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Risk remains despite limited current account gap growth

By Melissa Luz T. Lopez
Senior Reporter

THE PHILIPPINES is unlikely to see a “significant widening” of its current account deficit, even as a bigger gap exposes the country more to “sudden capital outflows,” S&P Global Ratings said in a regional note on Thursday.

The global debt watcher expects Philippine gross domestic product (GDP) to expand by 6.5% this year, slower than the 6.7% clocked in 2017 and below the government’s 7-8% growth goal for 2018.

“We expect a return of traditional GDP growth drivers — consumption and investment — as the leaders of a decent 6.5% growth,” S&P said in the Asia-Pacific Economic Snapshots report it released yesterday.

“As the Q4 figures show, the resurgence of private household spending came just in time, as electronics exports were no longer able to prevent the usual negative contribution of net exports to growth.”

ANZ Research has warned that private spending could ease as a result of higher prices of goods and services, largely due to the implementation of Republic Act No. 10963, or the Tax Reform for Acceleration and Inclusion Act (TRAIN). TRAIN, which took effect Jan. 1, introduced higher or additional taxes on fuel, cars, coal, sugar-sweetened drinks and a host of other items. These are expected to shore up an additional P82.3 billion revenues this year, despite a reduction in personal income taxes.

ANZ analysts said that historical data showed that every one percent increase in headline prices caused a corresponding 0.3% decline in private consumption.

BMI Research, however, said rising incomes and sustained remittance inflows should keep consumer activity upbeat.

At the same time, however, S&P said it will “continue to watch the current account, given slower remittance inflows, higher energy prices, and rising imports.”

“Although we do not expect a significant widening of the deficit under our baseline, such a scenario would increase the Philippines’ exposure to potential sudden capital outflows in times of market panic,” the credit rater said.

The current account measures fund flows from goods and services trading, which determines the country’s external payments position.

As of December, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) expected the current account to settle at a $100-million deficit in 2017, a retreat from the $28-million surplus logged as of end-September.

For this year, the central bank sees the current account at a $700-million deficit, equivalent to 0.2% of gross domestic product (GDP).

BSP Managing Director Francisco G. Dakila, Jr. last week said a current account gap driven by an increase in investments and imports of capital goods is to be expected in order to prevent the economy from overheating, as such expenditures will help accelerate overall economic growth.

The country’s external trade deficit logged a new all-time-high $4.017 billion in December, taking the full-year gap to $29.786 billion, also the highest on record.

Last year saw merchandise imports surging by 10.2% and exports growing 9.5%, beating the government forecasts of nine percent and eight percent respectively, according to the National Economic and Development Authority.

Increased imports of raw materials like artificial resin, iron and steel are expected to support the “Build, Build, Build” agenda of the current administration, which plans to spend over P8 trillion for big-ticket infrastructure projects until 2022, when President Rodrigo R. Duterte ends his six-year term.

The increased infrastructure spending is expected to boost annual GDP growth to as fast as 7-8% up to 2022 from last year’s 6.7%, 2016’s 6.9% and a 6.2% average in 2010-2015.

Monetary Board member Araneta passes away

MONETARY BOARD Member Valentin A. Araneta, a veteran of the banking industry, passed away on Feb. 21, according to the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) on Thursday. He was 69.

Mr. Araneta served as member of the BSP’s policy-setting body since July 2014, when he was appointed by then-President Benigno S.C. Aquino III for a six-year term. The Monetary Board has seven members who are appointed by the President, consisting of the BSP governor, a member of the Cabinet and five representatives of the private sector.

Before this, Mr. Araneta served as president of the Philippine Deposit Insurance Corp., after decades of working in various banks. He was president and chief operating officer (COO) of Rizal Commercial Banking Corp., senior executive vice-president/COO of the Philippine National Bank and independent director at the Metropolitan Bank & Trust Co.

Mr. Araneta held a degree in Economics from the Ateneo de Manila University. He also completed the Advanced Management Program of the Wharton Business School in 1991.

A requiem mass and necrological service will be offered today in his honor at the BSP main office in Malate, Manila. Inurnment will be held on Sunday at the St. Therese Columbarium in Pasay City, the central bank said in a statement. — Melissa Luz T. Lopez

History meets art

Photos by Michelle Anne P. Soliman and Alicia A. Herrera

The first Manila Biennale — which has the theme “Open City,” referencing the events of World War II in its venue, Intramuros in Manila — focuses on memories and stories, on history and culture. Wandering through the narrow streets of the walled city, viewing the various installations and exhibits that make up the arts festival, one gets a reminder of who we were then and who we are today. Plaza Roma, the San Ignacio Mission House, and Baluarte de San Diego, in particular, are not to be missed, although there is art scattered throughout. Here are some of the works to note as the festival enters its last two weeks. — Michelle Anne P. Soliman

Procesion los Camareros (Procession of the Caretakers)

SAN IGNACIO MISSION HOUSE
Procesion los Camareros (Procession of the Caretakers) by Jason Dy, SJ
A series of 15 light boxes encircle the center of the newly rebuilt but still unfinished San Ignacio Church, each corresponding to one of the Stations of the Cross. Curator Alice Sarmiento explains that the artist, Fr. Jason Dy, “was interested in the way people practice their faith” and the “way religion functions within communities.” Fr. Dy worked with Intramuros pedicab drivers who each personalized glass reliquary-style boxes with sentimental objects which serve as a representation of history and religion (one of the boxes contains a Koran). The priest then photographed the drivers’ creations, mounted the resulting images in light boxes which were then set up in the church. Ms. Sarmiento noted that part of the project was to have the pedicab canopies redesigned with prints of the San Ignacio Church’s interior and the prewar Intramuros landscape. The original glass boxes have been mounted in the pedicabs, making this in a sense a traveling exhibit as the drivers take their passengers around the walled city.

Red Slide

PLAZA ROMA
Red Slide by Aigars Bikse
The interactive sculpture by Latvian artist Aigars Bikse was created in 2012 for the Rauma Biennial Balticum, Finland under the theme of human nature, focusing on the essence of the human mind. A working slide that depicts a wounded soldier done in the “Soviet monument style,” the polyurethane slide was repainted pink for the Manila Biennale. Curator Con Cabrera explained that the image depicts “the duality of the soldier’s persona” which can either be an aggressor or protector — evident as children play around and with the sculpture.

WatAwat

SAN IGNACIO MISSION HOUSE
WatAwat by Elnora Ebillo
Documentarian Elnora Ebillo dramatizes the involvement of women in the Philippine Revolution against Spain by projecting images of women sewing the various Philippine flags onto a series of sinamay curtains in a darkened room.

Record of the Bombing

SAN IGNACIO MISSION HOUSE
Record of the Bombing by Hikaru Fujii
A Japanese World War 2 memorial hall had its funding cut when it was found to rather tell an ambiguous narrative about war atrocities. This was the inspiration for this work by Japanese artist Hikaru Fujii — originally displayed at the Museum for Contemporary Art in Tokyo. The work features a number of exhibit vitrines, empty except for the labels identifying the missing artifacts. A video of Japanese WW2 survivors gives validity to the terrors and hardships of the war.

Bayanihan Hopping Spirit House

PLAZA ROMA
Bayanihan Hopping Spirit House by Alwin Reamillo
First set up in nearby Fort Santiago, the house was transported bayanihan-style to Plaza Roma with the help of soldiers, festival staff, and guests on Saturday, Feb. 17. The bamboo house made the trip in about 20 minutes on the shoulders of the volunteers who faced the challenge of avoiding the low hanging cables across Gen. Luna St. Built with corrugated iron panels and bamboo, and decorated with strings of bits and bobs, chimes hand-made by children, and pinwheels made of recycled materials, the house was first exhibited at the 2015 Sydney Festival. “It’s a form of creative bayanihan (mutual cooperation by a community) and creative social structure,” said its creator, Alwin Reamillo, who noted that while bayanihan is usually practiced in the provinces, it may also be done in the city. Asked about the possible effect of adverse weather on the house, Mr. Reamillo noted the community’s cooperation: “Masisira ’yan eventually pero, aayusin natin ulit (It will break eventually, but we will fix it again.)”

ALL AROUND INTRAMUROS
Various signs made of tarpaulin and wood by Kolown
As one walks around the walled city, one will come across multiple tongue-in-cheek “historical” signs created by Kolown, an anonymous artist collective based in Cebu. The signs give fake information about the city and its history in a very straightforward manner. This includes the role of Voltes V in Fort Santiago and the role of the Intramuros walls in beauty routines. The signs all include links that can be accessed by smartphones which provide a different dimension to the works.

Golgotha

BALUARTE DE SAN DIEGO
Golgotha by Mideo Cruz
An installation made of found objects, resin, wood, and metal adapting to the given space, the piece evokes a feeling of fear. Featuring hands sticking out of the ground, surrounding horned beasts, this work — staged in a chamber that served as a prison for women during World War II — references biblical history and the sacrifices of both losers and victors.

H20 spins off water business

By Arra B. Francia, Reporter

PHILIPPINE H2O Ventures Corp. (H2O) is spinning off its water assets as it prepares for a takeover by Davao-based businessman Dennis A. Uy’s property company.

In a disclosure to the stock exchange on Thursday, H2O said its board of directors approved the sale of its water business to sister firm Tabuk Water Corp. (Tabuk) for P442 million. Both parties have also signed a share purchase agreement for the transaction.

H2O’s water business is solely under Calapan Waterworks Corp. (CWWC), where it holds a total of 137.05 million common shares, or 99.75% of the issued and outstanding shares.

CWWC owns and operates the local waterworks system of Calapan City, Oriental Mindoro. The company serves 22 urban barangays and 13 adjoining rural barangays, connecting a total of 13,384 households as of 2016.

The spin-off of the water business is in line Memorandum of Agreement between H2O’s parent, Jolliville Holdings Corp. (JOH) and other related parties and Mr. Uy’s Udenna Development Corp. (UDEVCO) last December 2017. Here, JOH agreed to sell all its shareholdings, or 62.006%, in H2O to UDEVCO.

At least two-thirds of the shareholders of H2O would have to approve the transaction before it can be completed, as well as the confirmation by UDEVCO and JOH.

UDEVCO will also be launching a mandatory tender offer for the H2O shares, as per the Securities Regulation Code.

Shares in H2O jumped 13.03% or 77 centavos to P6.68 apiece at the stock market’s close on Thursday, while parent JOH enjoyed a 7.54% increase or 37 centavos to P5.28 each. The two firms were among the top gainers for the day, defying the Philippine Stock Exchange index’s 1.14% drop to 8,515.57 as rising bond yields continued to put a pressure on global markets.

Mr. Uy’s property arm had earlier expressed interest taking its business public, saying it is considering an initial public offering or backdoor listing.

UDEVCO currently operates Lapu-Lapu Land Corp., a Cebu-based firm undertaking the development of a $341-million Lapu-Lapu Leisure Mactan project. Spanning 12.5 hectares, the project will house a casino, retail complex, and hotels. The company looks to start the casino’s operations as early as 2019, ahead of the development’s target completion in 2022.

Mr. Uy has been steadily expanding his business since the start of President Rodrigo R. Duterte’s administration. His logistics arm, Chelsea Logistics Holdings Corp., has been snapping up logistics firms to grow its reach after conducting a P5.84-billion IPO last June 2017.

Landbank books higher income

LAND BANK of the Philippines (Landbank) saw its net income grow in 2017 on the back of its robust core revenues.

In a statement sent to reporters on Thursday, state-owned Landbank said it posted a net income of P14.05 billion, climbing 4% from the P13.58 billion recorded in 2016.

Landbank’s net income growth was mainly supported by the double-digit growth of its core revenues.

The bank’s income from loans expanded 12% to P26.8 billion last year from P23.9 billion in 2016.

This, as the lender’s loan portfolio expanded by 30% to P674.3 billion last year, the bank said in the statement.

Landbank’s deposit base likewise rose 15% to P1.42 trillion from the P1.23 billion recorded in 2016 as it added new branches and automated teller machines and expanded the enrollment of its Internet and mobile banking subscribers.

Meanwhile, the bank’s income from investments also expanded 28% to P21.17 billion in 2017 from the P16.49 billion booked in the comparable year-ago period. Landbank’s investment portfolio rose 25% to P580.65 billion.

Return on equity was at 14.8% in 2017, while the lender’s total capital expanded to P104.59 billion by 23%.

“With our solid performance in 2017 further reinforcing the [b]ank’s foundation, we are confident with sustaining growth in 2018,” Landbank President and Chief Executive Officer Alex V. Buenaventura was quoted as saying in the statement.

“Our core objective is to continuously grow the net income in order to expand support to our priority sectors, especially the farmers and fishers, cooperatives, [and micro-, small and medium enterprises].”

Earlier, Landbank said it is eyeing to acquire the 66.67% stake of Philippine Dealing System Holdings Corp. (PDS) after its board approved the move last Jan. 23.

Mr. Buenaventura said the lender’s acquisition of PDS will “increase Landbank[‘s] profits and accelerate development of capital markets in the country.”

Finance Secretary Carlos G. Dominguez III backed Landbank’s planned acquisition of the country’s fixed-income exchange, saying that the Philippine Stock Exchange has taken too long to carry out its acquisition of PDS.

Mr. Dominguez said recently that Landbank needs profits to subsidize farmer loans.

Landbank is the largest provider of loans to small farmers and fishers, cooperatives and local government units. As of September last year, it was the country’s fourth largest bank in asset terms with P1.48 trillion. — K.A.N. Vidal

PCC green-lights ALI-RALI deal

THE COUNTRY’S anti-trust body has given the go-signal for two joint venture deals last week, one of which involves property giant Ayala Land, Inc. (ALI)’s partnership with Royal Asia Land, Inc. (RALI) to develop a mixed-use estate in Cavite.

In a statement issued Thursday, the Philippine Competition Commission (PCC) said the partnership between ALI and RALI does not result in substantial lessening of competition in their respective relevant markets.

The two firms are currently forming a 50-50 venture company that will acquire, own, and develop a 936-hectare property that covers Silang and Carmona in Cavite. The project is slated to house both commercial and residential components.

Under the deal, ALI will act as the property’s project and development, and sales and marketing manager. It will receive 12% of the joint venture company’s gross revenues for the development management fee, and 5% for the sales and marketing fee.

On the other hand, RALI will participate in the planning and development of the property, which entitles it to a 2% share in the joint venture’s gross revenues.

At the same time, the PCC also approved the proposed partnership between Markham Resources Corp. (MRC) and Alternergy Mini Hyrdo Holdings Corp. (AMHHC) to operate three mini hydro projects, namely Kiangan Mini Hydro Corp., Ibulao Mini Hydro Corp., and Lamut-Asipulo Mini Hyrdo Corp.

The three firms will collectively be called Markham-Alterenergy joint venture companies, which will operate, develop, and maintain run-of-river mini-hydro projects located across Asin, Ibulao, Hungduan, Lamut, and Panubtuban in the Ifugao province.

The PCC described MRC as a local firm whose core business is in electricity generation and/or distribution and/or hydropower plants. On the other hand, AMHHC’s business is focused on the sale, assignment, transfer, mortgage, pledge, exchange, or other disposition of real and personal property.

The PCC noted there are enough players in the relevant market that provide competitive constraints for such a joint venture, allowing MRC and AMHHC to proceed with the transaction.

Companies undertaking merger and acquisition transactions, including joint ventures, whose value meet the P1-billion threshold set out under the Philippine Competition Act must secure the PCC’s approval before closing a deal.

So far, the PCC has received 151 notifications for merger and acquisition transactions with a combined value of P2.25 trillion across the manufacturing, financial, electricity, real estate, and transportation sectors. Of this, 41 are global mergers.

Earlier this week, PCC Chairman Arsenio M. Balisacan said the agency is preparing a proposal that will raise the P1-billion threshold for reporting M&A deals.

The private sector has been pushing for a higher notification threshold since the P1-billion level is considered too low, overburdening the PCC and creating delays for companies involved in M&A deals. — Arra B. Francia

FPH chief hits banks for supporting coal plants

By Victor V. Saulon, Sub-Editor

CEBU CITY — Local banks continue to extend loans to new coal-fired power plant projects despite the Philippines being directly hit by climate change, the chairman of Lopez-led First Philippine Holdings Corp. (FPH) said.

Federico R. Lopez, who is also FPH chief executive officer, said banks are “tripping over each other” in extending loans to coal power plants even if they recognize that burning the fossil fuel means emitting greenhouse gases.

“Coal-fired power plants, being the easiest to develop and its fuel supply the simplest to procure, every competitor and new entrant is seeking to build more coal-fired power plants in a vicious race to the bottom,” he told participants of the second Philippine Environment Summit in Lahug, Cebu City on Thursday.

“Adding to these pressures is the fact that majority of banks continue to finance coal production and coal-fired power generation,” he said.

“In fact, major banks financed the top 120 coal plant developers by more than $600 billion over the last four years. They’ve been slow to embrace COP (Conference of Parties) 21 despite verbal pronouncements and still have quite a way to go,” he said, referring to the conference in Paris in 2015 that agreed to limit greenhouse gas emissions and slow down the rise in the earth’s temperature.

He said if banks transitioned away from coal there would be a shift toward lower carbon alternatives, renewable energy (RE) sources and even the adoption of energy efficiency measures.

Mr. Lopez also called out the government for its short-term perspective and ambivalence about climate change issues.

“Despite our countrymen’s vulnerability to the effects of global warming, only token importance is given to such concerns in national public policy. Priority is power adequacy and cheap electricity prices,” he said.

Mr. Lopez said the recent initiative to impose a coal tax is a step in the right direction but would only amount to as little as P0.01 to P0.03 per kilowatt-hour (kWh) tariffs to coal-fired power plants.

He said in other countries such as India, the coal tax is equivalent to P0.06 per kWh. South Korea’s tax on the fuel even reached P0.25 per kWh.

Mr. Lopez, who also chairs FPH units First Gen Corp. and Energy Development Corp. (EDC), said his group faces “quite a number of challenges” in the Philippines. First Gen produces power using natural gas while EDC’s output comes from geothermal plants.

He noted price competition is intense, and retail competition and open access is underway. Low price is still the main driver of electricity for consumers, he added.

“This has driven down profit margins of all power producers. But we’re driving down costs in our geothermal business, both the old fashioned way and through the use of new technology,” he said.

Despite the obstacles, Mr. Lopez said the companies he chairs are committed to a “green road.”

“There are more and more companies that are conscious about greening their footprints and supply chains. This has a lot to do with the millennial consumer coming of age. In the Philippines we’ve been seeing some electricity customers specifically coming to us because they want to green their supply chains with renewable power,” he said.

He said another reason why the Lopez group is committed to its green energy platform is the country’s competitive market.

“The Philippines is primarily a services-driven economy. Retail competition and open access that’s underway and progressing will disaggregate that demand. Our portfolio that blends flexible natural gas-fired plants and geothermal, which is the only competitive 24/7 RE technology today, is a better combination for serving this type of demand called mid-merit,” he said.

He said natural gas and geothermal, which respectively have only a third or a tenth of the carbon emissions of even the most advanced coal plants, are capable of beating the latter’s prices.

“Another reason for optimism about clean energy is that the forces of technology moving very fast. Solar, wind, and battery storage have experienced exponential cost reductions over the last few years. Never in my 20 years in the power industry have I seen anything move so fast,” he said.

Given the rapid pace of renewable energy development, Mr. Lopez said coal-fired power plants “can’t keep up with that kind of variability and may likely end up as underutilized or stranded assets in 10 years or less.”

“In countries like Australia, Germany, and some US states like California with even modest renewable energy penetration they are already experiencing coal and even gas plants being utilized less or being idled,” he said.

Asian film festival means to break down barriers

FOR ITS fifth year, the Asia Society Philippines’ Asia on Screen film festival is aiming to break down barriers to promote unity by presenting 10 independent films from all over the region, said the society’s executive director during the festival’s launch.

“What better medium to express and permeate ideas of tolerance, a positive quality of mind and hopeful spirit than film — more specifically independent film, and more appropriately during these divisive times,” Suyin Liu Lee, executive director of Asia Society Philippines, said during her opening remarks at the launch of the film festival on Feb. 15 at the Greenbelt 3 Cinemas, Makati City.

Running from Feb. 22-25, Asia on Screen, which carries the theme “Breaking Barriers,” was to open last night with Apprentice (2016) by Boo Junfeng. The film, which was screened at the Un Certain Regard section of the Cannes Film Festival, explores the often debated yet taboo issue of capital punishment as seen through the eyes of an executioner.

“At a more visceral level, it has forced me to examine the complexity of the issues surrounding capital punishment — issues we have conveniently put out of sight and out of mind,” said Mr. Junfeng in his director’s statement included in the festival’s press release.

From the Philippines, the festival will screen Women of the Weeping River (2016) by Sheron Dayoc. The film, which bagged six trophies at the 2017 Gawad Urian Awards including those for Best Director and Best Picture, offers a close glimpse of the different discords and cultures of Mindanao through the perspectives of two women.

Also from the Philippines is Mga Rebeldeng May Kaso (2015) by Raymond Red which follows a group of young indie filmmakers during the politically charged, rapidly changing time of the People Power Revolution in 1986.

Laos is represented by Anysay Keola’s Above it All (2015), the country’s first gay film which paints a picture of the attitudes surrounding homosexuality in Laos’ Hmong minority.

How to Win at Checkers (Every Time) is a 2015 Thai film, directed by Josh Kim, which tells the story of an orphaned young boy as he grows up in contemporary Thailand.

From Indonesia comes Emma (Mother), a 2016 Riri Riza film which tackles the traditions of Indonesia as seen through the eyes of a mother struggling to find peace amidst her husband’s polygamy.

In a similar vein, Lipstick Under My Burkha from India — a 2016 film directed by Alankrita Shrivastava — follows three brave hopeful Indian women who desire to break free from the chains of their conservative society.

Korea’s The Wailing (2016), a horror film directed by Hong-Jin Na, is about a police officer trying to catch a man behind the mysterious murders in his village.

Malaysia’s You Mean the World to Me (2017) is a semi-autobiographical film by Saw Teong Hin which aims to capture the depths of love for family even through — and especially during — difficult times.

Finally, Vietnam’s Jackpot (2015) by Justin Nguyen narrates the plight of a poor lottery saleswoman who discovers that one of her customers bought the winning ticket.

Asia on Screen, which runs from Feb. 22-25, will be screened at Greenbelt 3’s Cinema 3 at P150 per film. Tickets can be purchased at the cinema’s box office or at www.sureseats.com. For more information and for the full film schedule, visit https://asiasociety.org/philippines/events/asia-screen-2018 or its corresponding Facebook page. — Z. B. Chua

Mexico’s pro-business candidate wants to double minimum wage

PRESIDENTIAL candidate Ricardo Anaya is pledging to more than double Mexico’s minimum wage as he looks to extend a rally in his support that’s put him within striking distance of the leftist front-runner in this year’s election.

Hailing from the business-friendly National Action Party, Anaya appears willing to defy his conservative supporters to raise one of Latin America’s lowest minimum wages. Anaya is even willing to make Mexico one of the first countries to introduce a universal basic income, said Salomon Chertorivski, his economic adviser and platform coordinator.

Minimum wage “should aspire to reach the poverty line within Ricardo Anaya’s six-year term which today is about 190 pesos per day for an adult and one dependent,” said Chertorivski, who spoke from his new office in Mexico City.

Anaya has the space to make a bold offer. Mexico’s minimum wage of 88.36 pesos per day ($4.73) is less than a third that in Chile and less even than Colombia, which has a lower income per capita, and less than half of Brazil’s. Still, the increases wouldn’t be pushed through at any cost. Each year’s hike would depend on the “opportunity to expand” and the government would watch the market reaction carefully, Chertorivski said.

The currency weakened for a fourth day on Wednesday, declining 0.7% to close at 18.8370 pesos per dollar in Mexico City.

Anaya needs to reach across party lines to convince left-leaning Democratic Revolution Party voters within his coalition not to switch sides to leftist candidate Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador. The fragile pact between the opposing factions has never been attempted before in a presidential election and has stirred up discord within Anaya’s PAN, now beset by internal rifts. Chertorivski most recently served in the PRD-led Mexico City government.

Anaya has cut Lopez Obrador’s lead in half since he announced he was running in December, according to Bloomberg’s poll tracker through Feb. 16. During that period, his support has increased 9 percentage points in opinion polls to average 31%, leaving him 9 points behind with the election a little more than four months away. Trailing the pack is ruling PRI party candidate Jose Antonio Meade with 20% approval.

Pledging higher wages would be similar to what Amlo, as Lopez Obrador is known, has promised. He calls for a gradual wage hike to 171 pesos over six years that’s adjusted for inflation, according to his platform. That compares to Anaya’s vow to reach 190 pesos by the end of his six-year term, also adjusted for inflation.

Still, doubling the minimum wage won’t be easy, even though it compares so badly to Mexico’s counterparts in Latin America.

Each time Mexico has tried to boost the lowest salaries beyond the usual yearly hike the central bank has urged caution to prevent inflation from accelerating. Still, some business groups, such as Coparmex, have urged bigger increases than December’s 10% raise. Banco de Mexico said at the time that because of that hike, inflation would keep climbing in December, which it did, to a 16-year high.

“When it comes to poverty and inequality, if we keep doing the same thing, we’ll have the same results,” Chertorivski said. “We need to begin a new policy on salaries, starting with the minimum wage.” — Bloomberg

Fintech firm taps Atencio as chairman

FORMER 8990 Holdings, Inc. President and Chief Executive Officer Januario Jesus Gregorio B. Atencio III has been appointed to lead Acudeen Technologies, Inc., a financial technology firm that helps out micro, small, and medium enterprises (MSMEs) with their funding needs.

Mr. Atencio, who left the mass housing developer in January, will now sit as the chairman of Acudeen, replacing its founding chair Mario Jordan Fetalino III.

“We have big plans for Acudeen. Our vision to support MSMEs does not end in the country, it is only the beginning. We have activated our market expansion initiatives in Southeast Asia early this year. Having Atencio as our chairman gives us a massive boost in terms of business experience, expertise, and resources,” Mr. Fetalino was quoted as saying in a statement.

Established in 2016, Acudeen links MSMEs with 30- to 120-day receivables to buyers who would like to invest in them. With this, Acudeen has invoiced more than $3 million across over 400 MSMEs, providing liquidity to these businesses.

In turn, individuals and corporates who purchase invoices get attractive returns for short-term cash.

The name of the company is derived from the Filipino words “Ako Din” (Me Too), in line with its vision to help unbanked and underbanked MSMEs in emerging markets.

“We want every entrepreneur to have the capability to say ‘Ako din,’ I have the capability to grow, too,” Mr. Fetalino said.

For his part, Mr. Atencio said he would like to take an active part in the business aside from being an investor in the company.

“I am supporting Acudeen because it is in the forefront of this new whole world; this Wild, Wild West if you will, that continuously benefits a wide range of underserved people in the current financial system. Financial inclusion is right around the corner with the emergence of this initiative,” Mr. Atencio said in a statement.

Prior to being the chair of Acudeen, Mr. Atencio already had experience in helping finance MSMEs through Original Pitch Venture Capital Team, which he founded along with partners in 2016. The venture capital firm aims to “push start-ups with original ideas to their full growth potential,” according to its Web site.

Acudeen is included in the company’s portfolio, alongside online job board for the hospitality sector ServeHappy, Wi-Fi advertising and monetization platform Social Light, Inc., food spoilage detecting strip StillFresh, and fashion and sports wear brand Stoked, Inc.

Mr. Atencio resigned from his positions in 8990 last January after sitting as president and CEO for 13 years. He remains on the company’s board of directors. — Arra B. Francia

Crime hits postwar low in Japan as joblessness declines

CRIME in Japan is dropping amid the longest economic expansion in almost three decades, making one of the safest nations even safer.

The number of recorded crimes fell to 915,042 last year, the lowest level in the postwar era, according to data released by the National Police Agency earlier this month. That came as the nation’s economy had its longest run of sustained growth in almost 30 years, which drove the unemployment rate down to 2.8%.

“The economic recovery is helping crimes go down,” said Akiyoshi Takumori, chief economist at Sumitomo Mitusi Asset Management Co. “The need to steal goes down when you have a secure job.”

There may be other factors for the drop in crime — closer coordination between local volunteers and the police, and the wider use of surveillance cameras have helped prevention, according to the National Police Agency.

But it’s not just the reduction in crime that’s making people feel safer.

Suicides are at their lowest level since 1991, and odds of getting back lost money are rising in Tokyo.

Still, it’s not rosy everywhere. Masayuki Kiriu, a professor of social psychology at Toyo University in Tokyo, said the forms of crime may be changing. Instead of robbing a safe or bank, criminals are trying to take advantage of the increasing number of old people, who generally have more financial assets.

There’s been an increase in so-called “grandparent scams,” in which a criminal calls an elderly person, pretends to be a relative (often a child or a grandchild) in distress, and asks for money.

“Those who commit crimes figure a bank robbery doesn’t make sense considering the costs and benefits,” said Kiriu, who used to work at a national research institute for police science. “They are acting rationally in their view.” — Bloomberg

Marcos-era musical resonates with modern Phl, director Lav Diaz says in Berlin Film Festival

BERLIN — Filipino director Lav Diaz’s musical about martial law under president Ferdinand Marcos is set firmly in the 1970s, but the movie is as much about today, he told Reuters at the Berlin film festival on Wednesday.

Ang Panahon ng Halimaw (Season of the Devil), which premiered at the festival, shows militia forces singing as they terrorize villagers, and mournful locals lamenting the fate of their country. The acapella songs were all written by Diaz himself for the four-hour, black-and-white movie he describes as a “rock opera.”

Diaz, a “slow cinema” director known for contemplative arthouse films, grew up under martial law and saw his village burn in a country Marcos ruled for two decades before he being overthrown in 1986.

“I used 1979 as an epoch for the film, as a setting, as an aesthetic template for the work, but it resonates a lot with the contemporary experience of the Philippines right now and with what’s happening in the country right now,” Mr. Diaz told Reuters.

Asked where he saw the similarities between the Marcos era and the current day, Mr. Diaz said: “Fascism, the populist perspective of this very new government, barbarism — it’s very violent — there’s paranoia, there’s even psychosis in the way they deal with things.”

President Rodrigo Duterte has come under international criticism for his human rights record and on Wednesday his spokesman had to react to a US intelligence report that named him as a threat to democracy, saying: “Duterte is no autocrat.”

But his opponents fear Duterte will try to cling to power beyond his term that ends in 2022 and are troubled by his admiration for Marcos.

Actor Bart Guingona said that while the movie was nominally about the Marcos era, it felt universal.

“I think one of the theses of the film is that history repeats itself and it’s a sad thing but a thing we have to be aware of,” he said.

Diaz is known for lengthy films and at the 2016 Berlin film festival he won a Silver Bear for an eight-hour-film called Hele sa Hiwagang Hapis (A Lullaby to the Sorrowful Mystery).

He won the 2016 Golden Lion at the Venice Film Festival for his nearly four-hour-long drama Ang Babaeng Humayo (The Woman Who Left).

Ang Panahon ng Halimaw is among the 19 films vying for the main prize, the Golden Bear, which will be awarded on Saturday. The festival in the German capital runs until Feb. 25. — Reuters