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Producers Guild names The Shape of Water the best film ahead of Oscars

LOS ANGELES — Guillermo del Toro’s fantasy romance The Shape of Water took home best movie at the Producers Guild Awards on Saturday, putting it in pole position for Oscars glory in March.

The movie bested leading Academy Awards contenders including Call Me by Your Name, Dunkirk, Get Out, I, Tonya, and Lady Bird.

In a crowded field, it also saw off The Big Sick, Molly’s Game, The Post, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri, and Wonder Woman.

The 1960s-set fairy tale about a mute government laboratory janitor falling in love with a merman-like creature won best director for Del Toro at the Golden Globes, considered a dry-run for the Oscars.

It also has 12 nominations for February’s BAFTAs, Britain’s version of the Oscars, and is expected to do well when nominees for the actual Academy Awards are announced on Tuesday.

The 53-year-old filmmaker, who co-produced alongside J. Miles Dale, was not there to pick up his trophy due to having gone to his sick father’s bedside in Mexico.

In one of the ceremony’s highlights, Get Out director and producer Jordan Peele was recognized for making a film that raises awareness of social issues and talked about “the sunken place,” the term used for the hypnotic, brainwashed state that traps victims in his movie.

“The sunken place is the system that silences the voice of women, minorities, and of other people,” he said in politically charged speech condemning President Donald Trump for derogatory comments about Haiti, Africa, and black football stars kneeling during the national anthem.

“Every day there is proof that we are in the sunken place,” he added.

Coco — Pixar’s love letter to Mexico based on the country’s Day of the Dead festival — won best animated picture, the first prize of the night handed out at the Beverly Hilton.

“Now is the time for more diversity in our culture and in our world,” said producer Darla K. Anderson, dedicating the award to the people of Mexico.

In the TV section, Hulu’s The Handmaid’s Tale won best television drama, while fellow Internet streaming service Amazon bagged best episodic comedy for The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel.

The Handmaid’s Tale, based on Margaret Atwood’s dystopian 1985 novel of the same name, has been the darling of recent awards ceremonies, winning eight Emmys and two Golden Globes.

The PGA has boasted a solid record of giving top honors to movies that go on to earn best picture honors at the Oscars.

The trend has been bucked somewhat recently, however, with last year’s best film award going to La La Land, which lost out to Moonlight at the Oscars.

Financial crisis comedy The Big Short took the top prize at 2016’s PGAs, but lost out to Spotlight for the Academy Award. The Oscars ceremony is staged on March 4, hosted by late night funnyman Jimmy Kimmel. — AFP

Throwing hand

In the aftermath of the 54th come-from-behind victory of his career, Tom Brady admitted what he refused to even acknowledge publicly during the week: The injury to his throwing hand affected — even scared — him. “I’ve never had anything like it,” he of 18 seasons’ worth of bruising battles said after the Patriots booked a ticket to Super Bowl LII. I’ve had a couple of crazy injuries, but this was pretty crazy. I didn’t know how I was going to do.”

Indeed, Brady understood the irony. He was about to compete in the American Football Conference title match, a testament to his longevity and continued competitiveness. At the same time, he was suffering from a gash to his dominant hand that required 12 stitches to close, the type of freak contact persistent flirtations with danger at an advanced age courted.

When the battlesmoke cleared, however, all the fretting proved to be for nothing. Brady netted 290 yards and two touchdowns on an efficient 26-of-38 clip, leading the Patriots to victory after being behind 10 points in the fourth quarter. And considering how he cut up the vaunted Jaguars defense with trademark precision in the crunch, the black bandage covering his wound looked to be the only manifestation something was even wrong with him.

Brady doesn’t believe he deserves undue praise for overcoming his ailment. “I think it sounds kind of arrogant to say, ‘Oh, yeah, it bothered me” when you have a pretty good game.” Added head coach Bill Belichick, “it’s not open-heart surgery.” Nonetheless, there can be no denying his toughness. Not when he’s 40 and still spearheading the Patriots’ cause. Up next is a date with the Eagles in the role of favorite. A sixth Super Bowl title awaits, and his hand is exactly what it should be: a footnote.

 

Anthony L. Cuaycong has been writing Courtside since BusinessWorld introduced a Sports section in 1994. He is the Senior Vice-President and General Manager of Basic Energy Corp.

Manila Bay dev’t plan deal signed with Dutch gov’t

THE PHILIPPINES and the Netherlands signed a memorandum of understanding for a sustainable development and management master plan for the Manila Bay area.

The two governments agreed to work together to draft the Manila Bay Sustainable Development Master Plan, which will guide future decisions on programs or projects such as coastal protection works, solid waste and water resources management, transport, and reclamation activities.

The plan also includes the development of slums and the relocation of informal settlers along Manila Bay.

“The Philippine Development Plan (PDP) 2017-2022 recognizes the crucial importance of the environment and natural resources in the country’s development. We must strike a balance between the growth of the economy and the environment sustainability,” Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Ernesto M. Pernia said during the singing ceremony yesterday at the National Economic and Development Authority headquarters in Pasig city.

“Thus, the PDP outlines aggressive strategies to rehabilitate and restore degraded natural resources and to protect fragile ecosystems while improving the welfare of resource-dependent communities,” he added.

Netherlands Ambassador to the Philippines Marion Derckx said: “The government has so many plans for infrastructure, and the Netherlands already has quite some experience in the Philippines in this field. The agency that is going to assist NEDA in making this plan is our knowledge institute for water (resources).”

NEDA Undersecretary Rolando G. Tungpalan said that there is an “enormous opportunity” for the private sector to take part in the program, as he expects a number of unsolicited proposals to surface.

“There’s a lot of real property development potential alongside Manila Bay,” he said.

“Largely, those that are revenue generating. Property development, and the transportation around them,” he added.

Mr. Tungpalan said that proposals are expected to emerge when the master plan develops, noting that no reclamation bids from the Philippine Reclamation Authority have been submitted to NEDA.

Aside from the Manila Bay, the rehabilitation of the Pasig river will also be considered as it is a connected body of water.

He said that one of the initiatives of the government includes reviving the ferry service along the Pasig river.

“So the service can not only serve the Laguna de Bay area, but also along the coastal part of Manila Bay. But that is in the planning works. But I think you have that compatibility between the Pasig River as well as Manila Bay. It’s a program that were excited about,” Mr. Tungpalan said.

“So hopefully, this output, this exercise will give us a plan. We have coastal defense, of course storm surges, but we also look at the different infrastructure sectors and environmental performance that will ensure sustainable Manila Bay development,” he added. — Elijah Joseph C. Tubayan

Luck has something to do with it

It seems being hardworking isn’t enough to achieve success. The workaholic is only noticed after he has already reached the top, thereby ascribing to long office hours (what does he really do?) the rise of his hefty net worth. What about the grunt who accompanies him even to the gym? He’s still struggling.

Gamblers and tycoons happen to be a superstitious lot. The uncertainty of the market or the randomness of chance invites the belief that not all the planning, hard work, and card counting are sure to bring in big winnings.

About this time, the overweight men in silk jackets pontificate on the impact of the earth dog. What are the hottest businesses to get into? How will the cocks, rams, and moneys fare in the coming lunar new year?

When moving to new offices, tycoons are known to employ feng shui masters to guide them on where their office should be and where to put the door. Paintings cannot be depicting desolate beaches.

Horoscopes for one are regular features of magazines. Those born under different signs have separate though sometimes similar fortunes. You can read any sign and it will seem to refer to your personal circumstances — you have been losing money at the stock market. Next week, your stock tip on an obscure paging company shooting up will bear fruit.

While a semblance of science is affected with charts and numbers, even questions on the hour of the day one was born, the result still comes out a lot like good-news-bad-news stuff… and how to improve one’s aura by wearing a red shirt to lunch.

Do hard-nosed tycoons steeped in “costs and benefits” analysis really postpone a construction during the ghost month when beset by stern warnings of “a financial storm headed in his direction?” If the warnings are ignored and ill fortune befalls the project, the unlucky one may well regret not heeding his astrological consultant. And why is the stock market thinly traded at this time? Maybe the expats are on their usual vacation leaves.

Anticipation of bad news can be a self-fulfilling prophecy. Indecision and wavering before taking the plunge can result in unfortunate results. Is the hesitation a foreboding of ill fortune or just a case of undigested pork belly?

Reading of one’s good fortune in the coming year creates its own problems. The false sense of security can lead to smugness that challenges the gods (or the writers of the horoscope) to back up their promise. They don’t guarantee results. And anyway, their forecasts from last year are seldom checked.

The idea that a certain group of people sharing an accident of birth dates will undergo a common fate may be hard to rationalize, given their different situations.

Horoscope readers tend to be self-centered and see the prediction as intended only for them. “Someone who has crossed you and derailed you out of a promotion will see her good fortune flip. You will be given a chance to include her name in a redundancy program. She will be screaming your name as she is led out the door and not allowed to bring along her cactus plant.” Such gory details are usually left out.

Classmates who may have been born under the same astrological sign and starting off from the same career line may digress in wealth and fame. Of course the successful one is seen to have been in the “low-bat” category in school. The one headed to the rutted service road of life will always believe — it is better to be lucky than smart.

Military leaders, who understand the randomness of battle, with the unpredictability of weather, momentum, and fatigue, rely on good fortune to bring them victory. They too are a superstitious lot. Are there really lucky generals?

Life presents random events that favor or derail us. Often one man’s luck is another one’s misfortune. The little speed bumps along the way to seeming success can be jarring, as when you are promised a cushy job which a few months later is unexpectedly eliminated.

There are surely lucky streaks that carry some along their path. But, like all streaks, they sometimes abruptly end… just when all the chips are on the table.

 

A. R. Samson is chair and CEO of Touch DDB.

ar.samson@yahoo.com

Bourse closes at fresh peak ahead of Q4 GDP report

THE BOURSE extended gains for a second straight trading day to finish at the year’s fifth record high ahead of today’s fourth-quarter 2017 gross domestic product (GDP) report that is widely expected to have kept the full-year pace within the government’s target.

The Philippine Stock Exchange index (PSEi) edged up 34.70 points or 0.38% to finish 8,950.62, while the all-shares index gained 21.94 points or 0.42% to close at 5,173.01.

This marks PSEi’s fifth all-time high finish for 2018, following its close of 8,923.72 last Jan. 9.

Four of the six sectoral indices closed with gains, while foreigners remained net buyers for the seventh straight trading day.

9,000 IN SIGHT
“Philippine markets bought up the index once more right before the release of fourth quarter (GDP report) tomorrow,” Regina Capital Development Corp. Managing Director Luis A. Limlingan said in a mobile phone message, while Astrolito Romulo C. del Castillo, First Grade Finance, Inc. president and managing director, noted that “[i]nvestors are expecting better GDP results tomorrow.”

“Reports and news from analysts, Moody’s, also encouraged buying today, allowing investors to position themselves ahead of the announcement,” Mr. Del Castillo added, referring to the 6.7% fourth-quarter GDP growth expectation of Moody’s Analytics that was also the median in BusinessWorld’s poll of 12 economists.

If realized, that pace would put full-year growth at 6.7% against the government’s 6.5-7.5% target for 2017.

RCBC Securities, Inc. on Monday noted that expected fast economic growth is lifting the market’s current growth, saying that the PSEi could rise to the 9,500 level by the end of 2018.

“The market continues to gain momentum. We may breach the 9,000 in the coming days, especially if there’s a favorable outcome,” Mr. Del Castillo said.

Several other Asian bourses joined a region-wide rally, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 and Topix Index, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index, the Shanghai Composite Index, the Straits Times Index and the Jakarta Composite Index rising 0.03%, 0.12%, 0.43%, 0.39%, 0.54% and 0.41%, respectively, though South Korea’s KOSPI sank by 0.72%

Locally, services led the four indices that gained, rising 17.98 points or 1.09% to close 1,656.75; followed by property that increased by 20.69 points or 0.51% to close 4,056.13; holdings that edged up by 37.30 points or 0.40% to finish 9,181.20; and industrials that added 16.33 points or 0.13% to 11,882.86. 

The two sectors that weighed on the bourse were mining and oil, which fell by 136.71 points or 1.13% to finish 11,891.11 and financials which ceded 1.36 points or 0.05% to end 2,286.87.

Monday saw stocks that declined outnumber those that gained 128 to 99, while 52 others were unchanged.

Some 890.17 million stocks worth P8.14 billion changed hands, compared to Friday’s 914.34 million stocks worth P10.02 billion.

Foreigners remained predominantly buyers for a seventh straight trading day, with net buying growing nearly fivefold to P448.38 million on Monday from Friday’s P92.10 million. Arra B. Francia

Tokyo simulates first military attack since WWII

TOKYO — Hundreds of Tokyo residents scrambled for cover Monday in the Japanese capital’s first evacuation drill for a military attack since World War II, amid ongoing tensions over North Korea’s nuclear program.

A loudspeaker blared out a terrifying warning at the drill, held in a Tokyo amusement park: “We have information that a missile launch has occurred. Please evacuate calmly inside a building or underground.”

A park employee ran around, shouting “a missile was launched, a missile was launched” as some 250 local residents and office workers duly evacuated to reinforced concrete buildings and a nearby subway station.

A few minutes later, a second message was announced via loudspeaker: “The missile passed. The missile likely flew over the Kanto (greater Tokyo) region towards the Pacific Ocean.”

People in earthquake-prone Japan are familiar with evacuation drills simulating natural disasters and fires and annual drills are seasonal rituals seen almost everywhere in the country — from schools and workplaces to care homes.

But a drill simulating a North Korean missile attack on Tokyo is still a novel idea, although similar drills were held in other parts of Japan last year.

“I think it’s better than nothing to have such a drill, but I am praying there is no missile attack from the North,” Shota Matsushima, 20, a university student who was in a train station near the drill site, told AFP.

Kana Okakuni, 19, also a student, added: “I think it’s good to take a precaution, like having drills for earthquakes.”

THREATS FROM N. KOREA
The drill comes as regional tensions remain high over North Korea’s nuclear and missile drive, despite the hermit state’s plan to send athletes to next months’ Winter Games in the South, which has drawn global attention.

North Korea has singled out Japan, a key US ally in the region, for verbal attacks, threatening to “sink” the country into the sea and to turn it into “ashes.”

Last year, Pyongyang fired three missiles over Japan and has splashed others into the sea near the country, sparking a mix of panic and outrage.

Every time North Korea launches a missile over Japan, the nation’s alert system warns residents via mobile phones and streetside loudspeaker broadcasts.

But many people say that such a system is useless, with too little time to evacuate and few facilities in place to survive a nuclear attack.

There have also been false alarms.

Last week, Japan’s public broadcaster NHK mistakenly flashed that North Korea appeared to have launched a missile, warning people to take cover before apologizing for the error only minutes later.

That came just days after a false cellphone warning of an incoming ballistic missile terrified residents in Hawaii.

The latest drill in Tokyo attracted some protests.

“I don’t want to participate in such a drill and I am against it, as it is a way to promote a war,” said Ikie Kamioka, 77, a former primary school teacher who was among dozens of people who rallied in protest against the drill.

“You won’t survive if a war occurs. A nuclear war would devastate everything,” she said. — AFP

How PSEi member stocks performed — January 22, 2018

Here’s a quick glance at how PSEi stocks fared on Monday, January 22, 2018.

ECB to end QE by December but should do so sooner

BENGALURU — The European Central Bank will stop printing money by the end of the year, but should do so much sooner, a majority of economists polled by Reuters said, citing a solid and synchronised growth outlook for the currency bloc.

The debate on the central bank ending its quantitative easing (QE) program has now moved to when rather than should.

That is largely driven by robust growth expectations with upgrades for a majority of the euro zone economies in the latest Reuters poll of over 100 economists taken Jan 11-19.

“The ECB should not have run such a big and extended QE program in the first place, but given that they have committed themselves to not halting purchases before September, they should obviously stick to that idea,” said Elwin de Groot, head of macro strategy at Rabobank.

Minutes from December’s ECB meeting signaled a revisit to its communication stance in “early” 2018 and specifically a pledge to continue its more than 2.5 trillion euro money-printing program.

But a separate Reuters story based on three sources close to the matter last week showed any change to guidance was likely to come later than the Jan. 25 meeting.

About 90% of 70 respondents who answered an extra question said the ECB will completely shut its bond buying program by year-end, including 26 economists who said September and four October. The remaining seven economists expect the central bank to end it sometime next year.

But over 60% of the poll’s participants who answered another question said the ECB should pull the plug on its 30 billion euros worth of monthly asset purchases by the end of September at the latest. That included almost a fifth of the economists who said it should happen well before September.

“There is no need to extend QE beyond September 2018 given that growth will remain clearly above potential for the time being and that there are increasing signs that underlying inflation will trend higher,” said Martin Wolburg, senior economist at Generali Investments.

“Prolonging QE in this environment would do more harm than good.”

EURO RISING ON SOLID GROWTH, NOT INFLATION
The euro zone economy is forecast to grow on average 2.2 this year and 1.8% next, compared to 2.1% and 1.8%, respectively, in the previous poll.

Surging business and consumer confidence and steady job creation have left economists repeatedly raising their estimates for major economies in the region.

The German economy, Europe’s largest, is expected to continue its solid upswing, with GDP growth forecast at 2.4% for 2018, compared to 1.9% in the previous poll.

Economists were increasingly bullish about France’s economic outlook forecasting on average 2.0% growth this year, up from 1.7% in a poll in October.

But the ECB is expected to keep its interest rates on hold this year. The central bank is forecast to have raised its refinancing rate by 25 basis points to 0.25% and deposit rates by 40 basis points to zero percent by the end of 2019.

The ECB is expected to take its deposit rates higher for the first time since 2011 in the second quarter of 2019.

Those expectations come on the back of solid growth for the euro zone economy in 2017, during which it surpassed that of the U.S. and Britain.

The strength of the bloc’s economy has driven the euro’s best run since 2003 last year and a separate Reuters poll showed the single currency was expected to trade slightly higher by end-2018.

Euro strength will be one of the challenges the central bank needs to deal with as a stronger currency tends to dampen inflation by making exports dearer and imports cheaper.

Since the ECB’s last meeting, the single currency has gained over 4% and policymakers need to evaluate the impact of this rise on prices and the economy.

Indeed, the euro zone economy expanding at its fastest pace in a decade and jobless rate at nine-year lows has not converted into significantly faster price growth.

Inflation is not expected to reach the ECB’s target until 2020 at least, with the consensus ranging between 1.3 and 1.6% in each quarter through to the middle of next year.

For the full year, inflation is forecast to average 1.5% this year and 1.6% next.

The risk, though, is skewed more to the upside for inflation as the latest expectations were higher compared to the previous poll and the range of forecasts show pessimism has dissipated.

“In the context of an upwardly revised growth path, 2018 will likely mark the beginning of three key shifts from negative to positive output gap, from below- to above-average core inflation and from ECB QE to the end of it,” noted Daniele Antonucci, senior European economist at Morgan Stanley. — Reuters

Nation at a Glance — (01/23/18)

News stories from across the nation. Visit www.bworldonline.com (section: The Nation) to read more national and regional news from the Philippines.

Hoping for the best on VAT refunds under TRAIN

One of the concerns of corporate taxpayers is how to optimize their assets, including input value-added tax (VAT), for day-to-day operations. When the input VAT remains unutilized for a long period, however, it becomes a trapped asset.

Before the passage of the Tax Reform for Acceleration and Inclusion (TRAIN) law, taxpayers observed that most unutilized input VAT refund applications administratively filed with the Bureau of Internal Revenue (BIR) were unsuccessful. Consequently, most of them either sought relief with the Courts or let the input VAT float in the company’s books. These situations are disadvantageous, considering the costs of filing and litigating a case in the Court of Tax Appeals (CTA) and of money while the input VAT remains unused.

Is there something in the TRAIN law that would encourage taxpayers to be more hopeful about their VAT refunds? Under the TRAIN law, there are salient provisions that pertain to input VAT refunds, where the input VAT relates to the taxpayers’ VAT zero-rated sales/receipts.

1. 120 DAYS REDUCED TO 90 DAYS
Comparing the old provisions of the Tax Code and the TRAIN law, the period within which the BIR should decide on a VAT refund application was reduced from 120 days to 90 days. This is a welcome development, as VAT refund applications will now be processed at a faster pace.

In line with the reduced period, the BIR could consider revisiting the long list of documentary requirements for applying for a VAT refund. An evaluation could be made whether there are superfluous documentary requirements that may be removed. This action of reducing requirements will definitely make the VAT refund evaluation faster for the BIR.

2. NO MORE ‘DEEMED DENIAL’ RULE
The old rule included a “deemed denial” provision. This means that when no decision is issued by the BIR within 120 days, the application is deemed denied, and the taxpayer may seek relief with CTA within 30 days after the BIR’s 120-day period to review the application. In other words, there is no more need to wait for the BIR’s decision if the 120-day has lapsed, in order for the taxpayer to go to court.

This is not the case under the TRAIN law. An appeal to the CTA may only ripen after the taxpayer’s receipt of the BIR’s decision denying the claim for VAT refund. Should the BIR find that granting a refund is not proper, the BIR Commissioner must state in writing the legal and factual basis for such denial. The receipt of the decision has become a necessary requirement before judicial relief may be availed.

Hopefully, the taxpayers will get equitable resolutions from the BIR as fully and categorically explained by the Bureau in the decisions it will make. There will be no more “implied” decision of denying the taxpayer’s application.

3. PERSONAL ACCOUNTABILITY OF BIR OFFICERS
An interesting provision in the TRAIN law empowers the taxpayer to file a criminal complaint against a BIR officer who deliberately fails to act on the application for refund within the prescribed period. The imposition of criminal liability is a heavy sanction for an erring BIR officer, in addition to the penalties of perpetual disqualification to hold public office, to vote, and to participate in any public election.

Many are hopeful that this personal accountability of BIR officers will make the review process of VAT refund applications more efficient. Others say that the addition of the above provision may be seen as a wake-up call. Some fear, though, that there might be a risk that, because of the inclusion of criminal liability provisions, the BIR could just render haphazard reviews and decisions on VAT refund application just to get away with the imposition of the said penalty.   

It has been the sentiment of taxpayers that there is a lot to be improved in the VAT refund process. The above changes under the TRAIN law could be a big leap. In the days to come, the implementing rules and regulations of the TRAIN law shall be released. We hope that the rules of VAT refund provide for a more expedient and simple process equitable in every way.

We wish that the VAT refund application procedures are streamlined and the list of requirements is significantly reduced. More important, the BIR must be fair and reasonable in deciding every claim for refund. Taxpayers expect nothing less than good regulations and proper implementation. This will likewise help businesses achieve global competitiveness. By moving a company’s assets from a mere paper asset to an asset which can be reinvested, we are definite that its ultimate effect will trickle down from the growth of businesses to the increase in government revenues.

The amended provisions discussed above are promising developments as intended by legislators. It is not only the duty of the business to grow its enterprise. The government also has a responsibility of making sure that businesses thrive in the domestic and global market. Let’s start by unlocking trapped assets and making them as useful as they were meant to be.

Eliezer P. Ambatali is a senior associate of the Tax Advisory and Compliance of P&A Grant Thornton. P&A Grant Thornton is one of the leading audit, tax, advisory, and outsourcing services firms in the Philippines.

2018 Inclusive development index

THE PHILIPPINES is expected to have clocked gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the fourth quarter of 2017 that put the full-year pace well within target, according to an assessment released yesterday. Read the full story.

Chinese cities’ moves to ease residency curbs fuel property demand

CHENGDU/BEIJING — China’s provincial capitals have discovered a way to keep apartment sales booming by making it much easier for graduates to get coveted household registration permits.

Authorities in the cities say the main aim is to lure talent to make their labor pools more attractive to companies. But the policies are undermining the authorities’ efforts to control property speculation and are artificially propping up prices, critics in the real estate and securities industries say.

The permits, known as hukou, have been used to control internal migration in China for many years. Without a permit, a resident of a city may not be able to get a whole slew of public services, including education and health care, and would sometimes have to live on the margins of society.

Now, cities such as Chengdu — the capital of Sichuan province in southwest China — are reversing the process by handing out hukou to college-degree holders. In Chengdu’s case that is anyone under the age of 45.

Not only that. They are in some cases providing these graduates with cash incentives if they buy an apartment.

For example, any post doctoral degree-holder who takes up hukou in central China’s Zhengzhou, capital of Henan province, will be handed 100,000 yuan ($15,617) for a first home purchase. For college-degree holders the incentive is 20,000 yuan.

As a result, hundreds of thousands of people have been able to buy properties that were otherwise off limits for them.

Take 27-year-old graduate Peter Li, who faced barriers to buying in Chengdu last year because he was from the northwestern province of Gansu.

Then in July the new policy was introduced, and he bought a three-bedroom apartment in the upscale high-tech zone of the city.

“Getting a hukou through the talent policy was a more convenient way to get around the housing curbs,” said Mr. Li, who moved to Chengdu, which has 17 million people, to work as a product manager in 2016.

By mid January — just over five months after the change — more than 120,000 people had been able to get a Chengdu hukou through the new policy, said Chengdu’s official Talent Work Leadership office.

And Chengdu’s resale market soared. The number of sales registered with the housing bureau, which could lag real-time transactions by up to two months, have climbed to 8,798 in December, up 40% from July’s 6,252, data from Chengdu property net showed. The local real estate portal says it tracks data published daily by the Chengdu housing bureau.

Average prices in some prime locations had risen to about 16,000 yuan ($2,498) per square meter in December, up about 30% from their levels in July, according to data from property realtors, including Fang.com.

At least 10 other provincial capitals, including Wuhan and Changsha in the central provinces of Hubei and Hunan respectively have also loosened their hukou rules, and some have offered incentives.

In such cities the changes have effectively weakened existing curbs brought in over the past year to tame speculation. That has prevented price falls and in some cases helped to trigger significant price increases, according to property agents and analysts.

“It’s a disguised way for the government to relax the curbs,” said a Chengdu-based agent at Lianjia, a large Chinese real estate agency, declining to be named as she was not authorized to speak to the media.

Traditionally, China’s four top-tier cities, Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen, have been the most sought-after destinations for young and educated migrants seeking higher pay and better opportunities.

By contrast, less developed tier-2 provincial capitals have mainly been a magnet for people from smaller cities within the province.

While hefty living costs, soaring property prices and pollution have seen some reverse in flow from top-tier cities to provincial capitals, the wages gap is a big turn off.

Six property agencies in Chengdu surveyed by Reuters estimated between 50% and 70% of their sales have been made off newly minted Chengdu hukou holders in recent months.

The impact is gradually being felt at the national level. Official data on Thursday showed China’s new home prices accelerated to a five-month high in December, with property prices in tier-2 cities recording the strongest price growth.

The Chengdu government, in a faxed response to Reuters’ questions, said it did not set the bar excessively low for outsiders, stressing the importance of attracting talent as the city aspires to mirror the success of China’s top-tier cities.

The city will “continue to satisfy the needs of first-time home buyers and their rigid demand, and those who want to improve their housing conditions, while cracking down on speculation,” the government said.

Home buyers are still subject to existing tightening measures such as having to hold on to their properties for at least three years before selling.

China’s State Council Information Office (SCIO), which doubles as the Communist Party’s communications arm, said the moves undertaken by the tier-2 cities would only increase the size of qualified home buyers “by a small scale.”

Such demand — seen as the opposite of speculative forces — is in line with the view from China’s top leaders that “homes are meant for living, not for speculation,” it said.

Still, there is concern that the strategy will end up being counterproductive by fueling price rises, which in turn could make apartments too expensive for many people born and bred in these cities, building resentment against the city’s government and the newcomers allowed hukou.

There is also skepticism that this is really about attracting higher educated people to these cities. Instead, critics suggest it is largely about raising local government revenues through land sales.

“Having a diploma is not a big thing in China nowadays,” said Iris Pang, a Hong Kong-based economist at ING. A record 8 million students graduated from Chinese universities in 2017 — nearly 10 times the number in 1997.

Ms. Pang says without a proper set of criteria, such as a salary floor, the policy will fuel property price rises.

“It shows that local governments are very desperate to attract demand. It could mean that there is a fear of oversupply in those lower-tier cities,” Ms. Pang said. Reuters