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Indian textile baron duped with fake Supreme Court hearing, document shows

SUCCO-PIXABAY

NEW DELHI — Indian police are investigating an elaborate scam that swindled a prominent businessman out of $830,000 by summoning him to a fake online hearing before India’s Supreme Court and making a threat of jail which caused him to transfer the funds.

While digital and online frauds are increasingly common in India, a police official in northern state of Punjab told Reuters on Monday that duping someone by holding a purported Supreme Court session was unheard of.

Details of the case emerged after police said on Sunday they arrested two people on the complaint of S.P. Oswal, the 82-year-old chairman of India’s Vardhman Group.

Mr. Oswal said fraudsters posing as federal investigators approached him as a suspect in a money laundering case. They also organized an online court hearing where someone impersonated India’s Chief Justice D.Y. Chandrachud and then he was ordered to deposit his funds in an account as part of the investigation.

“They made a Skype call regarding the court hearing… as per a Supreme Court order I was directed to release all my funds to into a secret supervision account,” Mr. Oswal told police authorities, according to a case document Reuters reviewed on Monday.

The Supreme Court’s registrar and Mr. Chandrachud’s office did not respond to Reuters queries. Oswal also did not respond.

Police on Monday said they had recovered $600,000 from the accused, saying it was considered to be India’s largest recovery so far in such cases.

Oswal’s case documents said he was threatened with a so-called digital arrest, a rising trend in India where scammers interrogate people on video calls and blackmail them into making payments for violations of the law that they never committed.

India’s government in May warned the public that a rising number of cases of “digital arrests” were being reported where cyber criminals sometimes wear police uniforms and pose as law enforcement officers from studios modeled on police stations or government offices. More than 1,000 Skype IDs involved in such activities had been blocked.

Mr. Oswal is one of the most high-profile figures to have been embroiled in such a scam. He leads a five-decade-old textile company which has a turnover of $1.1 billion and a presence in more than 75 countries. — Reuters

Medical firm pauses trial for lupus treatment after patient deaths in Philippines, Argentina

STOCK PHOTO | Image by Silas Camargo Silão from Pixabay

KEZAR Life Sciences said on Monday it has paused a trial of its experimental drug for lupus to review safety data after four patients died in the mid-stage study.

The San Francisco-based company said it had informed the US Food and Drug Administration and European regulators of the decision to pause enrollment and dosing in the trial.

An independent study committee had recommended the pause after reviewing safety data, following the deaths of patients enrolled in trials in the Philippines and Argentina.

Review of the data by the committee showed three of the fatalities showed a common pattern of symptoms and the deaths happened close to the time of dosing, while a non-fatal adverse event showed a similar proximity to dosing, the company said.

Kezar was testing the treatment, zetomipzomib, in patients with active lupus nephritis, a type of kidney disease caused by lupus — where the body’s immune system attacks its own cells and organs.

To date, 84 patients have been enrolled in the mid-stage trial, according to Kezar.

The company said it has not observed any instances of death or serious infections in prior clinical studies of zetomipzomib.

Another mid-stage trail testing zetomipzomib in patients with autoimmune hepatitis, remains active with no serious adverse events observed to date, the drug developer said. — Reuters

East Coast dockworkers strike, in blow to shipping imports and exports

IMAGE VIA THE PORT OF LOS ANGELES

NEW YORK — Dockworkers along the U.S. East Coast and Gulf Coast began a strike on Tuesday, halting the flow of about half the nation’s ocean shipping after negotiations for a new labor contract broke down over wages.

The strike blocks everything from food to automobile shipments across dozens of ports from Maine to Texas, in a disruption analysts warned will cost the economy billions of dollars a day, threaten jobs, and stoke inflation.

The International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) union representing 45,000 port workers had been negotiating with the United States Maritime Alliance (USMX) employer group for a new six-year contract ahead of a midnight Sept. 30 deadline.

“As a result of the expiration of the master agreement between United States Maritime Alliance (USMX) and the International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA), there is a work stoppage at The Port of Virginia and other ports along the U.S. East and Gulf coasts,” the Virginia port authority said, announcing the stoppage.

The USMX and union did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

But the ILA’s fiery leader, Harold Daggett, said earlier employers like container ship operator Maersk and its APM Terminals North America had not offered appropriate wage increases or agreed to demands to stop port automation projects. The USMX said in a statement on Monday it had offered to hike wages by nearly 50%.

The ILA said in statements on Sunday and Monday that a port strike would go ahead, starting on Tuesday at 12:01 a.m. ET.

The strike, the ILA’s first since 1977, is worrying businesses across the economy that rely on ocean shipping to export their wares or secure crucial imports. The strike affects 36 ports that handle a range of containerized goods from bananas to clothing to cars.

The union is “holding the entire country over a barrel,” said Steve Hughes, CEO of HCS International, which specializes in automotive sourcing and shipping. “I’m really afraid that it is going to be ugly.”

The dispute is also wedging labor-friendly U.S. President Joe Biden into a virtual no-win position as Vice President Kamala Harris runs a razor-tight election race against Republican former President Donald Trump.

Biden administration officials had met with both USMX and ILA ahead of the strike to encourage a deal. But Biden’s administration has repeatedly ruled out the use of federal powers to break a strike in the event of an impasse.

U.S. Chamber of Commerce President Suzanne Clark urged Biden on Monday to reconsider, saying it “would be unconscionable to allow a contract dispute to inflict such a shock to our economy.”

Retailers accounting for about half of all container shipping volume have been busily implementing backup plans as they head into their all-important winter holiday sales season.

Many of the big players rushed in Halloween and Christmas merchandise early to avoid any strike-related disruptions, incurring extra costs to ship and store those goods.

Retail behemoth Walmart, the largest U.S. container shipper, and membership warehouse club operator Costco say they are doing everything they can to mitigate any impact.

New York Governor Kathy Hochul said on Monday the state expects no immediate impact on food suppliers or essential goods. — Reuters

Vietnam fishing boat attacked near contested South China Sea islands, media reports

A VIETNAMESE naval soldier stands guard at Thuyen Chai island in the Spratly archipelago, Jan. 17, 2013. — REUTERS

HANOI – At least 10 Vietnamese fishermen have been injured after their boat was attacked by a foreign vessel while fishing near Paracel islands claimed by both China and Vietnam, state media reports said late on Monday.

The attack took place on Sunday, reported Thanh Nien newspaper, citing authorities in the central province of Quang Ngai. The report did not provide a description of the foreign vessel or how the fishing vessel was attacked.

Three of the fishermen had their legs and arms broken from the attack, the report said, citing Nguyen Thanh Bien, the captain of the fishing boat QNg.

The fishing boat with the 10 fishermen aboard departed a port in the province on September 13, the report said.

Vietnamese and Chinese foreign ministries didn’t immediately respond to Reuters’ requests for comment. Vietnamese authorities are investigating the incident, the report added.

The China-controlled Paracel, known as Hoang Sa in Vietnam, are in the South China Sea, a busy global maritime waterway almost all of which is claimed by China. — Reuters

Global rice prices drop after India allows white rice exports

NEDA

MUMBAI/HANOI – Global rice prices fell on Monday after India, the world’s No.1 exporter of the grain, gave the go-ahead for exports to resume, boosting global supply and helping poor Asian and African buyers secure more affordable supplies, exporters said.

India on Saturday allowed exports of non-basmati white rice. That came a day after New Delhi cut export duty on parboiled rice to 10%, buoyed by a new crop in the offing and higher inventories in state warehouses.

“Suppliers from Thailand, Vietnam, and Pakistan are responding to India’s move by lowering their export prices,” said Himanshu Agarwal, executive director at Satyam Balajee, a leading rice exporter. “Everyone’s trying to stay competitive to hold their spot in the market.”

Global rice prices soared to their highest level in over 15 years following India’s decision last year to ban the export of white rice and impose a 20% duty on parboiled rice exports.

Last year’s export curbs imposed by India allowed competing suppliers like Vietnam, Thailand, Pakistan, and Myanmar to increase their market share and command higher prices in the global market.

On Monday, India’s 5% broken parboiled variety was quoted at $500-$510 per metric ton, down from the last week’s $530-$536. Indian 5% broken white rice was offered around $490.

Exporters in Vietnam, Pakistan, Thailand and Myanmar also lowered prices by at least $10 per ton on Monday, dealers said.

The Philippines, Nigeria, Iraq, Senegal, Indonesia, and Malaysia are among the key importers of Asian rice.

Buyers and sellers are evaluating the potential impact of increased Indian rice supplies and accordingly prices would settle this week, said Nitin Gupta, senior vice president of Olam Agri India.

India accounted for more than 40% of the world’s rice exports in 2022, a record 22.2 million metric tons out of a total 55.4 million metric tons of global trade.

Thai rice prices were quoted at $540-$550 on Monday, down from last week’s $550 to $560 per ton.

Thailand’s rice export prices could decrease due to increased supplies in the market, but the extent of the decline would depend on several factors, including the appreciating Thai currency, said Chukiat Opaswong, honorary president of the Thai Rice Exporters Association.

Rice prices have started to correct, even in Vietnam, but traders caution that the full impact of Indian supplies has yet to be seen.

“(Vietnamese) exporters should stay calm and avoid reducing prices to secure contracts,” said Truong Tan Tai, chief executive of Vinarice Co., a rice exporter. — Reuters

Epic Games accuses Samsung, Google of scheme to block app rivals

EPICGAMES.COM

“Fortnite” video game maker Epic Games on Monday accused Alphabet’s Google and Samsung, the world’s largest Android phone manufacturer, of conspiring to protect Google’s Play store from competition.

Epic filed a lawsuit in U.S. federal court in California alleging that a Samsung mobile security feature called Auto Blocker was intended to deter users from downloading apps from sources other than the Play store or Samsung’s Galaxy store, which the Korean company chose to put on the back burner.

Samsung and Google are violating U.S. antitrust law by reducing consumer choice and preventing competition that would make apps less expensive, said U.S.-based Epic, which is backed by China’s Tencent.

“It’s about unfair competition by misleading users into thinking competitors’ products are inferior to the company’s products themselves,” Epic Chief Executive Tim Sweeney told reporters.

“Google is pretending to keep the user safe saying you’re not allowed to install apps from unknown sources. Well, Google knows what Fortnite is as they have distributed it in the past.”

Google in a statement called Epic’s lawsuit “meritless” and said Android device makers “are free to take their own steps to keep their users safe and secure”.

Samsung said it planned to “vigorously contest Epic Games’ baseless claims.”

“The features integrated into its devices are designed in accordance with Samsung’s core principles of security, privacy, and user control, and we remain fully committed to safeguarding users’ personal data,” Samsung said in the statement, adding that users have choices to disable Auto Blocker at any time.

Epic said Samsung’s Auto Blocker was designed to blunt the impact of a U.S. verdict that Epic won against Google in December 2023 that is expected to force the company to make apps easier to obtain from other sources.

Epic said it will also raise its competition concerns with regulators in the European Union, which has long scrutinized Google’s business practices.

Epic had earlier faced off with Google and Apple over their rules of charging up to 30% commissions on app store payments. After getting banned for nearly four years, Epic’s Fortnite was available again on iPhones in the European Union and worldwide on Google’s Android devices last month.

Samsung introduced Auto Blocker on its smartphones in late 2023 as an opt-in feature to protect users from downloading apps that may contain malware. Epic said Samsung made Auto Blocker the default setting in July and intentionally made it difficult to disable or bypass.

Cary, North Carolina-based Epic Games sued Google in 2020, claiming it stifled competition through its controls over app distribution and payments. — Reuters

Fed sees no ‘hurry’ to cut rates as confidence in economy grows, Powell says

US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell testifies before a Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee hearing on “The Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress,” on Capitol Hill in Washington, US, July 9, 2024. — REUTERS

NASHVILLE, Tennessee – Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicated on Monday the U.S. central bank would likely stick with quarter-percentage-point interest rate cuts moving forward and was not “in a hurry” after new data boosted confidence in ongoing economic growth and consumer spending.

“This is not a committee that feels like it is in a hurry to cut rates quickly,” Mr. Powell told a National Association for Business Economics conference, even though the policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee kicked off its easing cycle with a larger-than-expected half-percentage-pointreductionat its Sept. 17-18 meeting.

“We will do what it takes in terms of the speed with which we move,” Mr. Powell said, to try to keep inflation progressing towards the Fed’s 2% target while maintaining a low unemployment rate.

But, with discussion over whether the U.S. central bank might approve another large reduction to account for the fast decline of inflation since last year, Mr. Powell said the baseline was currently for two quarter-percentage-point reductions by the end of this year, as indicated in policymakers’ updated economic projections released earlier this month.

“If the economy evolves as expected, that would be two more cuts” by year’s end, for a total reduction of half a percentage point more, he told the crowd in Nashville, Tennessee.

His comments rested heavily on confidence in continued economic growth that was buoyed by recent data revisions that raised estimates of income, spending and savings and showed gross domestic income growing faster than thought.

The revisions to government reports on GDI have removed a “downside risk to the economy and suggests spending can continue at a healthy level,” Mr. Powell said.

GDI is an alternate measure of economic growth, similar to gross domestic product, but with income rather than output as the yardstick. A gap between the two led Fed officials to worry that output might be weaker than thought, but the two converged when the estimate of GDI was increased.

The economy “is in solid shape,” Mr. Powell said.

As Mr. Powell spoke, financial markets leaned more heavily into bets that the Fed would cut rates in quarter-percentage-point increments, and now see that as the likely pace through the middle of next year.

The outcome will still hinge on incoming data, including the September U.S. employment report due to be released on Friday and the October employment report, which is due on Nov. 1, just days before the central bank’s Nov. 6-7 meeting.

Stocks eased slightly after Mr. Powell’s remarks, though major indices closed higher on the day. Yields on U.S. Treasuries climbed.

‘RISKS ARE TWO-SIDED’
Mr. Powell said the U.S. economy seems poised for a continued slowdown in inflation that will let the Fed reach a more neutral level of interest rates “over time.”

“Disinflation has been broad-based, and recent data indicate further progress toward a sustained return to 2%,” he said. “We are not on any preset course. The risks are two-sided, and we will continue to make our decisions meeting by meeting.”

The Fed’s policy rate is currently set in the 4.75%-5.00% range. Economic projections released at the meeting earlier this month showed the median policymaker expectation was for the rate to decline further to the 4.25%-4.50% range by the end of this year, to the 3.25%-3.50% range by the end of 2025, and for policy easing to end in 2026 with the rate around the longer-run estimated “neutral” level of 2.9%.

Mr. Powell’s reference to “two-sided” risks points to the open debate Fed officials will have as data accumulate.

In an interview on Monday with Reuters, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic, for example, said he expected an “orderly” pace of rate cuts moving forward, but was open to another half-percentage-point cut if coming employment reports show a significant weakening in job growth. Both he and Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said the fact that inflation stripped of volatile food and energy costs remained at 2.7% in August was a reason not to cut too fast.

The most recent inflation data showed a headline rate of just 2.2%.

Mr. Powell, however, said he felt that “broader economic conditions … set the table for further disinflation.”

Goods prices have been declining, while the once-sticky aspects of the service industry saw inflation now “close to its pre-pandemic pace,” Mr. Powell said.

Progress on housing inflation has been “sluggish,” the Fed chief said, but “the growth rate in rents charged to new tenants remains low. As long as that remains the case, housing services inflation will continue to decline.”

The job market remains “solid,” he said, with a 4.2% unemployment rate still a low level and around that which Fed officials consider sustainable in the long run with inflation at the central bank’s target.

“Overall, the economy is in solid shape; we intend to use our tools to keep it there,” Mr. Powell said, adding that the Fed had made “a good deal of progress” in lowering inflation without a sharp rise in joblessness. — Reuters

Marcos-Duterte battle in focus as Philippines prepares for midterm election

President Ferdinand R. Marcos, Jr. answers questions from the media after his first Cabinet meeting at the Heroes Hall of the Malacañan Palace, July 5. — PHILIPPINE STAR/KRIZ JOHN ROSALES

MANILA – Registration gets underway in the Philippines on Tuesday for one of the world’s biggest midterm elections, headlined by what could be a bitter proxy battle between President Ferdinand Marcos Jr and fiery predecessor Rodrigo Duterte.

The May 2025 election will be a litmus test of Mr. Marcos’ popularity and a chance to consolidate power and groom a successor, which the influential Duterte family has signalled it is determined to stop after an acrimonious falling out.

Philippine presidents are limited to a single, six-year term.

Though 317 seats in Congress and thousands of regional and city posts are up for grabs among 18,000 positions, the attention is on 12 spots in the 24-seat Senate, a high-profile chamber with outsized influence and typically stacked with political heavyweights.

Speculation has swirled that the mercurial Duterte, 79, and two of his sons will contest the senatorial race to try to weaken Marcos. Duterte’s office and that of his daughter, Vice President Sara Duterte, did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

The midterms come after the collapse of what was an unstoppable alliance between the two families that delivered a landslide election win for Marcos in 2022. Sara Duterte had been frontrunner for president in surveys but opted instead to become Mr.Marcos’ running mate.

But their relationship has since turned hostile, owing to policy differences, the unravelling of Rodrigo Duterte’s pro-China foreign policy and investigations into his bloody war on drugs, plus other scandals implicating his associates.

Sara Duterte resigned from cabinet and last week suffered a humiliating two-thirds slashing of her office’s budget by a Congress led by the president’s cousin, after she refused to attend hearings and objected to scrutiny of her spending.

POWERFUL PLATFORM
Senate seats could give the Dutertes a powerful platform in the Philippines’ personality-driven politics to shore-up support, challenge Marcos legislation and initiate investigations into his government.

“All eyes will be indeed on who among them would run … or all of them,” said Ederson Tapia, professor of public administration at the University of Makati.

“The Dutertes, notwithstanding the controversies hounding VP Sara, remain a formidable force.”

Mr.Marcos is bolstering his base by endorsing big local names for the Senate, including three former movie actors, the daughter of the country’s richest man, plus two of his presidential election rivals, among them global boxing icon Manny Pacquiao.

A notable absence from his Senate slate will be sister Imee Marcos, however, who is seeking re-election but declined her brother’s endorsement, which she said was to avoid putting him in a difficult position.

Political science professor Jean Encinas-Franco of the University of the Philippines said success for President Marcos in the midterms could be vital to his legacy.

“If the majority of those he endorsed win in the Senate and the House, it ensures that his legislative agenda will push through,” she said.

“It ensures that he will have enough clout to anoint someone who he is going to support in the 2028 (presidential) elections.” — Reuters

FPJ Cup Visayas Edition: ‘Shoot for a Cause’ unites participants to support fallen heroes’ families

Shooters from Bacolod City

The FPJ Cup Visayas Edition: Shoot for a Cause successfully gathered 200 participants in a charity shooting competition aimed at raising funds for the Hero Foundation and providing assistance to the children of fallen men and women in uniform. The event drew strong support from local security groups and politicians, highlighting the collaborative effort to back FPJ Panday Bayanihan and its advocacy for the families of our national heroes.

The Hero Foundation is dedicated to providing educational assistance to the children of military personnel who lost their lives in the line of duty. Through this event, participants helped generate essential funding for the foundation, reaffirming the community’s commitment to honoring the sacrifices made by uniformed personnel. Local leaders and security groups from the Visayas region came together for this cause, showcasing their shared dedication to ensuring that the families of the country’s fallen heroes receive the support they need.

“It’s important we are able to continue to raise funds and awareness! In the true spirit of FPJ, this fun shoot was the perfect way to give back to our men and women in uniform,” stated the Chairman of FPJ Panday Bayanihan, Brian Poe Llamanzares.

The FPJ Cup Visayas Edition not only served as an exciting competition but also as a meaningful reminder of the importance of collective efforts in making a difference in the lives of those left behind by our national heroes.

This is the second FPJ fun shoot to support Hero Foundation. The first shoot saw hundreds of participants attend ranging from gun enthusiasts to members of the security sector and armed forces.

 


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Weak US outlook to hit remittances

PHILSTAR FILE PHOTO

By Luisa Maria Jacinta C. Jocson, Reporter

A SLOWDOWN in US consumption could hurt Philippine remittances and exports, though this is still outweighed by domestic risks, Fitch Ratings said.

“Fitch expects some of the main channels of impact would be via weaker US demand for goods imports and outbound tourism, lower remittances and the effects on financial channels and commodity prices,” it said in a report.

The rating firm expects US consumption growth to decelerate gradually over the next 12 months and slow to 1.4% in 2025 from 2.2% this year.

“A notably sharper slowdown could have big implications for emerging market sovereigns, though we view this risk as low,” it added.

US consumer confidence dropped by the most in three years in September amid mounting fears over the labor market, though more households planned to buy a home in the next six months, Reuters reported.

The Conference Board’s consumer confidence index dropped to 98.7 last month from an upwardly revised 105.6 in August. The decline was the largest since August 2021. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the index rising to 104 from the previously reported 103.3.

The Philippines is among the countries that could experience spillover effects from the anticipated weakness, Fitch Ratings said.

“The report mentions the Philippines as one of the countries with relatively smaller, but still potentially significant, exposure to US consumer spending,” Krisjanis Krustins, director at Fitch Ratings’ Asia-Pacific Sovereigns team and primary analyst for the Philippines, said in an e-mail.

The report showed the impacts of muted consumption on various channels in emerging markets (EM) like the Philippines, such as exports. “The US is the most important export market for many EMs, so weaker US domestic demand could have significant repercussions for their export earnings,” it said.

It noted that the Philippines is among the countries where goods exports to the US account for 3-5% of economic output.  This indicates a “slightly lower, but still potentially significant exposure.”

Latest data from the local statistics authority showed that the United States remained the top destination for Philippine-made goods in July, with exports valued at $1.06 billion, equivalent to 16.9% of the total for the month.

“In some cases, such as China’s, this metric may understate exposure as goods exports to other countries may be part of industrial supply chains that ultimately depend on US consumer demand,” Fitch Ratings added.

Meanwhile, remittance inflows may also be dampened by the expected slump in US consumer demand.

“A slowdown in US consumption generally affects US economic activity more broadly, with negative repercussions for the country’s labor market and income growth.”

Fitch Ratings said this could affect the value of remittances sent to emerging markets “as a high share of migrant workers are employed in service sectors that are more likely to be hit if consumption slows.”

“The US’ large migrant and diaspora communities mean it is also a leading source of remittances for many other EMs,” it said. “These include both countries where remittances are large as a share of GDP (gross domestic product) — as in Armenia, Cabo Verde, Georgia, Ghana, Nigeria, the Philippines and Tunisia,” it added.

Data from the Philippine central bank showed that cash remittances from overseas Filipino workers (OFWs) rose by 2.9% to $19.332 billion in January to July. The US accounted for 41.1% of the cash remittances.

In 2023, personal remittances hit a record $37.2 billion and accounted for 8.5% of the Philippine economy.

“Nonetheless, we believe there would likely need to be a large impact on US labor markets to have a significant impact on remittance flows from the US,” Fitch Ratings said.

“Remittances tend to be resilient and are more stable than capital flows, as they are influenced by many factors beyond economic activity levels in the source country, including altruistic motives driven by circumstances in the receiving country,” it said. “Remittances held up well during the economic disruption associated with the COVID-19 (coronavirus disease 2019) pandemic.”

Meanwhile, Mr. Krustins said domestic factors continue to pose a bigger risk for the Philippines than external headwinds.

“Still, domestic demand is the key driver of the Philippines’ 5-6% growth at the moment, so in terms of magnitude, more local risks represent the main potential downsides,” he said. “These could include a renewed spike in inflation, which has been weighing heavily on consumer spending. Climate is also a persistent risk.”

Inflation eased to a seven-month low of 3.3% in August from 4.4% in July. The central bank expects inflation to settle at 3.4% this year.

“Structurally, one of the key challenges for the Philippines’ economy is addressing weaknesses in infrastructure, human capital and the regulatory framework, to enable more private and foreign investment; in the absence of this, growth could stabilize at lower levels,” he added.

The government targets to spend 5-6% of economic output on infrastructure annually.

DOLLAR WEAKNESS
Meanwhile, emerging market currencies could get a boost from a weaker US dollar, Fitch Ratings said.

“A sharper-than-expected US consumption slowdown could affect the outlook for US interest rates, which could be lower than under the baseline, and the US dollar, which could consequently be weaker,” it said.

“A weaker US dollar could support export competitiveness in EMs with dollarized economies. It would also reduce the burden of repaying US dollar-denominated debt in local currency terms,” it added.

Mr. Krustins said the start of the US Federal Reserve’s rate-cutting cycle would also support the peso.

“The start of the Fed easing cycle should in general be supportive of the value of the Philippine peso, similar to other EM currencies and indeed, the peso has strengthened from its weak point in June,” he said.

The Federal Reserve last month cut interest rates by 50 basis points to 4.75%-5%, the first reduction since 2020 that Fed Chairman Jerome H. Powell said was meant to demonstrate policy makers’ commitment to sustaining a low unemployment rate.

“However, we expect the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas to maintain a relatively low interest rate differential with respect to the Fed, compared with historical norms,” Mr. Krustins said. “This, combined with a shift to a structural current account deficit position, could limit the upside for the Philippines’ currency.”

BSP and BAP set to enhance swap, GS repo markets

BW FILE PHOTO

THE BANGKO SENTRAL ng Pilipinas (BSP) and Bankers Association of the Philippines (BAP) will enhance the interest rate swap market and the repurchase agreement (repo) market for government debt to improve benchmarks for a smoother yield curve.

“This year, we are introducing an enhancement in the Philippine Interest Rate Swap (Peso IRS) instrument and the repo market for government securities (GS) — tools that will benefit the banking clients to better manage their risks and exposures and eventually grow our market,” BAP Open Market Committee Chairman Paul Raymond A. Favila said at an event on Monday.

These initiatives will enhance short-term benchmarks and further deepen the country’s capital markets, he said.

“A benchmark yield curve will help in the pricing of bank loans and corporate bonds, and thus strengthen the transmission mechanism for monetary policy,” BSP Governor Eli M. Remolona, Jr. added.

Mr. Remolona earlier said that he planned to revive the domestic swap market.

A swap is a derivative contract where one party exchanges the values or cash flows of one asset for another. Interest rate, equity, credit default and currency swaps are the most common types of swaps.

The BAP will create the enhanced Peso IRS overnight reference rate (ORR) based on the BSP’s variable overnight reverse repurchase rate (ORRP) that is set in an active daily auction.

The BSP launched the ORRP in September last year.

“Not only did it support the monetary tool of the BSP, but it provided a solution to the industry’s Peso IRS reference rate,” Mr. Favila said. “The enhanced Peso IRS facility addresses existing gaps in the market by providing a more relevant robust hedging option for market participants.”

The swap market would also “generate a more robust long-term funding market which is critical to help sustain long-term investment and economic growth,” he added.

Mr. Favila said the IRS will not be replacing other instruments.

“We are not anticipating necessarily a replacement. In any jurisdiction, the determination of the benchmark is actually determined by the users themselves. So, what we are trying to do is to provide options — hopefully deeper, better options — and let the market evolve accordingly.”

Mr. Remolona said the PHP Bloomberg Valuation Service (BVAL) yield curve is “choppy,” and the IRS curve will help enhance it.

“Ultimately, I think, as has happened in other markets, there will be a small spread between BVAL and the swaps curve,” he said. “The swaps curve will be a bit higher than the government curve, if I may call BVAL that. That spread will represent counter-party risk among the dealers in the swaps market.”

There are 15 BAP-member banks that have committed to be market makers in the IRS market: BDO Unibank, Inc.; Bank of the Philippine Islands; China Banking Corp.; Metropolitan Bank & Trust Co.; Philippine National Bank; Security Bank Corp.; Rizal Commercial Banking Corp.; Union Bank of the Philippines, Inc.; ANZ Bank; Citigroup, Inc.; Deutsche Bank; HSBC; ING Bank; JPMorgan Chase; and Standard Chartered Bank.

“These market makers are committed to quote two-may prices for the one-month, three-month, and six-month Peso IRS,” Mr. Favila said. “These market-based quotes from large and active member banks will form a more robust short-term benchmark that banks and borrowers can use for pricing loans.”

Tenors will range from one, two, three, four, five, seven, and 10 years, he added.

Meanwhile, five banks signed up as regular participants: BDO Private Bank, Inc.; Maybank Investment Banking Group; Mizuho Bank, Ltd.; Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group; and Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corp.

The IRS can be up and running as soon as this year, Mr. Favila said, once the International Swaps and Derivatives Association (ISDA) acknowledges the ORR. The BAP is looking to have the ORR approved by ISDA by November.

“As soon as we get positive confirmation that the ORR is already recognized by ISDA… the market is ready to begin trading,” he said.

Bloomberg is expected to serve as the trading platform for the swap market, while the BSP will be the publisher of the daily variable reverse repurchase rate benchmark.

Meanwhile, the BSP and BAP are also working to expand the GS repo market to boost trading and provide an alternative benchmark for short-term loan rates.

“Currently, the BSP “tags” securities to banks that place cash with it via the reverse repo window. The central bank is now working on shifting from tagging to full delivery of these securities in line with global market practice. This will allow banks to trade these securities, vastly expanding the market,” the BSP and BAP said in a statement.

This will boost liquidity in the primary and secondary bond markets, they said, facilitate bond price discovery and transparency, develop hedging tools, and help reduce credit risks and costs, which could help attract more investors to the Philippine GS market.

“These benchmarks are expected to provide market participants with a better avenue to price interest rates for bonds and loans. By better management of relevant risks, the overall Philippine market will benefit due to greater confidence from both local and foreign investors and financial institutions — thus leading to more robust market activity in the future,” BAP President Jose Teodoro K. Limcaoco said.

“Enhancement in the benchmarks will support the evolution and generation of financial products for hedging longer-term exposures through the Philippine Peso Interest Rate Swap and government securities repo markets,” he added.

DERIVATIVES
Meanwhile, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is looking to develop a futures market in the Philippines, it said on Monday.

The corporate regulator held a Derivative Market Oversight and Regulatory Scheme Training with the United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Aug. 12-16 in preparation for the possible creation of a local derivatives market, it said in a statement.

“The Derivative Market Oversight and Regulatory Scheme… complements our ongoing efforts to develop regulatory frameworks for commodity futures and an electricity derivatives market, in pursuit of our mandate to deepen capital markets,” SEC Commissioner McJill Bryant T. Fernandez said.

“Developments in the derivatives market as a whole have contributed to more complete financial markets, improved market liquidity, and increased the capacity of the financial system to price and bear risk effectively — ultimately, ushering in stronger economic growth over time,” he added.

Derivatives are types of investments wherein an investor does not own the underlying asset, but instead makes a bet on the direction of the price movement of the underlying asset through an agreement with another party. These include options and futures contracts.

The training with CTFC covered the legal frameworks and regulatory elements of derivatives, investor protection and regulation, and contract design and transaction clearing mechanisms, the SEC said.

“The SEC remains committed to finding new and innovative solutions to further develop the capital market in order to provide businesses more accessible funding for their growth, as well as more investment options that cater to the different risk profiles of the investing public,” SEC Chairperson Emilio B. Aquino said.

China Bank Capital Corp. Managing Director Juan Paolo E. Colet said the having a derivatives market will boost the “sophistication and appeal of our financial markets.”

“The creation of a local derivatives market is long overdue as many of our neighbors already have their own organized derivatives or futures markets,” Mr. Colet said in a Viber message.

However, such a market may not be “appropriate for all types of investors given the level of risk involved,” he said.

“Sophisticated investors will most likely be the primary users and traders of derivatives. It will take a lot of investor education to make the domestic retail market ready for derivatives,” Mr. Colet said. “An immediate challenge for regulators is to design a robust, market-friendly, and cost-efficient framework for the origination, trading, and settlement of derivatives. If it is too onerous, then it might discourage investors and stunt the development of the derivatives market.”

“They have good intentions. Having more products is better than less. However, there’s no guarantee it will be a popular product,” COL Financial Group, Inc. Chief Equity Strategist April Lynn Lee-Tan added in a Viber message. — Luisa Maria Jacinta C. Jocson and Revin Mikhael D. Ochave

BSP eyeing to remove fees on small transfers

THE BANGKO SENTRAL ng Pilipinas (BSP) wants to remove transaction fees for person-to-person electronic fund transfers and payments to small businesses, based on a draft circular.

The central bank is eyeing to amend the Manual of Regulations for Payment Systems (MORPS) to “provide for the elimination of fees on electronic fund transfers for personal transactions, up to a specified threshold on the number of transactions, and on payments for micro-merchants,” according to an exposure draft of the circular posted on its website.

BSP Governor Eli M. Remolona, Jr. earlier said the regulator has been employing moral suasion to influence the banking industry to permanently remove charges for small-value person-to-person online transactions.

The BSP has been encouraging banks since last year to formalize the removal of these fees to help boost digital payments.

The central bank said micro-merchants are end-users that avail of merchant payment acceptance activities and that fall under the definition of microenterprises in the Magna Carta for Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises.

Micro-merchants have monthly aggregate gross receipts that do not exceed P250,000, it said.

“This includes end-users who utilize either merchant or personal accounts to facilitate acceptance of electronic fund transfers,” the BSP added.

Meanwhile, the proposed circular defines personal transactions as fund transfers “involving persons, which can either be a remittance or lending of funds, done for personal, family, or household purposes and not conducted in the ordinary course of business.”

“An end-user is considered using his account for personal transactions when the number of person-to-person electronic fund transfers from his account does not regularly exceed 10 times a week,” the BSP said.

The proposed circular seeks to amend MORPS Section 201, which contains rules on the fees imposed on transactions performed under the National Retail Payment System (NRPS) Framework, to say that personal transactions “shall be provided at no cost to consumers.”

“Accordingly, person-to-person electronic fund transfers shall be offered free of charge for personal transactions; provided, that transactions beyond the threshold set in the definition are still allowed subject to fees,” the BSP added.

The draft rules also seek to amend MORPS Section 503, which contains guidelines for Operators of Payment Systems-Merchant Acquisition License (OPS-MAL) to remove transaction fees for payments to micro-merchants.

“Notwithstanding the consumer pricing rules under the NRPS Framework and subsequent relevant issuances, OPS-MAL shall adopt a pricing mechanism whereby merchant fees may be charged to merchants availing of merchant payment acceptance activities; provided, that such fees shall be waived for those that are classified as micro-merchants,” the central bank said.

“The pricing mechanisms for merchants that are not covered by the exemption shall be reasonable, transparent, market-based, and proportional to the cost of the services offered in order to sustain the business operations of the parties involved,” it added.

Data from the central bank as of end-August showed that transfer fees through digital channels currently range from as low as P8 to as high as P200 for individual InstaPay or PESONet transactions.

The only BSFIs that do not impose any transfer fees for InstaPay or PESONet transactions are CIMB Bank Philippines, Inc.; Tonik Digital Bank, Inc.; UNOBank, Inc., and Own Bank, the Rural Bank of Cavite City, Inc.

Several other banks are currently offering small fund transfers free of charge for a limited period.

Sought for comment, Bank of the Philippine Islands (BPI) President and Chief Executive Officer Jose Teodoro K. Limcaoco said the draft rules are a welcome development.

“For BPI, I’m okay with the circular. There are some edits and clarifications that I’d like to make, but in general, the concept is (on) the right track,” Mr. Limcaoco told reporters on the sidelines of a briefing on Monday.

If the circular is approved, payment service providers (PSPs) will need to comply with the amended rules by April 1, 2025. 

The draft circular also proposes to lift the moratorium on the increase of fee for InstaPay and PESONet transactions for PSPs upon the implementation of the circular.

Data from the BSP showed that the value of transactions done through InstaPay and PESONet climbed by 34.6% to P9.45 trillion in the January-July period from a year ago.

The combined volume of transactions coursed through the automated clearing houses jumped by 64.6% to 786.2 million year on year. — Luisa Maria Jacinta C. Jocson