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IEMOP, PEMC propose 2025-2027 market fees

Commencement of the commercial operations of WESM in Mindanao at the IEMOP control room

THE Independent Electricity Market Operator of the Philippines (IEMOP) and the Philippine Electricity Market Corp. (PEMC) are seeking the approval of the Energy Regulatory Commission (ERC) for their proposed market fee for 2025 to 2027.

IEMOP is the operator while PEMC is the governing body of the Wholesale Electricity Spot Market (WESM), the electricity trading floor.

IEMOP and PEMC jointly filed the application to the ERC for provisional authority to impose a market fee of P0.0087 per kilowatt-hour (kWh) to all generation companies registered with the WESM.

The WESM sells electricity to companies whose long-term contracted power supply is insufficient to meet customer needs.

Of the total proposed fixed market fee charge, P0.0049 per kWh will be allocated to IEMOP while P0.0038 per kWh is for PEMC.

“This is calculated based on (a) the projected generation metered quantities for CY (calendar years) 2025 to 2027 for Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao generation companies and (b) the aggregate projected budgetary requirements of IEMOP and PEMC for CY 2025-2027, using the same formula for market transaction fee rate previously approved by the Honorable Commission,” according to the application.

In the application, IEMOP and PEMC projected a P3.4 billion budgetary requirement for the 2025- 2027 period. This covers personnel services, maintenance and other operating expenses, and capital expenditure.

The applicants said that the ERC authorized them to collect market transaction fees for 2023 of P615.76 million, or an indicative rate of P0.00564 per kWh for 2023, less than the P1.02 billion they sought.

“Given the substantial cuts and disallowances ordered in the recent issuances of the Honorable Commission in the preceding years’ market fees applications, applicants IEMOP and PEMC have both suffered and reported deficits as early as CY 2020,” they said.

The parties said that without sufficient funds, they “will not be able to sustain their effective and efficient operations of the WESM and faithfully fulfill their mandate.”

“At the current level of market fees, the applicants may not even sustain normal operations of the WESM,” IEMOP and PEMC said. — Sheldeen Joy Talavera

PHL, Saudi Arabia sign RE, natural gas deal 

A Saudi flag flutters atop Saudi Arabia’s consulate in Istanbul, Turkey, Oct. 20, 2018. — REUTERS

THE Department of Energy (DoE) is exploring a partnership with Saudi Arabia to collaborate in renewable energy (RE) and natural gas.

In a statement on Monday, the DoE said it has kicked off its energy mission in Saudi Arabia by forging a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with Saudi Energy Minister Abdulaziz bin Salam Al Saud.

“The MoU will provide a framework for cooperation on key areas, such as renewable energy, natural gas, as well as relevant technologies and solutions related to climate change mitigation,” the DoE said.

The energy mission follows the participation of President Ferdinand R. Marcos, Jr. in the first-ever Association of Southeast Asian Nations-Gulf Cooperation Council Summit in Saudi Arabia in October 2023.

The DoE said Saudi state-owned companies expressed interest at that time in investing in the Philippine energy industry.

The MoU was first initiated by Energy Secretary Raphael P.M. Lotilla during his first stint as Energy Secretary in 2005, the department said.

“After 19 years, I am pleased to see the successful conclusion of our negotiations,” Mr. Lotilla said.

Aside from addressing the current power needs, the DoE said that the Philippines and Saudi Arabia can cooperate in the development and deployment of low-carbon technologies.

“This could include joint research and development projects, policy exchange, and capacity building in areas such as carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS), and hydrogen,” the DoE said.

Saudi Arabia controls around 17% of the world’s proven petroleum reserves, according to the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).

During the first half of 2023, the Philippines imported 3,476 million liters of crude oil, the DoE said, with 50.2% shipped from Saudi Arabia.

Saudi Arabia’s other resources include natural gas, iron ore, gold, and copper, according to OPEC.

“This mission underscores the country’s energy diplomacy efforts in pursuit of achieving energy security,” the DoE said. — Sheldeen Joy Talavera

DENR calls for ‘adaptive’ approach to disasters

OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT

THE Department of Environment and Natural Resources (DENR) said disaster risk reduction need to be flexible in response to the rapidly shifting patterns of tropical cyclones.

“Responses need to be adaptive.  They need to be able to address shifting timelines. As we know, of course we now experience rapid intensification of tropical cyclones that we have not experienced previously,” Environment Secretary Maria Antonia Yulo-Loyzaga said during a briefing for the Asia-Pacific Ministerial Conference on Disaster Risk Reduction (APMCDRR).

“We can experience this cascading set of risks that cut across not just national systems, local systems, but also global systems in terms of their impacts,” Ms. Yulo-Loyzaga added.

She said that the DENR is looking at taking approaches that will allow it to integrate into the Philippine Development Plan the Philippines’ international commitments like the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, the UN Convention on Global Biodiversity, and the UN sustainable development goals.

“There are other international commitments that have to do with plastics, with urban development. We’re trying to see how all of these actually need to intersect in order for us to reach what we believe should be shared goals among countries but also within the (Philippines),” she said.

According to a World Bank report, the Philippines is among the top countries most prone to climate risk disasters.

The country is also located within the Pacific Ring of Fire, an area with active seismic activity. It also experiences about 20 tropical cyclones each year.

The Philippines is currently hosting the APMCDRR which is expected to draw in 2,500 delegates from over 60 countries. The conference will be held between Oct. 14 and 17.

“We hope to learn and continuously dialogue with the different countries that are here,” she said.

The conference seeks to assess progress in implementing the Sendai Framework, which hopes to reduce the impact of calamities on mortality, health, economies, and infrastructure.

“Now more than ever before in the Philippines as well as in the region, the work on disaster risk reduction is no longer seen as a niche subject, but it is a core development challenge of our times,” Kamal Kishore, special representative of the UN Secretary-General for Disaster Risk Reduction said.

“The money we put in for resilience is not expenditure, it is an investment,” Mr. Kishore added.

The Philippines has said that is seeking closer collaboration with regional partners to improve its access to disaster risk financing. — Adrian H. Halili

Japan AI tech to be deployed in PHL for disaster management

REUTERS

THE Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) said it has partnered with Japanese company Spectee, Inc. to upgrade the Philippine disaster risk reduction and management (DRRM) system using artificial intelligence (AI) technology.

In a statement, JICA said this was a collaboration among JICA, the Department of Information and Communications Technology (DICT), and Spectee, Inc.

“JICA, through its Public-Private Partnership Promotion Program, tapped the prominent technology of Spectee, a Japanese private company that developed an innovative yet affordable DRRM technology,” it said in a statement on Monday.

The cloud-based technology helps government agencies rapidly collect, process, and communicate critical information in times of disaster.

Spectee Pro is a real-time crisis management information system that uses AI image and language analysis to extract useful data points from social networking sites.

JICA said while this was widely used by the government, private companies, and media organizations in Japan, JICA, and Spectee intend to create a Philippine version with the assistance of the DICT.

JICA Senior Representative Oshima Jiro and DICT Assistant Secretary for Infostructure Management Philip A. Varilla signed the Minutes of the Meeting as the collaboration agreement document on Sept. 24, at the DICT Quezon City office.

On the same day, Spectee, Inc. Chief Operating Officer Negoro Satoshi, joined the signing virtually from Tokyo, JICA said.

“We strongly believe that our AI Disaster & Crisis Management Solution Spectee Pro can contribute to strengthening the resilience of the Philippines facing increasing natural disasters caused by climate change,” Mr. Negoro said.

The Philippines is the most at risk of natural disasters such as earthquakes, typhoons, and volcanic eruptions, according to the 2024 World Risk Report.

Spectee Pro will be provided free of charge for a time to an initial list of 80 government agencies and local government units. This includes Metro Manila, Legazpi City, Tagbilaran City, Tacloban City, Cebu City, and Davao City.

“Apart from training and simulations, there will be a constant feedback mechanism, taking into account actual conditions on the ground, to ensure that any improvements made to the system are relevant and useful to the end users,” JICA said. — Aubrey Rose A. Inosante

Philippines signs ASEAN fifth investment protocol

In this photo illustration, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) emblem is seen on a smartphone screen in front of the ASEAN flag. — PAVLO GONCHAR / SOPA IMAGES/SIPA VIA REUTERS CONNECT

THE Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) said the Philippines signed the Fifth Protocol of the ASEAN Comprehensive Investment Agreement (CIA) last week, and reported significant progress on amendments to the ASEAN-China Free Trade Area (FTA).

At an online briefing on Monday, Trade Secretary Cristina A. Roque said the ASEAN CIA “makes it easier for investors to identify sectors open for investment in the Philippines, signaling our readiness to be a leader in global economic and strategic manufacturing,” Ms. Roque said.

According to Undersecretary Allan B. Gepty, the protocol enables a more stable and predictable business environment that will help attract more investment.

“The submission of the Schedule of Reservations pursuant to the Fifth Protocol would provide greater certainty and transparency in determining which sectors are open for investments because those sectors with market access restrictions or limitations will be accordingly listed,” he said.

“This is aligned with the country’s policy to pursue an advanced, purposive, and forward-looking agreement,” he added.

ASEAN members commenced the signing process of the Fifth Protocol on Sept. 16 at Vientiane.

“It provides for the operationalization of the transition of the current single-annex ACIA reservation list to a two-annex negative list,” according to a post on ASEAN’s website.

These include the reservations against the obligation on Prohibition of Performance Requirements mandated under the Fourth Protocol, the expansion of the scope of the ACIA, and the application of the ratchet mechanism to some member states, it added.

Meanwhile, Mr. Gepty said that the ASEAN-China FTA 3.0 was also substantially concluded last week.

“It will be the third time that it is going to be upgraded,” he said.

In a joint statement, the ASEAN members said that the updated ASEAN-China FTA will “open up new opportunities as it remains responsive towards emerging challenges and takes into account modern trade practices.”

Aside from deepening commitments in existing areas, the upgraded agreement also seeks to introduce commitments in new areas such as digital economy, green economy, supply chain connectivity, competition and consumer protection, and micro, small and medium enterprises.

“These enhancements will foster an inclusive and sustainable regional economy, improve supply chain connectivity and resilience, and support the ASEAN and China digital transformation,” according to the joint statement. — Justine Irish D. Tabile

NFA Aug. palay procurement tops 3,209 MT

PHILIPPINE STAR/MIGUEL DE GUZMAN

THE National Food Authority (NFA) said on Wednesday that it procured 3,209.9 metric tons (MT) of palay, or unmilled rice, in August, equivalent to 64,199 sacks of 50 kilograms each.

In its monthly report, the NFA said the procurement represents an accomplishment rate of 16.64%, against a target of 19,285 MT or 385,700 sacks for August.

On the other hand, August palay procurement exceeded the year-earlier total of 285.25 MT or about 5,705 sacks.

“This significant shortfall in procurement can be attributed to the onset of the lean months,” it added.

The lean season for rice is July to September, when harvest activity slows down.

The NFA buys palay for between P23 and P25 per kilogram for dry and clean grain.

The NFA is targeting a palay inventory of 435,000 MT before the end of the year. It is required to maintain a rice reserve equivalent to about nine days’ demand.

As of Aug. 31, the NFA’s inventory of milled rice was 151,210 MT or 3,024,206 sacks.

“It should be noted that NFA’s inventory is only part of the national rice inventory” and excludes reserves held elsewhere, the NFA said.

The NFA said it distributed 24,267 bags (1,213.35 MT) of milled rice to various government agencies and local government units. This was well below its 547,200 bags (27,360 MT) target for the month. — Adrian H. Halili

Crop insurance payouts expected for over 10,000 farmers following typhoon

PAGASA.DOST.GOV.PH

THE Philippine Crop Insurance Corp. (PCIC) said on Monday that it is due to compensate 10,781 farmers affected by Typhoon Julian (international name: Krathon).

In a statement, the PCIC said it will initially disburse indemnities of P93.8 million to farmers from the Cordillera Administrative Region (CAR), Region I, and Region II.

“We need to immediately indemnify our farmers to restore their financial health so they can quickly recover from this calamity,” Agriculture Secretary Francisco P. Tiu Laurel, Jr. said.

“Fast-tracking the release of their insurance claims will foster confidence in the PCIC among our farmers and encourage more investors in agriculture,” he added.

Agricultural damage due to Typhoon Julian was estimated at P607.38 million, with lost volume reckoned at 25,407 metric tons, according to a Department of Agriculture (DA) bulletin released on Oct. 7.

“We have also issued strict instructions to our staff to assist affected farmers and speed up the processing of their damage claims,” PCIC President Jovy C. Bernabe said.

The PCIC said insured farmers from Region I amounted to 6,585. There were 2,355 such farmers from CAR and 1,841 from Region II.

The Philippines experiences about 20 tropical cyclones each year which heighten the risk of wind damage and flooding.

The government weather service, known as PAGASA (Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration), estimates a 71% chance of La Niña forming between September and November, likely persisting until the first quarter.

This is expected to bring an increased likelihood of typhoons, affecting crop production.

“I expect that we should perform much, much better next year. The DA must be ready to tackle whatever comes its way without excuses,” Mr. Laurel said. — Adrian H. Halili

AirAsia parent Capital A, Vietnam’s VinFast interested in expanding PHL presence — DTI

REUTERS

THE Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) said Capital A Bhd., which trades as AirAsia, and Vietnam electric vehicle maker VinFast LLC have expressed interest in expanding their presence in the Philippines.

Trade Secretary Cristina A. Roque said she received indications of the two companies’ interest on the sidelines of the ASEAN Summit and other related events last week.

She described their plans as being in the exploratory stages.

If their projects materialize, they could join Thailand’s SHERA Public Co. Ltd., which has made a P2.9-billion investment commitment in a building materials factory.

SHERA is currently building a green and artificial intelligence-driven fiber cement facility in Mabalacat, Pampanga. It is expected to start operations by the first quarter of 2025.

“There are other companies that are exploring, like Capital A. But I can’t really talk about the details because we’re still in the negotiation part,” she said in an online media briefing on Monday.

In a statement, Capital A on Monday announced that its shareholders approved the proposed disposal of the group’s aviation business to AirAsia X.

“With shareholder approval to divest the aviation business, we are unlocking a bright new future by delineating our pure-play aviation business from aviation support services,” said Tony Fernandes, chief executive officer of Capital A.

“This clarity will benefit both shareholders and customers, allowing us to redefine the future of travel in the region,” he added.

With the approval, the group can now separate its aviation and non-aviation businesses. This will allow the consolidation of its aviation businesses, which will synergize its short- and long-haul operations.

“Today’s approval from our shareholders also paves the way for Capital A to move to a clean balance sheet that will provide the clarity and flexibility to finalize our regularization plan and exit Practice Note 17 (PN17) status soon,” Mr. Fernandes said.

Issued by Malaysia’s stock exchange, PN17 status is a classification for listed companies that are in financial distress.

The company said it plans to seek a court order to distribute the consideration shares to shareholders through a planned reduction and repayment.

“These critical steps will enable Capital A to achieve a clean balance sheet and focus on submitting its regularization plan before the year end, with the aim of exiting PN17 status,” it added.

Meanwhile, Ms. Roque said that other companies also expressed interest in investing in the Philippines.

“There are also talks about renewable energy; there were also talks about electric vehicles (EV) also planning to come in from Vietnam, and then there’s also retail,” she said.

She identified the EV manufacturer from Vietnam as VinFast. — Justine Irish D. Tabile

Investment cooperation deal signed with S. Korea

REUTERS

THE Board of Investments (BoI) said it entered a partnership with the Korea Trade-Investment Promotion Agency (KOTRA) to explore collaboration in investment promotion.

In a statement on Monday, the BoI said that the memorandum of understanding (MoU) it signed with KOTRA aims to capitalize on the recent ratification of the free trade agreement between the Philippines and South Korea.

“This MoU will allow us to leverage South Korea’s advanced industries and technological expertise while promoting the Philippines as a hub for sustainable manufacturing and innovation,” Trade Undersecretary and BoI Managing Head Ceferino S. Rodolfo said.

“Together, we can make it happen in the Philippines by creating new opportunities for investment and growth, especially in high-impact sectors like electric vehicles, renewable energy, and critical mineral processing,” he added.

Under the MoU, BoI and KOTRA will seek to enhance cross-border investment flows via joint investment promotion initiatives, including seminars, trade missions, and business matching activities.

“The BoI has been proactive in positioning the Philippines as a regional hub for smart, sustainable manufacturing and services, particularly in sectors that align with global trends toward decarbonization and technological innovation,” it said.

“This latest partnership with KOTRA builds on BoI’s broader efforts to attract South Korean investors, especially in the fields of renewable energy, electric vehicles, battery manufacturing, and industrial technology,” it added.

The BoI has also entered a partnership with Shinhan Bank, Co., Ltd., which will potentially service South Korean companies venturing into the Philippines.

With the Shinhan partnership, the BoI seeks to boost South Korean firms’ confidence in investing in the Philippines by providing a support ecosystem.

“With the MoUs between BoI and Korean organizations in place, both countries are poised to accelerate investment exchanges and collaboration, paving the way for stronger economic growth, more job creation, and deeper regional integration,” the BoI said.

Bilateral trade with South Korea was $12 billion last year, making it one of the Philippines’ major trading partners. — Justine Irish D. Tabile

OECD cites potential of infrastructure projects to abuse marginalized groups 

A MAN arrives at a shallow part of Agos River, where the Metropolitan Waterworks and Sewerage System is planning to build a dam. — PHILSTAR FILE PHOTO / EFIGENIO TOLEDO IV

THE Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) said infrastructure projects in the Philippines have the potential to violate the rights of marginalized communities, and called on project proponents to behave responsibly.

“Currently, there are no overarching remedy mechanisms in the Philippines covering all areas of responsible business conduct (RBC)-related impacts by businesses on people, planet, and society — and moving forward there is room to expand these efforts,” the OECD said in a paper, “Responsible business conduct for sustainable infrastructure in the Philippines.”

While the OECD recognized the Philippine government’s efforts to create an enabling environment for RBC, it cited reports of ongoing human rights violations linked to infrastructure development.

The administration is banking heavily on infrastructure to bolster economic growth and productivity. Its key program, Build Better More, has a pipeline of 186 infrastructure flagship projects valued at P9.6 trillion.

The government aims to spend 5-6% of gross domestic product (GDP) yearly on infrastructure through 2028.

However, “in the Philippines, infrastructure projects have been associated with adverse impacts on vulnerable groups, including human rights defenders and indigenous peoples,” the OECD said.

Violations typically center on land  acquisition for major projects.

The Philippines also registered the most killings of land and environmental rights defenders in Asia, according to rights group Global Witness.

The OECD noted that the Philippines has yet to develop a National Action Plan on RBC or Business and Human Rights, to ensure that businesses consider their projects’ possible impact on the rights of vulnerable groups.

It also called strengthening the process of obtaining Free, Prior and Informed Consent from indigenous peoples hosting infrastructure projects.

“Ensuring that such regulations are effectively enforced, and that remedies are available when violations caused by business occur, particularly in remote regions, is essential throughout the infrastructure project lifecycle and requires regular monitoring by competent authorities.”

It said the Philippine government must also exemplify RBC in public procurement, public-private partnerships, and the activities of state-owned enterprises, the OECD said.

It must also promote active engagement with businesses, civil society groups, workers’ organizations, and affected communities.

Year to date, government spending on infrastructure rose 19.2% to P736.7 billion.

The government aims to invest the equivalent of 5-6% of GDP yearly in infrastructure through 2028. — Beatriz Marie D. Cruz

Clarifying VAT Refund

There have been various changes in the value-added tax (VAT) refund process these past few years, with the Bureau of Internal Revenue (BIR) continuously simplifying the requirements and procedure on VAT refund applications. Among the issuances of the BIR to streamline the guidelines and address or clarify some of the concerns of the taxpayers are Revenue Memorandum Circular (RMC) No. 71-2023, Revenue Memorandum Order (RMO) No. 23-2023, and Revenue Regulations (RR) No. 5-2024.

Notwithstanding, there are still taxpayers encountering challenges, to the point of frustration for some, in filing a claim for a VAT refund due to the strict requirements. This is due to the fact the tax refunds are in the nature of tax exemptions and, hence, are construed strictissimi juris against the taxpayer. Accordingly, the rules and procedures for claiming a tax refund should be faithfully complied with by the taxpayer.

One of the questions being asked by the taxpayers is whether the output VAT should be deducted first from the amount being claimed for a refund.

Section 110(B) of the 1997 Tax Code, as amended, provides that any input tax attributable to zero-rated sales by a VAT-registered taxpayer may, at his option, be refunded or credited against other internal revenue taxes, subject to the provisions of Section 112. Hence, aside from complying with the substantiation requirements, the taxpayer claiming a VAT refund must be able to prove the input VAT is attributable to zero-rated sales. Deducting the output tax from such input VAT is not a prerequisite before the same can be allowed for refund.

In Court of Tax Appeals (CTA) Case No. 8402, the petitioner requested a tax credit/refund of the excess and unutilized input VAT for the fourth quarter of 2009 amounting to P34.1 million. The CTA, however, granted only P15.9 million, which is computed as follows:

In computing the above amount allowed for a claim for refund, the CTA deducted the output VAT from the validated input VAT since the petitioner failed to substantiate its excess prior-year input VAT. According to the CTA, the petitioner’s mere declaration in its fourth quarter VAT return of the amount of input VAT carried over without further supporting invoices and/or official receipts to substantiate the claim is insufficient.

The Supreme Court (SC), however, reversed the decision of the CTA. In G.R. No. 226682-83, the SC ruled that under Section 4.110-4 of RR No. 16-2005, as amended, the refundable input VAT is computed by getting the percentage of valid zero-rated sales over total reported sales (VATable, zero-rated and exempt) multiplied by the properly substantiated input taxes not directly attributable to any of the transactions.

The SC explained that the Court En Banc, in Chevron Holdings, Inc. vs. Commissioner of Internal Revenue, clarified that a VAT-registered taxpayer engaged in zero-rated transactions with excess and unutilized input VAT attributable to zero-rated sales has two options. The first option is to charge the input tax against output tax from regulation 12% VATable sales and any unutilized or excess input tax may be claimed from a refund or the issuance of a tax credit certificate. The second option is to claim a refund or tax credit for the input VAT from zero-rated sales in its entirety. These remedies are alternative and cumulative. Accordingly, it was erroneous for the CTA to deduct the output tax from the validated input tax first and use the resultant amount in computing the input tax available for refund.

The SC further stressed that the taxpayer only needs to prove non-charging or non-application of input VAT subject of the claim. There is nothing in the law and rules that mandate the taxpayer to deduct the input tax attributable to zero-rated sales from the output tax on sales subject to 12% VAT first, and only the excess may be refunded or issued a tax credit certificate.

The Court further pointed out that before an input tax from zero-rate sales may even form part of the total allowable or creditable input taxes to be charged against our taxes, it may already be removed from the formula once the taxpayer opts to claim the entire amount for refund. Moreover, Congress referred to “any input tax” in the provision of Section 110(B) of the Tax Code, which could mean one, some, or all input tax from zero-rated sales. Had the legislature intended the charging of input tax attributable to zero-rated sales against output tax as a preliminary step to the refund, it would have used the phrase “excess input tax” in the provision.

Accordingly, claiming a VAT refund related to zero-rated sales, that the following are requisites, among others:

1. Both the sales and purchases are properly substantiated in accordance with Section 113 of the Tax Code.

2. The input VAT subject to refund is attributable to zero-rated sales.

3. Such input VAT was not applied or charged against the output tax during and in the succeeding quarters.

Considering that the burden of proving entitlement to a VAT refund lies with the claimant, it is incumbent upon the taxpayer-claimant to ensure that the foregoing requisites have been complied with.

There have been improvements in the VAT refund process since I started my career, and with the continuous efforts to streamline the process and address the taxpayers’ concerns, our country is heading towards a more efficient and transparent VAT refund system that will benefit not only taxpayers but the government as well.

Let’s Talk Tax is a weekly newspaper column of P&A Grant Thornton that aims to keep the public informed of various developments in taxation. This article is not intended to be a substitute for competent professional advice.

 

Edward L. Roguel is a partner of the Tax Advisory & Compliance division of P&A Grant Thornton, the Philippine member firm of Grant Thornton International Ltd.

pagrantthornton@ph.gt.com

Peso sinks to three-month low vs dollar

BW FILE PHOTO

THE PESO depreciated to an over three-month low against the dollar on Monday as mixed US data last week caused markets to recalibrate their US Federal Reserve rate cut bets.

The local unit closed at P57.47 per dollar on Monday, weakening by 26.5 centavos from its P57.205 finish on Friday, Bankers Association of the Philippines data showed.

This was the peso’s worst close in over three months or since it finished at P57.515 per dollar on Aug. 7.

The peso opened Monday’s session weaker at P57.28 against the dollar. It traded lower than Friday’s close the entire day, with its intraday best at just P57.26, while its worst showing was at P57.50 versus the greenback.

Dollars exchanged dropped to $780.38 million on Monday from $1.33 billion on Friday.

“The peso continued to suffer after the US producer inflation report eased concerns of future US price pressures,” a trader said in an e-mail.

The dollar was generally stronger on Monday due to US economic data released last week and their impact on Fed rate expectations, Rizal Commercial Banking Corp. Chief Economist Michael L. Ricafort added in a Viber message.

For Tuesday, the trader said the peso could decline further with several Fed officials set to speak overnight.

The trader sees the peso moving between P57.35 and P57.60 per dollar, while Mr. Ricafort expects it to range from P57.35 to P57.55.

The dollar hovered near recent highs on Monday as investors digested China’s somewhat disappointing weekend stimulus announcements, Reuters reported.

The dollar index was just above 103 and closing in on last week’s peak, its highest since mid-August, on the back of traders reducing bets on further jumbo rate cuts by the Federal Reserve at its remaining policy meetings this year.

Last week’s US data showing slightly hotter-than-expected consumer inflation, but higher weekly jobless claims have left intact expectations for the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points (bps) in November and December.

Fed Governor Christopher Waller — a supporter of a larger rate cut because he is worried the pace of price increases is undershooting the Fed’s target — was set to speak later on Monday.

US producer prices were unchanged in September as a small rise in the cost of services was offset by cheaper goods, pointing to a still-favorable inflation outlook and supporting views that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates again next month.

The unexpected flat reading reported by the Labor department on Friday followed data on Thursday showing consumer prices increased slightly more than expected last month.

The unchanged reading in the producer price index (PPI) for final demand last month followed an unrevised 0.2% gain in August, the Labor department’s Bureau of Labor Statistics said. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the PPI edging up 0.1%.

In the 12 months through September, the PPI increased 1.8% after climbing 1.9% in August. Consumer prices rose a bit above expectations in September, lifted by higher food costs.

Still, high prices continue to color consumers’ views of the economy. A separate survey from the University of Michigan on Friday showed its preliminary consumer sentiment index slipped to 68.9 in October from a final reading of 70.1 in September. Economists had forecast a preliminary reading of 70.8.

Consumers’ 12-month inflation expectations rose to 2.9% from 2.7% last month.

The Fed last month cut its policy rate by 50 bps to the 4.75%-5% range. It hiked rates by 525 bps in 2022 and 2023. — Aaron Michael C. Sy with Reuters