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‘Difficult’ to top 2022 growth, but PHL seen outperforming

STOCK PHOTO | Image Dmitry Berdnyk from Unsplash

THE PHILIPPINES will find it difficult to match its performance in 2022, but growth of 5.5% to 6.5% in 2023 will still stand out in the context of a slowing global economy, a senior legislator said.

At an economic briefing hosted by the Management Association of the Philippines, Albay Rep. and House ways and means committee Chairman Jose Maria Clemente S. Salceda said: “More likely than not, growth will be within 5.5% to 6.5% — which is still an overwhelmingly positive performance. The global tide is lower, but we will still be on top.”

He said the economy in 2023 will be driven by strong consumer demand but tempered by high inflation and rising interest rates.

Mr. Salceda’s forecast range falls within the government’s official projection of 6-7% gross domestic product (GDP) growth.

The economy grew 7.2% year on year in the three months to December, bringing the full-year expansion to 7.6%, exceeding the government’s 6.5-7.5% target.

“The key headwind will be inflation, which could dampen consumer spending and erode wages. Although 2023 inflation will be lower than 2022, food inflation appears entrenched — with overall inflation unlikely to reach the 2-4% inflation target this year,” Mr. Salceda added.

Inflation was at a 14-year high in January as food prices continued to spike, rising to 8.7% last month from 8.1% in December and 3% a year earlier.

The January reading was the highest since the 9.1% posted in November 2008. It also marked the 10th consecutive month inflation exceeded the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) 2-4% target band.

On the sidelines of the event, Mr. Salceda told reporters that he expects inflation to average 5% this year, higher than the BSP’s 4.5% forecast for 2023, and expects further rate hikes from the central bank.

“They have no choice but to raise interest rates. It’s really with respect to business and consumer expectations. It’s about curtailing inflation expectations from impinging on the behavior of both consumers and producers,” Mr. Salceda said.

“With the Fed remaining committed to rate hikes at a milder pace, and with inflationary forces, especially food and fuel, being entrenched, expect BSP to continue raising rates by at least 75 to 100 bps (basis points) in 2023,” he added.

The Monetary Board raised rates by 350 bps last year, bringing its benchmark policy rate to a 14-year high of 5.5% from a record low starting point of 2%, as it sought to tame inflation.

The Monetary Board is scheduled to meet on Feb. 16 for its first policy meeting this year.

Meanwhile, World Bank Operations Manager for Brunei, Malaysia, the Philippines and Thailand Achim Fock likewise said elevated inflation and corresponding increases in policy rates are among the downside risks in the growth outlook this year.

“The growth outlook is subject to downside risks at the time when the authorities face a challenging task of supporting recovery while taming inflation. The synchronous monetary tightening in many central banks could produce larger impacts than intended, both in tightening financial conditions and deepening the growth slowdown,” Mr. Fock said.

He also said that monetary tightening is appropriate to address inflation, but non-monetary measures are also warranted.

“Staying the course on fiscal consolidation amid clamor for more fiscal support is also recommended. Targeted support is better than blanket support,” he said.

“Addressing the immediate challenge of elevated inflation, staying the course on fiscal consolidation, sustaining investments in health and education, and reversing the low agriculture productivity will be key to safeguard growth and achieve long term development goals,” he added.

The World Bank sees Philippine economic growth at 5.4% in 2023 before rising to an average of 5.9% in 2024-2025. — Keisha B. Ta-asan

PPP Center focused on solicited projects to better align with gov’t priorities

PPP.GOV.PH

THE head of the PPP Center said the agency plans to focus on solicited projects, which will have been vetted extensively for conformity to government priorities.

“One thing we are trying to implement now is to make sure that we focus on the solicited mode of PPPs (public-private partnerships) because we know that projects take a long time and it takes time to identify the priority infrastructure projects. The government would need to devote resources to developing and studying these projects,” PPP Center of the Philippines Executive Director Cynthia C. Hernandez said in a forum on Wednesday.

This focus is part of a broader effort to take a “harmonized approach in infrastructure development. We want to align it with the government’s infrastructure program. These are projects that the government must identify. PPP projects would then be prioritized, not just (selected) randomly,” she said.

“Project development is key. We need to invest in diligent project studies to establish the technical, financial, economic, and operational viabilities. There should be reasonable risk sharing and commitments and key legal and institutional requirements,” she said.

“When doing a PPP, we hope to have an integrated approach which could reduce the whole-of-life cost. We hope to be more efficient by tapping the private sector’s capacity and technology. We structure projects so risks are allocated to those that can best manage and hopefully result in reduced project cost,” she added.

Ms. Hernandez also noted the need to standardize the process for PPPs in order to empower local government units.

At the end of December, the government had awarded 210 projects worth P2.335 trillion.

The PPP Center currently has 87 projects in the pipeline worth P2.956 trillion, not including projects undergoing study or projects that need to be finalized.

Ms. Hernandez said that the parties implementing PPPs have become more diverse.

“Transportation is still a major sector for PPPs. There’s a lot of airports, roads, and terminals that are in the pipeline to be developed. There’s vertical infrastructure and government property development, IT systems, water supply and sanitation, and tourism,” she added.

She said local water supply and sanitation projects appear to be in demand.

“Emerging sectors would be solid waste management, which is urgently needed,” she added.

The government is also aiming to pass a PPP Act, which she hopes will address bottlenecks, challenges, and ambiguities in the existing Build-Operate-Transfer (BOT) law. It also aims to create a more competitive and enabling environment for PPPS.

The revised implementing rules and regulations (IRR) for the BOT Law, which took effect in October, addressed project bankability and delay concerns.

National Economic and Development Authority (NEDA) Assistant Secretary Roderick M. Planta called for clarity in the institutional frameworks of PPPs.

He also called for third-party evaluations and case studies.

“There are times you transition the IRR and there are loopholes. There should be reviews and studies,” he added.

Aboitiz InfraCapital Vice-President Paul B. Imperial said PPPs constitute “value for money” for the government while “freeing up resources for other government needs.”

“For the private sector we are looking at long-term revenue, but there has to be an understanding of risk allocation,” he added.

He also said that commitments should be “iron-clad.”

“The bid or proposal must stand the test of scrutiny. There should be no shortcuts, the processes should be followed. At the end of the day, it’s the government and private sector that’s answerable to the public, processes and approvals must be followed to a T,” he added.

Mr. Imperial also called for stakeholder management and capacity building.

“It’s key to build relationships. PPPs must support the community, the ecosystems, and the environment. Sometimes it so happens that these considerations are an afterthought,” he said. — Luisa Maria Jacinta C. Jocson

Intra-group services at a glance

As tax practice evolves, corporate practices and arrangements, especially those of multinational companies, face challenge from tax authorities. Particular scrutiny has been devoted to transactions that result in minimized tax liability or shifting of profits between related companies.

One of the most common transactions among members of multinational groups is the provision of services. In 2015, Base Erosion and Profit Shifting (BEPS) final reports were released tackling transfer pricing (TP) issues categorized into 15 Action Plans. The BEPS Project aims to address and prevent tax planning strategies that exploit gaps and mismatches in tax rules to make profits somehow “disappear” for tax purposes, or to shift profits to low-tax locations even when there is minimal or no economic activity, resulting in little or no corporate tax being paid.

Action Plans 8-10 on Aligning Transfer Pricing Outcomes with Value Creation specifically covers intra-group services. The Bureau of Internal Revenue (BIR) issued Revenue Audit Memorandum Order No. 1-2019 or the Philippine TP Audit Guidelines which provide the framework and guidance for TP examinations, anchored on the provisions of Action Plans 8-10 and existing Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) TP Guidelines. The Philippine TP Audit Guidelines apply to several controlled transactions including intra-group services.

There are two main issues in analyzing intra-group services from a TP perspective. First, whether the intra-group services have been provided (benefit test). Second, whether the charge for such services is at arm’s length.

For the first point, the determination of whether services have been rendered depends on whether the activity performed by one enterprise in favor of another has economic or commercial value to enhance the latter’s commercial position. A service can be considered as having economic value if it would have been willingly paid for had it been performed by an independent party, or performed in-house for itself.

An example of intra-group services is centralized services or those services centralized in the parent company of a group, or in one or more group service centers, and made available to the group. These services generally include administrative services such as accounting, auditing, legal, computer services, as well as customer-related service and call centers, among others.

In applying the benefit test, the Philippine TP Audit Guidelines and the OECD Guidelines provided several services which would not be considered valid services and thus, should not be remunerated. These services include shareholder and duplicative services. Shareholder services are normally performed by the parent company or regional office solely because of its ownership interest in one or more group members. These services generally cover functions related to reporting requirements of the parent company and consolidation of reports, the juridical structure of the parent company (e.g., shareholder meetings and issuance of shares), among others. On the other hand, duplicative services, as the term itself denotes, refers to activities undertaken by a group member that merely duplicates a service that another group member is already performing for itself, or that is being performed for such entity by a third-party service provider.

Anchoring on the logic of the benefit test where an economic value must be established, taxpayers must answer the question — are these the types of activities that independent enterprises would be willing to pay for or to perform for themselves?

Once it has been established that services are rendered intra-group, it is necessary to determine whether the remuneration is in accordance with the arm’s length principle. This means that the charge for intra-group services should be that which would have been made and accepted between independent parties in comparable circumstances. In determining the arm’s length price, the perspective of both the service provider and service recipient must be considered, especially the value of the service to the recipient and how much an independent party would be willing to pay for the same services in comparable circumstances, as well as the costs incurred by the service provider.

On the cost allocation aspect, the existing guidelines provided two methods to determine the arm’s length charge: (1) direct charge method and (2) indirect charge method. The direct method can be used when the service arrangements on which the charges are based can be clearly identified. Otherwise, an indirect charge method can be used, as in cases where it would be difficult to apply the direct charge method.

In either case, the next question would be whether the charge should have a mark-up. To answer this, one may put himself in the shoes of an independent party and consider that independent parties would normally seek to charge for such services to generate profit rather than provide the services at cost, especially if the rendered services involve high-level or technical services.

Further, the functions performed and benefits associated with the provision of the services should also be considered in determining the arm’s length charge. It is worth noting that in pricing the services between members of a group, it would not be appropriate to increase the charge solely for the purpose of making sure that the associated enterprise makes a profit, especially if a market price is available.

Currently, TP audits in the Philippines are embedded in the regular tax audit. Considering this, it is important for taxpayers to keep the documentation and supporting analysis for service arrangements with related parties to defend the reasonableness and rationale of entering into service transactions with affiliates. Particularly, taxpayers must ensure that the basis for their TP policy is well-documented, including the relevant agreements, amount of cost actually spent, and supporting analysis for the mark-up or charge applied.

Given that intra-group service is one of the main transactions covered by the Philippine TP Audit Guidelines, taxpayers must address any potential issues on its TP arrangements as early as possible. As the saying goes, “Solve the problem or leave the problem. Do not live with the problem.”

The views or opinions expressed in this article are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of Isla Lipana & Co. The content is for general information purposes only, and should not be used as a substitute for specific advice. 

 

Joyce Anne Boaloy is a manager at the Tax Services department of Isla Lipana & Co., the Philippine member firm of the PwC network.

joyce.b.boaloy@pwc.com

The ‘Chosen One’ fulfils destiny as James claims scoring record

LOS ANGELES Lakers forward LeBron James (6) celebrates with NBA commissioner Adam silver and former Lakers player Kareem Abdul-Jabbar after breaking the record for all-time scoring in the NBA during the third quarter against the Oklahoma City Thunder at Crypto.com Arena. — GARY A. VASQUEZ-USA TODAY SPORTS

HAILED as the “Chosen One” while still in high school, LeBron James always appeared destined to become the National Basketball Association’s all-time leading scorer and claim a record he once believed would never be touched.

That seemingly inevitable moment arrived on Tuesday.

Almost 20 years after recording his first two points on Oct. 29, 2003, Mr. James floated a fadeaway jumper late in the third quarter in the Los Angeles Lakers’ 133-130 loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder, surpassing Kareem Abdul-Jabbar’s 38,387 and putting his name in the history books.

For almost four decades fellow Lakers great Mr. Abdul-Jabbar had owned the mark and watched as Mr. James climbed the scoring table. The 75-year-old was there in an electric Crypto.com arena to witness James reach the summit.

The Chosen One, now widely referred to as “King James,” finished the night with 38 points, bringing his career total to 38,390. By the time he retires, he could turn the all-time mark into one of those records that will be stamped as untouchable.

Mr. Abdul-Jabbar and Mr. James are the only two men to eclipse 38,000 points and behind them just five players have rung up more than 30,000: Karl Malone (36,928), Kobe Bryant (33,643), Michael Jordan (32,292), Dirk Nowitzki (31,560) and Wilt Chamberlain (31,419).

Mr. James, 38, has shown no sign of slowing down in his 20th season, where he is averaging more than 30 points per game and made his 19th All-Star game.

How long James will continue to play is unknown, but according to reports he spends over $1 million a year on chefs, trainers, massage therapists and anything else needed to take care of his greatest asset: himself.

The scoring record adds new fuel to the debate over who is the greatest basketball player ever, Mr. James or Mr. Jordan.

The resumes of the two men are remarkably similar and statistically look more alike all the time.

Mr. James has won four NBA titles and counting, Jordan six.

Mr. Jordan took Finals most valuable player honors six times, James four.

Mr. James has four NBA MVP awards, Mr. Jordan five.

Both men have two Olympic gold medals.

“Me personally, I’m going to take myself against anybody that has ever played this game,” said Mr. James after setting the record. “I know what I brought to the table I know what I bring to the table every single night and what I can do out on this floor, so I always feel like I’m the best ever to play this game.”

‘CHOSEN ONE’
As a 17-year-old junior at St. Vincent-St. Mary High in Akron, Mr. James found himself on the cover of Sports Illustrated in February 2002 — the headline shouted “The Chosen One” in bold capital letters, underlined in red.

The other story meriting prominent coverage on the front page of that issue was about the Salt Lake City Olympic Games.

Mr. James has earned more respect than love from fans, but is one of sport’s most fascinating figures, capable of pulling the spotlight away from the Super Bowl build-up and President Joseph R.  Biden’s State of the Union address.

Selected first overall in the 2003 draft by the Cleveland Cavaliers, Mr. James went from high school to NBA rookie of the year.

He played seven seasons in Cleveland before famously announcing in a television special promoted as “The Decision” that he would head to South Beach and the Miami Heat, where he won two of his four NBA titles.

The move made Mr. James public enemy number one in jilted Cleveland, but he mended the relationship in 2014 when he returned to the city and led the Cavaliers to the title.

In 2018 James moved again, this time to Los Angeles, where he won a fourth ring in 2020 — although he may not end his career in Lakers purple and gold.

“My last year will be played with my son,” Mr. James told The Athletic in an interview last February. “Wherever Bronny is at, that’s where I’ll be.”

While Mr. James’ greatness on the court is defined by statistics, he may well be remembered more for his work away from the arena.

He has used his fame and pulpit (57.2 million Twitter followers) it provides to speak out on racism, Black civil rights and police brutality. His opinions carry weight, with Time listing him as one of the world’s 100 most influential people in 2017.

Despite never attending university, James has developed into a savvy businessman and billionaire with a portfolio that includes everything from part ownership in the English Premier League’s Liverpool soccer club to an Emmy-winning production company.

Like Mr. Jordan, who owns the Charlotte Hornets, Mr. James has been rumored to be in pursuit of an expansion NBA franchise in Las Vegas.

Along with his social activism, Mr. James has poured money and time into a number of charitable causes, including the I Promise School in his hometown of Akron that his foundation helped open and which offers classes for “at-risk” students.

“With your whole heart and soul you broke a hell of a record,” Mr. Biden said in offering congratulations. “You elevated the game. “More than that, like Kareem, Bill Russell and others who came before you, you challenged and inspired the nation to be better, do better and live up to our full promise.” — Reuters

Sotto named Australia NBL Fans Most Valuable Player

KAI SOTTO voted Australia NBL Fans MVP. — ADELAIDE 36ERS FACEBOOK PAGE

KAI Sotto is not leaving Adelaide without another feather in his cap.

The 7-foot-3 Filipino sensation has been named the Australia National Basketball League (NBL) Fans Most Valuable Player (MVP) for the second straight season before his departure to the Japan B. League.

Mr. Sotto personally received his award in the ceremony late Tuesday night as the NBL recognized his impact in and outside Australia, especially with the passionate Filipino fans worldwide rallying behind him all throughout.

It’s a fitting swan song for Mr. Sotto after a two-year stint with the 36ers, who was the first international pro team to trust the then Pinoy wunderkind from Ateneo.

The 20-year-old giant earlier this week announced his goodbye from Adelaide and the NBL as he opted to take his talents next in the Japan B. League with the Hiroshima Dragonflies.

Mr. Sotto only signed a short contract for the rest of the ongoing B. League regular season, setting the stage for another attempt in the NBA midway through the year. He’s dreaming to become the first Filipino homegrown player as his ultimate goal down the road.

In Japan, Mr. Sotto is expected to show a glimpse of his ceiling and boost that NBA bid after a limited but still developmental action in the NBL with averages of 6.98 points and 4.48 rebounds on 51-percent clip in over 13 minutes across 56 games.

Hiroshima, at fourth place with a 27-9 card, considers Mr. Sotto as one of the best Asian players today along with NBA stalwarts and Japanese national team members Rui Hachimura (LA Lakers) and Yuta Watanabe (Brooklyn Nets).

Mr. Sotto is also anticipated to fulfill his national team duty with Gilas Pilipinas soon being a member of the 24-man pool for the sixth and final window of the 2023 FIBA World Cup Asian Qualifiers on Feb. 24-27 against Jordan and Lebanon. — John Bryan Ulanday

Creamline battles Cignal; Choco Mucho collides with Petro Gazz

CREAMLINE Cool Smashers eye solo PVL lead. — PVL

Games Today
(Filoil EcoOil Center)
4 p.m. — Creamline vs Cignal
6 p.m. — Petro Gazz vs Choco Mucho

SIBLING rivals Creamline and Choco Mucho would like to head into their highly anticipated Valentines Day showdown at the Smart Araneta Coliseum with their guns ablaze.

It would be made more memorable though if they could play for something bigger than pride — the solo lead.

This, the Cool Smashers and the Flying Titans would like to achieve as they battle the Cignal HD Spikers and Petro Gazz Angels, respectively, today in the Premier Volleyball League (PVL) All-Filipino Conference at the Filoil EcoOil Center.

Creamline, the defending champion, routed old rival Petro Gazz, 25-18, 25-20, 25-22, while Choco Mucho was as lethal and merciless in turning back Akari, 25-15, 25-20, 25-20, in the league’s season-opener last Saturday at the Big Dome.

Both the Jonathan Ng-owned franchises showed balanced attacks and rock-solid defenses in overpowering their respective foes.

For Creamline, it was Michele Gumabao, Ced Domingo, Tots Carlos and Jeanette Panaga who took turns with 13, 13, 11 and 10 points, respectively, while Choco Mucho drew strength from Maddie Madayag, Kat Tolentino, skipper Bea de Leon and Isa Molde, who had 11, 11, 11 and 10 hits, respectively.

Choco Mucho’s triumph, however, proved more special for new coach Dante Alinsunurin and Ms. Madayag, who played her first full game since injuring her knee two years ago in Bacarra, Ilocos Norte.

“I’m happy that we win on my first game for Choco Mucho in PVL,” said Mr. Alinsunurin, who made his way into the pros after steering the national men’s team to a historic silver in the 2019 Southeast Asian Games in Manila.

“I’m so thankful to the coaching staff for giving me confidence,” said Ms. Madayag, who was adjudged Player of the Game.

Creamline and Choco Mucho share the lead with F2 Logistics, which edged PLDT, 25-22, 25-21, 14-25, 20-25, 16-14, and Chery Tiggo, a 27-25, 25-19, 25-22 winner over Cignal Tuesday at the PhilSports Arena.

But if they keep their winning ways, expect the Cool Smashers and the Flying Titans to generate more buzz and possibly break, if not match, the league-record of 19,000-plus the two set when they last faced each other in November a year ago at the MOA Arena. — Joey Villar

Fil-Spanish hurdler leads PHL team in Kazakhstan Asian Indoor Athletics

FIL-SPANISH hurdler John Cabang Tolentino spearheads the six-member Philippine team seeing action in the Asian Indoor Athletics Championships slated Feb. 10 to 12 in Astana, Kazakhstan with high hopes of making the national team.

The 21-year-old Mr. Tolentino will be joined by Southeast Asian Games gold medalist Eric Cray, whom the former could hope to succeed if and when the 34-year-old Fil-Am decides to call it career in the future.

Mr. Tolentino emailed the Philippine Athletics Track and Field Association and flew to the country in the Weekly Relay Finals in November last year to make his intention of running for the country and flag known.

He, in fact, will fund his own Astana trip, and show to the country that he truly means business.

And the nation could have a potential winner in its hands as Mr. Tolentino boasts of a personal best in the 110-meter hurdles of 13.74 seconds, which is faster than the national record of 13.78 set by Clinton Bautista in copping last year’s Hanoi SEA Games gold.

Apart from the two, long jumper Janry Ubas, heptathlete Sarah Dequinan, triple jumper Harry Diones and high jumper Leonard Grospe and coach Dario de Rosas are joining the squad.

The composition of the team was actually pruned down from the original 17 members that included World Championships pole-vault bronze winner EJ Obiena and SEA Games sprint gold medalist Kristina Knott due to budgetary constraints. — Joey Villar

Qatari investors set to bid for Manchester United

QATARI investors are planning to make a huge bid to buy Premier League club Manchester United, the Daily Mail newspaper reported on Tuesday, citing unnamed sources.

The report described the investors as “a group of private, high-wealth individuals” from Qatar, which hosted the 2022 World Cup.

Reuters has contacted Manchester United for comment.

Jim Ratcliffe’s company INEOS formally entered the bidding process to buy United last month after the club’s US owners, the Glazer family, said in November they had begun looking at options including new investment or a potential sale.

Bloomberg News reported last month that Qatar Sports Investments (QSI), which owns Paris St Germain, was considering either a total takeover or a stake in Manchester United or their rivals Liverpool.

United fans have been clamoring for a change of ownership and the Glazers have been the target of intense criticism as the team last won silverware back in 2017, lifting the Europa League and League Cup trophies.

In April, thousands protested outside Old Trafford, lighting flares and singing songs demanding the Glazers “get out of the club”.

United’s net debt, another bone of contention among fans, had grown to £515 million ($620.42 million) by September.

The team, managed by Erik ten Hag, are third in the league on 42 points after 21 games, three points behind Manchester City but eight adrift of leaders Arsenal, who have played a game less. — Reuters

PhilCare, Unilab subsidiary team up to make health services accessible

PhilCare President and CEO Jaeger Tanco with RelianceUnited President David San Pedro

Maestro Holdings, Inc. of the Tanco group of companies and RelianceUnited, a subsidiary of pharmaceutical company United Laboratories (Unilab), recently signed a partnership deal aimed at making healthcare services more accessible to their clients.

The partnership would give members of Maestro Holdings’ health maintenance organization PhilCare access to RelianceUnited’s full-service HealthFirst Clinic, PhilCare said in a statement.

The initiative “reflects our commitment to not just provide quality and smarter healthcare to our members, but to also make it more accessible in terms of costs and location,” PhilCare President and Chief Executive Officer Jaeger L. Tanco said.

“This is just the beginning of our wonderful journey as partners united in the mission to be a reliable healthcare provider to Filipinos,” he added.

Half of Filipinos do not have access to a nearby primary care facility — one that patients can reach in 30 minutes, according to the Department of Health.   

RelianceUnited said it hopes to provide “simpler and better” corporate healthcare to Filipino employees through its network of healthcare facilities and automated processes.

Under the partnership, PhilCare members can get consultations and laboratory diagnostic tests at HealthFirst Clinic branches in Metro Manila and Cebu. 

HealthFirst Clinic has branches in Mandaluyong, Cubao, Cebu, Alabang, and Eastwood. Another branch is set to open in Bonifacio Global City this year. 

“Through the partnership, we get to further live out our mission to deliver quality, personalized care in a cost-effective way to Filipinos,” RelianceUnited president David Y. San Pedro said.

“With our pursuit aligned, I believe PhilCare and HealthFirst will achieve more in the near future.”  

At the same time, PhilCare said the partnership gives members a special co-branded area in HealthFirst Clinic branches to avoid long queues.

It will also allow members to easily schedule annual medical exams and see lab results online. — Patricia B. Mirasol

It is about time

PRESIDENT Ferdinand R. Marcos, Jr. with DoH OIC Dr. Maria Rosario Vergeire during the PinasLakas vaccination program at the Pasig Sports Complex on Aug. 1, 2022. — PHILIPPINE STAR/KRIZ JOHN ROSALES

Why won’t the President make permanent, after almost seven months, the appointment of Maria Rosario Clarissa Dumandan Singh-Vergeire as Secretary of the Department of Health? Ms. Vergeire herself already made public recently her willingness to assume the position as a permanent appointee, subject to approval by the Commission on Appointments. What gives?

I don’t know Ms. Vergeire personally. I have not met her, and became aware of her only during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic. I believe she is a career official, and will lose her status as such if she agrees to a presidential appointment to the Cabinet. Perhaps this was why she opted for “acting” status since July — just to warm the seat for someone else.

But at this point in her career, why still stop at sub-cabinet level? Isn’t it every bureaucrat’s dream to eventually lead one’s department, make one’s contribution, and then retire after reaching the peak of one’s government career? I guess this is why after “trying” the seat for six months, Ms. Vergeire is now ready to take the next step.

But how come the President doesn’t seem to be inclined? From where I sit, Ms. Vergeire seems to be doing okay. She has been acting secretary since July 2022, or for over six months now. I think this should suffice as her “probationary” period. If, by now, she still doesn’t enjoy the trust and confidence of the President, then maybe she should be replaced already?

Prior to becoming Acting Secretary of the Department of Health (DoH), Ms. Vergeire had been undersecretary as well as DoH spokesperson since 2015 under the Aquino II and Duterte administrations. She joined DoH in 2007 as a medical officer in the Health Policy Development and Planning Bureau. Before DoH, she was with the Marikina City Health Office for 11 years. While at DoH, she also had served as Officer-in-Charge Deputy Director General for Field Regulatory Operations at the Food and Drug Administration (FDA).

Ms. Vergeire holds a bachelor’s degree in zoology from the University of Santo Tomas, a Doctor of Medicine degree from De La Salle College of Medicine, and a Master of Public Health degree from the University of the Philippines Manila. Incidentally, her father was a barangay chairman in Marikina, her mother practiced law, and her sister Maria Filomena Singh has been an Associate Justice of the Supreme Court since 2022.

This background, in my opinion, gives Ms. Vergeire an edge over other possible candidates for the DoH post. After all, as Cabinet secretary, her decisions will always have political and legal implications. And, perhaps she has her family to “consult” regarding these things over Sunday lunches. Moreover, Ms. Vergeire is a career official, one who rose from the ranks.

But, more important, having served first with the Marikina City Health Office — under a local government unit — prior to joining the national office gives her experience and understanding of how the Philippine health system works. Since the devolution of health services to LGUs in 1992, the Philippine health system has been somewhat confusing. But she has first-hand understanding of how the system can work better.

Also, her experience with the FDA gave her a glimpse of the inner workings particularly of the pharmaceutical industry, medicine production and licensing, and perhaps the operations of pharmacies. Then her involvement with the DoH policy office gave her broader perspective on necessary reforms in the health system.

Ms. Vergeire’s direct involvement in DoH operations during the height of the pandemic also gave the public a clearer view of her ability to deal with medical crises. Her experience of having gone through something like that, and being at the center of daily operations, is a major plus factor for her. Continuity and consistency prompt her permanent appointment while the public health emergency remains.

And last but not least, even after her permanent appointment, if she fails to perform, or loses the trust and confidence of the President, there is always the Malacañang option to ask her to step down and give way to someone else. In short, a permanent appointment is not the end-game for the Marcos administration. So, why not give her the chance?

As I wrote in a previous column, I believe the Philippine government should already be planning on when to end the national public health emergency. And while the global pandemic is still far from over, the Philippines is surely doing better now than in 2020 and 2021, also to the credit of Ms. Vergeire and her colleagues at DoH from 2020 to 2022.

Even the World Health Organization (WHO) noted that the pandemic may be already at a “transition point,” although it remains a “public health emergency of international concern.” But while this may be the case, Ms. Vergeire has told the public that the government was unlikely to revive COVID restrictions at this point, also noting that the Philippines no longer maintained an “official monitoring system” for COVID.

She had told a press briefing, “Our cases are already manageable. Our citizens have adopted good behavior of wearing masks. Our vaccination, although we have low booster rate, we are at 94% in our primary doses… We are better prepared than before. We can say that our cases here are manageable,” noting that certain health protocols could already be dropped.

“Our COVID-19 responses are already institutionalized. These include our surveillance efforts, genome sequencing, and case monitoring. We don’t need a public emergency or state of calamity declared for that,” Ms. Vergeire added, further boosting the argument that perhaps it is already time for the government to withdraw the declaration of a public health emergency.

What has not been “institutionalized,” however, is the leadership at DoH. Most everything is already in place for the country to veer away from emergency status and to stand down. In this line, I believe the next crucial step is the appointment of a permanent DoH secretary. Ms. Vergeire seems ready.

 

Marvin Tort is a former managing editor of BusinessWorld, and a former chairman of the Philippine Press Council

matort@yahoo.com

Innovation insights: Energy transformation accelerates

SHARON §PITTAWAY-UNSPLASH
SHARON §PITTAWAY-UNSPLASH

2022 was a very eventful year. Inflation, the continued spread of COVID-19 — which led to divergent government reopening responses — and a land war in the breadbasket of Europe were all new things many of us have not seen in our lifetimes. As we look ahead, we still believe we are in the initial stages of the Fourth Industrial Revolution, we still believe innova-tion is accelerating, and we still believe in the value of active management, particularly when investing in innovation. 2022 and 2023 will be remembered as the period when developed markets, specifically Western Europe and America, increased their focus on and investment in energy transformation from fossil fuels to renewables. The war between Russia and Ukraine was the spark. The resulting legislation from the US in the form of the Inflation Reduction Act and the expected matching legislation from the EU provide the economic incentive.

SHOCKS ARE ACCELERATING THE ENERGY TRANSFORMATION
When making predictions as an investor, we think it is best to invest and make predictions where one has the highest confidence. Over the past several years, we have framed our views on innovation around five distinct platforms: Disruptive Commerce, Genomic Advancements, Intelligent Machines, New Finance, and Exponential Data. These platforms were never meant to be static; they are intended to change and rise and fall in importance as new themes emerge, evolve and dissolve.

For example, 20 years ago, our platforms may have reflected expectations for growth in personal computers, client-server software, and biotechnology. Today, we see New Finance dissolving into two already existing platforms: Exponential Data, as data generated and blockchain technology lead to further pricing efficiencies in capital and lending, and Disruptive Commerce, as payments have become a major piece of e-commerce infrastructure.

Innovation is everywhere. As one platform is dissolved, another platform emerges: Energy Transformation. This is not a new idea; addressing climate change and lowering carbon emissions has been a goal for industrialized economies for decades. However, as we wrote early last year,1 external shocks can accelerate growth. We believe the Russia-Ukraine war coupled with — not coincidentally but, in part as a response to the war — the passing of the US Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) encourages new types of energy generation in the United States. Taken together, this represents a turning point that should lead to materially higher implementation of new innovations in the energy space.

Transforming our energy sources from fossil fuels will be one of the largest capital expendi-tures in history. Historically it has taken 50 to 60 years to transition an economy to a new energy source.2 It will require increased production from multiple sources including solar, wind, hydrogen, nuclear, water, geothermal and new forms of energy.3 Each of these production methods will likely receive more funding, which we believe will lead to more innovation and new solutions.

In addition to production innovation, the increased complexity of the grid4, 5 will lead to more investment in the distribution of energy, not only on a commercial scale as intermittency will become more frequent and will make energy more complex to route, but also on a residential scale, as resilience against power outages encourages more individual homeowners to choose to generate their own energy or backup power.

Finally, we believe energy consumption patterns will change, with a focus on optimization through energy efficiency, electrification (when feasible), data-driven feedback to improve processes, and distributed solutions to provide flexibility at smaller scales. Energy is the lynchpin to an industrialized economy, and economies with structurally lower energy prices — those with a resilience to shocks — have an embedded cost advantage. As the world becomes more multi-polar, energy security will rise in importance and be more critical for economic competitiveness.

We therefore recognize the innovative potential of Energy Transformation technologies to seize this moment and believe active management is necessary to navigate the hype cycles and find the profit pools. n

1 Moberg, Matthew, Rogal, Kelly, “Innovation insights: War, pandemic & inflation — do shocks accelerate innovation? We think so,” Franklin Templeton Insights, June 22, 2022.

2 Vaclav, Smil, “A Global Transition to Renewable Energy Will Take Many Decades,” Scientific American, Jan. 1, 2014.

3 “Annual Energy Outlook 2022: with projections to 2050,” US Energy Information Administration, 2022.

4 “The Future of Electric Power in the United States,” The National Academies Press, Washington DC, 2021.

5 “How to increase grid resilience through targeted investments,” McKinsey & Company, Dec. 20, 2021.

 

Matt Moberg is a portfolio manager at the Franklin Equity Group.

The robots coming for our jobs will also help fire us

BRETT JORDAN-UNSPLASH

FOR THOSE who take a sadistic pleasure in looking for evidence that we are creeping closer to a dystopian future where humans are ruled by their robot overlords, consider this possible nightmare scenario: Artificial intelligence (AI) is not only coming for your job but will have a hand in laying you off, too.

AI has already infiltrated multiple parts of the human resources process, from hiring to onboarding to training to evaluating. It’s not a huge stretch to think that in an efficiency-obsessed sector like technology, tools designed to streamline decision-making are now making their way into layoffs. The conditions here are ripe for it: Tech’s nearly 42,000 job cuts last month were the second highest on record for the sector, according to data from outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas, Inc.

One of the reasons we know there’s a movement toward automating parts of so-called “workforce reduction” is because human resources executives have admitted to it: A report last month from Capterra, an arm of tech industry research firm Gartner, Inc., found that 98% of the HR leaders it surveyed said they would at least somewhat rely on software and algorithms to reduce labor costs in a 2023 recession.

For hourly workers, management by algorithm is nothing new. In 2021, for example, Bloomberg News reported that Amazon.com, Inc. was tracking every move of its Flex delivery drivers, some of whom were fired by automated e-mail when the company’s algorithms decided the workers were falling down on the job. The information deluge that Amazon collects on these independent contractors is what makes it possible for algorithms to evaluate performance, but the volume of data also makes it easier for proponents of AI to argue that these tools are necessary; it’s far too many inputs for a human to possibly interpret.

Office workers have until recently escaped such intense scrutiny, in large part because the data to track them in the same way hasn’t existed. But that’s changing with the increasing popularity of the workforce productivity score, and the growing inclination and ability to closely monitor not just whether employees are in front of their keyboards but their every keystroke and mouse click.

To be clear, I’m not suggesting HR managers will simply push a button and out will pop a pile of pink slips (and along with that a whole bunch of legal and reputational issues), although it’s almost guaranteed someone will try. The greater likelihood is that AI helps narrow the pool and provides a first pass before a human gets involved — akin to what happens in the hiring process now.

This might seem like the holy grail for HR managers, a chance to remove the emotion from layoffs, and shift the blame and bad feelings from humans to machines. But we know that’s not how AI works. As the edict goes, bad data in, bad data out. And there’s plenty of evidence that the data companies already rely on for employee evaluations is far from perfect.

Capterra analyst Brian Westfall told me that while 70% of HR leaders say they would use performance metrics in layoff decisions, a higher percentage report that they are considering changing performance evaluations because they think the process is flawed. Even the HR leaders in the Capterra study who said they would rely on software and algorithms to cut labor costs in a 2023 recession were wary of the technology. Only half said they are completely confident that these tools will produce unbiased recommendations, while 47% reported being completely comfortable making layoff decisions based on these recommendations.

Rather than remove bias from a round of messy and uncomfortable layoffs, AI has the potential to encode it. Several experts pointed me to another Amazon example, in which the tech giant tried to build an automated tool to narrow down a pool of job applicants. Its engineers trained the system to look at the historical data on people who had submitted resumes in the past. But because tech is a male-dominated industry and most past candidates were men, women who applied for technical jobs were penalized by the algorithm. (Reuters reported that Amazon abandoned the program, with the company saying it never used the tool to evaluate candidates.)

It’s yet another case study of how AI has the potential to make us forget that human resources is about, well, humans. We are steadily marching toward a robotic apathy now, with reports of some tech employees being told by e-mail that they had lost their jobs rather than by an actual person. Today we readily acknowledge that a layoff can be one of life’s most traumatic events. Somehow that doesn’t seem to square with turning such a devastating decision over to algorithms — especially when we readily acknowledge that we don’t really trust them.

BLOOMBERG OPINION

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