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This is what Asia’s stock investors are betting on in 2021

After narrowly beating their US peers for the first time in three years in 2020, Asian stocks could see another strong year, analysts say.

Asia’s outperformance is seen continuing in 2021, with cyclicals expected to catch up to technology stocks as optimism over vaccine rollouts grows. Analysts on average predict that the MSCI Asia Pacific Index will rise about 8% over the next 12 months, versus an estimated 7% gain for the S&P 500 Index, Bloomberg surveys show.

A strengthening economic rebound in China and Asia’s low valuations relative to the US and Europe are also key positives that are seen helping regional stocks tide over potential risks arising from any fresh virus outbreaks, hurdles in vaccine distribution, and worsening of Sino-American relations.

“Asian equities will be the asset class of choice in 2021,” said Gary Dugan, chief executive officer at the Global CIO Office in Singapore. “Growth fundamentals and the ability to rebound quickly as COVID issues clear make the region particularly attractive.”

The S&P 500 sank the most since late October on Monday as investors assessed the possibility of a slower-than-expected economic recovery amid a global surge in COVID-19 infections. Even so, the MSCI Asia Pacific gauge was little changed on Tuesday.

Here are five themes that Asian stock investors say are key to their strategy in 2021:

GREEN IS GOOD

Investing on environmental, social and governance grounds should reap benefits, thanks to a slew of favorable government policies.

Take renewable energy for instance. China, Japan, and Korea are all pushing to become carbon neutral this century, while the US is preparing for a climate-friendly president to take over.

“Renewable energy has never been cheaper,” said David Smith, a portfolio manager at Aberdeen Standard Investments Asia. “China’s recent pledge to be a net-zero emitter of greenhouse gases by 2060 has added impetus to the case.”

Solar- and wind-energy-linked stocks could get a boost as China upgrades its climate goals. Meanwhile, India plans to have 40% of its power generation coming from non-fossil sources by the end of the decade, which should help companies in that space.

Electric vehicles are still hot. BNP Paribas’ Energy Transition fund is among those betting on stocks in the electric-vehicle supply chain, which includes Korean battery makers such as LG Chem Ltd. and firms involved with hydrogen fuel cell technology. Japan’s auto stocks are in focus as the country prepares to phase out new gasoline cars by mid-2030s.

IT IS REALLY VALUE’S TURN

Value shares have lagged and recovered time and time again in the last decade, but this time, investors are expecting a more robust pick up in stocks that look cheap on measures like price-to-earnings or price-to-book multiples. Barring widespread lockdowns, the rebound in old-economy stocks that were shunned by investors flocking to pandemic plays like tech and health-care is expected to continue.

Investors seeking exposure to companies that will benefit as business activity normalizes are picking up banks, industrials, and consumer discretionary stocks—heavyweights in the MSCI Asia Pacific index. Funds from BlackRock Inc. to UBS Asset Management are touting equities in Southeast Asia and India as part of their recovery trade playbook.

It’s not just sectors that could benefit from rotation into value; cheap markets too stand to gain.

Analysts estimate that Singapore’s Straits Times Index, Asia’s worst-performing major national gauge last year, could gain 10% over 2021, boosted by the signing of the world’s biggest regional trade pact late last year.

Another market that was shunned but is getting love: Japan. Foreign investors are seen returning to Japan’s cyclical-heavy stock market, bolstered by Warren Buffett’s $6 billion bet on the nation’s trading houses and expectations for policy changes under Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga.

TECH IS STILL YOUR FRIEND

That’s not to say tech—the hottest trade of 2020—is going on the back-burner. The pandemic has accelerated trends such as e-commerce and remote working, which means Taiwanese and Korean chipmakers, Internet names in China, and data center stocks are among favorites in the new year.

M&G Investments is among asset managers investing in game-content developers in Japan, Korea and China. Nintendo Co., the maker of hit game Animal Crossing, rallied 50% last year while Sony Corp., known for the Playstation console, was up 39%.

Japan’s tech shares are also set to benefit from the Suga administration’s digital reform agenda aimed at transforming the country’s paper-heavy and inefficient public sector.

That said, there is a caveat to this trend: regulation. China has escalated scrutiny on billionaire Jack Ma’s Internet empire, kicking off an investigation into alleged monopolistic practices at Alibaba Group Holding Ltd., and also ordered affiliate Ant Group Co. to overhaul its operations.

Worries that antitrust scrutiny will extend beyond Mr. Ma’s companies have weighed on shares of Alibaba and its rivals such as Tencent Holdings Ltd. and food delivery giant Meituan.

DIVIDEND DROUGHT SHOULD END

Dividend stocks are expected to make a comeback in 2021 as companies loosen their purse strings. Another catalyst is the easing of regulatory curbs placed on payouts by banks to conserve capital amid the pandemic.

Payouts at Australian and Thai lenders could grow after the lifting of related restrictions, and the same goes for dividends at HSBC Holdings Plc and Standard Chartered Plc after the UK eased its ban. Singapore’s banks, which have long had a reputation for being generous with payouts, could be back in play once the country’s regulator follows suit.

Double-digit increases in Asian dividends “are more than possible,” said Mike Kerley, a portfolio manager at Janus Henderson Investors.

Banking isn’t the only space investors are watching here. Material stocks, like Australian miners gaining from a commodity price boom, as well as consumer discretionary stocks may see an increase, said Kerley.

CHINA DELEVERAGING IS BACK

After a string of bond defaults at state-linked firms, China is focusing once again on stabilizing debt levels and tightening liquidity in its financial system.

That’s bad news for China’s brokerages—a source of margin financing and a barometer of stock market sentiment. Companies listed on Shenzhen’s tech-heavy ChiNext board and the country’s other small-cap stocks may also face selling pressure as they are vulnerable to liquidity leaving the system.

However, beyond short-term pain, the derisking trend will likely lead to better asset quality at Chinese banks, giving their shares a boost. Investors will watch for cues on deleveraging plans at China’s annual National People’s Congress meeting in March. — Ishika Mookerjee and Abhishek Vishnoi/Bloomberg

December inflation accelerates to 3.5% yr/yr

MANILA – Philippine annual inflation picked up faster than expected to 3.5% in December, driven by the heavily-weighted food and non-alcoholic beverages sector to hit the highest level since February, 2019, the statistics agency said on Tuesday.

That brought the full-year 2020 average to 2.6%, still comfortably within the official target range of 2%-4%.

But the December headline figure came in above the median 3.1% forecast in a Reuters poll and was near the top end of the central bank’s projected range of 2.9%-3.7%.

Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and fuel prices, picked up to 3.3% from 3.2% in November. — Reuters

$842 Million in combined Mega Millions and Powerball jackpot for the New Year

2021 promises to be an exciting year when it comes to lotteries. Hundreds of millions of dollars in jackpot prizes are up for grabs this week and amazingly, you can play the games by purchasing official lottery tickets from the Philippines.

Imagine starting off the new year by winning an incredible lottery jackpot prize. Just in time for 2021, the combined jackpots of the biggest American draws are worth $842 million. You don’t have to travel to the United States to participate in these draws as you can play them from the comfort of your home in the Philippines.

The Mega Millions jackpot is currently the biggest in the world and stands at $432 million in its next draw tonight, Tuesday 5, January 2021. Just three years ago, a $451 million jackpot was won on January 5, 2018. Will history repeat itself with a big winner this Tuesday.

The US Powerball is not far behind as the jackpot in its next draw, on Wednesday, 6 January 2021, is $410 million.

Winning one of those jackpots, or one of the lotteries’ amazing secondary prizes, would be the best way to start the new year!

If you’re wondering how you could possibly win such a fortune, without leaving the Philippines, you will be amazed to know that you can purchase official American lottery tickets online at theLotter.

Up until now, residents of the Philippines could only look in envy at lottery fans in the United States, where tickets for Mega Millions, Powerball, and local state lotteries are up for sale. Traveling to the USA for the sole purpose of participating in a lottery draw is not practical, and needless to say an enormous expense.

This can probably explain why thousands of Maltese residents are already using the online ticket purchasing services of theLotter to buy official tickets for Mega Millions, Powerball, and more than 45 other lotteries from around the globe. If someone from the Philippines was lucky enough to win the jackpot, they would become one of the richest people in the world overnight.

Here’s how you could win $842 million in jackpots from the Philippines:

  1. Sign up at theLotter.com, the world’s leading online lottery ticket purchasing service.
  2. Select the Mega Millions or the Powerball lottery from over 45 lotteries available on the site.
  3. Fill out your ticket with your favorite numbers or use a computer-generated random selection.
  4. Indicate how many lines you want to play or choose to play with a lottery syndicate to increase your chances of winning.
  5. Confirm your ticket purchase and you’re eligible to win prizes in the upcoming draw.

How theLotter works

TheLotter spokesperson, Adrian Cooremans, explains that when you order official American lottery tickets on the site, “theLotter’s local agents in the US will buy them on your behalf. In return, the website charges a transaction fee, and you will get a scan of your tickets before the draw. When you win a prize, it’s entirely yours as no commissions are taken from winning tickets.”

By purchasing their tickets online at theLotter, more than 6 million lucky players from all over the world have won over $100 million in prizes without purchasing their tickets in person in the US. The site’s biggest winner to date is Aura D. from Panama, a retired woman still working to support her kids. Aura was the sole jackpot winner in a July 2017 Florida Lotto draw, entitling her to the entire $30 million prizes.

If someone from Panama can play and win American lotteries by purchasing official tickets online at theLotter, so could someone from the Philippines.

Playing the world’s biggest lotteries at theLotter is simple, safe, and secure. Players everywhere are impressed by how easy it is to purchase official lottery tickets online.

If all you want for the new year is to be lucky enough to win more than $840million in lottery jackpots, get your Mega Millions and Powerball official tickets online at theLotter.

Good luck and play responsibly.

Lotto Direct Limited is operating thelotter.com. Lotto Direct Limited is licensed by the Malta Gaming Authority; License Reference MGA/B2C/402/2017. 18+ only. Gambling can be harmful if not controlled. Please play responsibly. For more information visit https://www.rgf.org.mt/

 

Spotlight is BusinessWorld’s new sponsored section that allows advertisers to amplify their brand and connect with BusinessWorld’s audience by enabling them to publish their stories directly on the BusinessWorld Web site. For more information, send an email to online@bworldonline.com.

 

 

 

 

DTI slaps safeguard duty on cars

Newly assembled Toyota Vios sedans are seen at a stockyard of the Toyota Philippines manufacturing plant in Sta Rosa, Laguna, Aug. 11, 2014. — REUTERS/ERIK DE CASTRO

By Jenina P. Ibañez, Reporter

THE PHILIPPINES will slap provisional safeguard duties on imported cars, after an investigation by the Trade department showed the surge in imports has hurt the domestic auto manufacturing industry.

In a statement, the Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) said it will impose a provisional duty in the form of a cash bond of P70,000 per imported passenger car unit and P110,000 per light commercial vehicle unit. This will be in effect for 200 days from the issuance of an order by the Customs commissioner, and while the Tariff Commission conducts its own investigation.

“The provisional safeguard measures will provide a breathing space to the domestic industry which has been facing a surge in importation of competing brands. To clarify, importation is not being banned, and consumers will still have the options to choose, but imported vehicle models covered by the rule shall have safeguard import duties,” Trade Secretary Ramon M. Lopez said.

“With that being said, it will also facilitate the structural adjustment of the local industry to be more cost efficient and technologically advanced,” he added.

The DTI formally launched its investigation in February 2020 after the labor group Philippine Metalworkers Alliance (PMA) flagged a possible link between the surge in automotive imports and a decline in employment in the domestic industry.

Republic Act 8800, or the Safeguard Measures Act, authorizes the government to impose temporary tariffs after a determination that a domestic sector has been substantially harmed by a surge in imports.

The department said in a statement on Monday that delaying the imposition of the measure would cause “damage to the industry which would be difficult to repair.”

Based on its preliminary investigation, the DTI found that imported passenger cars went up by an average of 35% from 2014 to 2018. Imports exceeded domestic production by 349% in 2018 compared with 295% four years earlier.

Imports of light commercial vehicles jumped by 200% in 2018 compared with 2014. Imports exceeded domestic production by 1,364% in 2018, compared with 645% in 2015.

The Philippines does not impose tariffs on vehicle imports from Thailand and Indonesia.

The DTI said the market share of domestic passenger cars fell to a range of 22-25% during the period studied, while the market share of locally assembled light commercial vehicles contracted to 7% in 2018 from 18% in 2014.

“The domestic industry lost sales even as the market grew,” DTI said.

Mr. Lopez said safeguard duties are being imposed to protect local manufacturers and prevent car companies from leaving the Philippines.

“If we recall, the discontinuation of the production of Isuzu D-Max in July 2019 and the assembly plant closure of Honda Motors Philippines in the first quarter of 2020 affected local jobs and the Philippine economy. It may also attract vehicle manufacturers to operate in the country and create more jobs,” he said.

Meanwhile, PMA Secretary-General Rey Rasing in a phone interview on Monday said the group is hoping the DTI’s move will save jobs.

Prior to seeing the DTI safeguard rates, he had said that he hoped that there will be lower rates for companies that have been operating assembly plants in the Philippines for the long term.

“This is an incentive too,” he said in Filipino. “Those who have been investing here like Toyota, Mitsubishi, and Isuzu that have assembly plants here can be supported especially now that there is a pandemic.”

Industry groups have pushed back against safeguard duties, with the Chamber of Automotive Manufacturers of the Philippines, Inc. (CAMPI) saying this would limit the industry’s recovery from the effects of the pandemic.

The Association of Vehicle Importers and Distributors, Inc. (AVID) called it a “disruptive” measure, noting that the group does not believe such a move would encourage investments.

DTI’s investigation was concluded at the start of the second half of 2020, but reported its results and recommendation to the Trade Secretary in December.

The case will be sent to the Tariff Commission, which will conduct its own investigation and public hearings.

Collected duties from the provisional measure will be placed in escrow. The bond could be returned to importers if the Tariff Commission recommends its dismissal, DTI Bureau of Import Services Director Luis M. Catibayan said in a press briefing last month.

Vehicle sales plunged in 2020, amid the strict lockdown and economic slowdown. CAMPI sales fell 41.6% year on year in the first 11 months of 2020, while AVID sales plummeted 42.6% in the first 10 months.

The duties will take effect 15 days after publication in newspapers on Tuesday.

Philippine couples have more free time to make babies amid lockdown

By Luz Wendy T. Noble, Reporter

RENALEE M. CANILAO-FLORES, 27, got pregnant at the height of the coronavirus pandemic in June.

She thinks being able to work from home allowed her body to recuperate — she had a miscarriage in 2019 and had her right ovary removed — and made pregnancy possible again.

“After more than six months of healing, we tried to have a baby and it was a success,” Ms. Flores, an administrative officer at a local bank, said in a Facebook Messenger chat.

BW Bullseye 2020-focusA pandemic that has sickened almost half a million and killed more than 9,000 people in the Philippines has given couples more time together and would likely result in a baby boom this year after years of easing population growth, according to experts.

The lockdown also led to hundreds of thousands of women failing to get access to birth control, resulting in tales of unplanned pregnancies.

About 1.8 million babies were expected to be born this year, and unintended pregnancies during the lockdown might bring this up by 751,000 to as many as 2.56 million, according to a July study by the University of the Philippines (UP) Population Institute and United Nations Population Fund.

The Commission on Population and Development (PopCom) expects fewer births of about two million since one of the world’s strictest lockdowns did not last nine straight months, Executive Director Juan Antonio A. Perez, III said.

Dionabel F. San Agustin, 27, is another mother whose pregnancy was unplanned. She got pregnant with her third child just as her partner, who earns P500 daily, got a new job as a warehouseman.

She stopped using the intrauterine device and pills as birth control methods, having felt that these didn’t suit her well.

“It’s just the way it is,” Ms. San Agustin, who seemed dismissive about her condition, said in an interview in Filipino outside a room that her family was renting in a depressed district in Sta. Cruz, Manila. “This pregnancy just sprouted.”

The Philippine population was 108.1 million in 2019, according to World Bank estimates. About 14 million of these people are squeezed in Metro Manila, according to PopCom.

Live births in the country decreased by 6.8% to 1.67 million in 2018 from six years earlier, when a landmark law allowing the government to provide free contraceptives to the poor took effect in the predominantly Catholic nation.

Majority of babies conceived during the lockdown would be born to low-income families, UP economist and former Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Ernesto M. Pernia said.

“Additional births are always a blessing, if and only if the families where they are going to grow have the capacity to provide adequate healthcare, education and attention,” he said by telephone.

Presidential spokesman Harry L. Roque, Jr. in October said the looming baby boom should not be regarded as bad news, although family planning is highly encouraged.

“We don’t view the children who will be born as a problem, we view them as a blessing,” he said. “Our greatest resource is still our population.”

BIRTH CONTROL
Angelica B. Sta. Maria, 19, is an expectant mother to a lockdown baby who will be born by early January.

“I was not supposed to get pregnant but I had my implant removed in January because I feel like it didn’t suit my body,” she said in an interview that interrupted her morning bath at a cramped alley outside a 12 square-meter room she was renting in Sta. Cruz.

“We were planning only to have another baby once my son turns five. He’s only two now.”

Aside from the baby boom, the government is also watching out for a potential rise in maternal deaths, PopCom’s Mr. Perez said in a Zoom Cloud Meetings interview.

A study by the Health Futures Foundation, Inc. found an increase in maternal deaths in coronavirus high-risk areas such as Quezon City and Cebu City compared with levels in 2019.

The higher death rate among mothers was absent in areas such as Alitagtag, Batangas and Zamboanga, which are considered low-risk for the COVID-19 virus.

Mr. Perez traced this to delayed maternal care after some government health facilities were converted into COVID-19 centers. One example was the Philippine General Hospital in the capital, which used to be a go-to for poor expectant mothers.

Many of these lockdown babies are expected to be born between January and June. Mr. Perez said mothers would suffer unless local government units and hospitals get the budget they need.

“The health sector will be under even more strain starting (this) year,” he said. “I’m afraid that the burden of reproductive healthcare will go back to the community because the hospitals are not ready to provide the services.”

Some mothers have turned to lying-in clinics, while others have hired midwives to give birth at home, Mr. Perez said.

The lockdown has forced couples to discuss birth control, he said, noting that family planning is both a health and population measure because it cuts maternal deaths and poverty.

“Many people who did not use family planning before are now afraid of unplanned pregnancies because their spouses are jobless,” the population expert said. “They are aware of the economic hardships they might have to face.”

Lyka Mae D. Lucena, a 25-year-old social worker from Manila’s Ermita district, had her second implant procedure in November to avoid getting pregnant by her expatriate boyfriend, with whom she started living with during the lockdown.

While he’s keen on building a family, Ms. Lucena said she wanted to focus on her career and postgraduate studies for now.

“I want to be financially stable first because in my line of work as a social worker, I’ve seen how relationships turned sour because of economic problems,” she said in a Messenger call.

Ms. Flores, the bank employee, considers her pregnancy a blessing even if she had a difficult time commuting for her checkup. She also had been unable to satisfy her cravings for red guava and guyabano.

Meanwhile, Ms. Sta. Maria is looking forward to going back to her part-time job as a dishwasher once she gives birth.

These days, she grapples with milk supply for her son along with her own pregnancy needs. The P1,500 that she gets weekly from a partner who has since left her isn’t enough, she said.

“If he comes back, I will accept him, if only for our two kids,” she said, reminding herself about the hardships of raising a child alone. “But he already has a new partner now.”

Factory output further shrinks in December

MANUFACTURING business conditions in the Philippines deteriorated in December. — REUTERS

By Beatrice M. Laforga, Reporter

FACTORY ACTIVITY in the Philippines further deteriorated in December, falling behind Southeast Asian peers that all saw an improvement, as ongoing lockdown restrictions and bad weather  dampened production, IHS Markit said on Monday.

The IHS Markit Philippines Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) fell to 49.2 in December from 49.9 in November, moving further below the 50-neutral mark that separates expansion from contraction.

“Despite some positive signs of the sector moving towards a recovery in November, latest PMI data signalled that operating conditions across the Philippines manufacturing sector worsened in the final month of 2020. Firms registered a modest contraction in output volumes amid ongoing pandemic restrictions, implemented to curb the surge in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases,” IHS Markit said in a statement.

Manufacturing purchasing managers’ index of select ASEAN economies, December (2020)

December saw the third straight month of contraction, with IHS Markit noting “the rate of decline was among the fastest in the series history.”

It attributed the deterioration in factory activity to the continued imposition of lockdown restrictions and bad weather in December. Metro Manila and nearby areas remained under a general community quarantine (GCQ).

In 2020, there were only three months where the PMI rose above the 50-neutral mark — January (52.1), February (52.3), and September (50.1).

Among Southeast Asian economies, the Philippines was the only one that reported deteriorating conditions in December. Vietnam topped the list with a PMI of 51.7, followed by Indonesia with 51.3 and Thailand with 50.8. Malaysia (49.1) ranked the lowest so far. Data for Myanmar was not yet available as of writing.

The PMI is the weighted average of five sub-indices: new orders (30%), output (25%), employment (20%), suppliers’ delivery times (25%) and stocks of purchases (10%). An overall reading above 50 signals expansion, while a reading below 50 denotes contraction.

In the Philippines, IHS Markit said new orders were mostly unchanged in December, with companies saying the quarantine restrictions weighed on domestic demand.

Demand from overseas continued to rise, with exports up for a fourth straight month. Firms surveyed noted a bigger demand for Filipino products in key export markets.

“The downturn in production, and muted demand conditions led firms to cut workforce numbers in the final month of 2020. Job shedding persisted at a strong rate which firms linked to restructuring efforts and voluntary resignations,” IHS Markit said.

As demand remained weak, factories had spare capacity that allowed them to reduce their backlog, the survey showed.

“A combination of material shortages, and COVID-19 restrictions contributed to another monthly deterioration in vendor performance. Supply chain pressures have been registered each month since August 2019, with the latest extension to lead times marked overall,” it added.

While the local manufacturing sector continues to suffer, IHS Markit Economist Shreeya Patel said the latest survey showed some positive signs.

“New orders neared stability and sentiment recovered to levels seen before the start of the pandemic. At the same time, case numbers have moderated with expectations that restrictions will ease over the coming months. Although the latest overall sector contraction was only marginal, domestic demand remains challenging which may stymie progress on the lengthy road to recovery,” she said.

The IHS Markit noted that companies reduced purchasing activity last month due to high costs of raw materials and low new orders, causing the depletion of raw materials and finished goods.

Input prices grew for the eight straight month as issues on supply chains persist due to bad weather conditions and ongoing mobility restrictions enforced by the government to curb the spread of COVID-19.

“Subsequently, selling prices rose as Filipino manufacturers chose to pass on part of the hike in costs to customers,” IHS Markit said.

For businesses, they remained optimistic for 2021, with the level of confidence reaching its highest since February last year, the month before the strict lockdown was imposed.

The level of optimism, however, was still below average given the uncertainties over the pandemic.

Robert Dan J. Roces, Security Bank Corp.’s chief economist, said the latest index meant the average PMI improved to 49.2 in the fourth quarter from the 48.6 average in the previous quarter, which could support further improvement in business conditions of factories in the country this year.

“The average reading suggests that we should expect a gradual growth recovery to have occurred in 4Q20 — albeit less contraction compared with 3Q — and very likely for 1Q21 as well,” Mr. Roces said in an e-mail on Monday.

“We do expect factory activity to pick up for the full year this year primarily from positive ripple effects from the vaccine that could cause some demand recovery. The challenge is to restore confidence in both businesses and consumers to lift the recovery further,” he added.

Manufacturing purchasing managers’ index of select ASEAN economies, December (2020)

FACTORY ACTIVITY in the Philippines further deteriorated in December, falling behind Southeast Asian peers that all saw an improvement, as ongoing lockdown restrictions and bad weather  dampened production, IHS Markit said on Monday. Read the full story.

Manufacturing purchasing managers’ index of select ASEAN economies, December (2020)

BIR, BoC beat lowered collection goals for 2020

The Customs bureau generated P539.66 billion in revenues in 2020. — BUREAU OF CUSTOMS

THE TWO biggest tax collection agencies generated P2.4 trillion in revenues in 2020, exceeding the downscaled targets but still 15% lower than the previous year.

The Bureau of Internal Revenue (BIR) and Bureau of Customs (BoC) collected P2.386 trillion, surpassing the P2.148-trillion target by 11%, based on the agencies’ preliminary figures.

However, last year’s revenues were 15% less than the P2.805 trillion posted in 2019. It was also the lowest collection since the P2.23 trillion generated in 2017.

BIR Deputy Commissioner for Operations Arnel S.D. Guballa told BusinessWorld the bureau collected P1.846 trillion in 2020, beating its P1.642-trillion goal by 12.5% but down 15% from the P2.175 trillion recorded in 2019.

“This is not yet the final figure. Some collections are still to be uploaded,” he said in a text message on Monday.

The BoC on Monday said it exceeded the P506.15-billion full-year target by 6.6% after collecting P539.66 billion. The total was 14% lower than 2019’s P630-billion collections, and 26% smaller than the pre-pandemic goal of P730 billion.

Economic managers lowered revenue collection targets several times last year, as tax collections slumped on weak consumption and business closures amid the pandemic.

The BoC attributed its positive revenue collection performance “to the improved valuation and intensified collection efforts of all the ports, gradual improvement of importation volume and the government’s effort in ensuring unhampered movement of goods domestically and internationally considering the pandemic situation.”

Ten out of the 17 collection districts reached their targets last year, namely the ports of Cebu, Tacloban, Surigao, Cagayan De Oro, Zamboanga, Davao, Subic, Clark, Aparri, and Limay.

The BoC collected P47.316 billion in December, 9.1% higher than the P43.368-billion goal. This is the seventh consecutive month the agency reached its lowered monthly goals since June.

Year on year, the December tally was nine percent lower than the P52.195 billion collected in December 2019.

For this year, the BoC is expected to collect P619.5 billion while the BIR is tasked to generate P1.904 trillion. — Beatrice M. Laforga

Singapore firm to take 17.5% of Ayala energy arm

DEAL depends on whether AC Energy is able to infuse its international business into ACEN. — ACENERGY.COM.PH

ARRAN Investment Pte. Ltd., an affiliate of Singapore-based GIC Pte. Ltd., is set to acquire an ownership stake of 17.5% in AC Energy Philippines, Inc. for P20 billion, Ayala Corp. (AC) said on Monday.

In a press release, the listed conglomerate said the Ayala energy arm and the latter’s parent firm AC Energy and Infrastructure Corp. (ACEIC) inked the investment agreement with Arran Investment on Dec. 30.

The infusion was previously approved by the unit’s board of directors on Nov. 11.

“The investment will be implemented through a combination of subscription to four billion primary shares (via a private placement) and purchase of secondary shares from AC Energy,” Ayala Corp. said.

The firm added that Arran Investment’s subscription to the primary shares of AC Energy Philippines, or ACEN, will be completed if certain agreed conditions will take place. These conditions include ACEN’s stock rights offering in the first quarter of 2021, and regulatory approvals.

Ayala Corp. said the GIC affiliate’s purchase of AC Energy’s secondary shares would depend on regulatory approvals; and whether AC Energy is able to infuse its international business into ACEN through a “property for shares swap.”

The swap is projected to take place in the third quarter this year.

This development comes after ACEN President and Chief Executive Officer Eric T. Francia in November announced a corporate transformation and restructuring plan that involves the moving of ownership shares to three stakeholders, including Arran Investment and its parent company GIC.

Two months ago, Mr. Francia said that ACEN would need up to $2 billion to surpass its goal of achieving 5 gigawatts of installed energy capacity, with half coming from renewables.

In a previous briefing, the ACEN chief told reporters that AC Energy’s stake would go down to around 65%, with Singapore-based GIC holding 17.5% and the public owning 18%.

Mr. Francia further discussed in detail the company’s corporate restructuring in five steps, which include: a stock rights offering scheduled in the first quarter this year; GIC’s private placement of 4 billion shares by the end of the second quarter; a follow-on public offering at the stock market; and the infusion of the international energy assets the sale of secondary shares to GIC from ACEIC.

ACEIC was previously known as AC Energy, Inc. until the corporate regulator approved of the name change. This came months after Ayala Corp. consolidated its energy, water, transport and logistic firms, which were collectively placed under AC Energy.

Shares in Ayala Corp. on Monday improved 1.09% to close at P836 apiece. Meanwhile, shares in ACEN climbed 13.33% to finish at P10.20 each. — Angelica Y. Yang

Ayala Corp. to donate P120M worth of  COVID-19 vaccines from AstraZeneca

MORE THAN P120 million worth of vaccines for the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) will be donated by Ayala Corp. to the government for its mass immunization program, an official of the listed company said on Monday.

Fernando Zobel De Ayala, incoming chief executive of Ayala Corp., said in a press briefing that the vaccines had been ordered by the private sector.

“We have decided to order 450,000 vaccines of AstraZeneca, so the total donation that we will be giving to the government is P120 million. Government in turn has requested 50% be given to individuals government selects and 50% be given to the private sector,” he said.

The vaccines cost $5.50 each, he added.

National Task Force Against COVID-19 (NTF) Chief Implementer Carlito G. Galvez Jr., NTF Deputy Chief Implementer Vivencio B. Dizon, and Presidential Adviser for Entrepreneurship Jose Ma. A. Concepcion III also assisted in the procurement process from UK firm AstraZeneca plc.

Mr. Zobel said the private sector would also help in the distribution of the vaccines from various producers to the public. The Task Force T3 (Test, Trace and Treat) will help in coming up with solutions on how to handle each of the vaccines’ needed conditions for distribution.

“This is a critical component and each of the vaccines… have their own peculiar requirements for distribution,” he said.

More than 24 million Filipinos will be prioritized for the first round of free COVID-19 vaccination by the government, with the indigent population as the top priority followed by healthcare workers, senior citizens, and uniformed personnel.

The government aims to vaccinate 60% to 70% of the total population in the next three years in order to reach “herd immunity” or protect the population against the virus. — Gillian M. Cortez

Suntrust infuses more funds into project management unit

SUNTRUST Home Developers, Inc. has subscribed to 227.46 million new shares of its project management subsidiary as it moves to infuse more funds into the wholly owned unit.

In a regulatory filing on Monday, Suntrust said it subscribed to 227.46 million new shares in SWC Project Management Ltd. at a price of one Hong Kong-dollar per share for a total of HK$227.46 million.

The company said the subscription is in efforts to increase the investment in the account of its subsidiary.

According to Suntrust, SWC is in charge of project management and allied activities consultancy services in the construction of the company’s five-star hotel and casino in Manila Bayshore Integrated City in Parañaque City.

SWC is a Hong Kong-based company that has business interests in the provision of project management services.

Meanwhile, Suntrust announced in two separate disclosures the issuance of P5.6 billion worth of 6% convertible bonds to Summit Ascent Investments Ltd. and P7.3 billion worth of zero-interest coupon convertible bonds to Fortune Noble Ltd.

Both issuances will be applied to development of the hotel and casino project, the company said.

“The Main Hotel Casino shall have approximately 400 hotel rooms, the standard room size of which shall range from 34 square meters to 39 square meters,” the disclosure said.

“The casino establishment will have approximately 400 gaming tables and 1,200 slot machines for both mass and VIP markets,” it added.

According to the disclosure, Fortune Noble is a wholly owned subsidiary of Suncity Group Holdings Ltd., which is engaged in property development in China. Summit Ascent is engaged in the hotel and gaming business in the Russian Federation.

In November, Suntrust awarded a P6.29-billion contract to Megawide Construction Corp. for the construction of its hotel and casino project.

Suntrust, which was in real estate development, started its focus on tourism with the entry of Hong Kong’s Suncity Group Holdings Ltd. as a majority investor in 2019. The company is now 51% owned by Fortune Noble Ltd.

On Monday, shares in Suntrust at the stock exchange rose 1.8% or three centavos to end at P1.70 per piece. — Revin Mikhael D. Ochave

Gov’t hikes award of Treasury bills as rates drop

THE BUREAU of the Treasury upsized its award of short-term securities at its first auction for the year. — BW FILE PHOTO

THE GOVERNMENT on Monday hiked its award of Treasury bills (T-bills) and even opened its tap facility as yields went down across the board on expectations of slower inflation data.

The Bureau of the Treasury (BTr) borrowed P24 billion via T-bills on Monday, higher than its P20-billion program as it accepted more bids from non-competitive investors for the three-month and six-month tenors.

The offering was over four times oversubscribed, with tenders reaching P83.638 billion.

The Treasury also opened its tap facility to offer another P10 billion in one-year securities.

Broken down, the BTr raised P7 billion via the 91-day debt papers, exceeding the P5-billion program as bids reached P19.413 billion. The average rate of the three-month T-bills stood at 0.987%, down by 3.5 basis points (bps) from the 1.022% fetched in the Dec. 14 auction.

The Treasury also accepted P7 billion in 182-day papers, more than the P5-billion plan, as tenders amounted to P21.17 billion. The six-month tenor saw its average rate go down by 3.1 bps to 1.369% from 1.4% previously.

For the 364-day securities, the government raised P10 billion as planned out of bids worth P43.055 billion. The one-year T-bills were quoted at 1.614%, down 7.2 bps from the previous average rate of 1.686%.

National Treasurer Rosalia V. de Leon said the government’s first regular auction of 2021 was met with “strong” reception from investors on expectations that inflation eased last month.

“Rates declined ahead of tomorrow’s (Jan. 5) December CPI (consumer price index) report [amid] expected easing of inflation last month,” Ms. De Leon told reporters via Viber after the auction.

She added that the auction results also reflected a liquid market, with P21 billion worth of T-bills maturing this week.

The Philippine Statistics Authority will report December and full-year 2020 inflation data on Tuesday, Jan. 5.

Headline inflation likely rose by 2.9-3.7% last month on higher prices of oil and agricultural products, the central bank said last week.

Inflation picked up by 3.3% in November, taking the year-to-date print to 2.5%, within the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas’ full-year target of 2-4%.

Meanwhile, a trader said yesterday’s auction results showed investors’ preference for shorter tenors amid continued uncertainties due to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic.

“The T-bill offering started the year with a bang as reflected in the total tenders submitted. Pent-up demand was also observed after two weeks or so without primary offerings of short-term papers,” Kevin S. Palma, peso sovereign debt trader at Robinsons Bank Corp., said in a Viber message.

“For as long as the threat of COVID-19 to our economy is still apparent, demand for T-bills will linger as investors would prefer to park their funds on the short end of the curve to see how developments will play out,” Mr. Palma added.

The Treasury will offer P30 billion in reissued 10-year Treasury bonds (T-bonds) today. The papers have a remaining life of four years and eight months and bear a coupon of 3.625%.

The BTr plans to borrow P140 billion from the local debt market this month: P80 billion via weekly auctions of T-bills and P60 billion from fortnightly T-bond offerings.

The government is looking to raise P3 trillion this year from domestic and external lenders to help fund its budget deficit seen to hit 8.9% of gross domestic product. — B.M. Laforga