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PHL to join Southeast Asian disaster insurance program next month

THE PHILIPPINES will sign a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) in May to participate in the Southeast Asia Disaster Risk Insurance Facility (SEADRIF), joining five other fellow ASEAN members and Japan.

In a statement, the Department of Finance (DoF) said Tuesday that Japan’s Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister Taro Aso told Finance Secretary Carlos G. Dominguez III, “I hope you can consider signing the MoU at the ASEAN+3 meetings to be held on May 1. I raised this issue because six countries — Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Myanmar, Singapore and Japan — have already signed to this MoU and this is insurance against natural disasters.”

The six countries signed the MoU in Busan, South Korea in December.

Mr. Dominguez replied that the Philippines will “definitely” sign the MoU in Fiji, adding that the government has signed up for a similar parametric insurance scheme with the World Bank.

According to the World Bank website, SEADRIF will involve a trust and insurance company in Singapore which will be partners with and technically supported by the World Bank. The platform will provide ASEAN countries advice and solutions on how to increase their financial resiliency to climate and disaster risk, as well as support pre-disaster planning and provide post-disaster relief and reconstruction funding.

The first SEADRIF product is a regional catastrophe risk insurance program for Laos and Myanmar.

Earlier, National Treasurer Rosalia V. De Leon said that the government has enough funds to cover the damage caused by the earthquakes that hit the country this month, citing parametric insurance in place with a maximum coverage of P20.49 billion that can provide quick liquidity for national and local governments. The premium for the insurance was P2 billion paid to the Government Service Insurance System (GSIS), which subsequently reinsured with the World Bank and the insurance market.

The provinces covered by insurance are: Albay, Aurora, Batanes, Cagayan, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Catanduanes, Cebu, Davao del Sur, Davao Oriental, the Dinagat Islands, Eastern Samar, llocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Isabela, Laguna, Leyte, Northern Samar, Pampanga, Quezon, Rizal, Sorsogon, Surigao del Norte, Surigao del Sur and Zambales. — Reicelene Joy N. Ignacio

ADB future programs for PHL to focus on social assistance, flood control

THE ASIAN Development Bank (ADB) said it operations in the Philippines between 2020 and 2022 will focus on social assistance, education and flood control among others.

In a statement Tuesday, the bank said it is preparing its 2020-2022 Philippines Country Operations Business Plan, with initiatives including the Expanded Social Assistance project, the Facilitating Youth School-to-Work program and the Workplace Skills Funding pilot project.

“ADB is also preparing investments in flood control infrastructure in six river basins in Visayas, Mindanao, and Luzon; a Livable Cities project in selected cities and tourism destinations in Mindanao and Palawan; as well as irrigation and agribusiness in Mindanao,” it added.

To take into consideration, the ADB held a forum in Cebu on April 26 with various stakeholders to help guide the bank in its efforts.

“We want to listen to our Filipino stakeholders so that we can properly prioritize and target our assistance to the Philippines,” ADB Country Director for the Philippines Kelly Bird said during the forum.

“We also want to engage more with the private sector in areas such as Cebu, where there are dynamic business and industry sectors.”

ADB President Takehiko Nakao said in a briefing in Manila last week that the bank is increasing its lending to the Philippines this year, pushing the average amount lent to $2.5 billion yearly from $1 billion previously.

He added that the bank wants to prioritize the Angat Water Transmission Improvement Project, citing the need for water supply to support urban and agriculture development.

“This year we expect new lending to the Philippines to be $3 billion including the Malolos Clark Railway project… There are many important projects — one is the Angat Water Transmission Improvement Project,” he said.

The ADB is expecting the economy to grow by 6.4% both this year and in 2020, which if realized would be faster than the 6.2% recorded in 2018. — Karl Angelo N. Vidal

NEDA, UNICEF launch tracker for Sustainable Development Goals

THE NATIONAL Economic and Development Authority (NEDA) said it launched a a website tracking the Philippines’ progress in meeting the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development and its 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).

NEDA, in partnership with the United Nation’s Children Fund (UNICEF), launched the SDG website in Pasig City Tuesday, calling the tracker a sign of its commitment to achieve the 17 SDGs.

“The website aims to provide a platform for different stakeholders to contribute to the attainment of these goals. It will provide information on government and non-government initiatives to promote and attain the SDGs,” Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Ernesto M. Pernia said at the ceremony launching the site.

The SDGs, which were adopted by United Nations member states in 2015, identified 17 goals intended to ultimately end poverty and other forms of deprivation. Among its goals are to end poverty and hunger, improve health and well-being, and provide quality education.

Targets and indicators for each SDG were laid out in the platform, which is linked to the latest available data from the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA).

Ola Almgren, the UN Resident Coordinator for the Philippines, said the government has provided an “informative digital resource in understanding the SDGs.”

“If I am looking at this from the United Nations’ point of view, we see it as the Philippines taking on a leadership role already in the development of the 2030 Agenda as it continues to (play a) key role through implementation also at the international level,” Mr. Almgren said in his speech.

A “call for inputs” for the second Voluntary National Review (VNR) of the Philippines is contained in the “Policy Mainstreaming” tab. The VNR is a periodic assessment of the country’s activities in completing the SDGs by 2030. The first VNR was presented in 2016 while the ongoing VNR will be presented in July at the UN Headquarters in New York.

The newly launched government website can be accessed through http://sdg.neda.gov.ph/.Marissa Mae M. Ramos

CEZA signs property deals with Chinese firms

THE Cagayan Economic Zone Authority (CEZA) said it signed deals with Chinese businesses planning to invest $3.9 billion in projects first unveiled at the Belt and Road Initiative Forum in Beijing.

In a statement Tuesday, CEZA said it signed seven memoranda of understanding (MoU) with and received two letters of intent (LoI) from Chinese companies, mostly seeking to engage in real estate projects.

Among the companies CEZA signed MoUs with was Xiamen-based Fong Zhi Enterprise Corp. which proposed to develop a $2-billion smart city on Fuga Island in Aparri — a beach destination.

A strategic cooperation agreement was also signed by Fong Zhi Enterprise and Isla Fuga Pacific Resorts, Inc., owner of the Fuga Islands.

Fong Zhi Enterprise will also set up an agricultural breeding center and soil improvement project, build medical schools, promote culture and tourism and establish a high-tech industrial park, CEZA added.

The investment promotion agency said other MoUs involve Shanghai Jucheng Group, which is planning a $150-million township and manufacturing plant for lithium batteries; Pai Hao Investment, with a proposed $500 million upgrade and expansion program to accommodate wide-body aircraft at the Lal-lo International Airport; and Shenzhen Dawah Real Estates, which will partner with the Apsaras Group Ltd. to establish a $100-million marina, watersports training center and private villas.

CEZA also noted China Zhejiang Guannan Group’s plan to put up a $500-million “green” textile production hub for global distribution; Golden Millennial Quickpay Inc. and its proposed $100 million fintech hub in a 10-hectare property near the proposed CEZA Global City; and Yatai International Holdings’ planned acquisition of a property to build a $500 million satellite city.

The letters of intent involve the Baoye Construction Group and Tian Gong Construction Group, both interested in developing a resort, a golf course and other leisure and shopping facilities.

CEZA Administrator Raul L. Lambino said the signing event was “highly successful (and) brought new investment and empowered countries, including the Philippines, participating in China’s Silk Road project.”

In 2018, investment pledges at CEZA totaled $8.131 billion, the highest in more than two decades, with projects related to cryptocurrency, blockchain and online gaming driving the growth.

CEZA’s revenue more than tripled to P706.512 million because of the new investments. — Janina C. Lim

A layman’s take on labor contractualization

Still of particular interest in the Labor Day discussions is the issue on the contractualization of labor. More popularly known as “endo” or the 5-5-5 arrangement, this practice started in the mid-70s as a response to alarming unemployment. For the uninitiated, the term “endo” was coined from “end of contract.” On the other hand, 5-5-5 stands for three cycles of five-month contracts, a cunning ploy that makes workers in every contract a month shy from being regularized into the company, given the mandate of the law to make workers who have stayed for six months permanent. Right off the bat, you can understand why this is such a controversial issue.

For workers, they are deprived of benefits and security of tenure. Unlike their regularized counterparts, contractual workers do not have paid leaves and holidays as they are on a “no-work, no pay” basis. When the rest of the labor force is excited about long weekends, contractual workers dread these because no-work days spell no income. In the moments after the April 22 earthquake, contractual personnel had an additional worrying to do — having a reduced income, only to the extent of the number of hours actually worked because they were sent home. I feel for those whose shifts have just started, as their pay for that day may not even cover their transportation fare. On the other hand, there were those who had to trade off not being with their families just so they can earn their daily wage.

I would imagine that their situation gets dimmer by the day when their contract nears expiration. In a country with a pronounced unemployment problem — about 2 million — it is perfectly understandable for workers to experience a high degree of anxiety of whether their contract will be renewed or, if not, whether they can find employment elsewhere. Their apprehension is magnified several times as they have to worry about providing for their family, especially when they have circumstances that are out of the ordinary, such as sickness in the family that require expensive medicines, children with special needs, and the like. It is also in these times when these hapless employees are most vulnerable to the abuses of vicious individuals who prey on them.

For the business sector, they may have no scruples given the simple and logical explanation regarding the seasonality of some labor requirements. Some businesses need more people on certain periods of the year, such as the Christmas season. It is unreasonable to expect and require these companies to keep these extra hands the whole year round.

In reality, contractualization has detrimental effects on their operations too. A company that engages in this practice would have a very high turnover rate of personnel. This, in turn, creates a disruptive operational environment and actually leads to higher costs of training and higher incidence and costs of errors. Moreover, the motivation of contractual employees to perform well is superficial — only to the extent of the possibility that their contracts will be renewed. From the very start, they know that — notwithstanding any superior performance — their chances of becoming regular employees are slim to none.

contracts endo people

But if this practice is not good for either labor or business, then, why does it persist? It may be stating the obvious that contractualization is generally undesirable for the individual, but even that may be relative. Is it truly undesirable when seen from the macro perspective of generated employment? Given finite resources, increasing labor costs for businesses may mean a decrease in jobs, and vice versa — contractualization may offer more employment opportunities compared to its regularization counterpart. As a sector, therefore, labor may get some nominal benefit. The question seems to be which is socially preferable — more people employed who are neither sad nor happy or fewer people employed who are happy?

But I strongly suspect that another big attraction of labor contractualization for business, at least at the managerial and operational levels, is the ease of replacing individuals who do not make the cut, have attitude problems, or are plainly disruptive to the organization. A probationary period of six months may be too short to make a determination of an individual’s fit for the job — both technical and behavioral. From the perspective of business, the regulatory environment has become so overprotective of regular labor that companies are backed into a corner. Companies lament that, more often than not, they are held hostage to the long-winded and tedious process of removing seriously erring employees once they enjoy regular status. Even if the company eventually wins, it may be a Phyrric victory, given the financial and organizational costs. Therefore, for them, the “endo” practice has become their hassle-free ticket out of these stressful conditions. It presents a fast and low-intensity resolution of the problem. Though, unfortunately, not all supervisors use this for the best of reasons. This may also be the enticement to government in having its own version of contractualization, using job orders.

Admittedly, the contractualization practice is being used for purposes other than those originally intended, such as in situations where the spirit of labor laws is thwarted. Be that as it may, it is not as simple as whether to allow the practice or not. Perhaps, helping business and government address their unspoken labor concerns and manage labor costs optimally and responsibly are the keys to resolving the issue of labor contractualization.

Some out-of-the-box thinking may accompany the discussions on the fate of contractualization as a practice. For instance, implementing premium wage rates — say, double — for contractual hires may be used to offset lost benefits. For some, extending the probationary period to one year versus the current six months may justify removing contractualization given that there is sufficient time to determine proper match of the employee with the job. Also, companies, by virtue of their infancy, for instance, may be allowed a limited period when they can engage contractual workers — who then shall enjoy first priority in regular employment when the period given by law has expired. Given the changing economic landscape, some individuals may actually prefer a temporary and part-time arrangement. Thus, contractualization, with sufficient safeguards accorded by law, may even be developed as a separate and legitimate mode of employment.

And, while these may sound politically incorrect for some or controversial for others, the point is that countless other options exist that have the potential of making us move forward, even incrementally. The more we set ultimatums and insist on finding a one-size-fits-all solution, the more difficult and protracted the resolution will be.

 

Edwin Santiago is Executive Director of Stratbase ADR Institute.

IPR and MORE investments

A report in BusinessWorld reiterated the value of IPR protection: “PHL remains out of US IPR watch list for 6th year’ (April 27, 2019)

“FOR the sixth straight year, the Philippines was not included in the US government’s watch list of countries with weak protection of intellectual property rights (IPR)… after being included from 1994 through 2013,” the report said in part.

The government’s Intellectual Property Office (IPOPHL) also announced in its website: “Finally, Philippines No Longer in the Notorious Markets List of the USTR” (April 25, 2019) — of which I quote in part, “After being on the list for the last six (6) years, the Philippines is completely gone in the list of Notorious Markets of the Office of the United States Trade Representatives (USTR) as reported in the Out-of-Cycle Review of Notorious Markets dated December 13, 2012.”

Good news then. Last week, April 26, was World Intellectual Property Day as declared by WIPO with the theme, “Reach for Gold: IP and Sports.”

Also that day, 77 independent think tanks and institutes (including Minimal Government Thinkers) from 39 countries signed the “Open Letter to WIPO Director General Francis Gurry,” initiated by the Property Rights Alliance (PRA, USA). The letter said:

“When IPRs are protected, markets are formed that encourage innovators to compete to make the next breakthrough product consumers demand — be it training equipment, a smart sensor, or a new media platform. In this way, athletes and innovative markets are sure to always go faster, stronger, higher! Neither innovation nor sport can exist without enforceable property rights.”

More IPR protection indeed facilitates and encourages more investments. Table below is constructed from three different sources: (1) International Property Rights Index (IPRI) rank: PRA’s IPRI 2018 Report, (2) Foreign direct investment (FDI) inward stock 2017: UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2018, and (3) Population 2017: IMF, World Economic Outlook 2019. The last column is derived by this paper.

IPR

Global ranking in IPR protection and innovation in East Asia

More property rights protection, more investments. Japan is the exception here because Japan is the main source, not destination, of FDIs in many countries abroad. On May 15, the Geneva Network (UK) will hold a one-day seminar and meeting of Asian free market think tanks, institutes and academics doing work on IPR protection and trade to be held in Kuala Lumpur.

And on May 24 or 25, PRA (US) will hold a side event on IPR and investment promotion in Sydney during the 17th meeting of the World Taxpayers Association (WTA) conference and the 7th Friedman conference by the Australia Taxpayers Alliance.

From the IPRI report, the per-capita income in countries with robust property rights protection is 20 times greater than those in countries with weak protections. The market-oriented reforms for efficiency (MORE) are to further strengthen private property protection, physical or intellectual — by legislation or executive action.

 

Bienvenido S. Oplas, Jr. is the president of Minimal Government Thinkers

minimalgovernment@gmail.com

Eenie meenie mini mor, who should I vote for senator?

I have just filled out my ballot as an overseas Filipino qualified to vote in the May 13, 2019 midterm elections. While we are outside the Philippines, dual citizens like me are entitled to vote for party-list contenders and for national officials — in this case, senatorial candidates.

Despite my being relatively familiar with the political environment in the Philippines, as a newspaper columnist of several decades, it wasn’t easy choosing 12 candidates from among the 62 contenders listed in the official ballot.

It was like playing the kiddie game, eenie meenie mini mor. Or doing the toss coin — except that in most political choices, it’s heads they win and tails you lose.

It was so much easier picking one out of the many party-list contenders in the ballot. I did what I think most voters would do. Not knowing what the clever acronyms stood for and having known about family dynasties ostensibly representing tricycle drivers or other underprivileged sectors even if they have never taken a ride in a poor man’s transport and have enjoyed nothing but privileges into their whole wealthy lives, I simply based my choice on self-interest.

Being a full-blooded Waray-Waray, I chose An Waray. So, there!

But to go back to choosing 12 senatorial candidates out of 62 — perhaps, my difficulty has been due to my relative familiarity with Philippine politics and politicians. I, frankly, have become a cynic. I have learned to take campaign promises with a bushel of salt (not just a grain), and have come to expect dashed hopes once those I vote for assume office.

But, at least, I have been able to weigh the pros and cons and have had some basis for choosing the lesser evil among the candidates, as well as the relatively better qualified.

I can only imagine how it is with those who have spent their entire lives being fed with controlled media messages, being dazzled by celebrity, and being impressed with the way candidates dance and sing on-stage. They depend mainly on ward leaders for instructions on who to vote for, expect nothing more from the candidates than the few hundred pesos (or is it now in the thousands???) handed them for their votes, and rationalize that the winning candidates will likely steal once in office pagka’t ganyan talaga ang pulitika (that’s how it is in politics). Weather weather lang iyan.

Oh, yes, some of them can expect a job because malakas si ninong kay sir (my godfather has influence on sir). And some can look forward to a basketball court or team uniforms or even a rural health clinic from the candidate they help vote into office. At least, may pakinabang ang pork barrel (at least, there’s a benefit from the pork barrel).

Eenie, meenie mini mor, who should I choose for senator?

The truth is that many voters don’t even have a chance to choose or don’t bother to choose at all. They depend on their ward leaders who hand them sample ballots with instructions not to deviate from the list. Oftentimes the instructions are accompanied with warnings and threats.

How will the ward leaders know if a voter changes a name on the list? In the old days, carbon paper was placed under the ballot. This provided proof of compliance. How is it done now? Who knows? But you can be sure that clever political operators have ways of knowing.

Of course, there’s the time-worn and proven trick known as Garcification, named after Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo’s favorite Comelec commissioner. The Comelec is said to be one of the most profitable business enterprises during elections. I know of a political family in Manila that had fielded a candidate for Congress. The local Comelec official actually told them to their faces that he could guarantee them a victory — for a price. They refused to pay. Their candidate lost.

What I couldn’t understand was why they did not blow the whistle on the extortionist. Their explanation was, who would respond to the whistle? Their impression was that everyone was in on the racket, including “the people upstairs.”

At any rate, if anybody did act on their complaint, the election would have been over before any action could be taken. And, in the Philippines, once a “winning” candidate has been sworn into office it could take nearly the entire tenure before a complaint can be resolved — if at all.

On the other hand, I understand that the voters have become entrepreneurial, selling their votes to the highest bidder. This reminds me of a losing candidate for Congress whom I happened to talk to at the Tacloban airport. This was back in those innocent days when votes were relatively “inexpensive.”

The loser complained that his opponent paid P100 per vote. “That was plain and simple vote buying,” he complained. And then he added: “I could only afford P50.”

Assuming that there are still many voters like me who are not in the market for my vote, how does one choose from so many candidates? How did I make my choices?

I started with a process of elimination. The candidates whose names were unknown to me were automatically out of contention. That says something about name recognition. No awareness. No vote.

Next to be eliminated from my list were those candidates with very high name recognition but in a negative manner. Thus, suspected plunderers, killers and the illiterate were automatically scratched from my list.

One could have said that every politician “steals” or generates “unexplained income” one way or the other. However, “plunder” means big-time stealing. Those suspected of plain corruption are said to be the lesser evil and, thus, “tolerable.” Ganyan talaga ang pulitika.

Of course, one can apply the NOTA rule — meaning None of the Above. In the coming election, however, I actually identified several candidates who could do some good in office, if they allow their better nature to prevail. So, I did not resort to NOTA.

In fact, I included one reelectionist senator who I personally know to be a decent person. There’s another candidate I do not know personally but whose track record as a former public servant and as an opinion maker has been good. This candidate, unfortunately, has lost in past attempts for a Senate seat — but he has my vote, even if his chances of winning are slim.

Another type of candidate who immediately got the virtual axe was the kind who invariably ends up in the Committee on Silence. The certified illiterates who, for some reason, have gotten elected to high office. I knocked off at least one such candidate (who happens to have already served in the Senate, expectedly, in the Committee on Silence).

Next in the process of elimination were the candidates with blood on their hands and those running on the basis of OPM or Other People’s Money, more specifically, the Filipino People’s Money. They were easy to spot because their campaign billboards were blocking off the view on the provincial highways months before the actual campaign season began.

They are not to be confused with the candidate whose main credentials depend on OPM (Original Pilipino Music). This latter candidate could run for a spot in American Idol or Tawag ng Tanghalan, but mercifully not the Philippine Senate. I eliminated him from my list.

After laboring over the names on the ballot, I finally came up with 11. Needing one more to make it an even 12, I scanned the names I was familiar with who have not yet been accused of plunder nor of killings nor of using OPM, and who have also not been members of the Committee on Silence (although all have been silent where they should have protested the vulgarity and the bloody and unconstitutional ways of the current administration).

To make my choice, I played eenie, meenie mini mor and made my 12th choice for senator.

I’m just hoping that this selection won’t end up like a toss-coin. Heads they win. Tails I lose.

 

Greg B. Macabenta is an advertising and communications man shuttling between San Francisco and Manila and providing unique insights on issues from both perspectives.

gregmacabenta@hotmail.com

No storage needed

By Tony Samson

QUANTITIES of most consumer items now come in single-serve sachets. This recognizes the consumption patterns for the solo customer living alone, sometimes not even with an occasional drop-in maid service.

In shopping membership clubs, the consumer is enticed with economy sizes (you need two carts) where hefty discounts on retail prices are offered in exchange for volume buys. Packaging becomes bigger, as toothpaste in the family size category starts to need its own sink, which is expected to groan with the weight. The sachet revolution stands the wholesale rationale of cost savings on its head. The consumer is now offered tiny packages (and smaller outlays of cash) in exchange for higher unit costs.

Buying for limited use is nothing new. Jeepney drivers who are not to be bothered with buying a whole pack of cigarettes resort to getting one or two sticks at a time with the accompanying light-up service from the vendor. They also buy fuel this way — seldom a full tank but enough to get them through the shift. Motorcycles routinely fill up with a few liters due to the volume of the tank. You still need to line up behind them with your car.

The sachet culture has reduced products to a single consumption event. This type of micro-retailing is seen as a convenience to the consumer who plans purchases daily due to the uncertainty of the amount and timing of disposable income.

So widespread is the single-use purchase that it already covers a variety of products and services, including shampoo, sugar, coffee creamer, floor wax, paper soap, coffee, toothpaste, phone load, ice cream, butter, jam, food sauce, instant noodle snack, and mobile phone use.

The sachet culture is driven not just by pricing aimed at disposable daily income; it also reflects the solo lifestyle where single servings are all that are required for consumption. Small packaging is sure to extend to other areas.

Success fees will replace retainerships in outsourced services. Why pay a fixed monthly fee when the service is not yet needed. This now drives legal and PR services which are becoming single servings for crisis events, like demolition jobs and the cover-up of corporate misdeamenors.

Sports clubs for badminton and swimming charge on usage basis rather than monthly dues and have found a niche market. Already, weekdays are reserved in resort clubs for the non-member market with members turning a blind eye on the practice as a way of putting the lid on rising monthly dues.

Business class lounges used to require the entrant to buy a business class ticket or be a frequent flyer. Now open lounges offer the same service on single servings. The entrance fee for the economy passenger covers free peanuts, diet drinks, and even a shower with relatively clean paper towels. The ambient noise of crowds is part of the atmosphere.

While salaries are still paid monthly, variable pay tied up with success events is a growing practice. More jobs will be done on as-needed basis rather than by regular employment. This paves the way for outsourcing and part-time freelance employment which may be advantageous even for job-seekers since rates are better, and more family time is possible. One can also work from home, and save on commuting cost.

The “gig economy” already accepts the project-based nature of employment. The gig after all is a term used for rock bands that play for pay at specific events, like weddings and product launches. Their engagement occasionally has a semblance of regularity when playing every Tuesday for certain retro clubs.

Maybe an actual rise in purchasing power may bring back wholesale buying and economy sizes. In an uncertain economy, cash will be held on to until the time to part with it in exchange for an immediate requirement is unavoidable, as when hunger pangs intrude. Timing, not price, determines how cash is spent.

Smaller habitation space also discourages hoarding. More and more are living in less and less space. With ready-to-consume packaging, no storage is needed. Don’t even bother with expiry dates.

The sachet consumer understands that life’s pleasures can come in small packages. You don’t have to buy a whole cow…if you are lactose-intolerant. The more popular version of that cliché refers to a different kind of consumption. And that one as well creates no storage problems.

 

Tony Samson is Chairman and CEO, TOUCH xda

ar.samson@yahoo.com

Peso ends flat vs dollar ahead of FOMC review

THE PESO closed flat against the dollar on Tuesday after treading a wide range as the market stayed on the sidelines ahead of the US central bank’s policy meeting.

The local currency closed yesterday’s session at P52.105 versus the greenback, mostly steady from the P52.11-per-dollar finish on Monday.

The peso traded in a wide range, opening the session a tad stronger at P52.10 per dollar. It climbed to as high as P51.98, while its intraday low stood at P52.185 versus the US currency.

Trading volume surged to $1.404 billion from the $957.02 million that changed hands the previous session.

Traders interviewed yesterday said the peso ended on Tuesday virtually unchanged as the market stayed on the sidelines ahead of the US Federal Reserve’s policy meeting.

“Although it traded on a wide range, the closing rate traded near where we closed on Monday given there’s still data coming up later in the week,” the trader said in a phone interview. So far, the market is on a wait-and-see mode.”

The policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is set to meet for the third time this week on April 30 and May 1.

“So far, the expectation is still no change in rates, but (the market will look at) the rhetoric on whether they’ll be more dovish at the moment given the negative economic backdrop, especially in Europe,” the trader said.

In the previous Fed meeting last March 19-20, FOMC members unanimously voted not to raise benchmark rates, saying they did not see any possibility for any hikes this year.

“The peso closed slightly lower as market participants generally remained cautious ahead of the US Federal Reserve policy meeting…” another trader said in an e-mail.

The first trader also noted that the peso strengthened to breach the P51-per-dollar level intraday as banks shored up funds to cover for remittances coming in today.

Financial markets are closed on Wednesday for the Labor Day. — K.A.N. Vidal

PSEi climbs to 7,900 level on GDP, inflation bets

By Arra B. Francia, Senior Reporter

THE MAIN INDEX ran past the 7,900 level on the last trading day of April, as investors were upbeat on the release of gross domestic product (GDP) and inflation data next week.

The benchmark Philippine Stock Exchange index (PSEi) jumped 0.7% or 55.70 points to close at 7,952.72 on Tuesday, managing to close higher despite flattish movement in early trading. The all-shares index likewise rose 0.51% or 25.17 points to 4,889.56.

“We think the PSEi’s performance is attributed to the upcoming release of economic data heavyweights such as GDP and inflation data with upside bias,” Philstocks Financial, Inc. Research Associate Piper Chaucer E. Tan said in a text message.

Mr. Tan also noted the rally seen in United States markets overnight, after the S&P 500 index reached a 52-week high due to strong corporate earnings.

At Wall Street, S&P 500 added 0.11% or 3.15 points to 2,943.03. The Dow Jones Industrial Average eked out gains of 0.04% or 11.06 points to 26,554.39, while the Nasdaq Composite index climbed 0.19% or 15.46 points to 8,161.86.

“Net foreign buying registered at P413.28 million (on Tuesday). This is also why the local bourse is up. Year-to-date net foreign buying is at P42.72 billion compared to negative P38 billion in the prior year,” Mr. Tan added.

Yesterday’s net foreign buying figure marks a reversal of the previous session’s net foreign outflow of P42.91 million.

For Regina Capital Development Corp. Head of Sales Luis A. Limlingan, it was month-end window dressing that supported the PSEi.

“Window dressing in the Philippines and weaker inflation data drove the market today for the last trading session of April,” Mr. Limlingan said in a mobile phone message on Tuesday.

The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas’ Department of Economic Research projects inflation to be within the 2.7%-3.5% range for April, lower than its forecast last March of 3.1%.3.9%.

Inflation averaged 3.8% in the first quarter and is expected to settle at 3% for the entire year, within the government’s 2-4% target.

The Philippine Statistics Authority is scheduled to release official inflation data on May 7.

Four sectoral indices moved to positive territory, led by the industrials counter which soared 1.17% or 135.33 points to 11,608.92. Property firmed up 1.06% or 45.57 points to 4,329; holding firms went up 0.47% or 35.75 points to 7,638.20; while services gained 0.18% or 2.92 points to 1,586.18.

In contrast, mining and oil fell 0.52% or 40.57 points to 7,720.61. Financials also slipped 0.01% or 0.29 point to 1,743.66.

Turnover improved to P6.98 billion after some 943.57 million issues switched hands, versus Monday’s P5.81 billion.

Advancers outpaced decliners, 99 to 89, while 49 names were unchanged.

Duterte to stick to bilateral talks with China

By Arjay L. Balinbin, Reporter

PRESIDENT Rodrigo R. Duterte prefers a bilateral over a multilateral approach to the unresolved maritime dispute concerning the West Philippine Sea, Malacañang said on Tuesday.

“Sa ngayon bilateral muna (bilateral negotiations for now). Kasi (Because) I remember si Presidente,…a year ago, parang hindi siya masyadong (he was not) hot sa (on) multilateral [negotiations],” Presidential Spokesperson Salvador S. Panelo said at a news conference at the Palace on Tuesday when asked if a multilateral approach to resolving the West Philippine Sea issue was being considered.

He added: “Kasi nga eh ang may problema iyong dalawang bansa, di mag-bilateral muna kayo (Because, again, the problem is between the two countries [China and the Philippines], so you can have bilateral negotiations for now). Siguro (Maybe) if that fails, baka maging (that can be an) option iyon among the claimants.”

Asked what would convince the Philippine government to have the issue resolved at the multilateral level, he said: “We will have to wait for the President. The President is the one who charts the foreign policy. That is his right and discretion. We cannot be preempting the President on this.”

When asked if a bilateral negotiation with China is still “the most effective” way to address the issue, Mr. Panelo said: “Of course, yes. You don’t resolve the conflict by going to war or armed hostilities; it will not solve anything. In fact, all the conflicts in the world when not resolved by means of negotiations end up in armed hostilities.”

China and the Philippines began bilateral talks on the West Philippine Sea issue in 2017 through the Bilateral Consultation Mechanism (BCM).

Sought for comment, Dennis C. Coronacion, chairperson of the University of Santo Tomas (UST) Department of Political Science, said in a phone message: “For almost three years now, our government has adopted China’s recommendation to discuss the West Philippine Sea issue at the bilateral level and it seems that we have not gained anything significant from it.”

“At the very least, we were expecting China to leave alone the islands where we have been exercising sovereignty but they too were not spared from its incursions,” he also noted.

Also in a phone message, political science professor Marlon M. Villarin of the same university said: “The President [thinks] that bilateral negotiation is still the best approach, noting that the (2016) decision of the Arbitral Court will not facilitate the resolution of the conflict….”

He further said that the involvement of “more countries” in the negotiation process will only “aggravate the situation.”

“The way I look at the demeanor of the Chinese government, they don’t recognize international organizations like the United Nations (UN), especially on matters concerning their domestic and international interests,” Mr. Villarin said.

He noted as well that this is a “diplomatic challenge not only to the Philippines, but also to the European Union (EU) and the United States, considering that China, aside from being a militarily strong state, they somehow have a huge control or influence on the global economy. That is why regional organizations, at some point, are too silent on matters concerning Chinese virtual atrocities.”

“The pessimistic viewpoint of Mr. Duterte on the relevance of multilateral organizations like the UN and the EU somehow contributed to his belief that this conflict can be best solved bilaterally; because in a unilateral approach, President Duterte does not practically see the sincerity of bigger states like the US to really support us when things go south.”

Villar, Poe tie in poll

By Charmaine A. Tadalan, Reporter

REELECTIONIST Senator Grace S. Poe-Llamanzares has tied with fellow reelectionist Cynthia A. Villar on the top spot in Pulse Asia’s Pre-Electoral Nationwide Survey, about two weeks ahead of the midterm polls on May 13.

Ms. Llamanzares, the consistent topnotcher in the recent surveys, fell behind Ms. Villar by 1.2 points. Ms. Villar had a voter preference of 51.7% against Ms. Llamanzares’s 50.5%. former senator Manuel M. Lapid leapt to 3rd place from 6th in March, while reelectionist Senator Aquilino L. Pimentel III now settled in 10th place after dropping out of the “Magic 12” that month.

Sought for comment, Mr. Pimentel told reporters by phone message Tuesday, “I am happy that those surveyed are aware of my qualifications for the position, remember the things I have accomplished, and have become aware of the good plans I have for our beloved country.”

Former Senator Ramon Revilla, Jr. traded places with reelectionist Senator Nancy S. Binay, who is now in 9th place from 7th in March.

Former Metropolitan Manila Development Authority (MMDA) chairman Francis N. Tolentino, who placed 8th in the previous poll, fell to 17th place.

The rest of the top 12 are reelectionist Senator Juan Edgardo M. Angara (6th), former Special Assistant to the President Christopher Lawrence T. Go (5th), former senator and incumbent Taguig-2nd district Rep. Pia S. Cayetano (4th), Ilocos Norte Gov. Imee R. Marcos (11th), former National Police chief Ronald “Bato” M. Dela Rosa (8th) and former senator Jinggoy Estrada (12th).

Presidential Spokesperson Salvador S. Panelo, for his part, said of the predominance of administration bets in the top 12: “Ibig sabihin iyong mga tao naniniwala kay Presidente. Naniniwala siya na ang mga tao, na iyong mga ine-endorse niya kailangan ni Presidente iyon para tumulong sa kanya sa pagbabangon sa ating bansa sa ilalim ng kahirapan, ng kaguluhan at ng kung anu ano pa. It means malakas ang kanyang endorsement appeal,” Mr. Panelo told reporters in a briefing, Tuesday. (It means the public trusts President Duterte. The people believe that candidates endorsed by the President are those whom he believes will carry on his efforts to eradicate poverty and maintain peace, among others. I means his endorsement appeal is strong).

At kahit na may manalo dun sa kabila, na hindi i-endorse, sa tingin ko doon, ‘pag ikaw ay pinanalo ng taumbayan, ang mensahe sayo ‘kaya kita pinanalo diyan ay para tulungan mo iyong pinanalo namin na Presidente, hindi para manggulo ka.” (Even if candidates running against the administration bets win, I think it would mean the public elected you because they want you to help the President, not to cause trouble).