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Who you gonna call?

From left are NGA (Next Generation Advanced) Philippines Country Manager Robert Llaguno, NGA Founder and Chief Operating Officer Don Ferguson, and NGA Philippines Chief Financial Officer Ishka Villacisneros. — PHOTO BY KAP MACEDA AGUILA

911 emergency tech is starting to expand its presence in PHL

By Joyce Reyes-Aguila

TOWARD QUICKER and improved service, the response to road accidents, security incidents, and health-related emergencies is adopting new technology in various areas across the archipelago. The partnership with private firm NGA (Next Generation Advanced) Philippines has enabled various local government units (LGUs) and even national agencies such as the Philippine National Police (PNP) to deploy state-of-the-art emergency solutions for the population.

If you’re truly empowering every Filipino with the ability to dial 911, who does want to get that?” NGA Founder and Chief Operating Officer Don Ferguson told members of the media in a recent visit to the country. “What we discovered was that there are many different numbers for emergencies in the Philippines. This causes a lot of confusion about what number to dial. Then if you can get through to the command center, you have to explain your location. We saw that a lot of work was needed here. We started to get a lot of interest. There was a strong response. Everyone we spoke to wanted the United States’ 911 system in the Philippines.”

The company began deploying its patented call-handling system that offers features such as on-demand location services. “Our technology allows us within the first minute to identify the location of a call,” NGA Philippines Country Manager Robert Llaguno explained. “More importantly, we can also identify where responders are, such as nearby fire stations, a hospital, or even a specific mobile patrol unit. And then if I need to, I can send a routing direction to that fire truck or officer.”

Mr. Llaguno added that collected information from the caller, such as identification, medical background, and a brief of the emergency situation are cascaded to the response center. “Now, you remove two steps (location and information) and actually even drive the call directly to the mobile patrol closest to the caller.” Dispatch centers have the capacity to transfer calls, initiate a conference call, and play back a conversation as they perform a triage.

The local command centers are equipped with a dashboard that can identify abandoned calls, including prank calls. The PNP’s E911 National Office utilizes this feature to call back people and resolve pending actions in the dashboard. The government agency began implementing the new emergency system in August last year in response to the directive of then Department of Interior and Local Government secretary Benjamin “Benhur” Abalos, Jr. to LGUs and appropriate national government agencies to establish their 911 centers and adapt the latest technology in the country’s national emergency program.

In a company release, Mr. Llaguno explained that the features of NGA’s technology, including its Internet of Things (IoT) compatibility, international standards, redundancy, and resiliency will future-proof the emergency capabilities of the PNP. “On top of that, NGA technology is able to ingress various types of available systems or applications. We can integrate with local government’s CCTV systems, and provide enhanced location and situational awareness for frontliners and first responders. We can integrate with instant messaging applications and provide an omnichannel queue. Emergency 911 services can now be accessed through SMS or instant messaging apps, targeting the millennial population of our nation. NGA’s technology is also fully redundant and telco-agnostic, providing 99.999% of uninterrupted service and uptime guarantee,” he said.

NGA Philippines is the local affiliate of NGA 911, a California-based company that innovates emergency calling technology based on the industry standards of the National Emergency Number Association (NENA) of the United States and the European Emergency Number Association (EENA) of Europe.

The town of Morong, Rizal was the first to activate the NGA 911’s technology in the Philippines, followed by the city of Alaminos in Pangasinan. The latter reported that most of its emergencies to-date were vehicular accidents. Cebu City activated its refreshed emergency response center last month and Cagayan de Oro is slated to launch its 911 system soon.

Recently, the Philippine National Police, through its Office of Communications and Electronics Service (CES), advised the general public that it could now call 911 (then press 1) for emergencies during the holidays. “The 911 number is now in effect throughout the country and the PNP, bolstered by state-of-the-art emergency response technology provided by NGA 911, can respond to calls within three to five minutes,” a release maintained.

CES Director Police Brigadier General Warren Gaspar Tolito said that the PNP can now better and more quickly respond to emergency calls in Metro Manila and provincial areas because of its enhanced E911 capabilities. “The PNP’s quick-response operations are a direct result of the Department of the Interior and Local Government’s (DILG) Revitalized Emergency 911 initiative, its CORE system powered by NGA 911 LLC, a leading 911 service provider of Next Gen Technology of the United States,” the release quoted the police general as saying.

DigiPlus shares rise after winning license in Brazil

DIGIPLUS.COM.PH

DIGIPLUS Interactive Corp. shares hit an all-time high last week after news that it had obtained a gaming license in Brazil.

The digital gambling company’s stock rose 6.6% or P27.15 week on week to close at P28.95 each. A total of 10.92 million shares worth P309.8 million were traded on Jan. 2 to 3, making it the eighth-most active stock.

Local financial markets were closed from Dec. 30 to Jan. 1 for the Christmas and New Year holidays.

“Investors flocked to DigiPlus following its announcement of securing an online gaming license in Brazil,” said Jemimah Ryla R. Alfonso, equity research analyst at Unicapital Securities, Inc. “With the official authorization from the Brazilian government in hand, DigiPlus is poised to break its own records.”

He said Brazil’s online casino market is projected to reach $1.27 billion this year. A 1% slice translates to an additional $12.7 million (P739 million) in revenue, he pointed out.

Brazil’s online sports betting market is expected to hit $850 million, and capturing just 1% of that market means an extra $8.5 million in revenue for DigiPlus, Ms. Alfonso said.

In a disclosure last week, DigiPlus said unit DigiPlus Brazil Interactive Ltda. had secured a gaming license to run sports betting and online gaming services in Brazil.

DigiPlus passed the qualification stage for the federal license on Nov. 21 after filing the application in August.

The company said it was expanding in Brazil, citing its population of more than 200 million and its potential as one of the fastest-growing gaming markets in Latin America.

The license allows it to operate land-based and online sports betting, electronic games, live game studios and other fixed-odds betting activities in Brazil.

The DigiPlus board also gave an initial P660 million to fund the license fees, minimum capitalization, financial reserves and other operational expenses as part of the Brazilian government’s post-qualification process.

“Investors have cheered this development as this provides DigiPlus a new avenue to further grow its user base, and consequently profitability, considering the growing adoption of online gaming in Brazil,” Rastine Mackie D. Mercado, research director at China Bank Securities Corp., said. “Such expansion strategy will also help DigiPlus weather the tightening competition in the domestic market.”

DigiPlus third-quarter attributable net income more than tripled to P3.52 billion from a year earlier, driven by new game offerings and higher user traffic. Revenue almost tripled to P19 billion, led by growing user traffic in its flagship platforms such as BingoPlus, ArenaPlus, PeryaGame, Tongits+ and GameZone. “We project DigiPlus revenues to reach P71.9 billion for full-year 2024,” Mr. Mercado said. “While we don’t usually provide quarterly estimates, we project sales for full-year 2025 at P88.9 billion.”

The estimates do not yet factor in the Brazil expansion, he added.

Mr. Mercado put the stock’s resistance at P30, while the immediate support is at P25.50. Ms. Alfonso put the support range at P26.50 to P27.40, while resistance is at P29.20 to P30.35 per share. — Lourdes O. Pilar

BSP lifts moratorium on grant of e-money issuer licenses to nonbanks

THE BANGKO SENTRAL ng Pilipinas (BSP) has lifted a three-year moratorium on the grant of new electronic money issuer (EMI) licenses to nonbank financial institutions (NBFI) effective Dec. 16.

“The BSP’s decision to lift the moratorium aims to promote digital payments, enhance financial inclusion, and foster innovation that could serve a wider segment of the market,” the central bank said in a memorandum dated Dec. 15 and signed by BSP Deputy Governor Mamerto E. Tangonan.

The central bank in November 2021 imposed an initial two-year moratorium on the entry of new EMI-NBFIs under its regular license application window  to “ensure that its resources are managed and mobilized judiciously in a manner that promotes financial stability and inclusive growth, and advances the development of innovative e-money solutions that offer strong value propositions.” This was extended by another year in December 2023.

However, exceptions were provided to nonbank EMI applicants with proposals involving new business models, unserved or targeted niches, and/or new technologies. Qualified firms were allowed to operate under the BSP’s “test and learn” or regulatory sandbox framework.

Those seeking new EMI-NBFI licenses should only submit applications that went through “thorough market research and data-driven analysis process, particularly focused on the specific market they intend to serve,” the BSP said.

“The application must present insights on the planned business model and target market, through evidence-based market study to increase its value proposition in the industry.”

Firms must also meet the licensing criteria for EMI-NBFIs, including those on capital adequacy, risk management systems, and qualifications of their senior management and shareholders, among others.

“Only applications that meet the standard licensing criteria, include evidence-based market study, and involve a) new business models; b) unserved market, targeted niches; and c) new technologies, shall be accepted for processing,” the central bank added.

Under the Manual of Regulations for Banks, the BSP classifies e-money issuers under three categories: EMI-Bank for banks with EMI licenses, EMI-NBFI for BSP-supervised non-bank financial firms, and EMI-Others for non-banks registered with the regulator as monetary transfer agents.

As of September 2024, 27 banks have EMI-Bank licenses, while 42 nonbank financial institutions held EMI-NBFI licenses, according to BSP data. — AMCS

World food price index eases in Dec. pushed lower by sugar

FREEPIK

ROME — The United Nations’ (UN) world food price index dipped in December against November levels, led lower by a drop in international sugar quotations, but still showed a robust gain year-on-year, data showed on Friday.

The index, compiled by the UN Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) to track the most globally traded food commodities, fell to 127 points last month from a slightly revised 127.6 in November.

The November figure was previously put at 127.5.

The December value was up 6.7% from 12 months previously, yet remained 20.7% below the all-time high reached in March 2022, FAO said.

For 2024 as a whole, the index averaged 122, 2.1% lower than the 2023 value, offsetting significant decreases in quotations for cereals and sugar with smaller increases in prices for vegetable oils, dairy and meats. — Reuters

France reports new outbreak of bird flu, losing disease-free status

REUTERS

PARIS — France has confirmed bird flu outbreaks on two poultry farms, just days after being officially declared free of the virus, the agriculture ministry said.

Highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI), commonly called bird flu, has spread across Europe in a seasonal wave linked to migrating birds, though the impact has been less severe than in the US, where flock losses have led to record egg prices and the virus has been transmitted to cattle and humans.

French authorities confirmed the new cases on two farms in Normandy on Dec. 27 and Dec. 28, the ministry said in a statement.

“As a direct consequence of these outbreaks, France loses its HPAI-free status that it had just regained on Dec. 15,” it said.

Disease-free status for bird flu means no farm outbreaks have been reported for at least a month. The classification can allow trade restrictions from importing countries to be lifted.

France has credited a vaccination program, launched a year ago, for curbing the spread of bird flu compared with previous seasons. The plan has focused on farmed ducks, notably reared for foie gras pate and seen as particularly vulnerable to bird flu.

The country nonetheless remains on high alert for the virus given continued risks of contamination from migrating birds, the ministry said.

In a separate notification to the World Organisation for Animal Health (WOAH), the French authorities detailed that the outbreaks occurred on farms with 25,000 and 540 poultry birds, respectively, with the entire flocks culled as a safety measure. 

Elsewhere in Europe, Germany detected a new bird flu case on a poultry farm in Bavaria, with the 16,000-strong flock also slaughtered, according to a notification to WOAH. — Reuters

The M to hold Pitoy Moreno retrospective

A RETROSPECTIVE exhibition on the work of couturier Jose “Pitoy” Moreno is set to open on Feb. 27 at the Metropolitan Museum of Manila, just in time for the designer’s birth centennial (the designer was born on Feb. 25, 1925, and passed away on 2018).

The exhibition, entitled Timeless: J. Moreno at the Metropolitan Museum of Manila (The M Museum) in BGC will also be accompanied by a book.

“Pitoy Moreno promoted traditional Philippine textiles such as jusi and piña, bringing them into the global fashion spotlight. He revived interest in the Maria Clara and played a pivotal role in popularizing the Barong Tagalog for both men and women. This revitalization of traditional Filipino garments attracted a distinguished international clientele, including French couturier Pierre Cardin, the Emperor of Japan, and the kings of Morocco and Malaysia,” said a statement from the museum. “His clientele for his exquisite evening dresses, formal gowns, and ternos, was equally star-studded: Philippine first ladies, socialites, movie stars.” These included American actress Rita Moreno, who accepted her Oscar in 1962 for West Side Story wearing a Pitoy Moreno creation. She wore the gown again to attend the 2018 Academy Awards. The late Queen Elizabeth II’s sister, the United Kingdom’s Princess Margaret, had also worn Pitoy Moreno creations.

Timeless: J Moreno is curated by New York-based art historian Florina H. Capistrano-Baker, assisted by co-curator Ditas R. Samson, and Los Angeles-based fashion curator Clarissa M. Esguerra, and The M’s curatorial department, in close collaboration with exhibition and graphic designers Stanley Ruiz, Stephanie Yerba, and Cocoy Lumbao.

The exhibition is made possible by the Jusi at Piña Legacy Foundation. For more information, contact info@metmuseummanila.org

20 Top Grossing Companies in the Philippines

THE TOP 1,000 corporations in the Philippines saw a 7.2% increase in combined revenues to P17.8 trillion in 2023, slowing from the previous year as elevated inflation weighed on economic activity. Read the full story.

20 Top Grossing Companies in the Philippines

Remembering the lessons from the pandemic

BEN GARRATT-UNSPLASH

The World Health Organization (WHO) said that five years ago, its Country Office in China came across a media statement on the Wuhan Municipal Health Commission’s website regarding cases of “viral pneumonia” in Wuhan. Shortly after, COVID-19 would go on to profoundly impact the world with a pandemic that caused lockdowns and the deaths of millions worldwide.

The biopharmaceutical industry has earlier shared valuable insights for future pandemic preparedness, drawing from its successful experience in developing and manufacturing vaccines, treatments, and diagnostics to combat COVID-19. These lessons are essential as COVID-19 continues to evolve, and as new health threats emerge.

In late December, China’s disease control authority announced that it is testing a new monitoring system for pneumonia of unknown origin, anticipating an increase in cases of certain respiratory illnesses throughout the winter.

A report by the International Federation of Pharmaceutical Manufacturers & Associations (IFPMA), titled “Applying Lessons Learned from COVID-19 to Create a Healthier, Safer, More Equitable World,” outlines key actions to better prepare for future pandemics or health emergencies.

At the heart of these lessons are the urgent need for pathogen and surveillance sharing, fostering an innovation-driven ecosystem, regulatory flexibility, partnerships focused on health equity, strengthening health systems, and maintaining vaccine confidence, according to the IFPMA.

One critical lesson emphasizes the importance of pathogen surveillance and sharing. While additional investments are necessary to improve and expand pathogen and disease surveillance, ensuring immediate access to pathogens and their genetic data is equally vital.

The report also highlights the significance of partnerships to accelerate research, development, and manufacturing. Effective global collaborations, including over 330 public-private, private-private, and academic partnerships, played a key role in speeding up R&D and vaccine production. This collaboration led to a remarkable increase in vaccine doses — from zero in 2020 to over 12 billion doses administered by 2022.

Another lesson points to the importance of advance market commitments, which support the scaling up of manufacturing capacity for a global pandemic response. Advance market commitments for COVID-19 vaccines and therapeutics enabled crucial investments in production and technology transfer.

The role of innovation is also underscored. Years of research and development investment, even in the face of failures, laid the foundation for the rapid development of mRNA and viral vector vaccines for COVID-19. For example, the first approved vaccine was developed in just about a year, with early vaccine shipments from research-based pharmaceutical companies arriving by early 2021.

However, the report also notes the challenges posed by delays in the availability of globally sourced components. Shortages of raw materials, compounded by trade restrictions and intense competition for supplies, hindered the efficient manufacturing and distribution of COVID-19 vaccines and treatments.

For low-income countries, the report stresses the need for an organized procurement system. The IFPMA points out that the COVAX facility was not adequately funded or structured in time to secure advance purchase agreements at the same scale as high-income nations.

Regulatory flexibility and convergence were crucial in ensuring the safety and speed of vaccine access. The rapid development of COVID-19 vaccines was made possible by unprecedented collaboration between industry and national/regional regulatory authorities, allowing for a balance of speed, safety, and efficacy.

The report also warns that vaccine nationalism undermines global health security. Policies like export restrictions and vaccine hoarding, driven by national interests, likely extended the duration of the COVID-19 pandemic. Strengthening healthcare delivery infrastructure is another key takeaway. There is a collective responsibility to ensure equitable access to vaccines and treatments while building the necessary infrastructure to support timely delivery in future health crises.

Lastly, maintaining vaccine confidence is critical for future success. Sustained public trust in vaccines and the systems that distribute them is essential to overcoming the pandemic. Building public confidence through concerted, cross-sector efforts is necessary not only during the pandemic but also in preparation for future health emergencies.

The IFPMA’s “lessons learned” serve as a reminder of the importance of building on past successes while addressing the gaps identified in pandemic preparedness. These lessons must guide future efforts so that we don’t lose the progress made in combating current health threats and remain better prepared for emerging illnesses that could be of pandemic proportions.

The lesson remains clear: “No one is safe until everyone is safe.”

 

Teodoro B. Padilla is the executive director of Pharmaceutical and Healthcare Association of the Philippines which represents the biopharmaceutical medicines and vaccines industry in the country. Its members are in the forefront of research and development efforts for COVID-19 and other diseases that affect Filipinos.

When lease is more

Will electrified vehicles call for a reevaluation of the notion of ownership? — PHOTO BY KAP MACEDA AGUILA

Will ‘usership’ rather than ownership eventually become the norm as cars quickly evolve?

THE GROWTH streak of the Philippine automotive market continues. As of November 2024, the Chamber of Automotive Manufacturers of the Philippines, Inc. (CAMPI) reported that its 425,208 unit sales total reflected 8.8% growth versus the same period (January to November) in 2023. Significantly, CAMPI nearly eclipsed its 2023 sales total (429,807) with still a month of selling to go. Note that in 2023, CAMPI member companies’ sales mustered 22% growth.

The country is back on track to motorization. A study by Asian Automotive Analysis reported that in 2022, the number of vehicles per 1,000 people in the Philippines was at 48. This compared with Malaysia at 533, Thailand at 290, Indonesia at 87 and Vietnam at 44. Clearly, we have a long runway ahead of us.

The resurgence of motorization is expected to become even stronger as the Philippines prepares to transition to an upper-middle-income economy. If predictions by local economists hold true, we should breach the US$4,516 gross national income (GNI) per capita threshold of the World Bank by late this year or early 2026. It has been a long while coming but it seems tantalizingly close, according to recent estimates. At the end of 2023, our GNI per capita was reported at US$4,335.

GROWING FINANCED VEHICLE PURCHASES
This rise in middle-income status, a young population (with a median age of 25.7 years), and expanding access to credit is a trifecta that is expected to drive vehicle sales to record levels in the years ahead. The prospects are exciting, indeed.

The increased credit worthiness of Filipino car buyers and the expanded access to consumer credit can be a positively explosive combination. A finance industry executive estimates that the current profile of payments for car purchases in the Philippines would be about 20% cash, 25% company purchase orders and 55% through financing. In Thailand, a study by Deloitte reported that 74% of Thais prefer installment payments while 21% prefer cash purchases. Fitch Ratings, on the other hand, reports that 80% of car sales in Indonesia are financed.

Financed car purchases can grow even more rapidly especially if we consider that the household debt-to-gross domestic product (GDP) ratio of the Philippines stood at only 12.5% in 2023, the lowest among ASEAN markets. In comparison, the Institute of International Finance Global Debt Monitor reported Indonesia at 16.5%, Vietnam at 26.5%, Singapore at 47.3%, Malaysia at 68.9% and Thailand at 91.6%.

LEASING OPTION
Leasing is an emerging alternative to cash or financing when buying a car. In the USA, for example, an updated report by The Zebra in April this year revealed that one in two Americans bought their vehicle through an auto loan; 38% did so by cash and 7% through leasing.

There are two types of leasing: the finance lease and the full-service operating lease (FSOL). The finance lease is a straightforward installment package with three to five years as the commonly preferred tenures. The goal is ownership of the vehicle. The biggest provider of finance leases is Toyota Motor Financial Services Philippines, the captive financing arm of Toyota Motor Philippines. It offers products to individual and corporate buyers. There are a number of other companies that offer finance leases as well, but they deal more commonly with business-to-business transactions, presumably so as not to compete with their parent bank in the field of auto retail financing. Banks are not allowed to offer finance leases.

The difference between a finance lease and financing through a bank loan is that, in the former, the car belongs to the financing institution until it is fully paid for. The registration documents will show the name of the financing institution with a notation that it is “for the account” of the buyer.

FULL SERVICE OPERATING LEASES
The other type of lease is the FSOL. In this case, the car belongs to the lessor and there is no presumption of car purchase at the end of the lease term. There is no notation in the registration documents about who the lessee is. Among the providers are Toyota’s Kinto One Leasing, Orix Rental Corp., BPI Century Tokyo, Security Bank Leasing, BDO Leasing, Diamond, Safari, and Enterprise. In the Philippines, it is emerging as a practical option for those who are more concerned about having a car to use than one to own.

In today’s world, companies are constantly on the lookout for solutions that streamline operations, cut costs, and boost efficiency. Likewise, with the emergence of Mobility as a Service (MaaS) and the sharing economy, some people are shifting their view of mobility from one of “ownership” to one of “usership.” The FSOL provides a convenient solution to those who are less inclined to own their car. This leasing option entails a fixed monthly fee over a fixed period. It bundles vehicle use with registration, insurance, maintenance, and other services — offering car users a highly flexible and cost-effective alternative to traditional vehicle ownership. At the end of the lease term, the lessor can choose to extend the lease or simply return the vehicle, without worrying about its residual value or depreciation.

AN EFFECTIVE BUSINESS SOLUTION
For businesses, cash flow is critical. Vehicle ownership requires a significant upfront capital investment, followed by ongoing costs such as maintenance, insurance, and depreciation. In the case of FSOLs, the fixed monthly lease payments help businesses better manage their budgets as all vehicle-related expenses, including servicing and repairs, are typically included in the lease.

Managing a fleet of vehicles comes with significant administrative responsibilities as well. Scheduling maintenance, managing insurance, keeping track of mileage, and ensuring compliance with regulatory requirements can quickly become overwhelming. FSOLs often include a range of services designed to reduce this administrative load, with some using connected devices that provide the company full access to vehicle information such as location and vehicle condition.

An FSOL offers businesses the opportunity to drive the latest models without the long-term commitment of purchasing them. With rapid changes in automotive technology — evolving to be connected, electrified, and shared — businesses benefit from having access to the latest and the best. Leasing allows businesses to avoid the depreciation risks associated with owning a vehicle, which can lose significant value over time. At the end of the lease term, businesses simply return the vehicle and choose a new model, keeping their fleet fresh and aligned with their operational needs.

Mobility is evolving in line with changes in the way people consume it. Most people still consider cars as an asset — to have and to own, in good shape or bad, until it’s time to hand it down to the next generation. But others look at cars as a utility, a tool that gets them from place to place. They are not intending to keep their car for 10 years or a lifetime but are keen to always have the latest models in their garage. In this case, FSOLs might just be what they’re looking for.

How PSEi member stocks performed — January 3, 2025

Here’s a quick glance at how PSEi stocks fared on Friday, January 3, 2025.


Peso may move sideways vs dollar before US jobs, PHL inflation reports

BW FILE PHOTO

THE PESO may move sideways against the dollar this week following stronger-than-expected US data and as the market awaits the release of key economic reports in the coming days.

The local unit closed the shortened trading week at P58.20 per dollar on Friday, weakening by 29 centavos from its P57.91 finish on Thursday, Bankers Association of the Philippines data showed. Philippine financial markets were closed for holidays on Dec. 30, Dec. 31, and Jan. 1.

Week on week, the peso slumped by 35.5 centavos from its P57.845-a-dollar finish on Dec. 27.

The peso dropped on Friday following strong US initial jobless claims data, a trader said in a phone interview.

The local unit weakened against a broadly stronger dollar on expectations that the US Federal Reserve will stay hawkish, Rizal Commercial Banking Corp. Chief Economist Michael L. Ricafort said in a Viber message.

For this week, the main market drivers will be the latest US nonfarm payrolls data as well as the December and full-year 2024 Philippine inflation report, the trader said.

The trader sees the peso moving between P58 and P58.40 per dollar this week, while Mr. Ricafort expects it to range from P57.90 to P58.40.

The number of Americans filing new applications for unemployment benefits dropped to an eight-month low two weeks ago, pointing to low layoffs at the end of 2024 and consistent with a healthy labor market, Reuters reported.

The report from the Labor department on Thursday added to a recent raft of upbeat economic data, including consumer spending, in reinforcing the Federal Reserve’s projections for fewer interest rate cuts this year. Labor market resilience is keeping the economic expansion on track.

Initial claims for state unemployment benefits dropped 9,000 to a seasonally adjusted 211,000 for the week ended Dec. 28, the lowest level since April. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 222,000 claims for the latest week. — AMCS with Reuters

Stocks may rise further before key economic data

BW FILE PHOTO

PHILIPPINE STOCKS could extend their climb this week as trading volumes normalize and as the market awaits the release of key economic data.

On Friday, the Philippine Stock Exchange index (PSEi) rose by 0.81% or 53.42 points to end at 6,603.81, while the broader all shares index increased by 0.8% or 30.38 points to 3,785.48.

Week on week, the PSEi went up by 1.15% or 75.02 points from its 6,528.79 close on Dec. 27.

“Local gauges were little changed during the two-day trading week, with most participants returning from the extended holiday break,” online brokerage firm 2TradeAsia.com said in a note.

Philippine financial markets were closed for holidays on Dec. 30, Dec. 31, and Jan. 1.

“The local market has been showing positive signs after bouncing from its support at 6,400 last Dec. 20, 2024. The market has been up five out of the last six trading days. It also managed to get past its 10-day exponential moving average, which has been considered as a dynamic resistance. However, as seen in the first trading week of the year, trading is still thin, implying tepid conviction,” Philstocks Financial, Inc. Senior Research Analyst Japhet Louis O. Tantiangco said in a Viber message.

For this week, the market’s movement will depend on key economic reports, he said.

“Eyes are going to be on the Philippines’ December inflation data as this will provide clues on the BSP’ (Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas) policy outlook. An inflation print within the BSP’s 2.3%-3.1% forecast range forecast, especially one biased to the lower end, may give sentiment a boost this week. Investors are also expected to look forward to the country’s November 2024 labor force survey for clues on the strength of the local economy,” Mr. Tantiangco said.

The Philippine Statistics Authority will release December and full-year 2024 inflation data on Jan. 7 (Tuesday) and the November labor force survey results on Jan. 8 (Wednesday).

“Investors may also monitor the performance of the local currency against the US dollar. An appreciation of the peso may help lift the market while a depreciation is expected to lead to the opposite,” he added.

Mr. Tantiangco put the PSEi’s support at 6,400 and resistance at 6,800.

For his part, Rizal Commercial Banking Corp. Chief Economist Michael L. Ricafort placed the market’s support at 6,500 and resistance at 6,635-6,820.

Meanwhile, 2TradeAsia.com pegged the PSEi’s immediate support at 6,400-6,500 and resistance at 6,700.

“‘Cloudy with a chance of rain’ has been thematic of the last few weeks of 2024; markets went into 2025 with umbrellas out and risk aversion at full mast… The plays for 2025 are set against a backdrop of numerous uncertainties in the macroeconomy but with excellent valuations at the corporate level. As such, a lot of the central themes for the year are likely sector-locked and/or story-specific to preserve returns amidst swings in the macroeconomy,” it added. — Revin Mikhael D. Ochave