URUAPAN, Mexico — As broadcasters declared Donald J. Trump the next President of the United States, Sonia Coria turned to her husband and asked if they should go home.

For seven months they had been living in Glendale, Arizona, sharing a two-bedroom apartment with Coria’s aunt and slowly building a life far from the threats and cartel violence that made them flee Mexico.

Coria, 25, took odd jobs as a cleaner and her husband, Carlos Leon, also 25, worked as a gardener. Their eldest child Naomi, eight, was going to a local charter school, making friends and picking up English. In the small kidney-shaped pool of the condominium building where they lived, she had learned to swim. Little Carlos, five, was learning to ride a bike.

Their neighborhood in western Glendale — a city of some 250,000 people just outside Phoenix — was home to lots of Mexican migrants. Opposite their apartment block was a small butcher, Carnicería Uruapan, named after the town they had fled in the dangerous Mexican state of Michoacan.

They had bought their first car on installments — a tan-colored 2008 Ford F-150 pickup truck that cost them $4,000. They were still poor, sometimes going to soup kitchens for a meal or picking up appliances and toys that neighbors had thrown out, but it was a life they could only have dreamed of back home in Mexico.

Mr. Trump’s campaign, and his victory, changed how they felt about living in the United States. They had followed the law, entering the United States at a border crossing and applying for asylum. The application was in process. But they now worried they could lose everything.

“We run the risk of them taking away the little we’ve managed to scrape together,” Coria remembers telling her husband that night as election coverage played on the television.

Leon nodded and hugged his wife. They began to cry quietly, afraid Carlos and Naomi would hear them as they played on the floor in the bedroom they all shared. The kids had been allowed to stay up late, so that Coria and Leon could watch the results come in.

The family’s account is based on interviews with Leon, Coria and NGOs that helped them on their return to Mexico. Reuters was not able to verify all details of their journey, but core facts were supported by photos, videos, messages, and customs documents the family shared.

As the Trump administration vows to enact the “largest deportation operation in American history,” authorities have raided workplaces, sent alleged Venezuelan gang members to a notorious prison in El Salvador, and deployed National Guard and active-duty Marines to contain anti-government protests in Los Angeles.

Beyond the 239,000 people the administration has deported so far, some cuffed and led on to planes, the very public expulsion of migrants has had another effect: triggering tough and complicated decisions in immigrant households across the US on whether to stay or leave.

As they discussed returning to Mexico, Leon set one condition: That they wait until after Trump took office on Jan. 20, to save up some more money and to see if he proved as hardline on migration as he’d promised.

In the end, fear led them to leave before Mr. Trump had even been sworn in.

‘PROJECT HOMECOMING’
Despite high-profile deportations to Guantanamo or El Salvador, the total number of deportations under Mr. Trump trails former President Joseph R. Biden’s last year in office.

Increasingly, persuading migrants to leave of their own accord has become a core strategy.

“Self-deportation is safe,” reads a Department of Homeland Security (DHS) flyer on display at immigration courts in the US “Leave on your own terms by picking your departure flight.”

The Trump administration in March launched an app called CBP Home designed to help people relocate and in May, Mr. Trump unveiled “Project Homecoming,” a sweeping initiative that offers “illegal aliens” $1,000 and a free flight to leave.

Since then, “tens of thousands of illegal aliens” self-deported through CBP Home app, a DHS official told Reuters, without giving further details.

More than 56,000 Mexicans have voluntarily returned from the US since Mr. Trump returned to the White House, according to Mexican government figures. Figures from last year were unavailable.

Self-deportation is not a new idea. During the Great Depression and again in 1954’s Operation Wetback, US deportation campaigns pressured over a million Mexicans and Mexican-Americans to leave — far more than through formal deportations.

“Self-deportation is not an accident, but a deliberate strategy,” said Maria Jose Espinosa, executive director at CEDA, a non-profit organization in Washington that works to improve relations between the US and Latin American countries.

‘LEFT WITH NOTHING’
On Jan. 19, Coria, Leon, and the two kids packed what they could fit into their F-150 and drove toward the Mexican border. It was just a three-hour drive.

A few weeks before, they had witnessed immigration enforcement detaining the father of a Mexican family living two doors down from them. That, Coria said, had made up their minds.

A lawyer they saw at the Mexican consulate in Phoenix reinforced their view, telling them that their asylum application was weak and they would likely be deported.

The consulate told Reuters the lawyer, Hugo Larios, did on occasion offer free consultations, but they did not have access to details of what was discussed or a record of the Coria-Leon family visiting in January, only in April 2024. Larios did not respond to requests for comment.

It was a hard decision to leave. They had fled their hometown in February last year after armed men claiming to be members of the notorious Jalisco New Generation Cartel began showing up at the avocado farm where Leon was working as a guard, demanding protection money. Leon didn’t have the money to pay, and the owner was away.

Now, they were going back.

Uruapan is one of the most violent cities in the world, with an official murder rate of nearly 60 per 100,000 inhabitants. In recent years organized crime has taken over the area, running or extorting farms and businesses and killing those who refuse to pay.

But the family hoped their savings would make a difference. They had managed to scrape together $5,000 and the plan was to buy land and open an auto repair shop using their pickup truck to help with the business.

At 5 p.m., on Jan. 19, they drew up to the Dennis DeConcini border crossing at Nogales.

As they passed Mexican customs, the Mexican National Guard stopped their vehicle and asked for papers, the family said.

Leon didn’t have the car title, just a temporary permit issued that day, so officials confiscated the truck and threatened to arrest him for vehicle smuggling. The officials also took $5,000, the family’s entire savings, for what they called a fine before Leon could go free.

With no car and no money, Coria, Leon, Naomi and Carlos sat on the ground outside customs, surrounded by their remaining possessions — 100 kilos of clothing, tools, kitchen utensils, a television, refrigerator, and children’s toys.

“We lost everything,” Coria recalled, in tears. “We left with nothing and came back worse off.”

A spokesperson from Mexico’s National Customs Agency declined to comment on the specifics of the Coria case. She said in an e-mail to Reuters that its office “acts in strict adherence to the legal framework governing the entry and exit of merchandise, as well as the customs control applicable to persons and vehicles crossing points of entry into the national territory.”

Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum told journalists this month that her government is strengthening its “Mexico Embraces You” program to receive Mexican migrants voluntarily returning from the US to ensure “they are not subject to any act of corruption by customs or immigration when they enter our country.”

The program offers a $100 cash grant, job placement, free transportation to their places of origin, and facilities for importing goods, but the family returned before it went into action.

As the sun began to set, the dry desert air turned cold. The family worried about where to spend the night and how they would reach Michoacan, some 2,000 kilometers away. They were spotted by Francisco Olachea, a nurse with Voices from the Border, a humanitarian organization that works on both sides of the border.

Olachea remembers approaching the crying family outside customs and offering them a hand. They loaded the Corias’ belongings onto the NGO’s ambulance and a rented pickup truck paid for by Olachea and another NGO, Salvavision.

That night, Olachea took them to NANA Ministries, a Christian organization in the border town of Nogales. They were offered water, fruit, coffee, and pozole, a traditional Mexican broth made from corn kernels with meat and vegetables. The four spent the night in a small room.

Together, Voices from the Border and Salvavision raised just over $1,000 to buy the family bus tickets to Michoacan and send some belongings to Sonia Coria’s mother’s house in black garbage bags. What they couldn’t send was donated to the church where they had spent the night.

On Jan. 20, the family returned to Uruapan.

The four of them shared a small room with no door in the tin-roofed home belonging to Coria’s mother. The couple slept on the floor, and the kids shared a bed with no mattress. They later moved into an even smaller room at an aunt’s house.

Leon eventually found work in a car repair workshop. Coria got a job in a Chinese restaurant. The children complain about leaving the United States. Carlos asks for his bike; Naomi is forgetting her English.

In June, a 62-page letter from customs seen by Reuters informed them that their truck had been seized and had become property of the federal treasury. Also, that they owe the equivalent of $18,000 in customs duties for bringing in the F-150 to Mexico. — Reuters

TAIPEI — Taiwan opposition lawmakers survived a major recall election on Saturday, thwarting a bid to oust one-fifth of the island’s parliamentarians — a move supporters had hoped would send a message to China but that opponents called an assault on democracy.

All recall votes against 24 lawmakers from the largest opposition party, the Kuomintang (KMT), were rejected, according to live vote counts by Taiwanese media. The voting followed a campaign begun by civic groups.

The election result is a blow to President Lai Ching-te’s Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), which has missed an opportunity to reshape the Taiwan legislature and regain its majority.

The government said the island’s largest-ever recall vote had faced “unprecedented” election interference by China, which claims the democratically governed island as its own — a claim Taiwan rejects.

While Mr. Lai won last year’s presidential election, the DPP lost its legislative majority. The opposition has flexed its muscles since then to pass laws the government has opposed and impose budget cuts, complicating efforts to boost defense spending in particular.

KMT Chairman Eric Chu thanked Taiwan’s voters and called for Mr. Lai to apologize and reflect on his own governance.

“One should not lose the elections and then call for malicious recalls. One should not seek one-party dominance and destroy democracy,” he told a press briefing in Taipei. “Most importantly, the people of Taiwan chose stability and chose a government that gets things done, rather than political infighting.”

The political drama comes as China ramps up a military and diplomatic pressure campaign against Taiwan to assert its territorial claims. Mr. Lai has offered talks with Beijing many times but been rebuffed. It calls him a “separatist.”

The heated recall campaign has been closely watched by China, whose Taiwan Affairs Office and state media have repeatedly commented on the vote and used some of the same talking points as the KMT to lambaste Mr. Lai, Reuters reported last week.

The Taiwan Affairs Office said in a statement on Sunday that the voting results show that “the DPP’s political manipulation is completely contrary to the people’s will and is unpopular.”

Taipei said on Wednesday that Beijing was “clearly” trying to interfere in its democracy and it was up to Taiwan’s people to decide who should be removed from or stay in office.

Wu Szu-yao, secretary general of the DPP’s legislative caucus, said the party respected the voters’ decision with pleasure, adding that the result would only strengthen the DPP’s “anti-communist and pro-Taiwan” stance.

“This time we saw China was trying everything it could to intervene,” she told reporters at party headquarters in Taipei, pointing to Chinese military pressure and a disinformation campaign. “We must be more vigilant against their possible malicious intentions toward Taiwan.”

The groups seeking the recalls said theirs was an “anti-communist” movement, accusing the KMT of selling out Taiwan by sending lawmakers to China, not supporting defense spending and bringing chaos to parliament. The KMT rejects the accusations, denouncing Mr. Lai’s “dictatorship” and “green terror” — referring to the DPP’s party color.

The KMT campaigned against what it called a “malicious” recall that failed to respect the result of last year’s parliamentary election, saying they have simply been keeping lines of communication open with Beijing and exercising legitimate oversight of Mr. Lai’s government.

Recall votes for seven other KMT lawmakers will be held on Aug. 23. — Reuters

WASHINGTON — New orders for key US-manufactured capital goods unexpectedly fell in June while shipments of those products increased moderately, suggesting that business spending on equipment slowed considerably in the second quarter.

Front-loading of activity ahead of President Donald J. Trump’s aggressive and broad tariffs on imports resulted in business spending on equipment growing in the first quarter at the fastest pace since the third quarter of 2020.

While some of the tariff-related spending to avoid even higher goods prices has persisted, uncertainty over where tariff levels will eventually settle has prompted some businesses to hold off capital expenditures.

“This softness is consistent with the torrent of anecdotal reports in recent months that businesses are delaying their investment plans until they have more clarity on tariffs and the rest of the policy landscape,” said Stephen Stanley, chief US economist at Santander US Capital Markets.

Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, a closely watched proxy for business spending plans, dropped 0.7% last month after an upwardly revised 2.0% rebound in May, the Commerce department’s Census Bureau said on Friday.

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast that these so-called core capital goods orders would rise 0.2% after a previously reported 1.7% jump in May.

Shipments of core capital goods, which go into the calculation of the equipment spending component in the gross domestic product (GDP) report, increased 0.4% after rising 0.5% in May. Those figures are not adjusted for inflation.

Economists said the data, when accounting for inflation, suggested that business spending on equipment sharply moderated to low single-digit growth last quarter after surging at a 23.7% annualized rate in the first quarter. Some of them even projected a contraction. Unfilled core capital goods orders dipped after barely rising in May, consistent with economists’ expectations for weakness in the second half of this year.

“Nominal core shipments have risen steadily since late last year, but almost all of this increase has reflected higher capital goods prices rather than stronger volumes,” said Oliver Allen, senior US economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics.

“Underlying equipment investment probably will continue to grind lower, despite the tax advantages granted by the One Big Beautiful Bill, as uncertainty around trade policy will prompt many companies to keep capex projects on hold.”

The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office has estimated that the One Big Beautiful Bill’s tax cuts and spending provisions would add $3.4 trillion to the nation’s $36.2-trillion debt and only increase inflation-adjusted GDP by an average of 0.5% over 10 years.

Mr. Trump signed the bill into law earlier this month. The data did not change economists’ expectations that the US Federal Reserve would keep its benchmark overnight interest rate in the 4.25%-4.50% range at the end of a two-day policy meeting on Wednesday. Mr. Trump, who is pressuring the US central bank to resume its rate cuts, visited its headquarters in Washington on Thursday.

Referring to his discussion with Fed Chair Jerome Powell during the visit, Mr. Trump told reporters on Friday, “I think we had a very good meeting on interest rates.”

Stocks on Wall Street were trading higher. The dollar advanced versus a basket of currencies. US Treasury yields were largely flat.

BUSINESSES CAUTIOUS
A survey from S&P Global on Thursday showed its flash manufacturing PMI contracted in July for the first time since December. S&P Global noted that “any protectionist benefits of import tariffs were often outweighed by concerns over higher prices and rising costs.”

The Atlanta Fed is forecasting economic growth rebounded at a 2.4% annualized rate in the second quarter, largely reflecting a reversal in tariff-related import flows, which contributed to GDP contracting at a 0.5% pace in the first quarter.

The government is scheduled to publish its advance estimate of second-quarter GDP this week. Nondefense capital goods orders plunged 24.0% in June after vaulting 50.0% in May. Shipments of these orders declined 0.9% after being unchanged in May.

Orders for durable goods, items ranging from toasters to aircraft meant to last three years or more, decreased 9.3% as commercial aircraft bookings came off their lofty levels. That partially reversed the 16.5% surge notched in May.

Commercial aircraft orders tumbled 51.8% last month after soaring 231.6% in the prior month. They were in part boosted by an order for 150 commercial planes placed with Boeing by Qatar Airways during Mr. Trump’s visit to the Gulf Arab country in May.

Boeing reported on its website that it had received orders for 116 planes in June compared to 303 in May. The planemaker stands to benefit from trade deals being sought by the Trump administration.

“This may keep orders somewhat elevated, which should support production of planes,” said Veronica Clark, an economist at Citigroup. “Deliveries of planes internationally would boost GDP through exports rather than business investment.”

Orders for motor vehicles and parts increased 0.9% in June. Overall transportation equipment orders dropped 22.4% after jumping 48.5% in May. Orders excluding transportation rose 0.2% after gaining 0.6% in May. They were lifted by a 0.4% increase in machinery orders.

Demand for computers and electronic products increased 0.6%, slowing from the 1.7% increase in May. Orders for electrical equipment, appliances and components edged up 0.1%.

“Tariffs are pushing up the cost of investment, and policy uncertainty remains pervasive,” said Michael Pearce, deputy chief US economist at Oxford Economics. “That is consistent with business equipment investment declining outright in the second half of the year.” — Reuters