US households still feel pinched by inflation — Fed survey

US HOUSEHOLDS continued to feel pinched by inflation in late 2023 even as price pressures ebbed, the US Federal Reserve reported on Tuesday, with most Americans saying their financial situation had changed little in the past year, while parents reported times had gotten harder.

About 72% of adults were doing OK financially as of October 2023, the Fed’s annual survey on household economics and decision-making showed.

That was down from 78% in 2021 and the lowest since 2016, though little changed from 73% in 2022. The share of parents doing OK financially dropped by 5 percentage points to 64%, the lowest since 2015 when data collection began.

Inflation remained the top financial concern, according to the report. It said 65% of adults said high prices had made their situations worse, even though consumer inflation fell sharply from about 9% in June 2022 to below 4% by the time the survey was taken.

While 34% said their family’s monthly income had risen in the past year, 38% said their spending had also increased.

About 63% of adults said they could cover a hypothetical $400 emergency expense using cash or its equivalent, the same as in 2022 but down from a record high of 68% in 2021.

Covering rental housing costs was a greater challenge last year than in the year before, with 19% of renters saying they had been behind in the rent at some point in the prior year, up from 17% in 2022.

Rental costs, which have proven to be among the reasons inflation has not eased as much as Fed policy makers had hoped, were up far more than inflation overall, with the median monthly rent rising by 10% to $1,100, according to the survey.

The survey included responses from 11,000 people and was conducted in October.

It was the latest in an array of pulse-taking of US consumers to show a generalized gloom hanging over Americans’ view of the economy and their own financial well-being even as growth has exceeded expectations, and the job market remains strong.

Monthly surveys from other organizations like the Conference Board and the University of Michigan have shown a persistent pessimism that began about three years ago alongside the arrival of the highest inflation since the 1980s.

‘HIGHEST PRIORITY’
The dourness registers with Fed officials who continue to see the effort to bring inflation back to the central bank’s 2% target as their top priority.

The burden of rapid inflation “was felt early because goods prices and prices in the market went up faster than wages and income then, and so people definitely felt they were falling behind,” Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said at a conference in Florida this week.

Wage gains have generally exceeded price increases over the last year, especially for the lowest earners. Still, consumers retain memories of the pain inflicted by price pressures, and surveys, including from the Fed, show how deeply that has become ingrained.

“People don’t do that math continuously to know that they’re catching up,” Mr. Bostic said.

“I think there’s just some lived experiences (that are) going to have to happen where people will at some point do a recalibration, but I don’t know exactly when that’s going to be,” he said. “And so, for me, it’s just we got to get inflation back to our target. And that’s got to be the highest priority.” — Reuters