At your service
No request is too ridiculous when it comes to hospitality at these hotels (provided you can pay).
No request is too ridiculous when it comes to hospitality at these hotels (provided you can pay).
AirAsia Chair Marianne B. Hontiveros recalls the time she flew from Frankfurt to Manila sans documents.
THE DEPARTMENT of Finance (DoF) has invited Swiss businessmen to set up shop in the Philippines as the Duterte administration pursues more reforms to streamline investment amid its wide consumer base.
“We hope Swiss businesses could find a home here — a happy one. We are working very hard to improve the ease of doing business and reducing our (Foreign) Investment Negative List to the bare minimum. From being mocked as ‘The Sick Man of Asia,’ the Philippines is now seen as the region’s next economic powerhouse,” Finance Secretary Carlos G. Dominguez III said during March 6 meeting with members of the Philippine-Swiss Business Council.
He said the Philippines’ “young and talented labor force, our large consumer market and our determined participation in building a Southeast Asian common market produce much headroom for sustainable growth.” — Elijah Joseph C. Tubayan
An ambassador. A member of retail royalty. A sometime-actress, artist, and senator’s spouse.
FACTORY ACTIVITY in the Philippines improved last month despite higher input costs and selling prices due to the tax reform law that took effect on Jan. 1, according to an IHS Markit survey conducted for Nikkei.
The Philippines’ Nikkei Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) grew to 51.5 in March from 50.8 in February on output, new order, and export growth.
The first quarter average however was the lowest since the survey started in 2016.
The Philippines placed third among select Association of Southeast Asian Nations member-states, an improvement from placing fifth in February, but was overtaken by Myanmar and Vietnam’s 53.7 and 51.6, respectively.
“Growth in the Philippines manufacturing sector accelerated into the end of the first quarter. Faster rises in output and new business boosted the headline PMI, while a slower fall in employment was seen,” the report read.
“The stronger upturn saw business expectations improve, with optimism at an eight-month high. This encouraged firms to scale up purchasing activity and build-up inventories,” it added.
The report also noted that the new excise taxes “continued to push up inflationary pressures during March,” that led input costs and selling prices to climb “the highest in the survey history.” — Elijah Joseph C. Tubayan
By Melissa Luz T. Lopez
Senior Reporter
HEADLINE INFLATION likely quickened further in March to breach four percent amid rising fuel and power costs, analysts said in a BusinessWorld poll, noting that tax reform and a weaker peso have stoked price pressures.
A poll among nine economists last week yielded a median forecast of 4.2% under the 2012 base year, which is a fresh peak for monthly inflation. This compares to the 3.9% rate logged in February and the adjusted 3.1% for March 2017.
If realized, this would settle above the 2-4% target range set by the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP), but will fall within the 3.8-4.6% forecast given late last week.
Under the old 2006 base, inflation likely clocked 4.75%.
The central bank has cited a higher power generation charge and retail pump prices due to the depreciation of the peso as upside pressures, partly offset by lower costs of cooking gas.
The Philippine Statistics Authority will release official inflation data on Thursday.
Inflation last pierced the four-percent mark — using the 2012 base — at 4.2% in July and August 2014.
Guian Angelo S. Dumalagan, market economist at the Land Bank of the Philippines, said faster increases in the costs of petroleum, food and non-alcoholic drinks likely led to the overall surge in prices. “The costs of these goods accelerated, fuelled by the hike in excise taxes under the TRAIN law and the depreciation of the peso, which made foreign goods and services more expensive in local currency terms,” Mr. Dumalagan said via e-mail, referring to the impact of the Tax Reform for Acceleration and Inclusion Act that took effect Jan. 1.
TRAIN, enacted as Republic Act No. 10963, imposed an additional P2.50 excise tax per liter of diesel and P3 per liter for kerosene, which came at a time of three-year highs for world crude prices. The new law also introduced additional taxes on cars, coal, sugar-sweetened drinks and a host of other items that likely drove up prices of other widely used goods and services.
Other analysts said higher prices of rice, fish, meat and vegetables drove up food costs last month.
At the same time, the peso weakened to a fresh 11-year-low last month as it continued to trade above P52 versus the dollar.
Nomura economist Euben Paracuelles expects inflation to have settled at 4.2% in March, and will likely keep moving faster: “I still think inflation remains on an upward trajectory driven by the combination of a pickup in fuel & electricity prices, the impact of ‘TRAIN’ tax reforms continuing to feed through, and still-strong demand conditions.”
The BSP said they see inflation peaking within July-September, before averaging at 3.9% for the full year.
With inflation further picking up pace, more analysts are now considering that a rate hike may happen sooner than later, with some betting the change in rates as early as next month.
“Though the current monetary policy settings are deemed to be appropriate, thus far, I think there’s a growing chance of a modest monetary tightening within the year, especially if inflation will continue to accelerate and depreciation pressures on the peso will be persistent,” said Angelo B. Taningco, economist at Security Bank Corp.
Rajiv Biswas, chief economist for Asia Pacific at IHS Markit, said the case for a rate hike “will become more compelling” by May should inflation remain elevated and economic growth robust.
BSP Governor Nestor A. Espenilla, Jr. has acknowledged that inflation will be “accelerated” within 2018, but noted that price pressures “will come down soon enough.” The central bank sees inflation settling back within target and averaging three percent.
THERE IS STILL NO NEED to raise policy rates in the Philippines despite rising inflation pressures, a senior central bank official said, noting that calls for a rate hike bare a “myopic” view of the economy.
In a four-page commentary, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) Deputy Governor Diwa C. Guinigundo sought to allay concerns that the central bank is running monetary policy too loose as it has kept interest rates within the 2.5-3.5% range since mid-2016, despite rising global yields and with inflation on the rise.
A number of analysts have been flagging the need for the BSP to raise rates since last year, saying this move is needed to keep local yields competitive. Among the reasons cited are elevated inflation — with expectations that the pace will quicken in the coming months — as well as the gradual rate increases in the United States.
“While these concerns are relatively valid, the BSP believes that these developments — along with other ignored but equally important facts — continue to validate the current monetary policy stance,” Mr. Guinigundo said over the weekend.
“While there are pressures to raise interest rates, our careful assessment of the data and facts does not point to immediate rate hikes.”
The BSP kept policy interest rates steady on Thursday last week despite the US Federal Reserve’s tightening bias and inflation pressures intensifying at home especially due to higher taxes as a result of tax reform that took effect in January.
Mr. Guinigundo said the central bank is keeping an eye on liquidity and other financial conditions, even as there is no urgent need to tweak benchmark borrowing rates for now.
Inflation averaged 3.7% for the first two months of 2018, with the BSP seeing a steady ascent towards a peak in July-September. The full-year pace is expected at 3.9% under the 2012 base year, still within the 2-4% target range which the central bank had set using the old 2006-based consumer price index.
“While some market indications point to rising inflation expectations, nothing at this point suggests that the market expects persistent significant surge in consumer prices through 2019 that would warrant a change in the monetary policy stance,” the central bank official added.
He also stood firm that the BSP charts its own course in terms of monetary policy, and does not have to match the Fed’s tightening moves.
The Fed raised rates by another 25 basis points last month, but this was followed by a status quo decision from the local central bank.
“In practice, these trade-offs imply that monetary policy has real and significant economic costs,” Mr. Guinigundo said.
“On one hand, when a central bank raises interest rates prematurely, it runs the risk of the economy slowing down. On the other hand, when the central bank raises interest rates too late, it could… fuel inflationary pressures leading to overheating.”
However, he pointed out that the BSP does not discount the need for higher interest rates should domestic conditions change and “targets may be compromised.” — Melissa Luz T. Lopez
THE SECURITIES and Exchange Commission (SEC) has eased financial reporting requirements for small businesses as part of a continuing government effort to facilitate entrepreneurship.
“The Commission, in its meeting held on 22 March 2018, approved the adoption of the Philippine Financial Reporting Standards (PFRS) for Small Entities as part of SEC’s rules and regulations on financial reporting,” according to SEC Memorandum Circular No. 5, series of 2018, dated March 26, that was published in a newspaper on Thursday last week and posted on the regulator’s website.
Adoption of the PFRS for Small Entities, in turn, prompted revision of Section 2 of Securities Regulation Code (SRC) Rule 68, or the general guide to financial statement preparation.
Prior to the release of the new guidelines, the SEC had required small and medium enterprises (SMEs) to observe uniform financial reporting standards that simplified the principles in the full PFRS for recognizing assets, liabilities, income and expenses.
“The changes in effect made easier and (simpler) the reporting of small enterprises,” SEC Chairperson Teresita J. Herbosa said in a mobile phone message when sought for explanation, citing SEC General Accountant Emmanuel Y. Artiza.
“The Financial Reporting Standards Council came out with said framework as one of ease-of-doing-business initiative as recommended by the Association of (Certified Public Accountants) in Public Practice.”
The new framework this time distinguished medium-sized entities as those with total assets of more than P100 million to P350 million or total liabilities of more than P100 million to P250 million.
The PFRS for Small Entities will now apply to businesses with total assets or liabilities of P3 million to P100 million, that are required to file financial statements under Part 2 of SRC Rule 68, are not in the process of filing their financial statements for the purpose of issuing any class of instruments to the public and are not holders of secondary licenses.
The new rules will not apply to small businesses which have operations or investments that are based or conducted in another country. These should instead use the full PFRS or PFRS for SMEs.
The circular also exempted from mandatory adoption of the PFRS for Small Entities those small businesses that are subsidiaries of a parent company reporting under the full PFRS or PFRs for SMEs, are subsidiaries of a foreign parent moving towards International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) or IFRS for SMEs, and joint ventures of associates that form part of a group reporting under the full PFRS or PFRS for SMEs, among others.
Should a small business breach the prescribed threshold in terms of total assets or total liabilities and thus fall under a different classification, its annual financial statement should be prepared based on the higher framework, the circular read.
The SEC may consider other cases as valid exceptions from the mandatory adoption of PFRS for Small Entities.
“If a small entity that uses the PFRS for Small Entities in a current year breaches the floor or ceiling of the size criteria at the end of that current year, and the event that caused the change is considered ‘significant and continuing,’ the entity shall transition to the applicable financial reporting framework in the next accounting period,” according to the circular.
If such event is not considered “significant and continuing,” the entity can continue to use the same financial reporting framework it currently uses, according to the circular.
Management will determine what is “significant and continuing” based on the relevant qualitative and quantitative factors; but in general, a fourth or more of the consolidated total assets is considered significant.
The SEC requires entities meeting the prescribed criteria to apply the PFRS for Small Entities for the annual period beginning on or after Jan. 1, 2019, although the regulator will allow early application of the new reporting rules. — Krista Angela M. Montealegre
BRUSSELS — A full-scale global trade war has not broken out yet — but that hasn’t stopped the market from fretting about one or analysts from warning about the potential cost.
Whether such concerns remain a driving force for asset prices in the coming days depends largely on decisions, tweets and formal announcements from Washington and Beijing, but it seems certain that the uncertainty has at least another month to run.
South Korea has cut a deal with the United States, agreeing to reduce its steel exports to avoid tariffs.
The European Union, Canada, Mexico, Brazil, Australia and Argentina face a May 1 deadline to reach equivalent deals.
US President Donald Trump has tied the suspension of tariffs for Canada and Mexico to a renegotiation of the North America Free Trade Area. Officials have said the next round of talks was due to start on April 8, but that date is not certain and there are mixed messages on the chances of a quick breakthrough.
China has meanwhile warned that it could target a broad range of US businesses if Trump slapped tariffs on $50 billion-$60 billion of largely high tech Chinese goods, although the latter may not happen until early June.
Economists at ING split such a conflict into four stages from a lone Trump attack to a tit-for-tat battle to US escalation, such as including European Union cars, and finally an all-out trade war.
The last, ING estimates, would harm all economies, with the United States facing the heaviest hit, of some two percent of gross domestic product (GDP) over two years, with US exporters facing high tariffs at all borders while the rest of the world keeps its prevailing arrangements in place.
Only in the first scenario, in which Mr. Trump imposes tariffs and no one retaliates, would the United States make any noticeable economic gain — of some 0.3% of GDP.
ING’s head of international trade analysis Raoul Leering said that the conflict was currently somewhere between the first scenario and the second ‘tit-for-tat’ stage.
“If other countries give in and give Trump something in return, then we’re looking at scenario one,” he said.
“It’s a conflict in which Trump could turn out to be the winner.”
Harm Bandholz, chief US economist at UniCredit, believes that the trade conflict is likely to be the main driver of market sentiment for weeks to come, although for the time being it is “barely more than tough talk”, with strong announcements then watered down, such as with the metal tariff exemptions.
“If it stays like this it’s not really altering anything in the macro outlook. The risk is, once you’ve started, you’re on a slippery slope and you don’t know if you can stop. That’s the risk markets are worried about,” he said.
“People are worried about accidents happening. Clearly, if you are more aggressive, the chances of mistakes or something bad happening will increase.”
All that said, and even with many in Europe off for Easter vacation, some major economic data is due in the coming week.
The Bank of Japan’s quarterly tankan survey, out on Tuesday, is expected to show business sentiment deteriorating slightly in the three months to March with the outlook for the coming quarter also fading, reflecting concerns over the strong yen eroding business profits.
In Europe, the first estimate of euro zone inflation will be released on Wednesday and is forecast to have risen to 1.4% in March from 1.1% in February, with some economists pointing to a potential 1.5%.
An earlier Easter this year, pushing up prices of package holidays and accommodation in March, cold weather that drives fruit and vegetable prices higher and a steeper year-on-year increase in energy costs will all contribute.
Even if inflation remains short of the European Central Bank’s target of almost two percent, its policy makers are now debating whether to end lavish bond buys later this year. The purchase program currently runs until the end of September.
US monthly non-farm payrolls round off the week on Friday. The economy is seen adding far fewer jobs than the 313,000 of February, but the average Reuters forecast for March of 203,000 is still strong and the unemployment rate is set to fall to 4.0%, a level not seen since 2000.
“We see further declines of the rate below the level the Fed thinks is the natural rate of unemployment. Over time, you would expect it would exert upward pressure on wages, which admittedly we have not really seen,” Commerzbank’s Bernd Weidensteiner.
“It should happen during the course of this year. Otherwise, we really need to rethink our picture of the workings of the US labor market.” — Reuters
By Arra B. Francia,
Reporter
DFNN, Inc. is planning to introduce more products this year, as it aims to boost its revenue contribution to the Philippine Amusement and Gaming Corp. (PAGCOR).
“We’re looking at a hybrid of e-bingo sites and more breadth in terms of the product itself, and more sports betting,” DFNN Chief Executive Officer Calvin Lim told BusinessWorld on the sidelines of the ASEAN Gaming Summit in Conrad Hotel in Pasay City last week.
Asked how many electronic bingo (e-bingo) sites the company targets to put up, Mr. Lim declined to give details.
“We are still working on it. We want to see the pure entertainment value is reached to as many locations as possible,” the newly elected official said.
Mr. Lim said the addition of more products will help increase its contribution to PAGCOR’s revenues, as well as bring more entertainment into the online gaming industry.
During a panel discussion, DFNN Executive Vice-President for Business Development Christopher M. Tio said the company and other e-gaming firms “play vital roles in helping provide needed revenue for the development of the country.”
Mr. Tio noted that PAGCOR is the third largest contributor to the Philippine government’s revenues, after the Bureaus of Internal Revenue and Customs.
He also sees strong potential in sports betting, noting the figures for the Philippine industry are “quite staggering.”
“But if you look at the share of the regulated, legalized sports betting, it’s very very small. So potential is there,” Mr. Tio said, noting that the company has a sports betting license.
“That will allow us to come up with a very competitive product against illegal sports betting,” he added.
For this year, Mr. Lim said sees huge opportunities for expansion in the country.
“(Being profitable) is actually very important. We have the duty to shareholders of the public to ensure that the investment is solid,” Mr. Lim said.
DFNN currently engages in online gaming services, with its subsidiary Pacific Gaming Investments Pty. Ltd. working on game developments for the firm, HatchAsia, Inc. for management and technology expertise, and iWave, Inc. for system integration software and technology development.
The listed firm saw its attributable profit soar to P114.85 million in the first nine months of 2017, against P1.86 million in the same period in 2016. Revenues for the period likewise jumped 400% to P855.8 million during the period.
By Krista A. M. Montealegre,
National Correspondent
IF THE GUNMAN in the deadly attack at the Resorts World Manila had walked into another establishment that fateful night last June, a security expert fears that guards in most places in Metro Manila would have responded the same way as those in the integrated resort.
The Philippines, even with its moderate-risk status, do not need special weapons and tactics team manning every establishment, but security goes beyond deploying guards with wooden sticks.
“A lot of Filipino companies aren’t used to the idea of paying for quality security. They always get the cheapest thing. Well, you pay for what you get and (you deal) with the consequences,” Gene Yu, the chief executive officer and cofounder of Blackpanda Ltd., said in an interview.
Blackpanda was tapped by Resorts World Manila to help establish new security protocols after gambling addict Jessie J. Carlos carried out an arson attack that left 37 dead.
“Imagining clients out there with their security cluster, they are basketball teams but nobody knows what their position is. They never practice. Nobody knows what the plays are. Who’s the coach? Who’s the captain? No one really knows. It’s just that we have basketball players and they’re sitting there and suddenly something happens and they immediately have to stand up and play in the game for real. Imagine that chaos,” Mr. Yu said.
A comprehensive security plan boils down to mastering the basics and ensuring a process is in place where the security personnel know what they are supposed to do in times of crisis, he said.
Blackpanda is more than just a private security company. It is an elite global special risks insurance and consultancy group based in Hong Kong and with offices across Tokyo, London and Southeast Asia.
Blackpanda knows that understanding the local culture and operating environment as well as engaging local partners are the keys to successful risk management. This approach has enabled the company to provide the reality on what’s on the ground, helping insurers better assess the risk of an investment.
Mr. Yu shared Blackpanda’s experience in performing a special risk audit and devising a long-term risk mitigation plan for a large-scale copper and gold mining venture in Mindanao. In the process, it uncovered local partner deception, local government collusion and active measures to delay the mine.
This allowed the client to gain a $25-million war and terror coverage from Lloyd’s of London, a British provider of specialist insurance services to businesses.
“We’re the guys that come in and increase the security profile to the point where we feel comfortable that even when there is an attack, the security and special risk management structure is strong enough that we can quickly mitigate the damage and the investment will survive,” Mr. Yu said.
A former US Army Special Forces officer, Mr. Yu spent eight years in the military with tours of duty in Iran, the Philippines and Japan. He was instrumental in the negotiation and release of a Taiwanese from Abu Sayyaf militants in the Philippines.
After leaving the military, Mr. Yu worked as an equity swaps trader at Credit Suisse in Hong Kong and with Palantir Technologies in its Asia-region business development department based in Singapore.
Seeing the country’s economic resurgence, Blackpanda came to the Philippines as its first proof of concept that the model of marrying security and insurance can work.
“Blackpanda has evolved towards insurance because to me, insurance is the productized version of security. It is an actual product that people can more tangibly understand and spend on because they get something back when something happens,” he said.
Mr. Yu has been in and out of the Philippines since 2004, but he feels like nothing has changed in terms of how Filipinos perceive the importance of security. While certain local events have raised the country’s consciousness about its value, security remains a “nuisance” for most businesses.
“It is actually very surprising when you look at it because there is actually a real-world threat here and you think people are taking it seriously. It’s almost like a collective if we close our eyes it’s not a concern. That’s a little bit of the cultural attitude towards security,” Mr. Yu said.
“Also because it is always there and it’s been so long that the Philippines has been on this stage of what I call moderate risk,” he said, citing the long-standing rebellion of the New People’s Army, considered one of the main threats in the Philippines.
The attack of the Islamic State-inspired Maute group on Marawi may have ended, but this could just be the tip of the iceberg amid reports that fighters from Syria and Iraq are flocking to Mindanao.
“Marawi, to me, is not over. I have to say that sorry. I’m really worried about that,” Mr. Yu said.
More businesses are becoming increasingly aware of the need to invest heavily in security to protect their investment, adding fuel to the country’s economic renaissance.
“It is a perfect place for us to come as a proof of concept because there’s interest to invest in the Philippines but they are really scared. My job is to make them less scared, try to remove the friction of the special risk they are facing in coming to the Philippines by providing them both consulting services as well as insure them so they are financially covered,” Mr. Yu said.