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Venezuela economy grew over 9% in 2024, president says

VENEZUELAN FLAG flutters outside the Torrejon de Ardoz Air Force Base outside Madrid, Spain, Sept. 8, 2024. — REUTERS

 – Venezuela’s economy grew over 9% in 2024, President Nicolas Maduro said, according to a transcript of an interview published by Mexican media outlet La Jornada on Wednesday.

“In 2023, we had 5.5% (growth). In 2024, according to all scientific, statistical, and technical data, we will surpass 9% growth in gross domestic product, with a very high level of growth in the real economy, as well as in the hydrocarbons sector,” Mr. Maduro told Spanish journalist Ignacio Ramonet.

Venezuela’s economy in recent years has experienced a prolonged crisis marked by triple-digit inflation and the exodus of millions of Venezuelans seeking better opportunities elsewhere.

In 2019, the government loosened controls on the private sector, allowing for an informal dollarization, which provided a lifeline to key sectors of the economy.

However, analysts believe the strategy has not been sufficient for a full economic recovery.

The interview with Mr. Maduro is set to air on Venezuelan state television on Wednesday evening. – Reuters

Tesla Cybertruck explodes outside Trump Las Vegas hotel, killing driver

STOCK PHOTO | By Mr.choppers - Own work, CC BY-SA 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=152037030

 – A Tesla Cybertruck exploded in flames outside the Trump International Hotel Las Vegas on Wednesday, killing the driver and injuring seven others, and the FBI was investigating whether the blast was an act of terrorism, officials said.

Videos taken by witnesses inside and outside the hotel showed the vehicle exploding and flames pouring out of it, as it sat just outside the hotel.

The incident occurred just hours after a man drove a truck into crowds of New Year’s Day revelers in New Orleans, killing 15.

The Trump International Hotel in Las Vegas is part of the Trump Organization, the company of President-elect Donald Trump, who will return to the White House on Jan. 20. Tesla CEO Elon Musk was a key backer of Mr. Trump in his 2024 presidential campaign and is also an adviser to the incoming president.

“Obviously a Cybertruck, the Trump hotel – there’s lots of questions that we have to answer,” Las Vegas Metropolitan Police Department Sheriff Kevin McMahill said at an afternoon press conference.

FBI special agent in charge Jeremy Schwartz later told reporters that it was not yet clear whether the blast was an act of terrorism.

“I know everybody’s interested in that word, and trying to see if we can say, ‘Hey, this is a terrorist attack.’ That is our goal, and that’s what we’re trying to do,” Mr. Schwartz said.

He added that the FBI had identified the person driving the vehicle, which had been rented in Colorado, but was not yet ready to publicly identify the driver.

Mr. Musk said the blast was unrelated to the Cybertruck itself.

“We have now confirmed that the explosion was caused by very large fireworks and/or a bomb carried in the bed of the rented Cybertruck and is unrelated to the vehicle itself,” Mr. Musk said in a post on X. “All vehicle telemetry was positive at the time of the explosion.”

Telemetry involves the automatic collection of data from remote sources, transmitting it back to a central source so it can later be analyzed.

A person was found dead inside the 2024 model-year Cybertruck and seven people sustained minor injuries from the explosion, Mr. McMahill said. He added that both the Cybertruck and the vehicle used in the New Orleans attack had been rented through car-sharing service Turo.

Mr. McMahill said the Cybertruck pulled up to the Trump building at 8:40 a.m. local time (1640 GMT). He said police were mindful of the New Orleans attack that occurred earlier on Wednesday. The FBI said a potential explosive device was found in the vehicle used in the New Orleans attack.

Las Vegas firefighters responded four minutes after the vehicle fire was reported and extinguished it. Two of the injured people were transported to hospitals with minor injuries. The Trump Hotel was evacuated after the incident and most of the visitors were moved to another hotel.

Eric Trump, executive vice president of the Trump Organization and a son of President-elect Trump, posted about the incident on X. “Earlier today, a reported electric vehicle fire occurred in the porte cochère of Trump Las Vegas,” he wrote, referring to the building’s covered entrance area. – Reuters

South Korea’s Choi orders immediate action on aircraft inspection as crash probe ramps up

 – South Korea’s acting President Choi Sang-mok said on Thursday immediate action must be taken if a special inspection of all Boeing 737-800 aircraft operated in the country finds any issues as authorities ramp up a probe into Sunday’s deadly air crash.

The conversion of data from the Jeju Air 7C2216 cockpit voice recorder to audio file should be completed by Friday, Mr. Choi told a disaster management meeting, which could provide critical information on the final minutes of the doomed flight.

All 175 passengers and four of six crew members were killed on Sunday when the Jeju Air jet belly-landed at Muan International Airport in the country’s southwest and slammed into an earth-and-concrete embankment, bursting into flames.

Two crew members, located near the tail of the Boeing 737-800, survived.

“As there’s great public concern about the same aircraft model involved in the accident, the transport ministry and relevant organizations must conduct a thorough inspection of operation maintenance, education, and training,” Mr. Choi said.

Mr. Choi’s comments at the start of the meeting were provided by his office.

Questions by air safety experts on what led to the deadly explosion have focused on the embankment designed to prop up navigation equipment that they said may have been built too close to the end of the runway.

The aircraft’s flight data recorder, which sustained some damage, is being taken to the United States for analysis in cooperation with the U.S. National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB).

Investigators from the NTSB, U.S. Federation Aviation Administration and the maker of the aircraft, Boeing BA.N, are in South Korea to help probe the worst air disaster in the country.

Choi asked no effort be spared in helping the families of the victims as the remains of those killed are handed over them. He also asked the police to take action against anyone posting “malicious” messages and fake news on social media related to the disaster. – Reuters

UK plans tough laws to fight people smugglers

KRISTINA GADEIKYTE-UNSPLASH

 – Suspected people smugglers will face severe curbs under new laws in Britain, the government said on Thursday, as it steps up efforts to fight illegal migration and strengthen border security.

Those suspected will face travel bans, social media blackouts and restrictions on phone usage to help the government “dismantle organized immigration crime networks,” the statement added.

“We will give law enforcement stronger powers they need to pursue and stop more of these vile gang networks,” interior minister Yvette Cooper said, describing border security as one of the foundations of the government’s recently laid out ‘plan for change‘.

Prime Minister Keir Starmer, elected to office in July, has prioritized tackling illegal migration by cracking down on the gangs who smuggle people across the English Channel, one of the world’s busiest shipping lanes, into Britain from France.

Over 36,800 people made the dangerous crossings to arrive in Britain in 2024, a 25% year-on-year surge, according to government data. Several dozen have died attempting to do so, with the Refugee Council charity terming it the deadliest year on record for such crossings.

The planned interim serious crime prevention orders (SCPO) will allow immediate action to disrupt and deter suspected serious criminality, including organized immigration crime, the statement said.

The fresh powers are designed to mirror those already used to disrupt other offences such as knife crime, slavery and trafficking.

Currently, securing an SCPO on suspects can be a complex and lengthy process. The interim orders will speed up the process. – Reuters

Palestinian Authority suspends broadcast of Qatar’s Al Jazeera TV temporarily

Source: https://1000logos.net/al-jazeera-logo/

 – The Palestinian Authority temporarily halted operations of Qatar’s Al Jazeera television in the territory including its broadcasts, citing the network’s dissemination of “inciting material,” the Palestinian news agency WAFA said on Wednesday.

The culture, interior and communications ministers made the decision jointly because the channel broadcast material that was “deceiving and stirring strife,” WAFA said without providing details on the subject matter.

The order said the decision was temporary but did not specify an end date.

The Palestinian Authority criticized Al Jazeera last week over its coverage of the weeks-long standoff between Palestinian security forces and militant fighters in the Jenin camp in the Israeli-occupied West Bank.

Al Jazeera denounced Wednesday’s decision as “an attempt to discourage it from reporting spiraling events in the occupied territories,” according to a statement.

It called on the Palestinian Authority to rescind the decision and allow its journalists to report freely from the West Bank without intimidation.

The decision was not expected to be implemented in Hamas-run Gaza where the Palestinian Authority does not exercise power.

Fatah, the faction that controls the Palestinian Authority, said the broadcaster was sowing division in “our Arab homeland in general and in Palestine in particular”. It encouraged Palestinians not to cooperate with the network.

The Israeli military in September raided Al Jazeera’s bureau in the West Bank city of Ramallah and ordered it shut.

Israel in May issued an order barring the channel from operating and broadcasting in the country, saying it posed a threat to Israeli securityA court subsequently upheld the ban. – Reuters

Israel strikes Gaza City suburb, Palestinian medics say

WIKIMEDIA.ORG

 – The Israeli military kept up the pressure on northern Gaza on Wednesday, striking in a suburb of Gaza City, medics said, and told residents in a central part of the enclave to evacuate from an area where militants were firing rockets.

Air strikes in Shejaia, a suburb of Gaza City, killed at least eight Palestinians, according to local emergency services. There was no immediate comment from the Israeli military, and it was not immediately clear who was killed in the attack.

In al-Buriej, in central Gaza, the Israeli military said it struck a militant operating in an area where rockets had been fired into Israel the previous day. Its Arabic spokesman had ordered people to leave the area before the strike.

The Palestinian news agency WAFA said two people were killed in that strike and 15 more in an airstrike in Jabalia. There was no immediate confirmation from Gaza health officials. Israel’s military said it killed Hamas fighters in the attack.

Much of the area around the northern towns of Beit Hanoun, Jabalia and Beit Lahiya has been cleared of people and razed, fueling speculation, which Israel denies, that it intends to keep the area as a buffer zone after the fighting in Gaza ends.

Israel says its almost three-month-old campaign in northern Gaza is aimed at preventing Hamas militants from regrouping. Its instructions to civilians to evacuate are meant to keep them out of harm’s way, the military says.

Palestinian and United Nations officials say no place is safe in Gaza and that evacuations worsen the humanitarian conditions of the population.

According to the Palestinian civil defense, more than 1,500 tents sheltering displaced people across Gaza were flooded by heavy rains over the past two days, leaving people exposed to the cold, their belongings damaged.

Israel’s campaign in Gaza has killed more than 45,500 Palestinians, according to health officials in the Hamas-run enclave. Most of Gaza’s 2.3 million people have been displaced and much of the tiny coastal strip is in ruins.

The war was triggered by Hamas’ Oct. 7, 2023, attack on Israel, in which 1,200 people were killed and another 251 taken hostage to Gaza, according to Israeli tallies. – Reuters

RRR cuts should be gradual — analysts

A Philippines peso note is seen in this picture illustration, June 2, 2017. — REUTERS/THOMAS WHITE/ILLUSTRATION

By Luisa Maria Jacinta C. Jocson, Reporter

FURTHER CUTS to banks’ reserve requirement ratio (RRR) should be gradual to avoid stoking inflation, analysts said.

“Reducing RRRs to minimal levels over time makes sense to align it with regional peers and make the banking system more competitive,” Nomura Global Markets Research analyst Euben Paracuelles said in an e-mail. “RRR is a tax on financial intermediation.”

“But I don’t think substantial RRR cuts should be rushed. BSP’s gradual approach is appropriate as it allows a recalibration that is consistent with prevailing economic conditions and the inflation outlook,” he added.

The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) reduced the RRR for universal and commercial banks and nonbank financial institutions with quasi-banking functions by 250 basis points (bps) to 7% from 9.5%, effective last October.

It also cut the RRR for digital banks by 200 bps to 4% and for thrift lenders by 100 bps to 1%. Rural and cooperative banks’ RRR was also slashed by 100 bps to 0%.

“We all need to realize that every reduction in the RR means injecting hundreds of billions of pesos to the system,” GlobalSource Partners country analyst Diwa C. Guinigundo, a former BSP deputy governor, said in a Viber message.

The RRR is the portion of reserves that banks must hold onto to ensure they can meet liabilities in case of sudden withdrawals. When a bank is required to hold a lower reserve ratio, it has more funds to lend to borrowers.

From a high of 20% in 2018, the central bank has since brought down reserve requirements to single-digit levels.

“All up, we are certain the BSP is more than aware of both the liquidity and inflationary implications of excess liquidity in the system which the BSP itself is regularly mopping up through its open market operations window,” Mr. Guinigundo said.

“While it is of secondary importance, there is always a cost to liquidity and inflation management,” he added.

BSP Governor Eli M. Remolona, Jr. has said they are looking to bring down big banks’ RRR to as low as zero before his term ends in 2029. 

He earlier said the country’s reserve requirements are still among the highest in the region.   

“The reduction in RR to almost zero is really meant to establish a level playing field between banks which are subject to mandatory RR and nonbanks which are not,” Mr. Guinigundo said.

He said the assumption is normally that banks are “always and forever liquid.”

“But liquidity could be a risk to banks especially when they are overextended. So, RR is really a regulatory assurance that when a liquidity crunch strikes the system, banks have somewhere to go and draw liquidity from.”

“Effective supervision of banks could indeed make RR superfluous, although this is not always the case even in more developed economies,” he added.

Analysts said further cuts to the RRR could also help prop up economic growth.

“The other side to RR reduction is the possible aim of BSP to further inject liquidity into the system, strengthen the credit transmission of monetary policy and stimulate economic activities,” Mr. Guinigundo said.

“The BSP could be aiming to help promote economic growth now that inflation seems to be behaving well recently.”

The Philippine economy grew by a weaker-than-expected 5.2% in the third quarter, slowing from the revised 6.4% growth in the second quarter and 6% a year ago.

This brought the nine-month gross domestic product average to 5.8%, slightly below the 6-6.5% full-year target.

Meanwhile, latest data from the local statistics agency showed inflation averaged 3.2% in the 11-month period, matching the BSP’s full-year inflation forecast and well within the 2-4% target.

“The key is to channel these liquidity injections from RRR cuts towards bank lending for productivity-enhancing investments such as infrastructure and agriculture modernization,” Mr. Paracuelles said.

“That would boost potential growth but also ease supply-side constraints and hence alleviate inflation pressures,” he added.

Nomura in a recent report said it expects the central bank to deliver a 200-bp cut to big lenders’ RRR by mid-2025. This would bring the ratio to 5%.

“From BSP’s perspective, these cuts are in line with its longer-term goal of reducing the RRR to single-digit levels and helping to further improve the transmission of its policy rate cuts at that point by boosting liquidity conditions,” it said.

Nomura noted the “quicker and more complete” transmission of the BSP’s tools and policies amid its structural reforms.

“The availability of these instruments has allowed BSP to resume RRR cuts… with an estimated liquidity injection of more than 1% of GDP and coinciding with BSP’s rate cuts, thus helping transmission further.”

In a separate report, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said the reduction in RRR would lead to a “welcome decline in financial intermediation costs and better align reserve requirements with regional peers.”

“Changes in the reserve requirement ratio need to be factored into the overall monetary policy stance and coordinated with any changes in the size of the BSP balance sheet,” it added.

PHL capital markets need ‘bolder reforms’

FOR 2025, the Philippine Stock Exchange is aiming to have six initial public offerings. — CFOTO VIA REUTERS CONNECT

By Revin Mikhael D. Ochave, Reporter

REGULATORS should undertake “bolder reforms” to ensure that Philippine capital markets can attract more investments and boost trading activity, analysts said.

The Philippine stock market remains “relatively small” compared with regional peers despite strong economic growth in the last decade, according to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) in its capital market review of the Philippines.

“Bolder reforms are needed if we wish to significantly boost the stock market,” China Bank Capital Corp. Managing Director Juan Paolo E. Colet said in a Viber message.

On the last day of trading on Dec. 27, the benchmark Philippine Stock Exchange index (PSEi) closed at 6,528.79, up by 1.2% from its 6,450.04 finish at the end of 2023. This marked the first time that the main index closed higher year on year since 2019. The PSEi returned to the 7,000 level in September after over 19 months but has since fallen.

To boost the market, Mr. Colet said regulators should provide tax incentives to listed firms that meet a certain public float, daily trading and value metrics.

Mr. Colet said public offering and listing regulations could be liberalized, while tightening tender offer and delisting rules.

“We need reforms that make public equity markets more attractive in terms of tax and cost efficiency, ease of transactions, accessibility, relevant products, and minority protections,” Mr. Colet said.

He also urged regulators to penalize shell companies with no clear business plans.

He said Republic Act No. 9505 or the Personal Equity and Retirement Account (PERA) Act should be amended to increase the annual contribution limit and income tax credit for investments in listed stocks.

PERA is a voluntary saving program that complements retirement benefits from the state-led Social Security System and Government Service Insurance System.

‘RELATIVELY SMALL’
According to its report released in December, the OECD noted the Philippine stock market had 269 listed companies on the Main Board and SME Board with a total market capitalization of $234 billion at the start of 2024, which was equivalent to 52% of the country’s gross domestic product (GDP).

“Compared with peer countries, the Philippines has the lowest number of listed companies and ranks second to last in terms of market capitalization as a share of GDP,” it said.

Capital raised through IPOs and secondary public offerings are also lower than regional peers.

For instance, 95 Philippine companies have raised nearly $13 billion through IPOs since 2000, while in Vietnam, 584 companies raised $36 billion during the same period.

“Between 2000 and 2023, the capital raised through IPOs in the Philippines represented only 0.2% of GDP, much lower than in all other peer countries except Indonesia,” the OECD said.

This year, the PSE only had three IPOs — OceanaGold (Philippines), Inc., Citicore Renewable Energy Corp. and NexGen Energy Corp. For 2025, the PSE is aiming to have six IPOs and raise P120 billion in capital.

The OECD said public equity markets in the Philippines could be expanded, noting that there were about 400 nonfinancial companies with assets above P5.6 billion in 2021 that could have potentially gone public. It also noted that state-owned enterprises could also be encouraged to list on the stock exchange.

The OECD recommended that Main Board listing requirements be loosened to allow companies with high growth potential to be listed “even if they are currently not profitable.”

Regulators were also urged to commit to a three-month IPO approval process and possibly implement a single submission platform for applications. Also, regulators were urged to simplify the listing fee structure, introduce a maximum threshold on the initial listing fee and lower the stamp duty tax rate.

The OECD said a special program could be introduced to support the listing of large unlisted companies and large state-owned companies, which could boost the stock market’s attractiveness.

The OECD also recommended the introduction of more products and exchange-traded funds (ETF) to boost international investor interest.

It also noted that the bond market could become another source of financing for corporations through streamlined registration processes and improved transparency by local credit rating companies.

“To boost household participation, the government should seek to facilitate access to low-cost and easy-onboarding digital platforms that allow small minimum investments,” it said.

PLANNED REFORMS
Meanwhile, the PSE and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) are undertaking some reforms that aim to stimulate market activity, such as the global Philippine depositary receipts (GPDR) in the first quarter of 2025, and derivatives by the first quarter of 2026.

The SEC is also mulling the development of a futures market to expand options for investors.

The PSE is also pushing Congress to approve the proposed Capital Markets Efficiency Promotion Act, which seeks to lower trading costs and woo more investors. One of its provisions will reduce the stock transaction tax to 0.1% from 0.6% on the sale of shares of stock listed and traded through the PSE, which will boost liquidity in the local stock market.

The Philippine stock market continues to lag its regional neighbors, with daily trading volumes significantly lower than in Indonesia and Thailand.

“Lowering the stock transaction tax from 0.6% to 0.1% is a good step as it can improve investor returns, trading volumes and bid-ask spreads,” Mr. Colet said.

“Market participants are also anticipating the introduction of derivatives, which can amplify our market’s appeal to sophisticated investors looking for risk management products and yield enhancement strategies,” he added.

AP Securities, Inc. Research head Alfred Benjamin R. Garcia called for further investor education on upcoming market products such as the GPDR and derivatives.

“We hope they would make more of an effort to educate investors directly, rather than educating the brokers and expecting them to pass on the knowledge to the clients like what we saw with the launch of real estate investment trusts (REIT),” he said in a Viber message.

Mr. Garcia said upcoming products such as futures and derivatives cater to corporates looking to hedge and manage their risks, as well as institutional investors.

“I don’t think futures and derivatives would gain much traction with retail investors, except for the more sophisticated ones,” he said.

Luna Securities, Inc. Research Officer and Market Strategist Annika Gabrielle S. Angeles said in an e-mail that efforts should be made to expand investment options for Filipinos.

“SEC, PSE and its members should explore and allow partnerships with international firms to offer ETFs, cryptocurrencies, commodities and other globally accepted assets,” she said.

“With millions of Filipinos already trading international digital assets, integrating these into local platforms can tap into this growing market while providing convenience, regulatory oversight and wider investment opportunities,” she added.

Ms. Angeles added that a “proactive” Capital Market Development Council (CMDC) could sustain the growth of local capital markets. CMDC is a public-private sector body tasked to facilitate the development of Philippine capital markets.

“Initial priorities include streamlining listing and reporting requirements through automated tools, redefining material information and insider rules, and using advanced data analytics to enhance transparency and enforcement,” she said.

Ms. Angeles said the PSE should also lower its board lot in lieu of fractional trading to make investing more affordable and inclusive for Filipinos.

“Making P100 investable makes investing more affordable and inclusive, allowing more Filipinos to participate in the stock market and start to build wealth. This aligns with global trends where low-cost investment options and fractional trading has boosted retail participation and market liquidity as seen in markets like Indonesia and the US,” she said.

“With more offerings and easier access, increased local participation will naturally attract foreign investors, and create more dynamic and inclusive markets. Relaxing regulations and lowering barriers to entry will improve liquidity and the availability of funds for investment, driving higher turnover and trading velocity,” she added.

Rizal Commercial Banking Corp. Chief Economist Michael L. Ricafort said in a Viber message that the market’s upcoming products would help attract more local and foreign investors.

“The new initiatives will allow us to better align with international standards and global best practices… These will also help to better respond to the investment and hedging requirements of the local and global investors as part of further development of the local capital markets,” he added.

CHALLENGES
Meanwhile, Mr. Colet said one of the biggest challenges to public equity markets is the growth of private capital markets.

“Companies that can otherwise list on a stock exchange are increasingly able to tap private equity firms, alternative investment funds and other institutions for liquidity without much regulatory burden,” he said.

“At the same time, many stock investors are concerned about the fairness of our domestic market, such as in situations where companies are able to lowball their delisting price or perceived insider and related party transactions are not properly policed,” he added.

Mr. Garcia said recently launched products such as short selling has yet to show demand due to strict requirements.

The PSE launched short selling in November 2023, five years after issuing the revised guidelines on the trading strategy.

“For the new products, we have seen before in short selling that our regulators tend to be too stringent on requirements, detering participation in the new products,” he said.

“Unless they can make GPDRs, futures and derivatives more accessible, we don’t think these new products would be attractive,” he added.

PPA eyes sustained growth in cargo, passenger volumes this year on strong demand

The Philippine Ports Authority (PPA) expects continued growth in cargo and passenger volume this year. — PHILIPPINE STAR/ WALTER BOLLOZOS

THE Philippine Ports Authority (PPA) expects continued growth in cargo and passenger volume this year as demand is seen to remain strong.

“The PPA has an optimistic outlook for the year 2025 with growth expected across various segments of the domestic shipping and sea freight market sector,” PPA General Manager Jay Daniel R. Santiago said in a Viber message to BusinessWorld.

Robust consumer demand is expected to drive growth in sea freight and shipping services despite domestic and external uncertainties, he added.

For this year, PPA projects cargo throughput to reach 301.47 million metric tons (MT), up 4.5% from last year’s target of 288.56 million MT.

“This corresponds to the steady and stabilizing growth in the global economy which translates into sustained growth in the country,” Mr. Santiago said.

According to PPA’s latest data, cargo throughput climbed by 7.3% to 218.28 million MT in January to September 2024 from 203.51 million MT a year ago.

Of the total, foreign cargo accounted for 64% or 140.21 million MT, while domestic cargo made up 36% or 78.07 million MT.

In the nine months to September, the PPA logged imports of 80.38 million MT, with Luzon ports accounting for more than half or 43.15 million MT.

Exports reached 59.83 million MT in the period ending September, with 28.9 million MT passing through Northern Mindanao ports.

In the first nine months, the PPA said it serviced 5.72 million twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs) of container cargo, up 3.5% from the same period in 2023. The bulk or 3.74 million TEUs came from foreign containers, while domestic containers made up 1.97 million TEUs.

Meanwhile, Mr. Santiago said PPA expects passenger traffic to grow by 9.5% to 85.41 million by the end of 2025 from the 78-million target in 2024.

In the first nine months of 2024, passenger volume rose 10.3% to 60.47 million, PPA’s recent data showed.

“PPA for its part has been implementing and accelerating its infrastructure projects for cruise terminals to accommodate the expected cruise arrivals,” Mr. Santiago said.

The PPA is planning to enhance port facilities, including the development of dedicated ports to bolster cruise tourism.

In the next four years, the PPA has set aside about P16 billion to fund infrastructure projects, including 14 flagship projects.

Earlier this week, PPA issued a bid invitation to build a P706.05-million cruise ship port in Puerto Galera, Oriental Mindoro.

“Government initiatives promoting domestic travel and improvements in passenger facilities at the ports will continue to bolster the upward trend in passenger footprints,” Mr. Santiago said.

Meanwhile, the operations of shipping and port operators will be heavily influenced by global trade volumes and volatility in fuel costs, according to stock market analyst Toby Allan C. Arce, head of sales trading at Globalinks Securities and Stocks, Inc.

“The shipping and port operation sectors are inherently influenced by global trade volumes, fuel costs, geopolitical stability and regulatory changes. These variables add volatility to their earnings,” he said in a Viber message.

He said listed port operator International Container Terminal Services, Inc. (ICTSI) would likely benefit from infrastructure developments in the country, while Chelsea Logistics and Infrastructure Holdings Corp. might see growth due to the rebound of domestic and regional transport.

“ICTSI, being a global player, is likely to maintain stable growth by leveraging its international exposure, which diversifies its revenue streams and mitigates domestic risks,” Mr. Arce said. — Ashley Erika O. Jose

PHL’s longer land lease may spur property buildup

JOSUE ISAI RAMOS FIGUEROA-UNSPLASH

By Beatriz Marie D. Cruz, Reporter

A PROPOSAL to extend the land lease for foreigners to 99 years is expected to boost the Philippine real estate sector amid increased foreign demand.

“The approval of the proposed measure should also help unlock land and property values especially in major growth areas outside Metro Manila including Central Luzon, Calaba (Cavite, Laguna, Batangas), Western Visayas, Central Visayas, Davao Region and northern Mindanao,” Joey Roi Bondoc, associate director at property consultant Colliers Philippines, said in an e-mail.

“Extending land lease is crucial as these foreign players bring a lot of capital to the Philippines,” he said. “This is important especially as we want to attract more investors going out of China and Taiwan.”

Last month, the Senate and House of Representatives separately approved on third and final reading bills that seek to extend the land lease limits for foreigners to 99 years from 75 years. Foreign investors will also be allowed to sublet properties unless barred by a contract.

The proposed law allows foreign private land leases related to tourism if the investments are at least $5 million. Of the amount, 70% must be infused into the project within three years.

Toby Miranda, associate manager at property consultancy firm Santos Knight Frank, said a longer land lease for foreigners bodes well for the development of real estate investment trusts (REIT).

“There are numerous advantages to extending land lease limits to 99 years, and they far outweigh the drawbacks,” he said in an e-mailed reply to questions. “On the upside, the REIT segment stands to benefit significantly from the expansion of properties, while a surge in foreign direct investment could lead to a more robust and stable economy.”

Extending the land lease for foreigners could also boost Philippine competitiveness.

“The extension of the land lease to 99 years is a critical development for foreign investors seeking to expand in the Philippines, offering a significant advantage over other Southeast Asian markets with shorter lease terms,” Mr. Miranda said.

He noted that Thailand is still exploring 99-year leases, while Vietnam allows up to 50 years with a one-time extension. Singapore and Malaysia already allow land leases of up to 99 years.

A 99-year lease would encourage property firms to expand their facilities to cater to foreign demand, Mr. Bondoc said.

“For the industrial sector, a longer land lease should result in more manufacturers investing massive foreign capital in the Philippines and further improvement of the country’s industrial supply chain,” he said.

“With more foreign manufacturers, we see property firms expanding their industrial parks and warehouses as they capture demand from these foreign locators,” he added.

In the hospitality sector, a 99-year land lease for foreigners could spur the development of more accommodation facilities, convention centers and tourist spots, Mr. Bondoc said.

“The bill’s enactment should result in the creation of massive townships offering leisure-oriented and resort-themed projects,” he said. “This should entice more foreign hospitality players to invest in the Philippines and look at other economic centers outside of Metro Manila.”

It may also push domestic and foreign companies to form joint ventures, increasing local businesses’ access to new skills, technologies and global expertise, Mr. Miranda added.

But the proposed law should ensure that local property players are not crowded out by foreign investors, Mr. Bondoc said.

“A longer land lease for foreigners in residential properties should also be studied on how it will impact appetite for condominium units, especially now that we are seeing massive unsold condominium inventory in Metro Manila,” he added.

Unsold condominiums in Metro Manila reached 75,300 units at the end of September, according to Colliers data.

A longer land lease could increase collaboration between local and foreign players, benefitting end-users, Mr. Miranda said.

“If local firms view foreign investors as competition rather than partners, it could hinder their growth,” he said. “But with the right mindset and strategic collaborations, the opportunities for progress and mutual success are boundless.”

AI, Musk and Trump add up to a turbulent 2025 for tech

FREEPIK

YOU MAY HAVE HEARD that the Oxford dictionary’s 2024 “word of the year” was “brain rot.”

I found that interesting for two reasons. The first is that it is clearly two words. The second is that unlike prior words of the year — like 2013’s “selfie” or last year’s “rizz” — “brain rot” is neither new nor changed from its original intended meaning. Its first use was recorded in 1854 and said to be “indicative of a general decline in mental and intellectual effort” — which, well, yeah.

Since the selection for Oxford’s yearly word is done by public poll, this leads me to my first prediction in this column of observations for tech in 2025: The brain rot economy will show signs of weakness as people grow more wary of what is being served up to them by algorithms as they scroll endlessly. In the past year, the flood of artificial intelligence (AI) slop content has made looking at Facebook even more pointless — and eyeballs will go elsewhere.

Along the same lines, we can expect more anti-social media and anti-smartphone legislation from governments and local authorities around the world following the drastic action taken by Australia to ban users younger than 16 from social media and more and more bans on smartphones in US schools. Momentum is growing, and I expect more sweeping directives will follow — along with more spirited debate over whether such bans are justified or effective. See also well-intentioned but poorly executed age verification efforts.

The biggest jolt to the social media landscape could come from a US ban on TikTok. The Jan. 19 deadline for its divestiture is fast-approaching, but before then, on Jan. 10, the Supreme Court will hear arguments from each side — TikTok and the Justice department — on the whether the ban is constitutional. Many legal observers have deemed it unlikely the court will overturn the lower court’s ruling, which sided with the government on its somewhat vague concerns of national security. But in recent days the pendulum has shown signs of a swing. Trump, after weeks of will-he, won’t-he, has sought to pause the law until he is in office. A delay would allow “breathing space for the court to consider the questions on a more measured schedule,” he argued in an amicus brief. Many on the left and right agree with him.

If the steady stream of tech CEOs visiting Mar-a-Lago is any indication, we can expect Silicon Valley to be more willing to do Trump’s bidding in 2025 than it was in 2017, when we saw widespread condemnation of Trump and a pledge to not aid him in carrying out his policies. It will take several big tech partners to put in motion Trump’s mass deportation goals should he actually attempt to go through with them. Tech companies, more frugal these days and with employees on a much tighter leash, will jump at the chance — history books be damned. The wars in Ukraine and Gaza will continue to provide moral cover for Silicon Valley firms to enter military contracts they have previously shirked out of fear of upsetting their rank-and-file workers and customer base.

At the center of tech policymaking will be Elon Musk. The world’s richest man will be looking for a strong return on his investment in Trump. What exactly that looks like remains to be seen, though we’ve already seen him wield the force of his social network X to bend Congress to his will. But his ownership of X and his power over what is posted and amplified there will likely make him a lightning rod for the warring factions in right wing politics. Last week’s bitter row over H-1B visas shows how suspicions over Musk’s aims lie just beneath the surface, and the billionaire’s unwillingness to back down from a fight could prove damaging to his companies. In 2025, Musk needs to show real progress on his robotaxi vision, which requires more legislative support than it has now. Tesla’s share gains since Trump was elected suggest Wall Street thinks the plan is right on track, but I think Tesla investors will be sorely disappointed when Musk’s robotaxi plan reveals itself to be infeasible (some would argue that’s apparent already).

Investors will also be keeping a close watch on chipmaker Nvidia Corp. Chief Executive Officer Jensen Huang, the so-called godfather of artificial intelligence, will be a man under siege as rivals such as Amazon.com, Inc. and Broadcom, Inc. seek to provide bonafide alternatives to Nvidia’s AI chips and geopolitical tensions between the US and China put Nvidia on the front line. Beijing is looking for effective means of retaliation over US trade restrictions, and Nvidia is vulnerable.

Wall Street demands for meaningful return on investment from AI will get louder. Capital expenditures from data center construction and semiconductor hoarding will skyrocket, but the capabilities and revenue of AI won’t match the pace of investment. In a political environment friendlier to large mergers and acquisitions, we can expect significant consolidation in the AI industry. The also-ran startups will go under. At the same time, politicians will increasingly find themselves caught between big tech interests and the fury of their constituents as AI companies seek to rapidly put data centers in towns that don’t want them.

AI pushback will also come from news organizations that feel AI companies are stealing their work and putting their futures at risk. In 2025, newsrooms globally will need to contend with AI as both friend and foe, recognizing its potential for arming journalists with incredibly powerful new reporting tools while wondering if multimillion-dollar deals with OpenAI and others are giving away the farm. Legislators and judges will get into the fine print of modernizing copyright law. One phrase we’ll be hearing a lot is “fair use,” which will hopefully receive a precedent-setting revised definition sooner rather than later.

Consolidation, or at least cooperation, might be in the air for streaming companies as consumers stare down serious subscription fatigue. We’ve recently seen price increases for YouTube TV, Disney+, Max and Paramount+, in addition to password crackdowns and the introduction of ads. The streaming market is too crowded and major streaming providers will look to bundle up their offerings in a way that will look suspiciously like traditional cable TV.

Elsewhere in entertainment, the 10-years-in-the-making Grand Theft Auto 6 will walk a culture war tightrope as it seeks to become the most popular entertainment product of all time. The game rose to prominence as an ultra-violent, no-holds-barred, over-the-top portrayal of the scummy criminal underworld. In the decade since its previous installment, sensibilities have changed, though something tells me developer Rockstar Games will err on the side of offensiveness. All publicity is good publicity, and it sure makes for fiery debate. See you in the new year.

BLOOMBERG OPINION

Investors told to consider banking, consumer stocks

REUTERS

BANKING and consumer stocks are expected to do well in 2025 amid lower interest rates and faster economic growth.

“Banks should continue to do well,” April Lynn Lee-Tan, chief equity strategist at COL Financial Group, Inc., said in a Viber message. “Lower interest rates plus faster gross domestic product (GDP) growth will lead to higher demand for loans. Buy on pullbacks.”

Investors should consider banking companies like BDO Unibank, Inc., Bank of the Philippines Islands and Metropolitan Bank & Trust Co., she added.

Ms. Tan said consumer companies like Monde Nissin Corp. and Jollibee Foods Corp. also stand to benefit this year. “Consumer stocks should benefit from lower inflation, faster economic growth and very attractive valuations.”

Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) Governor Eli M. Remolona, Jr. has said the central bank would likely keep slashing rates in “baby steps” as it carefully monitors risks to inflation. He added that 100 basis points (bps) worth of rate cuts for 2025 might be “too much.”

The BSP lowered benchmark rates by 75 bps in 2024.

The Philippine Stock Exchange Index ended 2024 at 6,528.79, up 1.2% or 78.75 points from 2023, the first yearly advance since 2019.

“We would be on the lookout for bargains across sectors especially in banking, consumer, conglomerate and real estate,” China Bank Capital Corp. Managing Director Juan Paolo E. Colet said in a Viber message.

Telecommunications and consumer companies could also outperform this year, Alfred Benjamin R. Garcia, research head at AP Securities, Inc., said in a Viber message.

The property sector might also start showing signs of recovery. “But that might happen later in the year.”

Leechiu Property Consultants earlier said vacated office spaces rose 65% in 2024 to 690,000 square meters (sqm) from 418,000 sqm last year, mainly due to the total ban on Philippine offshore gaming operators.

“The midterm elections could benefit businesses that have higher sales, earnings and overall valuations as seen for many years,” Michael L. Ricafort, chief economist at Rizal Commercial Banking Corp., said in a Viber message.

The local bourse raised P82.37 billion in capital last year, 42% lower than in 2023. The service index had the fastest growth among sectoral indices at 29.7%. — Revin Mikhael D. Ochave