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CEED: Environment should not be compromised in a ‘new normal’

Going back to a new normal necessitates a radical shift to sustainable practices and resources that no longer degrades the environment, according to a local think tank.

The Center for Energy, Ecology, and Development (CEED), a Quezon City-based think tank for sustainable and people-centered development pathways, released a position paper on Monday which argues against a “back to normal” policy for the government after the scheduled lifting of the Enhanced Community Quarantine (ECQ) on May 15.

Titled “COVID-19 and the Climate Crisis: Towards a Just Recovery”, the paper raises the links between the degradation of the environment and the rise of zoonotic diseases, or illnesses caused by germs that pass from animals to people.

“The scientific community is united on the causal relationship between our encroachments on natural habitats and the rise of new illnesses,” Gerry Arances, executive director of CEED, explained in a statement. “The more we closely interact with species in the wild, the more we are exposed to diseases for which modern medicine is unaware of or does not have a cure. Sometimes, these diseases have the potential to become pandemics, like what COVID-19 did.”

The paper, which can be accessed on CEED’s website, emphasized that COVID-19 may not be the last of the pandemics that will be brought by the coronavirus family, a group which includes the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS), which broke out from 2003 to 2004, and the Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS), which broke out from 2012 to 2015.

“Even as the world reels from the shock of its economic and social impacts, the emergence of COVID-19 did not necessarily come as a surprise for scientists,” CEED’s position paper read. “Two major epidemics in the recent past, SARS and MERS, were caused by coronaviruses occurring in bats, and experts predicted that it is only a matter of time before another widespread infection from the same family comes around.”

CEED also expressed in the paper its wariness over the return to normal ways of doing things, pointing out that “the relentless exploitation of the environment to sustain a consumer-driven culture” caused the crisis in the first place.

“Obsessed with economic growth and development at all costs, however, countries around the world are already making financial and policy decisions to ensure the restoration of business-as-usual patterns even while the crisis has yet to be resolved,” the position paper explained.

“It was the normal consumption-oriented economy and operation of destructive industries that brought about both the climate crisis and rising health problems of the modern day. There is no reason to simply return to it.”

For CEED’s executive director, the extension of the ECQ provides the government more time to evaluate how it can realign the economy in order to make it more sustainable and responsive to the needs of the people before economic and social activity resumes once the ECQ is lifted.

“We in CEED believe that the government, led by President Rodrigo Duterte, can really implement change now and build an economy less plagued by the inequalities of the old, an economy which puts people and harmony with nature first, and an economy where power is given to those who have the most to lose from the climate emergency,” Mr. Arances said.

He also added that the government is now in the position to provide massive assistance to the Filipino masses, and it can also dictate the rules on subsidies for companies. – A.B. Conoza

Caring for the vulnerable elderly

By Michaela Tangan
Features Writer, The Philippine STAR

Why are they at risk and what can we do to help?

In hard-hit areas such as the US and Italy, deaths due to COVID-19 (coronavirus disease 2019) in the elderly group are noticeably higher compared to younger populations. In the Philippines, 353 out of 511 fatalities are aged 60 and above, as of April 28.

Dr. Edsel Maurice Salvana, director of UP-NIH’s Institute of Molecular Biology and Biotechnology, said that COVID-19 might look like a common cold for those below the age of 10; it may also be a little deadlier than the flu for those aged 10 to 60. But for those above 60 years old, the death rate is similar to severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS).

“Any age group can be infected by COVID-19 because there is no immunity,” he explained. However, the highest risk for complications are those above 60 years old, and those with pre-existing illnesses like cancer, hypertension, diabetes, heart disease, and lung disease.”

The immune system tends to get weaker with age. And with age-related decline in immune function, the body is less able to fight off infectious diseases. Health conditions that show increasing prevalence with age also cause decline in immune response.

Furthermore, Dr. Kate Tulenko, a physician and global health specialist, told the World Economic Forum (WEF) that elders also face social challenges, such as isolation and mobility issues during this outbreak.

“Because they’re isolated, they can’t get information about what to do, or not able to get the food they need if stores are out of stock and things become more difficult. In many societies, seniors are more likely to live in poverty, which makes it more difficult for them to get the things they need and to take care of themselves. Poverty presents a whole range of challenges pertaining to health,” she said.

Dr. Salvana advised at-risk groups to take extra precautions to decrease the likelihood of getting infected.

“They should avoid leaving their houses as much as possible, and they should wear a mask when they go out in public. They should wash hands frequently, and caregivers should do likewise.”

The Inter-Agency Standing Committee (IASC), an inter-agency forum of United Nations (UN) and non-UN humanitarian partners, advised families and caregivers of elderlies to provide emotional support and adequate medical needs and supplies. In a safe environment, they should be given time to do simple exercises or activities to improve mobility and decrease boredom.

They should also have easy access to simple facts and updates about the COVID-19 pandemic. Families and caregivers must patiently, concisely and respectfully share clear information on how to avoid getting infected.

If elders get infected by COVID-19, Dr. Salvana advised caregivers to immediately contact health-care professionals by phone.

“If the patient is short of breath, he/she needs to be taken to the hospital emergency room immediately. Caretakers should wear appropriate personal protective equipment as much as possible so that they do not get infected. If the patient elects to stay at home and has relatively mild disease, he/she should be isolated in a single room. If this is not possible, the local government unit may be able to provide space in a community quarantine facility. The important thing is to recognize that the patient is at higher risk and always be guided by competent medical advice,” he said.

Are we ready to bounce back?

After almost two months of economic lockdown by May 15, we pray that circumstances would be more conducive to slowly opening up the economy. We should now be preparing to pick up the pieces and to bounce back. Are we ready?

Public finance is critical.

John Maynard Keynes expressed confidence that while markets are able to self-correct and allocate resources, Governments must intervene to bring about equity, efficiency and stability. In his book, Stabilizing an Unstable Economy (1986), Hyman Minsky echoed this. He stressed that Government must smoothen swings in private investment for profits and employment to remain stable. These precarious swings are most apparent during a pandemic.

In the Philippines, the public sector’s final consumption is around 12%. In this regard, capital spending for the Build, Build, Build program is crucial. Pre-COVID-19, the Department of Public Works and Highways and the Department of Transportation were set to spend P581.7 billion and P100.6 billion, respectively, for 2020 infrastructure projects. These represent 25% and 45% increments over the previous year’s allocations and sum up to more than 6% of GDP.

COVID-19 has dramatically changed public priorities and the fiscal calculus.

Under the Government’s four-pillar socioeconomic strategy, additional funding of P305 billion is needed to subsidize 18 million poor families, provide wage support, and extend assistance to the agricultural sector. These items will help soften the expected drop in private consumption which accounts for more than 68% of GDP.

More than P35 billion was added to the original Department of Health budgetary share of P101 billion and the Universal Health Care budget of P172 billion. Some P171 billion was also earmarked for the Philippine Health Insurance Corporation.

The pandemic was an unforeseen intervening event that compels monetary and fiscal authorities to now provide the macroeconomy with assistance.

In particular, the Bangko Sentral extended provisional advances to the National Government. It also advanced its dividend. To ensure adequate liquidity, and help individuals and businesses, the RRR was reduced ahead of schedule. Policy rates were dropped. Regulatory forbearance gives banks more latitude to manage their loan portfolios.

Public finance is challenged with realigning the budget to accommodate the new money to fight COVID-19, while keeping to the 2020 budget of P4.1 trillion.

But under the law, some items like internal revenue allotments of local government units and debt servicing cannot be realigned. This leaves Government the difficulty of realigning the balance of capital spending by different agencies. The challenge is compounded as this is not much to begin with.

Acknowledging this, the Department of Budget and Management urgently issued a circular imposing a 35% reduction of programmed appropriations for 2020 and an additional 10% mandatory saving on nonessential expenditure. Congress objected.

Faced with a public health crisis, we expect a compromise between Congress and Malacañang on the amount to address the pandemic while continuing with infra projects already lined up for the year. This compromise must be swift, apolitical, and decisive.

At this point, the infra program has already lost two months during the lockdown. Government can thus keep the same pace and carry over to 2021 whatever was effectively lost between March 16 to May 15. While projects like roads and bridges should ideally not be sacrificed, some of these can reasonably wait given that the virus waits for no one and nothing in its rampage. Some food for thought.

At any rate, with or without congressional compromise, borrowing to finance the pre- and post-COVID-19 deficits is necessary. This reinforces the point of our fiscal authorities that Congress must then allow space so that Government can minimize loans and resort less to bond issuances to maintain debt sustainability.

Are we then ready to roll?

If we go by the success of the recent dollar funding exercise by the National Government, the international capital market appears ready for the Philippines.

In short, funds to bounce back are available. Rated Triple B+ by credit rating agency Standard & Poors, the April 29 pricing of the two dollar-denominated bonds reflects strong demand and what Finance Secretary Sonny Dominguez describes as “resiliency of investor interest in the Philippine economy despite the global economic fallout from the COVID-19 pandemic.”

From these bond issuances, we sourced $1.35 billion at 2.95% payable in 25 years, and another $1 billion at 2.457% due in 10 years. These are both definitely long in duration and low in coupon rate.

Earlier, the World Bank also granted us $500 million for our urgent needs. And $200 million was sourced from the Asian Development Bank to fund assistance to vulnerable sectors.

Paradoxically, there is much liquidity in both international and domestic capital markets. Augmenting the fiscal expansion of about $484 billion, the US Fed is pumping more liquidity into the system with its current and future Treasury purchases and easy monetary policy.

Japan is also into fiscal expansion given its higher supplementary budget from its Diet supported by BOJ’s ultra easy monetary policy.

Europe is not far behind. Fiscal support could be as much as 10% of GDP. The ECB is looking at bloating its balance sheet to around Euro 7.4 trillion, near 60% of its GDP.

The Philippine Government strategically took advantage of this short window of opportunity to finance its wider deficit and ensure victory over COVID-19. These moves also lay the groundwork for a shallower V or shorter U economic bounce back. Before the lockdown, domestic liquidity rose by nearly 11%. This will moderate as demand for credit slows with the industrial freeze.

Looking at private investments, the Department of Finance recently reported that small businesses may incur P465 billion in financial losses due to the pandemic. To address this, the Executive is coordinating with Congress to provide tax relief by extending the net operating loss carry-over (NOLCO) from three to five years. This allows small businesses to deduct this year’s losses from their income for the next five years. In effect, the National Government is helping absorb private losses in terms of foregone revenues. Credit guarantees up to P120 billion worth of loans to affected small businesses will also be provided.

Finally, the Bangko Sentral’s new policy of giving banks more time to re-classify their loans as past due and non-performing is also positive for business. It enables banks to exclude client loans — mostly by affected corporates — from being re-classified as past due and non-performing until end-December 2021. In the absence of this policy, banks would have been constrained to put up higher provisioning for potential loan losses. In addition, loans for small businesses are now assigned lower credit risk weight to encourage more bank lending to the sector.

On practically all fronts, Government is providing private businesses with great hand-holding to bounce back from the pandemic. The private sector is aptly assisted to forge on to economic recovery.

Time to bounce back.

 

Diwa C. Guinigundo is the former Deputy Governor for the Monetary and Economics Sector, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP). He served the BSP for 41 years. In 2001-2003, he was Alternate Executive Director at the International Monetary Fund in Washington, DC. He is the senior pastor of the Fullness of Christ International Ministries in Mandaluyong.

In capable hands

If the COVID-19 pandemic has demonstrated anything, it is how imperfect such institutions as governments and even entire societies are — and that some are more flawed, damaged, and damaging than others.

The coronavirus contagion is testing not only the capacity of the health systems of less developed countries to cope with the disease, but also those of so-called developed countries like the United States, Italy, Germany, France, and the United Kingdom.

In an April 20 statement, the health ministers of the Group of 20 countries (G-20) with the most advanced economies in the world described the weaknesses in the global health systems, which presumably include their own, as “systemic.” In addition, they said, the rapid spread of the disease “has also shown vulnerabilities in the global community’s ability to prevent and respond to pandemic threats.” What is needed is “to improve the effectiveness of global health systems by sharing knowledge and closing the gap in response capabilities and readiness.”

In attendance in the virtual conference during which the G-20 health ministers released the statement, Singapore’s own health minister said closer international cooperation is needed, as well as continuing support for the World Health Organization (WHO), the problem being global. But what is happening seems to be the opposite. Instead of cooperation, various countries have limited support for others by prioritizing their own needs and withholding such medical supplies as face masks from those that don’t have them, while United States President Donald Trump has decided to suspend support for WHO for supposedly “mismanaging and covering up the spread of the coronavirus” and relying on unverified reports from China, a claim the organization has denied.

The weakness of the world’s health systems is evident in the number of dead and afflicted. As of last week, the global death toll from COVID-19 was at 193,000, most of them in the United States, Italy, Spain, and China. There are more than 2.7 million confirmed cases in over 200 countries in North and South America, Europe, Asia, and Africa.

But it is not the health systems alone that are failing. The global economic system is also foundering. With lockdowns in force in a number of countries, businesses have shut down, millions of workers across the globe have lost their sources of livelihood, and the threat of another economic recession and even depression has become imminent.

Health systems can be fixed and economies can recover. What can arguably last longer is the pandemic’s emphasis on competition rather than cooperation between countries and individuals within each country, as it underscores how much more vulnerable to the contagion is the underclass in many societies compared to the privileged classes. Social interaction and international cooperation have become fearsome means of COVID-19 transmission that have to be avoided as countries impose social distancing protocols and shut down their borders.

Of equal concern is the global surge in authoritarianism and the renewed assaults on human rights, as demagogues and despots take advantage of the crisis to tighten their grip on power, not only by limiting movement and banning mass gatherings, but also by suppressing free expression and press freedom. Those acts are contrary to the United Nations’ advocacy of “transparent, responsive and accountable” governance and its upholding the “essential roles” of civil society and press freedom in combating the pandemic.

The global health crisis has even more critically exposed weaknesses in governance and leadership. In many countries, the contradictory and conflicting messages of government leaders are part of the problem. Trump, for example, had earlier dismissed the threat to the US as minimal, and later designated his Vice-President, who has been widely criticized for being “anti-science,” to head the campaign against COVID-19. He has also questioned the views of his country’s epidemiologists that millions of Americans may catch the virus, apparently due to his fears that the rising number of cases in the US could impact on his chances of re-election in November this year.

In the Philippines the indicators of the weaknesses in governance and leadership during the crisis have included the Secretary of Health’s state of denial during the first months of the year. Seemingly lulled into complacency by the fact that there were only three cases of infection in the Philippines in late January, only when the number of cases had multiplied did he recommend the declaration of a public health emergency despite the Philippines’ vulnerability to the virus because of the influx of tourists and workers from China where the virus originated.

During the current period, the mixed, incoherent and vague messages from its officials have also led to mass confusion over government policies in the face of the continuing crisis. Despite questions from some journalists, no one in government has said anything about whether the pandemic is showing signs of abating or worsening, or, for that matter, if the testing program for those who may have been infected is enough and working. Neither have its officials provided the credible numbers to support regime claims that the Enhanced Community Quarantine (ECQ) in Luzon has been successful in reducing the rate and number of infections.

Even at this late date, no information has been forthcoming on the government’s recovery plans, if any, once the lockdown is lifted and the pandemic has passed. The most that officials say when asked by journalists is that plans are in the works but that they have no details, that the government is still studying the situation, and that it is all up to President Rodrigo Duterte, whose focus when he speaks publicly has been on practically everything else except what the regime will do to revive the economy, address the huge unemployment problem resulting from the lockdown, and prevent a second wave of infections when it is partially or even totally lifted.

One of the latest examples of government officials’ being confusing is recently reappointed Presidential Spokesperson Harry Roque’s declaration that a “total lockdown” was being considered by the Inter-Agency Task Force on the Management of Emerging Infectious Diseases (IATF), which IATF spokesperson Karlo Nograles immediately denied. The number of briefings from various officials daily (four to five) has not made things any more intelligible and has instead contributed further not only to the public’s bewilderment but also to that of some government officials themselves.

And then there’s President Duterte, who, in the number of times he has appeared on government TV to supposedly talk about the crisis, clarify government policies, and assure the public that everything is under control and the crisis is being decisively addressed, has done little to do so. Instead, he has made such puzzling, self-evident and outrageous statements as that the doctors who have died fighting the virus were lucky because they died for the country, that the COVID threat is real, that he has ordered the police and military to “shoot dead” protesters like those who had taken to the streets to ask government for help — and, last April 24, that he may declare martial law to stop NPA (New People’s Army) guerrillas, arrest members of legal “communist front organizations,” and end lawlessness within his term.

In this time of the COVID-19 contagion, an economic standstill, hunger and desperation among those who’ve lost their sources of livelihood, and policemen arresting and even shooting alleged violators of quarantine protocols, the country — its present and its future — is apparently in oh, so capable hands.

 

Luis V. Teodoro is on Facebook and Twitter (@luisteodoro).

www.luisteodoro.com

Transition and liminality

We are living in uncertain, challenging times. We are not in control of our lives. Our set patterns have changed. What was once familiar no longer feels or looks the same. The inexplicable situation is beyond the theories, statistics, reports, charts, analyses of the medical experts and scientists, task force and the instant know-it-all pseudo-writers.

Inner feelings that have been long repressed — frustration and rage — break though the glaze-varnished surfaces, and suddenly emerge.

There’s an eruption, confusion, disorientation. The media and social media add fuel to the fire of hysteria by sensationalizing the news.

We feel a collective vulnerability in the face of the surprise global pandemic. Floating on uncharted waters and imagining the immense space are beyond our comprehension.

“Carl Gustav Jung used the word ‘liminality’ to describe that time in the process of individuation where you know you cannot go back to who you were but don’t know yet what you are becoming,” Dr. Ma. Teresa Dido Gustilo, Carl Jung Center Circle chair emeritus explained.

By definition, liminal space is a threshold. It is transitional or transformational. It is described as a waiting space between one point in time and space and another. Physical spaces would be the airport, elevator, stairwell, or a hotel hallway at night. One feels eerie if one lingers there too long. An empty art gallery with unoccupied furniture could be considered as such.

The milestones such as new jobs, marriage, childbirth, moving house, separation and death are all considered very important. They are all highly stressful.

The sudden changes are called liminal spaces.

A divorce makes a person feel lost in his life journey. The divorce is the in between station from marriage to a destination. A new life alone or with a new partner.

Losing a job is very difficult after having been employed for a long time. Moving to a new city combines mental and physical upheaval. Leaving the old town to start a new life in another place. Giving up toxic friends and letting go of difficult family members. These are all considered a “graced time” but we do not feel the grace because we are not in control.

There is a liminal veil at the transition place, called the threshold.

The term “coming of age” is when one is no longer a child but not yet an adult. A rite of passage, standing at the doorway is a threshold moment.

Mid-life is a turning point when people feel awkward, uneasy, “in-between,” feel afraid. They tend to do irrational things.

The artist’s liminal state is one “creative being.” That is the condition wherein the artist has the potential to create, write, and compose. This explains the anxiety of artists and writers when they are getting started no matter if it is a painting or a poem, or a project that has been done many times in the past.

Liminal dreaming is the state when one is not yet asleep but the mind can experience vivid images, sounds, and feeling. Sometimes, this happens when a psychic individual has a clairvoyant dream.

A recent article by Father Rohr touched on the higher dimension of spirituality and human development of the pandemic. He wrote that we are in “an immense collective liminal space.”

The goal is to keep people in that space long enough so that they can learn what is essential about life and do something new.

“This in-between place is free of illusions and false payoffs. It invites us to discover and live from broader perspectives and with much deeper seeing.”

Failing and faltering (after having been successful) abruptly makes us understand other dimensions of life.

“We need to be silent instead of speaking, experience emptiness instead of fullness, anonymity instead of persona and pennilessness instead of plenty,” he explained.

We exist during this crisis feeling caught between two worlds.

“Liminality keeps us in an ongoing state of shadowboxing instead of ego-confirmation, struggling with the hidden side of things.

“Our consciousness and that of future generations has been changed. We cannot put the genie back in the bottle,” Fr. Rohr concluded.

We should learn and accept that this entire process takes time. We have to descend and wait until we learn. This is the time when we are open to being taught because we have been humbled. It is a period when we reflect and pray and realize many things that we have taken for granted. We see what we really need and we can stop wanting too much. We can relearn and switch our ways of thinking and seeing. It is catharsis.

Then we can ascend back to the world with a fresh, creative approach. This attitude would bring a sense of freedom, wisdom, grace and gratitude.

 

Maria Victoria Rufino is an artist, writer and businesswoman. She is president and executive producer of Maverick Productions.

mavrufino@gmail.com

Democracy versus the coronavirus

Want to know why many areas in the Philippines have been in lockdown for more than 45 days now, nearly 8,000 Filipinos have been infected by the coronavirus that causes COVID-19 with more than 530 dead, the economy damaged, many facing unemployment or bankruptcies, the education of our youth made uncertain?

To borrow Marc Thiessen’s answer: “Because China is a brutal totalitarian dictatorship.”

“We are in the midst of a pandemic lockdown today because the Chinese Communist regime cared more about suppressing information than suppressing a virus. Doctors in Wuhan knew in December that the coronavirus was capable of human-to-human transmission because medical workers were getting sick. But as late as Jan. 15, the head of China’s Center for Disease Control and Prevention declared on state television that ‘the risk of human-to-human transmission is low.’ On Jan. 18, weeks after President Xi Jinping had taken charge of the response, authorities allowed a Lunar New Year banquet to go forward in Wuhan where tens of thousands of families shared food — and then let millions travel out of Wuhan, allowing the disease to spread across the world. It was not until Jan. 23 that the Chinese government enacted a quarantine in Wuhan.” (“This virus should be forever linked to the regime that facilitated its spread,” March 18, 2020)

For a time, when China appeared to have domestically managed the pandemic it created, the sense of glee amongst its propagandists, including those here in the Philippines, was palpable. The US system doesn’t work they say. Democracy is inefficient. Freedom is overrated. All this with the obvious intent of advocating that the Philippines turn away from its democratic, human rights, and rule of law values, and copy instead China’s totalitarianism.

Or in other words: Give up your rights and just do what we say.

Unfortunately, for them, they celebrated too soon. China was shortly thereafter required to upwardly adjust its fatality numbers by 50%. Wuhan, the first city afflicted with the China coronavirus, is still reeling from the pandemic. And just last week, Hubin, a city of 10 million residents, was summarily locked down.

Twenty-one million mobile phone subscriptions have also been canceled, which, though not necessarily corresponding exactly to deaths, is still a significant indicator of the damage China inflicted on itself. Not subject to speculation though is China’s 6.8% drop in economic growth, its lowest level in 30 years.

Compare that with the fairly successful efforts of Taiwan. Most experts were predicting catastrophic deaths due to its close proximity to China. And yet Taiwan, as of this writing, has only 429 infections and six deaths. With no lockdown, with great transparency, no loss of human rights, and its businesses continuing to operate.

Of course all eyes are on Sweden, with some 19,621 infected and 2,355 dead. Yet, it fares favorably when compared to the Netherlands, the UK, France, Italy, and Belgium on deaths per 100,000 population. Without a lockdown.

And all indications are the Swedes have already weathered the worst. With a fairly unscathed economy, Sweden is now better placed to confront a coronavirus second wave should it happen.

And contrary to the misleading information given out by mainstream and social media, even the country that progressives and leftists love to hate, the US under President Donald Trump, is relatively doing well.

Yes, the US has nearly a million infected and over 56,259 dead. Yet Johns Hopkins’ data shows the US with one of the lowest death rates per 100,000 compared to other major countries. This without undue restriction on freedoms in most of the US States. Seven states, in fact, have little to no restrictions. Remember, it is the State governors, not Trump, that have the power to declare lockdowns in their individual states.

Only 13 to 15 US states have stringent lockdowns. And interestingly, it is the States that turned away from their democratic foundations, led by progressive leftist governors, that have the most infections and fatalities. The top four states — New York, New Jersey, Massachusetts, and California — alone account for 50% of US cases, with the rest scattered across the country in comparably minimal numbers.

Democracy may have stumbled in the early goings but it has ultimately proven more effective than authoritarianism or totalitarianism. National Democratic Institute’s Adam Nelson is right: “A vital yet overlooked antidote to pandemics [is] democracy. While the virus spreads, China’s crackdown on freedom of expression has created an environment where doctors are stifled, the free flow of information is curtailed, health recommendations are ignored and the death toll rises.”

Open societies are simply more able to harness creativity, innovation, energy, motivation, and optimism in people. In relation to pandemics, transparency allows a better grasp of the situation, while encouraging its people to find the best solutions and cure.

All the while retaining the benefits of human dignity and rights.

Let’s hope and work that in beating this pandemic, Filipinos also gain a better appreciation of and work harder to uphold democracy and civil liberties.

 

Jemy Gatdula is a Senior Fellow of the Philippine Council for Foreign Relations and a Philippine Judicial Academy law lecturer for constitutional philosophy and jurisprudence.

https://www.facebook.com/jigatdula/

Twitter @jemygatdula

Better normal, not new normal

By Guy Ryder

IN THESE TIMES of COVID-19, the big challenge for most of us is how to protect ourselves and our families from the virus and how to hold on to our jobs. For policy-makers that translates into beating the pandemic without doing irreversible damage to the economy in the process.

With over 3 million cases and some 217,000 victims of the virus to date globally, and the expected loss of the equivalent of 305 million jobs worldwide by mid-year, the stakes have never been higher. Governments continue to “follow the science” in the search for the best solutions while foregoing the obvious benefits of much greater international cooperation in building the needed global response to the global challenge.

But with the war against COVID-19 still to be won, it has become commonplace that what awaits us after victory is a “new normal” in the way society is organized and the way we will work.

This is hardly reassuring.

Because nobody seems able to say what the new normal will be. Because the message is that it will be dictated by the constraints imposed by the pandemic rather than our choices and preferences. And because we’ve heard it before. The mantra which provided the mood music of the crash of 2008-2009 was that once the vaccine to the virus of financial excess had been developed and applied, the global economy would be safer, fairer, more sustainable. But that didn’t happen. The old normal was restored with a vengeance and those on the lower echelons of labor markets found themselves even further behind.

So May 1, the international day of labor, is the right occasion to look more closely at this new normal, and start on the task of making it a better normal, not so much for those who already have much, but for those who so obviously have too little.

This pandemic has laid bare in the cruellest way, the extraordinary precariousness and injustices of our world of work. It is the decimation of livelihoods in the informal economy — where six out of 10 workers make a living — which has ignited the warnings from our colleagues in the World Food Program, of the coming pandemic of hunger. It is the gaping holes in the social protection systems of even the richest countries, which have left millions in situations of deprivation. It is the failure to guarantee workplace safety that condemns nearly 3 million to die each year because of the work they do. And it is the unchecked dynamic of growing inequality which means that if, in medical terms, the virus does not discriminate between its victims in its social and economic impact, it discriminates brutally against the poorest and the powerless.

The only thing that should surprise us in all this is that we are surprised. Before the pandemic, the manifest deficits in decent work were mostly played out in individual episodes of quiet desperation. It has taken the calamity of COVID-19 to aggregate them into the collective social cataclysm the world faces today. But we always knew: we simply chose not to care. By and large, policy choices by commission or omission accentuated rather than alleviated the problem.

Fifty-two years ago, Martin Luther King, in a speech to striking sanitation workers on the eve of his assassination reminded the world that there is dignity in all labor. Today, the virus has similarly highlighted the always essential and sometimes heroic role of the working heroes of this pandemic. People who are usually invisible, unconsidered, undervalued, even ignored. Health and care workers, cleaners, supermarket cashiers, transport staff – too often numbered among the ranks of the working poor and the insecure.

Today the denial of dignity to these, and to millions of others, stand as a symbol of past policy failures and our future responsibilities.

On May Day next year we trust that the pressing emergency of COVID-19 will be behind us. But we will have before us the task of building a future of work which tackles the injustices that the pandemic has highlighted, together with the permanent and no longer postponable challenges of climate, digital and demographic transition.

This is what defines the better normal that has to be the lasting legacy of the global health emergency of 2020.

 

Guy Ryder is the Director-General of the International Labor Organization

Politics and Crisis: A discussion series:Governing the new normal

By The Ateneo de Manila Department of Political Science

Last of an eight-part series

SIX WEEKS after the beginning of this discussion series and around six months since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, we find our personal and collective worlds in a state of pause. From the initial shock and panic brought by lockdowns and other similar state measures, countries now find themselves in a holding pattern that has highlighted the variations in leadership, decision making, and citizen response. The ongoing challenge of borders and mobility also amplifies the fragility of a global system that heavily relied on hard security and economic power, but is now appraised on the strength of political institutions and the robustness of the provision of basic goods and universal health care.

The realities are unimaginable. The increasing number of confirmed cases and death and the disruption of daily lives in a shared atmosphere of uncertainty weigh heavily on the collective psyche of parts of the world connected now mainly by technology. There is no definitive when and there is no definitive how.

There are, however, good models for local, national and regional responses that are indicative of the ease that countries will be able to transition to the new normal.

This brings us back to the goal of this series: to frame the crisis conversation towards evidence-informed policy making; institutional over personal political agendas; and critical pedagogy as an approach to citizenship education.

This crisis requires structural change at the local, regional and global levels.

CHALLENGING PATRONAGE: LOCAL POLITICS
Patronage politics, which has grown “acceptable” over time, is the most harmful form of political discord, cutting off meaningful citizen participation (that includes regular means of articulating and aggregating interests) and replacing it with myopic partisan (or personal) interests.

Problem solving will require a new political logic that cuts the unnecessary patronage-based ties between citizens and local officials, LGUs and the National Government. This requires a re-engineering of the political supply chain: redirecting decision-making, branding and allocation of goods and services with the broad goal of public interest in mind, rather than personal or political gain.

LGUs who have risen to this challenge in the short time that the country has been affected by this crisis have been able to balance public health and public safety as well as socio-economic and citizen well-being by innovative and evidence-informed decision making rather than outright force.

CHALLENGING NONINTERFERENCE: REGIONAL POLITICS
ASEAN will also have to recast the non-interference policy as the questions of labor migration, inter-ASEAN mobility and regional security politics (including regional level response to China). This shift may also mean more focus on the pillars of political and economic security without the usual buttress of socio-cultural exchange.

This will also raise the question of what (or who) will be the authoritative ASEAN voice. What will ASEAN-wide mechanisms for securing the region look like? What will it collectively choose to protect and who will it choose to engage as its primary partners? Will the future of ASEAN be governed together or apart?

CHALLENGING GLOBALIZATION: GLOBAL POLITICS
While the local, national and regional try to take stock of structural strengths and gains, it seems that at the global level, it is time to take stock of structural failures. Here, Walden Bello (2020) notes that this current crisis has cut off globalization’s connectivity — with air travel, technology, business and tourism serving as primary means of transmission — and now leaves an imperative to redefine globalization. Or its alternative. Acharya (2020) hopes that it be a more “humane and regulated” globalization.

Among the possible key global political re-awakenings include a reassessment of state capability, the role of science and technology in defining global power shifts and a new appreciation of East-West, North-South divides.

The key question here is what the Philippines will make of this and whether, at this juncture, she has the political will to decide her own fate. Strategic decisions must be made by policy makers to ensure that the long-term survival of a Sovereign Philippine State is ensured. International cooperation and new partnerships including economic stimulus packages, overseas development assistance in exchange for access to Philippine resources should be consistently watched and duly criticized in a free and democratic political environment, no matter what the crisis climate may be. This means that the New Normal will have to be negotiated by citizens, not dictated to them.

This crisis requires independent, evidence-informed policy. This is non-negotiable.

LEADERSHIP
Most noticeable in social media is the praise for Jacinda Arden’s (New Zealand) communicative approach and Angela Merkle’s (Germany) scientific and grounded way of leading their countries past the critical stage of local transmission containment. What is admirable is not the fact alone that they are female, but the fact that their country’s political education system produced them. While their talents are uniquely their own, a political environment that nurtures future leaders secures a country’s political future.

Conversely, social media is rife as well with examples of poor leadership: cut-the-line and taking-a-cut public officials have been shamed online but real punishment for the abuse of power is glaringly absent and more acutely painful when ordinary people suffer in their stead.

On this, we have only one thing to say: the abuse of political power during times of crisis is unforgivable. It should be remembered and paid the equivalent response in the form of informed choices on our ballot in 2022.

PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION AND PUBLIC HEALTH
Universal Health Care is a right. The countries that have fared best in this crisis are those that have respected their citizens’ right to access public health and ensured their well-being both in times of collective wellness and in times of natural or human-made disasters.

Universal Health Care is a comprehensive, well-planned policy that considers the general population as well as vulnerable sectors in sickness and in health.

This crisis is a question of both public policy and public administration. Specifically, the need to address the uneven distribution of health resources: from hospital bed capacity to diagnostic facilities. This also includes the need to support Philippine R&D efforts thereby lessening the need for reliance on external support and imported commodities. The same goes for human resources in the health sector: closing the gap and addressing Universal Health Care will also mean addressing the uneven distribution of health professionals, despite our adequate number of graduates from health-related courses, to adequately respond to the needs of the Philippines.

This crisis requires a new political logic.

For the Philippines, this crisis is not just a true test of leadership, it is a true test of citizenship. Both will require a new political logic that breaks with the old patronage based politics and reactive policy environment. One that is characterized by innovative leadership that is both communicative and evidence based, a transparent and responsive governance structure that locates rather than loses the citizen in its programs and a proactive policy agenda.

A redefined citizenship should likewise be supported by radical equalizing measures that incentivize civic participation, amplify citizen voice and democratize opportunities.

 

Previous columns in this series can be accessed here:

https://www.bworldonline.com/politics-and-crisis-a-discussion-series-framing-the-crisis-conversation/

https://www.bworldonline.com/politics-and-crisis-a-discussion-series-governing-the-pandemic/

https://www.bworldonline.com/politics-and-crisis-a-discussion-series-power-from-below-social-policy-for-the-people-by-the-people/

https://www.bworldonline.com/politics-and-crisis-a-discussion-series-re-imagining-asean-in-a-time-of-crisis/

https://www.bworldonline.com/politics-and-crisis-a-discussion-series-covid-19-lessons-in-east-asia-the-good-the-bad-and-whats-just-right/

https://www.bworldonline.com/politics-and-crisis-a-discussion-series-global-health-governance-and-covid-19-pandemic/

https://www.bworldonline.com/politics-and-crisis-a-discussion-series-the-covid-19-pandemic-a-failure-of-global-institutions-and-a-test-of-national-leadership/

NBA eyes Disney World as return-to-action venue

THE National Basketball Association (NBA) is looking at the Walt Disney World Resort near Orlando, Florida, as a possible playing site should the 2019-20 season resume, and has even gotten the OK from Disney to use the site, Stadium’s Shams Charania reported Wednesday.

The report came hours after Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, told the New York Times some professional sports leagues may have to “bite the bullet” and cancel their seasons altogether because of the COVID-19 pandemic.

According to Charania, NBA commissioner Adam Silver on Wednesday had a conference call with the league’s 30 general managers and a league doctor and discussed what Charania called “some positive developments” regarding potential treatment for COVID-19 and a vaccine trial in England.

According to reports Wednesday, the experimental drug remdesivir showed positive results with COVID-19 patients in a recent study, and the University of Oxford in England on Tuesday announced that a vaccine prevented six monkeys from contracting COVID-19 at a lab in Montana despite getting heavy quantities of the virus. A human trial of the vaccine is now under way.

The NBA announced Monday it will soon unveil rule changes that will allow teams to open their practice facilities for players to take part in treatment and limited workouts, so long as the city in which the facility is located permits it.

Numerous restrictions still will be in place for the limited opening of facilities, the league said in a statement. There also is no set date for when facilities can open, though “the league advised teams that it is targeting no earlier than Friday, May 8, as the commencement date for the new rules, and that it may push this timing back if developments warrant,” per the NBA’s statement.

The NBA suspended play March 11 after Utah Jazz center Rudy Gobert tested positive for the coronavirus. A week later, the league instructed teams to close their training and practice facilities. Whether or not the 2019-20 season will resume remains unknown.

Earlier Wednesday, Dr. Fauci told the New York Times, “I would love to be able to have all sports back. But as a health official and a physician and a scientist, I have to say, right now, when you look at the country, we’re not ready for that yet.”

“Safety, for the players and for the fans, trumps everything. If you can’t guarantee safety, then unfortunately you’re going to have to bite the bullet and say, ‘We may have to go without this sport for this season.’”

NBA executives also reportedly have discussed the idea of teams attempting to play all games in a central location, with Las Vegas and the Bahamas having been floated as possible sites. — Reuters

Early resumption of Premier League not safe for players — Neville

BENGALURU — Rushing to resume the 2019-20 Premier League season stalled by the COVID-19 pandemic could jeopardize the lives of players and staff, former Manchester United defender Gary Neville said.

English soccer has been suspended since March 13 due to the novel coronavirus, which has led to the deaths of more than 26,000 people in Britain. Still, the minister responsible for sport has held talks with the league on competition returning as soon as possible.

“If people are really serious about putting health first we would not be discussing football returning at this moment,” eight-time Premier League winner Neville told Sky Sports.

“The minute one member of staff or player goes into intensive care, what are they going to do? That’s the bit on one shoulder telling them: ‘It’s a risk.’ They really aren’t sure at this time how to deal with it.”

Premier League clubs will meet on Friday to discuss ways to finish the season and Neville said the prospect of losing money from broadcasters if the campaign is canceled had clouded the judgment of those pushing for quick restart.

“If this was a non-economic decision, there would be no football for months,” Neville said. — Reuters

CSB Blazers coach Tang holds free online basketball clinic

WITH OUTSIDE movement currently limited because of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, people are looking for creative and alternative ways to try and get back to the swing of things.

For College of Saint Benilde (CSB) men’s basketball coach TY Tang, he is tapping the online platform to share his basketball knowledge, turning his sports clinic into a free online resource hub accessible through social media sites Facebook, Instagram and YouTube.

Started in 2008, the TY Tang Basketball School, a training program for kids and teens, was forced to make changes on how it is presented after the government declared a state of public health emergency and put the entire of Luzon on enhanced community quarantine, which included barring mass gatherings to help prevent the spread of the highly contagious COVID-19.

Mr. Tang said such a setup is taking time to get used to but he is not letting it get in the way of him reaching out and sharing his passion for the sport of basketball.

“It was my basketball school in Xavier that I certainly missed as I can’t connect much with the kids that I’ve been used to seeing on a weekly basis,” said Mr. Tang, 35, of him going online and doing his thing.

“My plan is to make two to three posts a week. I already have six more lessons scheduled to be uploaded and I still have ideas for more than a hundred drills. Content is not a problem. It’s today’s technology that I am still learning!” he added.

Mr. Tang’s videos and livestreams consist of demonstration of basketball fundamentals and drills (e.g. finger touches, ball slaps, swings and squeezes, ball toss, toss with clap, movement around the head, waist and legs, plus the reverse) and exercise regimens to encourage an active lifestyle in the time of COVID-19.

“At the moment, I will focus on basketball-related wellness and fitness. Interested individuals may apply this as an exercise of sorts.” Mr. Tang said.

Meanwhile, even if he is busying himself with his online sports clinic, Mr. Tang said work for him as Blazers coach continues even if the team is temporarily unable to collectively train in a single facility.

The CSB coach, who played for the De La Salle Green Archers in college and had a solid career in the Philippine Basketball Association after, said he is doing his coaching by way of Web sessions, which include ensuring the wellness and nutrition of their players.

He is also communicating with the other Blazers coaches at least three times a week so that they will be on top of things.

In Season 95 of the National Collegiate Athletic Association, CSB finished with a 9-9 record, good for fifth place, and missed the playoffs. — Michael Angelo S. Murillo

Red Bull River Runes makes Philippine return

ESPORTS ACTION in the country buzzes this month despite the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic with the return to the country of the Red Bull River Runes tournament.

Back for the second straight year, Red Bull River Runes allows top local DoTA 2 players a chance to showcase their talent to a wider audience and against world-class talents.

Regional qualifiers of the tournament will take place digitally throughout the month of May with the eventual winner earning a shot at going up against a member of champion team OG, the back-to-back The International world champion.

Competitors in Red Bull River Runes will battle on a custom map built in the DoTA 2 environment. The tournament offers players a fast-paced 1v1 mirror matchup that rewards intuition and the ability to make quick decisions. In order for a player to progress through the tournament, they must first achieve three kills or score the first kill on an enemy T1 Tower.

The tournament is open to all players ages 18 and above, with their own Steam and Discord accounts.

Tournament proceedings start with the Mindanao Qualifiers on May 8 and 9, followed by the Visayas Qualifier (May 15 and 16), and the Luzon Qualifier (May 22 and 23).

A Last Chance Qualifier takes place on May 29 with the Philippine Finals, to be livestreamed via Lupon WXC), set for May 30.

The 1v1 finals against a member of 2019 The International champion OG is slated for June.

Registration for the Red Bull River Runes tournament is ongoing at WIN.GS/PHR1V1RUNES. — Michael Angelo S. Murillo