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PXP, PNOC-EC eyeing oil exploration areas

By Victor V. Saulon
Sub-editor
STATE-LED PHILIPPINE National Oil Co.-Exploration Corp. (PNOC-EC) and listed company PXP Energy Corp. are two of eight entities that have identified areas in the contested areas of the West Philippine Sea for possible oil and gas exploration, an Energy official said.
Dalawa ‘yong natatandaan ko — PNOC-EC and PXP,” Department of Energy (DoE) Undersecretary Donato D. Marcos told reporters last week when asked about an update on the agency’s Philippine Conventional Energy Contracting Program (PCECP).
Launched on Nov. 22, PCECP is the DoE’s revised petroleum service contract awarding mechanism that allows investors to bid for exploration projects through the competitive selection process or by nomination.
Dati na silang nagno-nominate (They have been nominating),” said Mr. Marcos about the areas being nominated by PNOC-EC.
Under the program, the DoE identified 14 pre-determined areas composed of onshore and offshore sites located in the Cagayan Basin (one area), Eastern Palawan (three areas), Sulu (three areas), Agusan-Davao (two areas), Cotabato (one area) and in Western Luzon (four areas).
Investors may also develop locations other than those in the list by nominating their areas of interest, subject to the approval by the DoE.
Mr. Marcos declined to give details about the nominated areas but said PXP Energy is keen on exploring an area adjacent to its Service Contract (SC) 72.
Ibang area. Halos kasing laki ng (It’s a different area. Almost as big as) SC 72. SC 72 is 880 hectares. Katabi halos (Almost beside it),” he said.
PXP Energy directly and indirectly owns 77.5% of Forum Energy Ltd., a London-listed company whose main asset is a controlling interest in offshore SC 72 west of Palawan island in the disputed seas with China.
On March 2, 2015, the DoE placed SC 72 under force majeure because the contract area falls within the disputed area, which was the subject of the arbitration process.
Under the terms of the force majeure, exploration work at SC 72 was suspended starting Dec. 15, 2014 until the DoE notifies Forum Energy that it may continue drilling.
SC 72 is covered by the decision handed down by the Permanent Court of Arbitration in The Hague in the Netherlands on July 12, 2016. The court ruled that Reed Bank, where SC 72 lies, is within the Philippines’ exclusive economic zone as defined under United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea. China does not recognize the ruling.
Of the 14 areas identified by the DoE with a total size of 7.24 million hectares, all but one — Cotabato basin — have received interest from prospective investors, Mr. Marcos said. The companies have 180 days from Nov. 22 to submit their bids.
Entities that nominate and publish other areas of interest may submit at any time of the year. Their areas would be subjected to a 60-day challenge period where other entities.
All accepted applications will be evaluated by the DoE’s centralized review and evaluation committee.
Before the launch, the department conducted several road shows to drum up awareness on the program, including an international road show held in Singapore in August.
There are currently 23 active petroleum service contracts in the Philippines with developers, including Shell Philippines Exploration B.V., Total E&P Philippines B.V., PNOC-EC, Nido Petroleum Philippines Pty. Ltd., Philodrill Corp., PXP Energy, and Galoc Production Co.
The Philippines is home to the Malampaya deep water gas-to-power project, the largest and most successful natural gas industrial project in the country’s history.
In October, the administration signed its first service contract — SC 76 covering eastern Palawan — with Israeli firm Ratio Petroleum Ltd., signaling the country’s stance to revive the upstream petroleum industry.

Rice tariff bill not expected to significantly raise imports — USDA

THE US Department of Agriculture does not expect significant growth in the volume of rice imports in Markey Year (MY) 2018-2019 even with the passage of the rice tariffication bill.
The USDA said sufficient overseas orders have been made, though the law would favor imports from ASEAN countries.
The USDA said that potential imports over the long term will depend mainly on the Philippines’ domestic production. The USDA said the law, which lberalizes the rice importation process, will bring down rice prices by P2 to P7 per kilo, helping contain inflation.
The Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) reported that palay production for the three months to December may decline 1.3% to 7.22 million metric tons (MT), due to a decline in the area planted to rice. The yield per hectare may also fall 0.51% to 3.91 MT.
The PSA added that the average farmgate price of palay fell 0.20% from a week earlier to P20.01 per kg in the first week of December.
The average wholesale and retail prices of well-milled rice also fell, according to PSA.
The average wholesale price of well-milled rice fell 0.26% from a week earlier to P42.43 per kg in the first week of December. The average retail price of well-milled rice fell 0.26% to P45.93 per kg.
The average retail and wholesale prices of regular-milled rice, also fell, the PSA said.
The average wholesale price of regular-milled rice fell 0.56% from a week earlier to P39.21 per kg. The average retail price of regular-milled rice fell 0.66% to P42.17 per kg.
The average farmgate price for yellow corn in grain form rose 1.35% week-on-week to P14.23 per kg, the PSA said. The average wholesale price rose 0.49% to P20.63 per kg.
The average retail price was unchanged week-on-week at P25.73 per kg.
The average farmgate price for white corn in grain form rose 1.11% from a week earlier to P14.55 per kg.
The average wholesale price for white corn in grain form rose 0.97% week-on-week to P20.90 per kg. The average retail price rose 0.07% to P27.84 per kg. — Reicelene Joy N. Ignacio

Cascade retail environment in new Columbia Sportswear store

WHEN Columbia Sportswear started its business in 1938, it laid down a tack to promote and preserve the outdoors through its products. It’s a mission and a vision that it continues to share with customers 80 years after.
This push of the biggest outdoor wear company in the world reverberates in its recently launched store in SM Mall of Asia.
Boasting of a Cascade Retail Environment store concept, the new Columbian shop, located at the second level of the North Wing of the Entertainment Mall, draws inspiration from its home in the historic Timberline Lodge, a national landmark in Oregon that attracts more than two million visitors a year.
The concept store incorporates evergreen photography, prop libraries, and highly customized fixtures in the store as seen through the elaborate fitting rooms and the dramatic and well-thought out amphitheater.
The people behind the store said that every detail was meticulously planned and implemented for one purpose, which is to deliver a superior brand environment dedicated to enhance the retail experience of customers.

Columbia Sportswear 2
Men’s Bugaboo 80th Anniversary Interchange Jacket

“Columbia Sportswear started in 1938 as a hat company, and 80 years later it has become the biggest outdoor wear company in the world. It never stopped innovating and improving itself to be better and bigger,” said Tiffany Batungbacal, Columbia Philippines assistant vice-president, at the store launch on Dec. 6, speaking of the kind of journey Columbia has had as a brand.
To complement the cascade retail environment that it exudes, the new Columbia store offers products that feature the brand’s innovative technologies like the Omni-Tech, Omni-Heat, and Omni-Grip technology, among others.
Among those on offer is the Bugaboo Interchange Jacket.
A 3-in-1 jacket concept — wear the fleece liner when it is cold, the waterproof shell when it is wet, or wear them together when it is wet and cold, the revamped Bugaboo Interchange jacket features Columbia’s Omni-Heat thermal reflective liner and Omni-Tech waterproof/breathable, critically seam-sealed weather protection feature, making it even warmer and drier than the one that came out in the 1980s.
The jacket is also embellished with a special 80th Anniversary embroidery, quotes from Columbia chairman Gert Boyle, and a Bugaboo 1986 history patch.
“When Columbia arrived in the Philippines, it not only presented products that customers here can use but it also invested in promoting and preserving the outdoors, seeing how beautiful the Philippines is. It wants people to stay longer outdoors,” Ms. Batungbacal said, adding that more is in store for Columbia in the Philippines moving forward. — Michael Angelo S. Murillo

SEC orders Tiger Resort to include Okada case in tender offer report

By Arra B. Francia
Reporter
THE SECURITIES and Exchange Commission (SEC) ordered Tiger Resort Asia Limited (TRAL) to file an amended tender offer report disclosing its pending case with Japanese gaming tycoon Kazuo Okada, in a bid to protect the minority shareholders of Asiabest Group International, Inc. (ABG).
In a decision penned Dec. 11, the SEC’s Markets and Securities Regulation Department (MSRD) ruled that the civil and criminal cases against the directors and officers of Universal Entertainment Corp. (UEC) and Okada Holdings Limited (OHL) in Hong Kong are factual information that must be included in TRAL’s tender offer report.
“By amending the tender offer report to include the factual information regarding conflict that lead to the eventual filing of criminal and civil cases in Hong Kong, shareholders of ABG and the investing public would be able to arrive at an intelligent investment decision on whether to invest, sell, or remain with the company,” according to the SEC decision.
“Thus, prevent any grave and irreparable damage to the shareholders of ABG and the investing public, if any.”
The MSRD also ordered TRAL to immediately publish the amended tender offer report in two newspapers of general circulation.
The decision was a reply to ABG minority shareholder Carnell S. Valdez’s complaint filed last Dec. 7, asking the MSRD to issue a cease and desist order against TRAL’s tender offer in relation with its planned backdoor listing through ABG.
While the MSRD denied Mr. Valdez’s application of the issuance of a cease and desist order, it order TRAL to extend the tender offer period for 10 business days following the publication of the amended tender offer report. The offering was initially supposed to end on Dec. 12.
Mr. Valdez’s party said that delaying the tender offer could prevent damage and fraud to ABG shareholders as well as the investing public.
“We welcome the SEC’s order directing Tiger Resort to delay the tender offer until after a full disclosure is made of the circumstances surrounding, and status of, the legal proceedings initiated by Kazuo Okada and his daughter to regain control of Okada Holdings and its subsidiaries,” Salvador Paolo Panelo, Jr., Mr. Valdez’s counsel for the complaint, said in a statement.
To recall, Mr. Okada claims that he is the rightful owner of controlling equity in OHL and UEC — the beneficial owners of TRAL, which in turn fully owns Tiger Resorts Leisure and Entertainment, Inc. (TRLEI).
TRLEI operates under the name Okada Manila, the newest integrated resort and casino in Entertainment City in Parañaque.
Mr. Okada is currently seeking the nullification of his removal as shareholder and director at a regional trial court in Parañaque, claiming it was illegally done. He further said that he opposes TRAL’s planned backdoor listing, and plans to nullify the decision should he regain his position in the company.

Treasury bill rates seen steady as central bank halts tightening

RATES of Treasury bills (T-bill) on offer today are expected to move sideways amid steady demand following the decision of the central bank to keep key interest rates steady.
The Bureau of the Treasury (BTr) is offering P15 billion worth of T-bills today, broken down into P4 billion, P5 billion and P6 billion in three-month, six-month, and one-year debt papers, respectively.
Bond traders said the short-term securities on offer today will likely move sideways as investors start to wind down their bids for the year.
“For the bills, I’m looking at sideways movement to five basis points higher [from the previous auction],” a trader said in a phone interview last Friday.
Last week, the Treasury made a full award of the T-bills it placed on the auction block, borrowing P15 billion as planned versus total tenders amounting to P23.549 billion.
The Treasury accepted P4 billion as planned for the 91-day debt papers out of the P7.65 billion offered by banks. The average rate declined by 4.4 bps to 5.35% from the 5.394% quoted in the previous offer.
The government also made a full award of the 181-day T-bills, borrowing P5 billion as planned versus total offers of 8.525 billion. The average yield rose 3.9 basis points to 6.344% from 6.305% previously.
It also fully awarded the 364-day papers, accepting P6 billion out of the total bids at P7.374 billion. Its average yield climbed 7.8 bps to 6.585% from the 6.507% tallied in the previous auction.
According to the PHP Bloomberg Valuation Service Reference Rates, the three-month, six-month and one-year papers were quoted at 5.651%, 6.36% and 6.703%, respectively, on Friday.
“The rates will move sideways since the recent decision of the MB (Monetary Board) was already expected given the low inflation,” the trader added.
The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) kept its benchmark rates steady on Thursday, holding its interest rates at a nine-year high 4.25-5.25%.
Last week’s policy decision marks the end of the BSP’s five straight tightening moves this year as inflation is seen to decelerate faster than initially expected.
BSP Assistant Governor Francisco G. Dakila, Jr. said in a press briefing on Thursday that the central bank projects inflation to return to “below four percent by around the end of Q1 2019,” well within the government’s 2-4% target band.
“The demand for the bills will be lighter as we usher in the holidays. Some of the clients will likely hold their cash until next year by January,” the trader said.
Meanwhile, another trader said market participants will also take into consideration the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting on Dec. 18-19, where the US central bank is expected to raise rates anew.
“If the Fed will also take a pause, then it might give some relief rally,” the trader added.
The Treasury is raising P270 billion from the domestic market this quarter through auctions of securities, offering P180 billion in T-bills and another P90 billion in Treasury bonds.
This is part of a P888.23-billion borrowing plan this year from local and foreign sources to fund the budget deficit and support increased government spending.

Malaysian company interested in banana JV

A MALAYSIAN company is interested in pursuing a joint venture with banana planters in the Philippines to tap the China export market, according to an official of the Malaysian Chamber of Commerce and Industries Philippines Inc (MCCI).
In an interview, MCCI president Edward Ling, said: “There is possibly a company might go into cultivation of banana.” He did not disclose the name of the company.
“Their plan is to initially get about 200 acres of land, to work with the local people,” Mr. Ling said.
According to the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA), banana production increased 2% year-on-year in the three months to September to 2.43 million metric tons (MT).
PSA said that Davao Region remained the country’s top contributor, with a share of 38.2%, followed by Northern Mindanao with 21.3% and SOCCSKSARGEN with 12.5%.
Mr. Ling said that the potential investor became interested in pursuing the project after the Philippine Investment Forum 2018, which was held in September.
Asked where the bananas would be grown, Mr. Ling said: “It could be in Mindanao, it could be (in Luzon).” — Reicelene Joy N. Ignacio

Global narrative continues for Commonwealth with latest tie-up

LIFESTYLE boutique Commonwealth recently released its shoe collaboration with adidas Consortium, a partnership that the people behind the former said is special in more ways than one.
Launched at the Commonwealth store at the Rockwell Power Plant Mall in Makati City last Thursday, the adidas ZX 500 RM Commonwealth is inspired by the coastal living of Virginia Beach, Los Angeles, and the Philippines.
It marks the first time that Commonwealth has partnered with adidas Consortium.
The ZX 500 RM Commonwealth is constructed from synthetic suede with translucent monofilament mesh underlays and TPU-welded overlays for structure, with embroidered three-stripe marks and heel details in aquatic colors.
It boasts of a BOOST midsole for optimum cushioning and a durable rubber outsole. Light touches such as a co-branded insole, Consortium tongue label, and Commonwealth woven label on the lateral ankle complete it all.
For Commonwealth Philippines owner Mike Concepcion, their partnership with adidas Consortium is something they take special pride in as they not only got to tie up with one of the top brands in the world, but it also speaks of the global narrative of Commonwealth.
“This is a project that we did with adidas Consortium. Adidas Consortium, to put it simply, is the Tier Zero of the brand, or the highest assortment that the brand has. And we are part of the Consortium Collective which is a group of select retailers around the world. I think there is no more than 50 of us. And within that it’s a bit exclusive in itself to be chosen to partner for a shoe. We are lucky and privileged to be given an opportunity to do such. It’s a first for the brand and first for the Philippines and we are proud of that,” Mr. Concepcion said in an interview with BusinessWorld at the shoe launch on Dec. 13.
“Being a retailer it’s always something you look forward to, working with a big brand like adidas. It really makes this a global narrative. It’s going to be sold around the world, Paris, New York, and Tokyo. And I think it’s a culmination of where we are as a brand and says a lot of what you can expect from us. The story ties in the best of the brand from its beginnings in Virginia Beach, and then opening in LA and opening here,” he added.
Mr. Concepcion went on to say that their collaboration with adidas Consortium is anchored on mutual respect and shared values, making their partnership only fitting.
The adidas ZX 500 RM Commonwealth is now available for P9,300. — Michael Angelo S. Murillo

Yields on government debt end flat after BSP decision

By Mark T. Amoguis
Researcher
YIELDS ON government securities were flat last week after the central bank kept policy settings steady amid easing inflation expectations.
Bond yields, which move opposite to prices, inched up by an average of 4.05 basis points (bp) week-on-week, according to the PHP Bloomberg Valuation Service (BVAL) Reference Rates posted on the Philippine Dealing System’s Web site on Dec. 14.
“Market players reacted to the BSP (Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas) policy decision as well as concerns about fresh supply in the pipeline,” said Nicholas Antonio T. Mapa, senior economist at ING Bank N.V.’s Manila branch.
Michael L. Ricafort, economist at Rizal Commercial Banking Corp., said: “Short-term PHP BVAL yields continued to seasonally go up, though slightly in recent weeks, as the accounting year-end draws closer, amid some premium for crossing-the-year funds/deposits (some balance sheet management/window-dressing activities).”
Last Thursday, the central bank’s policy-making Monetary Board (MB) halted its tightening streak for this year as it sees inflation moderating.
The MB voted to keep benchmark interest rates unchanged on Thursday, keeping the range at 4.25-5.25%, which remains at a nine-year high.
Before this pause, in its bid to curb rising inflation expectations, the BSP implemented five back-to-back interest rate hikes since May, totaling to 175 bps.
Last Thursday, the central bank also revised lower its inflation forecasts until 2020. It now sees inflation averaging at 5.2% this year, down from a previous forecast 5.3%. The BSP also now expects inflation to decelerate to 3.18% next year (from 3.5%) and 3.04% by 2020 (from 3.3%).
Inflation eased to 6% in November from a nine-year high of 6.7% recorded in September and October. This brought the year-to-date average at 5.2%, still beyond the 2% to 4% government’s official target.
Bank analysts said the BSP is now at the end of its tightening cycle as inflation is becoming less of a problem.
Two economists also said on Friday that the central bank may now proceed with planned cuts in banks’ reserve requirement ratio next year as inflation is sure to go down. Reducing the mandated bank reserves will free up more cash in the financial system, as lenders can now deploy more funds for lending and investments.
Yields went sideways across the board at the close of the market on Friday. Rates of the 91-, 182-, and 364-day Treasury bills increased by 6.4 bps, 6.10 bps, and 8.6 bps, respectively, to fetch 5.651%, 6.360%, and 6.703%.
At the belly, yields on the two-, three-, four-, five-, seven-, and 10-year Treasury bonds rose by 5 bps, 4.1 bps, 4.3 bps, 4.9 bps, 5 bps, and 1.5 bps, respectively, to 6.776%, 6.876%, 6.952%, 7.011%, 7.058%, and 7.025%.
Meanwhile, rates of the 20- and 25-year debt papers dipped by 0.10 bp and 1.2 bps, respectively, to close at 7.494% and 7.533%.
For this week’s trading, RCBC’s Mr. Ricafort said: “[S]hort-term PHP BVAL yields could continue to slightly go up, as seen in recent weeks, as the accounting year-end about two weeks away.”
He added that markets will also anticipate the widely expected 0.25% Fed rate hike on Dec. 19.
For his part, ING’s Mr. Mapa said this week’s bond yields “will likely move sideways with most dealers out for the holidays while traders also awaiting borrowing program for 1Q 2019 and also wary of fresh supply in the near term.”

Cebu Pacific adds daily flight from Clark to New Bohol international airport

CEBU PACIFIC is adding a daily flight from its hub at the Clark International Airport in Pampanga to the New Bohol (Panglao) International Airport.
In a statement over the weekend, the budget carrier said the daily flights will leave Clark at 9:55 a.m. and arrive in Bohol at 11:20 a.m. Return flights will depart from Bohol at 11:50 a.m. and land in Clark at 1:15 p.m.
“We are excited to commence operation of our newest route in Clark. As we expand our fleet and our route network, we look forward to supporting economic growth in Clark and its surrounding areas as well as in the province of Bohol through tourism and logistics support,” Cebu Pacific Director for Airport Services Dindo Fernando said in the statement.
The company is currently expanding its hub in Clark to connect more passengers from the Northern and Central Luzon. In September, Cebu Pacific said it wants to increase by 75% the number of flights from the Clark International Airport by end-2018.
Aside from new routes, additional frequencies are also expected to boost Cebu Pacific activity in Clark to 3,711 flights or 620,540 seats.
Cebu Pacific said it started serving flights from the Clark International Airport in 2006. It has been flying to Bohol through the Tagbilaran Airport since 2004.
The Gokongwei-led carrier flew a total of 11.1 million domestic passengers during January to September period.
In the first three quarters of the year, Cebu Pacific listed operator Cebu Air, Inc. slumped to a loss of P518 million from a net attributable income of P42 million in the same period last year due to rising jet fuel expenses and the weakening of the Philippine peso against the US dollar. — Denise A. Valdez

China set to triple ethanol production capacity by 2020

GUANGZHOU, CHINA — China is set to more than triple its ethanol production capacity by 2020, a government researcher said on Tuesday, with demand for the commodity expected to surge as the country shifts toward cleaner fuels.
The nation is currently building or seeking approval for new ethanol plants with capacity to produce 6.6 million tonnes of the biofuel a year, Dou Kejun, a researcher at the China National Renewable Energy Centre, told an industry event in the country’s south.
China had an ethanol production capacity of 2.8 million tonnes in 2017, he said.
The country last year said it would require gasoline supplies nationwide to be blended with ethanol by 2020, a move that would require about 15 million tonnes of the biofuel annually.
That target is being widely watched by global biofuel markets as China is unlikely to meet its ethanol needs through domestic production.
Growth in Chinese production would take the country “quite close” to the volumes needed by 2020, Dou told Reuters on the sidelines of the event. Although he added that the process was “dynamic” and subject to change.
Other attendees at the event said China would need to import significant volumes from overseas suppliers such as the United States and Brazil.
“It will be a great opportunity for American and Brazilian ethanol,” said Feng Wensheng, a manager at major producer Henan Tianguan Group Co Ltd.
He added that the industry should lobby the government to reduce tariffs on corn imports and expand the corn import quota, with most ethanol in the future expected to be produced from the grain.
Feng estimated current capacity at around 3.38 million tonnes, including recently approved plants still under construction.
Of those, corn-based ethanol capacity is around 1.45 million tonnes, while facilities relying on cassava make up 1.7 million tonnes.
China also uses wheat, sorghum and rice to make the biofuel in some parts of the country.
There is also around 7 million tonnes of idle capacity at alcohol facilities, part of which could be turned into fuel ethanol production capacity, Feng said. — Reuters

Stella McCartney sees fast fashion as environmental threat

FASHION designer Stella McCartney called on business leaders and politicians to help the industry reduce its impact on the environment.
McCartney, whose luxury clothing label avoids material like leather due to its impact on land and water resources, said disposable apparel known as “fast fashion” is wrecking the planet. Her remarks, while sidestepping specific names, referred to companies that move trends from the catwalk to shop hangers as quickly as possible, including Asos Plc and Boohoo Group Plc.
“People wear, on average, fast fashion about three times before it’s thrown away,” McCartney said at an event in Bloomberg’s European headquarters in London hosted with Vanity Fair magazine. “We need to educate.”
Her remarks added to the scrutiny of fast fashion companies. Last month, UK lawmakers wrote to the heads of online retailers including Amazon.com, Inc. and Asos to seek evidence about the environmental and social impacts of selling cheap clothes.
Retailers who can supply cheap and trendy clothes quickly have grown in popularity in recent years. Buoyed by social media platforms like Instagram, the companies offer cheap clothing that consumers are unlikely to wear more than a few times.
Fast fashion is “creating an enormous trash problem,” said Cara Smyth, founder of the Fair Fashion Centre. “It’s about a $3.6 billion textile waste problem, in America. It is important to know that it is not only the company’s fault but the consumer’s fault.”
One of the other environmental concerns with fast fashion is the process through which online orders are delivered. The need to ensure that garments reach consumers as quickly as possible could mean that more fossil fuels are used in getting those items to market.
“We haven’t yet understood what is the carbon footprint of online,” said Stephen Brenninkmeijer, an angel investor and a fifth-generation retailer from the family behind C&A Group. “Online is a tricky business, and I hope that people like Amazon are looking at that as well.”
McCartney urged larger companies to follow her call because “big industry leaders have a much bigger impact than I do. Business leaders have to man-up.”
The materials which fashion companies use is also an increasingly important topic for designers that are seeking to boost their sustainability credentials. Along with refusing to use leather, McCartney also sources its viscose or rayon from sustainable forests. Earlier this year, Levi Strauss & Co. launched an initiative to eliminate many chemicals from its jeans manufacturing process.
Consumers and investors alike are both demonstrating an increasing appetite for sustainability when deciding where to put their money.
“There is no shortage of capital in the world that wants to go in this direction” said David Fass, Macquarie Group CEO for Europe the Middle East and Africa. “The hearts and minds argument of the common man on the street, has been won. My feeling is that what the financial services business needs to do, is to be working with the real innovative companies of today.” — Bloomberg

Peso to drop ahead of Fed meet

THE peso is expected to weaken this week as the dollar will likely strengthen amid safe-haven buying, propelled by expectations of another rate hike from the US Federal Reserve.
On Friday, the peso plunged to a one-month low of P52.88 versus the greenback from the previous close, as market players reacted to the local central bank’s decision to keep rates steady.
Week-on-week, the local unit also weakened from its P52.71 finish last Dec. 7.
Traders interviewed said the peso will likely decline further this week amid expectations that the US central bank will raise benchmark rates anew at its Dec. 18-19 meeting.
“Despite mixed remarks from US policy makers, majority are still in agreement about the need to raise interest rates gradually,” a market analyst said yesterday, adding that this will put downward pressure on the local currency starting Tuesday towards the end of the week.
Despite the anticipated Fed rate hike, expectations for policy tightening in the US next year dwindled as investors become wary about a potential economic growth slowdown.
Meanwhile, a foreign exchange trader said on Friday that the foreign exchange market will see “quiet trading” for this week, even as the greenback is expected to strengthen amid “repatriation of flows of multinational (companies).”
Aside from this, economic and political concerns in China and the Eurozone could prompt investors to prefer the safer greenback.
“The downbeat economic reports from China, France and Germany are on top of concerns regarding UK Prime Minister Theresa May’s ability to convince the British parliament to approve the Brexit deal,” the analyst added.
Amid anticipated headwinds for the peso this week, traders said these might be tempered by the seasonal influx of dollars from overseas Filipinos in time for the holidays.
For this week, the analyst expects the peso to trade between P52.60 and P53.10 versus the dollar, while the trader gave a P52.80-P53 forecast. — Karl Angelo N. Vidal