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Peso strengthens vs dollar, closes at P51.92

The peso strengthened against the dollar on Thursday, March 1, following the revised fourth-quarter US economic growth, which grew at a slightly slower pace than previously thought.

The local currency ended Thursday’s session at P51.92 versus the greenback, 18 centavos stronger than its P52.10-per-dollar close on Wednesday.

The peso opened Thursday’s session slightly stronger at P52.07 versus the dollar, while its intraday high stood at P51.905. The peso’s worst showing, meanwhile, landed at P52.10 against the greenback.

Dollars traded rose to $863.5 million from the $652.1 million that changed hands in the previous session.

A trader told BusinessWorld in an e-mail that the peso strengthened “due to profit-taking amid slower US GDP (gross domestic product) growth data.”

The US Commerce Department said on Wednesday that the US economy grew at an annualized pace of 2.5%, slower than the 2.6% reading and the 3.2% pace logged in the third quarter of last year.

However, the 2.5% GDP growth was in line with the forecasts of economists. — Karl Angelo N. Vidal

Poe: Expand NAIA to solve airport congestion

Senator Grace Poe-Llamanzares on Thursday, March 1, said the airport congestion at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA) would be better solved through its expansion rather than the terminal rationalization plan of the Manila International Airport Authority (MIAA).

Ang talagang solusyon diyan ay hindi paglilipat ng terminal ng mga ibang airline kundi pag-e-expand ng NAIA (The real solution is not the transfer of airlines to a different terminal but the expansion of NAIA),” she told reporters after the Senate hearing on airport.

The MIAA’s plan seeks to segregate international flights to NAIA Terminals 1 and 3 and domestic flights to Terminals 2 and 4. It also plans to transfer some domestic flights to Clark International Airport (CIA) in Pampanga.

CebGo President and Chief Executive Officer Alexander G. Lao opposed MIAA’s terminal re-assignment plan, saying that moving Cebu Pacific’s domestic flights would add up to 16.6 million passengers at Terminal 2, which was more than its 9 million passenger capacity. — Camille A. Aguinaldo

EastWest Bank net income grows 48% in 2017

East West Banking Corp. (EastWest Bank) booked a double-digit growth in its net income in 2017 on the back of the robust performance of its businesses.
In a disclosure to the local bourse on Thursday, the Gotianun-led EastWest Bank posted a P5.1-billion bottom line in 2017, 48% higher than the P3.4 billion logged the previous year.
The bank’s robust growth was supported by its core earnings, which grew to P24.2 billion by 21% from the figure booked in 2016, excluding trading and non-recurring revenues.
Broken down, EastWest Bank said its net interest income and fee-based income grew 19.8% and 29.2%, respectively.
However, its trading income slipped to P760 million by 16.6% from the P911.5 million recorded in 2016.
Total loans reached P220.1 billion by 10.7%. Its consumer loans, which accounts for 71% of total loans, grew 17% to P160.3 billion.
Total deposits, on the other hand, rose to P258.7 billion by 7.7%, as low-cost deposits grew 11.1%.
Overall, EastWest Bank’s net revenues reached P25.6 billion in 2017, up 17% year-on-year.
As of end-September 2017, EastWest Bank is the 13th largest commercial bank in the country in asset terms, latest data from the central bank showed. — Karl Angelo N. Vidal

MPIC posts 17% profit growth in 2017

Metro Pacific Investments Corp. sustained a double-digit growth in net profit on the strength of its increased presence in the power industry.

The infrastructure conglomerate said in a disclosure to the stock exchange it reported a 17% rise in consolidated core net income to P14.1 billion last year from P12.1 billion in 2016.

MPIC got a boost from an expanded power portfolio following further investment in Beacon Electric Asset Holdings Inc., robust traffic growth on all roads held by Metro Pacific Tollways Corp.; and continuing growth in the hospital group. — Krista Angela M. Montealegre

Tycoons’ Manila airport bid gets challenged by $3 billion offer

A venture of Megawide Construction Corp. and GMR Infrastructure Ltd. submitted a $3 billion proposal to upgrade and expand the Philippine capital’s 70-year-old airport, challenging a $6.7 billion bid from a group that includes billionaires John Gokongwei and Lucio Tan.

The Megawide-GMR venture, which is operating and expanding another airport in central Philippines, said it can increase the airfield capacity of Manila’s Ninoy Aquino International Airport by as much as 35 percent to as many as 1,000 aircraft movements a day. The project would increase capacity to 72 million passengers a year, they said Thursday.

“Our detailed masterplan takes into account all possible constraints in transforming a fully operational brownfield airport,” Louie Ferrer, president of GMR Megawide Cebu Airport Corp., said in a statement. “It aims to maintain the high service levels expected of a world-class airport for the next 18 years.”

While the Philippine government hasn’t opened up the overcrowded airport’s upgrade for bidding, Gokongwei, Tan and partners last month filed an unsolicited proposal for a two-phase project that would allow the hub to handle as many as 100 million passengers. The consortium includes Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc., Ayala Corp., LT Group Inc., Alliance Global Group Inc., Filinvest Development Corp., JG Summit Holdings Inc. and Metro Pacific Investments Corp.

Manila’s airport, named after a politician who was assassinated on its tarmac in 1983, has been ranked among the world’s worst as it handles well beyond the 30 million passengers it was designed for. — Bloomberg

Finalists of Pioneer Insurance and Team Manila’s Graphic Shirt contest

Have gratitude in your heart and wear your heart on your sleeve. Put them together and wear heart filled with gratitude on your shirt!

That’s the inspiration that budding millennial graphic artists used in their submission to the Big Heart Graphic T‑shirt Design Contest by Pioneer Insurance and local graphic design powerhouse Team Manila. The contest was launched in December last year, and from the top ten designs were selected from 153 submissions and presented to the public on February 1, at the Greenbelt Mall. The contest is a part of Pioneer’s campaign to reach out to colleges and universities on the importance of insurance through the media of art. Pioneer has previously had songwriting and playwriting contests to help spark young talent.

The top ten shirt designs were not just presented on frames to the audience, but were worn by dancers who showed just how impactful the designs were in a moving, grooving body. The top ten designers automatically win at least ₱5,000 in cash, ₱100,000 worth of personal accident insurance and ₱10,000 worth of dengue insurance by Pioneer to protect the talented artists.

Art Samantha Gonzales

Antonette Perez from De La Salle University‑College of Saint Benilde won first place, with her shirt “Isang Lahi, Isang Puso.” Four people with indistinct genders sharing one heart, Perez shows that love and gratitude knows no age, color or gender. She won ₱50,000 in cash for her design. University of Makati’s Joshua‑Rei Panaligan won second place and ₱30,000 cash for “Taos Puso”, a creative illusion where an anatomically correct heart, upon closer inspection, is actually made up of linked arms, with the words “salamat po” written in the middle in script. Micaela Marie Balagapo from the Pamantasan ng Lungsod ng Maynila won third price and ₱20,000 cash for “Kindness Without End”, an eye‑catching graphic design that says “kindness” in bold, proving that you don’t need badass words for a badass shirt.

The contest was judged by CCI‑Asia Chairman Emily Abrera, Associate Creative Director OJ Desuasido, Graphic Designer AJ Dimarucot, Team Manila Co‑Founder Jowee Alviar, and Pioneer Life Inc. President Lorenzo Chan Jr.

Starting next month, the top three shirts will be sold on Team Manila’s online shop, Suez & Zapote Gallery, and Lazada. Proceeds from the shirts will go to the contest winners, jump‑starting their careers as graphic designers.

Is Facebook’s Marketplace a threat to local e‑commerce players?

If you use the Facebook app often enough, you may have noticed the new icon flanked the friend request and notifications buttons. The social media behemoth on January 23 announced that the Philippines was already among the 47 countries where this feature—Marketplace—is enabled.

Marketplace allows users to buy and sell items directly through their Facebook account, and filter through products that are near their location. It was launched in October 2016, but was only made available in U.S., U.K., Australia, and New Zealand.

In a country like the Philippines—which takes the global lead in time spent on social media according to the report Digital in 2017 with an average of 4 hours and 17 minutes per day on social media sites like Facebook, Snapchat an Twitter—this could mean that users will now buy items without leaving the app, avoiding sites that are dedicated to e‑commerce.

The local e‑commerce industry is putting up a brave face in the anticipated fight to retain traction, as Facebook unveils the service, at the same time taking it as a “positive development.”

“[With] 97% of [Filipinos] online being in Facebook, this will allow the Philippine market [to be] more aware of alternative options for online shopping, and make them (market) more familiar [with] how online shopping works,” Mark Joseph Panganiban, executive director of the Digital Commerce Association of the Philippines (DCOM), told SparkUp in an email.

DCOM is a private non‑stock, non‑profit organization whose founders and members include the top e‑commerce players in the country such as Shopinas, Sulit.ph, Multiply, Ensogo, and CashCashPinoy.

Panganiban said existing e‑commerce platforms does not see Marketplace as a threat as they “already had it coming.”

“Understanding the varying business models and setups, each platform/provider has their own unique online selling and/or value‑proposition to its users,” he said.

Marketplace, he added, could actually help grow the industry “as user experience in the Philippines mature and develop.”

“You cannot discount the popularity of Facebook, especially in the Philippines. Facebook has the mass market, the tools in identifying potential customers, and touch‑points among customers and brands/businesses.”

 

Raising the game

While Marketplace may affect e‑commerce platforms selling their own products, the direct blow is seen to go towards online classified platforms that share the same business model of generating tractions from outsourced listings.

Singapore‑based Carousell, for one, does not see Facebook’s Marketplace as a threat.

A relatively new player that entered the Philippines in 2016, Carousell already boasts of having 4.1. million listings at present.

“At Carousell, we’ve been anticipating the Marketplace launch in the region for some time,” a spokesperson of the company said in an email. “We look forward to see how it grows around the world and in the markets that we operate in.”

To remain in the game, the company is currently looking into new features powered by new technologies like machine learning and blockchain technology, all aimed at “[improving] the overall classifieds experience” in the platform.

The initiative came after the company launch artificial intelligence (AI)‑enabled features last year, including Smart Listings, which make all information about items sold in the platform more organized and easy to be searched. The AI feature using data also allows the company to know what users buying under each categories will most likely search for.

“To make the buying and selling process even simpler and safer, we are now exploring how we can make deal arrangements even more frictionless for our users by taking away the hassle of arranging for transactions to take place safely and efficiently.”

 

Consumer protection

Facebook has yet to implement a systemized way of filtering through the posted products in Marketplace—one thing that existing platforms like OLX Philippines and Carousell already have, with the former forming an anti‑fraud team that checks all sellers and items posted on the website in 2015.

Instead of the competition that Marketplace’s presence may cause to the industry, Panganiban said the limelight should be on the implementation of regulations and protection of consumer rights.

He said government institutions such as the Department of Trade and Industry, Philippines National Police, or National Bureau of Investigation’s Cybercrime Division must come up with “creative and user‑friendly way” of resolving disputes that users may experience in using the platform.

“It’s an interesting times for the government and the industry. Hopefully, we [can] continually catch up with regulation while improving the overall e‑commerce ecosystem,” he said.

Crisis management lessons from the Cats of BGC catastrophe

Cats are mystical creatures. Simultaneously adored and considered bad luck, cats have always been surrounded by superstition, far more than, say, dogs. In fact, the following is a running list of things that four‑legged animals are said to have the power to predict: (1) natural disasters; (2) earthquakes; (3) storms; and (4) death.

Lately, they were also the harbinger of potential business loss.

Last week, social media was ablaze with the wrath of cat supporters. The source? A now‑deleted Facebook post demanding an explanation from luxury hotel Shangri‑La at the Fort about what happened to the cats that lived in the part of High Street park next to the hotel.

 

BACK STORY

There are several cats living in the Bonifacio Global City (BGC) area, being taken cared of by volunteers from CARA Welfare Philippines and Cats of BGC. The cats were allegedly spayed/neutered, given anti‑rabies shots, and are ready for adoption even as they were set free to roam around the city streets. They had names. They had backstories. You can monitor their daily lives and adoption status online, through netizen posts and the dating app‑like Tinpurr (a pun on dating app Tinder) profiles on the Cats of BGC page.

On February 16, Shangri‑La at the Fort released a statement on its Facebook page that the cats from the park beside the hotel have not been harmed, and instead have been “relocated” (SparkUp reached out to the hotel, but were referred to said statement.) Half of the cats, the hotel claimed, have been adopted by its employees. They claimed that they had been in talks with CARA Welfare and Cats of BGC where they “discussed a long‑term cooperation to ensure the welfare of the cats at the adjacent High Street park.” But the people weren’t having it. With approximately 2,900 interactions on the first statement and more than a thousand comments, cat‑loving netizens were not satisfied with the explanation. Some brought up that Shangri‑La hired the pest control company PestBusters Philippines to deal with the cats, horrified by the implication that their beloved animals might have been treated as pests.

Since that statement, Shangri‑La at the Fort’s Facebook review status plummeted to a 1‑star rating from a mostly 5‑star rating, with thousands of reviews from angry netizens (it is unverifiable, though, if these are actual patrons of the hotel). Several media outfits also ran stories about the missing cats, putting the hotel in bad light.

 

CATASTROPHE

Despite the age‑old adage, “There’s no such thing as bad publicity,” there is, in fact, a PR sub‑speciality called “crisis communication,” which defends individuals and companies facing a reputational challenge. And this situation could be considered a crisis.

One of such practitioners specializing in the field is Vikki Luta, who heads an entire unit focusing on public affairs and government relations.

In an email interview, Luta defined a crisis as “any situation or scenario that disrupts operations and can lead to a business loss.”

In communications, she said, this could be situations or scenarios that attract significant negative stakeholder or public interest or attention. This thus negatively impacts a company’s reputation or brand.

Reputation, she added, is important for a company, as it’s based on trust and takes years to build.

“Like an individual relationship, once you break the trust, it can be difficult to rebuild it,” said Luta. ““So it’s something that should be protected at all costs.”

While social media makes it easier for controversies to spread, it can also be used to control such crisis situations.

“It can be a trigger but it can also be a tool for managing crisis,” Luta said. “It is a great platform for communication and it has definitely allowed information to move faster.”

“In a crisis situation though, it means that info about a crisis also moves faster, so this means that companies and businesses must also move and respond faster,” she added.

 

BOYCAT

On February 23, a public event hosted by Share‑A‑Seat transpired at the BGC Park, in front of the controversial hotel.

The Facebook event reads: “Lets all meet, gather and occupy the park in front of Shang Fort where the cats used to live and taken from. Lets light up candles, offer flowers, bring cat food for the remaining cats in BGC… No demonstrations, no noise, no loud music, no placards, no disruption of whatsoever ‑ just a peaceful gathering like our usual stop overs to sit down and play with our little furry friends. We clean as we go.”

This SparkUp reporter was armed with a measly cell phone with a cracked screen, and was thus not prevented from taking photos of the event, after security guards halted broadcast media agencies from filming the first few hours of the event.

One of the participants who was brought to the event by his family all the way from Antipolo, because his sister and mother were cat‑loving people. His father sat on the bench taking some wary glances at the security, as his sister and mother chatted with the other attendees. He admitted that if it wasn’t for his family, he wouldn’t go to the event in the first place. But he did monitor the issue on social media.

“People who are aware of the issue, they won’t go to Shang,” he predicted. He added, “I think it’s going to affect the business in a small way because people are still unsure of what happened.”

“The comments on Facebook is what they deserve. If you ask me they deserve worse because they won’t man up for what they did,” he added. “I did check TripAdvisor but they didn’t have bad ratings and I think that’s what people should invest their time in, to put it on TripAdvisor because when people book hotels for business they go to TripAdvisor first.”

Freakonomics Radio, a podcast hosted by American journalist Stephen J. Dubner who co‑authored the Freaknomics books, on an episode aired on January 21, 2016 asked the question “Do boycotts work?” He interviewed several experts on the effectivity on boycotts based on larger events such as South Africa’s Apartheid regime and France’s decision to not get involved with the 2003 Iraq War.

Daniel Diermeier, dean of the Harris School for Public Policy when the episode aired and current University of Chicago provost, and Brayden King, management professor in Northwestern University, both discussed the aftermath of reputational dips on a company.

“If you look at companies that have been boycotted and compare them to other companies that are very similar to them in every way except for they were not boycotted, the boycotted companies tend to do a lot more prosocial behavior afterwards,” said King. “Or they make prosocial claims.”

“There’s no doubt in my mind that when managers or CEOs are confronted by a boycott, reputational damage is top concern for them,” said Diermeier. “The fact is that when you interact with firms on an ongoing basis, the concern over the reputation is top priority.”

“After a company has been boycotted, and it continues to receive media attention about the boycott, the effect of the boycott on the stock price is more negative,” King followed. “That is, investors tend to react more severely to a boycott, the longer that boycott remains in the media’s attention.”

However, there’s a catch. “There’s some research that suggests that even consumers who are ideologically supportive of a boycott don’t tend to follow through and support the boycott either because they don’t want to change their behavior. Or because they never bought the product in the first place,” said King.

Japanese author Haruki Murakami, who often includes the four‑legged feline creature in his stories, once said in an interview: “I collect records. And cats. I don’t have cats right now. But if I’m taking a walk and I see a cat, I’m happy.”

In the business of making guests happy, it takes a little purr‑sistence to get it right.

Infrastructure spending tops 2017 goal

By Melissa Luz T. Lopez
Senior Reporter

STATE infrastructure spending surged in 2017 to beat the official full-year target as work led by the Department of Public Works and Highways (DPWH) picked up, the Budget chief said on Wednesday, affirming the government’s aggressive spending push.

Budget Secretary Benjamin E. Diokno said the government spent P568.8 billion for infrastructure last year, jumping by 15.4% from the P493 billion disbursed in 2016.

The figure also surpassed the P549.4 billion programmed under the 2017 budget.

Mr. Diokno said this placed infrastructure investments for the year at roughly 5.6% of gross domestic product (GDP), higher than the planned 5.4% share and 2016’s 5.1%.

In a report on the country’s fiscal balance, the Department of Budget and Management (DBM) attributed the spending surge to the “acceleration” of infrastructure projects implemented by the DPWH.

“The agency also cited the prompt and regular submission of progress billings from contractors; faster and simplified process of approval of plans and programs; and strict implementation of project planning, monitoring and scheduling as among the factors which resulted in their higher-than-programmed disbursements,” the report read.

In December alone, infrastructure spending reached P82.3 billion, roughly a fourth more than the P66.9 billion spent the prior year.

Mr. Diokno attributed the spike to road projects across Luzon, Central Visayas and Mindanao; flood control, dike and river basin construction and repairs; and the purchase of military equipment.

Mr. Diokno also noted that many projects inherited from the 2010-2016 administration of former president Benigno S. C. Aquino III were under way last year, hence, adding to the spending surge.

Despite the hike in infrastructure disbursements, overall spending fell three percent short of the full-year program.

Mr. Diokno said this was due to lower-than-expected operating expenses, which include salary payments to government workers, interest payments and maintenance costs.

The government also paid bigger subsidies for housing and irrigation last year.

Government spending picked up by 11% to P2.824 trillion in 2017 but missed the P2.909-trillion spending target, according to Treasury data.

Revenues grew 13% to P2.473 trillion, posting the highest annual growth since 2013 and piercing the P2.427-trillion goal.

This led to a P350.6-billion deficit equivalent to 2.2% of GDP, lower than the three percent ceiling set by state economic managers.

“In the medium-term, infrastructure outlays under the Build, Build, Build program will exceed 5% of GDP and push GDP growth to its optimum level of 7-8% as the competitiveness of the economy rises and more jobs are created,” the Department of Finance said in a separate economic bulletin on Wednesday.

Mr. Diokno said he expects the spending surge to be sustained in the coming years, with more projects to be rolled out and with budget reforms to force agencies to spend more efficiently.

The government plans to spend P1.1 trillion on public infrastructure this year, forming part of the P8-9 trillion target until 2022.

Mr. Diokno said that spending plans will depend on the “availability or desirability” of financing options: whether through the annual budget, official development assistance or public-private partnerships.

“If we have the money… and if we want to use it as soon as possible, we use the GAA (General Appropriations Act),” the Cabinet official added.

FORCING OFFICES TO SPEND
The DBM will shift next year to a cash-based budgeting system wherein allocations can be spent only during the fiscal year, with an extension period of three months to settle payments for goods and services delivered and accepted within that year.

The transition started in 2017 as the DBM cut the validity of agency budgets to one year from two years.

“As it shows disbursements rather than obligations or commitments, a cash-based budget tends to reflect more accurately the annual outputs and actions of the government,” the DBM said in a separate statement.

The government plans to spend P3.364 trillion this year. As of end-January, the DBM has released 78.8% or P2.97 trillion of the P3.78-trillion national budget. Such stronger spending is meant to boost GDP growth to 7-8% from 2017’s 6.7% and 6.3% in 2010-2016.

Duterte telco plan sparks frenzy for penny stocks

THERE’s a gold rush in Philippine telecom minnows and everybody’s invited.

For now.

President Rodrigo R. Duterte’s decision to award a new telecommunications license has sparked a frenzy as speculators bid up the prices of once-forgotten penny stocks which may benefit from the shake-up of the sector’s current duopoly of PLDT, Inc. and Globe Telecom, Inc.

NOW Corp.’s market value has surged almost 400% so far this year on wagers the broadband service provider will be part of a new consortium to challenge the incumbents. Its market value of about P21 billion is 8,400 times the P2.5 million in net income it posted in 2016. Earlier this month, it became more valuable than GMA Network Inc., the nation’s second-largest broadcaster, which earned P3.6 billion in the same period.

EasyCall Communications Philippines, Inc., a former 1990s provider of paging services that’s seeking to build a wireless broadband network, has risen over 900% since the end of November.

Transpacific Broadband Group International Inc., a satellite station operator, is up more than 170% over the same period.

The benchmark Philippine Stock Exchange Index has eked out a miserly four percent gain in comparison.

The Philippines will bid out a new telecom license in the first half of 2018, a process set in motion by Mr. Duterte’s invitation in November to Premier Li Keqiang for a Chinese company to invest in the sector and improve services.

The bidding was moved to May from an original plan of March upon the request of contenders, said Eliseo M. Rio, Jr., acting head at the Department of Information and Communications Technology.

ON A ROLL
The proposal sparked investor interest in potential domestic partners for any Chinese bidders, and NOW, EasyCall and Transpacific Broadband are among the 10 biggest gainers this year in the all-share index.

Bets that they can leverage their franchises, existing operations and listed status to potential overseas bidders will likely continue until the bidding, according to Jonathan L. Ravelas, chief market strategist at BDO Unibank Inc.

“This gives hope to small, listed telecommunication companies that they could be the third major player,” Mr. Ravelas said.

“The government probably wants a company that can be up and running immediately.”

The speculation has even spread to some real estate shares, according to market participants.

Golden Haven, Inc., a builder of memorial parks that expanded into mass housing, has seen its shares surge over 1,300% this year on speculation its billionaire owner Manuel B. Villar will use the company to list his telecom venture that will bid for the frequencies the government will sell. Even Mr. Villar’s Starmalls, Inc., a shopping mall builder, has risen over 170% in 2018 on the same speculation.

However, to some in the market, the rally has gone too far and there is a growing risk of a pullback.

Rachelle C. Cruz, an analyst at AP Securities Inc. in Manila, is cautious on the sector given the speculative nature of the moves, even for shareholders of the company which gets the license.

“Share prices are already stratospheric and will likely collapse once the bidding is over,” she said.

“Even the winner would see its stock collapse because raising the capital it needs will lead to massive dilution while its first five years of operations isn’t likely to be profitable.”

Gains in the stocks will moderate as the bidding nears, with the realization that the winner can’t build the business overnight, said Paul Michael A. Angelo, an analyst at Regina Capital Development Corp.

“The incumbents will put up a tough competition,” he said.

As for the companies themselves, they aren’t convinced by the naysayers, preferring to highlight the logic they see behind the moves.

“There is irrational speculation, there’s rational speculation,” NOW President Mel V. Velarde said of his company which this month won a renewal of its franchise for another 25 years.

“In this particular space, we are in the right spot and we want to seize this opportunity.” — Bloomberg

BSP sees even faster Feb. inflation

INFLATION may have picked up further in February to settle above four percent as prices reflect the full impact of higher levies under the recently enacted tax reform, the central bank said yesterday.

In a statement, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) Department of Economic Research said inflation likely ranged 4-4.8% last month. This meant that price increases will go beyond the 2-4% target range set by the central bank.

“Higher electricity rates and food prices — along with the full pass-through of higher excise taxes on petroleum products and sugar sweetened beverages — could lead to upward price pressures for the month of February,” the central bank said late Wednesday.

If realized, February’s inflation will pick up from January’s four percent — the fastest since October 2014’s 4.3% — and the 3.3% reading in February 2017.

The Philippine Statistics Authority will report official inflation data on Tuesday.

Power distributor Manila Electric Co. announced a P1.08 per kilowatt-hour (/kWh) increase for bills last month, but said that it will initially implement a 75-centavo/kWh increase to soften the impact among consumers. The overall February rate stands at P9.47/kWh versus P8.72/kWh in January, with the remaining 33-centavo increase to be reflected in customers’ March bill.

On the other hand, February prices will now reflect the full blow of Republic Act No. 10963, or the Tax Reform for Acceleration and Inclusion (TRAIN) Act, that imposed additional taxes on fuel, cars, coal, sugar-sweetened drinks and a host of other items.

Among others, TRAIN imposed an additional P2.50 excise tax per liter of diesel and P3/liter of kerosene, which came at a time of three-year highs for world crude prices.

The new law also introduced a P6/liter excise tax on drinks containing caloric or non-caloric sweetener and P12/liter on drinks containing high-fructose corn syrup.

Central bank officials have said that the faster-than-expected price spikes in January already reflected the impact of TRAIN as it took effect on Jan. 1.

The Department of Finance said that the new taxes will have a “very minimal and manageable” impact, saying that it will raise inflation by some 0.7 of a percentage point (ppt).

The increase will be largely due to higher oil prices, which in turn will drive food costs up by 0.3ppt and 0.1ppt.

January inflation coupled with anticipated second-round effects of the tax reform law prompted the BSP to raise its inflation forecast to 4.3% for 2018, piercing a 2-4% full-year target range.

BSP Governor Nestor A. Espenilla, Jr. said monetary authorities are “watchful” of TRAIN’s second-round inflation effects that include petitions for higher transport fares and minimum wages.

Analysts expect inflation to keep rising until June before easing to within-target levels. Monetary authorities expect average inflation to settle back down to 3.5% in 2019, saying current drivers of inflation will be “short-lived.” — Melissa Luz T. Lopez

Jan. sees more money supply, lending growth slows

MORE MONEY circulated in the economy in January as bank lending continued to expand, though at a slower pace, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) reported yesterday.

Domestic liquidity or M3 — the broadest measure of money in an economy — grew by 12.8% to reach P10.6 trillion in January, the central bank said in a statement.

The pace picked up from the 11.9% pickup posted in December, marking the fastest pace since November’s 14%.

Month on month, money supply rose by two percent.

Funds from domestic sources grew by 13.5% in January — a softer increase from the 13.7% pace clocked the preceding month — as bank loans grew at a slower pace, with the credits going largely to productive sectors.

Net claims on the national government rose further by 3.1% from two percent the preceding month. The BSP said this was “partly a result of increased borrowings by the national government.”

On the other hand, net foreign assets picked up by 4.1% year-on-year when expressed in peso, slower than the 2.2% increase in December. This reflects bigger dollar inflows from worker remittances, business process outsourcing sales and bigger hot money inflows.

Foreign assets held by banks also picked up faster on the back of bigger loans and investments in debt papers.

“The growth in M3 is consistent with the BSP’s prevailing outlook for inflation and economic activity,” the central bank statement read.

CREDIT GROWTH EASES
Bank lending softened anew in January even as it continued to expand by double-digit pace.

Credit growth picked up by 19.1% for the month, slower than December’s upward-revised 19.4% pickup.

Including reverse repurchase agreements held by banks, lending picked up by 18.3%, slightly below the 18.4% rise the prior month.

About 88.4% of bank credit went to production activity, growing by 18.1%.

The information and communication sector saw the biggest increase in borrowing in January at 52.6%, according to central bank data.

Other industries which got bigger loans were electricity, gas, steam and airconditioning supply (up 24.8%); real estate (18%); financial and insurance activities (15%); and wholesale and retail trade, repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles (13.2%).

Loans extended to the manufacturing sector also grew by 11.9%, the BSP said.

In contrast, loans for administrative and support services as well as agriculture, forestry and fishing declined by 43.2% and 11.6%, respectively.

Growth in consumer lending likewise eased to 20.3% from 20.8% in December given slower increases in car loans, salary-based borrowings and other types of retail borrowings. This came despite a faster pickup in credit card loans.

The central bank closely monitors liquidity and bank lending dynamics to ensure price and financial stability. — Melissa Luz T. Lopez