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RE transition to require power grids to make major adjustments — report

NGCP.PH

By Sheldeen Joy Talavera, Reporter

POLICY MAKERS need to ensure that the planning, timelines, and assessment of investments in grids are aligned with long-term targets for the renewable energy (RE) buildout, the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) said.

“Investments in the electricity grid have lagged behind those in renewable power and must now significantly ramp up in anticipation of the considerable renewable energy power additions required,” IRENA said in a report.

“Countries need to prepare for the large amount of VRE (variable renewable energy) that will come online in the next few decades, as grid investments must be made 3-5 years before renewable energy investments to mitigate the overall system costs of greater renewable penetration,” it added.

IRENA said that the total global installed renewable power generation capacity would need to expand to 11,174 gigawatts (GW) by 2030 from 3,382 GW in 2022, according to its 1.5°C Scenario.

The scenario identifies “‘a technically and economically feasible pathway” to an energy future that is consistent with Paris Agreement goals, the agency said.

Asked to comment, Jose M. Layug, Jr., president of Developers of Renewable Energy for AdvanceMent, Inc., said in a Viber message that the Philippines needs to ensure that all necessary infrastructure, especially the transmission and distribution lines, is upgraded and can accommodate all the new RE capacity.

“I understand that this administration is working on this and is looking at allowing also the private sector to advance the cost of transmission subject to reimbursement,” Mr. Layug said.

“While there is cost attendant to such upgrades, the long-term effect of having more RE capacity will ultimately yield lower electricity costs for consumers,” he added.

The government wants to boost the RE share in the power mix to 35% by 2030 and to 50% by 2040.

As of June, the Department of Energy (DoE) has awarded 1,087 RE service contracts with a total potential capacity of 113.5 GW.

Terry L. Ridon, a public investment analyst and convenor of think tank Infrawatch PH, said that a “well-regulated” and “compliant” energy grid is essential for the “stability, reliability, and sustainability” of the energy supply.

“Critical issues surrounding the Philippine energy grid — from reliability and affordability to national security — necessitate tighter regulatory policies to enforce compliance with existing policies, particularly with regard to RE integration,” he said in an e-mail.

Mr. Ridon said that in order to properly regulate the industry, the needed measures include strengthening the independence of regulatory agencies and developing clear and specific standards and performance metrics for energy companies to follow, introducing “harsher penalties” for non-compliance, among others.

Privately-owned National Grid Corp. of the Philippines (NGCP) holds the sole and exclusive concession and franchise for the operation of the country’s power transmission network, which links power generators and distribution utilities to deliver electricity nationwide.

NGCP Spokesperson Cynthia P. Alabanza said that the company has identified the required transmission projects to accommodate the RE projects in the Transmission Development Plan and have filed them with the Energy Regulatory Commission (ERC) for approval.

“Government support for right-of-way and government permitting will also be critical for transmission line projects, which traverse necessarily multiple municipalities and provinces and have longer implementation periods compared to power plant construction,” she said in a Viber message.

“Prioritization for RE plant proposals is needed to reflect the realistic implementation timing and schedules, along with the projected load growth,” she said.

In May, the NGCP said it had invested about P300 billion in improving the power transmission system since taking it over in 2009.

Between 2009 and 2022, the company said that it had completed about 56 projects deemed vital to the energy industry.

The ERC issued a show-cause order against the NGCP in July over delays to 37 transmission projects.

Meanwhile, Ms. Alabanza said that the NGCP is coordinating with the DoE on other grid requirements such as flexible generation and energy storage systems.

She also said that the company’s access to the expertise of its technical partner State Grid Corp. of China — which holds a 40% stake in NGCP — makes it a “more than capable entity” in ushering in the shift to cleaner energy.

“This move towards a greener and more sustainable grid requires a holistic approach with emphasis on optimization of resources and alignment of timelines. We hope for the synergy among all the energy players to ensure the fruition of these efforts,” Ms. Alabanza said.

Strategizing for sustainable development

Public policies attempt to fulfill one or more of the following objectives: efficiency, equity, and stability. Efficiency and stability are necessary conditions for sustainable growth while equity helps make development inclusive.

This is the second article in our series following the 2nd SGV Tax Symposium, which focused on how a sustainable and effective tax ecosystem can advance the sustainability agenda for both the public and private sectors.

In this article, we will discuss the Philippine strategy for sustainable development.

GROWTH THROUGH TRADE AND INVESTMENT
The Philippine Development Plan (PDP) 2023-2028 aims for a deep economic and social transformation to reinvigorate job creation and accelerate poverty reduction by steering the economy back to a high-growth path. In this regard, two main performance indicators are identified and will be monitored by the National Government.

The first is for the country to graduate into upper middle-income class status within the term of the current administration. For this, the economy must grow its per capita income above the threshold set by the World Bank, which means a gross national income (GNI) per capita of at least $4,466. In 2022, the Philippines achieved a GNI per capita of $3,950.

The second is to lower the poverty level from 18.1% in 2021 to single digits by 2028 — the end of the term of the current administration. Both indicators require high growth rates. For the next year through 2028, the government pencils the growth rate between 6.5% and 8%.

Growth is expected to be investment-led with the implementation of structural changes such as the Corporate Recovery and Tax Incentives for Enterprises (CREATE) law, which lowered the corporate income tax rate, and the amendments to the Public Service Act (PSA), Foreign Investment Act (FIA), and Retail Trade Liberalization Act (RTLA), which further liberalized the economy. The new legislation is expected to attract more local and foreign investment, especially in the liberalized sectors. For the energy sector in particular, amendments to the PSA are envisioned to help raise the capital needed to speed up the energy transition of the country to renewables.

In addition, the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), a trading bloc that encompasses the ten members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and the ASEAN Plus One Free Trade Agreement (FTA) partners Japan, China, South Korea, Australia, and New Zealand, is already in force for the Philippines, helping ease market access through trade and investment rules and supporting global and regional supply chains. The Philippines can potentially position itself as a regional manufacturing hub if the right incentives and policy measures are put in place to encourage local and foreign investors to participate. Together, trade and investment are expected to play an important role in attaining economic transformation, the second goal of the PDP.

HUMAN CAPITAL AND INFRASTRUCTURE
The ability of people to take advantage of market opportunities arising from investment rests on human capital. To this end, the first goal of the PDP is social transformation which includes, among others, sustained expenditure on social services, mainly education, health, and social protection.

The first two goals of the PDP help attain the developmental objectives of efficiency and equity, which rest on the pillars of sustainability and resilience. The third fosters societal resilience: an enabling environment encompassing institutions, macroeconomic stability, and the physical and natural environment.

Institutions are vital to economic acceleration, which is why the government’s steps to enhance the ease of doing business are most welcome. Infrastructure development also enables an economy to sustain higher levels of growth, which, in turn, catalyzes yet more investment. The Public-Private Partnership (PPP) Act is up for the signature of President Marcos and, if approved, is expected to further enhance the business atmosphere in mobilizing private resources for infrastructure development.

The government aims to sustain its infrastructure program at 5-6% of GDP through 2028 amid a six-year medium-term fiscal framework. This plan gradually narrows the deficit to 3% of GDP by 2028, down from 7.3% in 2022, such that the debt-to-GDP ratio is reduced from nearly 61% in 2022 to a more sustainable level of at most 53% by 2028.

DEBT MANAGEMENT
The National Government’s debt was less than 40% before the pandemic struck. It expended much of its fiscal space combatting the pandemic, incurring debt and large budget deficits. While the current 61% debt-to-GDP ratio may be manageable for an emerging economy like the Philippines for some time, the country may not have the fiscal space to respond to another potential domestic or external shock. If the debt continues to rise more than the economy, risks will increase, and the government may “crowd out” private investment as it competes with the private sector for funds to service its debt.

The planned fiscal consolidation entails harmonizing the revenue needs with the promotion of investment through the structure and administration of the reformed incentive system. The National Government plans to raise more revenue to finance the country’s socio-economic needs, largely through a progressive and simplified tax system, more efficient and effective tax collection measures through digitalization and, to some extent, from policy measures such as value-added tax on digital service providers and excise tax on sweetened beverages and junk food.

Achieving fiscal stability presupposes the sustainability of fiscal policy, and fiscal stability helps “crowd in” private investment.

PRICE STABILITY AND INFLATION
In his second State of the Nation Address (SONA), President Ferdinand Marcos, Jr. singled out inflation as the country’s most pressing problem. In the first nine months of 2023, inflation averaged 6.6% — far above the upper end of the target range of 2-4% set by the BSP. If left unchecked, inflation could undermine growth. Not only does this increase costs to organizations, but it also sets in motion second-round effects as workers start demanding higher wages, consequently increasing business costs and discouraging investments.

Inflation is partly driven by supply-side issues and the government is allocating more resources to the agriculture sector to boost production. Mr. Marcos also mentioned that the National Government had distributed 28,000 new tools and machinery to farmers. An additional 600 km of farm-to-market roads were laid down to support the 14 million hectares of farmland, enhancing farmer access to markets. In addition, he signed Executive Order No. 28 in May, forming the Inter-Agency Committee on Inflation and Market Outlook, which is tasked to keep inflation within government targets and boost the economy.

ENHANCING CLIMATE RESILIENCE
While price stability and fiscal sustainability are important macroeconomic issues, environmental sustainability is increasingly gaining importance. Climate change uncertainties and challenges need to be managed and both the Philippine government and the private sector are hard-pressed to deliver their commitments to addressing them. Despite climate change risks, the Philippines has the opportunity to position itself as a prime destination of foreign investments against climate change or environmental, social, and governance (ESG) investments.

The government calls for embedding resilience, sustainability, and nature-based solutions in infrastructure planning and investment to enhance climate resilience. Likewise, investments in renewable energy are expected not only to enhance energy security but also reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.

From an economic vantage point, GHG emissions are economic “bads” and are a cause of inefficiency as they get over-produced. Their effects, however, go beyond national borders, and while the Philippines contributes minimally to global GHG emissions, the World Risk Index 2022 report identifies the Philippines as the most disaster-prone country in the world.

The government envisions that by 2028: (1) Climate and disaster risk resilience of communities and institutions will increase (2) Ecosystem resilience will be enhanced, and (3) A low-carbon economy transition is enabled.

To ensure that these are realized, the government is set to safeguard cross-sectoral convergence and implement a comprehensive risk management approach to address the adverse consequences posed by climate change. It will also promote a green and blue economy coupled with improved governance to guarantee long-term climate and disaster resilience.

BUILDING RESILIENCE THROUGH SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
Coming off from the pandemic and with the current global economic climate, it is opportune for the government to proactively drive for actionable policies and programs that focus on building the resiliency of the economy through sustainable development with greater emphasis given to addressing climate change.

Navigating external and domestic economic headwinds will not be an easy feat for the administration, but the private sector will be an important catalyst for sustainable development. With the private sector sharing industry knowledge, resources and potentially even leading certain socio-economic programs and projects of the National Government, it is to be hoped that AmBisyon Natin 2040 of long and healthy lives for Filipinos that are strongly rooted, comfortable, and secure will be achieved.

This article is for general information only and is not a substitute for professional advice where the facts and circumstances warrant. The views and opinions expressed above are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of SGV & Co.

 

Noel P. Rabaja the strategy and transactions (SaT) service leader of SGV & Co.

Mapua, LPU remain joint 1st in NCAA

ENOCH VALDEZ — FACEBOOK.COM/NCAA.ORG.PH

Games Tuesday
(Filoil EcoOil Arena)
2 p.m. — AU vs UPHSD
4 p.m. — JRU vs CSB

MAPUA University and Lyceum of the Philippines University (LPU) hurdled their respective assignments yesterday to remain at joint first in the National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) Season 99 at the Filoil EcoOil Arena.

The Cardinals smashed the San Sebastian Golden Stags, 70-63, while the Pirates pillaged the already ousted Colegio San Juan de Letran Knights, 85-79, to post their 10th win in 13 outings and keep them comfortably perched at the helm.

Mapua skipper Warren Bonifacio led by example and finished with 15 points, nine rebounds, four assists, two steals and a block for the win that somehow redeemed the team from two heartbreaking defeats to start the second round.

Equally impressive were the Pirates, who battled back from double-digit deficits in the second half, claimed the win that kept them atop and sent the Knights splattering to the bottom with a 1-12 mark.

John Bravo and Mclaude Guadaña conspired in the spirited fourth quarter fight back when they dropped a combined 17 of their team’s 29 points in that pivotal period.

Mr. Guadaña ended up with 18 points while Mr. Bravo 17, including 11 points in the last canto.

Enoch Valdez did the lifting though in the first quarter when LPU gasped for breath after getting suffocated by Letran’s blistering runs that saw the fallen three-peat titlist build leads as big as 14 in the third quarter before finishing the period with a 12-point edge.

Enter Messrs. Bravo and Guadaña, who drained a combined five booming triples that crushed whatever hopes were left with the Knights.

In the first game, San Beda University trounced Emilio Aguinaldo College, 81-71, to catch up on College of St. Benilde (CSB) at No. 3 with 8-4 records.

The Stags dropped to 5-9 while the Generals skidded to 7-6. — Joey Villar

The scores:

First Game

San Beda 81- Cortez 15, Payosing 14, Jopia 13, Royo 13, Puno 11, Tagle 6, Visser 6, Andrada 3, Alfaro 0, Cuntapay 0, Gonzales 0

EAC 71- Cosejo 18, Robin 14, Gurtiza 10, Maguliano 10, Quinal 5, Ochavo 4, Tolentino 3, Luciano 2, Loristo 2, Umpad 2, Angeles 1, Bacud 0

Quarterscores: 22-9; 37-28; 57-47; 81-71

Second Game

LPU 85- Valdez 18, Guadaña 18, Bravo 17, Umali 7, Montano 6, Villegas 6, Omandac 6, Cunanan 5, Penafiel 2, Barba 0, Aviles 0, Fuentes 0

Letran 79- Cuajao 24, Monje 20, Go 8, Santos 6, Nunag 6, Fajardo 5, Batallier 4, Jumao-as 4, Garupil 2, Ariar 0

Quarterscores: 25-23; 41-45; 56-68; 85-79

Third Game

Mapua 70- Bonifacio 15, Cuenco 12, Soriano 11, Hernandez 8, Escamis 7, Recto 7, Dalisay 6, Igliane 4, Bancale 0, Morenos 0, Fornis 0, Asuncion 0

SSC-R 63-Calahat 18, Felebrico 15, Are 8, Ra. Gabat 8, Desoyo 7, Sumoda 4, Una 4, Escobido 2, De Leon 0, Shanoda 0, Castor 0, Aguilar 0

Quarterscores: 12-11; 23-26; 51-45; 70-63

National University Lady Bulldogs book Shakey’s Super League final slot

REIGNING champion National University (NU) drubbed Adamson University, 25-13, 26-24, 25-20, and booked a finals return trip in the Shakey’s Super League (SSL) Collegiate Pre-Season Championship Season 2 Sunday at the Rizal Memorial Coliseum in Manila.

The Lady Bulldogs erased a 22-24 deficit in the second set before banking on a hot start in the clincher to score yet another straight-sets victory and shore up their back-to-back championship bid.

It’s the seventh sweep in a row for the mighty NU squad that needed only 83 minutes to capture the win in the knockout semifinals with skipper Erin May Pangilinan and reigning Most Valuable Player (MVP) Alyssa Solomon spearheading the way.

NU will face off against either Far Eastern University or University of Santo Tomas — which were still playing as of press time — in the best-of-three finale starting on Friday.

Ms. Pangilinan fired 11 points on seven hits, two blocks and two aces, including a bevy of clutch hits in the pivotal second set while Ms. Solomon cashed in 10 points on seven attacks, two blocks and an ace.

Former UAAP Rookie-MVP Mhicaela Belen, Evangeline Alinsug and rookie Arah Ella Panique contributed nine, eight and seven points, respectively, for the wards of returning mentor Norman Miguel.

NU, which wiped out Pool A in the preliminaries and Pool E in the playoffs before making short work of the University of the East in the quarterfinals, 25-19, 25-21, 25-23, picked up where it left off by pouring it down on Adamson with a dominant 25-13 first-set win.

In the second set, the NU Lady Bulldogs nearly yielded their first set all-tournament long after staring at a 22-24 deficit off an Ayesha Juegos’ hit for the Lady Falcons only for Ms. Pangilinan to come to their rescue.

Ms. Pangilinan’s thunderous attack forced the deuce at 24-all followed by Ms. Panique’s soft touch and her block on Jimy Jean Jamili to cap a 4-0 finishing kick for a thrilling 26-24 win.

The lethal duo of Mmess. Belen and Solomon then took over from there, anchoring a 10-6 start in the third set en route to a sweep.

Ms. Jamili, Ayesha Juego and Jen Villegas fired seven each for Adamson, which will duke it out against the loser between FEU and UST for the bronze medal.

In the classification phase, College of St. Benilde trounced Ateneo de Manila University, 25-20, 19-25, 25-11, 25-11, to arrange a duel against UE for the fifth place. Ateneo and Arellano University will fight for No. 7. — John Bryan Ulanday

Denver Nuggets take care of Chicago Bulls despite injury to Jamal Murray

NIKOLA Jokic had 28 points, 16 rebounds and nine assists, Michael Porter Jr. scored a season-high 27 points, and the host Denver Nuggets beat the Chicago Bulls 123-101 on Saturday night.

Reggie Jackson scored 16 points off the bench, Aaron Gordon had 15 points and 12 rebounds, and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope and reserve Christian Braun added 10 points each for Denver, which played most of the game without point guard Jamal Murray.

Mr. Murray played the first 8:40 of the game before going to the bench and eventually the locker room with a reported hamstring injury. He was listed as questionable to return but did not play the rest of the way, finishing with two points and two rebounds.

Nikola Vucevic scored 19 points, DeMar DeRozan chipped in 17, Javon Carter scored 16 off the bench, Zach LaVine added 12 and Coby White 11 for Chicago.

The Bulls, who won their last time in Denver, took a 53-51 lead into halftime. They scored nine straight points midway through the second quarter to go in front, but the Nuggets came out strong in the third quarter.

Mr. Porter converted a three-point play, Mr. Gordon made two free throws and Caldwell-Pope drained a 3-pointer in the first 70 seconds. A three-point play by Torrey Craig and Carter’s fourth 3-pointer of the game pulled the Bulls within 101-90 with eight minutes remaining.

Mr. Jokic came in and hit two straight buckets, Mr. Porter and Mr. Gordon made back-to-back 3-pointers and Porter drained his fourth 3-pointer of the night to make it 114-94, and the Nuggets closed it out. — Reuters

Jessica Pegula beats Coco Gauff to reach title match at WTA Finals

JESSICA Pegula beat US Open champion Coco Gauff 6-2 6-1 on Saturday to reach the title match at the Women’s Tennis Association (WTA) Finals in Cancun, Mexico, where she will next face either world number one Aryna Sabalenka or Iga Swiatek.

In the first all-American semifinal at the WTA Finals since the reintroduction of the round-robin format in 2003, Ms. Pegula converted six of her 10 break point chances and lost serve just once during the 60-minute encounter. Ms. Pegula broke at love to open the match and attacked her good friend Ms. Gauff’s serve twice more for a 5-2 lead en route to taking the first set in comfortable fashion. Gauff tried to make the necessary adjustments but Pegula was rock-solid at the baseline and sealed the win on her second match point to reach the biggest final of her career. Reuters

Adamson University crowned Ang Liga Season 19 champion

THE ADAMSON University Soaring Falcons made history after claiming their maiden Ang Liga title on Saturday at the University of the Philippines-Diliman Football Field.

The Soaring Falcons secured their championship at the expense of the Ateneo de Manila University Blue Eagles with a tense 2-0 victory.

Lorent Jayaon notched a brace with injury time goals in the first and second half to lift Adamson to the top of the podium.

The first goal came after Ateneo failed to clear a low cross into the box in the 48th minute. Leaving a waiting Mr. Jayaon to slot in the opener.

The second half saw the Blue Eagles pile on the pressure, but were turned back by the defending of the Marcelino-based squad.

The decisive blow came in the 100th minute after Mr. Jayaon pounced on a rebound to secure the title.

The victory secured Adamson University their first ever Ang Liga title in their history in the competition.

Lakers injuries

Heading into the 2023-24 season, the Lakers planned to impose a minutes restriction on LeBron James. As agreed upon with personal trainer Mike Mancias and the coaching staff, he would be limiting his time on the court to under 30 minutes throughout the regular season in order to preserve his body for the playoffs. The intent was understandable. The 19-time All-Star was about to turn 39, and his history of injury since heralding the cause of the purple and gold in 2018 necessitated an approach with the long view in mind.

Which was all well and good. Keeping James fresh for the games that truly count was precisely why Lakers general manager Rob Pelinka went for roster depth in the offseason. The complementary skill sets of those around him were envisioned to preclude them from relying on him any time, all the time. As pro hoops annals have proven time and again, however, the harshness of reality trumps the soundness of purpose. In keeping with the established blueprint, he played 29 minutes in their opener against the vaunted Nuggets. To place his importance in perspective, it’s worth noting that he was a plus-seven when he burned rubber, while they went a whopping minus-19 without him on the court.

Therein lies the dilemma. On one hand, the Lakers are right to look after James early on; they wouldn’t want him to break down en route to their projected run for the title. On the other, they’re flirting with danger by holding him back. How are they going to win in a stacked league when arguably their most vital cog is on the bench? If subsequent matches are any indication, head coach Darvin Ham has made his choice. Since the blowout setback to the defending champions, the four-time Most Valuable Player awardee has played 35, 39, 33, 42, and 35 minutes. And the clincher is that they’re not just better when he’s on the floor; they’re much, much better. In six outings, he is a robust plus-47 when he plays; meanwhile, they’re an abhorrent minus-69 when he doesn’t.

Bottom line, parity in the National Basketball Association has become such that James cannot rest any more than he has to. The fact that the Lakers have been beset by injuries serves only to underscore their plight. With Taurean Prince, Jarred Vanderbilt, Rui Hachimura, and Gabe Vincent having already missed time, they have had to rely on a shortened rotation that compels him to take on more load than projected. To his credit, he has been his usual spectacular self thus far. Given his advancing age and increasing susceptibility to physical ailments, however, it’s fair to wonder how long he can keep chugging along at the same pace.

At this point, the Lakers are hoping the chicken-and-egg situation will resolve itself once they get back to full strength. The rub, of course, is that absences have become the norm rather than the exception in the league. And their worst fear is that these absences will subsequently include his. There is no easy answer, but if they’re to give credence to their lofty aspirations, they better hope they find one sooner rather than later.

 

Anthony L. Cuaycong has been writing Courtside since BusinessWorld introduced a Sports section in 1994. He is a consultant on strategic planning, operations and human resources management, corporate communications, and business development.

US, Israel reject calls for ceasefire by Arab world

People attend a demonstration demanding a ceasefire in Gaza, an end to airstrikes and an end to ‘forcible displacement of populations,’ amid the ongoing conflict between Israel and Palestinian Islamist group Hamas, in Paris, France, Nov. 4, 2023. — REUTERS/CLAUDIA GRECO TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY

GAZA/AMMAN — Palestinian news agency WAFA said the Israeli military attacked a Gaza refugee camp on Saturday, killing 51 people, mostly women and children, as calls for a ceasefire by the Arab world were rejected by the United States and Israel.

With the death toll in Gaza mounting, pro-Palestinian demonstrators staged protests in cities around the world on Saturday, calling for an end to the nearly month-old war.

WAFA said the Maghazi refugee camp in the central Gaza Strip had been hit by an Israeli bombardment on Saturday night.

Reuters could not independently verify the WAFA report.

The Israeli military did not immediately respond to a request for comment. Israel says it is targeting Hamas, not civilians, and that the militant group is using residents as human shields.

A spokesperson for the Hamas-run health ministry in Gaza, Ashraf al-Qidra, said a large number of people were killed in the attack, without giving a figure, and scores severely injured were taken to hospital.

Gaza health officials said on Saturday more than 9,488 Palestinians have been killed in the war, which began when Hamas fighters launched a surprise attack on southern Israel on Oct. 7, killing 1,400 people and taking more than 240 others hostage.

Foreign ministers from Qatar, Saudi, Egypt, Jordan and the United Arab Emirates met US Secretary of State Antony Blinken in Amman on Saturday and pushed for Washington to persuade Israel to agree to a ceasefire.

“This war is just going to produce more pain for Palestinians, for Israelis, and this is going to push us all again into the abyss of hatred and dehumanization,” Jordanian Foreign Minister Ayman Safadi said in a press conference with Mr. Blinken. “So that needs to stop.”

However, the top US diplomat dismissed the idea of a ceasefire, saying it would only benefit Hamas, allowing the Islamist Palestinian group to regroup and attack again.

Washington had proposed localized pauses in fighting to allow in humanitarian aid and for people to leave the densely populated Gaza Strip. Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu rejected this when he met Mr. Blinken on Friday in Tel Aviv.

Mr. Blinken will visit Turkey on Sunday for talks on the conflict. It is his second trip to the region since the decades-old Israeli-Palestinian conflict reignited.

Speaking in Shanghai, Mohammad Mokhber, Iran’s first vice president, called Israeli actions “a war crime,” adding, “We need to end this immediately and provide more humanitarian assistance to Gaza.”

Israel has struck Gaza from the air, imposed a siege and launched a ground assault, stirring global alarm at humanitarian conditions in the narrow coastal enclave.

Pro-Palestinian demonstrators staged protests on Saturday in cities including London, Berlin, Paris, Istanbul, Jakarta and Washington, demanding a ceasefire.

Tens of thousands gathered in Washington to denounce President Joseph R. Biden’s war policy and demand a ceasefire. Some carried posters reading “Palestinian Lives Matter,” “Let Gaza Live” and “Their blood is in on your hands.”

In Indonesia, the world’s most populous Muslim country, Foreign Minister Retno Marsudi told tens of thousands gathered in Jakarta on Sunday that the government reaffirmed its support for the struggle of the Palestinian people and would send a second shipment of aid.

CONCERNS OVER WEST BANK
Worsening violence in the Israeli-occupied West Bank has fueled concerns that the flashpoint Palestinian territory could become a third front in a wider war — in addition to Israel’s northern border, where clashes with Lebanese Hezbollah forces have mounted.

“This has been a serious problem that’s only worsened since the conflict,” Mr. Blinken said, adding that he raised it on Friday in his meetings with Israeli officials. “Perpetrators must be held accountable.”

This year had already been the deadliest for West Bank residents in at least 15 years, with some 200 Palestinians and 26 Israelis killed, according to United Nations (U.N.) data. Since the war in Gaza began, 121 West Bank Palestinians have been killed. Daily attacks by Israeli settlers have more than doubled, U.N. figures show, even though most of the deaths have occurred during clashes with Israeli soldiers.

ENCIRCLING GAZA CITY
Israel last month ordered all civilians to leave the northern part of the Gaza Strip, including Gaza City, and head to the south of the enclave.

The Israeli military has since encircled Gaza’s biggest city and is engaging in fierce street fighting with Hamas militants.

US special envoy David Satterfield said in Amman on Saturday that between 800,000 and a million people had moved to the south of the Gaza Strip, while 350,000 to 400,000 remained in and around Gaza City.

Gaza’s living conditions, already dire before the fighting, have deteriorated further. Food is scarce, residents have resorted to drinking salty water and medical services are collapsing.

The U.N. humanitarian office OCHA estimates that nearly 1.5 million of Gaza’s 2.3 million people are internally displaced. —  Reuters

Thousands of Black women claim hair relaxers gave them cancer

TAMAS PAP-UNSPLASH

SHEILA BUSH, a cosmetologist, was lounging in the recliner at her St. Louis-area home last winter when an advertisement from a law firm flashed up on her television screen, urging viewers to call a toll-free number if they or a loved one had used hair relaxers and been diagnosed with uterine cancer.

After seeing the ad three times, Ms. Bush, who said she had used hair relaxers every six weeks for most of her life and was diagnosed with uterine cancer about a decade ago, decided to pick up the phone.

The ads Ms. Bush saw, on television as well as on her social media feeds, were part of a nationwide effort by law firms to sign up Black women to file lawsuits alleging at least a dozen cosmetic companies, including L’Oreal and Revlon, sold hair relaxers containing chemicals that increased the risk of developing uterine cancer — and failed to warn customers.

The recruitment campaign launched in October last year, days after a US National Institutes of Health (NIH) study found an association, though not a causal link, between frequent use of chemical hair relaxers and uterine cancer. Hair straighteners such as L’Oreal’s Dark & Lovely and Revlon’s Creme of Nature are marketed overwhelmingly to women of color, according to the lawsuits.

Some of the ads show Black women applying hair products before cutting to a summary of the NIH study’s findings.

L’Oreal and Revlon told Reuters their products are subject to rigorous safety reviews. The companies noted that the authors of the NIH study said they didn’t draw definitive conclusions about the cause of the women’s cancers and that more research is warranted.

“We do not believe the science supports a link between chemical hair straighteners or relaxers and cancer,” Revlon said. L’Oreal added that it is committed to offering the best products “for all skin and hair types, all genders, all identities, all cultures, all ages” and that its hair relaxers have a “rich heritage and history” originating with Black inventors and entrepreneurs.

Namaste, which markets ORS Olive Oil relaxers, said all ingredients in its products are approved for cosmetic use by US regulators. “We do not believe the plaintiffs have shown, or will be able to show, that the use of Namaste hair relaxer products caused the injuries that they allege in their complaints,” a lawyer for Namaste and its parent company, Dabur India, said in an email response to Reuters.

The other companies declined to comment or didn’t respond to requests.

MORE THAN 7,000 LAWSUITS
The success of the legal claims will hinge on demonstrating the products were harmful and that the companies knew, or should have known, of the danger and failed to warn customers.

But the cases face hurdles: In addition to the potential limitations of the NIH study, plaintiffs are suing multiple companies, and if women lack receipts, they may struggle to provide evidence that they used specific products.

Ben Crump, who represented the family of George Floyd, the Black man murdered by a Minneapolis police officer in 2020, and another lawyer, Diandra “Fu” Debrosse Zimmerman, filed the first hair relaxer lawsuit on behalf of a Missouri woman, Jenny Mitchell, shortly after the NIH study was published.

Since then, more than 7,000 similar lawsuits have been filed by many plaintiffs’ lawyers. The cases have been consolidated in a Chicago federal court as part of a multidistrict litigation proceeding (MDL), a procedure designed to more efficiently manage lawsuits filed in multiple jurisdictions.

Even though the legal claims asserted in the lawsuits don’t allege racial discrimination, Mr. Crump says the cases should be viewed as “essentially civil rights issues.”

For Black women, “it’s projected on them that they have to live up to some kind of European standard of beauty,” Mr. Crump, who represents plaintiffs in high-profile racial discrimination cases and is a regular on cable news, said in an interview.

Ms. Bush, aged 69, told Reuters about being mocked by the white children in the schoolyard of her St. Louis school for her “cotton” hair, a common derogatory term used for Black hair texture.

“You felt as though you didn’t belong, or weren’t as good as they were,” said Ms. Bush, who was born in 1954, the year a landmark US Supreme Court decision found racial segregation in public schools unconstitutional.

The vast majority of the plaintiffs are women of color, according to Jayne Conroy, a lawyer whose firm has filed at least 550 hair relaxer cases, adding that attorneys don’t have full demographic data on their clients.

A master complaint filed in the court proceeding consolidating the lawsuits features many examples of advertisements that plaintiffs contend improperly took advantage of historical racial discrimination. One L’Oreal ad touted “how beautiful Black hair can be,” the complaint said.

The complaint seeks unspecified damages.

Framing the litigation as a civil rights issue could resonate with jurors beyond arguments over complex product liability claims, said Adam Zimmerman, a professor at the University of Southern California Gould School of Law who studies mass tort litigation.

The cases come at a time Black people are increasingly embracing natural hairstyles. At least 23 states have passed legislation aimed at protecting people from hair discrimination in the workplace and public schools. The US House of Representatives passed similar legislation last year that stalled in the Senate.

TWICE AS LIKELY TO DEVELOP CANCER
Uterine cancer is the most common form of female reproductive system cancer and rising in the U.S., especially among Black women, according to the NIH.

The American Cancer Society estimates there will be about 66,000 new cases of uterine cancer diagnosed this year in the United States, less than a quarter of the number of 297,790 new cases of invasive breast cancer, and more than three times the 19,710 cases of ovarian cancer.

The NIH study of more than 33,000 women found that those who reported using hair straightening products more than four times in the previous year were more than twice as likely to develop uterine cancer as those who did not. A total of 378 women in the study developed uterine cancer. Black women used the products more frequently than others, the study found.

The researchers did not collect information on the ingredients of specific products the women used, the NIH said. But Dr. Alexandra White, the lead author, told Reuters in response to written questions that hair straighteners have been found to include phthalates, parabens, cyclosiloxanes and metals, and may release formaldehyde when heated. She declined interview requests through a spokesperson. 

The US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) plans to propose next April a rule that would ban formaldehyde and formaldehyde-releasing chemicals from hair-straightening products. An agency spokesperson provided no further details on timing.

Formaldehyde is a known carcinogen and has been linked to nasopharyngeal cancer and leukemia, according to the World Health Organization (WHO). The NIH study said phthalates and the other chemicals are suspected endocrine disruptors, which can interfere with the body’s hormones and are suspected of contributing to cancer risk.

“Formaldehyde is not an ingredient in Namaste’s hair relaxer products,” the company’s lawyer said.

The other companies declined to comment or did not respond to a Reuters query on whether their products contain or release formaldehyde.

Companies and defense lawyers have pointed to what they say are flaws in the NIH study. The companies named in the litigation asked the presiding judge in July to dismiss the lawsuits, noting that the study was the first to raise a possible association between hair straightening products and uterine cancer, undermining plaintiffs’ argument that the companies knew or should have known of any risks related to the products.

The companies also noted that the NIH study consisted of sisters of women previously diagnosed with breast cancer “who therefore may have a genetic predisposition,” they said in a court filing. Lead author White said in a statement that there is currently no strong evidence linking family history of breast cancer to increased risk of uterine cancer.

The plaintiffs “rely entirely on vague allegations that the products, generally, contain ‘toxic chemicals’,” the companies’ defense lawyers at Paul, Weiss, Rifkind & Garrison, Arnold & Porter Kaye Scholer and other firms said in a court filing.

Plaintiffs believe the NIH study will persuade the judge that at least some of the cases should proceed to trial. Plaintiffs can advance their case without proving the products caused cancer, said Jennifer Hoekstra, a lawyer representing Bush. The study from a reputable government institution such as the NIH is likely enough to get cases before a jury, she said.

An FDA rule proposal wouldn’t alter the plaintiffs’ burden to prove they were harmed by the chemicals in hair relaxers, said Zimmerman, the USC law professor. But evidence regulators rely on to support a proposed rule would likely be admissible in court, he said, and FDA actions “often draw lots of attention — thus increasing the numbers of people likely to participate in any mass litigation.”

In addition, the judge overseeing the litigation over the summer approved a so-called short-form complaint that makes it relatively easy for plaintiffs to file lawsuits.

Since November last year, plaintiffs’ lawyers have spent about $8 million airing more than 40,000 television ads across the U.S., with much of it concentrated in Baltimore, Houston and Washington DC, according to an analysis of marketing data compiled for Reuters by X Ante, a firm that tracks mass tort advertising for large companies, law firms and investment analysts.

Lawyers seeking hair relaxer plaintiffs have posted on social-media platforms and attended community events.

Quiana Hester said she and her sisters, Ariana and Nakisha, have been interviewing lawyers and are weighing whether to join the litigation after seeing ads on social media from plaintiffs’ law firms.

The sisters said they wanted their mother’s death last year following a battle with uterine cancer to mean something.

Patrice Hester, a former real estate agent, regularly counseled her daughters that wearing natural hair would attract unwanted attention and harm their careers. “She never wanted us to do anything to make us stand out or be a target,” said Ariana, 35, who shared a home with her mother and sister Nakisha in the San Diego area.

Bush, the St. Louis cosmetologist, joined the litigation in August, she said, because of the possibility that hair relaxers cause cancer. “If we find out that that’s the case,” she said, “I would like to see that relaxers were taken completely off the market.” — Reuters

Ukraine minister orders investigation into Russian attack on assault brigade

Army soldier figurines are displayed in front of the Ukrainian and Russian flag colors background in this illustration taken, Feb. 13, 2022. — REUTERS/DADO RUVIC/ILLUSTRATION

LVIV, Ukraine — Ukraine’s defense minister ordered on Saturday an investigation into an alleged Russian ballistic missile attack on Ukrainian assault brigade, after reports that more than 20 soldiers were killed during an awards ceremony.

“My condolences to the families of the fallen soldiers from the 128th Separate Mountain Assault Transcarpathian Brigade,” Ukrainian Defense Minister Rustem Umerov said in a social media statement, adding that he had ordered a “full investigation.”

In a separate statement on the Telegram messaging app, Ukraine’s Armed Forces said that Russia attacked the Zaporizhzhia region with the Iskander ballistic missile.

“Servicemen were killed, and local residents were also injured,” the military said.

It was not clear how many soldiers died.

The statements came after a flurry of earlier reports on Ukrainian social media and from military bloggers that more than 20 soldiers were killed in a village close to the front lines in Zaporizhzhia during an award ceremony commemorating the Artillery Day on Friday.

In its daily reports on battlefield activities, the Russian Defense Ministry said only that Russian forces “inflicted fire” on a unit of Ukraine’s assault brigade in the region, killing up to 30 military personnel.

Reuters could not independently verify the reports.

Both Russia and Ukraine have often underestimated their military casualties in the 20-month-long war, while exaggerated the losses they claim to have inflicted upon each other. — Reuters

South America’s Lake Titicaca nears record low water level as El Niño bites

PANORAMIC view of Copacabana, Bolivia and Lake Titicaca viewed from El Calvario. — EN.WIKIPEDIA.ORG

LIMA — The water level at Lake Titicaca on the Peru-Bolivia border is edging towards a record low, exacerbated by the weather phenomenon known as El Niño that is expected to get still more intense in coming months.

The waters of the sprawling freshwater lake nestled in the Andes mountains have fallen an average 4 inches (10 cm) per month since April, said Milagros Quispe, an engineer with Peru’s national meteorology and hydrology service Senamhi.

Severe drought conditions and unusually high temperatures have caused the shoreline to shrivel at Titicaca, South America’s largest lake and the world’s highest navigable body of water. The water level is now around 13 inches (33 cm) above its record low recorded in 1943.

The double whammy of extreme dryness and heat has led to higher-than-normal water evaporation, said Ms. Quispe. Over the past seven months, the lake’s water level has fallen 29 inches (74 cm), according to Senamhi data.

Limited rainfall in the mountainous area had not been enough to stabilize the lake’s shoreline, Ms.  Quispe added.

El Niño causes major rainfall along Peru’s Pacific coast but drought conditions in its highlands.

Last month, Peru’s climate study office raised the probability that the intensity of this El Niño will be strong from December, up from a previous forecast that saw only moderate intensity.

Climate change is doubling down on the impacts from the natural El Niño phenomenon — layering heat on top of heat, or excess rainfall on top of excess rainfall.

That includes Titicaca. “The lake’s basin and ecosystem have been modified as a result of global warming,” said Ms. Quispe. — Reuters