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Palace extends authority of officers-in-charge until yearend

MALACANANG.GOV.PH

THE PRESIDENTIAL Palace on Thursday released a memorandum circular extending the authority of officers-in-charge of agencies under the Executive department until the end of the year. 

This extends the authority of Officers in Charge until December 2022, unless a replacement has been designated or appointed, whichever comes first,Press Secretary Trixie Cruz-Angeles said in a statement. 

In Memorandum Circular (MC) 3, Executive Secretary Victor D. Rodriguez said the extension of the term of OICs until end-December will “ensure the continuous and effective delivery of government services.” 

Among those covered by the memo is Health Undersecretary Maria Rosario S. Vergeire who is currently OIC head of the department. 

The Department of National Defense and the Department of Science and Technology are also among the agencies with OICs. 

The latest memo supplements and amends MC 1, which facilitates the designation of OICs in government agencies where Mr. Marcos has yet to appoint a secretary or head. Kyle Aristophere T. Atienza

Teachers’ party-list denounces DepEd plan on added benefits instead of pay hike

A GRADE 1 teacher at an elementary school in Montalban, Rizal holds tutorial classes on Nov. 15, 2021. — PHILIPPINE STAR/ MICHAEL VARCAS

DEPUTY Minority Leader and ACT Teachers Party-list Rep. France L. Castro on Thursday said their group is disappointed by the Department of Educations (DepEd) proposal to grant additional benefits to teachers instead of a pay increase.  

“Teachers in the public sector have been left behind by other professions with similar qualifications,Ms. Castro said in a statement.   

It is only just that the government gives our teachers increases in their salaries,” she said, noting governments lack of support in terms of overtime pay and provision of allowances for additional costs required under the blended learning system during the coronavirus pandemic.   

She cited Section 15 of Republic Act 4670, or the Magna Carta for Public School teachers, which states that ‘Teachers’ salaries shall compare favorably with those paid in other occupations requiring equivalent or similar qualifications, training and abilities and that they shall be such as to insure teachers a reasonable standard of life for themselves and their families.”   

Ms. Castro also said that the government needs to raise public school teachers’ salaries to set the standard for those teaching in private schools.   

For the longest time, the government has been denying public school teachers salary increases by pitting their salaries against teachers in the private sector, which is wrong because most private school teachers are paid at very low rates, even near-starvation salaries,” she said.  

The ACT Teachers Party-list filed House Bill 203 which seeks to upgrade the salary grade of public school educators.   

“These are part of our priority measures that reflect the demands of our teachers in both the public and private sector. We urge the House leadership to pass these bills into law,” Ms. Castro said. Matthew Carl L. Montecillo 

Almost 2,600 kilos of trash collected in Muntinlupa under Maynilad’s clean-up drive for Laguna Lake

MAYNILAD PHOTO HANDOUT

HUNDREDS of sacks of solid waste weighing a total of 2,584 kilograms were collected during a recent clean-up drive in Muntinlupa Citys two rivers as part of Maynilad Water Services, Inc.s (Maynilad) program to protect the water quality in Laguna Lake.  

The Magdaong and Alabang-Bayanan rivers in the city are among the tributaries that flow into Laguna Lake, which serves as a raw water source for about two million consumers within Maynilads concession area, the company said in a statement on Thursday.    

These river clean-up drives are among the interventions we are taking to help reduce pollution load into Laguna Lake, which is being used as a source for drinking water and should therefore be protected,” says Maynilad President and Chief Executive Officer Ramoncito S. Fernandez.  

We call on other stakeholders to also partner with us in this environmental conservation initiative, he said.   

Maynilad said the clean-up activity also helped unclog waterways that cause flooding.  

The water company also said it is donating solar paddle wheels and a water quality analyzer equipment to Muntinlupa City to help mitigate algal bloom episodes in Laguna Lake.   

Maynilad provides water and wastewater services in the west zone of the greater Metro Manila area, covering 17 cities and municipalities.   

Metro Pacific Investments Corp., which has a majority stake in Maynilad, is one of three Philippine units of Hong Kong-based First Pacific Co. Ltd., the others being Philex Mining Corp. and PLDT, Inc. 

Hastings Holdings, Inc., a unit of PLDT Beneficial Trust Fund subsidiary MediaQuest Holdings, Inc., has an interest in BusinessWorld through the Philippine Star Group, which it controls. 

North Korea’s Kim says nuclear deterrent is ready, slams South Korea’s Yoon

KCNA VIA REUTERS

SEOUL — North Korean leader Kim Jong Un said his country is ready to mobilize its nuclear war deterrent and counter any US military clash, and criticized South Korea’s new president for the first time, warning Seoul was pushing towards the brink of war. 

Mr. Kim made the remarks during a speech at an event to mark the 69th anniversary of the July 27 Korean War armistice, which left the two Koreas technically still at war, according to the official KCNA news agency on Thursday. 

The confrontation with the United States posed nuclear threats since the 1950–53 war required the North to achieve an “urgent historical task” of beefing up its self-defense, Mr. Kim said. 

“Our armed forces are thoroughly prepared to respond to any crisis, and our nation’s nuclear war deterrence is also fully ready to mobilize its absolute strength faithfully, accurately and promptly to its mission,” he said. 

The speech came after Seoul and Washington officials said Pyongyang has completed preparations to conduct its first nuclear test since 2017. 

South Korea’s unification minister handling inter-Korean affairs said on Tuesday there was a “possibility” of the test around the anniversary of the armistice, though a military official said there were no immediate signs for it. 

North Korea is likely to face stronger sanctions including measures targeting its cyberattack capabilities if it goes ahead with the test, South Korea’s foreign minister said on Wednesday. 

In the speech, Mr. Kim said Washington continues “dangerous, illegal hostile acts” with South Korea against the North, and seeks to justify its behavior by “demonizing” the country. 

The North has long accused the United States of double standards over military activities and pursuing a hostile policy towards Pyongyang, saying it hampers a restart of talks aimed at dismantling the country’s nuclear and missile programs in return for sanctions relief. 

“The duplex act of the United States, which is misleading all the routine actions of our armed forces as ‘provocation’ and ‘threat’ while holding large-scale joint military exercises that seriously threaten our security, is literally a robbery,” Mr. Kim said. 

“That is driving bilateral relations to the point where it is difficult to turn back, into a state of conflict.” 

‘ABSOLUTE WEAPON’
Mr. Kim also denounced South Korea’s new conservative President Yoon Suk-yeol by name for the first time, accusing him of threatening the North’s security and right to self-defense. 

“Warmongers” and “disgusting thugs” in Mr. Yoon’s administration are bent on confrontational military activities, Mr. Kim said, singling out Seoul’s weapons developments and drive to bring back US nuclear strategic assets as well as allied military drills. 

Their “heinous confrontational policy” toward the North and “toadyish, treacherous acts” are pushing the situation to the brink of war, he said. 

North Korea in recent months has tested hypersonic missiles and missiles that it says could carry tactical nuclear weapons, narrowing the time that Seoul would have to respond to a pending attack. 

Mr. Yoon has vowed to complete the so-called “Kill Chain” system that calls for preemptive strikes against the North’s missiles and possibly its leadership if an imminent attack is detected. 

But that system would never be able to cover the North’s “absolute weapon,” Mr. Kim said. 

“If you think you can counter us militarily and preemptively neutralize or destroy part of our military power,” he said. “Such a dangerous attempt will immediately be punished by a powerful force, and Yoon Suk-yeol’s government and his army will be annihilated.” 

Seoul’s defense ministry spokesman said it would continue reinforcing its own capabilities and the US extended deterrence including its nuclear umbrella to better respond to Pyongyang’s threats. 

Yang Moo-jin, a professor at the University of North Korean Studies in Seoul, said Mr. Kim’s remarks seem to be intended to highlight the legitimacy for weapons developments and his “eye for eye” approach toward Washington and Seoul. — Hyonhee Shin and Soo-hyang Choi/Reuters

Biden looks to tamp down Taiwan tension during call with Xi

REUTERS

WASHINGTON — US President Joseph R. Biden and China’s Xi Jinping may hold their fifth call as leaders as soon as today, as concerns rise over a possible visit to Chinese-claimed Taiwan by US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi.

White House officials have said the long-planned call will have a broad agenda, including discussion of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, which China has yet to condemn.

At its core, US officials see the exchange as another chance to manage competition between the world’s two largest economies, whose ties are increasingly clouded by tensions over democratically governed Taiwan, which Mr. Xi has vowed to reunite with the mainland, by force if necessary.

Beijing has issued escalating warnings about repercussions should Ms. Pelosi visit Taiwan, a move that would be a dramatic, though not unprecedented, show of US support for the island, which says it is facing increasing Chinese military and economic threats.

Washington does not have official relations with Taiwan and follows a “one-China” policy that recognizes Beijing, not Taipei diplomatically. But it is obliged by US law to provide the island with the means to defend itself, and pressure has been mounting in Congress for more explicit support.

“This is about keeping the lines of communication open with the president of China, one of the most consequential bilateral relationships that we have, not just in that region, but around the world, because it touches so much,” White House national security spokesman John Kirby told reporters on Wednesday.

One person briefed on planning for the call said the Biden administration thinks leader-to-leader engagement is the best way to lower tensions over Taiwan.

Mr. Xi has an interest in avoiding a tense confrontation with the United States as he seeks an unprecedented third term in office at a congress of China’s ruling Communist Party, which is expected in October or November, some analysts believe.

Mr. Biden also wants to discuss climate and economic competition issues, the person briefed said, as well as the idea of placing a price cap on Russian oil to punish Moscow for its war in Ukraine, an issue Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen raised with Chinese counterparts earlier in July.

The Biden administration has been debating whether to lift some tariffs on Chinese goods as a way to ease soaring inflation, but US officials have said a decision was not expected ahead of the call.

When Mr. Biden last spoke to Mr. Xi in March, he warned of “consequences” if Beijing gave material support for Russia’s war, and the US government believes, that red line has not been crossed in the months since.

TOXIC TIES
The White House has reiterated that its “one-China” policy has not changed despite speculation over a possible trip by Ms. Pelosi, which the speaker has yet to confirm.

The last time a speaker of the US House of Representatives visited Taiwan was in 1997, and as a co-equal branch of government, the US executive has little control over congressional travel.

China has grown more powerful militarily and economically since, and some analysts worry such a visit at a time of fraught ties, could spur a crisis across the 100-mile (160-km) wide Taiwan Strait waterway separating China and Taiwan.

“The relationship is in such a toxic state. Mutual distrust is really at an all-time high. I think people don’t realize how dangerous this particular moment is,” said Bonnie Glaser, a China expert at the German Marshall Fund of the United States.

She said Mr. Biden and Mr. Xi needed to focus their call on de-escalation, including possible mechanisms to reduce the risk of mishaps.

Mr. Kirby said the administration has been in touch with Ms. Pelosi’s office to make sure she has “all the context” she needs to make decisions about her travel.

China has given few clues to specific responses it might take if Ms. Pelosi, a longtime critic of China, particularly on human rights issues, does go to Taiwan.

Martin Chorzempa, a senior research fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, said playing up the Taiwan issue could serve Mr. Xi as a domestic distraction from China’s slowing economy, but “any reaction strong enough to trigger US sanctions would create massive damage to China and the world economy.” — Reuters

After cannabis, Thailand takes step to allow casinos to operate

AFTER decriminalizing cannabis, Thailand is now considering casinos to attract foreign money and lure more tourists to galvanize its pandemic-hit economy.

A panel of Thai lawmakers submitted a report on Wednesday to Parliament, recommending the government issue a decree allowing “entertainment complexes” that include legal casinos to be built in key cities across the country.

The proposal comes as Thailand seeks to revive its all-important tourism industry, a key to rebooting the country’s economy. The blueprint, if adopted, could help Thailand generate billions of dollars from foreign investors, travelers and Thai gamblers — who would otherwise spend gaming money in neighboring countries, according to the panel.

“We’re focused on attracting foreigners to step up tourism and draw more money out of their pockets,” said Pichet Chuamuangphan, a lawmaker from the Pheu Thai Party, who is a vice chairman of the panel. “This will also stem the outflow of money from Thai gamblers and help the government collect hefty taxes for our economic security.”

The proposal for casinos comes amid Thailand’s broader move toward a more-liberal legal landscape. Last month, Thailand became the first country in Asia to decriminalize cannabis and first in Southeast Asia to move toward legalizing same-sex unions.

Greater Bangkok would be ideal for the initial casino, followed by facilities in seaside southern provinces such as Phuket, Krabi or Phang Nga, Mr. Pichet said. Tourist destinations like Chiang Mai in the north and Chonburi, home to beach resort Pattaya, are also obvious contenders among the 77 provinces.

At least 400 billion baht ($11 billion) in additional tax revenue would be collected annually once several facilities are operating, he said.

The panel’s recommendations are built upon Thailand’s Gambling Act of 1935, which prohibits most types of betting but contains a provision that gives the government powers to issue decrees or licenses that green-light certain gaming activities and venues.

A key to successful facilities in Thailand would be to allow locals to participate, as foreigner-only properties in Vietnam and South Korea “showed how casinos suffer without steady foot traffic,” Bloomberg Intelligence analysts Angela Hanlee and Kai Lin Choo said in a March report. Currently, casinos in Poipet, a Cambodian city across the border, “are fed by Thai gamblers,” the report said.

Public-private partnerships with domestic or foreign companies could be set up or the operating licenses may be issued directly to private firms. Either way, complexes must include facilities such as hotels, amusement parks and retail outlets, Mr. Pichet said. Providing multiple activities will avoid the creation of gambling dens and broaden the appeal of the tourism industry, he said. 

Thais who are at least 20 and have a minimum 500,000 baht in bank accounts would be allowed to gamble, according to the proposal, which stipulates a minimum 30% tax on casino operators’ revenue.

With the blueprint’s submission Wednesday, Thai lawmakers will next deliberate on whether to act on the recommendations, which could be concluded before a parliamentary recess in September, Pichet said. — Bloomberg

Spain asks EU Parliament to make Catalan its first regional language

A giant Estelada flag (Catalan separatist flag) is seen in Barcelona, Spain Feb. 12, 2021. — REUTERS/ALBERT GEA

MADRID — The Spanish government said on Wednesday it will ask the European Parliament to consider allowing the use of Catalan in the chamber, in what would be a first for a European regional language.

Madrid will present to the Parliament’s board in Brussels a “technically and financially viable” proposal and work to gather a majority among the board’s members to support the change, with the aim of getting it approved before year-end, the Catalan regional and central governments said in a joint statement.

Spain will extend the request to be used at the parliament for its the other two official regional languages, Basque and Galician, if their regional governments ask for it.

In order for a language to be declared official, it is necessary for the government of an European Union (EU) member state to request it expressly and to receive unanimous approval from the EU Council, a parliament spokesperson said.

Catalan is widely spoken in Catalonia, along with Spanish, and is also used with certain variations in two nearby regions. Its use was suppressed during General Francisco Franco’s 1939-1975 dictatorship in Spain.

Catalonia’s separatist government is on a drive to protect and promote the use of Catalan following several recent legal battles in courts by citizens and groups seeking to curb its use in public schools.

The plan to approach the European Parliament for permission to use it there was announced after talks with the Spanish leftist coalition government, which has taken a more conciliatory approach to the separatists than its conservative predecessor.

There are currently 24 official languages in the European Parliament and any new language would imply significant additional translation requirements.

Catalan nationalist parties have long pushed for the language’s use in European institutions.

They argue that the northeastern Spanish region has a higher population — over seven million people — than EU countries such as Denmark, Croatia and Slovenia, whose national languages are used in the bloc’s parliament.

Spain will also look to extend the use of Catalan in the chamber of its national Senate, Spain’s presidency minister Felix Bolanos told a media briefing after the announcement. — Reuters

Oldest patient yet cured of HIV after stem cell transplant — researchers

LONDON — The oldest patient yet has been cured of HIV after receiving a stem cell transplant for leukemia, researchers reported on Wednesday.

While the transplant was planned to treat the now-66-year-old’s leukemia, the doctors also sought a donor who was naturally resistant to the virus that causes AIDS, a mechanism that first worked to cure the “Berlin patient,” Timothy Ray Brown, in 2007.

The latest patient, the fourth to be cured in this way, is known as the “City of Hope” patient after the US facility in Duarte, California, where he was treated, because he does not want to be identified.

As well as being the oldest, the patient has also had HIV the longest, having been diagnosed in 1988 with what he described as a “death sentence” that killed many of his friends.

He has been on antiretroviral therapy (ART) to control his condition for more than 30 years.

Doctors who presented the data ahead of the International Aids Society’s (IAS) 2022 meeting said the case opened up the potential for older patients with HIV and blood cancer to access the treatment, particularly as the stem cell donor was not a family member.

Describing a cure as the “holy grail,” Sharon Lewin, president-elect of the IAS, said the case provided “continued hope … and inspiration” for people with HIV and the wider scientific community, although it was unlikely to be an option for most people with HIV due to the risks of the procedure.

Scientists think the process works because the donor individual’s stem cells have a specific, rare genetic mutation which means they lack the receptors used by HIV to infect cells.

After the transplant three and a half years ago, which followed chemotherapy, the City of Hope patient stopped taking ART in March 2021. He has now been in remission from both HIV and leukemia for more than a year, the team said.

On Wednesday, researchers in Spain also presented details of a 59-year-old woman who is one of a rare group of what is known as “post-treatment controllers”. They can maintain undetectable viral loads after stopping ART, and also provide clues to a potential cure, Ms. Lewin said.

Ahead of the IAS conference that starts on Friday, the Joint United Nations Program on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS) also presented data showing how the COVID-19 pandemic had derailed global efforts to tackle HIV, including a reversal of progress in the world’s most populous region, Asia and the Pacific. — Reuters

That ‘piece of paper’

PHILIPPINE STAR/ RUSSELL PALMA

The International Observer Mission that monitored the May 9 election claims that it was neither free, fair, nor honest. But if it was, with over 31 million votes in his favor, or some 56% of the votes cast, Ferdinand Marcos, Jr. won the Presidency by an unprecedented landslide.

That would make him the most popular of all the candidates last May. Only 25 days into his six-year term of office last Monday, he therefore had nothing — or little — to fear from his countrymen and women.

But nearly 22,000 police personnel, plus some 8,000 more from the Presidential Security Group (PSG), the Bureau of Fire Protection, the Philippine Coast Guard, the Metropolitan Manila Development Authority, and even the Bureau of Jail Management and Penology were deployed to secure Mr. Marcos Jr. and his family during his first State of the Nation Address (SONA) last Monday, July 25.

The Philippine National Police (PNP) also banned protest actions such as rallies and demonstrations in several streets including Manila’s Mendiola, despite its being kilometers away from the Batasang Pambansa where he delivered his first SONA.

Those attending the SONA were also told not to wear anything with a political statement on it, which was of course in violation of the right to free expression mandated by the Constitution. And only when the PNP realized that there would be pro-Marcos gatherings too did they agree with the Quezon City government to allow protesters on Commonwealth Avenue.

Local government units, not the police, have the authority to approve or deny applications for permits to hold public gatherings. But usually ignored is the more basic fact that permits are required only to forewarn local authorities early enough for them to reroute traffic and assure the safety of the public. Instead, however, in violation of Article III, Section 4 of the Constitution, permits are often either granted or denied on the basis of whether the group involved is perceived to be pro- or anti-government.

Those groups initially denied permits were obviously thought to be in the latter category, thus the police’s earlier insistence in denying them their right to protest and bring their grievances to government attention.

These excessive measures made it appear that Mr. Marcos Jr. is as unpopular as, say, Australian politician Clive Palmer, who has a dismal -51% approval rating, or the United Kingdom’s former Prime Minister Boris Johnson, whose disapproval rating was 70% at the time of his resignation.

Granted that because it puts the Executive and Legislative branches of government together in one venue, every President’s SONA needs extra attention in terms of those participants’ and attendees’ safety. But does doing that really need almost two divisions of armed men for it to succeed, especially since the PSG themselves said that they knew of no threat against the person of Mr. Marcos or of anyone else in government?

Benigno Aquino III’s security people apparently did not think that such a huge army was needed in 2015, and neither did Rodrigo Duterte’s last year. The late Mr. Aquino’s last SONA was secured by 10,000 police and military personnel, while 7,000 did the same for Mr. Duterte’s 2021 SONA. In neither case were protests banned, except in the immediate vicinity of the Batasan.

The measures the new administration took to secure Mr. Marcos Jr. and his family — those measures were certainly adopted primarily for that purpose — do not only raise eyebrows. They also provoke such questions as:

1.) Are they indicative of the same reliance on the coercive powers of the State that characterized Marcos Sr.’s rule?

2.) Given how, this early, restrictions on free expression and the right to peaceable assembly are being implemented, is this a portent of things to come? and,

3) Is the new Marcos regime thus replicating the anti-free expression and other repressive policies of its predecessor?

The fears implicit in these questions are far from unfounded. There is, after all, a context in which the use of coercion as the primary policy in dealing with dissent occurred: during the martial law period which, despite the Marcos family’s efforts at prettifying it, is nevertheless still equated with repression by many Filipinos including those too young to have lived through it, but whose elders have told them about it.

Question No. 3 is equally relevant. These are not exactly the best of times for the exercise of free speech, free expression, and press freedom. All had been diminished — or, to borrow the word the Constitution uses in Article III, Section 4, “abridged”— during the six years of the Duterte despotism through such attacks on media organizations as withdrawing their registrations and shutting them down, encouraging the filing of libel suits against journalists, blocking access to their websites, and “red-tagging” and barring reporters from covering Malacañang. Equally restrictive and in some instances even lethal for those targeted was the regime’s labeling as terrorists sectoral groups such as teachers’, students’, workers’, youth, and women’s organizations, and even religious charities, book stores, and entire universities.

The Duterte regime was as dependent on the police and military as the Marcos dictatorship. Its response to the COVID-19 pandemic was grossly militarized and like its failed “war on drugs,” as deadly to such fundamental rights as those to life and due process. As a consequence — the Bill of Rights is the heart of that document — only with some exaggeration did the Constitution become no more than the “piece of paper” the power elite reduced it to. Together with its frequent violations and the perception that it is of no consequence to Filipino lives and fortunes came the country’s descent into even worse poverty, political and social instability, and hopelessness.

His first SONA, as announced earlier, did focus on Mr. Marcos Jr.’s economic recovery program; his plans to improve the government’s capacity to help the underprivileged; revive the tourism industry; develop alternative energy sources; reform the healthcare and educational systems; and support agriculture and farmers, among others. He also vowed never to surrender “even an inch” of Philippine territory to any foreign power.

But although insulated by the police and military from the grievances of protesters, he could have also dwelt on the need for any administration with democratic pretensions to make the Constitution more than the veritable piece of paper into which it has been reduced by the past regime. He could have assured the press of State protection of its freedom as a necessary pillar of democratic rule, together with free speech, free expression —and, yes, re-affirmed the citizenry’s right “peaceably to assemble and petition the government for the redress of grievances.”

That he did not, one can only hope, was not indicative of any policy that would continue rather than end his predecessor’s war against democratic rights and the Constitution. That would be to the detriment of the unity and national recovery of which Mr. Marcos Jr. claims to be both herald and champion.

Rather than just a document worth only the paper it is written on, the 1987 Constitution restored such democratic institutions as the elections that put Mr. Marcos Jr. in power, and bound the Filipino community together in a new social contract with government.

It is the government’s primary responsibility to defend the Constitution as the guardian and guarantor of the people’s and this country’s freedom, welfare, and development. The past regime reneged on that responsibility. May the present one be more than aware of the need to respect, honor, and, most of all, abide by it.

 

Luis V. Teodoro is on Facebook and Twitter (@luisteodoro).

www.luisteodoro.com

A thumbs up or down for Marcos Jr.’s first SONA?

PHILIPPINE STAR/KRIZ JOHN ROSALES

It was a brave declaration, said during the first State of the Nation Address (SONA) of President Ferdinand R. Marcos, Jr. as the 17th President of the Republic of the Philippines, that he knew it in his mind, he knew it in his heart, and he knew it in his very soul that the state of the nation is sound.

Let’s get our tenses right. If we are to believe President Marcos Jr.’s strategic plans would succeed, the state of the nation WILL be sound. But at the time he delivered his report to the Filipino people, inflation WAS a major problem, having breached the official target of 2-4%. Both our fiscal deficit and national government (NG) debt to GDP ratios WERE significantly high. COVID-19 WAS resurging. Economic scarring in both education and the labor market COULD BE a big obstacle to sustainable economic growth. Poverty and income inequality HAD worsened. While its prospects might be promising, the state of the nation is far from sound today.

Before that, he expressed his unqualified confidence in his cabinet for navigation through the global crisis, as well as his unwavering trust in the indomitable spirit of the Filipino for endurance.

It was right for him not to dismiss the risks of the global and domestic challenges we face today, but to focus more on the “sunlight filtering through these dark clouds.” This is the optimistic streak of a SONA.

Thus, it was easy for the business sector to give a thumbs up to the President’s agenda of governance. It sounds and looks business friendly.

The Employers Confederation of the Philippines, for instance, was impressed by the exhaustive coverage of the SONA, particularly its aim to improve healthcare in the Philippines. Their business sense must have been kindled by the call to build specialty hospitals for children, heart, lung, and kidney beyond the National Capital Region. The SONA also announced the administration’s intention to build the country’s own Center for Disease Control and a vaccine institute.

The siren song to the business people must be the President’s highly applauded announcement that “we will no longer implement a lockdown.” To business, it would be preferrable to implement the health protocols of wearing face masks and perhaps even face shields supported by widespread vaccination. This is how to dance with the virus.

True, lockdowns halt production and employment, even mobility and consumption. But time is suspended by lockdowns to give space for strengthening testing, tracing, and therapy. We doubt whether we have reached that point when these three Ts no longer need pump priming. Do we already have the digital database that would allow us to do granular isolation of specific areas to minimize harming the whole economy?

This decision is most welcome if the evidence is clear that our healthcare system is much stronger than when we risked opening up the economy sometime in 2021. Unless we are fully convinced that the President’s promise to fortify our healthcare is already on the ground, it may be difficult to simply rule out lockdowns, even if granular.

The Makati Business Club took the view that the proposals to facilitate tax payment and to boost internet interconnectivity would help “energize” the business sector. They believe digitalization would be helpful to small businesses.

But there is also an undeniable sense of ambivalence among the movers and shakers of Philippine business.

For one, the International Chamber of Commerce Philippines was reported to have saluted the SONA’s strong agenda for digitalization of all government processes, particularly on improving connectivity for the educational system and rural areas. They also liked the solutions in the SONA to address both food and energy security in the middle of the war in Eastern Europe.

Their support for digitalization is actually due to what it could contribute to good governance. The government is expected to be better run because red tape and corruption are reduced, if not eliminated. This is business-positive because the cost of doing business could drop. The SONA could have earned a great deal of goodwill if fighting corruption was given prominence.

On the other hand, the exporters’ group does appear ambivalent in their perception of the SONA. While admitting that most of the President’s legislative agenda already incorporated the wish list of the private sector, and the economic goals appear reasonable, the Philippine Exporters Confederation observed that the SONA failed to give strong emphasis on micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs) by asking Congress to enact the Magna Carta on MSMEs.

It was the Management Association of the Philippines (MAP) that indicated the strong position on what the SONA failed to show. While it was pleased with the inaugural SONA, it clarified that the government’s commitment to good governance by rightsizing the bureaucracy could always be undermined if corruption in government is not addressed. Statements to the effect that the government means business will not serve any purpose if the general public refuses to support it, given the reported irregularities in the bureaucracy.

For the Foreign Buyers Association of the Philippines, the SONA could have given the manufacturing industry more focus as this sector is expected to reduce the economy’s dependence on imports.

For the Philippine Chamber of Commerce and Industry, the SONA would have been more useful if it also proposed various ways to bring in more investments in the healthcare sector. This is its version of PPP (public-private partnership) in the healthcare sector to reduce the need for higher public spending and allow fiscal consolidation to be achieved faster.

For the farmers’ groups, they would like greater clarity on the imposition of a one-year moratorium on land amortization and interest payments. The Federation of Free Farmers believes that all amortizations should be waived, whether past, present, or future. In fact, for the Kilusang Magbubukid ng Pilipinas, such a suspension of amortizations has long been overdue.

Since power is critical to enable an economic recovery, the Marcos presidency ought to consider what the Power for People Coalition has to say about the contradiction between the government’s renewable energy agenda and its push for nuclear power and liquefied natural gas. “Renewable energy is a top priority not just by saying it, but committing to minimizing, then eliminating, the use of fossil fuels to protect the environment and consumers. It’s disappointing to hear him talk about incentives and [a] bill for gas and action point for nuclear but no actual plans for renewable energy.”

It is equally important to hear what the Philippine Energy Efficiency Alliance has argued about the government implementing the Energy Efficiency and Conservation Act to attain “the energy security and decarbonization objectives of the Philippines.”

The MAP’s point about the SONA’s failure to touch on fighting corruption is just one of those exclusions as we failed to hear any anti-corruption marching order from the Chief Executive. The SONA could have fortified its courage not to yield even a square inch of the Philippines by citing our victory in the Permanent Court of Arbitration six years ago. Resolving that maritime crisis should be good for business because the whole blue ocean economy west of the Philippines could be tapped, while maritime routes could also be secured. Respect for human rights and lives should have been a critical element in the SONA because business confidence is a function of peace and order. Justice and the rule of law assure investors that private property rights are upheld and any legal disputes can always be given due course.

The writers of the SONA should recall what the International Monetary Fund (IMF) once declared about good governance, that it is key to economic success. While good governance is a broad concept that is inclusive of economic policies, regulatory framework, and adherence to the rule of law, its absence does offer more opportunities for corruption, the abuse of public office for private gains. By skipping the strategy for good governance, the SONA might unwittingly work against market integrity, weaken competition and compromise economic growth.

A long recitation of the 19 legislative proposals and a potpourri of executive intent are praiseworthy. But an elephant still resides in the SONA. And it is not inflation. It is good governance.

 

Diwa C. Guinigundo is the former deputy governor for the Monetary and Economics Sector, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP). He served the BSP for 41 years. In 2001-2003, he was alternate executive director at the International Monetary Fund in Washington, DC. He is the senior pastor of the Fullness of Christ International Ministries in Mandaluyong.

Have Putin’s Ukraine goals shrunk or expanded?

THE WAR in Ukraine is, let’s admit it, weird. Russian citizens can, at least theoretically, travel to Ukraine for business or pleasure, though now — only since June — they need visas. The belligerents are parties to a recent deal ensuring safe grain exports. Russian gas keeps flowing to Europe through Ukraine’s pipeline system, albeit in reduced volumes. Countries that supply weapons to Ukraine are also paying Russia for energy and fertilizer imports, thus also funding its war effort. It’s not easy to imagine any of this going on during, say, World War II.

If that tangle of relationships is not confusing enough, both Russia’s stated invasion goals and outsiders’ perceptions of them appear to be shifting shape on a monthly basis.

In one sense, Russia appears to have scaled back its goals. To achieve his stated objectives, the “demilitarization” and “denazification” of Ukraine, Vladimir Putin attacked on a much broader front than Russia maintains today. When he then had to pull back from Kyiv, Chernihiv, Sumy, and parts of the Kharkiv Region, the objectives, which sounded like euphemisms for regime change, slid into the background. At this point, it is probably wrong to call them “goals”: Since they are not attainable in the foreseeable future with the resources the Kremlin — and Russians as a largely passive populace at war — have been willing to devote to the invasion, “dreams” is probably a better word.

In another sense, however, the goals appear to have expanded in reach. Initially, the only territorial ambitions Russia officially declared were confined to the administrative borders of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions, which the respective puppet “People’s Republics” claimed as their land. Recently, however, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov has stated bluntly that “the geography has changed,” adding that Russia was now also interested in the Kherson Region in southern Ukraine and the Zaporozhzhia Region in the country’s center. Lavrov is the highest-placed Russian official to speak more or less openly of such plans. Coupled with the groundwork being laid by the occupying administrations for “referendums” that would call for the invaded areas to join Russia, his words are evidence that Russia intends to annex the territories outright rather than leave them in a gray zone as it did with the “People’s Republics” in 2015.

The easiest way to reconcile these diverging vectors is to assume that, having failed to secure a somewhat reduced Ukraine (minus Crimea and the two eastern regions) run by a pro-Kremlin government, Putin has decided to grab significantly more land instead, as a kind of compensation. But this weird war defies easy explanations. It’s far more likely that any Kremlin “planning” these days is reactive and ad hoc rather than strategic. Kremlin expectations appear to be shaped by battlefield events. Every shift in the military situation leads to a new “plan” that, if carried out, would allow Putin to declare victory.

When it turned out that the Russian military could not take Kyiv or the cities of northern Ukraine, the Kremlin concentrated its forces in the east, completing the invasion of Luhansk Region early this month.

This plan, however, ran into personnel issues. The draft-based armies of the “People’s Republics” have incurred enormous losses (just the admitted military casualties of the “Donetsk People’s Republic” approach 3,000 dead), and the poorer regions of Russia proper have already supplied most of the available recruits willing to sign military contracts — and their contingents account for a disproportionate amount of Russia’s military fatalities. A “hidden mobilization” echoing across Russian Telegram channels that offers able-bodied men, including prisoners, a chance to fight in Ukraine for attractive pay and their freedom is a slow and iffy process. Without more infantry, Russia cannot risk a frontal attack on Ukrainian fortifications around Slovyansk and Kramatorsk, the way it did in Mariupol and Severodonetsk, and there appears to be no other obvious way to complete the conquest of the Donetsk Region.

At the same time, increasingly powerful Western weapons have enabled Ukraine to hit military targets such as munitions warehouses and command centers deep in the occupied territory, killing more senior officers. In his interview with one of Russia’s top propagandists, Margarita Simonyan, Lavrov admitted that these weapons have changed the Kremlin’s calculus.

Putin’s attention appears to have shifted to defending Russia’s conquests in the south, where Ukraine has been threatening to launch a major counterattack to retake Kherson, and in the east, where the Ukrainian military has been shelling targets in and near Donetsk. The relatively weak Russian group of forces in the south has been beefed up and reinforced with more aviation and artillery support in recent days as it repelled Ukrainians’ probes.

Igor Girkin (Strelkov), who fought in Ukraine in 2014 and is one of the harshest nationalist critics of Russia’s conduct of the war today, has suggested on his Telegram channel that the current plan might be to defeat the Ukrainian military as it mounts an attack in the south and then push on against a weakened enemy in the east. If Strelkov is right, that would be at least the third major change of strategy in five months. And the annexation plans shaping up in the form of “referendums” indirectly support his argument. Making the land grab official before a negotiated end to the war can only mean one thing: A declaration by Russia that it will defend the new territories as its own.

It would be meant as a warning to Ukraine’s Western allies to be careful what weapons they supply — the US administration already limits the range of the munitions it sends for fear of starting World War III — and it would, at least theoretically, spread Russia’s nuclear umbrella over parts of the Kherson and Zaporizhzhia regions. At the same time, it would reassure pro-Russian activists and Russia-backed administrations in the occupied territories that Russia would not abandon them — reassurance they sorely need in the face of Ukrainian guerilla action and threats to recover the lost territories.

In all these aspects, a formal annexation fits a defensive mindset. If Putin were still on the attack, he’d try to seize more territory, including a least another regional center — Kherson is the only one grabbed so far — then attempt to make a peace deal on his terms before claiming more land for Russia. In that case, a massive push in the Donetsk Region would already have started. The Institute for the Study of War reported that Russia’s “operational pause” was ending as early as July 15, but Russia has made no major moves in the region in the two weeks since.

As it is, holding on to what was grabbed in the first, chaotic weeks of the invasion appears to have become a priority for the Kremlin. Paradoxically, the seeming expansion of territorial ambitions comes as a sign of relative military weakness, not strength.

For that reason, any Western compromise-seeking at this point makes little sense. Why offer Putin anything if he’s increasingly willing to settle for less (even if “less” may sometimes look like “more,” at least in terms of occupied square miles)? As Rob Lee, a senior fellow at the Foreign Policy Research Institute and a keen observer of the Ukraine war, has argued, “The starting point to ending this war is by shaping the military balance of power so that Russia cannot make further advances.”

Any speculation that things are close to reaching that point is premature. The Russian military may be understaffed and poorly commanded, but it is adapting to new circumstances, new Western weapons in Ukraine’s hands, and a shifting political vision in the Kremlin. It will fight a sound defensive battle, and in the end, whichever side shows more tenacity and fighting spirit will win in the south and, subsequently, in the east. If that side is Russia, Putin’s goals will shift again in the direction of February’s frustrated dreams. If it’s Ukraine, Putin will look for a way to claim even less and still portray himself as a winner.

The apparently planned annexation is a stop-loss move in this game of diminishing returns.

BLOOMBERG OPINION

Of vaccines, heart attacks, menstruation and others

MUFID MAJNUN-UNSPLASH

“I knew these vaccines were not going to protect against infection and I think we overplayed the vaccines …” That was Dr. Deborah Birx, former White House Coronavirus Response Coordinator, in a recent interview. And more: “50% of those who died via Omicron were older and vaccinated.” Interesting statements amidst the many reports, both here and abroad, of somewhat healthy young people suddenly dropping dead. Oftentimes from heart or blood related issues.

In this regard, one particular study (“Age and sex-specific risks of myocarditis and pericarditis following COVID-19 messenger RNA vaccines,” Stéphane Le Vu, et al, June 2022) seems particularly relevant:

“Cases of myocarditis and pericarditis have been reported following the receipt of COVID-19 mRNA vaccines. As vaccination campaigns are still to be extended, we aimed to provide a comprehensive assessment of the association, by vaccine and across sex and age groups. Using nationwide hospital discharge and vaccine data, we analyzed all 1,612 cases of myocarditis and 1,613 cases of pericarditis that occurred in France in the period from May 12, 2021 to Oct. 31, 2021.”

The result? “Strong evidence of an increased risk of myocarditis and of pericarditis in the week following vaccination against COVID-19 with mRNA vaccines in both males and females, in particular after the second dose of the mRNA-1273 vaccine.”

This has to be read within the context of lowered immunity, as found by cardiovascular surgeon Kenji Yamamoto (“Adverse effects of COVID-19 vaccines and measures to prevent them,” June 2022): the “immune function among vaccinated individuals eight months after the administration of two doses of COVID-19 vaccine was lower than that among the unvaccinated individuals. According to European Medicines Agency recommendations, frequent COVID-19 booster shots could adversely affect the immune response and may not be feasible.” Thus: “COVID-19 vaccination is a major risk factor for infections in critically ill patients.”

Another interesting finding is the possible effect that the COVID vaccines have on the reproductive system, both for males and females. Dr. Anthony Fauci, the US president’s chief medical adviser, admitted this is a matter that needs further looking into.

For women, it was found that “since the emergence of COVID-19 vaccinations, many women around the world are reporting abnormalities in their menstrual periods post-vaccination.” So a study was made (“Menstrual Symptoms After COVID-19 Vaccine: A Cross-Sectional Investigation in the MENA Region,” Nadia Muhaidat, December 2021) “to investigate the prevalence and impact of menstrual abnormalities after the COVID-19 vaccine.” The conclusion: “a possible link between the COVID-19 vaccine and menstrual abnormalities that have impacted their quality of life.”

For men, a possible lowered sperm count: “Systemic immune response after BNT162b2 vaccine is a reasonable cause for transient semen concentration and TMC [total motile count] decline.” (“COVID-19 vaccination BNT162b2 temporarily impairs semen concentration and total motile count among semen donors,” Itai Gat, et al., June 2022).

Finally, there’s this piece of news that had pro-vaccine news media fact checkers scrambling to respond: the possibility of DNA changes due to vaccination. Nevertheless, one of the researchers admitted that: “the vaccine enters liver cells as early as six hours after the vaccine has been administered. We saw that there was DNA converted from the vaccine’s mRNA in the host cells we studied.” (Answer by Associate Professor Yang de Marinis, “Q&A: COVID-19 vaccine study gains attention,” Lund University, March 2022; see also “Intracellular Reverse Transcription of Pfizer BioNTech COVID-19 mRNA Vaccine BNT162b2 In Vitro in Human Liver Cell Line,” February 2022: which “detected high levels of BNT162b2 in Huh7 cells and changes in gene expression of long interspersed nuclear element-1 (LINE-1), which is an endogenous reverse transcriptase.”)

There is, of course, the disease du jour that is monkeypox, for which this Washington Post article (“You are being misled about monkeypox,” July 2022) makes a good point: “Here is what we can discern from data collected about monkeypox so far: This viral outbreak isn’t just mostly occurring among men who have sex with men. The confirmed cases, at least to date, have consistently almost entirely occurred among this demographic, which accounts for 96% or more of diagnoses where data are available.

“Per capita, the few monkeypox cases in women and children remain minuscule compared with the rate among gay and bisexual men. Of course, substantial transmission could always occur among such other groups. But researchers at the WHO and elsewhere have speculated that the monkeypox reproduction rate will likely remain significantly lower in such demographics — meaning the virus will more likely hit transmission dead ends among them than among gay and bisexual men.

“An uncomfortable truth, one documented in peer-reviewed papers, is that sexual behaviors and networks specific to gay and bisexual men have long made them more likely to acquire various sexually transmitted infections compared with heterosexual people.”

The baffling response of local health experts is to require citizens to mask up and socially distance. Which makes one wonder if this is really about public health or public manipulation.

 

Jemy Gatdula is a senior fellow of the Philippine Council for Foreign Relations and a Philippine Judicial Academy law lecturer for constitutional philosophy and jurisprudence.

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