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Pyongyang likely to pursue talks, South says in rosy 2018 forecast

SEOUL — South Korea predicted on Tuesday that North Korea would look to open negotiations with the United States next year in an optimistic outlook for 2018, even as Seoul set up a specialized military team to confront nuclear threats from the North.

The UN Security Council unanimously imposed new, tougher sanctions on reclusive North Korea on Friday for its recent intercontinental ballistic missile test, a move the North branded an economic blockade and act of war.

“North Korea will seek negotiation with United States, while continuing to pursue its effort to be recognized as a de facto nuclear-possessing country,” South Korea’s Unification Ministry said in a report, without offering any reasons for its conclusion.

The Ministry of Defense said it would assign four units to operate under a new official overseeing North Korea policy, aimed to “deter and respond to North Korea’s nuclear and missile threat.”

Tensions have risen over North Korea’s nuclear and missile programs, which it pursues in defiance of years of UN Security Council resolutions, with bellicose rhetoric coming from both Pyongyang and the White House.

US diplomats have made clear they are seeking a diplomatic solution but President Donald J. Trump has derided talks as useless and said Pyongyang must commit to giving up its nuclear weapons before any talks can begin.

In a statement carried by the official KCNA news agency, North Korea said the United States was terrified by its nuclear force and was getting “more and more frenzied in the moves to impose the harshest-ever sanctions and pressure on our country.”

China, the North’s lone major ally, and Russia both supported the latest UN sanctions, which seek to limit the North’s access to refined petroleum products and crude oil and its earnings from workers abroad, while on Monday Chinese Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Hua Chunying called for all countries to ease tension.

On Tuesday, Beijing released customs data indicating China exported no oil products to North Korea in November, apparently going over and beyond UN sanctions.

China, the main source of North Korea’s fuel, did not export any gasoline, jet fuel, diesel or fuel oil to its neighbor last month, data from the General Administration of Customs showed.

China also imported no iron ore, coal or lead from North Korea in November.

In its 2018 forecast, South Korea’s Unification Ministry said it believed the North would eventually find ways to blunt the effects of the sanctions.

“Countermeasures will be orchestrated to deal with the effects, including cuts in trade volume and foreign currency inflow, lack of supplies, and reduced production in each part of the economy,” the report said.

The latest round of sanctions was prompted by the Nov. 29 test of what North Korea said was an intercontinental ballistic missile that put the US mainland within range of its nuclear weapons.

SATELLITE
The Joongang Ilbo Daily newspaper, citing an unnamed South Korean government official, reported on Tuesday that North Korea could also be preparing to launch a satellite into space.

Experts have said such launches are likely aimed at further developing the North’s ballistic missile technology, and as such would be prohibited under UN resolutions.

The North Korean Rodong Sinmun newspaper said on Monday saying that “peaceful space development is a legitimate right of a sovereign state.”

North Korea regularly threatens to destroy South Korea, the United States and Japan, and says its weapons are necessary to counter US aggression.

The United States stations 28,500 troops in the South, a legacy of the 1950-53 Korean War, and regularly carries out military exercises with the South, which the North sees as preparations for invasion. — Reuters

Gov’t budget utilization slips to 90.7% in 11 months

THE National government’s budget utilization rate in November fell to 82.8% from 86% a year earlier, the Department of Budget and Management said.

In the 11 months to November, utilization was 90.7%, from 91.1% a year earlier.

The utilization rates were based on government agencies’ Notices of Cash Allocation (NCAs), an authority issued quarterly by the Budget department to central, regional and provincial offices and operating units to cover their cash requirements.

The Office of the Vice President had the lowest budget usage rate in November of 25.2%, not having used P125.42 million of the P167.7 million worth of funds authorized.

This was followed by the Presidential Communications Operations Office at 34.7%, leaving P327.04 million unused.

The Department of Finance had a 41.4% NCA utilization ratio, with about P2 billion unspent from the P3.41 billion in authorized funding.

Agencies have until the end of each quarter to fully utilize their funding.

The Department of Energy exceeded its allocation by P73.8 million for a 130.2% utilization rate, which it achieved by spending unused NCAs from previous periods.

The Department of Labor and Employment and the Commission on Elections spent P71.74 million, and P22.24 million over their allocations, respectively for utilization rates of 106.1% and 105.7% .

The government has P183 billion left to be released as of end-November from the P3.35 trillion 2017 budget. — Elijah Joseph C. Tubayan

Introducing a hybrid creature to the Philippine folklore lineup

By Michelle Anne P. Soliman

Movie review
Haunted Forest
Directed by Ian Loreños

THERE IS a mysterious creature living in a tree in the middle of the forest. It disguises itself in many forms (most of the time as someone with bloody wounds needing for help), preying on women by playing with their conscience and luring them to surrender themselves, and gaining its strength from human blood. The victims it kills become its ghostly minions.

After being reassigned, police inspector Aris (Raymart Santiago), along with his daughter Nica (Jane Oineza), returns to his hometown where the sitsit (literally translated as “gossip” in English) has been rumored to be the reason for the consecutive deaths of women in the nearby forest.

While adjusting to life in the province, Nica is introduced to RJ (Jameson Blake) and Andre (Jon Lucas) by her cousin Mich (Maris Racal). When they go on a picnic one afternoon, Nica wanders alone into the forest and is hypnotized by the sitsit. A series of physical symptoms and supernatural encounters happen as Nica almost succumbs to the creature’s schemes.

The sitsit — which is not found in the usual listings of Philippine supernatural creatures — can be described as merging the characteristics of several popular Philippine mythical creatures: it has an appetite similar to that of the manananggal (a creature that splits in half and preys on unborn children) and uses hypnosis like a tikbalang (part-man part-horse trickster), and it has the height, dark skin, and glowing yellow eyes of a kapre (tree giant) .

The idea of merging the characteristics is unique. However, the creature’s ability to communicate in Filipino made the interaction between humans unnatural.

The concept of arriving in an unfamiliar small town and presenting a succession unexplainable events is reminiscent of Alfred Hitchcock’s The Birds (1963).

The romance among the four young characters feels forced amidst their lack of chemistry, plus the supposed romantic excitement seems cliché.

The music gives hints to upcoming suspense scenes and the loud volume overpowers some sequences. A bit of comedy in between serious situations helps lighten the mood. The costumes and makeup of the supernatural creatures look realistic.

Stay a while for a post-credit scene which suggests that the sitsit might actually be more than what one expects.

MTRCB Rating: PG

LRT-1: New coins compatible with TVMs by March 2018

FOLLOWING the release of new coins by the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP), LRT-1 operator Light Rail Manila Corp. (LRMC) in a statement last week said its Ticket Vending Machines (TVMs) have yet to be reconfigured for the new designs and advised the public to double-check their five peso coins to avoid inconvenience. Passengers may exchange their new coins with old ones through the station tellers, LRMC said. The statement also said that AF Payments, Inc. (AFPI), the concessionaire of Automated Fare Collection System (AFCS) and supplier of the TVMs, has started working on the required calibration of the firmware of its TVMs to process the new five peso coins. The procedure will be conducted in Germany and will take approximately three months before the updated firmware can be deployed in the TVMs. The five peso coins now in circulation are expected to be compatible with the existing TVMs by March 2018.

Meet Lamborghini’s new ‘super SUV’ (yes, SUV)

IT has taken nearly a quarter of a century for Lamborghini to build another SUV. But where the brand’s LM002 — derisively nicknamed the “Lambo Rambo” — of 1986-1993 was a hardcore off-road machine whose roots are traced to a stillborn military project, the newly released Urus is billed by the company as the planet’s first super sport-utility vehicle. That Lamborghini would declare the Urus as such is quite telling of this new SUV’s capability. The LM002 was no slouch; it packed a 5.2-liter V12 lifted off the iconic Countach. Here, then, is a rundown of what makes the Urus special:

MORE POWER, LESS WEIGHT
A 4.0-liter gasoline V8, mounted in front, propels the Urus. While this aluminum engine is down four cylinders compared to that found in the LM002, it makes more grunt — 650 hp at 6,000 rpm and a prodigious 850 Nm from a low 2,250 rpm to 4,500 rpm (by comparison, the LM002’s spun out 444 hp and 498 Nm). A chunk of the credit here goes to a pair of twin-scroll turbochargers (guaranteeing response from low revs), variable valve timing and trick cylinder liners (which keep the engine’s weight down). Cylinder deactivation, meanwhile, cuts fuel consumption and emission. And because the Urus itself weighs less than 2,200 kilograms — around 800 kilograms lighter than the LM002 — the super SUV requires only 3.6 seconds to sprint from rest to 100 kph, and 12.8 seconds to reach 200 kph. Top speed is pegged at 305 kph. Braking benefits from the low mass as well; Lamborghini said the vehicle can come to a halt from 100 kph in 33.7 meters.

ALL-TERRAIN PROWESS
Harnessing the engine’s output is an eight-speed automatic gearbox that is both electrically and hydraulically controlled. It has very short low gear ratios and longer high gears, making it suitable for pavement and off-road use, and a slip-controlled converter lock-up clutch and torque converter guarantee immediate response once the engine spins up. The gearbox sends grunt to a four-wheel drive system fitted with torque vectoring, equating to traction no matter the type of surface or weather condition. A Torsen central self-locking differential provides more control in off-road driving. Torque is split 40/60 between the independent front and rear axles in default mode, but the system can transfer 70% of the engine power to the front, or 87% of it to the rear. Driving modes — Strada, Terra (off-road) and Neve (snow) — can reduce understeer in normal driving, or allow for oversteer during more aggressive maneuvers when set in Sport or Corsa (race). In Sabbia (sand) mode, the system is calibrated to work on terrains marked by very low grip levels.

ADAPTIVE, CUSTOMIZABLE SUSPENSION
The Urus’s damping system continuously adjusts to different driving conditions — harder when cornering and softer in a straight line — and automatically reacts to the driving mode selected when set in Anima. But the system can be fully customized by the driver, too, via the cheekily named Ego mode.

REAR-WHEEL STEERING
Where the LM002 filched parts off the Countach, the Urus has adopted the rear-wheel steering system of Lamborghini’s Aventador S supercar. In this system, the rear wheels can turn in either direction by 3.0 degrees, depending on the speed the vehicle is traveling or the driving mode selected. At low speeds the rear wheels steer in the opposite direction the front wheels are turned, reducing the turning circle. At high speeds the rear wheels turn in the same direction as the front wheels, making the Urus more agile. All right, the technology is hardly new, but it’s also rarely employed. In a vehicle that’s billed as a super SUV, this promises better performance.

DISTINCT SOUNDTRACK
The Urus’ engine varies its soundtrack depending on the selected driving mode, accomplished via the Tamburo. Strada mode is the quietest while Corsa is full-bore guttural and sporty. Of course, the soundtrack is not the only thing that changes with each driving mode. The vehicle’s attitude — from engine and gearbox response settings, suspension stiffness to traction and stability controls — is altered as well.

SUPERCAR LOOKS
Lamborghinis, from the Countach onwards, are never shy. It stands to reason that a super SUV Lambo should be more extroverted than any model in the current range, and the Urus delivers in this respect. Fusing cues taken from the LM002 and the brand’s supercars, the Urus adopts the two-thirds body/one-third window ratio of Lamborghinis. Its imposing front end features a peaked mound over the hood, evoking the Lamborghini Miura and Aventador. Diagonal lines along the hood, first used on the Countach, are a signature of the brand, too. The Y-shaped front air intakes, also a feature of the LM002, are detailed with the Italian flag. Viewed from the side, the Urus has an unmistakable coupe silhouette that’s accented by frameless doors and a crisp character line that rises toward the rear glass windows. At the back, the model is marked by more complex lines typical of Lamborghinis, and the roof line, which widens at the base (similar to the Countach and the Lamborghini Murciélago), rests on really broad shoulders. Y-shaped tail lights, a rear diffuser inspired by Lamborghini race cars, and integrated twin exhaust pipes further polish the Urus’s styling. Best, this exterior package provides luxurious space for up to five occupants.

FOOTWEAR
Suitably, the Urus is fitted with substantial footwear; wheel options range from 21-23 inches, all of which can be fitted with summer, winter, all-season, all-terrain or sport tires developed specifically for the model by Pirelli. Carbon ceramic brakes come as standard, and Lamborghini said these are “the largest and most powerful available.”

GETTING TECHIE
The Lamborghini Smartphone Interface connects with iOS and Android smart phones, and supports Apple CarPlay, Android Auto and Baidu-Carlife. The standard audio system counts eight speakers driven by four channels, but a Bang & Olufsen unit with 3-D sound, 1,700-watt output and 21 speakers is available. Meanwhile, a driver assistance system can take care of chores like switching head lights on or off, detecting obstacles when parking, or preventing, if not mitigating, collisions through the PreCognition feature.

Young gun Robert Bolick savors banner 2017

FOR young star baller Robert Bolick the Year 2017 has been a banner one filled with so much success on the court on various levels. It is something that the Leyte native is basking in and hopes to build on in the coming year.

From the Philippine Basketball Association Developmental League (PBA D-League) to the preseason FilOil Flying V tournament to the National Collegiate Athletic Association, Bolick left his mark as a winner in all of them.

Bolick was the adjudged the most valuable player in the PBA D-League Aspirants’ Cup after averaging all-around numbers of 12.2 points, 3.6 rebounds, 3.3 assists and 1.2 steals and eventually helped the Cignal-San Beda Hawkeyes to the title.

Months later he towed San Beda to the title of the FilOil Flying V preseason tournament, hitting what turned out to be the game-winning three-pointer in the championship match against the De La Salle Green Archers which not only handed them the title but also completed for the Lions an undefeated run.

He capped the year by helping San Beda to another NCAA title by way of a sweep of the Lyceum Pirates in the championship series that also saw Bolick hit a key three-pointer down the stretch.

“Year 2017 was I would say the best year in my [basketball] life so far. When we won last year in the NCAA I was at my peak and I was able to do it once again this year. Then in the D-League I won my first championship and MVP and in FilOil I hit the winning shot in the championship and in the NCAA I hit a key shot as well that won us the championship. It has been a great year for me and I don’t want it to finish yet,” said a beaming Bolick in a recent interview with BusinessWorld as he looked back at the kind of year he has had.

“Hopefully 2018 will be a better one as I intend to apply for the PBA draft. So I would double my effort and hopefully no injuries for me,” he added.

While winning collegiate titles is not a new thing for him, having won both in the NCAA and University Athletic Association of the Philippines with La Salle, still 21-year-old Bolick takes special pride and honor with San Beda’s latest conquest as it was something he felt they really worked hard for amid some doubts thrown their way.

“It was an up-and-down season for San Beda. We had some injuries and issues within the team but at the end of the day we stuck with each other and God guided to the right path to with the championship,” said Bolick, a brand ambassador of global sports brand Under Armour.

“I’m happy we were able to live up to the winning tradition of San Beda. We had great support from the fans, alumni and our bosses. Lyceum was a strong team no doubt and they swept the elimination round. But come big games I felt we had an advantage because of our experience and it showed in the finals and I’m proud of the team and coaches and what we achieved,” he added.

He went on to say that their goal is to win another NCAA title on his final year of eligibility in Season 94 and help the Lions go to transition as they welcome new players.

As far as his recently forged association with Under Armour, Bolick said he is honored to be part of it for it embodies him as a player.

“I love the Under Armour products so much so that even if I’m not an ambassador I would still wear them,” said Bolick.

Adding, “I chose to be different. I want to show them that Under Armour is here and that it can stand on its own with the big ones much like what my mind-set is when I step on the court.”

He also expressed delight over the country’s securing the hosting duties, along with Japan and Indonesia, for the FIBA World Cup in 2023, and said he hopes to be part of it playing for the national team.

“By that time I will be 27 years old. I hope to do well in the PBA and make a case for a spot in Gilas for the World Cup in 2023. It’s definitely at the back of my head. So let’s see,” Bolick said. — Michael Angelo S. Murillo

Cops on alert vs indiscriminate firing of guns

POLICE Director Oscar Albayalde, National Capital Region Police Office chief, on Tuesday told his officers to aim for zero cases of indiscriminate firing as the capital prepares to meet the new year. Mr. Albayalde also promised intensified police visibility in the next few days of the holiday season. — philstar.com

See full story on https://goo.gl/5V9qEN

The booming restaurant business

In my life outside economics, I am an entrepreneur — a restaurateur to be exact. I have been involved in the restaurant business for more than 25 years and throughout my career, I have opened more than a hundred food establishments. Some continue to operate today, while others I have either sold or closed.

Today, my company operates a group of restaurants all of which are meant to promote and preserve Philippine heritage. Keeping our history and culture alive, through food, is our purpose. You may recognize some of our establishments under the brands XO46 Heritage Bistro, Arroz Ecija and ¡OYE! Tapas & Grill, among others.

The restaurant business is booming, thanks to our consumer-driven economy. OFW remittances, IT-BPO earnings and significant increases in infrastructure spending have all contributed to the rise of the middle class and their capacity to consume the 4Fs — food, fashion, furnishings, and fun. Now more than ever, Filipinos are eating out given more disposable income. In fact, a recent marketing survey reveals that supermarkets sell less grocery items since members of households eat out more often.

This has made the restaurant industry one of the most attractive businesses to get into for both fledgling entrepreneurs and established businesses. Some succeed — but many fail. Obviously, there is more to it than meets the eye.

With the new year is right around the corner, I am certain that thousands out there have intentions to cash-in on the food business. Before you do, heed some advice from an old hand in the industry.

BUT FIRST, A PERSPECTIVE THROUGH STATISTICS
The latest formal audit conducted by Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) revealed that as of the beginning of 2016, there were approximately 6,652 full-service restaurants, 4,477 fastfood restaurants, 3,772 food kiosks, 3,748 cafeterias, and 1,445 bars & pubs operating in the country. I reckon the number should be 10% to 15% higher today given that the survey was conducted some time ago. Note, the survey excludes establishments in the underground economy.

The survey further showed that the food industry generated robust revenues throughout the period of audit. Full-service restaurants generated the most gross income, raking in P158.1 billion; fastfood chains generated P144.8 billion; food kiosks earned P17.7 billion; cafeterias took in P15.8 billion while bars & pubs made P10.9 billion. Interestingly, only P4.9 billion was generated through e-commerce (or online ordering and delivery services). This suggests that Filipinos still prefer to dine within the restaurant premises.

In terms of profitability, the industry had an average income and expense ratio of 1:19. In other words, for every one peso spent by a food establishment, one peso and nineteen centavos was generated back. This is a higher rate of return that most other industries.

The trickle-down contribution of the food service industry to the economy is substantial as well. Collectively, the industry spent P395.3 billion on their respective supply chains, salaries, rent and other operating expenses. As a result, the food service industry contributed nearly 3% to gross domestic product.

Unfortunately, there are no formal studies to ascertain the real mortality rate in the restaurant business. I can only speculate. Closure rates are higher for full-service restaurants, whether fine-dining or casual. In my experience, less than 60% survive the first three years of operations.

No data is available for fast-food restaurants, food kiosks, cafeterias, and bars but I reckon mortality rates are not as high as those of full service.

CLARITY OF CONCEPT
Those without experience in the restaurant business have an oversimplified notion of it. They believe that just because our 102 million population needs to eat three times a day, one can never fail in the food trade. How wrong they are. As mentioned above, the sheer number of food establishments in operation make it one of the most competitive businesses to get into.

Apart from the obvious — a good location, good food, and good pricing — one of the most overlooked factors that help increase one’s chances of success is what we call “clarity of concept.”

Customers need to know what to expect in your restaurant before they even consider dining in it. Hence, communicating your concept in a clear manner is crucial to induce trial usage.

The factors that comprise a restaurant concept are: the category it belongs to, the cuisine served and its competitive advantages.

There are many categories of food establishments out there, among the most common are fastfood restaurants, casual dining restaurants, and fine dining establishments.

Generally speaking, fast-food restaurants are defined as those having over-the-counter service. Casual dining restaurants are characterized by having all-day dining in a informal environment. Fine dining establishments are those whose food are made-to-order and operate only during lunch and dinner. There are those who operate with multiple categories too. Some fine dining restaurants turn into bars after dinner hours, hence, the moniker “restobar.” Others are casual dining restaurants but also offer dry goods in a restaurant-deli format. The permutations are endless.

Being clear about what category you belong to gives the potential diner an idea of the kind of experience he will have and how much he will likely spend in your establishment. This is the first consideration for a visit.

The second factor is the theme of the restaurant. A theme is usually associated with the cuisine served. It could be Italian, Japanese, Mexican, or a combination of them in fusion style. Once defined, it is important to stay true to it. The worse thing a restaurateur can do is to declare an establishment an Italian restaurant, then include sweet and sour pork on the menu. Integrity in cuisine correlates to authenticity and quality.

The third factor are a restaurant’s competitive advantages. These are what set your establishment apart from the competition. It is what compels people to try it in the first place.

Competitive advantages come in various forms. Some trumpet the chef’s reputation like Margarita Fores of Cibo. Other use the provenance of their ingredients in the same way Green Pastures does. Specialty restaurants use their original recipes as a selling point like Max’s Chicken. A few use the extensivity of selection as an advantage like Viking Buffet.

In my opinion, having a product specialty is the most effective competitive advantage. Consider how Prince Albert of the then Intercontinental Hotel survived four decades on the back of the reputation of its roast beef.

A word of caution. A restaurant’s competitive advantages must be subtly communicated. I say “subtly” because to oversell a competitive advantage may result to over-expectation. This could backfire should the dining experience be less than spectacular.

Effective self identification of a restaurant’s concept is achieved through the several mediums. Among them are the restaurant’s name and logo, its byline (“Café,” “Bistro,” “Pub,” etc.), mood management and collaterals (e.g. menu, leaflets, print ads, Internet postings, etc.).

KEEP AN EYE ON THE FUNDAMENTALS
While clarity of concept is important to induce trial usage, it is still the quality of the food, service and prices that will have customers coming back.

To gauge food quality is subjective. What is good for one may not be good for all. What is important is that the greater majority rate your products as either excellent or at the very least, above-average. Anything less than this puts you in danger. The challenge is to get their “real” impressions and not their polite feedback. For this, we rely on their unfiltered comments on social media as well as our in-house feedback forms. Being sensitive to the sentiments of your customers provides the road map for your improvement.

On prices, its important to remember that prices matter to all, even to the so called “affluent market.” In the end, what customers are looking for is good value. Value is a an interplay of food quality, quantity and dining experience, relative to price.

The market is big enough and the economy strong enough to absorb new entrants in the restaurant business. Do it right and you will be rewarded well.

 

Andrew J. Masigan is an economist.

Star Wars: The Last Jedi soars to $745M worldwide

DISNEY-LUCAS FILM’s Star Wars: The Last Jedi is showing plenty of force at multiplexes worldwide with $745.4 million globally as of Sunday.

The North American take has hit $365 million in its first 10 days as of Sunday with the studio projecting another $32 million on Christmas Day on Monday — making it the third highest domestic release in 2017 following Beauty and the Beast with $504 million and Wonder Woman at $412 million.

Stars Wars: The Last Jedi has totaled $380.3 million in international box office. It is already the top grossing film of 2017 in both Denmark and Sweden and the fourth highest grosser in the overall European market. The UK is the top market with $67.4 million, followed by Germany with $40 million, France with $29.3 million and Australia with $26.9 million.

The Last Jedi, which picks up following the events of 2015’s Star Wars: The Force Awakens, is so far the 87th highest worldwide grosser of all time, trailing 2016’s Suicide Squad by $1.4 million.

The record to beat remains 2009’s Avatar, which earned $2.7 billion.

Rian Johnson directed with Mark Hamill, Carrie Fisher, Adam Driver, Daisy Ridley, John Boyega, Oscar Isaac, Andy Serkis, Lupita Nyong’o and Domhnall Gleeson reprising their roles. It’s the final screen role for Fisher, who died a year ago.

NORTH AMERICA
Sony’s Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle and Universal’s Pitch Perfect 3 have also opened solidly in North America while Fox’s The Greatest Showman is drawing respectably at the domestic box office. But moviegoers are showing little interest in Paramount’s Downsizing and Warner Bros.-Alcon’s Father Figures.

Star Wars: The Last Jedi opened with the second-largest North American launch ever in its first weekend with $220 million. It faced competition for the first time on Dec. 20, with Sony’s action comedy Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle, which is leading the rest of the pack with $34 million at 3,765 sites for Friday-Sunday and a six-day total of around $64 million.

Josh Greenstein, Sony’s president of worldwide marketing and distribution, pointed to the A- CinemaScore as an indication that Jumanji is attracting all demographics. “We have incredible momentum as we go into the biggest moviegoing week of the year,” he added.

Jumanji also opened solidly with $49.5 million in 53 international markets, finishing ahead of Star Wars: The Last Jedi in 28 territories. Its top performance came in the UK with a second-place finish at $10.1 million including previews.

Universal’s Pitch Perfect 3 took in $20.5 million at 3,447 theaters and is on track for $27 million by the end of the four-day period. The “threequel” brought back the Bellas singing group with Anna Kendrick, Rebel Wilson, Hailee Steinfeld, Brittany Snow, Anna Camp, and Hana Mae Lee reprising their roles. Pitch Perfect 3 also opened with $9.8 million in 14 international markets.

Hugh Jackman’s The Greatest Showman, a musical take on circus founder P.T. Barnum, grossed $8.6 million at 3,006 venues during Friday-Sunday. The movie, produced by Chernin Entertainment, opened on Dec. 20 and is on track to take in about $18 million in its first six days.

Downsizing took in a quiet $4.6 million at 2,558 theaters in its Friday-Sunday debut and should finish four-day frame with $6.2 million. Paramount paid $65 million for the near-future comedy in which Matt Damon agrees to be shrunk to five inches in exchange for a better life. Audiences were unimpressed, giving the film a C CinemaScore.

Father Figures grossed a tepid $3.2 million at 3,902 theaters during Friday-Sunday and should add about $1 million on Monday. The film follows brothers — played by Owen Wilson and Ed Helms — who set out to find their biological father.

The Post, directed by Steven Spielberg and starring Tom Hanks and Meryl Streep, dazzled with $495,000 at nine sites for Friday-Sunday. Fox will go wide with the journalism drama on Jan. 12. — Reuters/AFP

Japan considers refitting helicopter carrier for F-35B stealth fighters

TOKYO — Japan is considering refitting the Izumo helicopter carrier so that it can land US Marines F-35B stealth fighters, government sources said on Tuesday, as Tokyo faces China’s maritime expansion and North Korea’s missile and nuclear development.

Japan has not had fully fledged aircraft carriers since its World War II defeat in 1945.

Any refit of the Izumo would be aimed at preparing for a scenario in which runways in Japan had been destroyed by missile attacks, and at bolstering defense around Japan’s southwestern islands, where China’s maritime activity has increased.

Three government sources close to the matter said the Japanese government was keeping in sight the possible future procurement of F-35B fighter jets, which can take off and land vertically, as it looks into the remodeling of the Izumo.

The 248-meter (814-feet) Izumo, Japan’s largest warship equipped with a flat flight deck, was designed with an eye to hosting F-35B fighters. Its elevator connecting the deck with the hangar can carry the aircraft, the sources said.

Possible refitting measures included adding a curved ramp at the end of the flight deck, improving the deck’s heat resistance against jet burners, and reinforcing the ship’s air traffic control capability, they said.

However, Japanese Defense Minister Itsunori Onodera said the government was not taking any concrete steps towards refitting the Izumo.

“Regarding our defense posture, we are constantly conducting various examinations. But no concrete examination is under way on the introduction of F-35B or remodeling of Izumo-class destroyers,” Mr. Onodera told reporters on Tuesday.

The Izumo has a sister ship called the Kaga.

Japan has frequently conducted joint drills with US aircraft carriers in recent months to boost deterrence against North Korea.

One of the three government sources called such exercises “a great opportunity to see with our own eyes how the US military operates their aircraft carriers” as Japan looks into the possible conversion of the Izumo into an aircraft carrier.

Regional tension has soared since North Korea conducted its sixth and largest nuclear test in September. Pyongyang said a month later it had successfully tested a new intercontinental ballistic missile that could reach all of the US mainland.

Japan is also wary of China’s long-range missiles, and would like to secure measures to launch fighters from aircraft carriers in case runways operated by US forces in Japan or by Japan’s Air Self-Defense Force were destroyed by missiles.

Article 9 of Japan’s pacifist constitution, if taken literally, bans the maintenance of armed forces. However, Japanese governments have interpreted it to allow a military exclusively for self-defense.

Owning an aircraft carrier could raise a question of constitutionality, the sources said, so the government is set to address the issue in its new National Defence Programme Guidelines to be compiled by the end of 2018. — Reuters

History can wait as Guardiola plans Christmas rotation

NEWCASTLE, UNITED KINGDOM — Pep Guardiola will put squad rotation ahead of rewriting the European football history books when runaway Premier League leaders Manchester City visit Newcastle on Wednesday.

Guardiola’s side crushed Bournemouth on Saturday to make it 17 successive league victories, two short of the current record for the top five European leagues, set by Bayern Munich during the current City manager’s reign with the Germany club.

But as City continue to battle for silverware in four competitions, and negotiate the grueling fixture schedule over the Christmas period, Guardiola is more interested in making sure his stars keep up their intense style of play than in setting new records.

“Fatigue, I don’t think it will be a problem. It may happen but we’ve a good enough squad,” Guardiola said.

“Gabriel (Jesus) didn’t play against Bournemouth — he played 120 minutes against Leicester (in the League Cup) and he’s the best fighter in the high pressing I’ve ever seen in my life. He helps us a lot with our intensity.

“Danilo, Bernardo, (Ilkay) Gundogan all helped us against Bournemouth. We have Yaya (Toure).

“Last game, (Oleksandr) Zinchenko was man of the match and he was not in the squad against Bournemouth.

“Of course we will rotate in this period. We have a game every four days. Everyone that has played in the past is going to play in the future.”

Nevertheless, the fixture list has been relatively kind to City in terms of quality of opposition over Christmas and New Year, with the Newcastle game followed by a visit to Crystal Palace and home meeting with Watford — all clubs struggling for form.

There is the real prospect that by the time City visit Liverpool in mid-January, they will have broken the record and have 20 straight league victories — not that Guardiola is motivated by the prospect.

CONFIDENCE BOOST
Guardiola expects Vincent Kompany to retain his place against Newcastle after the injury-prone defender made a successful return from his latest lay-off in the Bournemouth victory.

And, of his fringe players, Gundogan, Bernardo and Jesus are the most likely to start at St. James’ Park.

Meanwhile, Rafael Benitez has urged Newcastle to build on their dramatic 3-2 victory at West Ham, a first win for more than two months which lifted his side out of the relegation zone.

Newcastle are two points clear of the bottom three as they look to improve on a woeful home record against City, who are unbeaten in their last 10 visits to Tyneside.

Benitez, who was forced to make changes against the Hammers due to illness and injury, hopes to have more options available against City. — AFP

Trends in global and national trade, prospects for the near future

Global merchandise trade has slowed down recently despite low oil prices and less political and economic instability. After recovering from the 2009-2010 global financial turmoil, merchandise exports reached $18.3 trillion in 2011, $19 trillion in 2014, declined to $16.5 trillion in 2015, and fell further to $16 trillion in 2016.

Trends in global and national trade, prospects for the near future

The top 5 exporters in merchandise goods in 2015-2016 were China, USA, Germany, Japan, and Netherlands. Germany and Netherlands have the advantage of easier trade because they both are located in one continental land area and hence, can export by land, unlike China, US, and Japan which have to export largely by water.

Eleven (11) Asian economies, five of them from the ASEAN, belong to the top 30 biggest merchandise exporters in the world in 2015-2016. The Philippines remained in ranks 45th-46th.

In commercial services, global exports have slightly increased from $4.76 trillion in 2015 to $4.81 trillion in 2016. The top 5 exporters in were US, UK, Germany, France, and China. Such services include revenues from tourism and remittances of nationals working abroad.

Twelve (12) Asian economies, five of them including the Philippines from the ASEAN, belong to the top 40 biggest services exporters in the world in 2015-2016.

Trends in global and national trade, prospects for the near future

In particular, the Philippines’ merchandise exports have recovered with higher growth this year. Cumulative figures for January-October period are: $49.05 billion in 2015, $47.55 billion in 2016, and $53.11 billion in 2017, or 11.7% growth in 2017 over the previous year.

Top 5 merchandise export markets of the Philippines last year and this year are Japan, Hong Kong, US, China, and Singapore. The EU as a bloc though is the Philippines 2nd biggest market — it imported $5.86 trillion in 2016 and $7.83 trillion in 2017, January-October period.

Almost all export markets have increased their purchase from the Philippines in 2017 except Japan and Singapore, but the export levels to these two countries remain high.

Preliminary figures for 2017 point to a recovery and higher levels in 2017 compared to 2016, Philippine figures provide the clue. And not only in exports but also in imports.

The statement “If America (or Europe) turns protectionist, Asia loses” is wrong. Whoever starts serious protectionism is the loser. Free trade creates good will with other countries while expanding the choices and options for local consumers and manufacturers, which expand their productive capacity.

Asia will remain as a very important player in global trade of goods and services, also in investments, for two important reasons. One, growth momentum remains high, many economies growing 5% or more (GDP growth) a year. Two, huge and generally young population especially in India, Indonesia, Philippines, and Vietnam, comprising nearly 1.8 billion people with an average age of only 24-25 years old which is one-half of the average age of Japan and many developed countries in Europe.

Freer trade philosophy and policy will resurface in the coming years. Trade is the biggest instrument to prevent wars among countries. As the famous French economist and writer Frederic Bastiat once wrote, “If goods cannot cross borders, soldiers will.”

 

Bienvenido S. Oplas, Jr. is President of Minimal Government Thinkers, a member-institute of Economic Freedom Network (EFN) Asia.

minimalgovernment@gmail.com.