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Oil soars more than 9% after Israel strikes Iran, rattling investors

MODELS of oil barrels and a pump jack are displayed in this illustration photo taken on Feb. 24, 2022. — REUTERS

Oil prices surged more than 9% on Friday, hitting their highest in almost five months after Israel struck Iran, dramatically escalating tensions in the Middle East and raising worries about disrupted oil supplies.

Brent crude futures LCOc1 jumped $6.29, or 9.07%, to $75.65 a barrel by 0315 GMT after hitting an intraday high of $78.50, the highest since January 27. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude CLc1 was up $6.43, or 9.45%, at $74.47 a barrel after hitting a high of $77.62, the loftiest since January 21.

Friday’s gains were the largest intraday moves for both contracts since 2022 after Russia invaded Ukraine, causing energy prices to spike.

Israel said it targeted Iran’s nuclear facilities, ballistic missile factories and military commanders on Friday at the start of what it warned would be a prolonged operation to prevent Tehran from building an atomic weapon.

“This has elevated geopolitical uncertainty significantly and requires the oil market to price in a larger risk premium for any potential supply disruptions,” ING analysts led by Warren Patterson said in a note.

Several oil traders in Singapore said it was still too early to say if the strike will affect Middle East oil shipments as it will depend on how Iran retaliates and if the U.S. will intervene.

“It’s too early to tell but I think the market is worried about shutting off of the Strait of Hormuz,” one of the traders said.

MST Marquee senior energy analyst Saul Kavonic said the conflict would need to escalate to the point of Iranian retaliation on oil infrastructure in the region before oil supply is materially impacted.

He added that Iran could hinder up to 20 million barrels per day of oil supply via attacks on infrastructure or limiting passage through the Strait of Hormuz, in an extreme scenario.

Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said Israel will receive “harsh punishment” following Friday’s attack that he said killed several military commanders.

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio on Thursday called Israel’s strikes against Iran a “unilateral action” and said Washington was not involved while also urging Tehran not to target U.S. interests or personnel in the region.

“Iran has announced an emergency and is preparing to retaliate, which raises the risk of not just disruptions but of contagion in other neighboring oil producing nations too,” said Priyanka Sachdeva, senior market analyst at Phillip Nova.

“Although Trump has shown reluctance to participate, U.S. involvement could further raise concerns.”

In other markets, stocks dived in early Asian trade, led by a selloff in U.S. futures, while investors scurried to safe havens such as gold and the Swiss franc. Reuters

Foxconn sends 97% of India iPhone exports to US as Apple tackles Trump’s tariffs

STOCK PHOTO | Image by Lukas Gehrer from Pixabay

 – Nearly all the iPhones exported by Foxconn from India went to the United States between March and May, customs data showed, far above the 2024 average of 50% and a clear sign of Apple’s efforts to bypass high U.S. tariffs imposed on China.

The numbers, being reported by Reuters for the first time, show Apple has realigned its India exports to almost exclusively serve the U.S. market, when previously the devices were more widely distributed to countries including the Netherlands, the Czech Republic and Britain.

During March-May, Foxconn exported iPhones worth $3.2 billion from India, with an average 97% shipped to the United States, compared to a 2024 average of 50.3%, according to commercially available customs data seen by Reuters.

India iPhone shipments by Foxconn to the United States in May 2025 were worth nearly $1 billion, the second-highest ever after the record $1.3 billion worth of devices shipped in March, the data showed.

Apple and Foxconn did not respond to Reuters requests for comment.

U.S. President Donald Trump on Wednesday said China will face 55% tariffs after the two countries agreed on a plan, subject to both leaders’ approval, to ease levies that had reached triple digits.

India is subject, like most U.S trading partners, to a baseline 10% tariff and is trying to negotiate an agreement to avert a 26% “reciprocal” levy that Mr. Trump announced and then paused in April.

Apple’s increased production in India drew a strong rebuke from Trump in May. “We are not interested in you building in India, India can take care of themselves, they are doing very well, we want you to build here,” Mr. Trump recalled telling CEO Tim Cook.

In the first five months of this year, Foxconn has already sent iPhones worth $4.4 billion to the U.S. from India, compared to $3.7 billion in the whole of 2024.

Apple has been taking steps to speed up production from India to bypass tariffs, which would make phones shipped from China to the U.S. much more expensive. In March, it chartered planes to transport iPhone 13, 14, 16 and 16e models worth roughly $2 billion to the United States.

Apple has also lobbied Indian airport authorities to cut the time needed to clear customs at Chennai airport in the southern state of Tamil Nadu from 30 hours to six hours, Reuters has reported. The airport is a key hub for iPhone exports.

“We expect made-in-India iPhones to account for 25% to 30% of global iPhone shipments in 2025, as compared to 18% in 2024,” said Prachir Singh, senior analyst at Counterpoint Research.

Tata Electronics, the other smaller Apple iPhone supplier in India, on average shipped nearly 86% of its iPhone production to the U.S. during March and April, customs data showed. Its May data was not available.

The company, part of India’s Tata Group, started exporting iPhones only in July 2024, and only 52% of its shipments went to U.S. during 2024, the data showed.

Tata declined to comment on the numbers.

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi has in recent years promoted India as a smartphone manufacturing hub, but high duties on importing mobile phone components compared to many other countries means it is still expensive to produce the devices in India.

Apple has historically sold more than 60 million iPhones in the U.S. each year, with roughly 80% made in China. – Reuters

South Korea’s Lee pledges support on trade issues in meeting with top conglomerates

SOUTH KOREA’S President Lee Jae-myung delivers a speech after taking his oath during his inauguration ceremony at the National Assembly in Seoul on June 4, 2025. — REUTERS

 – South Korean President Lee Jae-myung said on Friday that his government would focus on easing regulations and helping companies on trade issues.

His comments were made at a meeting with heads of top conglomerates and other business leaders. He sat between Samsung Electronics Chairman Jay Y. Lee and Hyundai Motor Group Executive Chair Euisun Chung.

SK Group Chairman Chey Tae-won also attended the meeting, according to the president’s office.

The future of South Korea’s export-oriented economy may hinge on what kind of tariff deal Mr. Lee can strike with U.S. President Donald Trump, with all of his country’s key sectors from chips to autos and shipbuilding heavily exposed to global trade.

“Companies are currently having difficulties in international competition, and we will focus on minimizing the difficulties they are experiencing in international competition and expanding their economic territory,” Lee said at the meeting.

“Please tell us what we should do regarding overseas trade situations, and we will do our best to align with those,” he told the executives.

Mr. Lee, a liberal, was elected on June 3 with promises to become business-friendly. – Reuters

Trump to attend security meeting on Friday after Israeli strikes on Iran

REUTERS

 – U.S. President Donald Trump will attend a National Security Council meeting on Friday morning, the White House said late on Thursday after Israeli strikes on Iran that have put the Middle East on edge.

The meeting will be held at 11 a.m. (1500 GMT) on Friday, the White House said.

 

WHY IT’S IMPORTANT

Israel said early on Friday Middle East time and late Thursday U.S. time that it struck Iran and targeted its nuclear facilities, ballistic missile factories and military commanders. Israel warned it would be a prolonged operation to prevent Tehran from building an atomic weapon.

 

WHAT THEY ARE SAYING

The Trump administration sought to distance the U.S. from the strikes, with Secretary of State Marco Rubio saying, “We are not involved in strikes against Iran and our top priority is protecting American forces in the region.”

Israel’s ambassador to the United Nations said Israel has an ongoing dialogue with Washington but its determination to strike Iran was an independent Israeli decision.

When asked in a CNN interview if Israel expected the U.S. to assist Israel in case of an Iranian response, Ambassador Danny Danon said: “Don’t think we should go into speculation.” He added: “This decision was a decision of the Israeli leadership.”

The State Department said the U.S. embassy in Jerusalem directed all government employees and their family members to shelter in place until further notice.

 

CONTEXT

U.S. and Iranian officials were scheduled to hold a sixth round of talks on Tehran’s escalating uranium enrichment program in Oman on Sunday, but after Israel’s strikes it was unclear if those would proceed.

Mr. Trump said earlier on Thursday an Israeli strike on Iran “could very well happen” but reiterated hopes for a peaceful resolution.

The U.S. military is planning for the full range of contingencies in the Middle East, including the possibility that it might have to help evacuate American civilians, a U.S. official told Reuters.

 

SECURITY ALERT BY U.S. EMBASSY

A security alert by the U.S. embassy in Jerusalem said the security environment was complex and could change quickly.

In response to security incidents and without advance notice, the U.S. embassy may further restrict or prohibit U.S. government employees and their family members from traveling to certain areas of Israel and the Israeli-occupied West Bank, the State Department said. – Reuters

Iran and Israel’s open warfare after decades of shadow war

Israeli and Iranian flags are seen in this illustration taken, April 24, 2024. — REUTERS/DADO RUVIC/ILLUSTRATION

Israel said on Friday it carried out strikes in Iran, a day before talks between the Islamic Republic and the U.S. about Tehran’s escalating uranium enrichment program were set to take place in Oman.

This marks the latest escalation since the war in Gaza began in 2023 and heightens fears of an all-out war between the two countries, whose history of enmity spans decades of clandestine conflicts and includes land, sea, air and cyber attacks.

Following is a timeline of key events:

1979 – Iran’s pro-Western leader, Mohammed Reza Shah, who regarded Israel as an ally, is swept from power in an Islamic Revolution that installs a new Shi’ite theocratic regime with opposition to Israel an ideological imperative.

1982 – As Israel invades Lebanon, Iran’s Revolutionary Guards work with fellow Shi’ite Muslims there to set up Hezbollah. Israel will eventually see the paramilitary group as the most dangerous adversary on its borders.

1983 – Iran-backed Hezbollah uses suicide bombings to expel Western and Israeli forces from Lebanon. In November a car packed with explosives drives into the Lebanon headquarters of Israel’s military. Israel later withdraws from much of Lebanon.

1992-94 – Argentina and Israel accuse Iran and Hezbollah of orchestrating suicide bombings at Israel’s embassy in Buenos Aires in 1992 and a Jewish center in the city in 1994, each of which killed dozens of people.

Iran and Hezbollah deny responsibility.

2002 – A disclosure that Iran has a secret program to enrich uranium stirs concern that it is trying to build a nuclear bomb in violation of its non-proliferation treaty commitments, which it denies. Israel urges tough action against the Islamic Republic.

2006 – Israel fights Hezbollah in a month-long war in Lebanon but is unable to crush the heavily armed group, and the conflict ends in an effective stalemate.

2009 – In a speech, Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei calls Israel “a dangerous and fatal cancer”.

2010 – Stuxnet, a malicious computer virus widely believed to have been developed by the U.S. and Israel, is used to attack a uranium enrichment facility at Iran’s Natanz nuclear site. It is the first publicly known cyberattack on industrial machinery.

2012 – Iranian nuclear scientist Mostafa Ahmadi-Roshan is killed by a bomb placed on his car by a motorcyclist in Tehran. A city official blames Israel for the attack.

2018 – Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu hails President Donald Trump’s withdrawal of the U.S. from Iran’s nuclear deal with world powers after years of lobbying against the agreement, calling Trump’s decision “a historic move”.

In May, Israel says it hit Iranian military infrastructure in Syria – where Tehran has been backing President Bashar al-Assad in the civil war – after Iranian forces there fired rockets at the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights.

2020 – Israel welcomes the assassination of General Qassem Soleimani, commander of the overseas arm of Iran’s Revolutionary Guards, in an American drone strike in Baghdad. Iran strikes back with missile attacks on Iraqi bases housing American troops. About 100 U.S. military personnel are injured.

2021 – Iran blames Israel for the assassination of Mohsen Fakhrizadeh, viewed by Western intelligence services as the mastermind of a covert Iranian program to develop nuclear weapons capability. Tehran has long denied any such ambition.

2022 – U.S. President Joe Biden and Israeli Prime Minister Yair Lapid sign a joint pledge to deny Iran nuclear arms in a show of unity by allies long divided over diplomacy with Tehran.

The undertaking, part of a “Jerusalem Declaration” crowning Biden’s first visit to Israel as president, comes a day after he tells a local TV station he is open to a “last resort” use of force against Iran – an apparent move toward accommodating Israeli calls for a “credible military threat” by world powers.

April 2024 – A suspected Israeli airstrike on the Iranian embassy compound in Damascus kills seven Revolutionary Guards officers, including two senior commanders. Israel neither confirms nor denies responsibility.

Iran responds with a barrage of drones and missiles in an unprecedented direct attack on Israeli territory on April 13. This prompts Israel to launch a strike on Iranian soil on April 19, sources familiar with the matter say.

October 2024 – Iran fires over 180 missiles at Israel in what it calls revenge for the killing of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah on Sept. 27 in an airstrike on Beirut’s southern suburbs, and the killing of Hamas chief Ismail Haniyeh in Iran’s capital on July 31.

Israel strikes military sites in Iran later in the month, saying it was retaliating against Tehran’s attacks. Iranian media reports explosions over several hours in Tehran and at nearby military bases. Iran reports “limited damage” to some locations.

June 2025 – Israel carries out strikes in Iran it says were aimed at disrupting the Islamic Republic’s nuclear infrastructure and targeted scientists working on a nuclear bomb in an operation that would continue for days.

Calling the offensive “Rising Lion,” Israel says it was also targeting Iranian commanders and missile factories while declaring a state of emergency in anticipation of Iranian retaliation. Iranian state media reports the killing of Tehran’s Revolutionary Guards Commander Hossein Salami and nuclear scientists Fereydoun Abbasi-Davani and Mohammad Mehdi Tehranchi in the strike.

The U.S. says it was not providing assistance for the operation. The strikes came a day after Mr. Trump said U.S. personnel were being moved out of the Middle East because “it could be a dangerous place”. – Reuters

North Korea’s Kim Jong Un lauds restored destroyer, says more to be built

REUTERS

 – North Korean leader Kim Jong Un pledged to keep building a more modern navy fleet to enhance the country’s maritime power as he attended the launching ceremony for a warship that was repaired after its earlier failed launch, state media said on Friday.

Satellite images had shown ongoing repairs to the 5,000-ton destroyer that partially capsized in May, after Mr. Kim called the accident a “criminal act” and ordered the ship to be rebuilt before a ruling party meeting later this month.

Mr. Kim said the restoration of the destroyer “had not delayed” North Korea’s attempts to enhance naval power, and said plans were in place “to build two more 5,000-ton destroyers next year”, KCNA reported.

North Korea has detained several officials since the initial failed launch of the destroyer, the largest warship Pyongyang has ever built.

Mr. Kim called for the country to strengthen its maritime military presence in the Pacific Ocean in the face of what he said were provocations by the United States and its allies, KCNA said.

“Soon, enemies will experience themselves how provocative and unpleasant it is to sit and watch the ships of an adversary run rampant on the fringes of sovereign waters,” Mr. Kim said in a speech at the ceremony, according to KCNA.

“I’m sure that in the near future, the routes of our battleships … will be opened on the Pacific Ocean toward the outposts of aggression.”

Mr. Kim also said a shipyard worker had died in their “destroyer construction battle” a few days before the launch, and awarded a “patriotic sacrifice certificate” to the man’s family.

The re-launch of the vessel, just three weeks after the initial failure, is probably an indication that the damage to the vessel was relatively minor in nature, a Washington think tank said.

Satellite imagery showed the vessel’s gun turret had been bounded but hatches for the vertical launch systems were covered, making it unclear whether the systems had been completely installed, the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) said in a report.

Pyongyang’s plan to build more destroyers could “further complicate U.S. and allied missile defense in the region,” CSIS said. – Reuters

Philippines’ Duterte seeks interim release from ICC

FORMER PRESIDENT RODRIGO R. DUTERTE — INTERNATIONAL CRIMINAL COURT / COUR PÉNALE INTERNATIONALE

MANILA – Former Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte has petitioned the International Criminal Court to allow his interim release to another country, his lawyer said in a filing, citing his advanced age and a vow not to flee or commit any further crimes.

Mr. Duterte was arrested and taken to The Hague in March on murder charges linked to his “war on drugs”, where thousands of alleged narcotics peddlers and users were killed. He has maintained his arrest was unlawful.

Mr. Duterte’s counsel Nicholas Kaufman told the ICC’s pre-trial chamber that a third country had already expressed its “advance and principled agreement to receive Mr. Duterte onto its territory”, according to the request released on Thursday. The name of the country was redacted in the text released to the public.

Mr. Duterte is not a flight risk and will not commit further crimes if released, his counsel said.

“Mr Duterte is no longer the President of the Philippines, and does not command the same influence or power he is said to have abused during the period of the alleged crimes,” the request stated.

Mr. Duterte cited “humanitarian reasons” in his request, saying that he is already 80 years old.

The request also said the prosecution would not oppose Duterte’s interim release as long as certain undisclosed terms are met. The office of the prosecutor did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment outside office hours.

ICC assistant to counsel Kristina Conti, who represents drug war victims, told broadcaster DZMM that her clients have opposed Duterte’s interim release from the start.

Mr. Duterte was swept to power in 2016 on a signature campaign to eradicate drug use in the country. During his six years in office, 6,200 suspects were killed during anti-drug operations, according to government data. Rights groups say the actual toll was far greater.

Despite his detention, he overwhelmingly won as mayor in his home city of Davao during midterm elections. – Reuters

LGUs, flood-prone communities advised to prepare for rainy season

“The Philippine weather bureau advises local government units and residents in flood-prone areas to prepare for possible hazards such as flooding and landslides.

Interview by Edg Adrian Eva
Video editing by Arjale Queral

Reduction in stock tax starts July

BW FILE PHOTO

THE Philippine Stock Exchange, Inc. (PSE) is set to implement the lower stock transaction tax (STT) starting July 1 following the recent signing of Republic Act No. 12214 or the Capital Markets Efficiency Promotion Act (CMEPA).

“On the premise that publication of CMEPA will be completed before July 1, the STT of one-tenth of 1% shall apply to transactions through the exchange made on July 1 onwards,” PSE President and Chief Executive Officer Ramon S. Monzon said in a document dated June 11 uploaded on the market operator’s website.

Under Section 29 of CMEPA, the law will take effect on July 1, following its complete publication in the Official Gazette or in at least one newspaper of general circulation.

The CMEPA lowers the stock transaction tax to 0.1% (one-tenth of 1%) from 0.6% (six-tenths of 1%) of the gross selling price or gross value in money of the shares of stock sold, exchanged or disposed.

First Metro Investment Corp. Head of Research Cristina S. Ulang said in a Viber message that the lower stock transaction tax is seen to help the market’s development over time.

“This lowers the so-called friction cost of stock trading and that makes investing more efficient and more incentivized, helping to boost market value turnover,” she said.

Rizal Commercial Banking Corp. Chief Economist Michael L. Ricafort said in a Viber message that the CMEPA’s implementation will help boost stock market participation from local and foreign investors.

“The law will help attract more large foreign and local investors with lower stock transaction costs vis-a-vis other ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations) and Asian stock markets,” he said. “This is part of making our markets more cost competitive for transactions,” he added.

China Bank Capital Corp. Managing Director Juan Paolo E. Colet said in a Viber message the lower stock tax will be beneficial to investors.

“The lower friction cost will benefit all investors in listed stocks, but perhaps more so for traders who frequently bet on short-term price movements,” he said.

“We expect the significant reduction in the STT to boost trading activity and tighten bid-ask spreads,” he added.

The PSE said in a statement last week that the reduction of the STT is expected to boost trading activity and liquidity in the stock market, as well as the local market’s competitiveness against other foreign markets.

The local bourse had one of the highest friction costs in the ASEAN region prior to the enactment of CMEPA, the PSE said.

“CMEPA also expands the application of STT to other securities listed and traded through a local stock exchange which lends certainty to the tax regime applicable to the secondary transfer through the stock exchange of asset classes other than equities and facilitate the launch of more products in the local stock market,” it said.

“The immediate reduction of the STT to 0.1% from 0.6% is a much-awaited reform that will be beneficial to stock market investors.”

Some of CMEPA’s other provisions include the lowering of the documentary stamp tax on the original issue of shares to 0.75% from 1% and allowing employers to claim an additional 50% tax deduction for Personal Equity and Retirement Account contributions, provided they match or exceed the employee’s contribution.

On Wednesday, the main PSE index went up 0.53% or 33.65 points to 6,381.32, while the broader all shares index rose 0.47% or 17.69 points to 3,776.19.

There was no trading at the Philippine stock market on Thursday in observance of Independence Day. — Revin Mikhael D. Ochave

Double taxation talks with Hong Kong likely completed by October

BUREAU of Internal Revenue Commissioner Romeo D. Lumagui, Jr. — PHILIPPINE STAR/RYAN BALDEMOR

By Aubrey Rose A. Inosante, Reporter

NEGOTIATIONS between the Philippines and Hong Kong on a double taxation agreement (DTA) are expected to close in October, the Bureau of Internal Revenue (BIR) said.

“It looks like the negotiations will move quickly. We’re optimistic that by October, most of the substantial parts will be completed, and the next step will be the signing,” BIR Commissioner Romeo D. Lumagui, Jr. told BusinessWorld on June 11.

The agreement aims to eliminate double taxation on income earned in the two countries.

The first round of negotiations for the Comprehensive Avoidance of Double Taxation Agreement was conducted from May 21 to 23 in Hong Kong.

The BIR said the inaugural round of negotiations saw both sides engage in “constructive discussions and exchange views on key provisions of the proposed treaty.”

These included mechanisms to prevent double taxation, tax relief measures, and frameworks for mutual cooperation between the two tax authorities, it added.

“The discussion went fairly well. The main issue is really just understanding where each country is coming from,” Mr. Lumagui said. 

“Of course, Hong Kong has a different tax regime, and the Philippines has its own — that’s all. We’re also looking at what we can offer and what needs to be done — so far, we’ve been able to reach agreements smoothly.” 

The Philippines has around 44 double taxation agreements with various countries, including the United States, the United Kingdom, Spain, South Korea, Japan, Germany, China, Canada, Australia.

The Philippines and Cambodia signed a DTA last February, after three rounds of negotiations.

John Paolo R. Rivera, a senior research fellow at the Philippine Institute for Development Studies urged the BIR to find balance in attracting investment, protecting the tax base, and aligning with global standards on tax transparency when negotiating the agreement.

“BIR should prioritize safeguarding Philippine taxing rights while promoting cross-border trade and investment,” Mr. Rivera told BusinessWorld on Thursday. 

He also cited the strong anti-abuse and information exchange provisions to prevent tax evasion, fair allocation of taxing rights on income like dividends and royalties as key areas of priority in drafting the DTA.

Mr. Rivera said the deal should also include “updated rules on digital services and permanent establishments; clear dispute resolution mechanisms; and safeguards to protect overseas Filipino workers and micro, small, and medium enterprises from double taxation.”

TAX AMNESTY DEADLINE
Meanwhile, the BIR moved the deadline for the filing, approval and payment of estate tax amnesty application to June 16.

“Again, the deadline is June 14, which falls on a Saturday. Since it’s a Saturday, we’re moving it to the next working day, which is Monday. So, the deadline for filing and payment of the estate tax application will be June 16,” Mr. Lumagui told reporters on June 11.

The BIR also extended the banking hours of Authorized Agent Banks up to 5 p.m. for the availment of the estate tax amnesty.

Under the Republic Act No. 11956, the law extended the period for availing estate tax amnesty for another two years or until June 14, 2025, from the previous deadline of June 15, 2023.

This grants beneficiaries, transferees, or legal heirs sufficient time to settle taxes on inherited assets, particularly for estates of individuals who passed away on or before May 31, 2022.

For those applying, the BIR said one must have a duly accomplished and sworn Estate Tax Amnesty Return and Acceptance Payment Form with proof of payment, together with the complete documentary requirements, in triplicate copies.

“Failure to submit the same is tantamount to non-availment of the Estate Tax Amnesty and any payment made may be applied against the total regular estate tax due inclusive of penalties,” it said.

Mr. Lumagui said the process still cannot be done online unlike the annual income tax return filings.

“We need to ensure that all the requirements for availing of the estate tax amnesty are met. This isn’t like regular tax filings. That’s why the process is manual — because the documents need to be thoroughly evaluated for completeness,” he said. 

An 6% estate tax amnesty rate will be imposed on each decedent’s total net taxable estate at the time of death without penalties at every stage of transfer of property, the BIR said.

Last year, the Department of Finance proposed to raise the estate tax rate to 10% from 2025 to 2030, as part of its Government Revenues Optimization through Wealth Tax Harmonization (GROWTH) bill. It also proposed to revert the rate to 6% starting in 2031.

The proposal to replace the Capital Markets Efficiency Promotion Act with GROWTH bill was later withdrawn in April.

PHL jumps to 20th place in Global Gender Gap Index

Women attend a job fair at a mall in Quezon City, March 21, 2025. — PHILIPPINE STAR/MIGUEL DE GUZMAN

THE PHILIPPINES jumped five spots in the 2025 Global Gender Gap Index of the World Economic Forum (WEF) to 20th out of 148 countries and retained its position as the highest-ranking Southeast Asian country.

“Compared to the previous year, the economy has climbed five positions in the ranking, with a 0.2-percentage-point increase in its overall gender parity score,” the WEF said in a report released on Thursday.

The Philippines had a score of 78.1%, well above the average global gender gap score of 68.8% and Eastern Asia and the Pacific average of 69.4%. A parity score of 100 indicates full parity, while the gender gap is the distance from full parity.

Philippines improves in Global Gender Gap Report 2025

The country had the highest ranking among Southeast Asian economies, followed by Singapore (47th), Thailand (66th), Vietnam (74th), Timor-Leste (86th), Laos (96th), Indonesia (97th), Cambodia (106th), Brunei (107th) and Malaysia (108th). Myanmar was not included in the study.

The Philippines remained in third spot in the Eastern Asia and the Pacific region, behind New Zealand (5th) and Australia (13th).

The WEF’s Global Gender Gap Index grades four key dimensions: economic participation and opportunity, educational attainment, health and survival, and political empowerment.

According to the report, the Philippines scored 79% in the economic participation and opportunity subindex this year, the highest in Eastern Asia and the Pacific and 13th globally.

“In 2025, slight improvements in the scores for wage equality and estimated earned income have brought its economic parity score to 79%, the highest in Eastern Asia and the Pacific this year,” it said.

It achieved full parity when it comes to professional and technical workers.

In the educational attainment subindex, the Philippines dropped to 87th spot from last year’s first place, when it achieved full parity.

This subindex includes literacy rate, enrollment rate in primary, secondary, tertiary education.

“Despite strong performances in educational attainment, the gender parity in education has slightly declined. For the first time, the primary school net enrollment rate for boys surpasses that of girls, resulting in a 1.2-percentage-point drop in the education parity score from previous years of full parity,” WEF said.

The report showed the Philippines had gender parity in the literacy rate, as well as enrollment in secondary education and tertiary education.

For political empowerment, the Philippines improved from 30th place from 34th last year.

This subindex includes women in parliament, ministerial positions, years with female or male head of state.

“The Philippines’s political parity score is buoyed by nearly 16 years of female leadership under Presidents Corazon Aquino and Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo. This contributes to a 46.2% score in the head-of-state indicator, the second highest in the region,” the WEF said.

Despite this, progress in female representation in parliament is described as “modest” with a score of 38.9%.

“The score for ministerial positions has declined to 21.1% in 2025, down from over 30% in both 2006-2007 and 2023,” it added.

For the health and survival sub-index, the Philippines rose a notch to 85th spot this year.

“The Philippines has faced growing sex imbalances at birth over the past decade. The sex ratio at birth (females to males) has declined from 0.944 in 2016 to 0.926 in 2025,” the WEF said.

Reinielle Matt M. Erece, an economist at Oikonomia Advisory and Research, Inc., said the Philippines’ improved ranking in the gender parity report was mainly driven by gains in wage equality, but noted that the “country still has a long way to go.”

“This is a good indicator of improvements in job opportunities and reduction of gender discrimination,” Mr. Erece said in a Viber message to BusinessWorld on Thursday.

However, he pointed out that female enrollment in primary education remains below 90%. “Thus, improvements in education accessibility and also childhood health are equally important to ensure that students have proper access to education,” he added. 

Mr. Erece also urged the government to improve the quality of education to help reduce dropout rates, especially among female students.

In the report, the WEF said that no economy has yet achieved full gender parity.

Iceland ranked first with a score of 92.6%, keeping the top spot for 16 consecutive years. It is the only economy to have closed more than 90% of its gender gap since 2022.

The rest of the top 10 include Finland, Norway, the United Kingdom, New Zealand, Sweden, Moldova, Namibia, Germany and Ireland.

“Despite decades of progress, efforts to achieve gender parity remain constrained, imposing a hidden but heavy tax on global growth and weakening the foundations of economic resilience — expressed in underutilized talent, lost productivity, slower innovation and frayed social cohesion,” WEF said.

“As the global context evolves, challenges and opportunities emerge for economies that seek to close gender gaps and adopt gender parity as a strategy for growth: expanding women’s participation in the workforce, strengthening leadership pipelines, improving skills-to-work transitions, enhancing policy implementation, and ensuring inclusive outcomes in global trade.” — Aubrey Rose A. Inosante

Asia’s easing prices pave path for rate cuts and US divergence

A fruit and vegetable stall at a wet market in Taguig City, the Philippines, on Sept. 4, 2024. — GERIC CRUZ/BLOOMBERG

INFLATION is easing across Asia as lower food and fuel prices and stronger local currencies against the dollar push down costs. That’s giving the region’s central bank chiefs scope to support their trade-reliant economies as the risk of US tariffs and related uncertainty weigh on the outlook.

Consumer price indexes have moderated across most of the economies in the region that have already reported data for May. In April, regional consumer prices on a simple average basis excluding Japan slowed to about 1.5%, the lowest level since the first quarter of 2021, according to economists at Nomura Holdings, Inc.

Overnight indexed swaps have priced in more dovish bets for the Reserve Bank of Australia and less hawkish moves from the Bank of Japan over the past month. Money market pricing also implies more dovish outlooks over the three-month horizon for South Korea, India and Malaysia.

Central banks have already begun taking action. The Reserve Bank of India last week cut interest rates by a bigger-than-expected 50 basis points (bps), while Australia’s central bank adopted a surprisingly dovish stance after delivering a quarter percentage point cut. In both cases, officials pointed to demand concerns and the potential impact of US tariffs.

“Inflation, deflation, stagflation — what happens in each economy will hinge on trade agreements and how central bankers react,” said KB Securities Head of Global Markets Peter Kim.

Figures Wednesday showed US inflation accelerated to 2.4% in May from a year ago, compared with 2.3% in April.

By contrast, Asia’s biggest economy remains mired in deflation. China’s factory deflation persisted into a 32nd month in May, with producer prices falling the most in nearly two years.

In the region’s second-biggest economy, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda this week said the central bank is still some distance from its inflation goal in comments that helped accelerate a weakening of the yen. While Mr. Ueda also talked down the possibility of any rate cut, the mention of a possible need to offer support for the economy gave the impression that the bank’s next move to raise rates will be more distant.

Meantime, an unexpected slowdown in South Korea’s inflation strengthened the case for monetary easing. Bloomberg Economics sees the Bank of Korea cutting rates by 25 bps both in August and November, bringing down the base rate to 2% by yearend.

And it’s a similar story across much of Southeast Asia.

“Central banks, instead of getting policy back to neutral if they weren’t already there, they’re now going into easing territory,” said Tamara Henderson, Bloomberg Economics’ ASEAN economist. “The question is how fast will they go? These tariffs are going to be around, they’re going to be high and they’re going to stick in some form.”

Ms. Henderson now forecasts a recession in Singapore and Thailand, on the back of higher US levies hitting global goods demand. Indeed, forecasts for this year’s economic growth across much of the region have been dialed back since late 2024, Bloomberg surveys of economists show, as crude oil prices fall and tariffs weigh on sentiment.

Broad weakening of the US dollar — if sustained — means central banks won’t need to worry as much about their currencies when cutting rates. But that could also come with complications.

“In past cycles, local currency weakness in Asia served as an important shock absorber during periods where exports were weak, but this cushion may not be available this time,” said Sonal Varma, chief economist at Nomura. The bank sees further appreciation for the yen, Taiwanese dollar and the Korean won this year.

For currencies, the Fed’s policy path will also be key. US Fed Chair Jerome H. Powell has resisted calls from President Donald J. Trump to lower interest rates, preferring a cautious approach to assess the impact of tariffs on prices and jobs.

As for Asia’s economic and policy outlook, much will hinge on what happens with US tariffs. Officials from across the region are scrambling to negotiate with the Trump administration to avoid the steep “reciprocal” tariffs announced on April 2 before being paused to allow time for deal making.   

“Unlike COVID, tariffs are not a shock that’ll push up inflation around the world,” said Robin Brooks, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution. He pointed out that replacing US demand will not be easy, which means there’ll be downward price pressures in net exporter countries.

“The global inflation picture is about to diverge.” — Bloomberg