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Philippines posts record 33,169 COVID infections

PHILIPPINE STAR/ MICHAEL VARCAS

By Kyle Aristophere T. Atienza, Reporter

PRESIDENT Rodrigo R. Duterte might further tighten the lockdown in the Philippine capital and nearby cities, according to the presidential palace, as the country posted record coronavirus infections of more than 33,000 on Monday.

The Department of Health (DoH) reported 33,169 cases on Monday, probably spurred by the highly mutated Omicron variant, bringing the total to 3 million. The death toll hit 52,293 after 145 more patients died, while recoveries increased by 3,725 to 2.79 million it said in a bulletin.

The agency said 46% of 73,234 samples on Jan. 8 tested positive for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), way above the 5% threshold set by the World Health Organization.

There were 157,526 active cases, 4,994 of which did not show symptoms, 147,912 were mild, 2,858 were moderate, 1,461 were severe and 301 were critical.

DoH said 99% of the cases occurred from Dec. 28 to Jan. 10. The top regions with new cases in the past two weeks were Metro Manila with 18,535, Calabarzon with 7,443 and Central Luzon with 3,403 cases. It added that 2% of the deaths occurred in November, 12% in October, 36% in September and 15% in August.

The Health department said 86 duplicates had been removed from the tally, 73 of which were recoveries and two were deaths, adding that 124 recoveries were relisted as deaths. Ten laboratories failed to submit data on Jan. 8.

Also on Monday, the OCTA Research Group said the positivity rate in Metro Manila had exceeded 50%, which could mean that cases in the region were “close to the peak.”

“There is hope that the positivity rate is already stalling or in other words, it might be close to the peak,” OCTA fellow Fredegusto P. David told CNN Philippines.

“If it starts to peak, we may already start to see a downward trend next week,” he said. “But this is all preliminary. It is still early to say if it is already peaking.” Mr. David said the country might record as many 40,000 daily infections this month.

“If we hit 40,000 to 50,000, this would be close to the worst case because after that, we would be losing visibility already,” he said. “We won’t even see 100,000 cases because we’re only testing about 70,000.”

Testing czar Vivencio B. Dizon apologized for the slow turnout of test results, saying more people were getting tested amid the surge.

He also said a number of medical and laboratory technicians have caught the coronavirus. “They need to isolate themselves and they could not report for work,” he said in Filipino. “That’s our biggest challenge right now.”

The country’s pandemic task force has shortened to five days the quarantine period for coronavirus-stricken health workers who are fully vaccinated and do not show symptoms.

Mr. Dizon said the government might shorten the quarantine period for more people. “For now, the policy is only for healthcare workers.”

“Our experts are studying what other countries have been doing, like the United States and Europe, which shortened the isolation especially for vaccinated people,” he said. “That is being studied.”

Meanwhile, the government might raise the coronavirus alert in Metro Manila to Level 4 once its health system reaches the threshold, Cabinet Secretary Karlo Alexei B. Nograles told the ABS-CBN News Channel.

The government would not hesitate to raise the alert level if healthcare use tops 70%, he said. “We continue to manage the situation so we do not reach the threshold. That means making sure our healthcare is well enough to accommodate those who need to be hospitalized.”

The capital region is under the third of a five-scale alert system until Jan. 15.

Mr. Nograles said an area with high levels of virus growth, average daily attack and healthcare use rates will be placed under Alert Level 4. The metro’s first two metrics are high, while healthcare use was moderate, he added.

On Monday, the Health department said 38% of intensive care units (ICU) in the Philippines were occupied, while 41% of isolation and ward beds had been used. In Metro Manila, 52% of ICUs and 54% of isolation beds were occupied, while 67% of ward beds had been used.

Health advocates have been urging the government to raise the quarantine level in Metro Manila and boost containment measures to contain the surge probably spurred by the highly contagious Omicron variant, which they said could exhaust the country’s health system.

State decisions on quarantine have failed to take into account health workers, who are the pillars of the country’s pandemic response, said Joshua L. San Pedro, co-convenor of the Coalition for People’s Right to Health.

Mr. San Pedro, a doctor, said the government had yet to consider the availability of health workers in setting the alert level for an area.

“With the health system chronically understaffed and far from the ideal health worker-to-population ratio, we are now seeing the effect of that shortage when those who are going on duty are being afflicted by what is likely a very infectious variant,” he said in a Facebook Messenger chat.

He added that instead of addressing the shortage, DoH has “resorted to shortening quarantine and isolation periods, which might put more staff and patients at risk of potential outbreaks in facilities.”

“Two years and two surges later, the gov’t does not seem to have learned anything,” said Gene A. Nisperos, a board member of the Community Medicine Development Foundation, Inc.

“Even the metrics it uses, which was not much helpful in the past two surges, is the same,” he said in a Messenger chat, noting that very little was done when cases were declining about the shortage in health workers.

“The problem of severe understaffing remains unaddressed,” the doctor said.

Roldan Clumia, president of the St. Luke’s Medical Center Employees Association, said in a Messenger chat many health workers had yet to receive their special risk allowances promised by the government.

In a letter dated Jan. 10, the Private Hospital Workers Alliance of the Philippines urged the Health department to cover all health workers for benefits provided by law.

Senators say it’s too late to push changes to 1987 Constitution

PHILIPPINE STAR/PAOLO ROMERO

A PROPOSAL at the House of Representatives to lift presidential term limits through a constituent assembly is too late, senators said on Monday.

“Parliamentary ethics dictates that I do not question the motive of a fellow legislator, but what I can say is, it’s too late in the day,” Senate President Vicente C. Sotto III said in a Viber message.

“They should try that in the 19th Congress. Good luck,” added the lawmaker, who is running for vice-president next year.

Pampanga Rep. Aurelio D. Gonzales, Jr., a member of the ruling PDP-Laban party on Friday proposed the charter change, noting that the Philippine president should have a term of five years with a chance of one reelection. The 1987 Constitution bars the president, whose term runs for six years, from running for reelection.

“I don’t think there’s still time to tackle any measure that involves charter change,” Senator Panfilo M. Lacson, Sr. said in a Viber message in mixed English and Filipino. “If in the previous years it did not happen, it especially won’t happen now that we have only nine session days left not including the joint session of Congress to convene as the National Canvassing Board for President and vice-president.” 

Mr. Lacson is running for president in tandem with Mr. Sotto. Congressional sessions will resume on Jan. 17 and end on Feb. 4. Filipinos will choose President Rodrigo R. Duterte’s replacement on May 9. Under Mr. Gonzales’s proposal, Mr. Duterte will be banned from running for any post after his term ends this year. 

Senator Franklin M. Drilon said the proposal should be ignored.

The push comes after the ruling party asked the Commission on Elections (Comelec) to reopen the filing of the certificates of candidacy for this year’s elections. It said the printing of ballots should not proceed pending lawsuits involving certain candidates and party-lists. 

Some lawmakers have said this could delay the May elections and unnecessarily extend Mr. Duterte’s term. The election body would soon address the party’s plea, Comelec spokesman James B. Jimenez has said.

PDP-Laban, which is headed by Mr. Duterte, does not have presidential and vice-presidential candidates this year after Senator Ronald M. dela Rosa and his running mate Senator Christopher Lawrence T. Go quit the race. 

The party has been split by a dispute between a faction led by Energy Secretary Alfonso G. Cusi and another headed by Senator and boxing champion Emmanuel “Manny” D. Pacquiao, Sr., who is running for president.

The boxer will run under the Progressive Movement for the Devolution of Initiatives, along with party-list lawmaker Jose L. Atienza, Jr.

Meanwhile, Mr. Pacquiao promised that health workers would get a minimum wage of P50,000 if he gets elected.

In a statement, he said he would ask Congress to legislate a new salary standardization bill for health workers. He would also order the National Wages and Productivity Commission and Regional Tripartite Wages and Productivity Boards to revamp the minimum wage for private health professionals and increase their gross monthly pay to at least P50,000.   

This would increase progressively and make their salaries competitive with their overseas counterparts, Mr. Pacquiao said.

“This P50,000 per month minimum wage is still very low if we compare it with the salaries offered by other countries, but it might be enough to convince some of them not to leave their families behind,” he added. — Alyssa Nicole O. Tan

Several Consular Offices, passport centers to suspend operations due to coronavirus surge among staff

DFA.GOV.PH

PASSPORT processing and other consular services of the Department of Foreign Affairs (DFA) will be affected by the temporary closure of several offices within the period Jan. 10 to 20 due to a rising number of coronavirus cases among personnel.

“During the temporary suspension of operations, no passport or Apostille applications will be processed or released. Operations shall resume on 21 January 2022,” DFA said in a statement on Monday.

The affected Consular Offices are those in Antipolo, Angeles, Baguio, Dasmariñas, Iloilo, La Union, Lucena, Malolos, San Pablo, and the National Capital Region East, North, Central, Northeast, South, and West.

The Office of Consular Affairs in Aseana Business Park will also be closed.

Off-site passport processing centers that will also temporarily halt operations are those in Newport Mall, Robinsons Las Piñas, Robinsons San Pedro Laguna, SM Manila, and Robinsons Novaliches.

A limited manpower will still attend to emails and calls at these offices, DFA said.

Affected applicants will be informed of their new appointment schedule via email.

For validly urgent and emergency cases, the department assured that it will continue to provide assistance within its limited capacity during the temporary closure. 

“So far, DFA has a positivity rate of 22% with many more reporting symptoms. If we add close contacts, that is a large number of people who are advised to isolate,” Assistant Secretary Eduardo Martin R. Meñez said in a WhatsApp message to reporters. — Alyssa Nicole O. Tan

Infrastructure damage due to typhoon Odette reaches P17.7B

THE PHILIPPINE Army’s 8th Infantry Division has mobilized more than 30 carpentry teams to help residents in different parts of the Visayas rebuild their houses damaged by typhoon Odette (international name: Rai), which swept through southern and central parts of the country in mid-December. — PHILIPPINE ARMY 8TH ID

DAMAGE to public infrastructure due to typhoon Odette, internationally known as Rai, has reached over P17.71 billion, based on the national disaster management agency’s compiled reports as of Jan. 10. 

Schools and other government buildings and facilities account for more than half of the 667 affected structures recorded since the typhoon struck on Dec. 16. The others are roads, bridges, flood control structures, health facilities, and utility service facilities.

Caraga Region, located in the northeastern part of the southern islands of Mindanao, incurred the biggest damage at more than P12.82 billion.

Caraga covers the island provinces of Dinagat and Siargao as well as Surigao City, three of the hardest hit areas by the strongest typhoon to enter the country last year.

The regions of Mimaropa — composed of Mindoro, Marinduque, Romblon, and Palawan — had P2.36 billion in infrastructure damage.

Central Visayas, which includes the provinces of Cebu and Bohol, reported P2.15 billion in damage. 

The reported damage values so far in other regions were: Northern Mindanao, P178.8 million; Eastern Visayas, P173.4 million; and Soccsksargen — South Cotabato, Cotabato, Sultan Kudarat, Sarangani, and General Santos City — at P20 million.

Affected houses, meanwhile, was more than 1.36 million, with 368,441 totally destroyed and 991,762 partially damaged, according to the National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council’s latest situational report. 

Repair and rebuilding works are ongoing, but 341,454 people are still displaced and mostly staying in more than 1,200 evacuation centers. 

The number of deaths has been unchanged in the last two weeks at 407. There are still 66 missing while 1,261 were injured. — MSJ 

Senator pushes for regional agri hubs for farmers, investors 

DAR.GOV.PH

AN INFORMATION hub where farmers can get updates on agriculture-related issues and developments as well as link with private investors should be set up in each region, a senator said in an online forum on Monday. 

“We need one strategic platform, one place that will discuss things like land reform, rice tariffication, agricultural modernization, and fisheries modernization so that our farmers and private sector can understand them,” Senator Richard J. Gordon said in Filipino at the AGRI 2022 forum.

Mr. Gordon, who is running for reelection in May, said the center could also have space for local harvests and serve as an agricultural extension facility where farmers can access advisory services.

“The government should pave the way for the private sector to come into agriculture because the people are looking forward to the farmers’ liberation from poverty,” he said.

He said the farm sector would benefit from direct investments and partnerships with manufacturers, research and development experts, and shipping firms, among others. 

Locating the hubs per region would also facilitate a more active participation from the local governments, he added. — Jaspearl Emerald G. Tan 

House resolution seeks to make F. Sionil Jose’s works more accessible to poor students 

F. SIONIL JOSE FB

A RESOLUTION was filed in the House of Representatives Friday seeking to honor the late national artist Francisco Sionil Jose and make his works more accessible to poor students and, by extension, their families. 

Speaker Lord Allan Jay Q. Velasco and members of the Arts and Culture and Creative Industries Bloc of the 18th Congress authored House Resolution 2341 following the death of Mr. Jose, who is known for his novels and short stories about colonialism and social injustice.

Pangasinan Rep. Christopher V.P. De Venecia, chair of the Committee on Creative Industry, said it is challenging to make the works of Mr. Jose more accessible and influential in the lives of young Filipinos because there are many new and modern media competing for their attention. 

“We need effective modules and well-trained teachers who can make F. Sionil Jose’s books matter in the lives of both the young and their parents,” he said.

He also noted that books are “considered luxuries in millions of Filipino households whose budgets for books is limited only to the most basic of textbooks.” 

Mr. Jose, who was given the recognition as National Artist for Literature in 2001, died on Jan. 6 at 97. 

His most popular work is a series of novels called The Rosales Saga, which tells the story of five generations of farmers and Spanish-European families in Rosales, Pangasinan — his hometown. His books have been translated in 28 languages. — Jaspearl Emerald G. Tan

2020 too?

PHILIPPINE STAR/ MICHAEL VARCAS

Let me start by wishing you all a much better year in 2022 than in 2020 and 2021. Hopefully, this year will be safer, healthier, happier, and more prosperous for everyone. But will it really or will it be 2020 too? Let’s address our risk map.

PANDEMIC RISK
From the looks of it, the Omicron strain is highly infectious. It came just in time for the Christmas holidays with a world feeling liberated from the Delta strain. Omicron’s phenomenal rise took flight in the last two weeks of December. Super-spreader gatherings are causing the surge of infections overseas, such as the USA, Europe, and Xian, a city of 13 million people in China.

Alert Level 3 was just reinstated in the National Capital Region. How the rest of the country goes will depend on Omicron’s behavior. It could mean more restrictive measures that could further impair social interaction and commercial-industrial activity. Detection systems must be firmly in place to spot and quickly arrest mindless persons who break the rules, jump quarantine and cover up their violation of existing safety and security laws.

In 2020, full-year GDP contracted by 9.6%. Despite Delta’s disruptive run, the economy is expected to have rebounded in 2021, ending on a positive growth rate ranging from 4.9% to 5.4%. The pandemic also weakened the country’s fiscal position. Government’s debt-to-GDP ratio is expected to reach 52.7% in 2021 and, possibly, 54.5% in 2022; compared to 34.1% in 2019. But with Omicron’s potential for more disruption, the debt-to-GDP ratio could further deteriorate.

From a family standpoint, restrictions on movement and face-to-face interaction pose psycho-social problems, especially for the young. Parents will have to be more creative in engaging their brood at home and getting them to have enriching online interaction with their friends. While the pandemic provided bonding opportunities for disconnected parents, it pushed our youth, whose parents weren’t able to adjust to the new normal, to retreat into their caves. That’s a big watch out for this year.

POLITICAL RISK
Will this year’s electoral campaign period be virus-free and still be dominated by mass gatherings? Or will the pandemic continue on and force the nature of campaigning to shift online? Mass gatherings are potential super-spreader events, like what happened in the US in 2020. This is a crucial challenge for the candidates and their teams — winning hearts and minds without “pressing-the-flesh” in critical areas to sidestep the danger to their health and the public’s.

Another issue is overcoming unresolved inter-generational problems requiring a transformative team in place with the right values, aptitude, and skills to address those, while working in parallel for their vision of a more secure and developed Philippines. Do we have a field of candidates with boundless potential for good governance and skillful statecraft to choose from? Or do we have more of the same political syndicates, traditional politicians, and self-serving agendas?

Moreover, grizzled observers say that while winning over the voter is one thing, winning the count is another matter altogether. While the energies and money spent for mind-setting surveys, brand management, campaign staff and poll watchers are vital to win the voter, a separate budget is needed to ensure that the votes are counted. Will our political culture change for the better just in time in the next five months? And what about foreign intervention in the shadows to influence the outcome? Will it truly be in our national interest?

GEOPOLITICAL RISK
These past few years, we’ve seen geopolitical alignments firming up in Europe, the Middle East, and in the Indo-Pacific. In Europe, it’s Russia versus a US-led NATO. In the Middle East, it’s Iran-led Islamist countries and radical non-state actors versus a USA-Israel backed coalition of Muslim states. In the Indo-Pacific, it’s China and North Korea versus a “freedom of the seas” coalition involving the QUAD nations and ASEAN nations seeking a defense shield. Will we see this year a calibrated escalation of warrior diplomacy and saber rattling?

The Philippines occupies coveted strategic real estate that extends southward and westwards to Indian and ASEAN resource rich countries; farther west to Persian Gulf oil-rich countries; and eastward to Asia-Pacific markets. Our country is a transshipment point, logistics hub, trading center, and regional security sentinel in the South China Sea. It’s an archipelagic state with the potential of becoming a regional maritime power if only it had the right people in government and society.

The administration deserves credit for recognizing the security-development nexus. Security and development are synergistic; they’re two sides of the same coin. Building the economy requires a parallel investment in security. The AFP’s modernization buildup was backed by the national leadership, such that the Army, Navy, and Air Force were given the resources to address modern threats to national security. The Philippine National Police and Philippine Coast Guard are beneficiaries of the buildup as well.

The brand-new assets we have on the ground, in the air, and out at sea, and those in line for procurement already funded, or ready for delivery, are good indicators of the serious, steady buildup to have the capability of addressing the aftermath of natural disasters, and war fighting if it comes to that. More needs to be done, however, in terms of amending the Procurement Law, finding new sources of funding for acquisition and sustainment, and reviving the Self-Reliance Defense Program. We must be ready to defend ourselves to win the peace we want.

ECONOMIC RISK
If 2022 doesn’t live up to positive expectations, it goes without saying that economic risk could easily slip into crisis mode.

More pandemic-led supply chain disruptions will exacerbate productivity and trading contractions that, in turn, will delay recovery. Failure of whole-of-nation collaboration to reflate the economy and find new trading partners pose additional anxieties for 2022. If the US-China rivalry heats up more, just remember that China, Japan, and the USA are our country’s top three trading partners. What’s Plan B in case RCEP (Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership) gets stalled or RP-China relations deteriorate?

That’s enough mental indigestion for now but, seriously, it’s food for serious thought and appropriate action.

This article reflects the personal opinion of the author and does not reflect the official stand of the Management Association of the Philippines or MAP.

 

Rafael “Raffy” M. Alunan III is member of the MAP, chair of Philippine Council for Foreign Relations, vice-chair of Pepsi-Cola Products Philippines, Inc., and sits on the boards of other companies as independent director.

map@map.org.ph

rmalunan@gmail.com

Philippines’ monthly birth and death data show that indefinite lockdown and mass vaccination are wrong

The Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) released the updated monthly vital statistics last week, on Jan. 6, and many numbers are interesting or shocking.

One, births are declining and this decline is accelerating. From an average of 139,500 births a month in 2019, it went down to 127,400/month in 2020 and 101,400/month in January-September 2021. So, there were nearly 150,000 fewer births in 2020 compared with 2019, and there will be around 300,000 fewer births in 2021 than 2020.

Two, there were fewer marriages in 2020 due to the strict lockdown. On average there were 40,000 marriages/month in 2019, then there was a drastic decline to only 20,065 in 2020, with the biggest decline in April-May 2020 with only 866 and 4,135 marriages, respectively. Economic and health/psychological stress must have also contributed to fewer babies for young married couples.

Three, there was a big rise in the number of deaths in 2021 when mass vaccination started. From an average of 51,694 deaths per month in 2019, this declined slightly to 51,156/month in 2020, then went up to 55,244/month in the first two months of 2021. By March, when mass vaccination started, the number reached 61,484, the first time in Philippine history that deaths have exceeded the 58,000 mark. From there, it has been rising to nearly 94,000 in August and 103,000 deaths in September 2021.

Four, there was excess mortality of 19,500/month from March to July 2021 over same period in 2020. This went up to 37,000 in August and 49,000 in September, when some 33.7 million vax doses were already given in August (+14.35M over July) and 45.6 M doses in September (see Table 1).

This is not COVID-related excess mortality because the total number of COVID deaths were only 5,559 in August 2021 and 4,846 in September.

The incumbent President of Concerned Doctors and Citizens of the Philippines (CDC Ph), Dr. Homer Lim, made this good observation: “The Philippine statistics on death and birth rates are quite alarming. Year 2021 was gloomy, excess deaths have topped 49,000 in September alone and we haven’t yet included the last quarter. What factors could have caused this sudden alarming surge in deaths? It is certainly not COVID deaths, so could this be due to people afraid of COVID that they have neglected their other illnesses, or could this be a reflection of vaccine related deaths?”

And the former CDC Ph President Dr. Benigno “Iggy” Agbayani, Jr. offered a good course of action: “These statistics on deaths and births have a huge implication on the longest, most expensive and tyrannical health protocols our country has ever tried. Unbridled lockdowns and experimental vaccinations are the most likely suspects in this sudden high deaths and low birth rates. An investigation by independent and credible experts on this life and death anomaly should be launched as soon as possible.”

Meanwhile, the Department of Budget and Management (DBM) released last week the General Appropriations Act (GAA) 2022 as signed by the President in December. I list below the big budget items and some new items there.

One, in the Allocation to local government units (ALGUs), the previous Internal Revenue Allotment (IRA) has been renamed National Tax Allotment (NTA) in GAA 2022. The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) block grant is also added.

Two, in the Pension and Gratuity Fund (PGF) in 2022, I included the Miscellaneous Personnel Benefits Fund (MPBF).

In Table 2, note the huge increase in approved vs. proposed budget 2022 for the Departments of Public Works and Highways, Social Welfare and Development, Health, and state universities and colleges. And a huge decline in approved vs. proposed budget for the Department of Education, Pension and Gratuity Fund, Government-owned and -controlled corporations (GOCCs), and Department of Transportation.

Philippine government spending on health is actually huge and more than double the Department of Health’s (DoH) budget. See here in GAA 2022:

1.) DoH budget, P183.89 billion (including DoH hospitals, COVID vaccine booster shots P2.79 billion)

2.) DoH attached corporations, P85.86 billion (including PhilHealth P79.99 billion)

3.) Unprogrammed Appropriations (UA), P120.25 billion, of which:

– Procurement of COVID vaccine booster shots, P45.37 billion,

– Compensation and other benefits for COVID workers in health facilities, P42 billion,

– Operations of DoH Metro Manila and regional hospitals, P12.5 billion,

– COVID laboratory network commodities, P9.80 billion

– Health Facilities Enhancement Program, P4.04 billion

4.) Hospitals by other agencies, at least P10 billion:

– The University of the Philippines’ Philippine General Hospital (PGH), P6.30 billion,

– The Department of National Defense’s Veterans Memorial Medical Center, P2.35 billion,

– Other SUCs hospitals (West Visayas State University Medical Center…)

So P183.89 billion + P85.86 billion + P120.25 billion + P10 billion (at least) = P400 billion. Not included here are health spending by: a.) government gambling corporations (Philippine Amusement and Gaming Corp., Philippine Charity Sweepstakes Office), b.) by other national agencies as they have their own medical and dental centers, and, c.) by LGUs as many of them have their own provincial hospitals, city hospitals, on top of their LGU health centers.

Now, the number of COVID cases are at an all-time high (28,700 on Jan. 9), the bulk of which are in Metro Manila, and Metropolitan Manila Development Authority (MMDA) Chairman Benjamin Abalos has declared that the vaccination rate in the National Capital Region as of Jan. 4 was already 106% of target population — this is additional proof that vaccines have little function to control infections and protect the public. People have to rely on natural immunity and stronger immune systems to protect them from severe symptoms.

The implicit forced vaccination orders issued by the Inter-Agency Task Force for the Management of Emerging Infectious Diseases under its Resolution 148, by the MMDA issued last week, and by many LGUs should stop. Not only for being unconstitutional but also for their questionable health impact.

 

Bienvenido S. Oplas, Jr. is the president of Minimal Government Thinkers.

minimalgovernment@gmail.com

A nexus approach to foreign security policy: Imperatives for the next Philippine president

VECTORJUICE-FREEPIK

An infinite set of foreign and security policy challenges will confront the next presidential administration of the Philippines. This is particularly evident in view of the US and China geopolitical transition as well as the emerging challenges from an altered geophysical milieu, where threats (pandemics, climate change, disasters), non-traditional in nature, have had a devastating impact for the Southeast Asian region.

A nexus approach to Philippine foreign and security policy becomes an imperative, entailing the integration of domestic and international security and foreign policy issues. Defined by A. Cook and S. Nanthini (2021), the nexus approach is collaborative, holistic, strategic, and multi-stakeholder. It is essential given that, firstly, domestic security issues such as economic, regime, and environmental changes have increasingly trans-nationalized with spillover effects beyond national borders. As a consequence, this will redefine diplomatic approaches (such as one that incorporates science diplomacy) as much as it will call for a diversification of strategic partnerships towards cooperation in non-traditional security.

Added to this, on the one hand, the rise of non-traditional or non-military security issues does not obliterate the continuing challenge of geopolitical security threats. In many ways non-traditional security is conflated with traditional security. For instance, we’ve seen how governments conflated (or securitized) their pandemic responses, simultaneously as public health with military led border controls. We’ve also witnessed how the EU and the US under Trump conflated migration with terrorism, resulting in heightened application of homeland security more than labor protection rules. Such conflation of non-military with military issues is also evident in the South China Sea (SCS) where the increasing intrusion by military and grey zone actors, mainly of China, in contested Exclusive Economic Zones is entangled with fishery depletion and food insecurity. In terms of foreign-security policy response, these developments will require approaches that either compartmentalize or couple issue-areas.

Critics have essentially noted a general lack of strategic framing of Philippine national security policy and an undeveloped strategic culture vis-a-vis external defense (A. Arugay and HJ Kraft, 2020). W. Bello and J. Heydarian (2010) also noted earlier the inability of the Philippines to leverage its “huge demographic, economic and geo-strategic value” that could have allowed it to perform a “pivotal role in the shaping of the broader international order” albeit as a small state.

With above considerations at stake, the recasting of our national security-foreign policies should be sought in order to achieve outcomes that locate our country in the context of the geostrategic lenses of the Indo Pacific and that rearrange our loyalties and alliances given the multi polarization of power.

Framing based on the Indo Pacific region requires that the Philippines reflect its role as a middle power whose primary asset (in 2021) is its defense network (Lowy Institute 2021). A middle power foreign-security posture will demand the harnessing of maritime security strategies that are more responsive to the extent of China’s power across two oceans and across two continents of the Asia Pacific and Africa, and to the evolving US-led/aligned multipolar and democratic Indo Pacific powers structure of India, Australia, and Japan. The outgoing Duterte administration has experimented with middle power strategies that ranged from appeasement and hedging vis-a-vis China and distancing from the US. It fortified strategic partnerships with South Korea, Japan, and Australia based on maritime domain awareness (MDA) which are key to a repositioning from a US-led hub and spokes system. However, this is devoid of a clear convergence with the articulated National Security Strategy (DND, 2018). At the crossroads of the Pacific and the Indian Oceans, it is also high time to reframe diplomacy in the SCS. Viewed as a geopolitical region and a large marine ecosystem, diplomacy should be anchored on the pursuit of a Code of Conduct and the arbitral ruling. Foreign-security policy making should further ASEAN centrality in regimes, building in information sharing and fusion in MDA and in practical maritime security cooperation.

 

Alma Maria O. Salvador, PhD, is an associate professor of the Department of Political Science of Ateneo de Manila University.

Myanmar court sentences ousted leader Suu Kyi over walkie-talkies

AUNG SAN SUU KYI — REUTERS

A COURT in military-ruled Myanmar sentenced on Monday ousted leader Aung San Suu Kyi to four years in jail on several charges including possession of unlicensed walkie-talkies, a source familiar with the proceedings said.

The court handed down a two-year sentence to Ms. Suu Kyi for breaching the export-import law by possessing the handheld radios and one year for having a set of signal jammers. The two sentences will run concurrently, said the source.

She was also sentenced to two years on another charge of breaching the natural disaster management law related to coronavirus rules, the source said.

Nobel laureate Ms. Suu Kyi, 76, is on trial in nearly a dozen cases that carry combined maximum sentences of more than 100 years in prison. She denies all charges.

Myanmar has been in turmoil since a Feb. 1 coup against Ms. Suu Kyi’s democratically elected government led to widespread protests and raised international concern about the end of tentative political reforms since the end of decades of military rule.

Ms. Suu Kyi was detained the same day as the coup and days after, a police document said six illegally imported walkie-talkies were found during a search of her home.

On Dec. 6, she received a four-year jail sentence for incitement and breaching coronavirus rules.

That sentence, which was later reduced to two years, was met by a chorus of international condemnation over what critics described as a sham trial.

Ms. Suu Kyi’s supporters say the cases against her are baseless and designed to end her political career while the military consolidates power.

The junta says Ms. Suu Kyi is being given due process by an independent court led by a judge appointed by her own administration. A spokesman for the military council could not be reached immediately for comment.

Her trial in the capital, Naypyitaw, has been closed to the media and Ms. Suu Kyi’s lawyers have been barred from communicating with the media and public.

The military has not disclosed where Ms. Suu Kyi, who spent years under house arrest under a previous military government, is being detained.

In some recent court hearings, Ms. Suu Kyi has been wearing a white top and a brown wraparound longyi typically worn by Myanmar prisoners, sources have said.

Military ruler Min Aung Hlaing last month said Ms. Suu Kyi and ousted President Win Myint would remain in the same location during their trials and would not be sent to prison. — Reuters

World’s largest maker of condoms says usage down during pandemic

UNSPLASH

THE WORLD’S largest maker of condoms hasn’t been spared from the coronavirus pandemic as the use of its products slumped as much as 40% in the last two years.

Sexual activity using the contraceptive didn’t increase even as people stayed home amid lockdowns to curb the spread of the virus, Nikkei Asia reported, citing Karex Bhd.’s Chief Executive Officer Goh Miah Kiat.

The closure of hotels and non-essential clinics such as sexual wellness centers during the pandemic, along with various governments suspending condom handout programs, contributed to the decline in Karex’s condoms sales, Goh said, according to the report.

The Malaysia-based company, which makes one out of every five condoms worldwide, is now moving into the booming medical glove-making business and plans to kickoff production in Thailand by mid-year, Goh said in the report.

Karex had previously forecast condom demand to grow at “double digits” as governments around the world had imposed lockdowns, forcing people to stay at home. Karex produces for brands like Durex, as well as its own line of specialty condoms such as Durian-flavored ones. It churns out more than 5 billion condoms a year and exports them to more than 140 countries.

Karex’s shares have dropped about 18% over the past two years, during which Malaysia’s benchmark stock index has lost 3.1%. — Bloomberg

Juventus produces stunning fightback to defeat Roma in seven-goal thriller

JUVENTUS scored three goals in seven second-half minutes to complete an astonishing comeback and beat AS Roma 4-3 on Sunday after goalkeeper Wojciech  Szczęsny saved a late penalty to keep them in front at the Stadio Olimpico.

Tammy Abraham put Jose Mourinho’s side in front and Paulo Dybala made it 1-1 going into the break, but goals from Henrikh Mkhitaryan and Lorenzo Pellegrini put Roma in charge early in the second half.

Juve fought back as Manuel Locatelli and Dejan Kulusevski scored within two minutes of each other, and Mattia De Sciglio fired home a fourth in the 77th minute.

“We are happy for a very important win, especially for how it came about,” De Sciglio told DAZN.

“We started the second half very badly, but our character showed at a difficult moment. But we need to see that from the start.”

Roma was awarded a penalty after Matthijs de Ligt was shown a second yellow for handball with nine minutes remaining, but  Szczęsny guessed the right way to save Pellegrini’s penalty in front of a stunned home crowd.

Juventus moved up to 38 points in fifth place, six points ahead of eighth-placed Roma.

A frantic start set the tempo for the 90 minutes ahead, as Abraham headed home his fourth goal in four games from a corner.

Dybala curled in an unstoppable strike to draw Juve level, but the visitors were dealt a blow when winger Federico Chiesa limped off.

Roma looked to have the game in the bag when Mkhitaryan’s deflected shot looped over  Szczęsny and Pellegrini curled an exquisite free kick into the top corner within eight minutes of the second half starting.

Juventus has struggled for goals this season, mustering just 28 in 20 games ahead of their trip to Rome, but they turned on the style to mount an unlikely comeback in an extraordinary seven-minute period.

Locatelli was left unmarked to head in before Kulusevski fired home a rebound to equalise, although the Swede’s goal was only given following a VAR review after initially being disallowed for offside.

De Sciglio pounced on a careless Chris Smalling header to fire home Juve’s fourth, but their hard work was almost undone when a VAR review showed De Ligt had blocked an Abraham shot with his arm, resulting in a second booking for the Dutchman.

Roma captain Pellegrini was tasked with the spot kick, but his low shot was saved. — Reuters