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Latest issues of BusinessWorld In-Depth focus on the Top 200 Consolidated Corporations in the Philippines and the local start-ups and MSMEs

After the groundbreaking BusinessWorld Virtual Economic Forum, which was held on Nov. 25 to 26, 2020, BusinessWorld In-Depth, BusinessWorld’s on-demand digital magazine, launches its two latest issues.

The fourth issue of BusinessWorld In-Depth, with the theme “Navigating the Now Normal”, features the Top 200 Consolidated Corporations in the Philippines. It is a special edition of BusinessWorld’s Top 1000 Corporations in the Philippines that contains the top 200 consolidated corporations based on consolidated audited financial statements.

This issue also includes six feature stories: profile and summary performance of the top 200 and the outlook of these firms for the succeeding year; outlook on the Philippine economy based on latest projections by financial institutions; the world’s search for a vaccine and what the global economy needs to do while waiting for said vaccine; the current conditions in the workplace and what firms must do to manage the workforce in the so-called “new normal”; and stories about the future of consumption.

Meanwhile, the fifth issue of BusinessWorld In-Depth banners the theme “Starting Up and Again: How the Country’s MSMEs and Startups are Bouncing Back from the COVID-19 Crisis”. It features the Philippine small businesses and startups’ stories of hardships and resilience during the COVID-19 pandemic, and gives hope for a brighter future for this important sector. 

Stories in this issue cover the Philippines MSMEs’ initial response to the effects of the community quarantine in March; the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic to the Philippine startup businesses as revealed by the results of the PwC Philippines’ survey done in April; valuable insights straight from respected entrepreneurs and startup owners about how they were able to rise above the challenges brought by the COVID-19 crisis; key takeaways from the “Rethinking Small Business Strategy and Support Post-COVID-19” webinar series, organized by Asian Institute of Management Rizalino S. Navarro Policy Center for Competitiveness and the Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung Philippines Office in October; and the Philippine startup sector powering up the new normal and the Philippine Startup Week happening this November, with an interview with Rene “Butch” Meily, president of QBO Innovation Hub.

The first three issues of BusinessWorld In-Depth featured BusinessWorld’s 1st Quarter and 2nd Quarter Banking Report, and the “COVID-19 and Work-from-Home Tales”.

To get copies of these BusinessWorld In-Depth issues, click this link https://bit.ly/33xTzM9 or contact 8535-9901 local 217 and 250.

Exports to fall short of gov’t target

THE OUTLOOK for the export industry remains grim amid the global economic slowdown. — PHILIPPINE STAR/EDD GUMBAN

By Jenina P. Ibañez, Reporter

EXPORT REVENUES will likely reach at least $100 billion in 2022, about a fifth lower than the projected $122 to $130.8 billion in the export development plan, the industry group said.

The Philippine Exporters Confederation, Inc. (Philexport) projects to generate at least $100 billion in goods and services exports by 2022, mostly because of the global economic slowdown caused by the coronavirus pandemic and calamities this year.

“Agri-based raw materials and equipment in Taal and typhoon-hit areas were destroyed,” Philexport President Sergio R. Ortiz-Luis, Jr. said in a mobile message, referring to the eruption of Taal Volcano in January and the recent typhoons causing infrastructure and agriculture damage in Luzon.

The Philippine Export Development Plan (PEDP) 2018 to 2022 signed by President Rodrigo R. Duterte is a roadmap prepared by the Trade department to increase goods and services export revenues by a compound annual growth rate of 8.89-9.96%.

However, Philexport said generating at least $100 billion in export revenues by 2022 will depend on the extent of government assistance for the industry, which has been battered by the pandemic. During the Arroyo administration, export support funds were released to help the industry’s recovery.   

Total merchandise exports were valued at $70 billion in 2019.

Year to date, exports declined by 13.8% to $45.87 billion by September compared with the same period in 2019, data from the Philippine Statistics Authority showed.

The Development Budget Coordination Committee (DBCC) expects a 16% contraction in exports this year.

The decline in exports has been attributed to the pandemic-related lockdowns and the global economic slowdown.

Around two-fifths of Philippine exporters found that they were affected by the first two months of the lockdown despite being allowed to operate, the Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) said.

Trade Secretary Ramon M. Lopez in a speech on Monday said that 42% of 235 exporters surveyed were “greatly affected by the pandemic.”

“This was because the lockdowns were implemented also by other nations and this had caused cancellation of orders for many Philippine exporters, which affected them financially,” he said.

Philexport, however, said that there has since been some improvement as lockdown restrictions were relaxed to spur economic activity.

“Overall, because of the improvement in our export performance so far, we are positive that this is the momentum we are waiting for,” Mr. Ortiz-Luis said.

“The new surge in COVID-19 cases in the US and EU can be a risk, but can also be a good break for us to fill in the supply gaps as they close some factories.”

The industry expects some supply chain disruptions, but also opportunities because of renewed lockdowns in the United States and the European Union (EU).

But Philexport said China and the Middle East are already increasing purchases, while the export sector can also take advantage of Philippine participation in the recently signed 15-country trade deal and its tariff perks in the US and EU.

Mr. Ortiz-Luis added that upskilling and digitalization among small- and medium-sized enterprises will also help export industries, along with market-building initiatives and continued financing for small businesses.

DTI’s Export Marketing Bureau (EMB) Director Senen M. Perlada in September said exports could take two years before returning to growth, noting that he does not expect the country to reach even the lower end of the export development target.

For full-year 2020, DTI-EMB said goods exports could drop by 28.6%, while overall exports could fall by 21.4%.

DTI-EMB, Philexport, and the Export Development Council are holding the National Export Congress online on Dec. 3. In the event titled “Digitalization Boost: Invigorating Exports in the New Normal,” speakers will talk about digitalization in e-commerce, logistics, manufacturing, and training.

Some PHL-based foreign companies plan to reduce operations, survey shows

A BIGGER percentage of foreign firms in the Philippines are considering reducing their operations as a result of the coronavirus pandemic compared with those in other Asian economies, a survey released on Monday said.

The Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA) and the American Chamber of Commerce in Indonesia in September conducted a survey on 264 firms that have operations in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) region —  majority of which have a primary office in the Philippines, Indonesia, and the United States.

The survey found that 11% of foreign firms in the Philippines plan to reduce operations or production, more than other countries included in the scope of the survey.

To compare, 8% of foreign firms surveyed in Indonesia said they plan to downsize operations, while 7% of Thailand-based firms said the same. About 6% of firms in Singapore, Vietnam, and Malaysia are also looking to reduce operations.

The number is smaller in East Asia, with only 3% of foreign firms surveyed in China saying they would trim operations, and 2% of firms in both Japan and South Korea are seeking to do the same.

However, most of the foreign firms surveyed are not planning to reduce operations at all, with 57% saying that they will not cut operations, while 19% said that they do not know if they will do so.

According to the survey, more than half of those with operations in China are not planning to move their operations to another country.

Among the 13.5% who are planning to leave China, more than 60% are looking to transfer to Vietnam when choosing among ASEAN countries. This was followed by Thailand at 23%, while the Philippines was tied with Malaysia at 15.4%.

ERIA Senior Economist Dionisius A. Narjoko said in the online launch event on Monday that foreign direct investments can be expected to be more capital and technology intensive.

“The key here is somehow investment in human capital in many countries that relied earlier on unskilled labor needs to be done,” he said.

More than 30% of foreign firms in ASEAN economies experienced a “moderately adverse” impact from the pandemic, while almost 30% said they experienced significantly negative impact.

“By far the greatest factor contributing to the negative impact is demand, with 78% of the respondents citing it as the main reason for decreased output/revenue/sales,” the report said.

“In addition to demand shock, several respondents identify lockdown and travel restrictions as the main cause of the difficulties. This affected firms in various ways, ranging from the inability to send staff to project sites to the inability to acquire key goods (for instance, laptops for staff to work at home). Others note significant slowdowns with customs and border crossings.”

More than 70% of respondents said it will take at least the second quarter of 2021 or longer before business activities stabilize.

The firms also named the top issues that ASEAN should work on to support business recovery, including immigration rules and permits, the free movement of people, and tax incentives. — Jenina P. Ibañez

Analysts’ November inflation rate estimates (2020)

THE headline inflation rate in November likely quickened as a recent spate of typhoons pushed the prices of food and agricultural products higher, economists said. Read the full story.

Analysts’ November inflation rate estimates (2020)

Inflation likely picked up in Nov. — poll

FARMERS try to recover whatever they can after rice fields in Cagayan Valley were flooded when Typhoon Ulysses swept through the region in November. — PHILIPPINE STAR/ MICHAEL VARCAS

THE headline inflation rate in November likely quickened as a recent spate of typhoons pushed the prices of food and agricultural products higher, economists said. 

A BusinessWorld poll of 13 analysts conducted last week yielded a median estimate of 2.7%, near the low end of the 2.4-3.2% forecast range of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) and well within the 2-4% target for the year.

If realized, the median estimate will be faster than the 2.5% logged in October and the 1.3% seen in November 2019.

Analysts’ November inflation rate estimates (2020)

The November inflation report will be released by the Philippine Statistics Authority on Friday (Dec. 4).

Typhoons Rolly and Ulysses swept through Luzon in November, causing heavy floods and damaging crops, homes and infrastructure. Analysts said the recent calamities and its impact on the agriculture sector may have driven a faster increase in commodity prices.

“We think that the typhoon-induced food price upticks, particularly in the Luzon area, can augment the monthly headline inflation,” UnionBank of the Philippines, Inc. Chief Economist Ruben Carlo O. Asuncion said.

Crop damage from typhoons Rolly and Ulysses reached P5.79 billion and P6.72 billion, respectively, based on latest data from the Agriculture department.

Another upside risk to inflation is the continued rise in crude oil prices in the world market, analysts said.

“Global crude oil prices rose to its highest in 8.5 months that led to some upward adjustments in local fuel pump prices and some pickup in energy prices, as well as input costs for various businesses,” Rizal Commercial Banking Corp. Chief Economist Michael L. Ricafort said.

Last week saw crude oil prices rising to their highest levels since March, according to Reuters. In the local market, prices of gasoline, diesel, and kerosene have increased by around P0.10, P1.40, and P0.30 per liter cumulatively in November, based on data from the Department of Energy.

Manila Electric Co.’s power rates inched down by P0.0395 per kilowatt-hour (kWh) to P8.5105 kWh in November, due to a reduction in generation charges.

“Transport prices will also likely remain elevated as will utilities and education as Filipinos will see a one-off increase in expenditures during the switch to online classes,” ING Bank N.V. Manila Senior Economist Nicholas Antonio T. Mapa said.

Increased household spending ahead of the Christmas season may have contributed to the quicker inflation rate, Asian Institute of Management Economist John Paolo R. Rivera said.

“A much faster inflation is expected since we are drawing close to the holiday season, 13th month pay and bonuses have been released recently driving private consumption upwards, but not as fast as pre-pandemic situations,” Mr. Rivera said.

Analysts said the inflation outlook remains benign, given the BSP some room to remain accommodative if needed.

The central bank expects inflation to average 2.4% this year. The consumer price index rose 2.5% as of October year to date.

“The relatively benign inflation environment may still justify further monetary easing measures, going forward, especially by way of further cut in banks’ reserve requirement ratio (RRR),” Mr. Ricafort said.

The Monetary Board is authorized to slash up to 400 basis points (bps) in the reserve requirement of lenders this year. So far, it already trimmed big banks’ RRR by 200 bps to 12%, while those of thrift and rural banks were brought down by 100 bps to three percent and two percent, respectively.

“The latest BSP forecast for 2020 is 2.4% average inflation. As long the November figure does not result in meaningful deviation from this, it should have negligible impact to the current monetary policy stance of the BSP,” said Alvin Joseph A. Arogo, vice-president and head of research at Philippine National Bank.

The central bank unexpectedly cut key interest rates by another 25 bps in November, citing the need to further stimulate the sluggish economy. This brought down the overnight reverse repurchase, lending, and deposit facilities to record lows of 2%, 2.5%, and 1.5% respectively.

Cumulative easing this year reached 200 bps already, but the BSP said they still have the policy space for further measures once the need arises.

“Looking ahead, the BSP stands ready to deploy its full arsenal of instruments as needed in fulfillment of its mandate to maintain price and financial stability conducive to sustainable economic growth,” BSP Governor Benjamin E. Diokno said on Nov. 19.

The Monetary Board will have its last policy-setting meeting for this year on Dec. 17. — Luz Wendy T. Noble

10-month borrowings reach P3.2T

THE government’s total gross borrowings reached P3.224 trillion in the first 10 months of 2020, breaching its P3-trillion full-year target after receiving a new round of cash advances from the central bank.

Data from the Bureau of the Treasury (BTr) showed year-to-date gross borrowings more than tripled from P967.56 billion in the same 10 months last year.

The latest tally was 7.5% higher than the P3-trillion program for 2020, after the provisional advances worth P540 billion from the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) were remitted in October.

Borrowings in the first 10 months were 0.44% higher than the P3.21 trillion in combined gross borrowings recorded from 2016 to 2019.

In October, overall gross borrowings jumped 1,219% to P663.21 billion from P50.27 billion in the same month year ago. Around 96% of the borrowings were from local lenders.

Domestic borrowings rose 1,244% to P639.04 billion in October from P47.53 billion the year before, after short-term loans from the BSP worth P540 billion were remitted.

On Oct. 1, the BSP’s Monetary Board approved the new tranche of provisional advances, days after the government repaid the P300 billion worth of government securities issued through a repurchase agreement.

Local borrowings also included P69.05 billion in Treasury bonds (T-bonds) and P30 billion in Treasury bills (T-bills) issued via the BTr’s weekly auctions.

The Treasury made repayments of P329 million that month, taking the net domestic borrowings to P638.714 billion, which went up 1,260%.

External borrowings hit P24.17 billion in October, a reversal from the net redemption worth P1.17 billion a year ago. A net redemption occurs when more debts have been repaid than new debts incurred.

Of which, program loans amounted to P19.75 billion, while project loans stood at P4.42 billion. Less the P4.79 billion repayments made that month, net foreign debt reached P19.38 billion.

From January to October, local borrowings accounted for 82.2% of the total.

Year-to-date local gross borrowings reached P2.649 trillion, nearly quadruple the P673.805 billion the year prior.

Broken down, short-term loans from the central bank totaled P840 billion; funds raised through retail Treasury bonds (RTBs) reached P827.12 billion; T-bonds issued hit P561.91 billion; and T-bills stood at P420.31 billion.

It settled P698.9 billion in debt repayments in those 10 months, including the P300 billion of debt paid back to the BSP.

Foreign debt grew by 95.6% to P574.435 billion. This consisted of P364.64 billion in program loans, P23.73 billion in project loans, P118.74 billion of funds raised through the issuance of dollar-denominated global bonds, and P67.33 billion in euro-denominated bonds.

The Treasury made P128 billion of repayments during the period to bring the net foreign borrowings to P446.46 billion, up 160%.

Minus all the repayments made, overall net borrowings hit P2.706 trillion in those 10 months, up 221% year on year.

The budget deficit narrowed to P351 billion in September, but the nine-month shortfall was still 194% higher than the P879 billion from a year ago on the back of falling revenues and rising pandemic expenses.

The government runs a budget deficit as it spends more than the revenue it generates. The budget gap rose by 24.56% to P61.4 billion in October taking the 10-month shortfall to P940.6 billion, up 170% year on year.

The fiscal deficit is projected to hit 9.6% of gross domestic product this year. — Beatrice M. Laforga

Megawide expects landports to boost foot traffic

By Denise A. Valdez, Senior Reporter

MEGAWIDE Construction Corp. is bullish on building more transportation terminals and is open to working with mall operators as it continues to garner high foot traffic despite the coronavirus pandemic.

While traditional malls are suffering from fewer goers because of the health crisis, Megawide said its land transportation terminals or “landports” are performing relatively better in the current scenario.

Similar to airports — another business that Megawide is engaged in — landports are facilities that mainly cater to transportation needs, but are levelled up through the integration of a formal ticketing system and commercial and retail establishments.

Megawide currently operates one landport, the Parañaque Integrated Terminal Exchange (PITX), which caters to Calabarzon residents going to and from Metro Manila.

As parts of the country remain under stay-at-home protocols, about 56,000 to 57,000 passengers pass through PITX every day. This is only about a 7% dip from the 60,000 daily passengers the facility used to record pre-pandemic.

This could be a bright spot for retail and commercial operators that have suffered a 30% to 50% drop in mall foot traffic, based on third quarter data from property consultancy firm Colliers International Philippines.

“What we’re creating is really an infrastructure development… We can bring in the traffic and work with the other developers such as mall operators,” Megawide Chairman and CEO Edgar B. Saavedra said in a virtual briefing on Friday

“The core business of Megawide, especially with this transport oriented development, is you manage the traffic… But you need other developments such as malls, commercials, and sometimes residential developments and office developments, to support the transport facilities,” he added.

Megawide noted that unlike ordinary malls where bus bays and transport terminals come as support to the commercial facility, Megawide’s approach to the business is the other way around.

“Even before (the pandemic) happened, we were very confident already about the business model of PITX, because unlike a traditional mall where there’s a lot of people during weekends, in PITX it’s on regular days,” Megawide Director Manuel Louie B. Ferrer said.

Megawide is currently planning a P5-billion phased expansion of PITX, which will be partly supported by the P4.36 billion it raised from a preferred shares offering last week.

The company is also looking to build more landports across the country after having been approached by about half a dozen local government units (LGUs) for a similar project in their cities.

“You know in the Philippines, most of our cities don’t have proper transportation facilities like terminals. Traffic management is not properly designed. So we’ve been approached by a couple of LGUs,” Mr. Saavedra said.

In the nine months ended September, landport operations contributed P552 million to Megawide’s revenues, 167% higher from a year ago as its full operations started in the latter half of 2019.

Megawide gets the bulk of its revenues from construction contracts, which fell 30% to P7.41 billion in the nine months.

However, Mr. Saavedra said the company’s order book is better than pre-pandemic, as it now stands at P45 billion to P46 billion against the first quarter’s P44 billion. This does not include yet the P28-billion Malolos-Clark Railway Project that the company bagged in September.

“One competitive advantage of Megawide, apart from us being particularly integrated, is we also have in-house capability… We can do infrastructure, we can do vertical, we can do horizontal, water treatment plants. All these technical projects, we can also pursue,” Megawide Head of Corporate Finance Jez G. Dela Cruz said.

Shares in Megawide at the stock exchange closed at P9.47 each on Friday, down 21 centavos or 2.27% from the last session.

Cooperation — and smiles — are needed to lift the travel industry

By Zsarlene B. Chua, Senior Reporter

IT’S no secret that global tourism is one of the industries that has borne the brunt of the current COVID-19 (coronavirus disease 2019) pandemic, with health and safety protocols and blanket quarantines lassoing in the once growing industry.

The grim reality is that according to the World Travel and Tourism Council (WTTC) — a global forum of business communities across the globe that works with governments to raise awareness about the importance of travel and tourism — over 142 million travel and tourism jobs have been lost, and the $3.6 trillion in global travel and tourism gross domestic product (GDP) has gone down the drain. And the world stands to lose more if the situation does not improve by the end of the year, said Tiffany Misrahi, vice-president for policy at the WTTC, during the recently held virtual BusinessWorld Economic Forum.

Grim outlook notwithstanding, Ms. Misrahi noted that the current situation allows the industry to “build back stronger and more resilient than before,” by coordinating public and private approaches which include continued government support for the sector and the need to enhance “existing safe and seamless traveller journey experience.”

“We continue to see the Asia Pacific Region and China to have very strong policies that are enabling speedy recovery but ultimately it will require a coordinated approach and the reality is no one country can do it on its own,” she said.

As the world tries to restart and recover from a pandemic, which has sickened more than 62 million people as of this writing, an expert said that the focus should be on encouraging travellers to come back through promotions rather than giving businesses more loans to keep their businesses afloat.

“I would still go for a million [pesos] of business than a million [pesos] of loans because if you fund tourism establishments and they have no customers, the money will be a sum cost, but if you fund tourists, that will not be their last purchase in that establishment,” Alexander Cabrera, chairman and senior partner at PriceWaterhouseCoopers Philippines, said in the same forum.

He explained that similar strategies are in place in Taiwan and Japan where tourists pay for vouchers which they can use in tourism establishments as a way to revitalize the industry.

Mr. Cabrera also suggested the use of seaplanes for tourists to around several Philippine islands.

“Seaplanes provide tourists the ability to go around quickly and even cheaply because you can do all these things… these are some things that can be maximized,” he said, before adding that the Philippines’ more than 7,000 islands is a main differentiator of the country, as having more islands to tour (preferably using seaplanes) can make tourists stay longer in the country.

“The real way to promote the Philippines is to emphasize our natural assets, and there’s so many of them outside the well-known destinations and that can certainly increase the number of days they stay in the Philippines,” Mr. Cabrera said.

Current demand for travel is going towards “nature destinations” and “off-the-beaten paths,” according to Ms. Misrahi, something the country may stand a chance to capitalize on.

On air travel, AirAsia Philippines CEO Ricardo “Ricky” Isla said that “pricing is going to support air travel as far as opening more destinations in the domestic front.”

This is why AirAsia recently held several promotions, including a Manila to Cebu flight for P1,800 to P2,000 and a P4,999 Fly-All-You-Can pass for a year for domestic travel.

Mr. Isla is also confident that the holidays, especially in December, will “triple passenger capacity.”

“December is peak season and we know we need to open more price-driven promotions… Hopefully we’ll be able to sustain this momentum of the Christmas holidays to January next year,” he added.

Traveller confidence is also important as according to Ms. Misrahi, travellers “want to see a consistent and coherent approach in how issues are tackled and addressed,” a point Mr. Cabrera agreed with, as a point of concern with promoting the Philippines as a destination is the question of do travellers “feel safe going to the country and are there sufficient medical facilities to take care of them if they get sick?”

Whether the industry recovers next year is still up in the air but Mr. Cabrera said that there’s a need for Filipinos to keep smiling and not lose their spirit despite the pandemic because “the Filipino smile is actually a tourist attraction.”

SEC warns against two unauthorized investment groups

THE SECURITIES and Exchange Commission (SEC) is warning the public against engaging with groups that solicit investments from the public without a license to sell securities.

In advisories on its website, the corporate regulator flagged Cashdrop/Cashdrop Online Store and Lokal.Plate Corp. as unauthorized operators of investment schemes.

It advised the public “not to invest or stop investing in any investment scheme being offered by (Cashdrop and Lokal.Plate)” and to “exercise caution in dealing with any individuals or group of persons soliciting investments for and on behalf of it.”

In the case of Cashdrop, the SEC said the group has no record of registration with the commission. All it has is a business name registration given by the Department of Trade and Industry.

“Nonetheless, Cashdrop is not authorized to solicit investments from the public since it has not secured prior registration and/or license from the commission as prescribed (by the Securities Regulation Code),” it said.

The group offers packages that supposedly allowed investors to double their money in 15 days.

Lokal.Plate runs a similar scheme and requires passive investments from the public. The group offers franchising for a supposed food service provider called “Lokalplate”, where orders are made through a digital link that franchisees must promote.

The group promises a 15% to 20% earning for every ordered food, and a commission of P3,000 for every recruited investor.

Like Cashdrop, Lokal.Plate is not authorized to solicit investments from the public, the SEC said. The group is a registered corporation, but does not have the secondary license to allow the operation of an investment scheme.

The SEC noted that Lokal.Plate’s articles of incorporation explicitly says it “shall not solicit, accept or take investments/placements from the public neither shall it issue investment contracts.”

For violating the Securities Regulation Code, the people behind Cashdrop and Lokal.Plate may be penalized with a P5-million fine, a 21-year imprisonment, or both. — Denise A. Valdez

Lenders, tech firms adjust to e-payments shift

FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS are boosting their capabilities to ensure they can accommodate the needs of consumers and merchants in their shift to digital payments amid the coronavirus pandemic.

While systems put in place by regulators and financial players to facilitate digital transactions have helped, there is still a lot to work on as Filipinos embrace digital transactions, stakeholders said at the BusinessWorld Virtual Economic Forum last week.

“One-third of digital buyers during the pandemic are first- time users. More than half of them are in non-Metro areas. 95% of them plan to continue using it even beyond the pandemic,” Mamerto E. Tangonan, digital payments expert, said at the forum on Thursday.

At first, the “radical shift” was only done out of necessity to survive and thrive given the restriction measures during the lockdown, said Paolo Azzola, chief operating officer at PayMaya Philippines, Inc.

He said government initiatives also drove the rise in e-payments, such as state subsidy programs and the use of online payments for government transactions.

“Consumers opened e-wallet accounts at an unprecedented pace. MSMEs (micro, small and medium enterprises) are among the hardest hit, and to survive, many went online, through social media, messaging apps, e-commerce, and building their own sites and apps,” he said.

Martha M. Sazon, president and chief executive officer of Mynt, the operator of GCash, said the emergence of digital payments during the lockdown paved the way for the rise of “social sellers” apart from merchant sellers that tap online financial services in doing business.

“People are starting as consumers… and later on, they slowly evolve into becoming a full-fledged business owner in our system,” Ms. Sazon said.

Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) data showed 4.1 million digital accounts were opened in bank accounts and nonbank electronic money issuers during the lockdown.

PESONet, the electronic fund transfer service under the National Retail Payment System that facilitates batch transactions credited by the end of a banking day, saw transaction volumes surge by 264% year on year as of September. InstaPay, its retail counterpart which allows real-time fund transfers for transactions less than P50,000, also saw transactions grow by 758% to 30.3 million from 3.5 million.

People’s familiarity with smartphones also allowed for their gradual shift to e-payments, Ms. Sazon said.

“You don’t have to learn another skill set because you are so familiar with telco… All you need is a cellphone and internet, and you can transact,” she said.

ADAPTING TO DIGITAL
However, BDO Capital & Investment Corp. President Eduardo V. Francisco said many of their customers appear to be more of “digital adopters” than “digital natives.”

“We have a lot of clients who still want to go to the branch managers even if they are in face masks… [They are] not comfortable with cellphones,” Mr. Francisco said.

He said the virus outbreak has accelerated “forced digitalization” for some consumers, saying only 15% of their roughly 12 million bank clients had e-banking accounts prior to the pandemic.

This has risen to about 40% of the total customer base to date, he said. These clients do not only use their online banking facility to check their balances but to make transactions as well.

For service providers, the pandemic also stress-tested lenders’ capabilities to operate despite restriction measures, said ING Bank N.V. Manila Country Manager Hans B. Sicat.

“One thing we learned is that we can keep the bank running 24/7 literally from home. We haven’t really had the need to go to the office as part of the operations,” Mr. Sicat said.

He added that service providers should boost security measures to “ensure trust in the system is on the highest level” as e-payments gain traction.

Moving forward, stakeholders said there is still much to be done for the industry to make digital financial transactions more efficient.

Mr. Tangonan said there is a need to expand electronic payment infrastructures to also include other case points such as bills payment and account-to-account payments for digital commerce.

He said players should also target to expand their services to unserved and underserved market segments.

“We need to bridge those customers who are still using cash… and one way of doing that is giving them access points even in non-Metro areas where they can exchange or deposit their cash into their accounts,” Mr. Tangonan said.

GCash’s Ms. Sazon said the national ID system could help them in reaching more Filipinos as the Know-Your-Customer process remains a challenge in onboarding new clients.

“More transactions will spur the economy and of course we’re all for that,” ING’s Mr. Sicat said.

The BSP targets to have 70% of Filipino adults already owning a formal account with financial institutions by 2023. As of 2019, only 29% of adults are financially included, leaving 51.2 million still unbanked.

A study by the Better Than Cash Alliance found the volume of e-payments in the country made up 10% of the total transactions in 2018 from just 1% in 2013. By value, e-payments comprised 20% of the total in 2018, also growing from the 8% seen in 2013.

The BSP wants e-payments to make up 50% of total transactions in the country both in volume and value by 2023. — Luz Wendy T. Noble

‘Imagination machine’ seen as next step in firms’ post-pandemic planning

THE PHASE of trying to rebound from the coronavirus pandemic is still ongoing for most businesses, but a key to make the most of the disruption is to start reimagining for a new future.

Following months of reacting to the immediate impact of the outbreak and continuing efforts to return to regular operations, the next phase for companies must be learning the new patterns of consumer behavior and planning for reinvention, said Anthony Oundjian, managing director and senior partner at Boston Consulting Group (BCG) in the Philippines.

“It’s probably going to take time to get the vaccine, so the next six to 12 months may pretty much look like right now. (That means we) make sure that our employees are safe and we can have positive cash flow. But then, it’s really time to think about the long term… It’s time to think what kind of changes in consumer behavior will last beyond this crisis, and to adapt to this new normal,” Mr. Oundjian said at the BusinessWorld Virtual Economic Forum last week.

He introduced the idea of building an “imagination machine”, which is an active effort to look ahead after realizing that something needs to change.

He said a common trigger for business reinvention is the quest for a surprise, which involves spotting accidents, anomalies and analogies and developing an idea out of patterns.

Other ways to reimagine a business are exploring to find new pain points, creating an open environment to share ideas, and codifying successful practices to form new systems.

“I think some of the most successful models in the last few years… came from a dream or ambition. In our day-to-day, especially before the crisis when we’re all so busy, we tend to forget about this, to not step back, not take the time to dream and invent. Today, when we have a bit more time when we’re home, that is probably something we could do,” Mr. Oundjian said.

He noted that in the Philippines, where the lockdown was implemented sooner and is stricter than in other countries, there are new business models that thrived better than in other jurisdictions.

“Very early, we went to a very strict lockdown and it was a very long lockdown. I think it has triggered stronger changes in behavior… I think the development of social commerce in the Philippines has been stronger than in many markets precisely because of… the strictness of this lockdown,” Mr. Oundjian said.

Social commerce is the selling of products or services through social media platforms, versus the traditional e-commerce that use designated sites or platforms for transactions.

At the beginning of the lockdown, Mr. Oundjian said he only expected the likes of Lazada and Shopee to be the first or the only winners of the shift of online shopping. But he observed a lot of transactions done through messaging applications, social networking sites, and other peer-to-peer platforms, supported by e-wallets.

“You have hundreds of thousands of micro-entrepreneurs now starting to make a living from this. I believe this is a strong space, and it’s going to get organized and people will scale up,” he said.

“They’ll go from selling their fresh crops from home to being a dark kitchen and (opening) more points of presence in the country. I think we’re at the beginning of a movement… and it’s a very inclusive movement (that is) unlocking a lot of possibilities for the country,” he added.

While the Philippines’ growth trajectory has been reversed this year — the economy contracted 11.5% in the third quarter — Mr. Oundjian believes the country will return to its path of a rising middle class for the long term.

“We’re going back to this trajectory of growth and opportunities for Filipinos, because the fundamentals are still there. We’re still a young population, we’re still very digital, we’re resourceful. So we’re going to get back. The question is how quickly and how much,” he said.

“When I see where we are today and the resilience that we’ve demonstrated, I’m quite excited to see companies move on and embrace this phase of reimagination,” he also said. — Denise A. Valdez

Silent Film Festival adapts to the time of COVID

FOR the first time since its inception in 2007, the International Silent Film Festival is moving online, forgoing live music accompaniment and using original recorded scores from Filipino musicians instead.

The festival, touted as Asia’s first silent film festival, will run from Dec. 4 to 6 via www.iwatchmore.com and the 10 films from four countries will only be available at specific time slots.

From Japan come six animated shorts taken from the Japanese Animation Classics collection, digitized and subtitled in English by the National Film Archive of Japan (NFAJ). The six animated films include the oldest existing Japanese animation, The Dull Sword (1917), a four-minute short directed by Junichi Kouchi. 1917 is considered the birth year of domestic animation in Japan.

The Dull Sword tells the story of a samurai who tests the new sword he purchased from a swordsmith called “Dull Smith” by attacking a blind person.

The other Japanese Animation Classics to be shown are Burglars of “Baghdad” Castle (1926) The Animal Olympics (1928), Two Worlds (1929), Old Man Goichi (1931), and A Day after a Hundred Years (1933).

The Japanese entries will be scored by the HJH Composers Collective. The group is composed of Hiroko Nagai, Jordan Peralta, and Harold Andre Santos, contemporary music composers with a diverse musical palette of pop, classical, folk, jazz, electronic music, and traditional Philippine and Japanese music. They frequently collaborate with other artists to create music for film, theater, dance, and visual arts.

The Japanese silent films will be screened on Dec. 4, 6 p.m.

From Italy come two films: The Silent Killer narrates a mother’s journey home amidst the COVID-19 (coronavirus disease 2019) pandemic. This story alternates with interviews with scientists, politicians, ordinary people, and COVID-19 chronicles from all over the world. The film is scored by Franco Eco. It will be shown on Dec. 5, 11 a.m.

At 6 p.m. on the same day, Italian film Malombra (1917) by Carmina Gallone will be shown. Directly inspired by a gothic novel set on the shores of the Como Lake, the film’s protagonist, Marina, goes to her uncle’s castle where she discovers a bunch of letters. The film will be scored with original music composed and performed by classical pianist Raul Sunico.

From France comes La Manoir de la peur (The Manor of Fear), a 1927 film by Alfred Machin.

This silent film noir narrates the story of a young man who investigates a series of crimes in his village. Michael Mark Guevarra, one the country’s top saxophone players, will be scoring this film. The film will be shown on Dec. 6, 11 a.m.

Finally, from Germany comes Metropolis (1927) by Fritz Lang on Dec. 6, at 6 p.m. The science fiction classic combines visual power with a love story around the reconciliation of labor and capital. Alyana Cabral (aka Teenage Granny) along with Kent Pesito, Miguel Nuñez, Jon Olarte, Joee Mejias, Tristan Ortega, and Kiko Nuñez will score the film.

Aside from the film screenings, the International Silent Film Festival will also be holding a webinar on film archiving on Dec. 4, 3 p.m. Speakers will include film archiving experts from Japan, France, Italy, and Germany and will be moderated by filmmaker and archivist Clodualdo del Mundo, Jr. The webinar is open to film institutions, schools, and the general public and those interested may register via https://zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_YdJxtJSeRdyiagGXwZNQdQ?fbclid=IwAR3wocC8pBgHHetr70O8JxsHrpYXBdruqdOtxM9VVM-p6dMGcAWNY7tI0Is.

The International Silent Film Festival is organized by the Embassy of France to the Philippines, the Japan Foundation Manila, the Philippine Italian Association, the Goethe Institut, and the Film Development Council of the Philippines, in partnership with iWatchMore.com. — ZBC