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Ex-RBI chief flags risks for overseas borrowing

INDIA’S PLAN to issue foreign currency debt has no real benefit and is fraught with risks, according to former Reserve Bank of India (RBI) governor Raghuram Rajan.

A global bond sale won’t reduce the amount of domestic government bonds the local market has to absorb and the country should worry about short-term “faddish investors buying when India is hot, and dumping us when it is not,” Rajan said in a column in The Times of India on Saturday.

Rajan adds to the growing chorus of opposition to the plan Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman announced earlier this month. The plan to sell bonds overseas comes as Prime Minister Narendra Modi faces shrinking options to raise funds as a slowing economy crimps tax revenues. Investors have also been concerned about his plans to borrow a record 7.1 trillion rupees ($103 billion) this fiscal year.

“Could the resulting volatility in India’s debt traded on foreign exchanges then transmit to our domestic G-Sec market? Would the foreign tail wag the domestic dog?” Rajan said. India should instead relax the requirement for foreigners to register as foreign portfolio investors and increase the current ceilings on investment in government rupee bonds, he said.

Three former central bank officials have also opposed the plan, saying the timing isn’t ideal as India runs quite a large budget deficit. India set the budget deficit target for the fiscal year at 3.3% of gross domestic product, lower than the 3.4% estimated in February’s interim plan.

“A small issuance will likely not be problematic,” Rajan, who is also a professor at the University of Chicago, said. “The concern is that once the door is opened, the government will be tempted to issue more, much more, with attendant risks — after all, all addictions start small.” — Bloomberg

Audi shows off its newest avant-garde models in new Spider-Man film

THE NEWEST installment of the Spider-Man series, Spider-Man: Far From Home, features Audi’s latest high-tech vehicles. The film stars Tom Holland as Peter Parker, who must step up to take on new threats in a world that has changed forever, following the events of Avengers: Endgame.

Shown in the film is the all-electric Audi e-tron GT concept, the fully-electric sports car from the brand. The next electric Audi has a flat-floor architecture that provides for exciting proportions and a low center of gravity. The 600hp all-wheel drive e-tron GT concept will come into life by the end of 2020.

Aside from the e-tron, the all-new Audi A7 Sportback and the all-new Audi Q8 also appear in the movie.

Winner of the “2019 World Luxury Car” in the New York International Auto Show, the Audi A7 Sportback is Audi’s premier four-door coupe sedan, engineered to provide one of the most comfortable yet sporty driving experience in its class. The Sportback’s sharp lines and its coupe silhouette accentuate its athletic yet sophisticated design.

On the other hand, the Audi Q8 is Audi’s SUV coupe variant which marries the functionality of a full-fledged SUV and the elegance of a coupe. Fitted with a powerful yet efficient 3.0 TFSI engine with a mild hybrid system and the legendary quattro all-wheel drive, the Q8 is the ultimate SUV for business or leisure.

“Teaming up with Sony Studios gives us an ideal opportunity to stage Audi’s electric offensive in a spectacular environment and to customize this important technology for a highly engaged audience. Therefore product placement plays a significant role in our new brand strategy,” said Sven Schuwirth, head of Brand Audi, Digital Business and Customer Experience at Audi AG.

Since the days of Tony Stark and Iron Man, Audi has been consistently the automaker-of-choice and the latest Marvel-themed movie surely makes everyone feel electrified.

For more information, please contact Audi Philippines at 02 727-0381 to 85 or visit any Audi showroom in Greenhills, Global City, Alabang and SM Seaside City Cebu.

ABS-CBN says sales of TVplus boxes hit 8 million

THE sales of ABS-CBN Corp.’s TVplus boxes has grown almost 20% since February, as adoption of digital television in the country picks up pace.

The Lopez-led media giant said in a statement over the weekend it has tallied a cumulative 8 million TVplus boxes sold as of July, growing 1 million from the 7 million it recorded in February.

ABS-CBN said digital television adoption across the country continues to grow since it launched the TVplus product in 2015, with a 72% penetration rate in Metro Manila, 65% in Mega Manila and 57% in the suburbs, based on August 2018 data from Kantar Media.

“ABS-CBN TVplus’ accelerated sales is indicative of how far the country has moved on from analog television and how closer we are to fully transitioning into digital broadcast ahead of the government-mandated deadline of 2023,” ABS-CBN Access Head Charles Lim said in the statement.

The Department of Information and Communications Technology (DICT) has set a 2023 deadline for broadcasting companies to completely migrate to digital terrestrial television (DTT), after which it would switch off all analog television systems.

ABS-CBN identified 16 areas that are already covered by its DTT signal — Metro Manila, Bulacan, Nueva Ecija, Pangasinan, Rizal, Laguna, Pampanga, Tarlac, Benguet, Cavite, Metro Cebu, Cagayan De Oro, Iloilo, Bacolod, Davao and Batangas.

Last month, the media firm also launched a mobile version of its TVplus boxes, the ABS-CBN TVplus Go, which acts as a dongle to allow users watch live television shows from an Android smartphone.

ABS-CBN earlier said it wants to strengthen its digital business this year, with much of its capital expenditures — estimated at around P6 billion — to be dedicated to this segment.

ABS-CBN posted an attributable net income of P856.35 million in the first quarter, up 89.2% on increased advertising placements. — Denise A. Valdez

Colombia to create fund to rescue coffee farmers when prices drop

BOGOTA — Colombia, the world’s top supplier of washed arabica, is creating a special fund to subsidize coffee farmers when production costs fall below international prices.

The stabilization fund, announced by President Ivan Duque late on Thursday, is the country’s latest bid to help farmers struggling as coffee prices have fallen to their lowest in more than a decade and many are operating at a loss.

The global price crisis has pushed large numbers of them out of business, with potentially wide-ranging implications in Colombia, where coffee is the chief alternative crop to coca, a plant used to produce cocaine in regions controlled by rebels.

Colombia is the world’s third largest producer of coffee after Brazil and Vietnam.

It was not yet clear how much money would be put into the stabilization fund. But Duque’s office said it would be paid for through a mix of sources, including the general budget, state-backed debt securities, proceeds from royalties and contributions from international organizations and others. Duque called the law that passed to create the stabilization fund as “one of the most longed for by Colombian coffee growers.”

“This is going to bring great relief to the coffee sector when we have price shocks,” Duque said as he signed the measure into law at an agricultural event.

The stabilization subsidies will kick in when the price of coffee falls below production costs, Duque’s office said. The fund will be administered by the National Federation of Coffee Growers through a government contract.

Duque’s government has already distributed $79.5 million in subsidies, debt relief and funds for plantation renovations in recent months. This week, at a coffee forum in Brazil, Colombia proposed that coffee-producing nations join forces to impose supply limits and boost prices.

The coffee growers federation has also proposed that producer countries sell high-quality harvests untethered from the New York market price. And this month, it called for an international base price of $2 per pound.Colombian coffee producers currently make about 795,000 pesos ($248) for every 125-kilo (275.6 pounds) of coffee, which barely covers production costs estimated at 780,000 pesos ($244), according to the coffee growers federation.

Despite the low prices, Colombia expects to produce 14 million 60-kilo bags this year, up from 13.6 million bags last year, thanks to renovations and fertilization programs. — Reuters

Style (07/15/19)

UNIQLO outerwear

JAPANESE global apparel retailer UNIQLO has introduced its latest outerwear pieces meant to keep users warm and dry as weather shifts. The outerwear collection is made with high quality materials with the fit and fabrics to offer superior comfort. UNIQLO pays extra attention to functionality and style bringing together innovation and fashion to suit different kinds of lifestyles and personalities. Available in new colors. Among these are the Women’s Oversized Parka (photo) with a cotton-polyester blend and gussets under the sleeves (P2,490); the Women’s Cotton Ribbed Blouson, a relaxed and on-trend fit made with 100% pre-softened cotton which is good for a light outer layer (P1,990); Women’s Corduroy Oversized Jacket is pre-washed to create a subtle vintage style, made of a stretch material for unrestricted movement, with a rounded cocoon silhouette capped off with a handy pocket (available in-stores starting July 29, P1,990); the Men’s Jersey Lined Field Parka has a cotton-like material making it breathable and soft to the touch (P2,490); the Men’s Washed Work Jacket has a twill weave fabric with the softness of sweat for comfort (P1,990).

One-of-a-kind: Montblanc 1858 Split Second Chronograph Only Watch 2019

Montblanc joins charity sale

TO join forces with Only Watch 2019, a well-known international biennial charity auction of high-end timepieces that will take place in Geneva on Nov. 9, Montblanc will donate the 1858 Split Second Chronograph Only Watch 2019 which combines titanium and a natural stone, the blue agate. Only Watch focuses on Duchenne muscular dystrophy, a genetic disorder characterized by progressive muscle degeneration and weakness. Now on its 8th Edition, Only Watch is a biennale auction of unique timepieces created by some of the finest brands that have raised over €40 million to date. Under the patronage of HSH Prince Albert II of Monaco, and following the initiative of Luc Pettavino, President of the Association Monégasque contre les Myopathies, Only Watch is an international watchmaking charity event. The auction unites watchmakers from both the large groups and small independents who all express their creativity and generosity through great timepieces crafted from the heart. All of the funds collected from the sale of the watches are donated in their entirety to scientific and medical research units working on neuromuscular diseases in general and on Duchenne muscular dystrophy in particular. The watches will embark on a world tour on Sept. 25, starting at the Monaco Yacht show in the charity’s hometown, and then continuing to Dubai, Paris, London, New York, Tokyo, Singapore, Hong Kong and Taipei, before the final auction in Geneva on Nov. 9. The auction is organized in partnership with Christies and will take place at the Four Seasons Hôtel des Bergues in Geneva. Montblanc’s contribution to the auction is the Montblanc 1858 Split Second Chronograph Only Watch 2019. Montblanc reinterprets an historical Minerva military monopusher chronograph from the 1930s with the one-of-a kind 1858 Split Second Chronograph Only Watch 2019. The wristwatch combines a 44 mm case in full satin-finished titanium grade-two, the hand-crafted Montblanc Manufacture Monopusher Chronograph calibre MB M16.31, a brand-new matching Sfumato alligator strap and a special dial made of degraded blue Agate, a natural stone, giving an unique blue appearance — all those elements making it the ideal watch for collectors.

Careline lipstick sale

CARELINE is having a nationwide sale for all the shades of its Matte Liquid Lipstick and Melted Metallic Lipstick in the whole month of July. The price drops from P210 to just P49 at retail stores nationwide.

Gov’t debt yields end mixed

By Christine J.S. Castañeda
Senior Researcher

YIELDS ON government securities (GS) ended mixed last week on dovish comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and in reaction to easing inflation at home.

On average, debt yields — which move opposite to prices — went down by two basis points (bp) week-on-week, according to the PHP Bloomberg Valuation (BVAL) Service Reference Rates as of July 12 published on the Philippine Dealing System’s website.

“Rates were actually mixed with short end rates dipping in reaction to slowing inflation and dovish comments from Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) Governor [Benjamin E.] Diokno while longer-dated bonds saw yields rise to track the movement of US Treasury yields,” Nicholas Antonio T. Mapa, senior economist at ING Bank N.V.-Manila branch, said in an email.

“Rates were generally inching lower ahead of the testimony of Fed Chair Powell but tiptoed higher even after his dovish confirmation of a possible Fed rate cut in the near-term as investors started to worry about the pace of global growth,” he added.

In a separate email, a bond trader said: “[S]hort-term end of the yield curve dropped significantly for the week as market expectations of a July Fed policy rate cut were solidified after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell reinforced dovish guidance in his monetary policy testimony before the US Congress and similar dovish indications following the release of the June 2019 Fed policy minutes.”

“On the long-term end, yields were broadly higher on increased risk appetite from investors opting to divert towards riskier assets following the recent rally in equities,” the bond trader added.

Preliminary data from the Philippine Statistics Authority showed headline inflation at 2.7% last month, down from 3.2% in May and 5.2% in June 2018. The latest result was also the slowest since the 2.6% logged in August 2017.

The June result fell within the BSP’s 2.2%-3.0% estimate for the month and was lower than the 2.9% median in BusinessWorld’s poll of 12 economists.

The latest reading brought year-to-date inflation to 3.4%, past the midpoint of the BSP’s 2-4% target range though still above the 2.9% full-year forecast average.

Meanwhile, according to BSP’s Mr. Diokno, the central bank is likely to cut policy rates in the second half before moving to reduce the reserve requirement ratio.

On the other hand, in his congressional testimony on Wednesday, Mr. Powell hinted at a Fed rate cut this month, citing trade tensions and concerns on global growth weighing on the economy.

At the close of trading last Friday, the 91-day Treasury bill dropped 20.6 bps to yield 4.123%. Rates of the 182- and 364-day debt papers likewise declined 18.2 bps and 3.6 bps to 4.362% and 4.815%, respectively.

Rates of the two-, three- and four-year Treasury bonds (T-bond) rose 2.4 bps (4.854%), 2.2 bps (4.876%) and 2.2 bps (4.913%). Yields on the five- and seven-year debt papers likewise increased by 2.4 bps (4.953%) and 2.5 bps (5.003%).

Yields on the 10-, 20- and 25-year notes also rose by 1.9 bps, 3.3 bps and 3.6 bps, respectively, to end 5.019%, 5.090% and 5.091%.

For this week, Mr. Mapa said: “Market will continue to take its cue from global developments with investors also looking forward to the seven-year T-bond auction [this week].

For the bond trader: “Local yields might move with a downward bias [this week] amid the lingering impact of dovish guidance from US Fed Chair Powell and from the minutes of the June 2019 FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting.”

“Yields might also decline, as weak economic data from key economies abroad might prompt investors to hold on to safer securities like government bonds,” the bond trader added.

PSE index may climb past 8,200 on Q2 earnings

LOCAL STOCKS are expected to climb beyond the 8,200 mark this week amid increased trading from investors due to the release of second-quarter earnings reports.

Despite posting a decline of 12.67 points or 0.15% on Friday, the bellwether Philippine Stock Exchange index (PSEi) maintained a 0.29% week-on-week increase as it finished at 8,141.82 at the close of last week’s trading.

The increase for the week was driven by a 2.69% gain in financials and 1.01% in property shares, which outpaced the decline in industrials (1.64%), holding firms (0.50%), services (0.32%) and mining and oil (0.03%).

Eagle Equities, Inc. Research Head Christopher John Mangun said for this week, stocks may break the 8,200 resistance with an expected increase in trading volumes.

“Investors may gain confidence as Q2 (second quarter) earnings start to come in (this) week which are expected to come in better than what we have seen in the last few quarters due to lower costs and higher spending,” Mr. Mangun said in a weekly market report.

He added that the influx of foreign funds will help temper the outflows the market has been recording since May.

“Overall, we have another three weeks before trading slows due to the ‘ghost month’ and I am hoping to see a rally before then,” Mr. Mangun said.

Online brokerage 2TradeAsia.com shared the same sentiment on the impact of earnings reports that will come out starting this week. It estimates the PSEi’s resistance to be between 8,250 to 8,350.

“With the release of 1H (first half) corporate earnings, emphasis is placed on possible outperformers: power, infra, property and consumer,” it said in a market note.

It added the improved earnings growth opportunities in the second half of the year may be a driver for the local index to reach beyond 8,200.

“Apart from benign inflation and lower borrowing costs, the extra boost is on improved liquidity, with the third phase of BSP’s (Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas) reserve requirement cut of 50 bps (basis points) by the end of the month, it said.

“Estimates show the 200 bps total RRR (reserve requirement ratio) cut would bring in P180 billion to P200 billion in the local financial system.”

After a 100-bp RRR cut across all banks on May 31, the BSP trimmed the reserve ratios of universal and commercial lenders and thrift banks by another 50 bps on June 28 to 16.5% and 6.5%, respectively.

Another 50-bp reduction will be implemented on July 26 to finally bring the RRR of big banks to 16% and thrift banks to 6%, which completes the phased cuts the BSP announced in May.

However, the brokerage noted the extended United States-China trade talks may continue to drive market volatility, along with other geopolitical news. — Denise A. Valdez

Foton opens Metro Clark dealership

JUST LIKE the rainfall and strong winds kicking off the season on the first week of July, areas of Northern Luzon are also strongly feeling the presence and continuous network expansion of FOTON Motor Philippines, Inc. (FMPI) as it officially inaugurated its 29th dealership, FOTON Metro Clark, last July 3.

Strategically located along the busy stretch of McArthur Highway in Dau, Mabalacat, Pampanga, FOTON Metro Clark houses a completely furnished vehicle showroom that could accommodate passenger vehicles and light-duty trucks. It also has state-of-the-art service bays designed to provide quality maintenance, repairs, and general after-sales services.

Apart from being the dealership closest to FMPI’s 11-hectare vehicle assembly plant in Pampanga, FOTON Metro Clark is also the first FOTON dealership under the management of Laus Group of Companies, one of the largest and fastest growing multi-brand automotive network in the Philippines today.

According to Laus Group of Companies Chairman and CEO Lisset Laus-Velasco, what made them choose FOTON was the brand’s vast product lineup available for both personal and business functions. “What we endeavor to do today and plan to sustain in the years ahead is the continuation of the trenchant vision and advocacy of our late father, Mr. Levy Laus. That is, growth and development in the countryside, a dream he started putting into reality some 40 years ago.”

“Today, FOTON now properly belongs to that vision,” she said.

Recognized as one of the most-developed and urbanized areas in Luzon, Clark in Pampanga has been well-known as a central business district that boasts of world-class hotels, casinos, resort, golf courses and recreational hubs.

The presence of FOTON Metro Clark also brings a good amount of exposure not only to those residing in the Freeport Zone, but also to the motorists passing by Mabalacat, Angeles, NLEX and even SCTEX. Laus-Velasco noted, “We want to transform the landscape of the countryside business and expand it not only in Metro Clark but across Central and Northern Luzon.”

With FOTON’s budding number of fully capable dealerships that house vehicle showrooms, service centers and sales outlets, the management of FMPI shared how grateful they are for being warmly embraced by the market. “Having Laus Auto Group as one of our dealer partners is considered as a major milestone for FOTON. This also conveys that FOTON already has what it takes to join the list of the Philippines’ most-trusted automotive brands,” exclaimed FOTON Philippines President Rommel Sytin.

Mabalacat, Pampanga Mayor Crisostomo Garbo also wished the FOTON Metro Clark and FOTON Philippines partnership good luck. “Through the years, I’ve witnessed how FOTON has improved and soared in the province of Pampanga. Right now, you’re doing great but in the long run, I believe you’ll do even better.”

Aligned with the local government of Mabalacat and Pampanga, FOTON Philippines also aims to support the government’s ‘Build, Build, Build’ program, particularly by providing commercial vehicles and earthmovers for developing roads, bridges and infrastructure. Garbo added, “Mabalaceños can now look forward to explore the city and business options using a FOTON vehicle. Eventually, our vision to give every Filipino a chance to experience FOTON will be realized with this partnership.”

Sytin shared, “Pampanga is a home to me, because the people here make me feel that this is my home. This is where I saw a great potential in terms of economic development and various business options, so we decided to make Pampanga the site of our biggest investment so far — the FMPI Assembly Plant.”

When asked about his partnership and meeting with the late founder of Laus Group, Sytin said, “I was really glad and grateful because Mr. Levy and I shared the same vision. We have a common goal, and that is to provide excellent customer care.”

“I’d like to thank the Laus family for trusting FOTON. Expect me and my team to support you 25 hours a day. Call me anytime, and I’ll always be right at your service,” he noted while closing his speech with full confidence and hope: “Who knows? From the 9th position, we might reach a higher notch in the overall automotive market sales, of course, through the help of Laus Group.”

US refiners urge EPA to keep biofuel waiver requests secret from USDA

WASHINGTON — A law firm representing small US refineries has urged the Environmental Protection Agency to keep refiners’ applications for waivers from the nation’s biofuel policy secret from the Department of Agriculture, arguing that the petitions include confidential business information.

The request, made by Perkins Coie in a letter to the EPA dated July 8, adds to mounting pressure from representatives of the refining industry for the Trump administration to box the USDA out of the controversial waiver program.

The letter follows Agriculture Secretary Sonny Perdue publicly expressing opposition to the way the program has been run in recent years.

The program can exempt small refiners in financial turmoil from their responsibility to blend ethanol into gasoline under the Renewable Fuel Standard. Waivers can save them tens of millions of dollars but are broadly opposed by the corn industry, which argues they undercut biofuel demand. Since President Donald Trump took office, the EPA has roughly tripled the number of waivers it has granted to small refiners, drawing anger from the corn lobby and putting Trump in the middle of a battle between two powerful constituencies important to his reelection campaign.

In the letter to EPA Administrator Andrew Wheeler, Perkins Coie said the applications contained confidential business information (CBI) that should not be shared with the USDA.

“The USDA seeks the small refineries’ CBI in order to assert influence over EPA’s final decisions and thereby reduce the number of small refinery petitions granted by EPA. This interference is improper as a matter of law,” it said.

The letter added that refiners feared the USDA would share the confidential information in the applications with players in the agriculture community, which could undermine the refineries’ ability to compete.“We would view any release of CBI to USDA as an indication that USDA was given improper influence over the decision-making process for small refinery hardship relief,” the letter said.

Last week, Republican senators representing oil states wrote to Trump asking him to keep Perdue away from any decision-making process over the petitions. Louisiana Senator John Kennedy also wrote to Perdue saying he will block confirmation of agency nominations until Perdue “stops interfering.”

Perdue has often sided publicly with farmers on the issue of biofuel waivers and told farmers at an event in Iowa recently that he had spoken to Trump about it and was helping to devise a fix. Trump has also ordered a review of the small refinery waiver program after hearing criticism from farmers during a recent tour of farm country. — Reuters

Huawei plans to cut jobs in US-based R&D unit — WSJ

HUAWEI Technologies Co. is planning to cut jobs at its US subsidiary as the Chinese technology giant continues to struggle with its American blacklisting, the Wall Street Journal reported, citing unidentified people familiar with the situation.

The cuts are expected to affect employees at Futurewei Technologies, Inc., a research and development (R&D) subsidiary that employs about 850 people in states including Texas, California and Washington, according to the Journal. Some workers have already been notified of the dismissals and additional cuts could be announced soon, the newspaper reported.

The Journal cited one of the people familiar as saying hundreds of people could lose their jobs, without providing an exact number. Another person said some of Huawei’s Chinese employees in the US were offered the option of returning home and staying with the company, according to the report.

Huawei declined to comment, the Journal said.

President Donald Trump’s decision in May to blacklist Huawei, one of China’s most strategically important companies, has dominated global industry discussions, as it threatens to upend supply chains and disrupt the global rollout of fifth-generation technology — an infrastructure spending spree worth hundreds of billions of dollars.

The Trump administration has pushed allies to bar Huawei from 5G, citing risks about state spying — allegations the company has denied. The move to block Huawei’s access to US suppliers escalated the campaign. The company’s founder, Ren Zhengfei, has predicted the US sanctions will cut its revenue by $30 billion over the coming two years.

Separately, Huawei has shut down its US sales of solar inverters, Roth Capital Partners said in a research note in June. The exit came months after US lawmakers suggested Huawei be banned from supplying solar inverters in the US, citing concern that the Chinese government could use them for spying. A Huawei spokesman said at the time the company had cut US jobs but did not address whether it was discontinuing US inverter sales. — Bloomberg

Zara’s hot polka dot dress beats big data

By Andrea Felsted and Sarah Halzack
Bloomberg Opinion

A $69.90 POLKA dot dress from Zara has become the fashion hit of the summer. Despite little e-mail or social media promotion from the chain, the flowy, universally flattering mid-length frock has become so ubiquitous that someone has created an Instagram account to collect sightings of it out in the fashion wilds — including several that appear to show multiple women wearing it to the same event.

The frenzy around the garment epitomizes the ability of the brand’s parent, Inditex SA, to ride a sartorial wave.

But the company, founded by Spain’s richest man, Amancio Ortega, is coming under intensified pressure. Rivals in the US and Europe are catching up to its short production lead times. Meanwhile, cheaper upstarts such as Associated British Foods Plc’s Primark and Boohoo Group Plc, are burnishing their fashion credentials.

There is no doubt that Inditex’s business model has served it handsomely for more than four decades. But its approach must prove its mettle now more than ever. Otherwise, its advantages risk being gradually whittled away, along with the group’s industry-leading profitability.

A GOOD LOOK
The retailer, of course, is famous for its fast supply chain. Many competitors order from factories at least six months in advance. But Inditex’s brands, led by Zara, which accounts for about 70% of group sales, produce most of their garments within the current fashion season. About 57% of products are made close to its headquarters in Arteixo, northern Spain, including at facilities in Portugal, Morocco and Turkey. This means Zara clothes can go from design to shop floor within a matter of weeks.

Just as important as the tempo is its unique process of developing ideas.

It starts with Zara’s army of store managers, who communicate what’s selling and what trends are emerging to the commercial team within Inditex’s sprawling head office. This is not some complex exercise in big data; it’s a conversational approach to absorbing what shoppers want. Designers, who sit nearby, incorporate that feedback into their creations.

This has all added up to spectacular growth. But, not only is the company maturing, the competitive landscape has become more difficult. Progress from here will be much harder work.

Social media makes it easier for all retailers to see what is hot. Just take those polka dots: Even Topshop, now widely regarded as a bit of a fashion has-been, also managed to produce a stand-out spotty dress.

At the same time, retailers from Britain’s Next Plc to Gap Inc. in the US are finally shortening their supply chains. They are still not as speedy as Inditex, but they are narrowing the gap.

Another risk is the rise of online shopping. Most stores find that the high cost of fulfilling these sales squeezes profitability. But Inditex’s process is not all that different from what it’s already doing, and that helps shield its margins from the digital onslaught. Store managers telling the head office that they need three puff-sleeve blouses and two pairs of chunky sandals is similar to an individual placing the same order from her laptop. Indeed, Inditex is fond of pointing out that it was a digital company long before the rise of e-commerce.

NOT JUST HEMLINES
Despite all of its advantages, Inditex’s operating margin has been shrinking for the past six years. Consequently, the group is opening fewer, larger stores, and plans to increase space in prime locations by 5-6% this year. This is the right strategy, but it means that it won’t be able to count on large-scale store openings to boost revenue growth.

The company is also overhauling its management. Pablo Isla, executive chairman since 2011, will cede his chief executive officer role to Carlos Crespo. By elevating the chief operating officer to the top job, Inditex is clearly trying to wring the maximum benefit from the business model, in order to continue to stay ahead of rivals.

At its heart is fashion. We’re at a moment in apparel retailing in which technology is often framed as the lynchpin of any success or turnaround. Investors have been dazzled by newcomers StitchFix Inc. and Revolve Group Inc., which tout their ability to use algorithms to create and buy the right product selection. Executives from the likes of Gap and American Eagle Outfitters Inc. emphasize more personalized digital experiences as a way to win over customers.

And while Zara counts on technology, such as by using radio frequency identification to know exactly where every organza halter-neck top and utility boiler suit is, much of its dominance is actually due to something more old-school: it knows how to make clothes that people want — even before they do.

Though cost control is always important, what will be crucial for Crespo is ensuring that Zara’s fashion compass stays perfectly calibrated. Putting style at the center of everything the company does is essential, not only to ensure that Zara can continue to charge a premium for the latest looks, but also for ensuring it doesn’t emulate rival Hennes & Mauritz AB and end up with a pile of unsold stock.

As sales growth has slowed in recent years there have been questions as to whether Inditex has retained its fashion flair, particularly with fewer discernible trends to chase.

That polka-dot dress shows that it is still capable of churning out the blockbusters. To stay ahead of increasingly nimble rivals, it must produce a steady stream of equally Instagram-friendly fashion hits.

How PSEi member stocks performed — July 12, 2019

Here’s a quick glance at how PSEi stocks fared on Friday, July 12, 2019.