their allegiance.”
One factor that the Psychology Today article may not have considered concerning Trump’s political “invincibility” is that most Americans do not regard him as either invincible or competent. The latest polls show that 57% of Americans disapprove of his performance. But the article hits the mark when it comes to Republican voters because 88 percent still support him, in spite of the government shutdown.
And what about Duterte? The latest surveys tell us that he remains the most trusted public official in the country.
Try to analyze that!
 
Greg B. Macabenta is an advertising and communications man shuttling between San Francisco and Manila and providing unique insights on issues from both perspectives.
gregmacabenta@hotmail.com

China’s offer isn’t just bad, it may be illegal

By James Bacchus
IN TALKS earlier this month, Chinese negotiators reportedly offered to eliminate their country’s bilateral trade surplus with the US by buying $1 trillion in American goods over the next few years. It’s unclear whether they were serious, or whether US producers could even meet the additional demand. The biggest problem with such a transactional deal, though, is one no one’s talking about: It would most likely be illegal.
Because China and the US are members of the World Trade Organization, they each have a legal obligation under the WTO treaty not to favor imported products from one WTO member over like imports from any other WTO member. This is the most-favored-nation rule of nondiscrimination — one of the foundations of the rule-based world trading system. Any trade advantage granted to a particular country must be extended immediately and unconditionally to all other WTO members.
The US-China talks reportedly remain stuck on more difficult issues: restructuring the Chinese economy to make it more market-oriented and preventing the theft and forced transfer of intellectual property. A deal that tackled those challenges most likely wouldn’t present any WTO-related problems. Presumably, any restructuring by China of its subsidies, trade licensing requirements and other market-access restrictions would be done in ways that would benefit all WTO members alike, not just the US.
But any deal that solely benefits American products and producers through certain transactions in certain specific sectors of trade could well violate the WTO treaty. For example, a pledge by China to increase its imports of soybeans from the US by some stated annual amount most likely wouldn’t involve increasing the total amount of Chinese soybean imports or forcing Chinese to consume more soybeans. Instead, importers would simply shift their purchases from other countries — say, Brazil — to the US.
Such a deal would give US soybeans a trade advantage over Brazilian soybeans and would thus be a violation by China of its most-favored-nation obligation to Brazil. The Brazilians, probably in concert with other soybean-exporting countries, would surely take legal action against China in the WTO — and win. An adverse judgment would confront China with the choice of either reneging on its deal with the US or facing lawful trade sanctions authorized by the WTO.
Under such sanctions, China would lose economic benefits that Brazil and any other complaining countries had previously granted to it under the WTO treaty, in other sectors of their trade with China. Such sanctions have been levied often in the WTO-based trading system and could add up to billions of dollars in lost trade annually.
Are the Chinese truly willing to invite such consequences in order to try to placate US President Donald Trump? It would be far better for leaders in both Beijing and Washington, DC, to focus less on a transactional and temporary payoff to the US and more on the longstanding concern at the heart of their confrontation: the many ways in which both countries discriminate unfairly against the imports of the other in a trading relationship that is vital not just to them but to the whole world.
BLOOMBERG
 
A former chief judge for the World Trade Organization and former member of Congress, James Bacchus is an adjunct scholar at the Cato Institute and professor of global affairs at the University of Central Florida. His latest book is The Willing World: Shaping and Sharing a Sustainable Global Prosperity.

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