Philippine Labor Force Situation
The country’s jobless rate rose to a one-year high of 4.7% in July as fresh graduates entered the workforce, the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) said on Friday. Read the full story.
The country’s jobless rate rose to a one-year high of 4.7% in July as fresh graduates entered the workforce, the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) said on Friday. Read the full story.
ON SEPT. 10, the exhibit Love, Marina: The Fashion Legacy of Marina Reyes Antonio will open is SM Aura in BGC, Taguig. It is a tribute to fashion designer Marina Reyes Antonio and the three generations of fashion designers she inspired. The exhibit will show the works — mostly wedding gowns — of Marina Antonio, her daughter Malu Veloso, granddaughters Vicky and Letlet Veloso, and great-granddaughter Hannah Barrera. These include photos and gowns by the multitude of brides who wore creations by the designers on their big day, with the focus being on the matriarch, Marina Antonio. The exhibit will run from Sept. 10 to 24 at the 3rd level of SM Aura.
CELEBRATING 10 YEARS from its first launch in 2014, for Autumn/Winter 2024 Fendi has revamped its signature By The Way Boston bag, with a new super-relaxed version elevated through the use of Selleria and its intrinsic codes. It follows the luxurious softness and comfort of the season yet remaining faithful to its original Boston design and distinctive features. The bag is available in three sizes — large, medium, and mini. The By The Way Selleria family is crafted in soft Cuoio Romano naturally grained leather, sewn with bold tone-on-tone hand-made macro-stitches which enrich the studded handles, and a Selleria leather tag celebrating a craft with 100 years of history. The deconstructed silhouette results from a spacious, unique interior compartment. The design and functionality of the bag are enhanced with the addition of a knotted leather zip puller, a detachable and adjustable shoulder strap styled with a knot, and a leather keyring. Colorways include cappuccino, dove grey, military green, and classic black, as well as seasonal tones of blue. The style is available also in FF jacquard for both medium and mini sizes, while the latter is also made in a sculpted shearling variation in baby blue, pink, red, military green, and yellow. The bag will be available in Fendi boutiques worldwide and on fendi.com starting this month.
EXCLUSIVELY AVAILABLE at Sanitec, Kallista by Kohler offers a portfolio of design-driven bath and kitchen hardware by partnering with world-renowned designers, architects, and artists to reimagine every detail. Kallista highlights collections made in collaboration with interior and product designer Laura Kirar, and 2011 Wall Street Journal Innovator of the Year for architecture Bjarke Ingels. Kirar’s Pinna Paletta collection is jewelry-inspired, blending tactile details and sculptural forms. From hand showers and faucets to towel bars and hooks, each bathroom fixture features textural etchings in luxurious finishes such as chrome, unlacquered brass, and polished nickel with antique accents. Sanitec carries another Kirar collection called Kallista Foundations. Notable pieces include the elliptical Myam Vessels which feature a solid bronze cast that develops a unique patina over time. Available in matte black and white, these decorative vessels are perfect for the master bath, powder bath, or entertainment space. Ingels and Danish design firm KiBiSi collaborated on the Taper collection, marrying advanced engineering with the principles of classic Mid-Century Danish design. The concept removes the multiple components or parts that would usually go into a fixture, and instead keeps it at just one streamlined piece. The Taper Sink Faucet, with its signature cone-to-cylinder, forward-leaning profile, and 90-degree bend merges the countertop, faucet, and running water into one visually seamless design and embodies the collection’s unconventional, playful approach without excess. For more information, visit kohler.ph and follow @KohlerPhilippines on Facebook and @kohler.philippines on Instagram.
THE PESO could strengthen further against the dollar this week after US unemployment increased less than expected in August, bolstering expectations of a rate cut by the US Federal Reserve this month.
The local unit closed at P55.905 per dollar on Friday, strengthening by 30.5 centavos from its P56.21 finish on Thursday, Bankers Association of the Philippines data showed.
This was the peso’s first time to return to the P55-per-dollar level in almost six months. It was also its best finish since its P55.58-a-dollar close on March 18.
Week on week, the peso appreciated by 20.6 centavos from its P56.111 finish on Aug. 30.
The peso surged against the dollar on Friday following the US employment data released the day prior, Security Bank Corp. Chief Economist Robert Dan J. Roces said in a Viber message.
The dollar’s broad decline on Friday before the release of US nonfarm payrolls data that night also boosted the peso, Rizal Commercial Banking Corp. Chief Economist Michael L. Ricafort said in a Viber message.
The dollar briefly hit a one-month low versus the yen and a one-week low against the euro on Friday, as a mixed bag of US job market indicators bred caution ahead of a crucial monthly payrolls report later in the day, Reuters reported.
For this week, Mr. Roces said the peso’s movement against the dollar will depend on the US nonfarm payrolls report released on Friday.
US employment increased less than expected in August, but a drop in the jobless rate to 4.2% suggested the labor market was not falling off the cliff to warrant a half-point interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve this month, Reuters reported.
The closely watched employment report from the Labor department on Friday also showed solid wage growth last month, which should help to support consumer spending and keep the economy out of recession for now. Nonetheless, labor market momentum has slowed, with 86,000 fewer jobs added in June and July than previously reported.
The report led to a chorus of Fed officials declaring that the US central bank was ready to start cutting rates at its policy meeting in about two weeks. Higher borrowing costs are curbing overall demand in the economy.
The release of August US consumer inflation data on Sept. 11 (Wednesday) could also affect peso-dollar trading this week, Mr. Ricafort added.
He expects the peso to range from P55.60 to P56.10 against the dollar this week. — A.M.C. Sy with Reuters
PHILIPPINE SHARES may continue to climb this week as slower-than-expected inflation in August could give the central bank confidence to cut benchmark rates more than initially planned, analysts said.
On Friday, the Philippine Stock Exchange index (PSEi) rose by 0.4% or 28.12 points to close at 6,936.09, while the broader all shares index went up by 0.36% or 13.59 points to end at 3,752.86.
Week on week, the PSEi climbed by 0.56% or 38.55 points from its 6,897.54 finish on Aug. 30.
“Bulls came to life after an early week slump, empowered by Philippine inflation hitting a new seven-month low,” online brokerage firm 2TradeAsia.com said in a market note.
“In general, the local market went back to tepid trading last week as uncertainties over the US economy clouded investor sentiment. The market showed that it still respects the 6,700-6,800 support range, but at the same time, it is still unable to get past the 7,000 resistance line,” Philstocks Financial, Inc. Senior Research Analyst Japhet Louis O. Tantiangco said in a Viber message.
For this week, Mr. Tantiangco said the PSEi may move with an upward bias.
“The latest inflation figures are seen to strengthen the case for the continuation of the BSP’s (Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas) monetary policy easing. This in turn is seen to drive optimism in the market,” he said.
Headline inflation eased to a seven-month low of 3.3% in August from 4.4% in July and 5.3% in the same month a year ago, the Philippine Statistics Authority reported on Thursday. This was within the BSP’s 3.2-4% forecast for the month and was well below the 3.7% median estimate in a BusinessWorld poll of 15 analysts.
The slower-than-expected August print could justify further policy easing, analysts said.
The central bank on Aug. 15 cut its policy rate by 25 basis points (bps) to 6.25%, marking its first easing move in nearly four years.
BSP Governor Eli M. Remolona, Jr. has said they could cut rates by another 25 bps within the year. The Monetary Board’s last two policy-setting meetings this year are on Oct. 17 and Dec. 19.
“Also, the local currency has recently exhibited appreciation against the US dollar. If this continues this week, it is also expected to give the market a boost,” Mr. Tantiangco added.
The peso closed at P55.905 per dollar on Friday, surging by 30.50 centavos from its P56.21 finish on Thursday, Bankers Association of the Philippines data showed.
This was the peso’s first time to return to the P55-per-dollar level in almost six months. It was also its best finish since its P55.58-a-dollar close on March 18.
Mr. Tantiangco said worries over the US economy’s health could also continue to affect market sentiment this week.
2TradeAsia.com put the PSEi’s immediate support at 6,850 and resistance at 7,000-7,100.
“With macro fundamentals turning for the better, attention should quickly revert to corporate valuations,” the online brokerage said. — Revin Mikhael D. Ochave
By Kyle Aristophere T. Atienza, Reporter
THE PHILIPPINES needs new health taxes to fund nutrition programs amid spiraling prices that have worsened malnutrition, which is likely experienced by near-poor households, according to an economist.
“New resources are needed to subsidize the nutritional requirements of the poor,” Filomeno S. Sta. Ana III, coordinator at advocacy group Action for Economic Reforms, said in an e-mail. A tax on sweetened beverages could be earmarked for nutrition programs, he added.
“The first win is that such health taxes discourage the consumption of unhealthy or harmful products such as tobacco, alcohol and sweetened beverages,” he said. “The second win is that the revenues from these taxes are earmarked for health and nutrition.”
A “catastrophic event” in the family or a nationwide shock could affect them and make them absolutely poor, Mr. Sta. Ana said.
“The problem of stunting and wasting arising from undernutrition is not limited to the extreme poor households but also includes the near poor,” he added, citing opinion polls and government data.
A recent Social Weather Stations (SWS) poll showed that 16 million or over 50% of Filipino families labeled themselves poor, the highest in more than two decades.
This could get worse amid recent “nationwide shocks,” the group said.
The National Economic and Development Authority (NEDA) has been under fire for its poverty metrics, which considers Filipinos not “food poor” if they have a budget of a little over P20 for each of their three daily meals.
As of 2023, the monthly food threshold for a family of five was P9,581, or about P64 per person a day,” NEDA Secretary Arsenio M. Balisacan told lawmakers last month. He said the food-poor threshold in 2021 was P55 and P63 last year.
Data from the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA), whose board is led by the NEDA Secretary, showed that a family of five people needed at least P 13,873 monthly to meet their minimum basic food and nonfood needs last year.
Nine regions in the country had poverty thresholds higher than the national average, it said, with Central Luzon leading the list with a P16,046 poverty threshold. It was followed by Metro Manila with P15,713, and Calabarzon with P 15,457.
Soccsksargen posted the lowest poverty threshold or P12,241.
While the PSA data showed that the number of people living in poverty fell to 17.54 million from almost 20 million people in 2021, 2.7% or about 740,000 families did not have enough income to meet their basic food needs.
Mr. Sta. Ana said those who are just above the government’s poverty line would naturally and “expectedly describe themselves as poor” due to economic uncertainties.
“A catastrophic event in the family or a nationwide shock will greatly affect them and make them absolutely poor.”
The SWS self-rated poverty pool, which Mr. Sta. Ana said captures the sentiment of people, rose to 58% in June from 46% in March, the highest since June 2008 at 49%. Hunger rose to 17.6% from 14.2%.
The Philippines has been counting the costs of recent natural calamities including Severe Tropical Storm Yagi (Enteng), which killed more than a dozen people and affected more than 700,000 families in 10 regions.
The storm caused more than P600 million in farm damage and over P698 million in infrastructure damage.
Jefferson A. Arapoc, who teaches economics at the University of the Philippines Los Baños, said the food bundle developed by the Food and Nutrition Research Institute, which serves as a basis for NEDA’s food metrics, must be re-examined.
This is because it may not cover people engaged in physically demanding jobs and may not be responsive to state efforts to boost the country’s demographic dividend advantages.
“It’s clear that while a 2,000-calorie diet may meet the average needs of most adults, caloric requirements can vary significantly based on factors such as age, gender, weight, height and activity level,” he said in an e-mail.
“For instance, individuals engaged in physically demanding jobs — often those from lower-income backgrounds working in roles like janitorial services or construction — require a higher caloric intake to sustain their energy levels,” he added. “Additionally, simply listing foods that meet daily caloric needs is overly simplistic.”
MORE REALISTIC METRICS
Mr. Arapoc said the government’s food-poverty metrics “overlooks both the direct and indirect costs associated with acquiring, preparing and consuming these foods.”
“If we truly want to maximize the benefits from demographic dividends, we must prioritize the health of our workforce, ensuring they are fully capable of contributing their maximum potential.”
He noted that nutrition issues such as child stunting and wasting have irreversible consequences for the future workforce, “limiting their ability to contribute effectively to the economy.”
“If we neglect this issue now, we risk undermining the long-term potential of our labor force. It is crucial that we address this issue to ensure the future productivity of our workforce.”
Mr. Sta. Ana said subsidies under the government’s flagship poverty alleviation program Pantawid Pamilyang Pilipino Program (4Ps) must be increased amid high inflation.
The amount also does not cover the nutritional needs of pregnant mothers and children in their first 1,000 days, he added.
Philippine inflation eased to 3.3% last month from 4.4% in July, after a moderate rise in food prices and a decline in transport costs.
Nonalcoholic beverage prices fell by 3.9%, while transport prices declined by 0.2%.
Rice inflation, which has been a major headache for the government in recent months, slowed to 14.7% from 20.9% in July and 22.5% in June. Still, it remained the top contributor to last month’s inflation, which was within the Philippine central bank’s 2%-4% target.
“The inadequate social services, particularly healthcare, make the situation all the more distressing for the population,” Mr. Sta. Ana said.
“Out-of-pocket expenses for health are equivalent to 46% of total current health expenditure,” he added.
The previous trend of decreasing out-of-pocket expenses as a percentage of health expenditures has been reversed, he said, citing World Bank figures.
Meanwhile, Mr. Arapoc said a more realistic poverty metrics is crucial to effective policymaking. “Evidence-based interventions can only be successful if the underlying metrics accurately reflects the problem at hand,” he added.
The Philippines aims to reduce poverty by 8.8%-9% by 2028, but a De La Salle School of Economics report in June said the target could only be met by 2035.
“If policies are based on flawed or inadequate measures, they may fail to address the core issues, potentially exacerbating the very problems they aim to solve,” Mr. Arapoc said. “This could lead to policies that achieve superficial success but fail to address the actual problem.”
A FARMER’S group has renewed its call to repeal a law that liberalized rice imports and made local traders pay a 35% tariff on grain, citing the need to reduce the country’s reliance on imports.
“The entire rice industry suffers an immeasurable loss due to the low farm gate price of rice caused by the large volume of imports,” Bantay Bigas Spokesperson Cathy L. Estavillo said in a Viber message in Filipino at the weekend.”It’s pointless (imports) because it did not lower the price of rice.”
The Senate last week approved on second reading a bill that seeks to raise yearly allocations for the Rice Competitiveness Enhancement Fund (RCEF) under the Rice Tariffication Law of 2019 to P30 billion from P10 billion until 2031.
Under Senate Bill No. 2779, the Department of Agriculture (DA) will be powered to declare a food security emergency due to shortages or “extraordinary” increases in rice prices.
In emergencies, the agency may sell the National Food Authority’s (NFA) rice reserves in areas suffering from shortage or “extraordinary” high prices of the grain, replenish the inventory with domestic rice and import rice if no domestic grain is available.
The higher funding for RCEF will be used for equipment to grow high quality inbred rice seeds, cash aid for farmers and the construction of solar-powered irrigation systems, among other farming technologies, according to the Senate bill.
“We should not only focus on tax collection; instead, we must resolve the issue of the Philippines being the number one rice net importer for the past three years under the Rice Tariffication Law,” Ms. Estavillo said.
The Philippines is likely to be the world’s top rice importer this year and next year, according to the US Department of Agriculture.
The House of Representatives approved its version of the measure in May, which seeks to restore the National Food Authority’s power to import rice during national emergencies. House Bill No. 10381 increased RCEF to P15 billion from P10 billion.
The Agriculture secretary may designate the importing entity, while the NFA remains barred from importing rice.
“The Senate version is far better than the House version,” former Agriculture Undersecretary Fermin D. Adriano said in a Viber message. “The challenge now is how to allocate RCEF in a more judicious and efficient manner.”
President Ferdinand R. Marcos, Jr. earlier signed Executive Order No. 62, which reduced tariffs on imported rice to 15% from 35% until 2028 to lower the price of the grain.
Last week, Agriculture Secretary Francisco P. Tiu Laurel, Jr. said the agency is not keen on recommending to raise tariffs on imported rice since retail prices have not gone down.
Imported and local well-milled rice in Metro Manila markets was being sold for P47-55 a kilo, according to DA’s price monitor as of Sept. 5. Local regular-milled rice was being sold for P43-50 a kilo, while imported regular-milled rice was P47-50 a kilo.
“It is difficult to rely on the available stock in the world market because prices are very volatile,” Ms. Estavillo said. “It is necessary to restore the mandate of the NFA to regulate rice prices.” — John Victor D. Ordoñez
By Chloe Mari A. Hufana, Reporter
AN OUSTED Philippine town mayor with alleged links to Chinese criminal syndicates is getting special treatment from law enforcers after her arrest and deportation from Indonesia, a political science expert said at the weekend.
“The fact that the fugitive is highly suspected to be guilty of crimes against the state does not merit kid glove treatment,” Hansley A. Juliano, a political science lecturer at the Ateneo de Manila University, told BusinessWorld in a Facebook Messenger chat.
He said it is the duty of the police, Bureau of Immigration and National Bureau of Investigation (NBI), to appear impartial, distant and professional.
“The fact that the Philippine National Police employs police brutality against urban poor and activists, while treating [former Bamban Mayor] Alice Guo like she isn’t even at great suspicion, continues to delegitimize the institution and erodes its credibility,” he added.
Ms. Guo, who was arrested and deported from Jakarta last week, has pending arrest warrants from the Senate and a Tarlac court.
A photo that surfaced online showed her and Immigration and NBI agents smiling for the camera while they were on their way to the airport.
Interior Secretary Benjamin C. Abalos, Jr. and national police chief Rommel Francisco D. Marbil, who both went to Jakarta to fetch Ms. Guo, also posed for the camera smiling with Ms. Guo.
National Union of Peoples’ Lawyers (NUPL) President Ephraim B. Cortez said such actions leave a bad taste in the mouth.
“It leaves a bad taste in the mouth seeing agents being friendly with the arrested suspect and all of them grinning from ear to ear, which is not the same scenario when they arrest an ordinary drug pusher,” he told BusinessWorld in a Viber message.
“These photos and videos… depict the special treatment accorded to Alice Guo, and the disparity in the treatment of ordinary citizens who are under arrest like her,” he added.
Mr. Cortez said photography is used by investigative agencies to aid their probes.
He added that while agents are not prohibited from being photographed with suspects, the photos should not be part of the investigation record and remain a private photo of the agent.
Mr. Abalos last week denied giving Ms. Guo special treatment. He added that the photos were part of the documentation process.
Ms. Guo’s legal counsel, Stephen L. David, did not immediately reply to a text message seeking comment.
The dismissed mayor is set to attend a Senate hearing on Sept. 9 as the chamber continues its investigation of her alleged links to illegal Philippine offshore gaming operators (POGO).
Ms. Guo faces complaints from the Ombudsman, Office of the Solicitor General and Commission on Elections (Comelec).
She allegedly left the Philippines illegally last July to go to Malaysia, then Singapore and Indonesia, where she was arrested.
Law enforcers last March raided a POGO compound in Bamban, Tarlac for operating without a license. The operator was also accused of human trafficking and operating a scam network.
A PHILIPPINE senator has filed a resolution that seeks to probe the alleged cover up by Davao officials and personalities in the smuggling of crystal meth (shabu) worth P11 billion in 2018.
Under Senate Resolution No. 1177, Senator Ronald M. dela Rosa sought to investigate the officials, including a former presidential economic adviser, and a congressman.
The call stemmed from a recent House of Representatives probe that looked into the allegations of former Customs security officer Jimmy Guban, accusing the officials and personalities of colluding to cover up the smuggling of illegal drugs.
“These serious allegations of involvement of government officials, cover-up and manipulation by government officials involving the multi-billion-peso shabu shipment runs contrary to the provisions of the 1987 Constitution which emphasizes that ‘public office is a public trust’,” Mr. Dela Rosa said in the resolution, dated Sept. 3.
Mr. Guban is the same Customs security officer served as a key witness in the Senate investigation on the importation of the multi-billion worth of shabu using magnetic lifters.
Mr. Dela Rosa noted in the resolution that the allegations Mr. Guban in the 2018 Senate probe were false, and contradictory to his statement before the quad committee.
“He further admitted before the House quad committee that he allegedly lied about the persons responsible for the illegal shipment of shabu during his testimony to the Senate in 2018 because of threats to his and his family’s life,” the resolution read in part.
“His allegations came as a shock to the public as this was completely contradictory to his statements during the investigations conducted in 2018 which led to his conviction.”
In his third address to Congress, President Ferdinand R. Marcos, Jr. that among the over 6,000 high-value targets arrested involved in the illegal drug trade, 400 of them were government employees, 42 of whom where uniformed personnel and 77 were elected official.
“This government believes that drug dependence is a serious mental health condition,” the President said in his speech.
“Conversely, the lack of access to treatment for substance abuse results in chronic illnesses and other adverse social effects on the community.” — John Victor D. Ordoñez
THE Office of the Solicitor General asked the Supreme Court (SC) to deny a petition seeking to halt the P89.9-billion Philippine Health Insurance Corp. (PhilHealth) funds transfer to the national treasury, citing procedural and substantive issues.
In the comment filed on Sept. 4, Solicitor General Menardo I. Guevarra said the Department of Finance (DoF) Circular 003-2024 and Section 1(d) Chapter XLIII of the General Appropriations Act (GAA) were constitutional and did not violate Filipinos’ right to health.
“Assuming that there are challenges, roadblocks, and shortcomings in achieving the purposes of the UHCA (Universal Health Care Act), the same are matters only of its implementation, and are not tantamount to a violation of the right to health, as erroneously espoused by petitioners,” the 85-page comment read.
“All told, there is no violation of the people’s right to health in this case. The transfer of funds has not been clearly shown to have impaired, let alone violated, the mandates of the UHCA,” it added.
Senator Aquilino Martin “Koko” D. Pimentel III and ex-DoF Undersecretary Maria Cielo D. Magno, among others, initiated the lawsuit, seeking a temporary restraining order and/or a writ of preliminary injunction from the high court to prevent the fund transfer from the PhilHealth to the national treasury.
Last month, P10 billion was transferred as the second tranche of the initiative. The initial transfer was last May with P20 billion.
Another P30 billion is set to be transferred in October and the last tranche with P29.9 billion in November. — Chloe Mari A. Hufana
THE SUPREME Court (SC) on Sunday said there are 10,483 bar examination takers this year, a notch higher than last year’s 10,387.
Associate Justice Mario V. Lopez, the 2024 Bar Chairperson, told reporters in a news briefing there were 5,234 first-time examinees, 4,016 retakers, and 1,189 refreshers, or those who failed thrice in the previous bar exams.
There are 13 testing centers nationwide: 6 in Metro Manila, 2 in Luzon, 3 in Visayas, and 2 in Mindanao.
Mr. Lopez said digitalization is one of the reforms for this year’s exams, specifically the Examplify software and secure testing platforms.
The results are set to be released in early December, while the oath-taking ceremony and signing of the Roll of Attorneys are scheduled on Jan. 24, 2025.
The passing rate last year was 36.77%, with 3,812 passers. This was lower than the 2022 passing rate of 43.37% or 3,992 passers out of 9,183 examinees. — Chloe Mari A. Hufana
THE GOVERNMENT’S lack of funding for special human rights laws for next year casts doubts on President Ferdinand R. Marcos, Jr.’s commitment to upholding human rights despite efforts to promote human rights under his administration, according to Human Rights Watch.
“Not providing the needed funds to enact these laws that have to do with human rights is nothing short of egregious,” Carlos H. Conde, a senior researcher at the Asia division of Human Rights Watch, told BusinessWorld in a WhatsApp message.
“It shows that the government is not putting its money where its mouth is…. it raises doubts about the seriousness of its commitment,” he added.
The Commission on Human Rights last week revealed that special human rights laws, including measures addressing human trafficking, violence against women and their children and crimes against humanity, among other laws, did not receive a single centavo under the proposed P6.352-trillion 2025 national budget. — Kenneth Christiane L. Basilio