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GenSan prisoners chess champs

FOR a group of prisoners from General Santos City, chess gave them a second chance in life.

This bunch, composed of inmates nicknamed Alimar, Wilvit, Nilo and Romel, showed the world that not even incarceration could stop them from brining honor to the country as they recently topped the 2nd FIDE Inter-Continental Online Chess Championship for Prisoners.

The Filipinos bested the Colombians twice, 2.5-1.5 and 3-1, in the finale to crown themselves world champions.

It was gaint leap for a team coached by jail officer Cedrix Cabangal and Thailand-based master Winston Silva from a fifth-place effort a year ago to the best in the globe.

“It was a triumph of the spirit for these hardworking people and I’m proud and honored to have helped them realize their dreams,” Silva told The STAR yesterday. — JV

NBA: Warriors want repeat champions, Celtics seek redemption, LeBron James eyes scoring title

GOLDEN State Warriors guard Stephen Curry (30) dribbles past Los Angeles Lakers forward LeBron James (6) in the first quarter at the Chase Center. — REUTERS

LOS ANGELES — The Golden State Warriors look to add another title to their era-defining dynasty, the Boston Celtics aim to bounce back from a disappointing finals performance and LeBron James is eyeing the scoring title as the 2022-23 NBA season starts on Tuesday.

A Warriors team famous for its unity saw that tested when veteran forward Draymond Green punched Jordan Poole in the face at a practice earlier this month, an incident Mr. Green apologized for.

The notion that the altercation could do lasting damage to the team’s chemistry dissipated quickly when Mr. Poole signed a four-year extension worth up to $140 million on Saturday. Mr. Green, a four-time All-Star, was fined but not suspended over the incident.

“He apologized and was professional,” Mr. Poole told reporters on Sunday at Chase Center, where the Warriors will raise their fourth championship banner in eight seasons on Tuesday before taking on the Lakers.

“We plan on handling ourselves that way … that’s really all I have to say on the matter. We’re here to win a championship and keep hanging banners.”

Former NY Knicks and Houston Rockets head coach Jeff Van Gundy told Reuters he thought the team could move past the episode.

“I don’t think the Green-Poole incident is going to have anything to do with their chances to win the championship this year,” Mr. Van Gundy, now an ESPN commentator, said in an interview.

“More so their chances are going to be dependent on the development of Kevon Looney, Jonathan Kuminga and James Wiseman.”

The franchise hopes those three as well as Poole and Andrew Wiggins, who also signed a four-year extension over the weekend, will continue to develop as Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson and Green enter the back half of their Hall of Fame careers.

UNEXPECTED SETBACKS
The Warriors were not alone in dealing with unexpected setbacks during the hectic off-season.

Celtics head coach Ime Udoka was handed a one-year suspension in September for “violations of team policies”.

Interim head coach Joe Mazzulla will now take the reins of the Jayson Tatum, Marcus Smart and Jaylen Brown-led team, who were two wins away from delivering the storied franchise its 18th championship in June. “When you’re an interim coach and a young one at that, as I was at one point, you need the full backing of your team and of management,” Mr. Van Gundy said.

All eyes will also be on the Los Angeles Lakers and Mr. James, who is 1,326 points away from passing Kareem Abdul-Jabbar as the league’s all-time leading scorer — something he is forecast to do around the 49th game of the season.

Mr. James, 37, is entering his 20th season and coming off a campaign where he averaged 30.3 points per game, the second-highest of his career despite the Lakers missing the playoffs.

“He has defied age as well as anybody who has played for this long,” Mr. Van Gundy said. “It’s really something to behold, his longevity and consistency. I just wish he had a better team around him.”

Mr. Van Gundy said the Los Angeles Clippers, who will see the return of Kawhi Leonard after he missed all of last season with a knee injury, are the league’s best team but he also likes the Celtics and Milwaukee Bucks.

Still, as the off-season showed, the NBA is highly unpredictable and there are too many variables to say with any certainty who will hoist the Larry O’Brien trophy in June.

“The season is going to be difficult for everybody,” said Mr. Van Gundy. “So much is going to be based on health, other teams’ health, the bounce of the ball here or there. Trying to project too far out is too difficult.” — Reuters

PBBM TO PSC: Take care of athletes’ nutrition

President Marcos is shown addressing PSC Chairman Noli Eala on the importance of proper nutrition for the national athletes during their meeting in Malacañang last week.

AMONG the immediate priorities of the Philippine Sports Commission (PSC) under chairman Noli Eala is to boost and enhance the nutrition program for the national athletes.

No less than President Marcos cited the importance of proper nutrition, which helps guarantee a sound mind and sound body for the athletes, when he met the PSC chairman in Malacañang last week.

Mr. Eala, in his second month at the helm of Philippine sports, received the instruction from the President during the courtesy call of Olympian and world No. 3 pole vaulter Ernest John Obiena on the President.

Proper nutrition is vital for the national athletes, especially the elite ones who are vying in major international competitions like the SEA Games, Asian Games, World Championships, and the Olympics.

Through the years, the PSC has provided the athletes with all the support, including the proper food and vitamins based on the needs of a particular athlete in a particular sport.

But Mr. Eala felt that Mr. Marcos wants the PSC to do an even better job on this aspect as the country continues to seek glory in the field of sports, particularly in the 2024 Paris Olympics. “That’s what we will do,” said Mr. Eala.

In 2021, the PSC, through the Sports Nutrition Unit (SNU), started providing nutritional meals for the athletes during their bubble training at the Rizal Memorial Sports Complex and PhilSports Complex.

At present, the PSC provides meals from breakfast, lunch and dinner, as well as morning and afternoon snacks to different national teams. PSC nutritionists also provide and design specific meal plans for the athletes to ensure that they get optimal nutrition for their training and help them become competition-ready.

In 2019 alone, 34,278 meals were served at the renovated nutrition halls at Rizal Memorial Sports Complex and Philsports Complex in Pasig to athletes and coaches in the national pool.

Protect Judge

Should home run king Aaron Judge have gone down the lineup to start the postseason? That’s the question on the minds of many as the Yankees found themselves stretched to the limit despite being tagged as overwhelming favorites in the American League Division Series. No less than former Bomber Alex Rodriguez, no stranger to living up to the name, questioned why the presumptive AL Most Valuable Player awardee batted first in the order; he labeled it as “gimmicky baseball,” noting that “Babe Ruth didn’t do it, Barry Bonds didn’t do it, Frank [Thomas] didn’t do it, this guy (David Ortiz) didn’t do it, I didn’t do it. It doesn’t exist.”

To be fair, the Yankees had Judge taking to the plate at the outset not simply because he had success in the position heading into the playoffs. Needless to say, the need for him to get as many at-bats as he possibly could to help him in his chase for Roger Maris’ longtime mark was the overriding reason down the stretch. And, creditably, it worked; in the slugger’s final 23 games of the regular season, he had .364/.519/.701 splits and went yard seven more times to ultimately meet his personal objective. The hot hand, coupled with his capacity to get on base and the seeming lack of alternatives, prompted manager Aaron Boone to keep him in the spot.

No doubt, the criticisms would not have mounted had Judge maintained his numbers. Unfortunately, he was atrocious out of the gate; he went zero of eight with seven strikeouts and a walk in his first two outings, leading to Rodriguez and other quarters to question why Boone refused to give him protection on both ends. Contests are played differently in the playoffs, and the Yankees need his power to produce runs. Which, in a nutshell is why he went to his more familiar spot in the order, and how he finally got his first hit and homer, albeit in a Game Three loss, and how he contributed another hit in a Game Four win.

Boone was reflective in the aftermath of Judge’s slump-busting forays, acknowledging that “I kind of just woke up on it.” All things considered, the move is the appropriate one to make. And as the Yankees find their do-or-die match against the supposedly overmatched Guardians rained out, they’re hoping the extra day will enable him to get his bearings back. They need him at his best, if only to prevent their 2022 season from ending in disappointment.

 

Anthony L. Cuaycong has been writing Courtside since BusinessWorld introduced a Sports section in 1994. He is a consultant on strategic planning, operations and Human Resources management, corporate communications, and business development.

IT-BPM industry drives economic growth

STOCK PHOTO | Image by DC Studio from Freepik

(Part 1)

The country’s information technology and business process management (IT-BPM) sector, in tandem with the more than 10 million Overseas Filipino Workers (OFWs), will ensure that the Philippine peso does not go beyond P60 to $1 by the end of the year. As we approach the end of the year, there will be a real bonanza of US dollars boosting our international reserves, with the IT-BPM sector bringing close to $30 billion and remittances from OFWs going beyond $36 billion. As imports tend to slow down by the last quarter (goods for Christmas have to be imported much earlier), I consider forecasts of the foreign exchange rate breaching the P60 level as exaggerated, especially considering that the BSP has turned very hawkish and is expected to raise interest rates more aggressively than they have in the past. It is never too late to fight inflation. Our Central Bank has more than demonstrated in the past that it has all the tools to fight inflation.

Quoting from a very thorough study done by the Everest Group on the next six years of the BPO (business process outsourcing) sector, IT and Business Process Association of the Philippines (IBPAP) President Jack Madrid gave an optimistic forecast that their industry can grow by 8% annually in the next six years, growing in total revenue from $29.5 billion in 2021 to almost $60 billion by 2028. It will generate an additional 1.1 million in direct jobs by 2028, bringing the total employment 2.5 million from 1.4 million today. Contributing significantly to a more equitable distribution of income and employment opportunities, 54% of the additional employment will be in the countryside. In addition to those who will be directly employed by the industry, another 3 million indirect jobs are expected to be created in such areas as retailing, tourism and hospitality, transport and logistics, infrastructure, and real estate. In fact, the negative impact on the demand for office and residential units that will be caused by the outlawing of the POGO (Philippine Offshore Gaming Operators) sector can be partly counteracted by an increase in the number of BPO enterprises that are expected in the next two to three years.

It is notable that among US investors who pledged a total of $3.9 billion to President Ferdinand Marcos, Jr. when he was in the United States, a good number were from the IT-BPM sector. Already some 70% of IBPAP members have headquarters in North America. I can understand why Jack Madrid, the President of IBPAP gushed: “The Philippine IT-BPM sector is at the cusp of a new and exciting era and the future that awaits us is the brightest that it has ever seen!”

It is also a cause for optimism that both the government and private sector have manifested exemplary flexibility and resilience in adapting to new modes of working at home and working everywhere that have guaranteed an increasing supply of highly educated workers to this sector.

I have been privy to the six-year roadmap prepared by the Everest Group for the IBPAP that was turned over to President Marcos Jr. on Sept. 30. Let me summarize the main points of the roadmap which documents recommendations to the Government on what can be done in policy support, talent promotion, infrastructure development, as well as marketing and brand management. Because of its very strategic nature, it would good for the public to know and understand what each one can do to ensure that the ambitious plans of the sector will actually be implemented. Much can be done by various government agencies, educational and training centers, civil society groups, and LGU units to enable the Philippine IT-BPM sector to achieve its laudable goals.

If we are to give an award to the economic sector that was most resilient in surviving the global crises over the last 30 years, it would have to go to the Business Process (BP) and Contact Center (CC) industry of the Philippines. It weathered the dot-com bubble in the late 1990s, helping the Philippines survive the East Asian financial crisis of 1997. It then helped the country minimize the adverse impact of the Great Recession of 2008 to 2012. In 2010, the Philippines dethroned India as the world’s contact center capital by revenue and head count, despite the fact that India has more than 10 times the population of the Philippines. In the years since, the Philippines has attracted new customers such as Amazon, while leading players like Accenture, Concentrix, Teleperformance, etc. have expanded. It is now the leading location for contact center and business process services delivery, accounting for approximately one-fourth of the total full-time employees in offshore-nearshore locations. Employing approximately 1.4 million people at present, it adds 110,000 new jobs per year. The Philippine competitive advantage in relation to other countries comes from the availability of a large English-speaking talent pool with neutral accents (especially as compared to the Indians), cost arbitrage potential, and cultural affinity to the US, having been formerly an American colony.

The COVID-19 pandemic was in a way a game changer for the better. Before the pandemic, the industry grew at an average of 3% to 6% annually, reflecting a mature yet dynamic market with new revenue streams emerging with changing customer expectations. When the pandemic struck, the CC and BP industry in the Philippines remained mostly stagnant from both a headcount and revenue point of view. The primary reason for the subdued growth resulting from the pandemic was the earlier heavy reliance on large brick-and-mortar offices for round-the-clock operations and strict data security measures required by regulated clients such as banks and other financial institutions. Fortunately, the industry was among the very first to quickly adjust to the Work-From-Home (WFH) mode (and more recently Work from Everywhere). The industry also showed leadership in creative solutions to the strict lockdowns that were imposed by the Government at the beginning of the pandemic. Some BPO companies housed workers in hotels with private buses ferrying the workers around. At an overall level, some contact center players experienced lower volumes while others witnessed an increase in demand to new areas of growth, e.g., e-commerce and technical helpdesks.

In 2021, the sector was ahead of the curve by growing faster than GDP at 8-9% (GDP was less than 8%). This was due to pent-up demand, better than expected WFH approvals from clients, and growth in newer market segments such as e-commerce, healthcare, technology fintech, etc. These are the segments of the digitalization sector that will lead in the post-pandemic era, thus guaranteeing a continuation of the 8-9% annual growth rate or even more. The blessing in disguise of the pandemic was that it accelerated the digitalization wave in the Philippines with various CC and BP enterprises adopting digital solutions and automating processes.

The government sector in the Philippines is enthusiastically embracing digitalization. For example, in the health sector, the Government is rolling out various digital solutions such as COVID Vax Cert — a national IT System. National elections are also being digitally enabled. The new Bureau of Internal Revenue (BIR) Commissioner appointed by President Marcos Jr. is well known for her expertise and keen interest in digitalizing processes in the BIR, thus improving the delivery of services and minimizing opportunities for corruption.

With the shift towards complex service delivery, growing focus on digitalization, and, most importantly, upskilling/reskilling talent, the Philippines can expect to see its CC and BP sector growing even at double-digit rates in the coming years, making significant contributions to the generation of employment, foreign exchange earnings, and the dispersal of economic activities to regions outside of Metro Manila.

(To be continued.)

 

Bernardo M. Villegas has a Ph.D. in Economics from Harvard, is professor emeritus at the University of Asia and the Pacific, and a visiting professor at the IESE Business School in Barcelona, Spain. He was a member of the 1986 Constitutional Commission.

bernardo.villegas@uap.asia

A glimpse of what lies ahead

PHILIPPINE STAR/KRIZ JOHN ROSALES

A Philippine president’s six-year term is composed of 2,190 days. Still, we assign great importance to the first 100 days, even though it is a fraction of the total number, because of several reasons: The initial period gives us an initial impression of what the entire presidency might be like, and a preview of the things it deems important. It gives us a taste of a particular president’s brand of leadership, and an idea of what to expect for the remainder of his term. We get a sense of whether we should brace ourselves for a difficult ride, or rest assured that our country — even if beset by many problems — is under sound stewardship.

This was what we discussed last Friday during the virtual town hall discussion organized by the Stratbase ADR Institute. Entitled “Continuity and Change? An Assessment of the President’s First 100 Days in Office,” the event gathered a select panel of policy and governance experts. We talked about what we might glean from the first actions and decisions made by President Ferdinand Marcos, Jr., — a majority president elected by 31 million Filipinos last May.

Marcos Jr. now faces the daunting task of addressing the lingering issues brought upon by the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as by other external risks that threaten the country’s growth. These issues range from social inequality, poverty, unemployment inflation, corruption, the digital gap, to traditional security risks.

In my opening remarks, I conveyed my impression that at the very least, based on the President’s words and decisions in the past few weeks, we have reason to be hopeful that he has set a good direction for the country in terms of goals and priorities. Mr. Marcos has very clearly outlined his legislative agenda. He has appointed some competent people in crucial posts. Judging from appearances, this administration would be run, not on a whim like the previous administration was, but with much more rationality and deliberation in the next six years.

That gives us a measure of relief — at least, for now.

Pulse Asia President Dr. Ronald Holmes said that to a certain extent, “the administration has indeed done much in the last 100 days and there are certain indicators of what Marcos Jr. refers to as a functional government.” He cited the many meetings in key areas already convened by the President during his first three months. They were also able to submit the 2023 budget in good time for Congressional deliberation.

There is a crucial challenge, though — this administration should strengthen, rather than erode, our democratic institutions and virtues. The issues of disinformation and protection of basic freedoms must be addressed.

Calixto “Toti” Chikiamco, President of the Foundation for Economic Freedom, was more nuanced in his observations. On the plus side, he said Marcos Jr. had been able to correct the mistakes of his immediate predecessor in terms of public-private partnerships and achieve a more balanced foreign stance with China and the US, unlike the policies of Duterte (pro-China) and the late Benigno Aquino III (pro-US).

Mr. Chikiamco said he wanted to see a clear economic legislative agenda addressing the food shortage and fostering long-term, sustainable growth. “Fiscal consolidation and increasing taxes are not enough,” he said. His advice was to operationalize the Public Service Act, establish a roadmap to boost mining, and have a clear plan to address the health crisis — emphasizing that COVID-19 is not yet over — more decisively.

Zy-Za Nadine Suzara, Executive Director of the Institute for Leadership, Empowerment, and Democracy (iLEAD), commented on the apparent priorities of the Marcos administration as can be seen from its budget — priorities that do not seem to include economic recovery and the continued fight against COVID-19. Military spending and infrastructure seem to be important to this administration, she said, and there is less emphasis on people-centered programs.

“Let’s see if there might be some changes in the next years and if there will be improvements in how these budgets are spent for programs that will benefit ordinary Filipinos,” she said.

Finally, Coco Alcuaz, executive director of the Makati Business Club, said the business sector welcomes Marcos’ words on partnerships, participation, and making the Philippines an investment destination.

“This is a very good signal that there will be a change in how the government deals with the private sector as compared with the previous administration,” he said, saying that the private sector really, truly wants to work with the government.

No doubt, all of us will be closely watching how the Marcos Jr. administration would perform in the next six years. And while we take the President’s early pronouncements as encouraging, we also want to convey that we will be cautious and demanding. We want accountability at the core of governance and in the implementation of public policies.

It will not be too much for the people to demand accountability for what has been articulated and promised, for what has yet to be done, and for succeeding policy choices and decisions. We have given this administration a strong mandate, and we pay our government officials with our hard-earned money, so the Filipino people have every right to exact accountability from those who claim to have the public’s best interests in mind.

 

Victor Andres “Dindo” C. Manhit is the president of the Stratbase ADR Institute.

BSP gears for regulatory sandbox framework

SNOWING-FREEPIK

On Sept. 5, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) issued BSP Circular No. 1153 which institutionalizes a regulatory sandbox framework to better evaluate entities under its regulatory purview that offer or use financial products/services utilizing emerging or new technology (such as, but not limited to, artificial intelligence/machine learning, Internet-of-Things or IoT, 5G, cloud and quantum computing, robotics process/business automation, and decentralized ledger technologies). As part of its “test-and-learn” approach, the BSP attempts to gain firsthand, evidence-based insights on how these emerging technologies operate, identify consequences and risks on usage and implementation, and how these technological solutions can be properly regulated without impeding innovation.

It may be recalled that in June 2021, the BSP, through circular No. 1122, initiated an open finance framework that has enabled access for third-party providers (TPP) to use customer’s financial information and data (subject to consent requirements and opt-out mechanisms). Consequently, TPPs can leverage on such data to better develop their financial technology (fintech) products and services. The BSP, in the same circular, recommended the creation of a central sandbox to create an environment where these products can be deployed and tested within specified parameters and timeframes. Circular No. 1153 appears to build on this open finance framework by operationalizing the sandbox component of the BSP’s initiatives.

WHAT IS A REGULATORY SANDBOX?
A regulatory sandbox is defined under the Circular as “a controlled, time-bound, live testing environment, which may feature regulatory waivers xxx [that] involve limits or parameters within which [p]articipants must operate.” Broadly speaking, it allows fintech providers the chance to test their products/services in a controlled environment — consisting of select groups of consumers with whom the fintech providers may interact with — under the supervision of BSP’s Sandbox Oversight Team. Those who wish to participate in the regulatory sandbox must first meet the eligibility standards under the Circular before they can be approved to become part of the sandbox activity.

Under the Circular, the applicants should meet the following criteria to be able to participate in the regulatory sandbox:

a. The financial solution: 1.) uses new or emerging technology or utilizes an existing technology in an innovative manner, or, 2.) bridges a market gap in the delivery of financial products/services. The financial solution must be supported by research that shall be part of the documents submitted to the BSP.

b. The applicant must demonstrate its capability to deploy the proposed solution through a roll-out plan or strategy.

c. The applicant shall provide an initial test plan, which includes test case scenarios and expected outcomes of the experiment.

d. The applicant must be able to identify significant risks, including money laundering and terrorist financing risks, IT and cybersecurity, data integrity and data privacy, market acceptability, consumer protection, and project implementation/execution, relevant to the innovation and the corresponding proposed safeguards and risk mitigation strategies.

e. The applicant must be able to identify Key Performance Indicators or other metrics in monitoring the progress of the pilot implementation; and,

f. The applicant shall provide an acceptable exit and transition strategy once the experimentation is completed regardless of the outcome.

The BSP, in the course of its evaluation, reserves the right to reject an application based on the merits of the submitted documents and representations, without prejudice to the filing of a new application after a six-month cooling off period.

Those who are eligible will be allowed to test their proposed innovation in accordance with the BSP-approved test plan which shall be suited to the features of the proposed innovation/solution. Specific regulatory requirements may be relaxed during the testing period in accordance with the test plan. Once the test plan is approved, the BSP will issue a Letter to Proceed with the Test Implementation. From there, the Testing Implementation Phase commences, with testing duration ranging from three to 12 months from the go-live date, depending on the complexity of the proposed solution. After the testing stage, a comprehensive evaluation of the whole experimentation shall take place as part of the exit procedures. The participants must comply with the reportorial requirements mandated by the BSP to establish the necessary information and final results of the experimentation.

Participants whose sandbox activities are assessed as successful and whose products or services are deemed fit for public consumption may apply to operate and offer for public use and consumption the proposed product or service that was subjected to the sandbox activity. The Sandbox Oversight Team shall endorse for approval the product or service that resulted in a successful sandbox testing. The pertinent requirements and processing timelines for the issuance of an authority to offer electronic products and financial services shall apply for this purpose. However, the approving authorities in the BSP reserve the right to approve or disapprove the proposed product or service despite the successful sandbox testing.

The regulatory sandbox is a step in the right direction towards an inclusive digital financial ecosystem in the Philippines. Hopefully, this bottom-up approach towards policy making will break down unneeded regulatory barriers (while still addressing the risks associated with the adoption of certain innovations), and further promote private and public sector partnerships.

This article is for general informational and educational purposes only and not offered as and does not constitute legal advice or legal opinion.

 

Juan Miguel C. De La Cruz is an associate of the Corporate & Special Projects department of the Angara Abello Concepcion Regala & Cruz Law Offices (ACCRALAW).

jcdelacruz@accralaw.com

(632) 8830 8000

Dealing with a looming military pension crisis

PHILIPPINE STAR/EDD GUMBAN

FEW ARE AWARE that our military, while government employees, are not members of the Government Service Insurance System (GSIS).  Thus, when they retire, they will not draw their pension from the GSIS but directly from the government via the yearly approved General Appropriations Act (GAA). This has several flaws. For one, it is on a pay-as-you-go basis, meaning the government pays only the existing pension and does not set aside annual amounts for future payments (full funding of future liabilities). Moreover, unlike with other government employees with GSIS, no premiums are deducted from the salaries of our military. Thus, the government fully pays for the pension of the military while the GSIS members pay partly for their pension through monthly deductions from their salaries.

The question naturally arises. Why not just absorb them into the GSIS? The GSIS actually did an actuarial study of the financial impact of absorbing the military and estimated that this would involve assuming P9.6 trillion in unfunded liabilities, clearly beyond the financial capacity of the GSIS. And so the problem looms. Last July, the DBM released P26 billion to cover the 1st Quarter pension requirements of our military. Our Congressional Planning and Budget Department estimates that if no reform is undertaken, the National Government will need P800 billion for the next 20 years.

There must be another way of dealing with this looming military pension crisis.

First, a short course on Pension Economics 101.

Pension is the money an employee receives upon or after retirement from a company.

The size of his pension rises geometrically the longer he stays in the company for three reasons:

1) Eligibility — Usually an employee will get a pension only if he works in the company for a minimum number of years. Moreover, in a process called vesting, he receives only a percentage of the pension benefits he would get if he stayed with the company until retirement. For example, if he leaves the company after 10 years, he is entitled to only 10% of the pension.

2) Last salary basis — When an employee retires, his pension is computed on the basis of his last salary. Thus, a person who leaves the company after five years will have a much lower last salary than one who leaves the company after 20 years; and finally,

3) Length of service — The pension is usually computed based on the number of years served. And so, the more years served, the higher the pension.

After World War II, the US Congress, in recognition of the service of its veterans, enacted the G.I. Bill of Rights which in effect allowed veterans to go to any school that they chose and that would accept them, all at government expense. It was so successful that it was continued and now it is available to all serving US military personnel.

With this educational benefit, US soldiers now have an incentive to transition as fast as possible to civilian life. As noted, the US Army retention rate is 5% for those with 37 to 48 months of service. (Unfortunately, we have no comparable figures for the Philippines, but we believe the retention rate to be much higher as noted below.)

And so, Pension Economics 101 kicked in and the US government, unlike the Philippines does not have a military pension crisis.

More important than economics is the impact on military doctrine. As with most countries, the military doctrine adopted by the Philippines is that in case of war it mobilized its citizens to fight led by a professional officer corps.

In some countries such as Israel and Singapore, the government requires every citizen to serve in the military, usually for two years. Thus, when mobilized, the citizenry knows how to fight.

And what about those countries which do not conscript such as the United States and the Philippines? The US military encourages young men to enlist, gives them free education, and then encourages them to return to the civilian sector. This policy of high personnel turnover assures the military of a large pool of militarily prepared citizenry.

The Philippines has not adopted such a policy. We are thus faced with a situation where young men enter military service usually out of economic necessity and then cannot return to civilian life as they do not have employable skills needed in the private sector. Congressman Joey Salceda notes that for our soldiers, the military pension is not earned until after 20 years of service. The fact that despite this, we have a looming military pension crisis indicates that we have a lot of overstaying soldiers.

Putting all this together, we argue that the government should launch a Transition to Civilian Life Program whose objective is to transition our rank-and-file soldier to civilian life after a maximum of 10 years of military service. This program would include among others, career counseling services, school vouchers for education, and partnership with the private sector in terms of internships, job fairs, and subsequent hiring. Moreover, we should consider giving a demobilization bonus so the retiring veteran will have some funds in his new life as a civilian. This program could include our officer corps if surveys show they want it.

The expected outcome of this program is a larger pool of militarily trained citizens, our veterans with bright prospects in civilian life, and a solution to our looming military pension crisis.

 

Dr. Victor S. Limlingan is the chairman of the Cristina Research Foundation, Inc., a public policy advisory firm, and the Regina Capital Development Corp. He is presently a Regent of the Board of Regents of the Pamantasan ng Lunsod ng Pasig. Among the books he has written are The Overseas Chinese in ASEAN: Business Strategies and Management Practices and The Visible Hand and the Developing Economy. As public policy adviser to the legislative branch, he advised on legislation such as Kalakalan 20, Overseas Workers Development Fund, the charter of the Banko Sentral ng Pilipinas and the EPIRA Law.

France begins nationwide strike amid soaring inflation

REUTERS

PARIS — French trade unions began a nationwide strike on Tuesday, asking for higher salaries amid decades-high inflation and posing President Emmanuel Macron one of his stiffest challenges since his reelection in May.

The strike, which will primarily affect public sectors such as schools and transportation, is an extension of the weeks-long industrial action that has disrupted France’s major refineries and put petrol stations’ supply in disarray.

Trade union leaders are hoping workers will be energized by the government’s decision to force some of them to go back to work at petrol depots to try and get the fuel flowing again, a move some say put in jeopardy the right to strike.

The CGT union notably has called for continued walkouts into a fourth week at TotalEnergies, despite the oil company reaching a deal including a 7% increase and a bonus on Friday with other unions. The CGT is demanding a 10% pay rise, citing inflation and the firm’s huge profits.

Eurostar said it was cancelling some trains between London and Paris because of the strike.

As tensions rise in the euro zone’s second-biggest economy, strikes have already spilled over into other parts of the energy sector, including nuclear giant EDF, where maintenance work crucial for Europe’s power supply will be delayed.

A representative of the FNME-CGT union on Monday said strikes were affecting work at 10 French nuclear power plants, with further maintenance delays at 13 reactors and French power production reduced by a total of 2.2 gigawatts.

In public transport, major disruptions are expected in local traffic, including in the Eurostar, trains and suburban trains, as well as the Paris subway.

Civil service workers’ unions have also called for joining Tuesday’s strike, with possible disruptions in schools and other public facilities.

The strikes are happening in a tense political context as the French government is set to pass the 2023 budget using special constitutional powers that would allow it to bypass a vote in parliament, Prime Minister Elisabeth Borne said on Sunday.

Demonstrations are scheduled all over the country, with one in Paris starting at 1200 GMT.

Thousands of people took to the streets of Paris on Sunday to protest against soaring prices. The leader of hard-left party La France Insoumise (France Unbowed), Jean-Luc Melenchon, marched alongside this year’s Nobel Prize winner for Literature, Annie Ernaux. Mr. Melenchon called a general strike for Tuesday. — Reuters

Britons spend more nights in, take packed lunches to cover electricity bills

Visitors eat fish and chips and drink soft drinks at a beach cafe in Brighton, Britain, Sept. 24, 2017. — REUTERS

LONDON — Britons are spending more nights in, taking packed lunches to work and eschewing new clothes and treats to ensure they can cover rising energy bills this autumn and winter, according to data from Barclaycard published on Tuesday.

While the UK government is subsidizing energy bills for households until April next year, the average household is still paying twice as much each month for heat and lighting versus a year ago. Wages are also failing to keep pace with UK inflation which was 9.9% in August.

Barclaycard’s survey data found 53% of Britons are planning to cut down on discretionary spending to be able to afford their energy bills.

Of these 60% are reducing the amount they eat out at restaurants, 47% are spending less on drinking in pubs, bars and nightclubs and 59% are cutting down on buying new clothes and accessories.

The data showed 51% of Britons are planning to spend more evenings at home over the coming months.

It showed 29% of Britons are now taking a packed or home-made lunch to work instead of buying food on-the-go, while 28% are cutting back on treats at work, such as coffees and snacks. Some 13% are even skipping meals at work altogether.

Barclaycard said 65% of Britons were looking for ways to save energy at home.

Of these 68% are turning off lights when they leave a room, 57% are wearing more layers, and 54% are boiling only as much water as they need, rather than a full kettle.

The Barclaycard data chimed with data from market researcher Kantar last week which said Britons were searching for cheaper ways to cook as they try to avoid using their ovens. It highlighted a jump in sales of slow cookers, air fryers and sandwich makers, which generally use less energy.

Kantar also highlighted the stocking-up of candles and duvets as people prepare for possible winter blackouts.

Britons are also buying portable generators and torches. — Reuters

Russian ‘suicide drones’ strike terror in Ukraine

Army soldier figurines are displayed in front of the Ukrainian and Russian flag colors background in this illustration taken, Feb. 13, 2022. — REUTERS/DADO RUVIC/ILLUSTRATION

KYIV/WASHINGTON — Russia attacked Ukraine with drones late on Monday, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said, after a day of strikes on cities in which at least four people were killed and a US warning that it will hold Russia accountable for war crimes.

Russian forces also targeted infrastructure across Ukraine in the second wave of air strikes in a week, which like the first came in the morning as people went to work and school.

The Russian strikes followed advances by Ukrainian forces in the east and south and after an Oct. 8 blast on a bridge linking mainland Russia to Crimea — the peninsula Russia annexed from Ukraine in 2014.

“Right now, there is a new Russian drone attack,” Zelensky, said in a Monday evening video address. “There are (drones) that have been shot down.”

The Interfax Ukraine news agency said Telegram users had reported blasts in the town of Fastiv just outside Kyiv, as well as in the southern port of Odesa.

Earlier on Monday, Ukrainian soldiers fired into the air trying to shoot down drones, and as residents raced for shelter, after blasts rocked the capital Kyiv.

US President Joseph R. Biden’s press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre told reporters that the White House “strongly condemns Russia’s missile strikes” and said the attack “continues to demonstrate Putin’s brutality”.

Russian President Vladimir Putin sent 10s of thousands of troops into Ukraine on Feb. 24 in what he called a “special operation” to root out what it calls dangerous nationalists.

Ukrainian forces have mounted stiff resistance, with the help of arms supplied by the United States and its allies, who have also imposed sweeping sanctions on Russia in an effort to force it to withdraw.

Mentioning a $725 million military aid package announced for Ukraine last Friday, Ms. Jean-Pierre said the United States would stand with the people of Ukraine “for as long as it takes”.

“We will continue to impose costs on Russia, hold them accountable for its war crimes,” she said.

A pregnant woman was among four people killed in an attack on a Kyiv residential building, mayor Vitali Klitschko said. Ukraine’s Interior Minister Denys Monastyrskyi said there had been deaths in other cities but did not provide a full toll.

Black smoke poured out of the windows of the Kyiv apartment building and emergency service workers toiled to douse flames.

“I have never been so afraid … It is murder, it is simply murder,” said Vitalii Dushevskiy, 29, a food delivery courier who rents an apartment in the building.

Russia denies targeting civilians. Its defense ministry said it had carried out a “massive” attack on military targets and energy infrastructure across Ukraine using high-precision weapons.

Ukraine said the attacks were carried out by Iran-made “suicide drones,” which fly to their target and detonate. The United States, Britain and France agreed that Iran supplying drones to Russia would violate a U.N. Security Council resolution that endorsed the 2015 nuclear deal between Iran and six powers.

Iran on Monday stuck to its denial that it is supplying the drones to Russia, while the Kremlin has not commented.

The White House accused Iran of lying when it says Iranian drones were not being used by Russia in Ukraine.

Asked for comment, the Iranian mission to the United Nations repeated a statement issued by the government on Friday that said it supports upholding the U.N. Charter and the U.N. attempts to find a peaceful solution to the conflict in Ukraine.

Several EU foreign ministers on Monday called for sanctions against Iran over the transfer of drones to Russia.

Ukraine’s military said it had destroyed 37 Russian drones since Sunday evening, or around 85% of those used in attacks. Reuters was not able to independently verify that tally. — Reuters

Canadian firms see recession coming

A PERSON stands in front of a Canadian flag in Montreal, Quebec, Canada, Sept. 20, 2022. — REUTERS

OTTAWA —Business sentiment has softened in Canada and most firms now think a recession is likely, a Bank of Canada survey showed on Monday, but inflation expectations remain high, leaving the central bank little choice but to continue raising rates.

The bank’s Business Outlook Survey showed 77% of firms see price growth staying above 3% for the next two years. A separate survey showed near-term consumer inflation expectations at record highs, though longer term expectations have eased, providing some relief.

“Still-high expectations for inflation will keep the Bank of Canada in rate hike mode,” said Andrew Grantham, senior economist at CIBC Capital Markets, in a note.

Consumers’ lack of confidence that rate hikes will reduce inflation means “workers will be doing everything they can to negotiate higher wages to offset rising prices,” said Royce Mendes, head of macro strategy at Desjardins Group, in a note.

That is cause for concern for the central bank as it seeks to avoid a wage-price spiral, analysts said.

The more the Bank of Canada has to increase rates to temper persistent inflation and keep expectations in check, the greater the chance that it will trigger a recession.

The central bank has already hiked its policy rate by 300 basis points since March and money markets are betting on another half a point increase to 3.75% on Oct. 26. Rates are now seen peaking between 4.25% and 4.5% next year.

Canadian inflation edged down to 7% in August and analysts surveyed by Reuters forecast data on Wednesday will show a further dip to 6.8% in September, still far above the central bank’s 2% target.

RECESSION WORRIES MOUNT
While business sentiment stayed positive in the third quarter survey, there are early signs that pressures on prices and wages are easing. Labor and supply chain bottlenecks restraining business capacity, may have peaked.

Firms linked to housing activity expect higher interest rates to hurt their sales, while others now see slower — though still healthy — sales growth, the survey found.

“While many firms anticipate a recession, those not linked to housing activity and other household consumption do not expect it to have a large impact on demand for their products and services,” the survey said.

Governor Tiff Macklem said last week that the central bank still believed a recession could be avoided, though he warned the path to a “soft landing” was narrowing. Analysts are more skeptical.

“I don’t believe in a soft landing in the current situation,” said Robert Asselin, a senior policy analyst at the Business Council of Canada. “The bank is very aggressive with hiking rates… I think it will continue and the conclusion of that has to be that there will be significant economic damage.” — Reuters