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Agriculture seen providing reduced cushion for exports

CENTURYPACIFIC.COM.PH

By Justine Irish D. Tabile, Reporter

THE Export Marketing Bureau (EMB) of the Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) said the outlook for agricultural exports is less positive this year because the coconut industry is facing supply challenges.

“We are not as optimistic because of the coconut supply issues,” EMB Director Bianca Pearl R. Sykimte told reporters on the sidelines of the Business Issues Forum.

Growth in agricultural exports had helped mitigate the decline in manufacturing exports last year.

“As you know, coconut has been one of our export winners in the past few years. But unfortunately, we have been facing significant supply constraints,” she added.

In 2024, she said the Philippine agro-based exports of $6 billion offset a $1.5 billion decline in manufactured goods.

“These figures underscore the urgency to innovate and move up the value chain, particularly in our agri-based sectors,” she said.

“By investing in research, sustainable practices, and product development, we can transform basic agricultural outputs into high-value, globally competitive products. This shift is essential, not only to diversify our export base but also to build resilience against external shocks and market volatility,” she added.

She said coconut supply has been a concern for some months.

“But the demand is there. In fact, we have been participating in a couple of shows, and the demand from international markets is high,” she said.

“So the question is, how fast can we supply it? There are challenges like that… coconuts are not only exported but are also being used in local manufacturing,” she added.

She said that the issue is also having an impact on food manufacturers, who are major users of coconut oil.

Asked to comment, Philippine Coconut Authority (PCA) Deputy Administrator Roel M. Rosales said the extended El Niño in previous years has adversely affected output.

“There was a slight reduction in last year’s harvest. During the same time, demand and prices for coconut also increased, for domestic and export, thus the reduced output, though minimal, was felt,” he said via Viber.

“However, it is expected that recovery in production will be seen by the second semester of this year,” he added.

He said that the PCA is currently implementing a salt fertilization program as a “quick turnaround intervention.”

“Effects of fertilization will be seen in terms of increased production a year after application,” he added.

Ms. Sykimte said the EMB has proposed an annual allocation of P200 million under the General Appropriations Act to support exporters in accessing new markets.

“The idea is to help them in terms of getting the certifications they require to access markets because without those certifications, you cannot export,” she said.

She said that both the Philippine Development Plan and the Philippine Export Development Plan (PEDP) are undergoing recalibration, not only for exports but also for other indicators.

For the PEDP, she said that the DTI has been running simulations but is hopeful that the targets will be finalized by the third quarter.

“It’s a whole set of recalibrations. But definitely, (exports) will be aligned, whatever that number is,” she added.

Regulator backs suspension of biodiesel blend hike

PHILSTAR FILE PHOTO

THE National Biofuels Board (NBB) said it supports the suspension of the 1-percentage-point increase in the coco-methyl ester content of biodiesel blend, citing the potential impact on inflation.

Philippine Coconut Authority (PCA) Laboratory Services Division Chief Celia M. Raquepo said at a briefing that the NBB arrived at the recommendation at a recent board meeting, in which it had taken note of the high price of copra, the raw material for coconut oil, and the possibility that these costs may filter into the price of fuel.

The Biofuels Act of 2006 requires all liquid fuel to contain a set proportion of biofuel. The blend rose to 3% in October 2024, from 2% previously. It’s set to further increase to 5% in October this year.

Director Rino Abad of the Oil Industry Management Bureau said the NBB’s recommendation is “not yet official until approved by the Secretary of Energy.”

Secretary Raphael P.M. Lotilla left the Department of Energy in late May after being appointed to head the Department of Environment and Natural Resources.

Ms. Raquepo said the price pressures on copra are not a function of the coconut supply, which she said was “sufficient.”

The per-liter price of diesel rose by 95 centavos on Tuesday, marking the fourth straight week they had increased.

Copra’s monthly average millgate price was P75.34 per kilo in March, surpassing peak levels at the height of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022.

The PCA in March had called for an assessment of the potential impact of the scheduled increase in the biodiesel mandate, in light of the need to “prioritize cooking oil availability for consumers.”

Rosella B. Villaruel of the PCA’s Trade and Marketing department said the global demand for coconut oil has been increasing.
Revenue from exporting coconut oil this year could top the record $2.22 billion generated in 2024, she said.

Coconut production slipped by 0.3% in the first quarter of 2025, nearly reversing the 3.3% decline a year earlier.

The Philippines is the world’s second-largest exporter of coconut products, next to Indonesia. — Kyle Aristophere T. Atienza

Cocolisap pest seen inflicting P280M in production losses

THE coconut scale insect (CSI) infestation across nine regions could result in P280 million in lost production, according to the Philippine Coconut Authority (PCA).

As of May, about 516,000 coconut trees were struck by the pest, also known as cocolisap, PCA Chief Executive Officer and Administrator Dexter R. Buted told reporters.

Calabarzon was the most affected region. Others were Mimaropa, Bicol, the Central Visayas, the Eastern Visayas, the Zamboanga Peninsula, Northern Mindanao, Soccsksargen, and Caraga.

Mr. Buted said 1,000 individual insects can multiply to about 200,000 in 45 days, with each female having the potential to lay 200 eggs.

PCA Deputy Administrator for Operations Roel M. Rosales said the infestation of the 516,000 coconut trees could result in a yield loss of 60%.

“We are looking at a loss of about 14 million nuts and that could be about P280 million,” he said, assuming a valuation of P20 per coconut.

He said 3,600 farmers have been affected by the infestation.

A previous infestation in 2014 took place in Basilan. It was later detected in Calabarzon.

Drought as a result of climate change likely triggered the current spread of the CSI infestation, he said.

The PCA said it expects more such instances due to changing weather patterns.

Mr. Rosales said the transfer of planting materials likely contributed to the cocolisap spread.

Aside from cocolisap, the PCA is also dealing with the coconut spike moth, which was detected in over 20,000 trees in Calabarzon.

The PCA has a P94-million budget for pest mitigation in 2025, P60 million of which is for cocolisap. — Kyle Aristophere T. Atienza

Asurion Cebu expansion to create 500 jobs

THE Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) is expecting the creation of at least 500 jobs with the expansion of US tech support company Asurion in Cebu City.

“The planned facility will support the company’s growing US market, which currently provides smart device insurance, technical support, and repair services to over 100 million customers across one in three US households,” the DTI said in a statement on Wednesday.

The DTI did not disclose investment figures but noted that the expansion includes a new contact center in Cebu City.

“Asurion’s expansion builds on its 16-year presence in the Philippines, where it operates across Manila, Clark, Laguna, and Iloilo,” the DTI said.

“These sites facilitate key functions such as software development, mobile phone remanufacturing, call centers, and technical support — employing skilled Filipino professionals,” it added.

The Philippines is the company’s sole site outside the US for cell phone remanufacturing, which employs around 1,400 technicians focused on repairing iPhones.

“Since launching its operations in 2009, Asurion Philippines has restored and shipped more than 10 million iPhones to the US market,” the DTI said.

“With the addition of the Cebu site, the company’s total workforce is expected to reach approximately 8,000 employees,” it added.

Headquartered in Nashville, Asurion serves over 300 million customers worldwide.

Asked to comment, IT & Business Process Association of the Philippines President and Chief Executive Officer Jonathan R. Madrid said that Asurion’s expansion “is a strong vote of confidence in Filipino talent.”

“These 500 new jobs reflect the Philippines’ global competitiveness and the strength of our tech-driven workforce,” he said in a Viber message.

“We commend Asurion and the DTI for championing investments that drive inclusive growth and regional development,” he added. — Justine Irish D. Tabile

Infra spending up nearly 18% in March

PHILIPPINE STAR/EDD GUMBAN

SPENDING on infrastructure rose 17.9% in March, as disbursements for public works projects ramped up, the Department of Budget and Management (DBM) said.

In a disbursement report, the DBM said spending on infrastructure and other capital outlays rose to P113.5 billion in March, against P96.3 billion a year earlier.

Month on month, infrastructure spending rose 21.1% from February.

The DBM said the Department of Public Works and Highways (DPWH) aggressively implemented its projects, including “payment of progress billing and accounts payable, Right-of Way settlements, and the release of final payments and retention releases for completed projects.”

Its disbursements were applied to payments for the design and construction of bridges, flood management projects, administrative and healthcare facilities, and air passenger terminals.

Other projects include road rehabilitation and the development of access roads and bridges under the Convergence and Special Support Program.

Among big-ticket items, the DPWH disbursed P570.2 billion for “various capital outlays.”

“This latest increase could be attributed to increased midterm election-related infrastructure spending before the election ban, though some infrastructure projects were already exempted from the ban,” Rizal Commercial Banking Corp. Chief Economist Michael L. Ricafort said via Viber.

In the first three months of the year, infrastructure spending totaled P261.8 billion, up 20.8% from a year earlier.

Overall infrastructure disbursements, which include infrastructure components of subsidy/equity to government corporations and transfers to local government units, rose 20.8% to P261.8 billion during the quarter.

Government spending accounted for three percentage points of the 5.4% economic growth posted in the first quarter.

The Department of Economy, Planning, and Development has said that the 18.7% increase in government spending drove 5.4% GDP growth, the strongest reading since the second quarter of 2020.

“For the second quarter, disbursements are seen picking up towards the end of May as the election-related ban on public works and spending ends,” the DBM said.

Budget Secretary Amenah F. Pangandaman has said that a temporary slowdown can be expected in April due to the effect of the election ban.

“The implementation of massive infrastructure projects, governance reforms and investments in human capital are expected to sustain the strong spending performance recorded in the first quarter. This will hopefully help translate to improved economic growth for the rest of the year,” the DBM said.

In 2025, the government budgeted P1.54 trillion in infrastructure spending, equivalent to 5.4% of GDP. — Aubrey Rose A. Inosante

A guide to navigating software licenses in light of recent tax developments

Software is a cornerstone of modern business innovation and efficiency. From streamlining operations to enhancing the customer experience, it enables organizations to scale, adapt, and thrive. The dynamic nature of software — whether through cloud-based solutions, enterprise applications, or specialized tools — has transformed industries and redefined how businesses operate. However, as software becomes increasingly integral to business strategy and continues to expand, so does the complexity of its taxation.

This article revisits the taxation of software licenses in light of recent tax developments, specifically Revenue Memorandum Circular (RMC) Nos. 5 and 38-2024, which covers cross-border transactions, and Republic Act (RA) No. 12023, or the VAT on Digital Services Act, along with its implementing rules and regulations (IRR).

To arrive at the correct taxation, it is crucial to first determine whether payments for software licenses qualify as business profits or royalties, according to guidelines established in RMC No. 44-2005. A common mistake by software purchasers is categorizing the payments as royalties even when no copyright rights are transferred — only the “right to use” the software is granted. This distinction is vital because, in the Philippines, cross-border royalty payments are typically subject to a 12% VAT and 25% Final Withholding Tax (FWT), unless a lower rate is applicable under a tax treaty. Conversely, business profits may be exempt from Philippine taxes.

In mixed contracts, where necessary, the total consideration payable should be broken down based on contract information or reasonable apportionment, with appropriate tax treatment applied to each part. If one part constitutes the principal purpose of the contract and other parts are ancillary, the treatment of the principal part should apply to the entire consideration.

Once the nature of the software payment is established, business profits should be further assessed to determine whether they are considered Philippine-sourced income, following the factors laid down by RMC Nos. 5 and 38-2025:

1. Whether an integral stage/s in the rendition of services occurred in the Philippines, without which, the transaction would not have been accomplished; or

2. Whether the foreign vendor used any facilities and/or equipment situated in the Philippines to deliver the service; or

3. Whether the foreign vendor’s accrual of income depends on the successful use, consumption or utilization of the services by the Philippine purchaser.

Based on the RMCs, meeting at least one of the above-mentioned factors will constitute the payment as Philippine-sourced income subject to 25% FWT, but exemption is available under applicable tax treaties.

The final step is to assess whether the transactions would qualify as digital services. If so, the full amount is subject to 12% VAT. Otherwise, only the portion corresponding to the service rendered in the Philippines is subject to VAT.

RA No. 12023 and its IRR provided a broad definition and non-exclusive list of what would qualify as digital services. As defined, digital services are those supplied over the internet or other electronic network with the use of information technology and where the supply of the service is essentially automated. On the other hand, digital goods are intangible goods that are delivered or transferred in digital form, such as digital content purchases, subscription-based supplies of content, supplies of software services and maintenance, among others.

This definition can lead to confusion, particularly regarding which types of services are considered supplied over the internet and when they are deemed automated. Typically, software payments are covered under mixed contracts, granting the right to use software combined with the provision of after-sale services. Often, these after-sale services include technical assistance via conference calls, potentially considered as supplied over the internet; or bug fixes, which might be deemed automated despite the involvement of IT personnel. This implies that all services related to the software license could qualify as digital services subject to the 12% VAT.

Pending further guidance from the tax authority, I believe that the active conduct of the service should be considered when making an assessment. This means that if the active conduct of the service is performed manually or a significant portion of the service requires human intervention, it should not qualify as a digital service, even if supplied over the internet.

Navigating the complexities of software license taxation requires planning and proactive compliance measures. Businesses can consider the following actions to optimize their tax position and ensure adherence to the new tax rules:

• Reassess the nature of the software payments for proper classification and imposition of tax.

• Discuss with the foreign vendors to include/clarify the scope and details of the delivery and specify them in the contracts, as necessary. These would include considerations such as: the place of rendition of the service, including the location of any facilities used; the party who will shoulder the applicable taxes; and the transactions which will be supplied over the internet or automated.

• Avail of tax treaty benefits, if applicable, and file an application with the BIR for a Certificate of Entitlement to Treaty Benefits.

As software continues to drive innovation, understanding and adapting to the evolving tax environment is crucial. By embracing these changes, businesses can ensure they remain compliant while leveraging the transformative power of software to propel their growth and success in the digital age.

The views or opinions expressed in this article are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of Isla Lipana & Co. The content is for general Information purposes only, and should not be used as a substitute for specific advice.

 

Adriel Joshua Zaki Sim is a manager at the Tax Services department of Isla Lipana & Co., the Philippine member firm of the PwC network.

adriel.joshua.zaki.sim@pwc.com

NCAA Season 100 Women’s Volleyball Tournament: CSB Lady Blazers secure ‘four-peat’ championship by sweeping Letran

NCAA 100 WOMEN’S VOLLEYBALL champions College of St. Benilde Lady Blazers — THOMAS VILLANUEVA/NCAA

COLLEGE of St. Benilde (CSB) went out looking for a perfect farewell party for its beloved team captain Mycah Go.

The CSB Lady Blazers found one and gift wrapped it into a 25-19, 25-22, 25-19 victory over the Colegio de San Juan de Letran Lady Knights yesterday that completed an amazing “four-peat” feat in the NCAA Season 100 women’s volleyball at the Filoil EcoOil Arena.

CSB, which snatched the opener, 26-28, 26-24, 25-16, 25-19, on Sunday, was straightforward in shooting for nothing less than a win as it was in total control of Game Two in sweeping the series in two matches and claiming its fourth straight crown and fifth overall.

It was a fitting sendoff for Ms. Go, who was the heart and soul of the team that emerged into a dynasty.

Personally, it was redemption of sorts for Ms. Go, who battled various injuries that slowed her down and kept her from joining former teammates Cloanne Mondoñedo, Gayle Pascual, Jade Gentapa and Michelle Gamit in the Premier Volleyball League in last year’s draft.

But good things come to those who wait as Ms. Go eventually was named MVP this season — her second since winning one four seasons ago before absorbing that devastating injury — and will go to the pros with a fourth title.

“Things do happen for a reason,” said Ms. Go, accompanied by her parents who flew straight from Cebu.

Christy Ondangan led her team with 13 points including that match-sealing spike while Clydel Catarig came off the bench to chip in 11 hits.

But it was Ms. Go who kept the team together by practically doing everything with nine points including two on blocks on top of nine receptions. — Joey Villar

Eala blasts Cabrera in first round of Lexus Ilkley Open

ALEX EALA — JIMMIE48/WTA

ALEXANDRA “ALEX” EALA finally snapped a first-round drought, scoring a 7-6(4), 6-3 romp over Filipina-Australian Lizette Cabrera to open her campaign with a bang on Wednesday in the 2025 Lexus Ilkley Open in England.

The Filipina pride erased a 1-3 deficit in the first then unleashed a 4-1 finishing kick in the second to complete the sweep and end a dry spell after three straight first-round exits in Italy, France and Great Britain.

Ms. Eala, Women’s Tennis Association (WTA) No. 77, lived up to her lofty billing as the tournament’s No. 1 seed in finishing off the WTA No. 206 Cabrera in only one hour and 45 minutes.

Up next for the 20-year-old sensation is WTA No. 230 Valentina Ryser of Switzerland, who scored an easy 6-0, 6-4 win over Japan’s Sara Saito in their own first-round duel.

Ms. Eala absorbed first-round exits in her last three tournaments in the clay courts of Italian Open and French Open as well as the grass court of Birmingham Open last month.

She bowed to Marta Kostyuk of Ukraine, 6-0, 6-1 in the Italian Open, to Emiliana Arango of Colombia, 0-6, 6-2, 3-6 in the French Open then to Czech Republic’s Linda Fruhvirtova, 5-7, 7-6(5), 1-6, in the Birmingham Open.

Her lone second-round stint was in the French Open doubles with Mexican partner Renata Zarazua after a 7-5, 6-4 win over Emily Appleton of Great Britain and Yvonne Cavalle-Reimers of Spain in Round 1.

She and her Swiss partner Rebeka Masarova also fell to the second-seeded tandem of Ellen Perez and Storm Hunter from Australia, 6-4, 6-4, in Round 1 of the Birmingham Open.

But not this time around as Ms. Eala finally broke through in the singles of Ilkley as part of her non-stop preparations for an anticipated main draw debut in the 2025 Wimbledon on June 30 to July 11 in London.

It’s the second straight Grand Slam main draw stint for Ms. Eala after the French Open since barging into the Top 100 of the WTA rankings to become eligible for direct invites in all majors.

A graduate of the Rafael Nadal Academy in Spain, she made it possible by scoring a historic semifinal finish in the Miami Open to rise all the way to No. 69 from No. 140. — John Bryan Ulanday

Philippines holds Tajikistan to 2-2 draw on Kristensen brace

BRACE-scoring Bjorn Kristensen saved the day as the Philippines forced Tajikistan to a 2-2 draw in the AFC Asian Cup Qualifiers on Tuesday in front of a 10,854-strong crowd in Capas, Tarlac.

Mr. Kristensen fired the equalizer in the 78th minute as the hosts salvaged the point after trailing, 1-2, for a good portion of the highly-physical match at the New Clark City Stadium to keep their hold of the Group A lead at four points.

The Filipinos, who opened the Qualifiers with a 4-1 rout of Maldives in the same venue last March, are ahead of the fellow four-pointer Tajikistan on goal difference, 3 against 1.

It was a roller-coaster ride for the Pinoy booters, who actually opened scoring in the 28th minute as Mr. Kristensen headed it home after Gerrit Holtmann’s free kick bounced off the crossbar.

But the Tajiks showed the stuff that made them quarter finalists in the last Asian Cup and turned the game around.

Just two minutes after Mr. Kristensen’s first strike, Mabatshoev Shervoni tied it up with a low shot from outside the box that slipped past Philippine goalkeeper Kevin Ray Mendoza.

In the 42nd minute, the visitors earned a penalty after Jesper Nyholm fouled Ehson Panshanbe inside the box and Parvivdzhon Umarbaev took care of business to score the go-ahead.

The Filipinos then launched waves of attacks in the second half and their persistence was rewarded with Mr. Kristensen latching on to the looseball off a long punt forward by Mr. Mendoza to knot it up.

“We tried our best and the players made a big effort,” said Spaniard Carles Cuadrat, who had his coaching debut for the Philippines a few weeks after the departure of his former boss, Albert Capellas.

“We put all the forwards that we have on the bench to try to get the result but in the end, the small details didn’t allow us to get the three points. But still, we got one point and we will try to keep going with the team’s target of qualifying for the next Asian Cup,” he said.

The Philippines will next face Timor Leste on the road in a still to be determined venue on Oct. 9. The Timorese are on three points on the strength of their 1-0 win over Maldives in Darwin. — Olmin Leyba

Thunder and Pacers race for edge in Game 3 of NBA Finals

INDIANAPOLIS — Nothing is settled in the NBA Finals through two games with the Indiana Pacers and Oklahoma City Thunder trading wins as the series shifts to Indianapolis for Game 3 on Wednesday night.

“Now the goal is to get to three games,” Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander said on Tuesday, a workout day at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. “It’s first team to three. Kind of like it’s a blank slate, a scratch — 1-1, 0-0, and it’s first to three.”

Gilgeous-Alexander drove the Thunder to victory in Game 2 after Tyrese Haliburton’s heart-stopping floater ended Game 1, his fourth game-winner of these playoffs. The MVP has 72 points through two games, the most ever in the first two games of a Finals debut.

Haliburton limped through parts of Sunday’s loss, with Oklahoma City pressuring him with multiple defenders and trying to force the ball to Pascal Siakam or Indiana’s other offensive players.

Haliburton said on Tuesday he does have a “lower body thing” impacting him but plans to be on the floor when Indiana hosts an NBA Finals game for the first time since losing to the Los Angeles Lakers in 2000.

Pacers coach Rick Carlisle, going for his second NBA title as a head coach, has constantly reminded his young team not to unpack any of the good, bad or ugly from the first two games of the series as they embrace the home-floor opportunity.

The Pacers led for 0.3 second in Game 1 and a total of one minute, 56 seconds of a possible 96 minutes in the first two games of the series.

They’re looking for a boost from being at home and answers for slowing down Gilgeous-Alexander, who grasps the notion he might see a new mix of defensive looks from the Pacers with two off days since Oklahoma City claimed a 123-107 win on Sunday night.

“A series is so tricky. It definitely is a feeling-out,” Gilgeous-Alexander said. “But there’s also so many adjustments made to where it’s almost hard to predict and try to determine what they’re going to do with you. You kind of just have to be ready for everything and just try to be as sharp as you can. That’s how I kind of see it.”

The Pacers overcame a 15-point deficit in the fourth quarter of Game 1 to steal one in Oklahoma City (111-110).

Getting to the rim has been a tall order for Indiana. The Pacers have been outscored by 20 points in the paint. Resolve has been a major trait helping define the team’s success, and they’re 4-0 in the playoffs following a loss.

To take control of the Finals, Carlisle is stressing the importance of tamping down turnovers without losing contact with the accelerator. Haliburton tied his playoff high with five in Game 2 and entered the fourth quarter with just five points.

Oklahoma City’s defensive approach is likely to be similar in Game 2 until the Pacers prove they can handle the on-ball energy. How Thunder head coach Mark Daigneault executes his plan is quite literally anyone’s guess.

He used more than 700 lineup combinations during the regular season, more than any team in the league, and found unique groups to gain an edge on the boards in Game 2. — Reuters

US, China agree to ease export curbs, keep tariff truce alive

US and Chinese flags are seen in this illustration. — REUTERS

LONDON — US and Chinese officials said on Tuesday they had agreed on a framework to put their trade truce back on track and remove China’s export restrictions on rare earths while offering little sign of a durable resolution to long-standing trade differences.

At the end of two days of intense negotiations in London, US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick told reporters the framework deal puts “meat on the bones” of an agreement reached last month in Geneva to ease bilateral retaliatory tariffs that had reached crushing triple-digit levels.

But the Geneva deal had faltered over China’s continued curbs on critical minerals exports, prompting the Trump administration to respond with export controls of its own preventing shipments of semiconductor design software, aircraft and other goods to China.

Mr. Lutnick said the agreement reached in London would remove some of the recent US export restrictions, but did not provide details after the talks concluded around midnight London time (2300 GMT).

“We have reached a framework to implement the Geneva consensus and the call between the two presidents,” Mr. Lutnick said. “The idea is we’re going to go back and speak to President Trump and make sure he approves it. They’re going to go back and speak to President Xi and make sure he approves it, and if that is approved, we will then implement the framework.”

In a separate briefing, China’s Vice Commerce Minister Li Chenggang also said a trade framework had been reached in principle that would be taken back to US and Chinese leaders.

The dispute may keep the Geneva agreement from unraveling over dueling export controls, but does little to resolve deep differences over US President Donald J. Trump’s unilateral tariffs and long-standing US complaints about China’s state-led, export-driven economic model.

The two sides left Geneva with fundamentally different views of the terms of that agreement and needed to be more specific on required actions, said Josh Lipsky, senior director of the Atlantic Council’s GeoEconomics Center in Washington.

“They are back to square one but that’s much better than square zero,” Mr. Lipsky added.

The two sides have until August 10 to negotiate a more comprehensive agreement to ease trade tensions, or tariff rates will snap back from about 30% to 145% on the US side and from 10% to 125% on the Chinese side.

Investors, who have been badly burned by trade turmoil before, offered a cautious response and MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.57%.

“The devil will be in the details, but the lack of reaction suggests this outcome was fully expected,” said Chris Weston, head of research at Pepperstone in Melbourne.

“The details matter, especially around the degree of rare earths bound for the US, and the subsequent freedom for US-produced chips to head east, but for now as long as the headlines of talks between the two parties remain constructive, risk assets should remain supported.”

RESOLVING RESTRICTIONS
Mr. Lutnick said China’s restrictions on exports of rare-earth minerals and magnets to the US will be resolved as a “fundamental” part of the framework agreement.

“Also, there were a number of measures the United States of America put on when those rare earths were not coming,” Mr. Lutnick said. “You should expect those to come off… in a balanced way.”

Mr. Trump’s shifting tariff policies have roiled global markets, sparked congestion and confusion in major ports, and cost companies tens of billions of dollars in lost sales and higher costs. The World Bank on Tuesday slashed its global growth forecast for 2025 by four-tenths of a percentage point to 2.3%, saying higher tariffs and heightened uncertainty posed a “significant headwind” for nearly all economies.

A resolution to the trade war may require policy adjustments from all countries to treat financial imbalances or otherwise greatly risk mutual economic damage, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said on a rare visit to Beijing on Wednesday.

PHONE CALL HELPED
The second round of US-China talks was given a major boost by a rare phone call between Mr. Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping last week, which Mr. Lutnick said provided directives that were merged with Geneva truce agreement.

Customs data published on Monday showed that China’s exports to the US plunged 34.5% in May, the sharpest drop since the outbreak of the COVID pandemic.

While the impact on US inflation and its jobs market has so far been muted, tariffs have hammered US business and household confidence, and the dollar remains under pressure.

Mr. Lutnick was joined by US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent at the London talks. Mr. Bessent departed hours before their conclusion to return to Washington to testify before Congress on Wednesday.

China holds a near-monopoly on rare-earth magnets, a crucial component in electric vehicle motors, and its decision in April to suspend exports of a wide range of critical minerals and magnets upended global supply chains.

In May, the US responded by halting shipments of semiconductor design software and chemicals and aviation equipment, revoking export licenses that had been previously issued.

China, Mexico, the European Union, Japan, Canada and many airlines and aerospace companies worldwide urged the Trump administration not to impose new national security tariffs on imported commercial planes and parts, according to documents released Tuesday.

Just after the framework deal was announced, a US appeals court allowed Mr. Trump’s most sweeping tariffs to stay in effect while it reviews a lower court decision blocking them on grounds that they exceeded Mr. Trump’s legal authority by imposing them.

The decision keeps alive a key pressure point on China, Mr. Trump’s currently suspended 34% “reciprocal” duties that had prompted swift tariff escalation. — Reuters

California governor warns ‘democracy under assault’

California Governor Gavin Newsom — SCREENSHOT FROM GAVIN NEWSOM’S FACEBOOK PAGE

LOS ANGELES — Hundreds of US Marines arrived in the Los Angeles area on Tuesday under orders from President Donald J. Trump, ratcheting up tensions in America’s second largest city, as California’s governor warned “democracy is under assault.”

Mr. Trump’s extraordinary measures of sending National Guard and Marines to quell protests, which broke out in response to his immigration raids, fueled demonstrations for a fifth day in Los Angeles, and sparked protests in several other cities.

As Mr. Trump and California Governor Gavin Newsom traded fulminations, the city’s mayor said the protests were limited to about five downtown streets, but declared a curfew for parts of the downtown area due to violence and looting.

Police said multiple groups stayed on the streets in some areas despite the curfew and “mass arrests are being initiated.” Police earlier said that 197 people had already been arrested on Tuesday — more than double the total number of arrests to date.

Democratic leaders have raised concerns over a national crisis in what has become the most intense flashpoint yet in the Trump administration’s efforts to deport migrants living in the country illegally, and then crack down on opponents who take to the streets in protest.

“This brazen abuse of power by a sitting president inflamed a combustible situation, putting our people, our officers and even our National Guard at risk. That’s when the downward spiral began,” Mr. Newsom said in a video address.

“He again chose escalation. He chose more force. He chose theatrics over public safety… Democracy is under assault.”

Mr. Newsom, widely seen as preparing for a presidential run in 2028, has called deployments an illegal waste of resources. He and the state sued Mr. Trump and the Defense department on Monday, seeking to block the deployment of federal troops. Mr. Trump in turn has suggested Mr. Newsom should be arrested.

Mr. Trump, voted back into office last year largely for his promise to deport undocumented immigrants, used a speech honoring soldiers on Tuesday to defend his decision.

He told troops at the Army base in Fort Bragg, North Carolina: “Generations of Army heroes did not shed their blood on distant shores only to watch our country be destroyed by invasion and third-world lawlessness.”

“What you’re witnessing in California is a full-blown assault on peace, on public order and on national sovereignty, carried out by rioters bearing foreign flags,” Mr. Trump said, adding his administration would “liberate Los Angeles.”

Demonstrators have waved the flags of Mexico and other countries in solidarity for the migrants rounded in a series of intensifying raids.

Homeland Security said on Monday its Immigration and Customs Enforcement division had arrested 2,000 immigration offenders per day recently, far above the 311 daily average in fiscal year 2024 under former President Joseph R. Biden.

UNREST IN THE STREETS
Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass on Tuesday announced a curfew for one square mile (2.5 square kilometers) of downtown Los Angeles that will run from 8 p.m. to 6 a.m. locally (0300 to 1300 GMT) for several days.

With five minutes until the curfew took effect, hundreds of protesters faced police with their hands raised, chanting “peaceful protest.”

Even so, state and local officials have called Mr. Trump’s response an extreme overreaction to mostly peaceful demonstrations.

Ms. Bass emphasized at a press conference the distinction between the majority of demonstrators protesting peacefully and a smaller number of agitators she blamed for violence and looting.

A curfew had been considered for several days but Ms. Bass said she decided to impose one after 23 businesses were looted on Monday night.

“When these peaceful rallies end, and the protesters head home, another element moves in: opportunists, who come in under the cover of a peaceful protest to ravage and destroy,” Council member Ysabel Jurado, who represents the area, told reporters.

As the mayor and the council member spoke, police and protesters were engaged in skirmishes outside.

About 700 Marines were in a staging area in the Seal Beach area about 30 miles (50 kilometers) south of Los Angeles, awaiting deployment to specific locations, a US official said.

A US official said there were 2,100 National Guard troops in the Los Angeles area on Tuesday, more than half the 4,000 to be activated. The Marines and National Guard troops lack the authority to make arrests and will be charged only with protecting federal property and personnel. — Reuters

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