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Football for Humanity continues to be resilient despite the challenges

WHILE the ongoing episode with the coronavirus pandemic has effectively halted affairs of various forms, nonprofit and nongovernment organization Football for Humanity (FFH) has been resilient, determined to see its vision of inspiring people through despite the prevailing challenges.

Registered in 2017, FFH aims to use sport and the power of play to inspire, empower and transform the lives of children affected by extreme poverty, natural disasters, and armed conflict.

Since taking root, it has made significant progress in its push, taking its program to more areas in the country.

FFH initially made its presence felt through football-related initiatives, namely: the building of football infrastructure such as the unique small-sided, five-a-side enclosed spaces; establishing football development programs; conducting one-off football trainings and events; donating old and new football equipment; assisting talented but underprivileged youth to seek scholarships; and other charitable initiatives.

It then progressed to doing its share in helping address educational, health, and well-being needs of different communities as well as promoting peace and development.

Then the pandemic hit early this year, making it tougher for FFH to set further its goals.

“It’s been a really difficult time I guess for everyone, and that includes the Foundation. But we have continued to keep FFH active,” shared Belle Tiongco, FFH co-founder and vice-president, by way of e-mail.

Ms. Tiongco went on to say that their initiatives for now are confined mostly to virtual sessions to adapt with the current situation, something she admitted has nothing like doing face-to-face interaction with stakeholders and beneficiaries, but they are making do with it.

Their most recent effort was done in collaboration with the United Kingdom-based Coaches Across Continents (CAC), which like FFH has its thrust anchored on using sports as a platform to make a difference in other people’s lives.

CAC uses a “purposeful play and education outside the classroom” program in line with the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals and the UN Convention on the rights of the Child.  

FFH and CAC organized a virtual session this month with local coaches and community heads, where they shared a curriculum that can be used, especially during this time of the pandemic.

CAC coaches Charlie Pomroy, Chester de Torres, and Adam Burgess joined the session along with Ms. Tiongco and FFH founder and president Chris Thomas, who is currently in the UK taking his MA in Social Work.

Philippine Azkals captain and Philippines Football League star Stephan Schröck also took part and shared words of encouragement to continue pushing forward and staying resilient.

During the more than an hour long virtual session, the coaches and facilitators talked about different topics like health and wellness, safety, and rights of a child, among others, with game play as the backdrop.

The session was well attended and appreciated by stakeholders, which Ms. Tiongco took as very positive.

“For Chris and me, it was symbolic. We did not know whether we would survive the pandemic, in more ways than one.  But, for some stroke of luck, we have reached Christmas and we continue to have plans.  That’s already a blessing,” said Ms. Tiongco, just as she vowed that they will continue to have FFH make things happen moving forward. — Michael Angelo S. Murillo

Lionel Messi undecided over Barca future, drops US hint

BARCELONA — Lionel Messi has yet to make up his mind if he will terminate his two-decade long relationship with Barcelona at the end of this season, hinting that he could end up seeing out his playing days in Major League Soccer.

The Argentine’s future has been a hot topic ever since he tried to leave Barcelona in August. He had to put those plans on hold till the end of the 2020-2021 season as the club insisted on enforcing the €700-million ($854 million) exit clause should another club want to snap him up.

But with the Catalans languishing in fifth place in La Liga and a lot of upheaval going on within the club, Messi described Barcelona’s plight as “really bad.”

From January, Messi will be free to negotiate his next move as he will enter the final six months of his contract.

“I don’t know what I’m going to do yet, I’m going to wait until the season ends,” Messi said in an interview with Spanish television channel La Sexta broadcast on Sunday.

“I’d love to experience living in the United States, playing in that league and living that life, but I don’t know whether it’ll happen.”

The Argentine did not hide his pessimism about the club, who have made their worst start to a season in 33 years and are in a deep financial crisis due to the impact of the coronavirus pandemic.

“It’s a difficult moment for the club, for everyone, but those inside the club know that it’s in a really bad situation. Things are very bad and it’s going to be difficult to return the club to where it used to be,” he added. — Reuters

Seahawks shut down Rams, win NFC West title

RUSSELL Wilson threw for one touchdown and rushed for another as the Seattle Seahawks defeated the visiting Los Angeles Rams 20-9 on Sunday afternoon to clinch their first National Football Conference (NFC) West title since 2016.

The Seahawks (11-4) took a two-game lead over the Rams (9-6) with one game remaining in the regular season.

Wilson completed 20 of 32 passes for 225 yards, while Chris Carson rushed for a game-high 69 yards on 16 carries.

Wilson’s 13-yard scoring strike to tight end Jacob Hollister with 2:51 remaining sealed the victory.

Seattle’s defense also came up big, making a goal-line stand late in the third quarter as the Rams attempted to tie the score. Los Angeles had first-and-goal at the 2-yard line, but three rushes by Malcolm Brown and a quarterback sneak by Jared Goff netted only 1 yard.

Goff was 24-of-43 passing for 234 yards, and Darrell Henderson Jr. rushed for a team-high 62 yards.

The Seahawks scored the game’s first touchdown on the opening drive of the second half, with Wilson scrambling for a 4-yard score. Facing third-and-8 from his 32, Wilson hit David Moore with a 45-yard pass down the right sideline to keep the drive going.

Neither the Rams nor the Seahawks reached the red zone, much less the end zone, in the first half, which ended in a 6-6 tie as the teams traded multiple field goals.

Los Angeles’ Matt Gay made 44- and 51-yard field goals to give the Rams 3-0 and 6-3 leads, but Seattle’s Jason Myers answered with 45- and 49-yarders. The latter came with 1:04 remaining before intermission.

Gay added a 33-yard field goal early in the fourth quarter to pull the Rams within 13-9.

The Rams reached Seattle’s 29 with 3:45 left in the first half, but Goff, scrambling to his right and throwing back against his body, tried to float a pass for Robert Woods that sailed high over the receiver and was intercepted by Quandre Diggs at the 10-yard line. Diggs returned it 25 yards to help set up the Seahawks’ second tying field-goal drive. — Reuters

Asian business confidence gains steam, pandemic still top risk

SINGAPORE — Asian firms turned most optimistic in the fourth quarter this year, a Thomson Reuters/INSEAD survey showed, as business activity picked up in the region and COVID-19 vaccines started rolling out in Western countries ahead of their Asian launch.

The outlook for Asian companies in the next six months tracked by the Thomson Reuters/INSEAD Asian Business Sentiment Index jumped to 62 this quarter from 53 in the third quarter.

The latest number according to the survey of 101 firms across 11 Asia-Pacific countries was the highest since the fourth quarter of 2019. A reading above 50 indicates a positive outlook.

“There’s a sense of optimism going forward,” said Antonio Fatas, Singapore-based economics professor at global business school INSEAD.

“Things are getting better, but they are getting better with still a dose of uncertainty. The effect of the crisis is very different across sectors,” he added, noting the weakness in the transport sector due to curbs on global travel.

Still, more than half the respondents polled flagged persistent cases of the novel coronavirus as well as the possible scarcity of vaccines in parts of the world — at least initially — as their biggest risk.

While the United States and Britain have already started vaccinating their populations, few Asian countries expect to get significant amounts of coronavirus vaccines in coming weeks.

Some Asian countries are still running their own late-stage trials of vaccines, while others are allowing time to check for any side effects in people inoculated elsewhere.

A quarter of the companies in the survey, which was conducted between Dec. 4-18, were most concerned about businesses cutting jobs, which would hurt consumption.

Yet others flagged as their top risks a withdrawal of stimulus by central banks, and newly elected United States President Joe Biden keeping a tough line on China.

The coronavirus pandemic has brought on the worst global economic slowdown since the Great Depression, with millions of jobs lost and industries brought to their knees.

Still, Asia, which has had greater success in controlling the virus than Europe and the United States, is leading hopes of an economic recovery.

YEAR OF THE PHOENIX
“After a year marked by economic contraction, 2021 stands to be the ‘year of the phoenix’, with a strong rebound in global gross domestic product and corporate earnings in 2021 thanks to the unrolling of vaccines and substantial policy support,” said Cesar Perez Ruiz, chief investment officer at Pictet Wealth Management.

A recovery to pre-pandemic levels in China, the world’s second-largest economy, has fuelled revival hopes. Equity markets in China, South Korea and Taiwan are up at least 20% this year, leading the region’s gains.

According to the Thomson Reuters/INSEAD survey, some 44% of the companies polled in the fourth quarter were positive about their outlook for the next six months, up sharply from 28% in the third quarter and nearly 8% in the second.

About 58% of the firms said they did not hire or lay off people this quarter, and a fifth said staffing levels were lower. This was similar to numbers in the third quarter. In the second quarter, 62% of the companies said they had cut jobs.

“While I still see some uncertainty, the numbers are good,” said Mr. Fatas. “It looks like a recovery that is taking speed and where more businesses feel confident.”

Companies polled included India’s Housing Development Finance Corp. Ltd, Japanese car maker Suzuki Motor Corp., and Thai electronics company Delta Electronics (Thailand) PCL. — Reuters

EXPLAINER — How will the EU-British trade deal change ties?

BRUSSELS/LONDON — British and EU negotiators clinched a wide-ranging free trade deal on Christmas Eve, meaning commerce between the trading bloc of 450 million consumers and the sixth-biggest global economy will keep on flowing without tariffs or quotas from Jan. 1.

Britain has hailed the agreement as a clean break with the European Union (EU) that will allow London to set its own agenda, while the bloc has also welcomed a “good deal” that will let the 27 member states move on.

But much will be different once Britain completes its journey out of the EU, its single market and customs union, at the end of this year. There are also areas left unfinished that will require more negotiation.

Here are examples of what will change.

LEVEL PLAYING FIELD — This issue almost derailed the talks when Britain accused the EU of introducing a new demand that would give the bloc a unilateral right to impose tariffs on Britain if it was deemed to have moved too far away from fair competition rules.

The agreement means that now both sides have the right to challenge the other through an arbitration mechanism if any regulatory divergence is deemed to have resulted in a competitiveness issue.

It also says that if such mechanisms are used too often and too long, it can trigger a renegotiation of the relevant parts of the treaty.

MORE CHECKS AND RED TAPE IN TRADE IN GOODS — Unlike so far, goods moving between Britain and the EU will be subject to customs, regulatory and animal safety checks, leading to more red tape requirements.

Ireland, the EU country most affected by Brexit, estimated in September that import and export declarations could increase 12-fold to as many as 20 million per year.

END TO FREE MOVEMENT OF PEOPLE — While the EU and the UK agreed to sidestep visas for short-term stays, the current free movement of people will end.

That means EU citizens going to the UK, and vice-versa, will be subject to more extensive border screening. EU citizens’ right to live and work in the UK — as well as British citizens’ ability to do the same in Europe — will diminish.

Pet passports will no longer be automatically recognized across the EU-UK border.

REDUCED SECURITY INFORMATION SHARING — Britain hailed the deal for ensuring a range of fast and effective security capabilities, but there are significant changes to the way Britain and the EU will share security, police, and intelligence data.

The UK will no longer participate in Europol or Eurojust, and will lose access to the Schengen Information System, though there are ways to share passenger, fingerprints, DNA and vehicle data.

A senior member of the UK negotiating team said the “extensive” deal allowed Britain to collaborate with Europol or Eurojust, but those involved would have to get used to a different process.

CURBS ON TRANSPORT — UK licences for passenger or cargo flights will no longer be sufficient to operate between EU destinations or from the EU onwards. Britain and EU states can, however, run flights between one another, and will cooperate on aviation safety and slots.

For road transport, cabotage will be reduced though hauliers carrying loads between the EU and the UK can operate with no limits and there are full transit rights.

CHANGES TO FISH QUOTAS, LIMITED ACCESS TO WATERS — Full access to one another’s fishing waters ends after a 5-1/2-year transition period from 2021, during which catch quotas will also be gradually moved from the EU to the UK.

Both sides have agreed that 25% of EU boats’ fishing rights in British waters will be transferred to the UK fishing fleet over that period. After that, there will be annual talks to set the amount EU boats can catch in British waters and vice versa.

The senior negotiating team member said both sides had had to compromise, but that at the end of the transition, Britain will have full control of its waters and access to them.

FINANCIAL SERVICES — From Jan. 1, British-based financial services groups lose automatic access to the EU’s single market. Both sides have said new market access must be negotiated outside the trade agreement in specific equivalence deals.

The two sides will also aim to agree by March 2021 a memorandum of understanding on regulatory cooperation in financial services.

SEPARATE ARRANGEMENTS FOR ENERGY AND CLIMATE — Britain will no longer participate in the EU’s internal energy market or be part of the bloc’s emissions trading scheme.

The British government said this month it would establish a domestic emissions trading scheme (UK ETS) from Jan. 1.

STATE AID — On state aid, the two have agreed to create a body to provide independent oversight and to work within six overarching principles.

But Alexander Rose, director at legal business DWF, said: “We know we will have a new UK Subsidy Control regime, but at this point… we don’t know which body will oversee this, what the rules are, and whether block exemptions (used for 99% of awards) will remain.”

ROAMING CHARGES — EU member states have agreed to drop roaming charges for mobile connections and data within their single market, a legal requirement on mobile operators that will no longer apply to Britain from the start of 2021.

Should telecom firms introduce such charges, as is the case with Switzerland, citizens crossing between the EU and the UK will have to turn their data roaming off or face higher charges. — Reuters

US jobless benefit cut-off pushes millions to financial cliff-edge

WHEN the US Congress passed a pandemic aid bill on Monday, Meghan Meyer, a single mom from Lincoln, Nebraska, thought she would get some respite from the daily struggle to feed and house her two kids during an unprecedented health and economic crisis.

But the next day President Donald Trump declared the long-awaited relief package “a disgrace” and said he would not sign it into law, decrying some of its spending measures while also demanding it include bigger stimulus checks for most Americans.

By the weekend, he had refused to budge.

That leaves Meyer, who has been on unpaid medical leave from her customer service job at retailer TJ Maxx since May because she is at risk of severe COVID, facing a financial cliff edge. She is one of roughly 14 million Americans whose emergency unemployment benefits, introduced by Congress when the pandemic took hold in March, ended on Saturday.

“I don’t know what I’m going to do,” Meyer, 39, told Reuters in a phone interview. To make it through 2020, Meyer said she has had to lean on friends and charities to help put food on the table, pay her rent, cover the family dog’s medical expenses, and buy Christmas presents for her kids.

“I have held out and held out,” she said.

The new relief bill would extend through mid-March programs that support self-employed workers and those unemployed for more than half a year. It also gives an additional $300 a week through mid-March to all those receiving jobless benefits, some 20.3 million people. And it extends through January a moratorium on evictions due to expire on Dec. 31 and provides $25 billion in emergency rental assistance.

Many economists agree that the aid is insufficient and more will be needed after Democratic President-elect Joe Biden takes office on Jan. 20. President Biden has called the bill a “downpayment.”

Negotiated by Trump’s own Treasury secretary, Steven Mnuchin, and the Republican Party’s congressional leaders, the bill has been flown to the president’s Florida beach resort where he is staying for the holiday, awaiting his possible signature. In tweets on Saturday, Trump signaled he was still unwilling to sign the bill, despite pleas from lawmakers to show goodwill at Christmas time.

“I simply want to get our great people $2000, rather than the measly $600,” he tweeted Saturday, referring to the bill’s stimulus checks, while he also continued to rail about the November election as he made baseless claims about election fraud.

Trump had not criticized the aid package’s terms before it went before the House of Representatives and the Senate for a vote.

As pandemic lockdowns hammered the economy in March, Congress rushed through emergency unemployment benefits as part of the $2 trillion CARES Act. At the time, lawmakers did not envisage the aid would be needed beyond Christmas and, until last weekend, they could not reach a deal to extend the benefits.

Meyer, like others, has watched her benefits dwindle over the past six months after a CARES program that gave her $600 a week in supplemental jobless payments expired in July and she went on to exhaust her allowance of Pandemic Emergency Unemployment Compensation.

That left her with extended benefits of just $154 a week up until Saturday, which would increase to $454 if Trump relents and signs the bill. If he doesn’t, Meyer will get nothing.

“It’s the difference between whether we have enough groceries or not, whether I can pay my car insurance, whether I can have gas to go to a food bank,” she said.

Meyer said she voted for Trump in 2016, but was quickly turned off by his behavior in office, and described his opposition to the relief package as “mean-spirited.”

‘SQUEEZE’ ON GROWTH
US job growth has slowed after an initial rebound when stay-at-home orders were lifted over the summer, and a new wave of coronavirus infections now threatens to dent the recovery.

Andrew Stettner, a senior fellow at nonpartisan think tank The Century Foundation, said delaying relief will slow the recovery even if most Americans are vaccinated and life returns to normal in 2021.

“If you don’t have this money circulating in the economy, it’s going to squeeze things,” Stettner said.

Like Meyer, most people who are no longer eligible for federal unemployment benefits will be left with no income at all, as most states offer meager assistance, he said.

About nine million Americans who would not normally qualify for unemployment insurance, including the self-employed and gig workers, were receiving Pandemic Unemployment Assistance (PUA) until it expired along with other CARES programs on Saturday, Stettner said.

Among those is artist Marji Rawson, 54, of Ann Arbor, Michigan, who in a normal year would run a booth at art festivals across the country. Those festivals may not return until June, but Rawson from Saturday will lose about $150 a week in PUA that she has relied on throughout the pandemic.

“As if this world isn’t full of anxiety already, now we have this on top of it,” said Rawson. — Reuters

A data-driven end to capitalism as we know it

FROM INTEREST RATES to fashion, pandemics in the past — like the Black Death in the 14th century — have left deep imprints on economic life. This time may be no different. In the aftermath of the coronavirus, governments can reimagine capitalism by giving all of us a stake in the most valuable byproduct of our day-to-day living: data. But make no mistake. It will still be a Faustian bargain.

A global data profit will be a very different GDP from gross domestic product. The case for technology companies to share it with we, the people who supply them the bits and bytes, is compelling. In fact, it could even emerge as a better universal basic income — another revolutionary concept whose time may have come — for the post-COVID world.

A state-provided allowance can improve citizens’ well-being, a widely studied Finnish experiment has shown. Yet only a small group of developed countries would even have a chance of sustaining a meaningful subsidy, provided taxpayers agree. Most developing nations would balk at the expense. Inequality between the global North and South would worsen.

This is where a share of global data profit for the 63% of the world population that’s already online could prove helpful. The FANG quartet — Facebook, Inc., Amazon.com, Inc., Netflix, Inc. and Google parent Alphabet, Inc. — garners $140 billion in combined operating earnings. China’s BAT trinity of Baidu, Inc., Alibaba Group Holding Ltd., and Tencent Holdings Ltd. hauls in another $50 billion. Throw in device makers like Apple, Inc., Samsung Electronics Co., and Xiaomi Corp., payment processors like Visa, Inc., Mastercard, Inc., and Paypal Holdings, Inc., and the available profit pie of our data overlords is at least $350 billion. Their combined revenue is in excess of $1.3 trillion.

The arrival of 5G telecommunications networks and Internet of Things, plus rapid growth of new-age fintech players like China’s Ant Group Co., India’s Jio Platforms Ltd., and Southeast Asia’s Grab Holdings Ltd. and Gojek, will see the industry’s profit exceed $1 trillion well before the end of the decade. Even now, governments shouldn’t mind tapping companies that for the most part did well out of the pandemic to put some extra money in the hands of citizens left poorer and jaded by it. The problem is that Big Tech is notorious for moving profits to where they’re taxed least. There has to be a better way to take it back from them.

One powerful suggestion has come from Columbia Law School Professor Katharina Pistor. In a recent paper, she argued that it will be useless for us, as information producers, to get authorship rights on our individual raw data. They have very little value. Yet, when algorithms analyze billions of data points, they glean insights about our behavior. Big Tech shares the intelligence for a profit with providers of goods and services, who then use the knowledge to influence our choices as consumers and make a further gain.

Instead of being participants in a free market, this power game makes us victims, twice over.  No notice-and-consent privacy law or antitrust regulation can improve our bargaining position. We need partial ownership not of the data, but the databases. Put another way, if technology has made it our destiny to be “ruled by data,” then we must have rights in a depository trust of data. Pistor explains:

This trust would have a right to a share in the earnings the company derived from the data and would have the task of channeling these earnings to the data producers. The trust would also exercise voting rights on behalf of the data producers.

The argument hinges on debunking a popular myth: Our information footprints, the professor says, are not oil, or anything resembling a regular commodity or asset. Beyond seeking protection against hacking, the technology industry hasn’t relied on legal protection to assert its property rights. It has simply captured data as “res nullius,” or wild animals, and enjoyed supernormal profits. It’s time governments ended the ambiguity over ownership, and gave data the status of “res communis,” or community property. This is what a depository achieves.

To be sure, no governments are actually considering this yet. But imagine the shakeup to power in Big Tech and people’s sense of ownership in society if political authorities tried to resolve what University of Westminster sociologist Christian Fuchs sees as a Marxian “antagonism between digital commons and digital commodities.” There are two questions. First, how would the depository pass on prorated dividends it receives from harvesters to producers? Second, would China come on board with the plan, or would this profit sharing end up being a permanent drag only on Western tech?

The answers may be interlinked. The last-minute quashing of fintech behemoth Ant’s initial public offering this year has been the strongest signal yet of Beijing’s intention to rein in the rising power of its data czars. But that’s not the end of it. Eventually, all major central banks will issue widely distributed digital currencies, emulating an experiment already under way in China. The anonymity of cash will disappear some time during the decade. It’s conceivable, therefore, that dividends from data depositories could simply hit official digital currency wallets on our mobile phones. In the process of spending, we’ll be leaving a data trail for central banks.

Europe after the Black Death was hit by a wave of “life is short” consumerism. After this year’s trauma, we, too, are yearning for a vaccine and a more carefree 2021. But can we, as producers, consumers, and people, ever be fully rid of the scars? Even if we want to forget, will governments let us drop our guards? The rise of contact tracing during the pandemic has introduced us, willingly or otherwise, to the idea that our smartphones can keep us safe — by spying on us.

Sacrificing some more of our freedom to eternal state surveillance could become a deal with a devil we’re growing to know only too well. We’ll take it, but only if technology gets us a real stake in 21st century capitalism in return.

BLOOMBERG OPINION

Top 10 economic news of 2020

Here is my modest list of the major economic events of the year.

1. The deep global contraction of gross domestic product (GDP). In the first three quarters of 2020, the Philippines’ GDP in particular had contracted by -9.7%, the worst performing economy in the ASEAN and among the worst performers in the whole world.

2. Global exports also contracted. Restrictions on the mobility of people and goods adversely affected manufacturing, the transport of raw materials and finished products, and, ultimately, merchandise trade. The Philippines, with measly exports of $70 billion in 2019, experienced further low exports of only $46 billion in the first three quarters of 2020.

3. Strict lockdown policies in many countries. The Google COVID-19 Community Mobility Reports (GCCMR) shows how visitors to (or time spent in) categorized places change compared to baseline days, the median value being from Jan. 3-Feb. 6, 2020. When it came to mobility in transit stations in particular, the Philippines seems to have had the strictest lockdown policy in the world with -84 mobility in April and -53 in November.

4. China data is proven to be dishonest again. Consider these: a.) its COVID-19 deaths per million population (CDPMP) was only three considering that the virus started and exploded from there, while Belgium has 1,650 and the UK’s is 1,090; b.) it says it has growth when many countries are in a deep contraction — it cannot hide its exports contraction; and, c.) it does not allow GCCMR to collect data because it will show the extent of its strict lockdown and business contraction (see Table 1).

5. Overspending and over-borrowings by governments. As tax revenues fell due to business shutdowns, many governments did not cut their expenditures but instead expanded spending and subsidies via huge borrowings and the printing of money by their central banks. The Philippines’ central government debt (debts by LGUs not included) was 37% of GDP in 2019 and is projected to rise to 48.9% in 2020 and 52.5% in 2021 (see Table 2).

6. The CREATE bill is refined and retroactive to 2020. The Corporate Recovery and Tax Incentives for Enterprises Act (CREATE) bill in Congress intends to cut the Philippines’ high corporate income tax (CIT) rate of 30% to 25% upon signing into law, likely in early 2021, to be implemented retroactively to July 2020. The bill also targets to cut CIT to 20% by 2027.

7. President’s threat of telecom expropriation. During President Rodrigo R. Duterte’s State of the Nation Address (SONA) in July, he warned Smart and Globe telecoms that “kukunin ko ‘yan, i-expropriate ko sa gobyerno (I will get that, I will have the government expropriate it).” It was a strong, and the first, major threat of corporate expropriation by the administration. Luckily, he realized that many LGUs and some agencies are the reason why telecom firms cannot expand their cell sites and towers quickly.

8. The IPRI report on property rights protection. Government expropriation of private companies, actual or the threat of, is a clear violation of the private property protection enshrined in the Constitution. The International Property Rights Index (IPRI) annual report for 2020, a project of the Property Rights Alliance (PRA), was released last November. The Philippines retained its low global rank of 67-69 of 129 countries (see Table 2).

9. Big infra finished and legislated. Among the huge projects that were completed this year was the Skyway Stage 3 that connects SLEX to NLEX, so vehicles from Southern Luzon can go straight to Northern Luzon without passing on any street of Metro Manila. Then the legislation was passed to allow San Miguel Aerocity in Bulacan, a P736-billion 10-year construction project, to start in early 2021.

10. NAIA rehabilitation uncertainties. The expansion and modernization of the Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA) suffered a double setback this year. First was the termination of the original proponent status (OPS) of the “super consortium” of seven conglomerates (Ayala, Aboitiz, Gokongwei, Andrew Tan, Lucio Tan, Gotianun, Pangilinan) last July, then the termination of the OPS of Megawide-GMR this December.

The year 2020 has not been good. The so-called “new normal” simply cloaked the new dictatorship with strict and indefinite lockdowns. May 2021 bring the realization that this is folly so that human prosperity can resume again.

 

Bienvenido S. Oplas, Jr. is the president of Minimal Government Thinkers

minimalgovernment@gmail.com

Here’s why river overflow can lead to flood damage

Flood can be very terrifying if you live near rivers. Though called in much literature as a source of life, rivers can actually take lives when they overflow. Rivers carry many risks, especially when there is heavy rainfall and overtopping happens. When there is too much water because of very high volume of rainfall, water can burst the river banks, causing dry areas to be flooded.

WHAT CAUSES RIVER OVERFLOW?
Though flooding can be attributed to excessive rainfall, there are other factors that play different roles in the overflowing of rivers.

One of these factors is prevailing mining operations. Mining, both underground and above ground, increases the risk of floods for the residents near rivers.

Earlier this year, major flooding in Samarinda, Indonesia was experienced after hours of heavy rain which caused the Mahakam River to overflow. Samarinda City sits along the Mahakam River. Some people attributed the incident to deforestation caused by mining; some to unmonitored or abandoned mining pits. Whichever of the two, mining in general reduced the land’s ability to absorb water, which led to overland flow.

Aside from mining, faulty man-made dams can also cause rivers to overflow. One of the dams’ primary purposes is for flood control. Dams store the water from rainfall that could otherwise have flooded the lowlands. Eventually, this water is used for generating hydroelectricity and for sustaining irrigation projects. This is all well and good when there is just moderate rainfall. However, when there is torrential rain and dams can no longer hold the water, the soundest decision to make is to release the excess water into rivers or other bodies of water. An analysis in a study entitled “Dams and Floods,” authored by Fred Pearce, says that “dams are often designed with very poor knowledge of the potential for extreme flood events.”

The recent flooding in Cagayan and Isabela provinces in the Philippines after the passage of Typhoon Ulysses (international name: Vamco) was blamed on the release of water from Magat Dam in North Luzon, among other factors. On Nov. 12, 2020, from 5 p.m. to 4 a.m. the next day, seven gates of the dam were opened. The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said that 6,706 cubic meters of water per second were released from the dam at maximum discharge. This caused the Cagayan River to swell and submerge the surrounding areas.

Making matters worse is the presence of weakly constructed dams. The substandard materials used in these dams can lead to dam failure. Dam failure is defined as an uncontrolled release of water due to structural breakdown. This is not insignificant because dam failure can lead to loss of lives and the washing away of valuable properties. When the Banqiao Dam in China burst, roughly 170,000 people were killed, followed by reports of injuries, water contamination, and food shortages. This incident in Henan Province in 1975 is one of the best illustrations of dam failure.

WHAT ARE THE NEGATIVE EFFECTS OF RIVER OVERFLOW?
When Typhoon Ulysses struck the eastern and central regions of the Philippines, many houses, properties, and other sources of livelihood were damaged due to overspilling of rivers. What happened then at the Marikina River is one good example of river overflow damage. In the midst of the typhoon on Nov. 12, at 11 a.m., the Marikina River swelled up to 22 meters.

The water in the river cut through heavily populated areas of Rizal Province, Quezon City, Marikina City, and Pasig City. The overflowing of the river resulted in the death and displacement of people and damage to properties. Given the seriousness of the situation, it is high time that we should consider the danger of flooding due to river overflow.

WHAT CAN WE DO TO EASE FLOODING?
There are several ways to mitigate flooding as a result of river overflow, one of which is improving our flood warning systems. Another is by providing people with more information about their areas, the dams, and river overflows. However, these actions seem to be passive. What we need is for people to take a more proactive approach to this problem.

As the world experiences extreme weather conditions, we have to let go of our old ways and step up our game. It might hurt some but let us admit it, some flood protection strategies are old fashioned and do more harm than good. One approach which is not very popular but is making headlines nowadays, is setting up flood barriers: modern, easily installed and cost-effective ones.

What we need is strong and good quality flood protection. We need modern flood technology that can protect houses, businesses, schools, and government buildings, especially if they are near rivers. The technology I am talking about are flood barriers: demountable flood barriers, mobile flood barriers, flood doors and gates, sliding, self-rising, automatic flood barriers and permanent glass walls. The materials are made of light-weight marine-grade aluminum, hot dipped-galvanized or stainless steel, non-rusting, which can be used for 50 years and longer. Moreover, these portable barriers can be deployed in the event of flooding, and dismounted when no longer needed. They can even be stacked or stored in a designated area, ready for the next use.

People always say that prevention is better than a cure. As we wait for another typhoon to hit, should we wait for another river to overflow and damage our prop erties or take away our families? Should we not want to be in a secure environment where we can sleep in the midst of a storm with an assurance that you and your properties are safe?

The choice is in your hands. Start investing today!

Stay safe and flood-free!

This article reflects the personal opinion of the author and does not reflect the official stand of the Management Association of the Philippines or the MAP.

 

Dr. Andreas Klippe is the Chair and President of Flood Control Asia RS Corp., Clark, Pampanga, responsible for all RS activities in Asia/Pacific, Chair of the North Luzon Chapter of the European Chamber of Commerce of the Philippines, speaker, writer. He is a German engineer and a Philippine resident.

map@map.org.ph

a.klippe@floodcontrol.asia

http://map.org.ph

2020 should teach these democracies humility

THE YEAR 2020 was, by any measure, rich in awakenings and reckonings. None were as earth-shaking as those forced upon the United States, Britain, and India.

The pandemic found three of the world’s most prominent democracies shockingly underprepared, governed by leaders as incompetent as they were deluded and encumbered with states that had steadily rendered themselves incapable of performing their most basic duty: protecting human lives.

In each case, stridently advanced claims — whether to be a new superpower (India), to become one again (Britain), or to provide moral leadership to the world (US) — were broken on the wheel of an unforgiving virus.

The socio-economic challenges before these countries suddenly seem immense, greater even than those faced after the calamity of two world wars. The conventional formulas for national uplift — intensified mass production of goods and services — are no longer enough in the age of deindustrialization and climate change. Meanwhile, the promise of the knowledge economy seems largely deceptive.

But a deeper and more intractable, if also intangible, problem lies in the realm of perception. For the pandemic revealed the great and crippling chasm that exists between reality and the images cherished by these countries. A future that represents an appreciable improvement over the present will remain elusive unless the diminished democracies develop less grandiose and more pragmatic self-images.

In the conventional, widely celebrated idea of India, the country brims with democratic virtues and seems destined to outpace China and take its place among the great Western powers. “India is not simply emerging,” then-President Barack Obama claimed in 2010, “India has emerged.”

This vision, hardened into an unassailable consensus by politicians, businessmen and journalists, ignored the country’s unresolved contradictions of social and economic inequality, as well as its inept bureaucracies, dodgy bankers, defaulting businessmen, venal politicians and timorous journalists.

In Britain, the dream of imperial power and self-sufficiency grew more intense even as the country became more parasitic on inbound flows of financial capital. The final and shattering delusion was Brexit, a perfect act of national self-harm.

In the US, decades of political dysfunction, endless wars, economic crises and intolerable inequality culminated in four disastrous years of Donald Trump.

In all three cases, the political class and, to a damaging extent, the mainstream media and intelligentsia tried to keep up appearances long after they had frayed.

Thus, Obama could write in Wired magazine, a month before Trump’s election in 2016, that for Americans there had never been a greater time to be alive. In Britain, an alliance of right-wing politicians and journalists won a massive electoral endorsement for their fiction that liberation from the European Union would unleash their country’s world-beating prowess. Prime Minister Narendra Modi successfully kept up his rhetoric of regaining Hindu pride and glory long after his policy of demonetization had severely compromised India’s economy.

All nations are imagined communities. But they lose sight of their essential tasks and fatally restrict their scope of action if they imagine themselves too extravagantly.

India today would be more resilient had it resisted irrational exuberance and diagnosed and repaired early such structural weaknesses as a poorly educated and underfed labor force and underinvestment in the rural sector. Likewise, Britain’s fate as a country that no longer makes enough goods desired by the world need not have been so bleak.

The US would not be a society divided into insulated winners and angry losers had it not believed its own rhetoric about the unimpeachable virtues of its liberal capitalist system after the collapse of the Soviet Union. Stagnation and decline had already set in by the 1990s, and the trillions of dollars spent on military capabilities and democracy-promotion abroad could have been used to stem inequality at home, or at least to bring public healthcare in line with other rich countries.

Illusions of grandeur are again flourishing as a traumatic year ends and a new one begins. The British government and its journalistic mouthpieces promise a windfall of “sovereignty” as Britain leaves the EU on Jan. 1, with or without a deal. India has started to hope again that it can replace China as a destination for manufacturers. The incoming Biden administration is broadcasting its intention, as thousands of Americans succumb to COVID-19 every day, to have the US lead the world again.

Such desires cannot but seem a case of what Sigmund Freud called regression: The national ego is reverting to an earlier developmental stage instead of handling reality in a mature way, still insisting that a gap, cruelly exposed by the pandemic, between self-perception and reality can be narrowed.

With stricken nations, as with individuals, a new and better life becomes possible only after obsolete and unsafe ideas about self are discarded. Admittedly, countries cannot overnight abandon the self-flattering narratives that they have long generated for external consumption. Nevertheless, the great democracies would do well in the new year to adhere to a principle that underpins one of the world’s most gainful businesses: Do not get high on your own supply.

BLOOMBERG OPINION

Trump signs pandemic aid and spending bill

PALM BEACH, Fla./WASHINGTON — US President Donald Trump on Sunday signed into law a $2.3-trillion pandemic aid and spending package, restoring unemployment benefits to millions of Americans and averting a federal government shutdown in a crisis of his own making.

Trump, who leaves office on Jan. 20 after losing November’s election to President-elect Joe Biden, backed down from his earlier threat to block the bill, which was approved by Congress last week, after he came under intense pressure from lawmakers on both sides.

The Republican president, who golfed on Sunday and remained out of public view even as the government crisis loomed, had demanded that Congress change the bill to increase the size of stimulus checks for struggling Americans to $2,000 from $600 and also cut some other spending.

It was not immediately clear why Mr. Trump, who has refused to concede defeat to Mr. Biden, changed his mind on the stimulus package. His resistance had threatened to inject further chaos into the final stretch of his presidency.

After signing the bill behind closed doors at his beachside club, Mr. Trump sought to put the best face on his climb-down, saying he was signing the bill with “a strong message that makes clear to Congress that wasteful items need to be removed.”

“Much more money is coming,” he insisted in a statement, though he provided nothing to back this promise.

And with less than a month left in office, Mr. Trump is expected to gain little or no traction with lawmakers to make changes.

White House officials have been tight-lipped about Mr. Trump’s thinking but a source familiar with the situation said some advisers had urged him to relent because they did not see the point of refusing.

Democrats have long been on board with the $2,000 payments but many Republicans opposed it, making it unlikely that the figure will be revised upwards while Mr. Trump is in office.

Many economists agree the financial aid in the bill should be higher to get the economy moving again but say that immediate support for Americans hit by coronavirus lockdowns is still urgently needed.

Unemployment benefits being paid out to about 14 million people through pandemic programs lapsed on Saturday, but will be restarted now that Mr. Trump has signed the bill.

The package includes $1.4 trillion in spending to fund government agencies. If Mr. Trump had not signed the legislation, then a partial government shutdown would have begun on Tuesday that would have put millions of government workers’ incomes at risk.

Americans are living through a bitter holiday season amid a pandemic that has killed nearly 330,000 people in the United States, with a daily death toll now repeatedly well over 3,000 people, the highest since the pandemic began.

The relief package also extends a moratorium on evictions that was due to expire on Dec. 31, refreshes support for small business payrolls, provides funding to help schools re-open and aid for the transport industry and vaccine distribution.

Global share prices ticked up in response to the news that Trump had signed the stimulus plan and backed away from a government spending crisis.

US S&P futures and Japan’s Nikkei index gained around 0.4%, and spot gold prices rose nearly 1%.

“It is positive for markets that we no longer have a chaos over stimulus, considering there was a chance of a partial government shutdown,” said Masahiro Ichikawa, chief strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui DS Asset Management.

Mr. Trump’s abrupt move to sign the bill came after most Republican lawmakers refused to back his call for changes to legislation they had already voted on.

Hours earlier, Republican Senator Pat Toomey of Pennsylvania told Fox News Sunday Mr. Trump wants “to be remembered for advocating for big checks, but the danger is he’ll be remembered for chaos and misery and erratic behavior if he allows this to expire.”

Republican officials were relieved that Mr. Trump had backed away from his veiled veto threat, saying it should help Republican Senate candidates David Perdue and Kelly Loeffler in Jan. 5 Georgia runoff elections that will determine control of the US Senate.

Mr. Trump noted that the Democratic-controlled House of Representatives planned to vote on Monday to increase coronavirus relief checks to individuals from $600 to $2,000, and said the Senate “will start the process” to approve higher payments.

US Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, a fellow Republican, said “I thank the President for signing this relief into law” but made no mention of any plans for a Senate vote.

Democratic House Speaker Nancy Pelosi welcomed Mr. Trump’s signing as a “down payment on what is needed,” saying: “Now, the President must immediately call on Congressional Republicans to end their obstruction and to join him and Democrats in support of our stand-alone legislation to increase direct payment checks to $2,000.”

After months of wrangling, Republicans and Democrats agreed to the package last weekend, with the support of the White House.

Mr. Trump stunned Republicans and Democrats alike when he later said he was unhappy with the massive bill, which provides $892 billion in coronavirus financial relief.

Trump spent the Christmas holiday at his Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida. On Sunday morning, he seemed in no rush to try to resolve the standoff with Congress as he played a round of golf at the Trump International Golf Club in West Palm Beach.

He had also complained that the bill gives too much money to special interests, cultural projects and foreign aid.

In his signing statement, Mr. Trump also sought to keep alive his campaign of baseless claims that the November election was rigged against him. He said the House and Senate “have agreed to focus strongly on the very substantial voter fraud” and that the Senate will launch an investigation. — Reuters

Britain to ban ‘buy 1 get 1’ promotions to fight obesity

LONDON — Britain will ban “buy one get one free” promotions for food high in fat, sugar or salt and free refills of sugary soft drinks in restaurants from April 2022, the government said on Monday, its latest step in its plan to tackle obesity and improve public health.

The government says obesity is one of Britain’s biggest long-term public health problems with almost two-thirds of adults in England overweight and one in three children leaving primary school overweight or obese.

The measures will also restrict where in a store promotions on such products can be advertised, and unhealthy promotions will not be allowed at checkouts, shop entrances or at the ends of aisles.

“We are restricting promotions and introducing a range of measures to make sure the healthy choice is the easy choice. Creating an environment which helps everyone eat healthier foods more regularly is crucial to improving the health of the nation,” public health minister Jo Churchill said.

Britain first proposed restricting “buy one get one free” deals on junk food in July, and also announced measures such as banning TV and online adverts for junk food before 9.00 p.m.

Last month the government went further and proposed a total ban on online advertising of unhealthy food.

Being overweight has been shown to increase the risk of serious illness or death from coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) — a fact highlighted by Prime Minister Boris Johnson who has publicly talked about his own need to lose weight since being hospitalized with the disease. — Reuters

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