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Talino Venture Labs launches three new inclusion tech startups

Talino Venture Labs, a “venture builder” and incubator focusing on inclusion technologies, has launched three new startups in partnership with leaders in various industries.

These are Saphron, a digital insurance platform, Asenso, an MSME digital supply chain firm, and Unawa, a compliance automation platform—all aimed at supporting the nation’s poorest communities.

According to the e-Conomy 2019 study by Google, Temasek, and Bain and Company, inclusion tech will drive the region’s Internet economy to $300 billion by 2025.

“We have a large, digital-savvy and tech-driven population that now consumes online. But there is still a huge underserved market at the base of the pyramid,” said Winston Damarillo, CEO of Talino Venture Labs. “For us to fully realize the potential of our market, we need to empower the underserved with more inclusive digital products and services.”

Unawa, a regulatory and compliance automation platform for businesses, was co-created with PJS Law, one of the country’s leading legal firms. One of their products, Unawa RapidStart, takes care of incorporation for new businesses to help them focus on other important matters.

“Normally, when we think of legal compliance, we immediately either get intimidated or annoyed. So with technology, we hopefully try to make it easier and maybe even exciting to comply with law,” said Atty. Monalisa Dimalanta, CEO of Unawa.

There’s also the challenge of laws and regulations having to keep up with the fast pace of technology. “Very often, we find ourselves in the unique situation of being ahead,” said Lorenzo Chan, Jr., CEO of Saphron. “So what do we comply with? What law does that apply to? We just have to make sure that it’s still all above the law, even if it has not been defined.”

In order to overcome these barriers, it’s become necessary for businesses to cooperate and boost each other.

“There are all these things that compound the unnecessary complexity of starting a company here in the Philippines,” said Damarillo. “But I think what we need to do is just team up… because the challenges are enormous enough that if we don’t have this mesh of collaboration, it would appear daunting. But we have to deal with it, because we have to progress.”

As with Unawa, Talino Venture Labs’ two other new startups were borne out of collaborations with leading firms in the country, aimed at leveraging industry expertise to build products for those most in need.

Saphron, a digital insurance platform for the poorest sectors, was conceived with Pioneer Insurance and CARD Pioneer Microinsurance Inc. (CPMI), the country’s largest microinsurance provider. One of their projects is NAN.AI, a microinsurance agent platform that cuts down the onboarding process for new customers from months to minutes using artificial intelligence tools.

Asenso, built in partnership with CPMI, is a digital supply chain and enabler for micro, small, and medium enterprises (MSMEs). Puhunan, one of their products, is a loan platform that provides sustainable capital through fair microfinancing.

Farm growth expected to have steadied

AGRICULTURE PRODUCTION likely sustained growth this quarter despite storms that cost the sector about P4 billion worth of losses, a Cabinet official and private sector experts said in recent interviews.

“Hope to have between 2.5% to 3.0% [due to] productivity increase and hard work of the farmers and fishers, plus support from DA (Department of Agriculture),” Agriculture Secretary William D. Dar said in a mobile phone message when asked for his estimate for fourth-quarter farm performance.

Three storms hit the country in these past two months. DA data as of Dec. 10 showed that Typhoon Nakri, locally known as Quiel, which hit early in November caused agriculture damage worth about P334.207 million; Typhoon Kalmaegi, locally known as Ramon, which hit the country in mid-November led to an estimated damage of about P26.607 million; while Typhoon Kammuri, or Tisoy, which hit the country early this month, caused P3.7 billion worth of agriculture production loss as of Dec. 13. In total, this quarter has seen about P4.061 billion in agriculture losses, according to the department.

The Philippine Statistics Authority reported that agriculture output grew 1.8% year on year in 2018’s final quarter on the back of higher crops, livestock, poultry and fisheries production, pushing full-year growth to 0.56% that, in turn, was a marked slowdown from 2017’s 3.96% expansion.

Fourth-quarter farm data will be released next month, a few days ahead of fourth-quarter and full-year 2019 gross domestic product report. Agriculture accounts for about a fourth of jobs in the country but contributes just a tenth to overall economic production.

In the third quarter, the sector grew 2.87%, the fastest in more than two years despite a 4.53% drop in output of palay, which contributed 15% to the total value of farm output in that period.

Agriculture production expanded just 0.77% in the first three quarters, against a 2.5-3.5% target range under the 2017-2022 Philippine Development Plan.

“I am optimistic,” Philippine Institute for Development Studies Research Fellow Roehlano M. Briones said in a telephone interview, adding that in the “[l]ast quarter, maganda ’yung recovery ng agriculture (recovery has been good).”

Mr. Briones said “parang nag-normalize na ’yung palay prices (seem to have normalized)… after the initial shock and the adjustment of farmers” after the government opened up rice importation in March, leading to a flood of imports that depressed prices.

Hence, he said, “magre-resume ’yung previous growth trend (will resume)” for palay as farmers have resumed planting.

Senen U. Reyes, senior management specialist at the Center for Food and Agribusiness of the University of Asia and the Pacific, said that recent storms should not affect agriculture’s overall performance much, even as he did not give an estimate for the fourth quarter.

“I don’t see significant impact of Q4 typhoons on overall agriculture performance… While rice main cropping is Q4, the typhoons came at the tail end. Corn main cropping was in Q3,” he said in a text message.

“Our full-year projection is 1-2%,” Mr. Reyes said, citing government interventions like cash transfers and loan assistance to rice farmers amid depressed prices and the stricter issuance of rice import permits, as well as steps to curb the spread of African Swine Fever. — Vincent Mariel P. Galang

Palace to get ‘sin’ tax bill next week

THE MEASURE increasing the excise tax on alcohol products, electronic cigarettes and other vapor products made it out of the bicameral conference committee on Wednesday, in time for its ratification on the same day ahead of Congress’ Dec. 21, 2019-Jan. 19, 2020 Christmas-New Year break.

The tax measure is expected to generate P22.2 billion in the first year of implementation, of which 60% will be earmarked for Universal Health Care programs, 20% for Health Facilities Enhancement Program and 20% for attaining Sustainable Development Goals.

House Ways and Means Committee Chairman Jose Ma. Clemente S. Salceda confirmed that the measure would be ratified “in the House (of Representatives)” that same day, while his counterpart, Senator Pia S. Cayetano said the same of the Senate. The two were speaking in a briefing with reporters during which they held up a copy of the signed committee report.

Mr. Salceda told reporters later that the measure will be transmitted “next week” for President Rodrigo R. Duterte’s signature.

The Finance department has been pushing approval of this measure in time for implementation starting Jan. 1.

The measure forms part of the administration’s comprehensive tax reform program, which Mr. Duterte asked Congress to prioritize during his fourth State of the Nation Address on July 22.

The Senate approved its version, Senate Bill No. 1074, on second and third reading last Monday, while the House passed House Bill No. 1026 on Aug. 20.

The reconciled version provided to increase the specific tax on distilled products to P42 per proof liter in 2020 from P23.40 currently; P47 in 2021; P52 in 2022; P59 in 2023; P66 in 2024. This is on top of a 22% ad valorem tax on net retail price, compared to 20% currently.

The bicameral conference committee retained the amendment proposed by Senate President Pro Tempore Ralph G. Recto to impose a P50 per liter single rate on all types of wine, after he said the industry makes up just one percent of the alcoholic drinks market.

At present, sparkling wines costing up to P500 and those costing more than P500 are levied P316.33 and P885.72, respectively, while still wines and carbonated wines are charged P37.96 for bottles with up to 14% alcohol content and P75.92 for those with more than 14%.

The panel also retained the Senate proposal to raise the tax on fermented liquor to P35 in 2020, which will increase by P2 every year until it reaches P43 in 2024. Fermented liquors are currently levied P25.42 per liter.

The measure also amends Republic Act (RA) No. 11346, which will increase excise tax on tobacco products to P45 per pack beginning 2020 from P35 currently. It will then increase by P5 per year until it reaches P60 in 2023.

The same law introduced a P10 per pack rate on heated tobacco products in 2020; and a P10 rate for 10 milliliter vapor products, P20 for 20 ml, P30 for 30 ml, P40 for 40 ml, P50 for 50 ml and so on.

If the new “sin” tax bill is enacted, it will increase rates on heated tobacco products to 25 in 2020, P27.50 in 2021, P30 in 2022 and to P32.50 in 2023.

Vapor products with salt nicotine will be charged a P37 specific tax in 2020, increasing by P5 annually until it reaches P52 in 2023; while vapor products with conventional nicotine will be taxed at par with conventional cigarettes.

The bicameral conference committee also adopted the Recto amendment to exempt the sale and importation of prescription drugs for diabetes, hypertension and high cholesterol from value-added tax in the law’s first three years of implementation. After those three years, such exemption will extend to medicines for kidney diseases, tuberculosis, cancer and illness related to mental health.

Other tax reform packages awaiting approval by Congress are measures that seek to reduce corporate income tax and overhaul fiscal incentives; provide a uniform framework for real property valuation and assessment; and simplify the tax structure for financial investments.

Besides RA 11346, the government has so far enacted RA 10963, which slashed personal income tax rates and increased or added levies on several goods and services — the main component of the tax reform package — and RA 11213, which grants estate tax amnesty and amnesty on delinquent accounts left unpaid even after being given final assessment. — Charmaine A. Tadalan

Duterte tries to tame hunger through rice imports

By Vincent Mariel P. Galang
Reporter

NILO BINALANGBANG, 61, has been tilling two hectares of land in Occidental Mindoro — one of the rice-producing provinces south of the Philippine capital — for about 20 years now.

He is one of about 10 million rice farmers affected by falling palay prices after a new law allowed cheap imported rice to enter the country. Republic Act No. 11203, or the Rice Tariffication Law, also freed the National Food Authority of its mandate to import the grain after it was given a P7-billion budget to obtain it locally.

“The government failed to solve the issue of tariff,” Mr. Binalangbang said in an interview. “We never felt the support of the government. It never came.”

The Rice Tariffication Law seeks to make rice — a highly political commodity in the Philippines given its importance as a staple food and a major source of employment for millions of Filipinos — affordable to consumers, while raising the income of farmers. The law’s main goal is to ensure food security.

But critics noted that since the law took effect in March, rice consumer prices have indeed gone down, but not low enough as originally expected. The buying prices for farmers’ palay, on the other hand, have continued to go down.

As of last month, average retail prices of regular milled and well-milled rice had fallen to P36.70 and P41.53 a kilo respectively, according to Philippine Statistics Authority data. These fell short of economic managers’ P25 a kilo projection for the staple. The average palay price fell 22.6% from a year earlier to P15.52 a kilo.

A total of 3.72 million metric tons (MT) of imported rice is expected to arrive by yearend, which represents 26% of the country’s annual requirement, Agriculture Secretary William D. Dar said last month. This would make the Philippines the world’s biggest importer of rice this year, beating China.

Palay production for 2019 is expected to reach 18.49 million MT, which is 15% short of the country’s annual need.

The Philippines produced 19.07 million MT of palay in 2018, 1.1% lower than a year earlier as harvested areas and yield declined 0.2% and 0.9%, respectively, according to the statistics agency.

Some rice farmers have opted to sell their land or shift to planting a different crop as farmgate prices continue to fall. Some farmers now sell their harvest for P14 a kilo — a level set by local buyers — to be able to earn, lower than the P19 a kilo of the NFA’s buying price.

Prices so far dissuaded farmers from planting.

SELF-SUFFICIENCY
The government of President Rodrigo R. Duterte now relies on the liberalization of rice imports for food security, after pushing self-sufficiency for years.

The current policy begs the question: is rice self-sufficiency no longer needed?

Rosario Bella Guzman, and economist and executive editor at IBON Foundation, argued that the Rice Tariffication Law jeopardizes food security. “The Philippines has now embarked on import liberalization of its staple, a dangerous path not just for the country’s food security, but more importantly, for that elusive economic development,” Ms. Guzman wrote on the Web site of the Philippine Institute for Development Studies state think-tank a month after the measure took effect.

She cited the “narrow” global rice market, with only 9.7% of global production ending up in the global market in 2018. “Contrary to what President Duterte and his economic managers are saying that Filipinos should no longer aspire for self-sufficiency, the rice-producing world is consuming more than 90% of the rice produced where it is produced,” Ms. Guzman said.

“Even the country’s self-sufficiency ratio in 2017 was 93%. It is inconceivable therefore that the government is declaring that rice-producing Philippines, whose average self-sufficiency ratio in the last 30 years is 91%, should now simply rely on importation,” she said.

Ms. Guzman said economic managers pushing for import reliance contest the capacity of local farmers to feed the nation.

But she also noted that government statistics on average rice consumption is inaccurate and outdated.

“Despite lack of wisdom, the Duterte government has painted a picture that the country can never be rice self-sufficient.”

But Roehlano M. Briones, a PIDS research fellow, said rice self-sufficiency in the Philippines is impractical given the big budget needed to subsidize farmers. “You provide huge subsidies or production support in the order of tens of billions of pesos. But obviously, nobody wants to pay that price, so it’s not a practical policy.”

Rolando T. Dy, executive director of the Center for Food and Agri Business of the University of Asia and the Pacific, said the state should focus instead on increasing farmers’ income and production. “If the farmers are productive and profitable, we may be able to reduce imports, and if they are productive, who knows?” Mr. Dy said. “But on the other hand, we have only so much money to address agriculture-related poverty.”

Grab slapped with new fine

THE Philippine Competition Commission (PCC) slapped Grab Philippines with new fines amounting to P16.15 million for overpricing and higher driver cancellations.

The new set of fines includes P14.15 million for pricing deviations, and P2 million for driver cancellations of 7.76% of rides, instead of the 5% ceiling.

In a statement on Wednesday, the competition watchdog said the P14.15-million fine will be refunded to customers who have availed of Grab services from May 11 to August 10, 2019.

The PCC order was released after an audit report submitted by Smith & Williamson, an independent entity tapped to monitor Grab’s compliance with voluntary commitments on price, service quality and non-exclusivity for a year which ended on Aug. 10, 2019.

Grab’s pricing and service quality commitments to PCC are conditions for clearance of the company’s acquisition of Uber Philippines last year. The PCC noted that Grab’s violations indicate an exercise of market power in the absence of a competitor of adequate scale.

“The ride-hailing market has seen profound changes in the past year as a result of Grab’s acquisition of Uber. With the commitments in place, PCC aims to maintain pre-transaction market conditions and will discipline any tendency to exercise monopolistic power with corresponding penalties,” PCC chairman Arsenio M. Balisacan said.

PCC last month fined the company P23.45 million, including a P5.05 million refund to customers, for breaching its pricing commitments.

Grab in a statement said that it will be refunding the P14.15 million penalty to customers through the GrabPay Wallet by February 10, 2020. The remaining P2 million penalty for driver cancellations will be paid to the PCC.

The company said it complies with the Land Transportation Franchising and Regulatory Board (LTFRB) fare matrix despite reduced supply of transport network vehicle services, growing commuter demand, and worsening traffic conditions.

“However, Grab Philippines respects the findings of the Philippine Competition Commission on its May 11-August 10, 2019 monitoring, after the antitrust body identified certain deviations from Grab’s voluntary commitments which is caused by the lack of TNVS supply to service the steadily growing commuter demands, coupled with the worsening traffic situation. TNVS is initially intended to augment the mass transportation system in the country, at the current rate, the TNVS is now carrying the heavy load of serving commuters which the current mass transport system is unable to accommodate,” the company said.

The PCC maintained that Grab’s pricing commitment is separate and independent from the LTFRB fare matrix.

“While LTFRB has imposed a fare matrix for all transport network vehicle services, the PCC binds Grab to its voluntary commitments, including keeping its fares within a range as if a competitor like Uber were present in the market. As such, PCC fines Grab for fares that deviated from its pricing commitments to the Commission, even if the same is not considered overcharging based on the fare matrix imposed by LTFRB,” the competition watchdog said.

PCC said that the fines will be paid by Grab, and will not be passed on to drivers or riders.

Grab may ask to be released from its commitments if a competitor takes on at least 20% market share, or two or more players take on a combined 30% market share.

“As the new monitoring year begins with the new system-wide average monitoring scheme, Grab is hopeful in fulfilling its commitments to the PCC, however, it highlights that as a platform, pricing will still be influenced by factors such as lack of supply, and the traffic situation,” the company said. — Jenina P. Ibañez

BSA sees ‘encouraging response’ to software legalization program

GLOBAL software advocacy organization The Software Alliance (styled “BSA”) said it has reached an “encouraging response” at the halfway mark of its software legalization campaign among Philippine companies.

Philippine software legalization has come second to BSA’s Thailand campaign, and ahead of Vietnam and Indonesia, a statement from BSA on Tuesday said.

BSA reported that nearly 250 corporations across nine Philippine provinces have cooperated with software legalization so far, especially in companies in Metro Manila, Laguna, and Cebu.

They identified most participating companies to have come from the manufacturing, engineering, and industrial design industries.

The four-ASEAN nation Clean Up to the Countdown campaign was launched in September, as part of the Legalize and Protect campaign that began in March.

Since September, 1000 ASEAN corporations have made legitimate software purchases for 6000 PCs.

In the Philippines, BSA partnered with the Optical Media Board (OMB) and the Intellectual Property Office of the Philippines (IPOPHL) for the campaign.

BSA’s software legalization campaign ends in February 2020, after which the organization will issue reports for the use of the ASEAN governments.

“This campaign works in the Philippines because many corporations understand that software legalization is necessary, and it is better to be proactive than wait for a cyber crisis or legal consequences,” BSA Senior Director Tarun Sawney said.

“The Optical Media Board (OMB) also plays an important role in holding corporations accountable. We believe that most CEOs in the Philippines are aware of their responsibility to use legal software, and we expect many more to make certain their companies do so as our campaign continues.”

BSA said software legalization helps prevent cybersecurity damage, improve productivity, centralize license management, and reduce costs due to the flexibility of the subscription model.

Software piracy violates the IP code of the Philippines (Republic Act 8293) and the Optical Media Act (RA 9239), and could result in imprisonment, monetary penalties, or business closure.

“We like the progress we are seeing this year, but some CEOs will only clean up their companies when they face very significant pressure from government enforcement officials, so we will work with our partners in each government to bring appropriate action against CEOs whose corporations refuse to comply,” Mr. Sawney said. — Jenina P. Ibañez

TDF yields drop on bets of more rate cuts

TERM DEPOSITS continued to fetch lower yields as the markets brace for the upcoming holidays and as they look forward to 2020, with the central bank eyeing at least 50 basis points (bps) in rate cuts.

Tenders for the central bank’s term deposit facility (TDF) totaled P165.274 billion on Wednesday, surpassing the P150 billion on offer, according to data from the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP).

This week’s tenders also went beyond the P181.538 billion in bids the BSP received last week for the P180 billion placed on the auction block.

“Total TDF offer volume in today’s auction was reduced…amid expected increase in demand for cash ahead of the holidays,” BSP Deputy Governor Francisco G. Dakila, Jr. said in a statement on Wednesday.

Banks’ tenders for the eight-day term deposits reached P73.831 billion, higher than the P60 billion auctioned off by the BSP and also beyond the P66.835 billion in bids seen on Dec. 11.

Yields for the one-week paper ranged from 4.2% to 4.35%, a slimmer margin compared to last week’s range of 4.125-4.4%. This resulted in an average rate of 4.2724%, slipping by 3.16 bps from last week’s 4.304%.

Meanwhile, the 15-day papers saw total bids of P41.519 billion, failing to fill the P50 billion on offer and also lower than the P69.993 billion bids seen last week for the P60 billion the BSP offered.

Lenders sought returns from 4.2% to 4.4099%, a wider band compared to the 4.3% to 4.4055% range last week. With this, the rate for the two-week deposits averaged at 4.3288%, inching up by 0.39 bp from the 4.3249% logged the previous auction.

On the other hand, tenders for the 28-day deposits amounted to P49.924 billion, well above the P40 billion offered by the central bank and also beating the P44.71 billion in tenders seen last week for the P60 billion placed on the auction block.

Rates of the one-month papers clocked in from 4.2750% to 4.4125%, a slimmer margin compared to last week’s 4.29% to 4.49%. This resulted in an average rate of 4.3436%, lower by 0.6 bp from last week’s 4.3496%.

UnionBank of the Philippines, Inc. Chief Economist Ruben Carlo O. Asuncion said the lower yields came as the market positions ahead of the holidays.

“Expect the market to slant sideways as the year comes to a close. Market moving events have to wait for the new year,” Mr. Asuncion said in an e-mail.

Meanwhile, Rizal Commercial Banking Corp. Chief Economist Michael L. Ricafort noted that the yields this week came after BSP Governor Benjamin E. Diokno’s hints of at least 50 bps worth of rate cuts next year.

“Most BSP TDF auction yields today were slightly lower, consistent with the continued positive reaction by the local financial markets after the recent signals from BSP Governor Diokno about a possible 50-basis-point cut in 2020 that also led to some easing in local interest rate benchmarks since last week,” he said in an e-mail.

Speaking to reporters on Tuesday evening, Mr. Diokno said the BSP gives “forward guidance” and that it looks to cut “interest rates [by] at least 50 bps]” in 2020.

“But on the interest rates at least 50 bps for next year. Kasi (Because) remember we have to raise interest rates by 175 bps [in 2018],” Mr. Diokno said.

“But we’re observing what the other central banks are doing. Eh parang cutting pa rin (It looks like they’re still cutting)…so babantayan natin (we will observe)… but at the moment, we are comfortable where we are,” he added.

The central bank cut benchmark rates by a total of 75 bps this year through three 25-bp reductions done in May, August, and September. This partially dialed back the 175 bps in hikes implemented in 2018 due to elevated inflation.

Currently, policy rates are at four percent for the BSP’s overnight reverse repurchase facility, 3.5% for overnight deposit, and 4.5% for overnight lending.

While auctions for TDF regularly fall on Wednesdays, next week’s auction will be moved to Dec. 26 to make way for Christmas Day. — Luz Wendy T. Noble

PNOC unit to acquire additional stake in Malampaya project

By Victor V. Saulon, Sub-editor

THE exploration unit of state-led Philippine National Oil Co. (PNOC) is exercising its right to acquire 10% of the shares being sold by one of its partners in the offshore Malampaya gas-to-power project, the Energy department’s top official said.

“We exercised the right because we feel that the acquisition price is very advantageous for EC (PNOC Exploration Corp.) to invest,” Department of Energy (DoE) Alfonso G. Cusi told reporters during an informal gathering at the PNOC head office on Wednesday night.

“It’s an opportunity for EC to invest. Maganda ‘yung return na nakikita (The expected return is good),” he added.

Mr. Cusi said he was not sure about the acquisition price, but the board of directors of PNOC-EC had approved of the move. The DoE secretary chairs the PNOC board by virtue of his office.

PNOC’s upstream oil, gas and coal subsidiary holds a 10% stake in the Malampaya deepwater project, with Chevron Malampaya LLC holding 45% and Shell Philippines Exploration B.V. (SPEx) holding the other 45%.

SPEx is the operator of the Service Contract (SC) 38 for Malampaya, the country’s large scale gas discovery. The project is said to supply about a third of the country’s power needs and has contributed over $10 billion in government revenues.

On Nov. 13, Udenna Corp. announced that its subsidiary UC Malampaya Philippines Pte. Ltd. had signed a sale and purchase agreement to acquire the stake of Chevron Corp.’s Philippine unit in the project.

Udenna is the holding firm of Davao City businessman Dennis A. Uy, who also leads Phoenix Petroleum Philippines, Inc., the country’s fastest-growing independent oil firm with a plan to build a liquefied natural gas (LNG) import terminal with Chinese state firm CNOOC Gas and Power Group Co., Ltd. The parties have since sought a suspension of the LNG project.

Separately, DoE Undersecretary Donato D. Marcos said that under the joint operating agreement of SC 38, the partners have a right to match an offer to acquire the stake of any of them.

He said SPEx is “contented” with its 45% share “and they don’t intend to make it bigger.” He said the right to match of PNOC-EC is its proportional participating interest in the project, or 10%. He added that the state firm could buy the entire stake being sold if SPEx declines to exercise its right.

Ngayon si PNOC-EC pinag-aralan nila ang kanilang financial capabilities. Hindi nila kaya (PNOC-EC evaluated its financial capabilities. They cannot afford it). They are inclined to get only their apportionment,” he said, referring to the 10% of the shares being sold by Chevron Malampaya.

Mr. Marcos said the cost of the 10% shares is about $100 million, although he qualified that the amount was still “under review.” The figure he cited translates the price of the 45% stake being sold at $1 billion. He declined to confirm the price.

Tinder, Netflix, Tencent lead record-breaking year for mobile apps

TINDER, Netflix Inc. and Tencent Holdings Ltd. took the top three spots in App Annie’s 2019 ranking of consumer spending on non-gaming apps, underlining the growing importance of subscription services for generating revenue.

Games offering in-app purchases of virtual currency and upgrades, commonly called microtransactions, continued to lead overall rankings, with video subscriptions dominating the rest of the field. Even before the much-anticipated Disney+ and Apple TV+ services have taken off, Baidu Inc.’s iQiyi, Google’s YouTube and Alibaba Group Holding’s Youku all ranked in the top 10 apps by revenue. This comes in a year when App Annie said total new app downloads and consumer spending will both break records, judging from data collected from January to November.

Tinder’s leading position should not be a surprise, said App Annie, as dating apps of its kind have “unlocked the keys to monetization through subscriptions” and their combined annual revenue has grown 920% between 2014 and 2019, exceeding $2.2 billion in the current year. Facebook Inc. retained its historic lead on overall app downloads, with the top three most-downloaded apps globally remaining Facebook Messenger, Facebook and WhatsApp for the sixth year in a row. It launched its own Facebook Dating service in September.

By the close of this year, App Annie said consumers will have downloaded 120 billion new apps across Apple Inc.’s iOS App Store and Google’s Play Store — that’s without factoring in app updates, re-installations of existing apps or Android installs done via unofficial means. The number marks a 5% increase on last year, and the app-tracking company predicted the record will be broken again in 2020. Consumer revenue is said to be growing at 15% each year, with 2019 set to record close to $90 billion, another new high.

On the gaming front, Sea Ltd.’s Free Fire, the app that has minted two billionaires already, garnered the most global downloads, followed by Tencent’s PUBG Mobile. Call of Duty: Mobile, another Tencent property, also made it into the top 10 for the year, in spite of only being released at the start of October. Sony Corp.’s Fate/Grand Order took the title as most lucrative game — and overall app — of the year, followed by Tencent’s Honour of Kings and perennial moneymaker Candy Crush Saga by Activision Blizzard Inc. All three games are free to play, deriving their massive revenues from small purchases of in-game perks and upgrades.

Looking for the breakout hits of the year, App Annie highlighted Likee by YY Inc., an app for sharing short videos akin to TikTok, as the one with the largest absolute growth in downloads during the year. Two more apps by the same company were in the top four: Noizz for editing video and Hago for social gaming, the latter being especially popular with young users in Indonesia, according to the researchers.

For 2020, App Annie said it expects to see each of the current trends intensifying, with video-centric apps and subscription-based services growing in importance, ubiquity and revenue. — Bloomberg

Sweet treats are made of these

CANADIAN quick service restaurant Tim Hortons launched its holiday collection with the Dark Chocolate Iced Capp and Truffle Timbits.

The signature Iced Capp is given a twist with Hershey’s Cocoa Powder and drizzled with chocolate syrup; while the classic bite-size Timbits are mixed with chocolate brownie filling and Hershey’s Snow Cocoa Powder.

“We listened to our consumers and they want something sweet and indulgent,” Stephanie B. Guerrero, Tim Hortons Philippines marketing director, told BusinessWorld at the store’s branch in Ayala Ave. in Makati City on Dec. 12, adding that the brand has decided on chocolate as “the best sweet treat.”

“The chocolate flavors [in general], really sell well.” Ms. Guerrero said regarding the Filipino’s reception to the brand’s chocolate flavors.

The Dark Chocolate Iced Capp are priced at P155 (small), P175 (medium), and P190 (large); the Truffle Timbits are prized at P15 per piece.

Other items offered during the holiday season are merchandise including notebooks (P90 each), and holiday sweater mug (P650), and hampers (P350 each).

Beginning this month, Tim Hortons also introduced its six cake offerings with American restaurant chain Cheesecake Factory: Red Velvet Cheesecake; Black Out Cake; Wild Strawberries and Cream Cheesecake; Dulce De Leche Caramel; Cinnamon Layer Cheesecake; and Banana Foster Cheesecake.

“Christmas comes once a year, so we’d like to celebrate the season with these luscious offerings as a thank you to our loyal guests. After all, chocolates give you that warm and fuzzy feeling so it’s something that Filipino families will enjoy this festive season,” Guerrero said in a press release.

The cakes are sold at P300 per slice while whole cakes are sold at P4200. Tim Hortons and The Cheesecake Factory’s cakes are available at the following branches: Tim Hortons BF Presidents, Tim Hortons Estancia, Tim Hortons Glorietta 4, Tim Hortons I-Care, Tim Hortons L’Ermitage, Tim Hortons Paseo 111, Tim Hortons SLC Building, Tim Hortons Three E-Com, and Tim Hortons Vistamall, Laguna.

The Cheesecake Factory cakes are a permanent item on the menu, while the holiday offerings are available until Jan. 5, 2020. — Michelle Anne P. Soliman

Era of low sovereign bond yields to persist well into next year — poll

BENGALURU — Major sovereign debt yields will feel the pull of gravity well into next year, with the US 10-year benchmark barely rising by the end of 2020, according to a Reuters poll of fixed-income strategists.

Stock markets have soared this year, with most major indices registering double-digit returns on an improving trade outlook and central banks reverting to easy policies.

That has pushed down most sovereign bond yields to below where they were at the start of 2019, completely wrong-footing bond strategists who this time last year forecast the 10-year Treasury note would rise to 3.30%. It’s now at 1.85%.

Economic growth and inflation expectations in major economies are relatively subdued, although in better shape than thought a few months ago, and so the 85 experts polled by Reuters have tamed their expectations for yields accordingly.

Fixed-income strategists forecast the US 10-year Treasury would yield 1.9% by end-2020, according to their median projection. That is just 5 basis points higher than where it is now, the smallest 12-month predicted increase in 17 years of Reuters polls on major sovereign bond markets.

Yields on Germany’s 10-year bunds and Japanese government bonds are expected to stay negative for the next 12 months. British 10-year gilts are forecast to yield less than 1% for the same period. The yield is currently about 0.8%

“It’s our view that the era of low bond yields will continue. When you have economic growth between 1% and 2% and inflation expectations really mute at the same time, there’s not much forcing bond yields higher,” said James Orlando, senior economist at TD.

“That’s just the world we live in right now. Until you see economic growth really starting to accelerate, like consistent 2%-3% growth, bond yields close to 2% is probably what you’ll be looking at in the US”

While fears of a US recession and an escalating trade war with China pushed major sovereign bond yields to multi-year lows in September, improvement in sentiment on both fronts has not translated into analysts predicting major changes in the sovereign bond market.

UK GILTS SEEN MOST AT RISK
A significant minority of analysts — 12 out of 27 — who answered an additional question on which major sovereign bonds were most at risk of a sell-off in 2020 chose UK gilts.

Eight picked US Treasuries and the rest, seven, chose German Bunds.

Among analysts who answered a separate question, 17 of 33 — a near-split — said risks to their yield forecasts were skewed more to the upside.

The rest, 16, said risks were skewed to the downside.

“The combination of slightly better economic data and trade war tensions easing has been the main driver of markets,” said Elwin de Groot, head of macro strategy at Rabobank.

“Ultimately we think this will not be sustained and we will see resumption of declines in yields.”

A much-awaited “Phase One” trade deal between the US and China, following a couple of years of tensions and tit-for-tat tariff hikes, has not yet done much beyond push up the stock market.

Among analysts who answered a question on what was likely to happen to US Treasury yields if there was clear evidence of both countries working towards resolving their trade dispute, 17 of 32 said there would be a significant pickup.

A remaining 14 said there would be no material impact, and only one said there would be a significant decline.

“In the short-term we are being led around by the nose over these trade headlines… it’ll (a trade deal) certainly help boost yields in the short term but it’s not going to last more than a couple of weeks,” said Guy LeBas, chief fixed-income strategist at Janney Montgomery Scott. — Reuters

SN Aboitiz plans venture into ground-mounted solar power plants

SN Aboitiz Power is planning to venture into ground-mounted solar power plants to add to its portfolio of energy sources, which are mostly large hydroelectric power plants, the company’s president said.

“I’d like to at least have maybe 50 megawatts (MW) a year, 25-50 MW a year, that we could trade,” Joseph S. Yu, President and Chief Executive Officer of SN Aboitiz.

Asked about when the company plans to starting building solar power projects, he said: “Maybe the year after.”

Mr. Yu said the company does not see any reason to stop expanding its annual capacity target.

“We just keep going as long as the market could bear it,” he said, adding that the company would continue to push hydroelectric power development.

SN Aboitiz is the joint venture of Norway’s SN Power AS and listed energy company Aboitiz Power Corp. It owns and operates the 360-MW to 380-MW Magat hydroelectric power plant on the border of Isabela and Ifugao provinces; the 8.5-MW Maris hydro plant in Isabela; the 105-MW Ambuklao hydro plant in Benguet; and the 140-MW Binga hydro plant in Benguet.

Last year, the company confirmed an announcement made by state agency National Irrigation Administration that they partnered to develop a floating solar farm on Magat dam with a capacity of 200 kilowatts.

The pilot floating solar project was meant to be tested for strong typhoons this year, but the storms that came were not in the strength that the facility was meant to withstand, Mr. Yu said.

He said the company has spent about $400,000 for the pilot project.

For the company’s planned solar power capacity, Mr. Yu said he was looking at a combination of ground-mounted and floating solar farms.

SN Aboitiz may also study other technologies such wind power, although it had never dabbled on onshore or offshore wind farms.

“But if [the opportunity is] there we can put resources on that,” Mr. Yu said.

“The other thing also is as more variable renewable energy comes in, somebody has to come in and help modulate the frequency of the grid,” he said, referring to battery storage systems.

“So you have two places there for us. One is the hydro side because hydropower plants are one of the biggest batteries you could have. And of course, battery energy storage systems,” Mr. Yu said. — Victor V. Saulon