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Thiem to skip Paris Masters; Halep tests positive for COVID-19

MUMBAI — Austrian Dominic Thiem has joined world number one Novak Djokovic in pulling out of this week’s Paris Masters after struggling with blisters in his foot during the Vienna Open.

US Open champion Thiem complained of the problem after his title defense in Vienna ended in the quarterfinals on Friday.

Thiem would have had little time to recover as the final ATP Masters 1000 event of the year starts on Monday.

He is expected to use the break to get some rest before traveling to London for the season-ending ATP Finals, which takes place from Nov. 15-22.

Defending champion Djokovic opted out of the Paris tournament as he will not lose any ranking points under the ATP Tour’s revised system this year due to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic.

Rafael Nadal will be the top seed at the Paris Masters while Greek Stefanos Tsitsipas will be seeded second with seven of the top 10 men’s player attending the tournament.

Nadal, who won his record-equalling 20th Grand Slam title at Roland Garros in October, will return to Paris seeking to equal Djokovic’s record haul of 36 ATP Masters 1000 titles.

The Spaniard has a first-round bye and will open his Paris campaign against Filip Krajinovic or Feliciano Lopez in the second round.

Russia’s Andrey Rublev and Argentine Diego Schwartzman will also hope to seal the remaining two spots in the ATP Finals, which is played between the top eight men’s single players, with strong results in Paris.

HALEP TESTS POSITIVE FOR COVID-19
Meanwhile, world number two Simona Halep tested positive for the novel coronavirus and is recovering well from her mild symptoms.

“Hi everyone, I wanted to let you know that I tested positive for COVID-19,” the 29-year-old Romanian said on Twitter on Saturday. “I am self-isolating at home and am recovering well from mild symptoms.

“I feel good… we will get through this together.”

The former world number one did not travel to New York for this year’s US Open Grand Slam due to health concerns over the pandemic.

Halep, who won the French Open in 2018 and is the reigning Wimbledon champion, made the trip to Paris for the claycourt Grand Slam but went down to eventual champion Iga Swiatek in the fourth round at Roland Garros last month.

The Women’s WTA Tour has a tournament scheduled in Austria from Nov. 9 but Halep had said her 2020 season was over following her French Open defeat. – Reuters

Redemption

No one involved in the Tigers’ hiring of A.J. Hinch as manager was likely aware of the symbolism, but there it was, anyway. Three days after the end of his unprecedented season-long suspension from any and all activities relating to Major League Baseball, he found himself back in the thick of things. That the highest echelons of the sport couldn’t wait to take him back despite his inability to stop his charges from desecrating its integrity during his time with the Astros speaks volumes of his singular value in game management. After all, he did earn a championship and come to within a game of making it two out of two in the World Series, bowing in the rubber match before being banned.

Whether his leadership has improved during his forced absence from The Show is, of course, another matter altogether. No doubt, he used the punishment as an impetus for introspection. And, no doubt, he knew that as soon as his suspension is lifted, he would generate interest from franchises who believe in his competence as a winner. His monumental misstep notwithstanding, he understood the capacity of sports to provide second chances—and especially to proven producers. History is replete with controversial figures who managed to overcome past trials with present accomplishments.

To be sure, redemption begins with opportunity, and it bears noting that Hinch was willing to be given one by several quarters. It’s why the White Sox, for instance, were caught with a mistake that had them including his signature alongside Tony La Russa’s mug in their announcement of their new manager. They had their eyes on him, but, apparently, the Tigers were faster, calling him a mere half hour after the Dodgers claimed the Commissioner’s Trophy. And he, not surprisingly, pounced on the chance; it’s easy to miss baseball and hard to scratch an itch to return, and he rightly thought he shouldn’t be pushing his luck.

And so Hinch starts trekking his path to redemption with the Tigers. It’ll be fraught with obstacles, on and off the field. The talent he has at his disposal can best be described as filled with potential, and fans wouldn’t be wrong to wonder how much it will be affected by the excess baggage he brings with him. At the same time, this much is true: he’s very good at what he does. It’s what he didn’t do that felled him, and darned if he hasn’t already learned his lesson.

 

Anthony L. Cuaycong has been writing Courtside since BusinessWorld introduced a Sports section in 1994. He is a consultant on strategic planning, operations and Human Resources management, corporate communications, and business development.

England enters second lockdown

LONDON — Prime Minister Boris Johnson ordered England back into a national lockdown after the United Kingdom passed the milestone of one million coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases and a second wave of infections threatened to overwhelm the health service.

The United Kingdom (UK), which has the biggest official death toll in Europe from COVID-19, is grappling with more than 20,000 new coronavirus cases a day and scientists have warned the “worst case” scenario of 80,000 dead could be exceeded.

Mr. Johnson, at a hastily convened news conference in Downing Street after news of a lockdown leaked to local media, said that the one-month lockdown across England would kick in after midnight on Thursday morning and last until Dec. 2.

In some of the most onerous restrictions in Britain’s peacetime history, people will only be allowed to leave home for specific reasons such as education, work, exercise, shopping for essentials and medicines or caring for the vulnerable.

“We must act now,” Mr. Johnson said, flanked by his chief medical officer, Chris Whitty, and his chief scientific adviser, Patrick Vallance. “Unless we act, we could see deaths in this country running at several thousand a day.”

The government will revive its emergency coronavirus wage subsidy scheme to ensure workers who are temporarily laid off during a new England-wide lockdown receive 80% of their pay, he said.

Essential shops, schools, and universities will remain open, Mr. Johnson said, and while elite sports will continue, amateur sports for adults and children will be asked to stop.

Pubs and restaurants will be shut apart from for takeaways, and outbound international travel will be discouraged except for work. All non-essential retail will close.

Places of worship will remain open for private prayer, though funerals will be limited to close family members only.

Mr. Johnson’s imposition of stricter curbs came after scientists warned the outbreak was going in the wrong direction and that action was needed to halt the spread of the virus if families were to have any hope of gathering at Christmas.

EUROPE LOCKED DOWN
The measures bring England into alignment with France and Germany by imposing nationwide restrictions almost as severe as the ones that drove the global economy this year into its deepest recession in generations.

Mr. Johnson was criticized by political opponents for moving too slowly into the first national lockdown, which stretched from March 23 to July 4. He fell ill with COVID in late March and was hospitalized in early April.

A national lockdown represents a dramatic change of policy for the prime minister, who has been saying for months that it will not be necessary.

Two weeks ago he defended his strategy of a patchwork of local restrictions by saying he wanted to avoid the “misery of a national lockdown”. Currently, areas of England are subject to one of three tiers of coronavirus restrictions.

“I am optimistic that this will feel very different and better by the spring,” Mr. Johnson said, adding that there was realistic hope of a vaccine in the first quarter of next year.

Asked by reporters what took him so long to impose a national lockdown, Mr. Johnson said it was a constant struggle to balance the risk to life and the risk to livelihoods.

“We have to mindful the whole time of the scarring and the long-term economic impact of the measures,” Mr. Johnson said. His medical adviser Mr. Whitty said that without the tougher measures then the National Health Service could be overwhelmed.

Keir Starmer, the opposition Labour leader, who called for a lockdown two weeks ago, said the delay introducing the restrictions will come “at an economic cost and a human cost”.

Lawmakers are expected to vote on the proposals on Wednesday.

The new lockdown will heap more pressure on finance minister Rishi Sunak and the Bank of England to increase their already huge support for the UK economy, the world’s sixth-biggest. The economy slumped a record 20% in the spring.

So far, the United Kingdom has reported 46,555 COVID-19 deaths — defined as those dying within 28 days of a positive test. A broader measure of those with COVID-19 on their death certificates puts the toll at 58,925.

The United Kingdom has the world’s fifth largest official death toll, after the United States, Brazil, India and Mexico, according to a Johns Hopkins University tally. — Reuters

US economic inequality widens amid COVID-19

WHEN the temperature dipped near freezing in Columbus, Ohio in mid-October, the children had no heat. The gas had been shut off in their apartment for nonpayment. DaMir Coleman, 8, and his brother, KyMir, 4, warmed themselves in front of the electric oven.

The power, too, was set to be disconnected. Soon there might be no oven, no lights and no internet for online schooling. The boys’ mother, Shanell McGee, already had her cell phone switched off and feared she could soon face eviction from their $840-a-month apartment. The rundown unit consumes nearly half her wages from her job as a medical assistant at a clinic, where she works full-time but gets no health benefits.

Just 14 miles northwest of McGee’s neighborhood, Kiki Kullman is having one of the best years of her life.

The real-estate business she runs with her family just sold the highest-priced house in its history: a 13,000-square-foot estate, listed for $4.5 million, that came with an elevator and a classic-car showroom. And in late October, Ms. Kullman closed on a home of her own — a $645,000 three-story Colonial, painted a stately white with a front door flanked by columns, a pleasant place for her two-year-old twin boys to grow up.

Columbus exemplifies the economic split animating America’s coronavirus crisis.

Professionals like Ms. Kullman are thriving, thanks in part to pandemic-induced policies by the Federal Reserve that have buoyed the stock market and fueled industries such as real estate with record-low interest rates.

For many lower-wage workers, meanwhile, the crisis has delivered a cruel shove, toppling families like the McGees who were already living on the financial edge. Nationwide, millions of people including hotel workers, retail clerks, waiters, bartenders, airline employees and other service workers have lost jobs as coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) fears crushed consumer demand.

Economists call this phenomenon a “K-shaped” recovery, in which those on the top continue to climb upward while those on the bottom see their prospects worsen.

Ned Hill, professor of economic development at Ohio State University, called that downward slope of the K “fat and broad and long and ugly looking.” He said there’s little hope for a return to normal as long as coronavirus continues to spread unabated in the United States. In Ohio, COVID-19 cases are soaring and hit a record of 3,590 new cases on Oct. 29. In Columbus alone, at least 643 people have died.

“People’s jobs and incomes have disappeared, and they aren’t coming back until people’s threat of dying from the virus dissipates,” Mr. Hill said. “That’s it.”

Located in the center of Ohio, about halfway between Pittsburgh and Indianapolis, Columbus is a city of some 900,000 people. Home to Ohio State University and the state’s capital, its employment is rooted in sectors like hospitality, education and health, government, and professional and business services.

That mix has allowed it to fare better during the crisis than some other Rust Belt cities that are more heavily dependent on manufacturing. Columbus’s September unemployment rate of 7.5% was lower than the national average of 7.9%. But like the rest of the United States, its front-line and modestly skilled workers have been slammed the hardest.

The divergence of fortune can be seen in the city’s housing market.

For those with means, like the clients of real estate agent Ms. Kullman, low interest rates have translated into cheaper mortgages, allowing them to afford bigger houses. Columbus is just one of four US cities — along with Cincinnati, Kansas City and Indianapolis — where houses are selling in less than five days on average, according to real estate research firm Zillow.

“It is crazy to see in Columbus the million-plus price point getting multiple offers and all-cash bids,” said Ms. Kullman, 36.

For renters hammered by the downturn, meanwhile, housing is a precarious business.

During the early days of the pandemic as Ohio’s residents sheltered in place, evictions in Columbus fell, thanks to local and federal protections to keep renters in their homes. But since September, 1,774 eviction cases have been filed, far surpassing summer levels, according to Princeton University’s Eviction Lab, which tracks evictions. The Greater Columbus Convention Center now serves as a bustling eviction court.

Those filings came despite a Sept. 4 decree by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) banning all evictions nationwide until Jan. 1 to prevent a surge of newly homeless people from contracting and spreading the coronavirus. Under the moratorium, landlords cannot evict tenants who can no longer pay rent because their earnings have been affected by COVID-19.

But landlords are not required to inform tenants of these protections and are free to file eviction lawsuits. Only renters who know about the CDC ban, qualify for it and take legal action to assert their rights can stop their evictions. Among the 24 cities the Eviction Lab tracks, Columbus is one of the few where evictions did not fall after the ban.

The fallout can be seen across Columbus. The local pot of money from federal relief to help cash-strapped tenants pay rent was tapped out in September. Food banks are running low on staples, and homeless shelters are at capacity, according to community advocates.

Utility shut-offs have surged to the point that lawyers for the Legal Aid Society of Columbus have resorted to filing personal bankruptcy petitions for tenants to keep their heat, lights and water on.

If present conditions persist, and without a new round of federal relief, as many as 40 million people could be at risk of eviction in coming months, according to the Aspen Institute, a think tank. In a typical year, 3.6 million eviction cases are filed.

‘BEING POOR COSTS YOU’
Even before the pandemic, Ms. McGee, 29, was struggling financially. In 2014, she bought a 2008 Chevy Malibu off a corner lot charging 22% interest. She said the junker stopped running long ago, so she stopped paying in 2016. Ms. McGee said she offered to return the vehicle, which has 176,475 miles on it, but the lender wouldn’t take it back.

In March, Ms. McGee’s live-in boyfriend lost his job at a fast-food restaurant as Ohio went on lockdown, cutting their household’s income. In August, he was diagnosed with COVID-19 and the entire family had to quarantine. That same week, Ms. McGee got a call from her employer, telling her that her lender had gotten a court order to garnish 25% of her wages to repay more than $10,000, with penalties and late fees, that she still owed on the car.  

That left her with take-home pay of $728 every two weeks. She couldn’t afford school supplies for her sons and had to borrow gas money from her mom to get to work in her boyfriend’s car.

“It was heartbreaking, it was everything all at once,” said Ms. McGee, who wears rectangular glasses and has a broad, easy smile.

She sought help from Paul Bryson, an attorney with the Legal Aid Society who filed a bankruptcy petition in October to get Ms. McGee’s utilities turned back on and the garnishment frozen. The court approved the petition, but not before Ms. McGee’s lender took $1,023 of her wages.

“Being poor costs you a lot of money,” Bryson said. “Even before the pandemic, somebody’s entire life falls apart when they get a garnishment. And now? If nothing is done, we are just going to have a lot of people on the street.” Ms. McGee’s car lender, Columbus Mortgage, did not respond to requests for comment.

LIVING THE DREAM
For years, Ms. Kullman, the real estate agent, fantasized about living on Bedford Road, a coveted address in the Columbus suburbs.

In the region’s poshest neighborhoods, sumptuous houses that make perfect pandemic compounds, with amenities like his-and-hers home offices and roomy basements for online schooling, can sell in a day, often with multiple offers in all-cash deals well above the asking price. Ms. Kullman said some shoppers are submitting bids without ever touring a house. The most desperate are agreeing to “no-remedy” inspections, meaning they won’t ask for concessions if the inspection turns up a major defect. Others, she said, have authorized “crazy escalation clauses with no cap.” In real estate parlance, that means they will beat any other offer, no matter how high the price.

“You have to sign away your life to get the house you want,” Ms. Kullman said.

In August, Ms. Kullman, who runs the Kullman Group at Street Sotheby’s International with her husband, father and sister, found out that a couple who lived on Bedford Road were about to move. She made a bid before the house hit the market and the owners accepted. The Colonial is right next door to her sister’s home; their kids will share backyards.

Ms. Kullman is aware of her good fortune amidst the pandemic, and the mean hand that coronavirus has dealt to the city’s most vulnerable.

Her husband has been doing business with a landlord who’s selling a portfolio of homes in Columbus’s low-income neighborhood of Linden. Non-paying tenants in those properties have been getting eviction notices.

“It is night and day, what we see here,” Ms. Kullman said. “Which is not what you would expect in COVID. It’s sad but it’s true.” — Reuters

Berlin’s $7-billion airport finally opens during crisis

BERLIN’s new airport finally opened its doors this weekend, welcoming passengers after an eight-year delay just as fallout from the coronavirus hammers travel demand.

Planes from Deutsche Lufthansa AG and Easyjet Plc. landed at Berlin Brandenburg Willy Brandt Airport — known by its airport code BER — shortly after 2 p.m. on Saturday to inaugurate the hub. Regular departures start Sunday with an early flight to London.

But the facility will just be a stunted version of the original plan. A second terminal won’t open for now because it’s not needed in the midst of the crisis.

“No one would build a new airport now,” said Cord Schellenberg, a Hamburg-based aviation analyst. “But maybe that’s the airport’s opportunity — it’s getting somewhat of a soft opening, giving authorities time to ensure all is running smoothly.”

The airport’s history is an embarrassing tale for Germany’s exalted reputation for punctuality and engineering prowess. Construction started in 2006, and the planned launch in June 2012 was scrapped just weeks in advance, with moving trucks ready to roll and tickets issued.

Initially, authorities blamed the postponement on fire-safety issues, and claimed the hiccup would be fixed within a few months. But deeper planning disasters gradually came to light, and the opening was pushed back multiple times in the following years.

Defects included automatic doors that lacked electricity, escalators that were too short, and a smoke-extraction system so complex, yet ineffective, it was dubbed “the Monster.”

The project’s costs have tripled to more than 6 billion euros ($7 billion), and the fiasco contributed to the departure of Klaus Wowereit as mayor of Berlin — the colorful politician who coined the description of the German capital as “poor, but sexy.”

The canceled opening wounded stores, restaurants and hotels nearby, and hit airlines including Lufthansa and Air Berlin, which went bust five years later.

BOOM TO BUST
Aside from forcing Berlin travelers to land at aging Cold War facilities, the long delay created other hassles. To keep air flowing and limit mold growth, empty trains had been running through a deserted station in the basement of the facility’s glass-clad terminal.

Even with the pandemic, Berlin desperately needs a modern airport that reflects the city’s status as a bustling center for technology startups and the capital of Europe’s biggest economy. It also surpassed Rome as Europe’s third-most visited city in 2014, increasing calls for a new facility.

The 1970s-era Tegel airport in the West — loved by many Berliners because of its central location and hectagon-shaped main Terminal, which allowed passengers to arrive straight at their gates — will close. Schoenefeld, the dour former communist facility adjacent to BER, will survive as its makeshift Terminal 5.

Despite being Germany’s largest city, Berlin is a secondary aviation market. Most international flights are routed through facilities in Frankfurt, Munich and other European hubs. That’s unlikely to change, even if authorities updated BER’s plans to accommodate super-jumbo jets including the Airbus A380.

“BER has annoyed, disappointed, moved us — but now we can also be happy that it goes online,” said Germany’s Transport Minister Andreas Scheuer. “We will do everything that it becomes an international hub.”

During the past months, the airport received all relevant approvals and completed a complex evacuation and fire exercise simulating a burning train. About 10,000 people armed with mock-up boarding passes ran tests for several weeks through Oct. 15, preparing personnel for everything from lost luggage to tarmac accidents and terror attacks.

The airport — located about 25 kilometers (15 miles) southeast of Brandenburg Gate — is designed to handle about 40 million passengers a year, which is close to pre-crisis levels. Its airy main hall features 118 check-in counters and dozens of shops and restaurants. The underground train station connects travelers to the city center in less than 30 minutes.

Inside the main terminal on Saturday, masked police mingled with interested locals and several dozen climate activists, who protested the opening dressed up as penguins and holding up signs including one that read “Save People Not Planes.”

Besides the stylish interior and better shopping, there are real benefits from the long-awaited opening. A project is in place to integrate Tegel’s terminal into a technology center and build homes for 10,000 people on its vast air field — easing the housing squeeze that has plagued the city in recent years.

Engelbert Luetke Daldrup, the site’s project manager since 2017, who has worked diligently to rid the airport of defects, said he remains optimistic even in the face of the pandemic.

The facility “has everything a modern and beautiful airport needs,” Luetke Daldrup said after welcoming the CEOs of Lufthansa and Easyjet, Carsten Spohr and Johan Lundgren, who had arrived on the first planes. “We will master this crisis together and ensure BER will become successful.” — Bloomberg

Travelers to New York must quarantine for three days, then get coronavirus test

NEW YORK — Most people arriving in New York state must quarantine for at least three full days before taking a coronavirus test, Governor Andrew Cuomo announced on Saturday as he overhauled one of the strictest quarantine regimes for travelers in the United States. If that test comes back negative, the traveler can leave quarantine.

The requirements, which take effect on Wednesday, will not apply to residents of “contiguous” states, Mr. Cuomo told reporters, and there will be different requirements for New Yorkers who leave the state for less than 24 hours.

He named Connecticut, Pennsylvania, and New Jersey as examples of contiguous states, home to many commuters to New York City. But it was unclear whether neighboring Vermont and Massachusetts would also be exempt from the new regime. His office did not reply to questions seeking clarification on Saturday.

People will also be required to take a test that comes back negative within the three days prior to heading to New York, the governor said.

If the second test taken at least four days after arrival is also negative, “you can go about your business,” Mr. Cuomo said in a telephone conference with reporters. If it is positive, the person must remain in isolation, he said.

Those deemed essential workers by the state, from nurses to grocery store workers, are exempt from the rules.

The US Centers for Disease Control (CDC) says the virus can incubate for up to 14 days before someone becomes symptomatic and so recommends a 14-day quarantine period after a possible exposure.

Under New York’s rule, a traveler could end his or her quarantine just four days after a possible exposure—at the airport, for example, or during a plane flight—despite the CDC’s noting that coronavirus tests can return a false negative result if taken too early in an incubating infection.

Mr. Cuomo’s office did not respond to questions about how the rule squares with CDC guidance.

A New Yorker returning to the state within 24 hours of leaving need not quarantine but must take a test within four days of their return, Mr. Cuomo said, though his office later corrected that to say the test must not be taken sooner than four days after returning. If they are gone longer than 24 hours to non-contiguous states or in a trip abroad, then the general rules apply.

The new rules replace a previous arrangement under which people arriving in New York from a list of states with worsening coronavirus outbreaks had to quarantine in a home or hotel for 14 days, regardless of any test result. That list grew to encompass almost every state in the country.

Earlier this year, New York grappled with one of the world’s deadliest outbreaks of COVID-19, but now has one of the lowest rates of positive tests of any state in the country even as cases surge in other regions. The most recent statewide positive test rate was 1.49%, Mr. Cuomo said on Saturday. — Jonathan Allen/Reuters

Shoe shopping and dog grooming: French town flouts lockdown rules

PARIS — Some small shops and services, including a dog grooming salon, remained open on Saturday in a small town outside Paris with support from their local mayor, amid signs of sporadic pushback against a new coronavirus lockdown in France.

In Paris, mayor Anne Hidalgo also joined a growing wave of support for independent booksellers, saying in an interview published on Sunday that she would bring in local authorizations for them to remain open.

The French government put in place fresh restrictions on Friday to combat a resurgence in COVID-19 infections and hospitalizations, echoing a two-month shutdown earlier this year. This time, schools will remain open but all non-essential stores are supposed to close.

In the small town of Yerres, shops such as shoe-sellers remained open under a local edict.

“I think you’re taking much less risk going to buy your book or your shoes or your clothes in a small shop where there aren’t many people than in a big superstore,” the mayor, Olivier Clodong, told Reuters, adding he found it unfair that hypermarkets, which sell food, could stay open.

Police paid a visit to a grooming parlor in Yerres where a dog was being shampooed, but they did not issue an on the spot fine. Authorities have said they will be tolerant at the start of the lockdown, which began on Friday.

About 20 other mayors brought in similar measures in other parts of France on Saturday, TV network BFM TV said.

The revolt has particularly centered on booksellers.

“Along with other cities, we will take a joint initiative, following the one taken already in Dijon, to allow independent book stores to reopen,” Paris mayor Hidalgo told the Journal du Dimanche (JDD) newspaper.

She also called on the government to allow museums to stay open, with rigorous sanitary protocols and caps on visitors.

A book store in Yerres, as well as many in central Paris, tried to remain open by operating “click and collect” services that allow people to pick up books ordered online or on the phone at the door.

Also in an interview with the JDD, junior economy minister Olivier Dussopt said the government—which is rolling out support for businesses including reduced welfare bills and partial unemployment schemes—would stick to its plan to reassess the situation for retailers in two weeks’ time.

“The edicts brought in by the mayors are illegal and they know it,” Mr. Dussopt said. — Reuters

China local authority warns of coronavirus on packaging of imported Brazilian pork

BEIJING — Packaging on a batch of frozen pork imported from Brazil which had entered a district in Eastern China’s Shandong province has tested positive for the coronavirus, the local government said.

Residents of the Wendeng district in Weihai city who may have come into contact with the pork should report to authorities, the local government said in a notice.

It did not say which Brazilian company the frozen meat came from. — Reuters

Super typhoon Goni slams into Philippines, makes two landfalls

A super typhoon barrelled into the southern part of the Philippines’ main island of Luzon on Sunday, bringing “catastrophic” violent winds and intense rains with two landfalls so far, the weather bureau said. 

Typhoon Goni is the world’s strongest storm so far this year, gaining further strength with 225 kph (140 miles per hour) sustained winds and gusts of up to 310 kph (190 mph).

Philippine authorities evacuated nearly a million people to safer ground before Goni approached the eastern provinces and made landfall in Catanduanes and Albay in the Bicol region.

The weather bureau said “catastrophic violent winds and intense to torrential rainfall” were expected to prevail over Bicol provinces as well as portions of Quezon, Laguna and Batangas, south of the capital Manila.

“This a particularly dangerous situation for these areas,” it said in a bulletin at 0000 GMT.

The capital Manila was also in the projected path of Goni, the 18th tropical storm in the country.

A third landfall was expected to hit Quezon province later in the day, weather forecaster Lorie dela Cruz told a radio station.

Between 19 million and 31 million people could be affected, including those in danger zones, the disaster management agency said.

Storm surge alerts have been issued, while officials have also reminded those in evacuation centers to observe social distancing as the coronavirus spread is also a concern.

Dozens of international and domestic flights have been canceled as the civil aviation authority ordered a one-day closure of Manila’s main gateway, the Ninoy Aquino International Airport.

Goni is among the strongest typhoons to hit the Philippines since Haiyan, which killed more than 6,300 people in 2013.

It follows Typhoon Molave, which hit the Philippines last month killing 22 people, mostly through drowning in provinces south of Manila. — Reuters

October inflation likely at 2.3% — central bank

The rise in consumer prices is expected to fall within 1.9% to 2.7% this month as lower fuel prices and water rates temper rising electricity costs, according to the Philippine central bank.

Inflation would probably settle at 2.3%, the same rate as in September, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) Governor Benjamin E. Diokno told reporters in a Viber group message on Friday.

Inflation eased for the second straight month in September due to a slower increase in food prices. This brought the nine-month average to 2.5%, which was within the central bank’s 2-4% target for the year.

“Higher electricity rates in Meralco-serviced areas, increases in LPG and kerosene prices and the impact of weather disturbances on selected food items contributed to upward price pressures for the month,” Mr. Diokno said.

These could be partly offset by lower prices of gasoline, diesel and rice, as well as lower water rates for customers of Manila Water Co. and Maynilad Water Services, Inc., he added.

“Looking ahead, the BSP will remain watchful of economic and financial developments to ensure that its primary mandate of price stability conducive to balanced and sustainable economic growth is achieved,” Mr. Dikno said.

The Philippine Statistics Authority will announce October inflation figures on Nov. 5.

Manila Electric Co. (Meralco) earlier said the power rate in Metro Manila rose by P0.1212 a kilowatt-hour (kWh) to P8.55 a kWh in October from the previous months. This was still lower by P0.5362 per kWh than year-ago rates, it added.

Diesel and kerosene prices fell on Oct. 27, while gasoline prices were unchanged, according to the Energy department. This brought year-to-date adjustments to a net decrease of P4.67 a liter for gasoline, P10.26 a liter for diesel and P13.59 a liter for kerosene.

Water rates are expected to decline this quarter after the regulator in September approved the foreign currency differential adjustment for the two water concessionaires.

East Zone water provider Manila Water will cut rates by 1.17% or P0.33 a cubic meter (cu.m.) of its average basic charge of P28.52/cu.m, while Maynilad will cut its rate by 0.26% or P0.09/cu.m. of its average basic charge of P36.24/cu.m.

Meanwhile, the palay farmgate price fell by 4.1% to P15.79 a kilo in the first week of October from weeks before, according to the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA). Year on year, the rate inched up by 0.2%.

Monthly inflation could fall below 2% for the rest of the year and in early 2021 mainly due to base effects, central bank Deputy Governor Francisco G. Dakila, Jr. said on Thursday. This won’t be a factor in setting monetary policy, he added.

The central bank has cut benchmark interest rates by 175 basis points this year, taking overnight reverse repurchase, lending, and deposit rates to record lows of 2.25%, 2.75% and 1.75%, respectively. — Beatrice M. Laforga

Filipinos to spend more in 2021

Filipinos are expected to spend more next year especially on recreation amid government stimulus measures for sectors badly hit by the coronavirus pandemic, and as more people return to work, according to Fitch Ratings.

Household spending will probably grow by 5.7% in 2021 after shrinking by 8% by year-end, the global research firm said in a report on Friday.

Household spending on recreation and culture is expected to grow by 15.3% next year — the fastest among all sectors — after shrinking by 17.8% this year, Fitch analysts said.

Filipino spending on furniture and homes is also expected to increase by 13.7% after contracting by 15.2% this year, while spending on hotels and restaurants will probably grow by 10.5% after shrinking by 16.8% this year, Fitch said.

Spending on alcoholic drinks and tobacco is expected to rise by 10.4% from a contraction of 16.7% by year-end.

Spending on clothing and footwear would probably grow by 8.9% next year after shrinking by 15.6% this year, while food and nonalcoholic drink expenditures could rise by 5.3% next year after growth of 9.3% this year, according to the report.

“Food and nonalcoholic drink spending was prioritized in household budgets in 2020, and so growth in spending on these items, while remaining positive, will be slightly lower in 2021,” Fitch said.

The research firm traced the household spending growth next year to half-a-trillion worth of government fiscal stimulus equivalent to 3.1% of Philippine economic output, including cash aid, tax cuts and wage subsidies to sectors affected by the coronavirus.

The jobless rate could fall to 9% next year from a 16% estimate this year as the economy grows by 6.2% after shrinking by 9.1% this year, Fitch said.

“This is still double the 4.5% unemployment rate we estimate for the pre-COVID-19 environment in 2019, suggesting that household spending will still face elevated pressure from higher than normal rates of unemployment,” it added.

Fitch cited the risk of increased underemployment, with more people returning to work but working fewer hours than before the health crisis, or taking lower-paying jobs that could cut disposable incomes.

“With the recovery forecast for 2021, demand-side pressure will push up prices over 2021 to an average of 3% over the year,” it added.

Household spending growth can be kept as long as the government can curb the spread of the coronavirus and allow greater mobility under relaxed quarantine measures, Fitch said.

Further progress on the development of vaccines that health experts predict to be distributed in the first half of 2021 will fast-track household spending among Filipinos, it added. — Kathryn Kristina T. Jose

BSP raises P70B in 28-day bills

By Beatrice M. Laforga, Reporter

The Philippine central bank raised P70 billion in short-term securities on Friday due to strong liquidity.

The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) fully awarded the 28-day bills it had auctioned off out of P120.55 billion worth of total bids, making the offer nearly twice oversubscribed.

This was the seventh straight week the central bank had fully awarded the bills since it started selling its own securities on Sept. 18.

Yields sought ranged from 1.99% to 2.075%, narrower than 1.9-2.125% in the previous auction. The debt paper fetched an average rate of 2.0367%, up by 0.94 basis point from a week earlier.

“The auction results for the 28-day bill show that liquidity in the financial system remains ample,” BSP Deputy Governor Francisco Dakila, Jr. said in a statement. “The BSP monetary operations will remain guided by its assessment of market developments and liquidity conditions.”

The recent uptick in US bond yields might have pushed up local rates, Michael L. Ricafort, chief economist at Rizal Commercial Banking Corp., said in a mobile phone message.

The benchmark rate of 10-year US Treasury bonds inched up to 0.82% on Friday, according to Bloomberg data.

Mr. Ricafort said the increase was driven by market expectations ahead of the US presidential election on Nov. 3.
He said rates of BSP’s securities have been rising in the past few weeks after its lending cap to the National Government was raised to P850 billion.

This increased the central bank’s lending to the National Government and increased the weekly mopping up operations of excess liquidity from the financial system, he added.

The Monetary Board approved earlier this month a new tranche of provisional advance to the government worth P540 billion, after the latter repaid P300 billion in maturing debt.

Yields on the central bank’s term deposit facility offered this week also increased before US elections.