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Entertainment News (01/23/24)


Aurora Music Festival tickets now on sale

TICKETS are now on sale for the Aurora Music Festival which will be held at Clark Global City in Pampanga from April 6 to 7. The event will include live music and a display of more than 20 hot air balloons. The acts on day one will be SB19, Moira Dela Torre, December Avenue, Juan Karlos, Adie, and Cup of Joe. Day two will have Rico Blanco, Parokya ni Edgar, Kamikazee, Orange & Lemons, Itchyworms, and Andrew E. Produced by Epic Events, Eggstop, and Mr. Macchiato, the festival is a celebration of the OPM (Original Pilipino Music) scene. Tickets are now on sale via 
https://ticket.epiceventsph.com/, all SM Tickets outlets, and Shopee.


Four Filipino films to be shown at Sundance

AMONG the 92 films at the Sundance Film Festival, which runs from Jan. 18 to 28 in Salt Lake City and Park City in Utah, USA, are four works by Filipinos. These are the documentary And So It Begins by Ramona Diaz, and the short films Dream Creep by Carlos A.F. Lopez, Thirstygirl by Alexadra Qin, and Bold Eagle by Whammy Alcazaren. “Each of these shorts delves into subject matters that aren’t typically discussed at the family dinner table — sex addiction, the pursuit of love and intimacy in the digital age, and the confrontation of both internal and external horrors. While these topics may radiate a certain seductive allure, beneath the surface, there exists a profound and delicate exploration of the human experience and challenges of navigating the world,” said Sundance Film Festival’s short film programmer Irene Suico Soriano.


Free screening of films on gaming history

A COLLECTION of critically acclaimed and award-winning documentaries on the history of gaming will be screened for free by the Museum of Contemporary and Design (MCAD) of the De La Salle-College of Saint Benilde. The selection provides the viewers with a 360-perspective of the video game scene, from its humble beginnings and ending with some of the key purveyors in the community. It touches upon the conflict of tradition versus capitalism between industry giants. It likewise takes the audience into the ins and outs of game development, commercialization, and its impact on the personal lives of its avid users. The films are: The Lost Arcade (2015) by Kurt Vincent about the legacy of the Chinatown Fair Arcade on the competitive fighting game community in New York City (it screens on Jan. 24); Console Wars (2020) by director Jonah Tullis, based on the 2014 novel of the same title by Blake J. Harris, it is about the 1990s rift between Sega and Nintendo (Jan. 25); Indie Games: The Movie (2012) by James Swirsky and Lisanne Pajot introduces the audience into the behind-the-scenes of Braid, Super Meat Boy, and Fez (Jan. 26); Free to Play (2014) looks at the lives of three professional Defense of the Ancients (DotA) players in the lucrative e-sports tournament (Jan. 27). The screening is the year’s first offering for MCAD x Moving Image, a program that presents a series of hybrid documentaries, video essays, narrative experiments, filmed performances, and archival audiovisions. It is free and open to the public. It will be held online via Zoom at noon on the scheduled dates. Interested participants may register through http://tinyurl.com/nhcza936. For more information, visit https://facebook.com/MCADManila.


Gloc-9 drops new single

ASIDE from performing at different gigs and festivals, Gloc-9 started his 2024 strong with a new single, “Labandero.” The track weaves a narrative of life’s challenges and the unwavering spirit required to overcome them. The song’s hooks and rap verses deliver a message of hope and determination. It is part of the recent OPM Rising playlist on Spotify and is now available on all digital platforms.


Animated comedy Migration now in cinemas

THE FILM Migration is animation company Illumination’s latest original comedy. It follows the Mallards, a family of ducks, whose father Mack (voiced by Kumail Nanjiani), is content to keep his family safe paddling around their New England pond forever, while mother Pam (Elizabeth Banks) prefers to shake things up and show their kids the world. They embark on a family trip, via New York City, to tropical Jamaica. Migration, from Universal Pictures International, is now showing nationwide.


Dhruv releases new single

SINGER-songwriter and producer Dhruv has dropped “Tragedy,” the new single off his debut album which is expected to be released later this year. The piano-led track is co-written by Dhruv and produced by JT Daly, and it chronicles the somber feeling of being on the losing end of a breakup after a failed attempt of reconciling with an ex. Conceptualized by Dhruv and filmed throughout London, the accompanying music video, directed by AboveGround, has Dhruv act out his own version of a tragedy as he searches for answers but instead finds bad luck at every turn. “Tragedy” is out now on all digital music platforms worldwide via Sony Music Entertainment.


Tokyo Revengers 2 now showing

WITH intense action and physical sequences, Tokyo Revengers 2: Bloody Halloween – Destiny showcases a conflict between the Tokyo Manji gang and the Valhalla gang. It is based on the best-selling manga series of the same name by Ken Wakui, and stars Takumi Kitamura as the driven lead Takemichi Hanagaki. According to action director Yuta Morokaji, the emotions of the characters play against the sharpness of the actions, with much of it filmed on a large junkyard set. The film is out in Philippine cinemas now.

Century Properties Group to launch 2 projects in first half 

CENTURY Properties Group (CPG) is set to launch two projects in the first half of the year as part of its expansion strategy, the company announced on Monday.

The company plans to launch projects under its premium in-city line, with one located in Metro Manila and the other in Pampanga, the listed property developer said in a regulatory filing.

The Hotel Residences at Acqua development in Mandaluyong City is scheduled for launch in the first quarter, the company said.

The first mid-rise residential project, consisting of 12 stories, at Azure North in San Fernando, Pampanga, is also scheduled for launch in the first half, it added.

According to the company, the Hotel Residences at Acqua will offer move-in ready, hotel-fitted, and fully furnished suits. 

Meanwhile, the first tower of the residential development at Azure North will offer 375 units. It will also have multi-feature water park amenities.

“I think overall, 2024 should be a banner year for the company — better than this year,” CPG President and Chief Executive Officer Jose Marco R. Antonio said in November.

“Our outlook is actually cautiously optimistic. There are many reasons why we believe it’s going to be a good year. Our affordable housing business is growing very rapidly. As you are probably aware, we’ve launched many projects,” he added.

On Monday, shares of CPG fell by P0.005 or 1.79% to P0.275 apiece. — Revin Mikhael D. Ochave 

Green is in: Regulations influencing sustainable building development in Philippines

KELLY DOROTEO-UNSPLASH

IN THE PHILIPPINES, there are various financial regulations in place that encourage the development of green and sustainable buildings. These regulations incentivize businesses to adopt sustainable business practices and contribute to the country’s efforts to mitigate the impact of climate change.

In the previous Congresses, lawmakers have proposed a measure that would update the country’s Building Code, and mandate the implementation of green building practices in all new buildings and major renovations.

Other government agencies and business organizations have also proposed and enacted green initiatives to assuage the impact of climate change.

The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) has also implemented sustainable finance regulations that encourage financial institutions to support green initiatives. The BSP’s Sustainable Finance Framework requires banks and financial institutions to integrate environmental and social considerations in their lending, investing, and risk management activities. The framework incentivizes the issuance of green bonds and green loans, which fund projects that have positive environmental impact, such as renewable energy and sustainable infrastructure. This regulation promotes the development of green finance and encourages sustainable investments, which can contribute to the country’s sustainable economic growth.

The Securities and Exchange Commission has issued guidelines on the establishment of Green Bonds and Social Bonds, which promote sustainable and socially responsible investments. These guidelines require issuers to disclose the environmental and social benefits of the bond proceeds and report on the use of proceeds and impact achieved. This regulation encourages the issuance of green bonds and social bonds, which fund projects that have positive environmental and social impacts, such as clean energy, affordable housing, and healthcare. These bonds attract socially responsible investors and promote sustainable development.

The Department of Energy (DoE) also implements financial regulations that encourage the adoption of green and sustainable workspaces. The DoE provides financial incentives, such as tax exemptions, reduced fees, and subsidies, to businesses that use renewable energy sources, such as solar and wind power. This regulation promotes the development of renewable energy, reduces reliance on fossil fuels, and contributes to the country’s efforts to mitigate the impacts of climate change. These incentives make renewable energy more affordable and attractive for businesses, leading to cost savings and environmental benefits.

Moreover, the Philippine Stock Exchange has launched the Sustainability Reporting Guidelines, which require listed companies to disclose their environmental, social, and governance (ESG) practices. This initiative encourages companies to adopt sustainable business practices and provides investors with ESG-related information to make informed investment decisions. The guidelines also promote transparency, accountability, and good governance, which can contribute to the country’s sustainable development.

The implementation of these financial regulations is crucial in promoting the development of green and sustainable buildings. Developers and building owners must embrace sustainable design and create structures that are greener and more efficient. Not only can they take advantage of existing regulations, but also use these to attract tenants that have ESG targets to meet. Moreover, the adoption of green and sustainable workspaces can lead to cost savings to building tenants, job creation, improved reputation, and contribute to the country’s efforts to mitigate the impact of climate change. Different government agencies are working hand in hand to influence greener construction, projects, and investments so that the Philippines can reap the advantages of an ecologically sound tomorrow.

Sustainability should be every Filipino’s responsibility.

 

Daniel Salapong is the associate director for Colliers Philippines.

T-bill yields rise as BSP says rate cuts still far off

BW FILE PHOTO

THE GOVERNMENT made a full award of the Treasury bills (T-bills) it offered on Monday at higher rates after the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) said it is unlikely to cut rates this semester.

The Bureau of the Treasury (BTr) raised P15 billion as planned via its offering of T-bills on Monday as total bids reached P34.985 billion or more than twice the amount on the auction block.

Broken down, the Treasury made a full P5-billion award of the 91-day T-bills as tenders for the tenor reached P11.94 billion. The three-month paper was quoted at an average rate of 5.306%, 8 basis points (bps) higher than 5.226% seen last week. Accepted rates ranged from 5.275% to 5.5.35%.

The government raised P5 billion as planned from the 182-day securities as bids for the tenor reached P10.97 billion. The average rate for the six-month T-bill was at 5.766%, up by 8.1 bps from the 5.685% fetched last week, with accepted rates at 5.743% to 5.795%.

Lastly, the BTr borrowed the programmed P5 billion via the 364-day debt paper as demand for the tenor stood at P12.075 billion. The average rate of the one-year T-bill went up by 3.8 bps to 6.037% from the 5.999% quoted last week. Accepted yields were from 6% to 6.075%.

At the secondary market on Monday before the auctions, the 91-, 182-, and 364-day T-bills were quoted at 5.3587%, 5.6655%, and 5.9991%, respectively, based on PHP Bloomberg Valuation Service Reference Rates data provided by the BTr.

T-bill rates rose on Monday after BSP Governor Eli M. Remolona, Jr. said they are unlikely to bring down benchmark interest rates before June, Rizal Commercial Banking Corp. Chief Economist Michael L. Ricafort said in a Viber message.

“The higher tender rates today reflected the prevailing market view that the BSP will unlikely cut policy rates earlier this year, as echoed recently by BSP Governor Remolona,” a trader likewise said in an e-mail on Monday.

Mr. Remolona said over the weekend that it is unlikely that the BSP will begin easing policy rates within the first half amid lingering upside risks to inflation.

The Monetary Board raised borrowing costs by 450 bps from May 2022 to October 2023, bringing the policy rate to a 16-year high of 6.5%.

The BSP expects headline inflation to average 3.7% this year, slower than 6% seen in 2023.

The central bank will hold its first policy meeting for this year on Feb. 15.

On Tuesday, the BTr will auction off P30 billion in fresh 10-year Treasury bonds (T-bonds).

The Treasury plans to raise P195 billion from the domestic market this month, or P75 billion via T-bills and P120 billion through T-bonds.

The government borrows from local and foreign sources to help fund its budget deficit, which is capped at 5.1% of gross domestic product this year or P1.39 trillion. — A.M.C. Sy

Capitalism is the answer

VECSTOCK-FREEPIK

I was heartened when President Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos, Jr. appointed Joel Consing, Frederick Go, and Francis Tiu Laurel to important posts in government. Agriculture Secretary Francis Tiu Laurel ran his family’s multinational fishery and food business. Former Presidential Adviser and current Maharlika Investment Corp. CEO Joel Consing was Chief Financial Officer in ICTSI and, before that, Aboitiz. Special Presidential Economic Adviser and Cabinet Secretary Frederic Go was CEO of Robinson’s Land Corp.

I told myself that their corporate backgrounds give them the managerial skills for execution, and, more importantly, the private sector, pro-market point of view.

However, I also worry that they might think that they can manage government. That with the right people and the right resources, government can be managed to execute for the public good.

Take agriculture, for example. The Department of Agriculture (DA) is surrounded by the usual suspects who will tell the Secretary that to modernize agriculture, all the government needs to do is invest in more warehouses, farm-to-market roads, cold chain facilities, crop subsidies, etc. More money for agriculture will solve the problem. It’s tempting to think that with the right management skills, this can be done.

But there’s a problem. For one thing, more money is never enough for these usual suspects. For another, they assume that the DA is an efficient and clean bureaucracy. In the time of former Agriculture Secretary Proceso Alcala, he was able to double the DA budget but average agricultural output of 1.2% per annum was far below population growth and even below the average during his predecessor’s term.

And — I have written about it before — a graduate study by Melinda Limlengco, formerly of the University of Nagoya, showed that the effect of the DA on increased agricultural output was insignificant. This means that the DA might as well be abolished, and the country’s agricultural output would remain unaffected.

So, what’s the answer?

Capitalism is the answer. Enable an environment in which the private sector will be the ones to build these warehouses, cold chain facilities, infrastructure, modern and scientifically managed farms, etc. To do that, one has to look at the binding constraints on private investment in agriculture and remove those binding constraints.

This is what Energy Secretary Rafael “Popo” Lotilla has done in the Department of Energy. Instead of the government building renewable energy sources of green power, he revised the IRR (Implementing Rules and Regulations) on the Renewable Energy Law to enable 100% foreign ownership of renewable energy projects. The protectionists and Filipino rent-seekers had previous governments reserve RE (Renewable Energy) projects only for “Filipinos” under the 60/40 rule on the pretext that solar, wind, and ocean are “natural resources.” The Justice department opinion that solar, wind, and ocean are sources of kinetic energy, and not potential energy (as in carbon) and not a depletable natural resource, removed a binding constraint.

What happened since then has been a rush of foreign investment in renewable energy. RE projects account for most of the country’s Bureau of Industry-registered projects.

What about agriculture? What are its binding constraints? Land fragmentation and small-scale agriculture. Protectionism and no incentive to change from traditional methods of agriculture. Overgenerous budgets and high tariffs for low value-added commodities — rice and corn — at the expense of higher value-added crops or agribusinesses like poultry and pork production. High tariffs on rice also hurt labor-intensive manufacturing industries because the high price of rice forces wages up and makes our labor costs uncompetitive.

Capitalism is absent in agriculture. Imports are restricted and market forces aren’t allowed to play with quantitative restrictions and high tariffs on agricultural products. Market forces are also restricted in the land market with no one allowed to own more than five hectares of farmland.

The result is that we have small-scale, traditional peasant agriculture with low output instead of modern capitalist agribusinesses. This desire to protect small farmers from change is akin to protecting candle makers from electric bulbs and kalesa drivers from cars.

This economic model of protectionism and Filipino First has been there for more than 50 years. I hope the new DA Secretary doesn’t double down on this economic model.

If capitalism is the answer, then what about NGCP (National Grid Corp. of the Philippines)? Its private greed has caused delays in the completion of transmission projects. But NGCP is the exception that proves the rule. It’s an example of rent capitalism because it’s a monopoly. It should not have been privatized in the first place. (I support its renationalization or partial renationalization through an investment by the Maharlika Investment Corp.)

The problem of the Philippine economy, in fact, is there’s too much rent capitalism and not enough competitive capitalism.

Look at China. They are building leading-edge electric vehicles on the back of competitive capitalism. Sure, the central government and some of their local governments have investments in car companies but they don’t coddle them. They allow as many as 20 car manufacturers to slug it out in the market to drive innovation. They encourage “creative destruction.” They also allow them to accept foreign capital (Warren Buffet was an early backer of BYD Motors) and even list on the New York Stock Exchange.

We, on the other hand, want to keep out foreign capital. Not only are these ownership restrictions in the Constitution but also law. RA 3018 and PD 194 prohibit foreign investment in the rice and corn sectors. Our procurement laws dictate that government must procure supplies from a Filipino supplier even if he’s 20% more expensive! Thanks to a Constitution that mandates “Filipino First.”

In Forestry, we have shunned capitalism. We have relied on the government to do the planting through a P8-billion Tree Planting Program. No surprise that the Commission on Audit declared the Tree Planting program a failure, marked by huge anomalies. During the recent House hearing on Reforestation, it was revealed by a congressman that people would destroy the trees after a period of time to be given additional government payments for planting.

So, what’s the answer? Capitalism in forestry is the answer, as it is in countries like Finland and Germany, where as much as 70% of the forests are privately owned. There’s a need to remove the barriers to more private investments in forestry.

If I have one piece of advice to give to the economic advisers and the recent appointees to the Cabinet, it is this: let the strong force of competitive capitalism do the job. Promote PPPs. Liberalize as many sectors as possible to foreign investment (except those that are national security related) and promote competition. Free the rural land market. Remove the protectionist barriers to trade and let “creative destruction” play out. Invest more in public goods (education, fair and transparent rules, public data, research and development, etc.) but get government out of the way. To do otherwise is to guarantee failure.

 

Calixto V. Chikiamco is a member of the board of IDEA (Institute for Development and Econometric Analysis).

totivchiki@yahoo.com

Monde Nissin sees strong sales growth

MONDE Nissin Corp. said on Monday that it anticipates a high single-digit year-on-year sales growth for the full year of 2023.

The gross margin is expected to be in line with the 2022 margin, the listed food and beverage manufacturer said in a regulatory filing.  

“The gross margin expansion in Asia-Pacific Branded Food and Beverage (APAC BFB) was offset by the decline in meat alternative gross margin in 2023,” the company noted.

“We expect core net income to grow by mid-teens for the full year 2023,” it added.  

Monde Nissin said that the projection is based on “certain preliminary unaudited financial results for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2023,” adding that all figures are “approximate due to the preliminary nature of the announcement.”

“I am pleased to share that our preliminary fourth quarter results reflect the continued strength that we saw during the third quarter driven by our APAC BFB business,” Monde Nissin Chief Executive Officer (CEO) Henry Soesanto said.   

“This led to another all-time high revenue for the quarter and for the year,” he added.

According to the company, its APAC BFB business saw a “strong top line growth” both year over year and sequentially during the fourth quarter, which was supported by better performances of the noodles and beverages segments.  

“Our noodles market share improved by 140 basis points (bps) to 67.3% and 380 bps to 67.5% for the past 52-week and 12-week periods as of December 2023, respectively,” it said.

“The fourth quarter sales growth in the domestic business was backed by all-time high volumes, which grew by more than 5% year on year and 2% sequentially,” it added.

“We saw continued margin expansion of over 400 bps year over year in the fourth quarter. Our commodity lock ins for wheat and palm oil until the second quarter and third quarter of 2024, respectively, are lower by a low double-digit percentage compared to the same period last year.”

Monde Nissin also said its meat alternative business is expected to have a single-digit decline for the fourth quarter as it continues to “navigate in a challenging environment.”

“While the United Kingdom retail market has remained weak and continues to affect the top line, we anticipate being at least earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) neutral in the fourth quarter,” it said.

“The annual impairment test in our meat alternative business is ongoing; however, we also believe the family’s financial support will largely cover any potential impairment at the parent level,” the company added.

On Monday, shares of Monde Nissin rose by 15 centavos or 1.84% to P8.30 apiece. — Revin Mikhael D. Ochave

YouTube and Spotify won’t launch Apple Vision Pro apps, joining Netflix

APPLE.COM

GOOGLE’S YouTube and Spotify Technology SA, the world’s most popular video and music services, are joining Netflix, Inc. in steering clear of Apple Inc.’s upcoming mixed-reality headset.

YouTube said in a statement Thursday that it isn’t planning to launch a new app for the Apple Vision Pro, nor will it allow its longstanding iPad application to work on the device — at least, for now. YouTube, like Netflix, is recommending that customers use a web browser if they want to see its content: “YouTube users will be able to use YouTube in Safari on the Vision Pro at launch.”

Spotify also isn’t currently planning a new app for visionOS — the Vision Pro’s operating system — and doesn’t expect to enable its iPad app to run on the device when it launches, according to a person familiar with matter. But the music service will still likely work from a web browser. Bloomberg News reported on Netflix’s decision Wednesday.

The Vision Pro will include access to Apple’s apps for music and podcasts, which compete with Spotify’s offerings. But getting snubbed by Netflix, Spotify, and YouTube means that the most popular streaming apps won’t be available when the headset launches on Feb. 2. Apple has largely marketed the device as a platform for video, games, and other entertainment.

YouTube is a particularly large omission for the product. When Apple’s original iPad launched in 2010, YouTube was one of a handful of apps preinstalled on the tablet. The company didn’t rule out eventually supporting the Vision Pro but said it had “no further plans to share at this time.”

YouTube and Spotify continue to offer popular apps for the iPhone and iPad. And that, theoretically, gave them an easy path toward supporting the Vision Pro. Developers with iPad software in the regular App Store will see those apps appear in the Vision Pro store by default. That means developers have to opt out if they don’t want to participate.

Several other entertainment apps are still participating, including Disney+, Max, Peacock, ESPN, and Amazon Prime Video. Altogether, Apple says the device will support more than 1 million titles in the headset’s App Store. The company began taking preorders for the Vision Pro on Friday.

Apple has touted its $3,499 Vision Pro headset as an entertainment device.

YouTube and Spotify declined to say why they bowed out of supporting the $3,499 device. Spotify doesn’t offer an app on competing headsets, such as Meta Platforms, Inc.’s Quest, though YouTube does. Spotify also has been embroiled in a fight with Apple over App Store policies, but the decision on the Vision Pro isn’t related to that, according to the person familiar, who asked not to be identified because the deliberations are private.

Searches conducted by MacStories on Thursday indicated that other key iPhone and iPad apps, including Meta’s Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp, aren’t currently set to work on the Vision Pro either. But that could change by the device’s launch, or those developers could be planning new dedicated versions for visionOS. Meta didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.

Apple’s executive in charge of the Vision Pro told employees last week that he expects health care, technician training and education to eventually become key areas for the product. The company also is studying corporate applications, Bloomberg News reported Thursday.

The Vision Pro represents Apple’s first major new product category since it began selling smartwatches in 2015. —Bloomberg

Declining births, rising deaths, and economic damage

Last Friday, Jan. 19, the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) released the “Birth, Marriage and Death Statistics for 2023.” I downloaded the Excel file and compared it with my monthly database for these subjects from 2019. To make a comparison for 2023, I got only the first six months of each preceding year.

The results:

1. Births are declining — from 133,400 in January to June 2019, to 102,000 in the same period in 2021, and 110,400 in 2023.

2. Deaths are rising — from 51,500 in January to June 2019, to 64,500 in 2021, and 56,500 in 2023.

3. The net population increase is also falling — from 81,900 in January to June 2019, to 37,500 in 2021, and 54,000 in 2023 (see Table 1).

This is not yet a “depopulation” trend because the net increase (births minus deaths) is still positive, not negative — but the number is declining and so if this trend continues, we should be in a depopulation situation several years from now. That is not good.

Also last week, supersally.substack.com released similar reports about Hong Kong and Thailand. “Hong Kong… Births are Dropping & Deaths are Rising with Deaths nearly Double Births” and “Thailand’s MSM Finally Picks Up Vaccine Harm!” citing the report, “Long COVID, vaccines may cause disease and death: Chula, Rangsit” (Bangkok Post, Jan. 14). The report refers to studies from Chulalongkorn University and Rangsit University.

Since I just came from Hong Kong last week and I saw many old people still working (the HK Jollibee branches, for instance, have local staff who look like they are 60+ years old) or resting in public parks, I pursued the statistics for HK. Also those of Thailand, and Australia. I summarized the numbers below.

Hong Kong births are declining fast, from 52,900 in 2019 to only 32,500 in 2022, while their deaths are rising from 49,000 in 2019 to 63,700 in 2022.

Thailand births also declining, from 596,740 in 2019 to 485,000 in 2022, while deaths are rising from 509,100 in 2019 to 536,700 in 2022.

Australia’s births declined slightly, from 305,800 in 2019 to 300,700 in 2022, while deaths are rising fast, from 164,800 in 2019 to 190,800 in 2022 (see Table 2).

China has a terrible trend: the National Bureau of Statistics reported that in 2023, there were only 9.02 million births (only half as many as in 2017), while there were 11.1 million deaths (up 500,000 on 2022). China’s population shrank by 0.85 million in 2022 and by 2.08 million in 2023, a loss of 3 million people in two years (“China’s falling population could halve by 2100” by Xiujian Peng, AsiaTimes, Jan. 20).

In Europe, these reports somehow summarize the situation: “The decline in birth rates is a widespread trend across Europe” (by Solène Cordier, Le Monde, Jan. 18), “Declining birth rates: A challenge for France’s social model” (Editorial, Le Monde, Jan. 18).

About the decline in births in the Philippines, I hypothesize that there are three reasons why this happened:

1.) State-sponsored population control via the Reproductive Health (RH) law of 2012 (RA 10354);

2.) State-sponsored population control via the COVID-19 lockdown dictatorship plus the implicit mandatory vaccination in 2021-2022; and,

3.) Couples’ voluntary limiting of childbearing.

The reasoning behind No. 1 is wrong because a bigger population is a virtue, not a burden. A bigger population means more entrepreneurs and workers, more producers and consumers. All rich countries take in more (legal) migrant workers and professionals, plus use more robots and machines to sustain their production. But while machines are producers, they are not consumers like people. Robots do not drink and eat in bars and hence do not contribute to growth in the restaurants, hotels and service sector.

Among developing Asian countries with populations of at least 100 million in 2023, one sees that as their population expanded their per capita income also expanded at a much higher rate. Their per capita GDP at purchasing power parity (PPP) values from 2002 to 2022, respectively, were: China, from $4,001 to $18,128; India, from $2,476 to $7,112; Indonesia, from $6,048 to $12,439; Vietnam, from $4,012 to $11,250; the Philippines, from $4,625 to $8,889; Bangladesh, from $2,543 to $6,751; Pakistan, from $3,766 to $5,670. So, the narrative that “more people = more poverty” is false and dishonest.

No. 2 is bad because the lockdown dictatorship unless vax-vax-vaxed caused the Philippines to have the worst GDP contraction in Asia at -9.5% in 2020. The 5.7% growth in 2021 was insufficient to recover the economic damage in 2020. I believe that there is something about the COVID vaccines that contributed to a trend of declining births and rising deaths in many countries around the world.

Reason number 3 is voluntary, couples (married or not) decide what is best for them and their households given their specific needs and aspirations.

Declining births plus rising deaths are terrible trends, economically damaging trends. We should reverse this early via a reversal in public policies now that official data are confirming this trend.

The government procurement of experimental, emergency-use COVID vaccines must stop for public health and economic-fiscal sustainability reasons. Kudos to the Concerned Doctors and Citizens of the Philippines (CDC PH), Juan Dakila Movement, and allied organizations for continuing the campaign on health and individual freedom.

 

Bienvenido S. Oplas, Jr. is the president of Bienvenido S. Oplas, Jr. Research Consultancy Services, and Minimal Government Thinkers. He is an international fellow of the Tholos Foundation.

minimalgovernment@gmail.com

MyTown offers affordable accommodations for young professionals

MYTOWN PROPERTIES continue to offer affordable co-living spaces for young professionals who prefer staying near key central business districts (CBDs), transportation hubs and commercial centers.

“MyTown’s target demographic typically includes young professionals, expats, students, and individuals seeking convenient, community-focused living arrangements in Metro Manila. Our offerings cater to individuals who value a hassle-free living experience with the added benefits of a supportive and engaging community,” Jogee Arellano, chief executive officer of MyTown Co-living, said in a press release.

MyTown properties are developed by Philippines Urban Living Solutions, a part of the SM Group. It has 14 strategically located properties in Metro Manila, including in Bonifacio Global City and Makati CBD.

“Our strategic locations in key areas of Metro Manila underscore our commitment to ensuring hassle-free daily commutes and easy access to essential services,” Mr. Arellano said.

MyTown properties offer more affordable cost of living versus staying at a dorm, and more amenities such as roof decks, a basketball half-court, a boxing gym, and fitness gyms to KTV rooms, a music room, indoor cinemas, lounges, and worklabs.

“What truly sets us apart is our steadfast commitment to fostering a robust sense of community through social gatherings, networking avenues, and communal zones. Through regular events such as movie nights, game nights, wellness sessions, workshops, and more, we create opportunities for our residents to bond, connect, and enjoy together,” Mr. Arellano said.

Electric aircraft may have more potential than we thought

PROJECT HEAVISIDE BY KITTY HAWK

BATTERIES are doing such a great job replacing petroleum in car engines that it’s natural to think they might do the same in the skies. Efforts to make a working airplane prototype, however, perennially come up short.

Kitty Hawk, the startup backed by Google co-founder Larry Page that hoped to make an electric flying car, quietly abandoned the project after five years in 2020. Last year, two separate proposed battery planes being developed by ventures including Rolls-Royce Holdings Plc and NASA were dropped within a month of each other.

That’s led most people (including me) to be dubious that electric planes will ever take off. The reasons are pretty fundamental: batteries are heavy, and aircraft need to be light. Kerosene stores more than 40 times as much energy per kilogram as lithium-ion cells. To carry as much power as its fossil-fuel equivalent, a seven-seater business jet would need to be carrying a battery as heavy as an Airbus SE A320 fully laden with fuel, 180 passengers, and cargo. That’s obviously not going to work.

There’s an unexamined assumption in that scenario that’s worth looking at more closely, however. Designing an electric plane isn’t a simple matter of plugging a battery into the back of a jet engine: You need instead to return to first principles and sketch things from the ground up. Start with a blank sheet of paper, and you might find innovative designs you’d not previously thought of.

That’s the pitch of Elysian Aircraft BV, a startup working in partnership with Delft University of Technology, one of the world’s leading institutes for aerospace design. In two separate papers published this month, the company’s founders and Delft academics argued that previous studies of electric planes were neglecting an opportunity to take a significant bite out of the industry’s carbon footprint. They have proposed a design for a 90-seater that would depend on batteries alone for normal flight.

“Planes as they are made now are very efficiently designed for kerosene,” Reynard de Vries, Elysian’s director of design and engineering, said in an interview. “The mistake that some of us may have made is assuming that the optimal battery airplane looks the same.”

The details of the argument would be abstruse to most people, involving assessments of such technical parameters as lift-to-drag ratio and empty mass fractions. But their concept aircraft is more comprehensible: a narrow fuselage with four seats in each row; large wings fitted with four turboprop engines apiece, wide enough that their tips would have to fold up on the ground; plus a reserve power system using low-emission fuel that could be switched on for emergencies.

Such a plane, they argue, could fly for up to 800 kilometers (497 miles) on battery power. That would allow it to compete on many of the world’s busiest air routes, such as Seoul-Jeju, Hong Kong-Taipei, Sydney-Melbourne, and Atlanta-Orlando. It’s a market that accounts for about a fifth of aviation’s CO2 emissions.*

The price of aviation fuel would still need to double to make costs competitive with conventional jets — but that’s what you’d expect if airlines and regulators keep their promises to blend in a rising volume of sustainable aviation fuel, a low-carbon replacement for kerosene, not to mention plans to start levying carriers for their greenhouse impacts. Even charging should be possible in an average 30 minutes and maximum 45 minutes, which would be in line with most airlines’ targets to turn their planes around quickly.

It’s still uncertain whether it will be able to compete with conventional jets head-on. For instance, while Elysian’s passenger numbers and range are far closer to those of conventional commercial jets than anyone previously realized, they’re not close enough to strike a decisive blow, either. Airbus’s A321neo, the most popular narrow-body jet, can carry twice as many passengers eight times the distance, giving carriers a lot more flexibility on how to use them.

The aircraft also flies at Mach 0.6, notably slower than the Mach 0.8 you’d get on an A320 or Boeing Co. 737. Incorporating time in non-cruising flight, that would probably mean journeys took 15% to 20% longer, according to Dan Raymer, a Los Angeles-based aircraft designer and president of Conceptual Research Corp.

“Will the passengers accept this?” Raymer wrote by e-mail. “Perhaps they won’t have a choice, if regular jets are forbidden from making short flights as some have proposed.”

Elysian deserves credit for kicking the tires on some widely held views about electric aviation. The duopoly of Airbus and Boeing — the only institutions with the market influence and expertise to convene airlines, airports, regulators, and politicians in a joint effort to tackle electrification — have made only fitful attempts to develop such vehicles. That complacency has been fueled by the conclusion that large battery planes wouldn’t be viable over any distance, combined with the industry’s ability to obfuscate aviation’s rising carbon footprint by making dubious claims about the potential of sustainable aviation fuel.

This foot-dragging approach isn’t good enough. The development cycle for innovative aircraft is decades long, so if manufacturers and airlines are vaguely serious about their promise to reduce carbon pollution to net zero by 2050, work needs to be well underway already. Despite what airlines will tell you, there is no viable route map to guide us away from a future where flying accounts for 22% of emissions in 2050, compared to about 2% right now. In providing the first few waypoints toward that more sustainable destination, Elysian should be applauded.

BLOOMBERG OPINION

*It would likely be a larger share of the industry’s total greenhouse footprint, since the biggest factor inducing warming from aviation is not the carbon dioxide in aircraft exhaust but the contrails that form around it. This would be absent in an electric plane that doesn’t produce exhaust gases.

Origami-inspired medical facility wins grand prize at EDV competition

THE PROPOSED origami-inspired design concept for a medical facility by Donna Angelique Bihasa won the grand prize at the 20th Estilo De Vida competition. — PHOTO COURTESY OF DONNA ANGELIQUE BIHASA

AN ORIGAMI-INFLUENCED design proposal for a medical facility for abused women and children recently nabbed the grand prize at the prestigious 20th Estilo De Vida (EDV) competition.

Folding Spaces is the title of the proposed design concept for the medical facility by Donna Angelique Bihasa, a De La Salle-College of Saint Benilde Interior Design student. It was inspired by the Japanese art of traditional paper folding.

“Similarly, in rehabilitation, every small step, every moment of progress, contributes to the transformation of the individual’s well-being. It is not a procedure that can be rushed, just as you cannot fast-track the creation of a beautiful piece,” Ms. Bihasa said.

Ms. Bihasa used soft and warm neutral colors for the facility to impart a calm atmosphere.

EDV is an annual interschool competition established by businessman Jorge Consunji, and serves as a platform for college students to showcase their talents to industry professionals, contractors, and practitioners.

It challenged students to create multifunctional and efficient environments for a 28.8-square-meter (sq.m.) container van clinic and 24.5-sq.m. healthcare infirmary, which will be used as protection units for abuse survivors on their path to recovery.

Ms. Bihasa received a P150,000 cash prize for submitting the winning entry.

Carl Valdez from the University of the Philippines was named the first runner-up, while Clarisse Abrera from the Eulogio “Amang” Rodriguez Institute of Science and Technology  was the second runner-up.

The top 3 winning works will be donated to Amang Rodriguez Memorial Medical Center, National Children’s Hospital, and Ospital ng Makati for their renovation projects.

Dire Straits frontman Mark Knopfler’s guitar collection up for auction

The Mark Knopfler Guitar Collection —CHRISTIES.COM

LONDON — British musician and former Dire Straits frontman Mark Knopfler is selling off a large part of his extensive guitar collection at a London auction with part of the proceeds going to charity.

The collection, which includes some of the most significant guitars from Mr. Knopfler’s 50-year career, is on show at Christie’s auction house ahead of the Jan. 31 sale.

“It’s a wonderful collection of 122 items from Mark Knopfler spanning all of his career and it …represents physically his career as a musician and an instigator and supplier of our communal soundtrack,” Kerry Keane, Christie’s specialist consultant for musical instruments, told Reuters.

A 1983 red Schecter Telecaster-style guitar used to record Dire Straits’ hit “Walk of Life” and which featured in its accompanying music video is estimated at £4,000 – £6,000 pounds ($5,072 – $7,609).

A 1983 Gibson Les Paul Standard ’59 reissue used for the track “Money for Nothing,” which contains one of Knopfler’s most iconic guitar riffs, has an estimate of £6,000 – £8,000.

Christie’s said an original version of the 1959 Gibson Les Paul used by Mr. Knopfler for performances in the 2000s was likely to fetch the sale’s highest price, with an estimate of £300,000 to £500,000.

“It is a really special vintage instrument that in its own right without the Mark Knopfler connection is very valuable,” said Christie’s specialist head of private and iconic collections, Amelia Walker, who is leading the sale.

For Dire Straits fans with less cash to hand, the sale is also offering lots, including a balalaika, valued at £300-£500. — Reuters