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Regional Updates (01/11/21)

City mayors to meet nat’l execs to discuss vaccine procurement as more local governments seal contract with AstraZeneca

CITY mayors are set to meet with national officials online on January 12 to discuss the procurement of vaccines as several local government units (LGUs), mostly cities and some provinces, have already signed contracts with pharmaceutical firm AstraZeneca Plc. Several other LGUs have also allocated funds from their budgets for the purchase of vaccines against the coronavirus. Bacolod City Mayor Evelio R. Leonardia, president of the League of Cities of the Philippines (LCP), said national officials in charge of the country’s vaccination program will attend the meeting. “Vaccine Czar Secretary Carlito Galvez, Jr. has confirmed his attendance to the meeting and will present the national government’s roadmap to coordinate and assist LGUs in securing vaccines,” Mr. Leonardia said in a statement. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Director General Rolando Enrique D. Domingo is also expected to attend to provide updates on the emergency use authorization for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccines, he added.

SHARING RESOURCES
“Those who can afford as a team player should be sharing each’s resources. Those who cannot should be assisted by the national government,” Mr. Leonardia said over state-run Radyo Pilipinas on Monday. The LCP will also request for the group’s inclusion in the membership of the national COVID-19 inter-agency task force (IATF) to ensure that national and local vaccination programs are aligned. Bacolod is among the local governments that already signed a tripartite agreement with AstraZeneca and the national government. More than half of the 17 LGUs in Metro Manila have inked a similar deal with AstraZeneca, reserving varying volumes of doses. Outside the capital, among those that have secured advanced orders are the cities of Baguio, Dagupan, Ormoc, Iloilo, Zamboanga, and the province of Iloilo. Presidential Spokesperson Harry L. Roque on Monday said local governments won’t be able to procure vaccines without the “signature” or approval of the national government.  “When it comes to vaccine procurement and inoculation, LGUs should follow the policies set by the IATF,” he said in a press briefing. — Kyle Aristophere T. Atienza

P2P buses resume in Zamboanga’s major cities

POINT-to-point (P2P) buses between the main urban areas in the Zamboanga Peninsula Region will start operations on January 16, covering the cities of Zamboanga, Pagadian, and Dipolog and Ipil town. The management of the Integrated Bus Terminal in Zamboanga City, the regional center, released on Monday the guidelines for travelers and fare rates. Under the P2P scheme, buses are prohibited from picking up or unloading passengers anywhere “in between the point of origin and point of destination.” Passengers will be strictly required to present all documentary set by the local government of the destination as well as purchase tickets at least two days before the travel date. “No walk-in passengers” will be allowed, except in emergency cases such as for medical care. Minimum health protocols such as wearing of face mask and shields will also be in effect. — MSJ

Enough water supply for Metro Manila, nearby provinces in summer — NWRB

METRO Manila and its nearby provinces would have adequate water supply during the coming summer months given the current high level of Angat Dam, the National Water Resources Board (NWRB) said on Monday. “With the current level of around at elevation 212.2 meters (m) of the Angat Dam, we will have sufficient water supply for Metro Manila and adjoining provinces during the summer season and until the projected onset of the rainy season around May or June,” NWRB Executive Director Sevillo D. David, Jr. told BusinessWorld in an interview via Viber. Metropolitan Waterworks and Sewerage System (MWSS) Administrator Emmanuel B. Salamat, in a separate advisory on Monday, also assured of adequate supply during the dry season. “With the favorable projection of our water level at Angat Dam and… by mitigating measures to address the water requirements of Metro Manila and other areas like Bulacan and Rizal that comprise the MWSS service areas, we can assure of sufficient water supply for summer 2021,” Mr. Salamat said. The capital region suffered raw water supply shortage in 2019. Angat Dam, the main source for the capital, recorded a normal high water level of 212 meters (m), and a reservoir water level of 212.21 meters as of Monday morning. — Angelica Y. Yang

Abalos takes oath as new MMDA Chair

FORMER Mandaluyong City mayor Benjamin S. Abalos, Jr. was sworn into office as the new chairperson of the Metropolitan Manila Development Authority (MMDA) at noon on Monday in Malacañang. “We vow to support his leadership, plans and programs in the pursuit of efficient and quality public service,” MMDA General Manager Jose  Arturo S. Garcia, Jr. said in a statement on Monday. Mr. Abalos succeeds the late Danilo D. Lim, who passed away last week. The MMDA is tasked to plan and implement metro-wide services and programs in the capital region, which is composed of 16 cities and one municipality. Mr. Abalos served as local chief of Mandaluyong from 1998 to 2004, and from 2007 to 2016. He was also elected as the city’s congressional representative from 2004 to 2007. He also served as president of the Union of Local Authorities of the Philippines and League of Cities of the Philippines (LCP) from 2007 to 2010. — Kyle Aristophere T. Atienza

PSC underscores athletes’ safety is paramount as training resumes

By Michael Angelo S. Murillo, Senior Reporter

THE planned return to training of national athletes vying for a spot in the rescheduled Olympic Games at the weekend did not push through and instead was delayed by a week, but the Philippine Sports Commission’s (PSC) reminder on safety stays.

In a virtual orientation last week, the PSC reiterated that while the return to training of the athletes is very important with less than 200 days to go before the sporting spectacle to be held in Tokyo and final qualifiers for it just around the corner, such should not be done at the expense of proper health and safety protocols.

“We called for this meeting to emphasize the safety protocols you will be needing for this Olympic training bubble. I am confident that we can all adjust to this, but know that your safety is paramount to the PSC,” PSC Commissioner Ramón S. Fernández told athletes and coaches during the orientation on Jan. 6.

Mr. Fernandez was joined by other sports officials in the meeting, including Olympic chef de mission Mariano V. Araneta Jr. who added, “I just want to reiterate that your safety is paramount in this bubble training. I wish all of you the best for your qualifiers, so that we can bring more glory to Philippine sports.”

Some 46 athletes and coaches from the boxing, taekwondo, and karate national teams are expected to enter the training “bubble” at the INSPIRE Sports Academy in Calamba, Laguna, on Jan. 15 to resume face-to-face training after months of settling for virtual and individual workouts because of the coronavirus pandemic.

The training resumption, which was originally scheduled to begin on Jan. 9, is geared towards helping Filipino athletes contend for a spot for the Tokyo Olympics happening from July 23 to Aug. 8.

In the months leading up to the Games, a number of qualifiers are lined up where sports officials hope the country’s athletes will perform well.

The Philippines is targeting to send at least 15 athletes to the pandemic-hit Olympics.

To preserve the integrity of the bubble at INSPIRE, which will be the home of the athletes for the next couple of months, and guard against the spread of the coronavirus, the PSC crafted a set of health and safety protocols to follow.

The agency’s Medical Scientific Athletes Services (MSAS) Unit led in crafting the protocols, which took into consideration already-established measures by the World Health Organization, Department of Health, and the Inter-Agency Task Force for the Management of Emerging Infectious Diseases (IATF-EID).

“We have to be extra careful in that. If we don’t have the proper protocols, it will be useless because, eventually, we will have to put a stop to it,” said PSC Chairman William Ramirez of the protocols they have crafted.

On top of the protocols is the formation of an expert group among stakeholders to aid in the interpretation and give advice on any unusual and expected results of coronavirus tests.

“Athletes will undergo a series of RT-PCR testing. Prior to entry, upon entry, and several testing during the bubble training,” said MSAS Head Dr. Randy Molo.

He went on to advise participants to restrict movement 14 days before entry, and restricted interactions seven days prior to their entry in the bubble facility.

“From today (Jan. 6), everyone must reconsider all the places and people they will be interacting with,” Dr. Molo said.

Philippine Sports Institute National Training Director Marc Velasco said that the MSAS Medical Unit, Rehabilitation Unit, Strength and Conditioning Unit, Sport Massage Unit, Sports Physiology, Sports Nutrition and Sports Psychology Unit will be available to serve the Olympic hopefuls via live and virtual consultations.

The boxing team is set to first arrive at the facility on Jan. 15, to be followed by the taekwondo and karate teams on Jan. 16 and 17, respectively.

Top boxing bets Irish Magno, who already qualified for the Tokyo Games, and Nesthy Petecio lead the national boxers in the bubble, to be joined by the likes of Carlo Paalam, Ian Clark Bautista, Riza Pasuit, Charly Suarez, James Palicte, and Rogen Ladon.

Another boxer, Eumir Felix Marcial, who has also qualified for the Olympics, is currently in the United States training at the Wild Card Gym as he is also a professional fighter under Manny Pacquiao’s MP Promotions.

But the Association of Boxing Alliances in the Philippines is hoping he could join the team in the bubble training at some point to fortify their push.

The taekwondo team, meanwhile, is to bring in 2016 Rio Olympian Elaine Alora, Kurt Barbosa, Arven Alcantara, Butch Morrison, and Pauline Lopez. It is eyeing to be ready come the Asian qualifiers in April in Jordan.

Karate, for its part, will have Jamie Lim, Sharief Afif, Alwyn Batican, and Ivan Agustin, to be joined later by Junna Tsukii and Joan Orbon, who are both coming from abroad.

The IATF-EID gave its go signal for the national athletes to return to training on Dec. 15.

Incidentally, also training right now at INSPIRE is the national men’s basketball team.

Gilas Pilipinas began its month-long bubble training on Sunday in preparation for the third and final window of the FIBA Asia Cup Qualifiers set for February.

Raven QB Lamar Jackson runs into NFL record book

QUARTERBACK (QB) Lamar Jackson etched his name in the National Football League (NFL) record book while leading the Baltimore Ravens to a 20-13 win over the host Tennessee Titans in an American Football League (AFC) wild card game on Sunday in Nashville, Tenn.

Jackson’s 48-yard touchdown run was the second-longest for a score by a quarterback in NFL postseason history. It trails only Colin Kaepernick’s 56-yard sprint in the San Francisco 49ers’ game against the Green Bay Packers in the NFC divisional round in 2013.

Jackson now holds two of the top three rushing performances by a quarterback in NFL playoff history. His 136 rushing yards on Sunday are third-most by a quarterback in a playoff game, behind Kaepernick’s 181 against the Packers in 2013 and Jackson’s 143 he posted in last year’s loss to the Titans in the divisional round. Kaepernick rushed for 130 yards for the 49ers against the Seattle Seahawks in the 2014 NFC Championship game.

However, Jackson and Kaepernick are the only quarterbacks to eclipse the 100-yard rushing mark and score at least a touchdown. Michael Vick, who amassed 119 yards rushing against the then-St. Louis Rams in the 2005 divisional round, and Donovan McNabb, who rushed for 107 yards in 2003 against the Packers in the divisional round, each rushed for at least 100 yards but didn’t run into the end zone.

Jackson completed 17 of 24 passes for 179 yards with an interception against the Titans.

“We finished. We finished,” Jackson told ESPN after the game. “We finally finished.”

Last week, Jackson became the first quarterback in NFL history to rush for at least 1,000 yards in multiple seasons, while leading the Ravens to their third straight AFC playoff berth with a 38-3 win over the host Cincinnati Bengals. The victory enabled Jackson to become the fastest quarterback in league history to win 30 games, doing so in his 37th start.

Jackson rushed for 1,005 yards and seven touchdowns during the regular season.

Jackson rushed for an NFL quarterback-record 1,206 last year in his first full year as a starter, en route to becoming the youngest quarterback to be named NFL MVP.

The mark eclipsed Vick’s record of 1,039, which he set in 2006 — the only season in which he broke 1,000 yards. — Reuters

Clarkson looks to repay confidence given to him by Jazz

AWARDED by the Utah Jazz with a fresh four-year contract extension in the offseason, Filipino-American player Jordan Clarkson looks to repay the confidence given to him, setting solid personal goals and for the team.

“I’m gonna go out there and perform. I’m just gonna go out there and help the team win,” said Mr. Clarkson in his recent media conference with Filipino sportswriters.

Mr. Clarkson, who was born to a Filipino mother and American father, signed a four-year, $52-million deal to stay with the Jazz after joining the team in 2019.

It was a decision he said was not hard to make as he found a fit with the team and had built good relationships with the players and coaches in just a short time.

The drive and commitment to win by the team also had him excited and that he hopes to do his fair share in going about and achieving it.

“Everybody here just has the same goal of winning together. It’s where it all came for me. I wanted to continue to grow here and do great things here in Utah. Definitely, I didn’t want to leave this group,” he said.

One of the things he wants to accomplish at the onset, Mr. Clarkson said, is win the Sixth Man of the Year Award, something he is confident of being in a good position to vie for, considering the playing time and stability given to him by the Jazz.  

“One goal and achievement that I want to have under my belt is winning the Sixth Man of the Year award. I already feel I’m in the conversation for it a lot because I’ve been traded multiple places now, but just having that opportunity to be out there playing and just be with this organization — having the opportunity is going to be great for me,” he said.

Mr. Clarkson, who split time in Tulsa and Missouri in college, was drafted on the Los Angeles Lakers in 2014. He was traded to the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2018 before landing to Utah a year later.

So far in the ongoing NBA season, Mr. Clarkson, 28, has been going great guns, averaging 16.7 points per game (third in the team), 4.2 rebounds, 1.4 steals and one steal per game in 10 games for the Jazz (6-4).

Utah has won its last two games, the most recent over the Detroit Pistons, 96-86, on Monday (Manila time).

Mr. Clarkson finished with 18 points in the game, going 3-of-7 from beyond the arc.

Back in 2018, Mr. Clarkson played for the Philippines in the Asian Games in a team coached by Joseller “Yeng” Guiao. — Michael Angelo S. Murillo

Anthony Davis helps LA Lakers trounce Houston Rockets

ANTHONY Davis scored 27 points and blocked three shots in his return from a one-game injury hiatus as the Los Angeles Lakers remained unbeaten on the road with a 120-102 victory over the Houston Rockets on Sunday.

Davis, who missed the Lakers’ win over the Chicago Bulls last Friday with a right adductor strain, started nine for nine from the floor. LeBron James added 18 points, seven rebounds and seven assists while Montrezl Harrell produced 16 points and eight boards off the Lakers bench.

The Lakers ran Houston ragged, totaling 32 fast-break points and added 62 points in the paint.

Christian Wood paced the Rockets with 23 points, while James Harden added 20 points and nine assists but committed seven turnovers. Houston shot just 12 for 41 from behind the arc.

The Rockets used a 16-two third-quarter run that featured eight points from Wood and a Harden 3-pointer to claw their way back into contention, cutting what was once a 27-point deficit to 11 points. But the Lakers sandwiched a John Wall turnover with layups from Dennis Schroder and Kyle Kuzma in the fourth and reestablished a 20-point lead at 102-82 on another Kuzma layup.

The Lakers reeled off a 12-0 blitz in the first quarter to establish their cushion, surviving the ejection of Markieff Morris with 2:15 left in the period. Houston, despite shooting just 27.3% and committing eight turnovers in the first, clawed to within 25-21 by the close of the frame based largely on 10 trips to the free-throw line. When the Lakers stopped fouling in the second, Los Angeles (LA) extended its lead to as much as 20 points on back-to-back baskets from James.

Davis and Talen Horton-Tucker (17 points) were instrumental in helping the Lakers to a 40-point second quarter, combining for eight consecutive points during one stretch in that period. Davis closed the half with 21 points on eight-of-eight shooting, with one missed free throw preventing him from achieving shooting perfection. The Lakers capped the half shooting 56.8%, while adding seven steals and seven blocks to stifle the Rockets defensively. Houston missed 20 of 25 3s. — Reuters

Jamie Lim determined to make it happen in Tokyo Olympic push

HER push to make it to the Olympic Games in Tokyo down to one last shot later this year, national karate team member Jamie Lim said she remains undeterred and looking to make things happen in her quest.

Speaking on The Chasedown program on Saturday, Ms. Lim said the road to Summer Games for her has been made difficult by the coronavirus pandemic as training had been limited to virtual sessions and individual workouts, but she believes there is still time to make up for it to prepare and qualify.

“It’s going to be [tough] as everybody who hasn’t qualified in the Olympics will try to qualify there,” said the medaled karateka, referring to the last Olympic qualifier to be held in Paris, France, on June.

“But we will try our best. I’m going to do everything I can,” she added.

To help in her push, Ms. Lim will be among the athletes entering the training “bubble” for national athletes at the INSPIRE Sports Academy in Calamba, Laguna, set to begin later this week.

The athletes will stay in the facility for the next couple of months to fortify their game as they vie for spots in the Olympics in the qualifiers lined up in the months leading to it.

It is an opportunity that Ms. Lim, son of Philippine Basketball Association legend and former national athlete Samboy Lim, welcomes, seeing it as further elevating her preparation.

“Training continued for me even during the lockdown, but I’m excited and getting ready to enter the bubble. I’m aware of the protocols and they seem to be fine,” she said.

Ms. Lim also shared that apart from the bubble training in Calamba, the karate team is also up for training abroad as well as competitions.

In the Paris qualifier, the Philippines will field in six karatekas — three male and three female athletes.

Prior to having it challenging in 2020, Ms. Lim had a banner on 2019, winning gold medals at the Amator Spor Haftasi Karate Championships in Turkey and at the 30th Southeast Asian Games held here. — Michael Angelo S. Murillo

Ronaldo and Ramsey on target as Juventus beat Sassuolo

GOALS from Cristiano Ronaldo and Welshman Aaron Ramsey helped Juventus to secure a 3-1 victory over 10-man Sassuolo in Serie A on Sunday, lifting the champions to fourth place in the standings.

Following their win at leaders AC Milan in midweek, Juventus struggled to create many chances in the first half, but their cause was aided after Pedro Obiang was sent off for a dangerous tackle on Federico Chiesa just before halftime.

Juventus capitalized on the numerical advantage as Danilo was left in plenty of space to fire home a fierce opener in the 50th minute, but the lead lasted just eight minutes as Grégoire Defrel leveled to stun the hosts.

Ramsey, who has been in and out of the side this season, puts Juve in front in the 82nd minute with his first goal of the season. In contrast, Serie A top scorer Ronaldo took his season’s tally to 15 as he struck in stoppage-time to complete the win.

The result helped Juve close the gap with leaders Milan to seven points, having played one game less. Sassuolo stays seventh.

“Victories are built with everyone’s work and sacrifice, we have already made mistakes too many times,” Juventus coach Andrea Pirlo said.

“After Milan’s win over Torino (on Saturday), we understood that we need maximum concentration and the desire to bring home the victories. We had to continue after the win at the San Siro. It was important to maintain our form.”

After scoring three times in Milan in midweek, Juve’s strikeforce could not get going in the first half at the Juventus Stadium.

Obiang’s dismissal, however, gave Juve a boost, with the referee issuing a straight red card after the VAR asked the official to have another look at the midfielder’s studs-up tackle on Chiesa.

Danilo’s third Juventus goal settled the hosts’ nerves, but Sassuolo, enjoying a fine season, were not overawed despite being a man down as Defrel fired them level and they had several other chances to take the lead.

Ramsey, who replaced the injured Weston McKennie in the first half, got the all-important second, arriving on cue to meet a Gianluca Frabotta cross, before Ronaldo drilled home to make sure of a third successive win for Juve. — Reuters

CREATE is the only choice!

At the forthcoming legislature’s bicameral conference on corporate tax reform, it should only be a choice between CITIRA (Corporate Income Tax and Incentives Reform Act, House Bill No. 4157) and CREATE (Corporate Recovery and Tax Incentives for Enterprises Act, Senate Bill No. 1357). CITIRA is the House version of Package 2 of the comprehensive tax reform. CREATE, on the other hand, is the Senate Version. Both are good packages, each complete and balanced on its own, and worthy of our support.

There should be no third choice — no hybrid of the two, no massive “picking and choosing” of favored provisions and combining them to form the third version of Package 2. Of course you can, legally, but you destroy the holistic framework of the package, in effect incapacitating it from addressing the very purpose of pursuing a tax reform. You also destroy the revenue mix, hence creating an imbalance that results in either overtaxing the people or lacking in funds to meet the needs of the country. You cannot, for example, retain CITIRA’s proposed 10-year annual 1% corporate tax reduction from the current 30% to 20%, yet keeping CREATE’s proposed 10-year incentive status quo because the resulting revenue loss would be substantial. When Congress designed CITIRA, or in the case of the Senate, the CREATE, each was meant to be a whole package by itself, each component carefully designed in relation to the other parts and to the totality of the package.

With all the lobbying by groups with varied interests, each House labored tirelessly to balance and re-balance those interests, adjusting every provision to eventually form a corporate tax package that, in totality, will best achieve the objective of having a simple, fair, competitive, and fiscally prudent tax system that can sustain the revenue needs of the government for a considerable long period of time. Tinkering with these packages at the bicameral level when there is limited time to do a full impact study of such changes, would not at all be safe and desirable.

Both are good packages, but with COVID-19 and after, CREATE is the only choice left for us. I explain why.

CITIRA and CREATE were conceptualized under two different time periods with completely different conditions. CITIRA was crafted pre-COVID when the country’s economy was at its best, promising brighter days ahead. CREATE, on the other hand, was crafted right in the middle of a pandemic, a hurting economy, a worldwide slump where chaos is the order of the day and survival of the fittest is the game. That made the big difference between the two.

CITIRA was meant to support an already blossoming economy pushing it further and faster forward, CREATE is meant to revive a heavily hurting economy, save businesses, restore consumer confidence, and give the country a fresh restart. It is meant to trigger the “great restart” after a pandemic, a perfect example of how tax can be used as a powerful tool to build an economy.

Thus, as structured, CREATE is not simply a tax reform meant to provide a simple, equitable, and a competitive tax system.

CREATE is, more than anything else, a fiscal response for the survival of our economy, our businesses, especially the micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs) employing more than 60% of our workforce. It is a fiscal response to mitigate widespread involuntary hunger now experienced by more than 4 million families, and counting. It is a fiscal response, the most direct and cost-efficient stimulus to revive what was once considered the fastest growing economy in the region.

CREATE is well-crafted and targeted to address COVID-19 priorities by first giving relief to small businesses, lowering outright their tax rate from 30% to 20%, an equivalent subsidy of 10% of net income effective July 2020 and every year onward. This savings could be used to retain employees or to cope with the required facilities of working under a new normal. The MSMEs entitled to this relief are those with taxable net income not exceeding P5 million and total assets (excluding land) not exceeding P100 million.

CREATE also provides immediate relief to MSMEs to recover quickly.

Provisional reduction in taxes for a period of three years from July 2020 up to June 2023 were granted. The 3% business tax collected on every one peso of sales was reduced from 3% to 1%, and the Minimum Corporate Income Tax (MCIT) from 2% to 1%. Both these taxes are not net-income based, hence are paid regardless of income. Both are based on gross — one on gross sales, the other on gross profit. The equivalent savings therefore is measured as a percentage of sales (not income), addressing the criticism that reducing the income tax rate has no benefit to businesses during this pandemic as there is no taxable income to speak of.

The bigger companies (those with net taxable income exceeding P5 million and with total assets exceeding P100 million) are not to be left behind. Their income tax rate was likewise reduced from 30% to 25%. This brings the country’s corporate income tax nearer the ASEAN average at 21.65%. With strong demographic and sound financial fundamentals, such a reduction will foster the country’s potential as an attractive site for investment and makes our local products more competitively priced in international markets.

Tax hindrances to business reorganizations on a wider scale were removed to empower businesses to expand, grow, innovate, and come up with creative solutions for recovery and responding to the challenges of a new normal. Such taxes include income tax and VAT. Administrative red-tape such as a request for a BIR (Bureau of Internal Revenue) ruling prior to such reorganizations were likewise removed.

Foreign-sourced dividends were exempted from tax for as long as these are remitted back home and invested here. Likewise, the 10% improperly accumulated earnings tax (IAET) imposed on excessive retention of income was repealed. All these are meant to encourage more investments to prompt the economy. Support by way of additional deduction for training expenses for on-the-job trainees was also provided.

Direct subsidy to CONSUMERS by way of granting VAT exemption on COVID-related basic health needs were likewise given under CREATE. COVID-19 vaccines, supplies, facilities, equipment, PPEs as well as prescription drugs, medical supplies and devices shall become cheaper by 12% at the hands of consumers as the government picks up the cost of the 12% VAT.

All the above features are lacking in CITIRA. So I say again, CREATE is the only choice we are left with.

As an endnote, the rationalization of incentives will be covered in a separate issue for lack of space. But as a general statement, CREATE’s version of the incentive is a well-balanced modernized incentive system that is performance-based, transparent and targeted, yet flexible, and with sufficient safeguard to exercise fiscal prudence.

 

Benedicta “Dick” Du-Baladad is the Chairperson of the Management Association of the Philippines Tax Committee for 2021 and the Founding Partner and CEO of Du-Baladad and Associates (BDB Law).

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Rethinking post pandemic Philippine foreign policy under Duterte

The strategic environment in the South China Sea (SCS) has been changed by China’s increasing revisionism amidst the pandemic. Narrowing of power gaps due to China’s economic rise and US decline, is escalating the risk of unplanned encounters, with most of 2020 being characterized by increasingly frequent US Freedom of Navigation Operations (FONOPs), and China’s People Liberation Army Navy’s (PLAN) surveillance of the SCS’s contested waters.

Given the altered security situation and the uncertainty of post Trump US foreign policy, it is time for foreign policy agents, namely Duterte, the Department of Foreign Affairs (DFA) and the Department of National Defense (DND) to reexamine the Philippine’s strategies based on light hedging with and accommodation of China and correspondingly, a diplomatic distanciation (distancing) from the US, albeit in the context of continuing Philippine-US military alliance. This, in view of an observation that since these choices no longer promote independence from hegemonic powers, they do not secure the Philippines from the consequences of power transition.

Foreign policy critics are pushing for a stronger stance against China.

Reacting to Duterte’s SONA on July 28 last year, Associate Justice Antonio Carpio said, “Vietnam, Malaysia and Indonesia are asserting their sovereign rights to their maritime zones against China’s claims.” He noted, “These countries do not go to war against China, and neither does China go to war against these countries.”

Relevant questions may be asked: What specific policy actions must be put in place if the Philippines were to adopt a “hardening” or smarter position vis-a-vis China, while mitigating the risk of economic coercion or punitive actions (such as boat sinking, unilateral moving of oil rigs, face off, etc.) or, worse, military confrontation? What strategies will allow for strategic maneuvering in the face of unpredictable structural change?

It should be highlighted that the DFA, the military and DND play differing balancing roles in the light of the Philippines’ positioning vis-a-vis superpower SCS rivalry. Since 2016, the DFA has stabilized Duterte’s posture vis-a-vis China through quiet diplomacy, filing note verbales to protest China’s transgressions in Philippine jurisdictional waters. However, on Feb 17, 2020, during the early stages of the pandemic, two diplomatic notes to protest the declaration of Spratlys as China’s new administrative district and the PLAN vessel’s pointing of radar gun towards the Philippines’ BRP Conrado Yap in the Spratly islands, may well be communicating a policy shift.

As in April 2020, the DFA’s contest of China’s sinking of a Vietnamese fishing vessel in the SCS acknowledged the UN arbitral ruling that Duterte underplayed for four years, to wit “(a)s we have said the creation of new facts in the water will never give rise to legal right anywhere or anytime.”

Additionally, DFA Secretary Teodoro Locsin took the opportunity to highlight the four-year-old ruling “overwhelmingly won” by the Philippines against China. Indeed a major turn around from the 2016 presidential decision to deemphasize the award — are these moves evidence of elements of hard hedging or smarter foreign policy response?

Under Duterte, the Philippines has tempered the extreme pro-US bandwagoning that Aquino III pursued during his term. By downgrading the scope of US-Philippines joint exercises to humanitarian assistance and disaster relief (HADR) and delimiting joint military exercises from taking place in the SCS, Duterte redefined the nature of the PH-US military alliance, perceived as a necessary move to de-escalate heightened maritime tensions with China.

Distantiating from the US also meant signaling the review of the 69-year-old Mutual Defense Treaty, subjecting the Visiting Forces Agreement (VFA) to possible abrogation, and asserting the right of the government to determine its continuity or end.

The military and defense establishments are major actors that bridge the chasm between Duterte’s anti-US personal beliefs and actual practice.

Gleaning from the policy reversal behind the revocation of VFA’s cancellation, five months after its termination, it may be concluded that interactions between the executive and the military and the executive and defense are redirecting the “middle-ing” of the Philippines position in US-China rivalry.

Keeping the US alliance intact (in the context of “diplomatic distanciation”), allows the Philippines to position itself for harder forms of hedging with China. However, alliance relationships between small and great powers that used to define the cold war hub and spokes arrangement no longer reflect the once effective global security formula.

With the uncertainty of the PH-US alliance under Duterte, the Philippines should pluralize its strategic partnerships, if bilaterally, as practical tools for reinforcing harder hedging with China, targeting, specifically middle powers that support particular issue areas such as the maritime domain and defense, or maritime deterrence as in the case of our partnerships with Japan and India.

On the other end of the spectrum, the Philippines may rethink a middle power position and activate its diplomatic influence as a power resource that its peers, Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand, and Vietnam have achieved far better (as per Lowy Institute, 2020). ASEAN-led multilateral forums such as the ASEAN Defense Ministers’ Meeting (ADMM) provide a space for agenda setting. The 2017-2019 ADMM work plan undertaken under the purview of the Philippines’ chairship was focused on non-traditional security cooperation such as HADR, search and rescue, counterterrorism, marine environmental security, and regional defense. Undertaken as ADMM Plus, hegemonic powers (US and China) may be exposed to the socializing impact of the middle powers of the ASEAN and the Asia Pacific.

Indeed Vietnam, Malaysia, and Indonesia are able to stand up against China’s unhinged behavior in the SCS. Their actions, however, do not come without strategizing bilateral or multilateral partnerships and not without “oppositional” actions that require them to significantly engage China in defense and trade as do Indonesia and Vietnam; or as Vietnam balances hard hedging with party to party talks while maintaining a China supported policy of neutrality (3 No’s); or as Malaysia engages in quiet diplomacy in the face of a recent survey ship standoff or as Indonesia and Malaysia structure their foreign policy choices in terms of middle power diplomacy.

 

Alma Maria O. Salvador is an Assistant Professor of Political Science of the Ateneo de Manila University

[B-SIDE Podcast] The sports industry: down but not out

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Everybody loves a comeback story, where the underdog—beaten and bruised—wins it all despite the odds. The sports industry has to recover from a year that saw tournaments canceled and stadiums silent and empty. In this B-Side episode, Rely San Agustin, a sports marketing professional who has been in the industry for more than 20 years, tells BusinessWorld reporter Michael Angelo S. Murillo how sports stakeholders are dealing with the harsh reality that getting fans back into the stands will take time. “A bubble setup makes sense,” said Mr. San Agustin. “Seclusion is needed. You really have to control movement in and out of the venues.”

TAKEAWAYS

Last year—2020—is a lost year for sports.

The effects of the coronavirus hit the revenues of various sports leagues, which were forced to shut down to comply with government quarantine, as well as budgets reserved for sports activities and programs.

“We were taken by surprise by the pandemic, leaving stakeholders scrambling for what’s next to be done to move forward,” said Mr. San Agustin.

To survive, sports leagues are replicating the “NBA Bubble.”

Sports leagues, such as the Philippine Basketball Association and Philippines Football League went the “bubble” way for their activities—a setup where they had all tournament participants holed up in a specific area for a duration of time to guard against the spread of the coronavirus.

It is proving to be a viable option but requires utmost commitment across all levels to succeed. 

It’s going to be a long trek back, requiring patience and the ability to adapt.

The sports industry will be among the last to return to normal, which is why stakeholders must use the time they have right now to carefully chart the path they are going to take.

But all is not lost for the sector as there are avenues to take in its return push, including bringing sports entertainment and brands to consumers through a digital approach—going online and exploring the potential of e-sports. The role of social media is now more valuable than ever.

It is still wait-and-see for sports but it will recover gradually.   

This B-Side episode was recorded remotely in December 2020. Produced by Nina M. Diaz, Paolo L. Lopez, and Sam L. Marcelo.

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Revoke social media’s legal shield, but for the right reason

DONALD TRUMP has been undeniably good for Twitter, Inc. In late 2015, when he announced that he was running for president, he was already a significant presence on the social media site, with more than 5 million followers. By last week, when Twitter finally banned him, he had almost 89 million followers. In the first three years of Trump’s presidency, meanwhile, Twitter’s revenue grew from $2.2 billion to $3.5 billion. Whether friend or foe, you had to join Twitter if you wanted to keep track of the US president.

Were some of Trump’s 56,000 tweets — as well as many of his Facebook posts — often incendiary, full of lies, threats, conspiracies and insults? Of course they were. Did he regularly resort to the kind of hate speech that Twitter and Facebook insist they bar? Yes. Did he sometimes seem to be inciting violence? Without question.

So please excuse me if I’m a little cynical about the decision by Twitter — and Facebook — to finally boot Trump 12 days before his presidency ends, when he no longer has the ability to use the federal government to strike back, as he has so often done to companies that anger him. If Trump had won reelection, would the social media companies have bounced him? If he had instigated the attack on the US Capitol, say, a year ago, would he have been banned? Unlikely.

The two tweets, posted on Friday, that were ostensibly the final straw for Twitter were actually pretty benign. One said he wouldn’t attend the inauguration; the other said that the 75 million people who voted for him “will have a GIANT VOICE long into the future.” Twitter’s rationale for why these two tweets incited violence was extremely weak. Coming two days after Trump’s supporters took over the Capitol, it had the feel of shutting the barn door long after the horse had left.

Many on Twitter, including a lot of journalists, applauded the ban, viewing it as a case of “better late than never”; after all, Trump had been violating the company’s terms of service for years. Trump supporters, starting with Donald Trump, Jr., complained that Big Tech was trying to silence them and was violating their free-speech rights. Trump critics responded that the First Amendment applies only to government action, not that of private companies such as Twitter and Facebook.

Which, of course, is true. Twitter and Facebook have every legal right to allow — or disallow — whomever they want on their platforms. Similarly, Google and Apple can accept or reject apps as they see fit; indeed, over the weekend, the two companies cut off Parler, a right-wing social media platform that was suddenly flooded with incitements to violence, according to the two tech giants.

But consider: Do you really want Jack Dorsey, Mark Zuckerberg, Tim Cook, and Sundar Pichai deciding which speech is acceptable and which is not on their platforms — platforms that are now indistinguishable from the public space. In addition to the problem of having so much power concentrated in so few hands, they are simply not very good at it. Their rules are vague, change constantly and are ignored often if the user is prominent enough.

It used to be acceptable to be a Holocaust denier on Facebook; then last year, Zuckerberg, saying his thinking “had evolved,” decided to ban Holocaust deniers. During the 2016 election, Twitter was filled with anti-Semitic tweets, which the company rarely removed. According to an article by Andrew Marantz in the New Yorker, Facebook has some 15,000 “content moderators” who are responsible for finding, and taking down, posts that violate Facebook’s terms of service. Given that Facebook has upward of 2.7 billion monthly active users, this would be an impossible task even if the company was serious about this mission — which Marantz doubts.

He quotes approvingly a Facebook critic who believes that “not even the most ingenious technocratic fix to Facebook’s guidelines can address the core problem: its content-moderation priorities won’t change until its algorithms stop amplifying whatever content is most enthralling or emotionally manipulative.” That’s the content that makes the company the most money — content like Trump’s.

In the last Congress, House Democrats — and some Republicans — made it clear that they have an appetite for curbing the monopolistic practices of Facebook and the other big technology companies. I am in wholehearted favor of new laws and tougher antitrust actions that would allow for more innovation and increased competition.

But even if Facebook is broken up, and Google becomes a regulated platform, it won’t curb the other power the tech companies have: the power to decide what is hate speech and what isn’t; what incites violence and what doesn’t; what speech should be allowed and what shouldn’t. As Alexey Navalny, Russia’s most prominent dissident, put it in a recent tweetstorm, “The ban [against Trump] on Twitter is a decision of people we don’t know in accordance with a procedure we don’t know.” This strikes me as unarguable — and a large part of the reason people don’t trust the decisions about speech that Twitter and Facebook make.

Navalny’s solution is to create a committee that would make such decisions with full transparency, including the ability to appeal any decision the committee makes. I doubt that would work — it certainly wouldn’t be able to operate quickly enough to remove hate speech in real time. And though this may betray my lack of imagination, I can’t conceive of how the government could regulate the decisions of Facebook, Twitter et al.

Instead, I have come around to an idea that the right has been clamoring for — and which Trump tried unsuccessfully to get Congress to approve just weeks ago. Eliminate Section 230 of the Communications Decency Act of 1996. That is the provision that shields social media companies from legal liability for the content they publish — or, for that matter, block.

The right seems to believe that repealing Section 230 is some kind of deserved punishment for Twitter and Facebook for censoring conservative views. (This accusation doesn’t hold up upon scrutiny, but let’s leave that aside.) In fact, once the social media companies have to assume legal liability — not just for libel, but for inciting violence and so on — they will quickly change their algorithms to block anything remotely problematic. People would still be able to discuss politics, but they wouldn’t be able to hurl anti-Semitic slurs. Presidents and other officials could announce policies, but they wouldn’t be able to spin wild conspiracies.

Would this harm Facebook and Twitter’s business models? Sure it would. But so what? They have done the country a lot of harm, and it is clear they have no idea how to get their houses in order — and no real desire to, either. If they make less money but cause less damage to the country, it will be well worth it.

BLOOMBERG OPINION

10 big changes in the 2021 budget

The new budget law or General Appropriations Act (GAA) 2021 was signed by President Rodrigo R. Duterte on Dec. 28, 2020. Due to space constraints, I will not include items and agencies with spending below P20 billion. For comparison I include spending and revenues in the last two years, and also those in 2016, the last budget of the previous Aquino administration.

Data comes from the Budget of Expenditures and Sources of Financing (BESF). Here are some revelations:

1. Big rise in spending… From 2019 to 2020, total expenditures increased by P490 billion, and another P406 billion increase in 2021. In contrast, the average increase in total expenditures in the previous administration, from 2011 to 2016 was only P171 billion per year.

2. …Despite big decline in revenues. With the strict and indefinite lockdown, many businesses have gone bankrupt or suffered heavy losses, so tax and non-tax revenues declined significantly. My estimated revenue decline is -P290 billion in 2020, and P228 billion recovery in 2021.

3. The budget deficit breached P1 trillion a year. For the first time. It is projected to reach P1.25 trillion in 2020 and P1.43 trillion in 2021. The average budget deficit in the previous administration, 2011-2016, was around P200 billion/year. In 2019 it was P472 billion.

4. Interest payment alone is rising to P85 billion/year. A bigger deficit means more borrowings, the public debt stock keeps rising. Interest payments for both public domestic and foreign debt was P361 billion in 2019, and will rise to P531 billion in 2021.

5. Big increases in the budgets of the departments of Public Works and Highways (DPWH), Education (DepEd), Social Welfare and Development (DSWD), and Health (DoH). This is understandable as the government expanded spending for public infrastructure and welfare subsidies as it tries to compensate for economic contraction because of its strict and prolonged lockdown, now 10 months long. Those with budget expansions of about P20 billion from 2019 to 2021 are the Department of Agriculture (DA), Department of Labor and Employment (DoLE), Commission on Higher Education (CHED), and state universities and colleges (SUCs).

6. Big declines in the budgets of the Departments of the Interior and Local Government (DILG) and National Defense (DND). In particular the Armed Forces of the Philippines General Headquarters (AFP-GHQ) budget fell significantly while the Army, Air Force, and Navy resumed their budget increases from 2019 to 2021. The Philippine National Police (PNP) suffered a P38-billion budget decline over the same period.

7. Big items in pension and personnel benefits. There seem to be new items in the 2020 and 2021 budgets that were not present in 2019 and earlier years. While many workers and entrepreneurs in the private sector suffered job and income losses, government personnel and officials enjoy expansion in benefits.

8. Huge COVID-19 vaccine procurement. A huge new spending item of P70 billion was introduced in 2021 for the procurement, storage, and distribution of COVID-19 vaccines. This is among the “Unprogrammed Appropriations” as they were not part of the budget submitted by the Department of Budget and Management (DBM) to Congress in July 2020.

9. A big jump in the Expenditure/GDP ratio. From 17.7% in 2016 to 18.5% in 2019, this quickly jumped to an estimated 23.3% in 2020 and 23.8% in 2021. This is for national government spending alone and does not include local government spending.

10. Continuing fiscal irresponsibility. Average households and private enterprises have savings and surpluses during their non-crisis years and use such savings or resort to borrowings only in crises like family health emergencies. Not like in government, where every year is a “crisis year” and hence, an over-spending and borrowing year.

The huge vaccine procurement is consistent with the continuing huge COVID-19 hysteria and indefinite lockdown here. The Philippines’ 85 COVID-19 deaths per million population (CDPMP) as of Jan. 11, 2021 is small compared to 1,000+ for the US, the UK, Belgium, France, Italy, Spain, Mexico, Peru, Panama, others. Minus the hysteria, such a huge vaccine procurement is not justified.

The Concerned Doctors and Citizens of the Philippines (CDC PH) has taken a soft support of the government’s vaccine program but it believes there is a more immediate and much cheaper solution to prevent hospitalizations and deaths by the use of preventive prophylaxis and early treatment protocols even for high risk people (the elderly, those with comorbidities).

Government should learn to cut spending and live below its means both in crisis and non-crisis years. It has plenty of assets that it can privatize to raise revenues and not resort to over-borrowings and, later, over-taxing the citizens. Also, it can leave plenty of public infrastructure to private investors via PPP and not compromise taxpayers money, today and tomorrow.

 

Bienvenido S. Oplas, Jr. is the president of Minimal Government Thinkers

minimalgovernment@gmail.com