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How the QAnon conspiracy seduces normal people

QANON is such a weird theory that it’s tempting to think humanity is getting dumber. But it’s better seen as a highly sophisticated way of manipulating people. QAnon may one day be considered a masterpiece of propaganda.

This cult-like belief revolves around a conspiracy theory in which prominent Democrats and Hollywood celebrities are systematically victimizing children in order to extract something called adrenochrome from their blood. They consume this substance, so the story goes, as both a youth elixir and a recreational drug.

People may believe the theory, or parts of it, are true, even if they don’t know that it’s called QAnon. In a December 2020 NPR/Ipsos poll, 17% of Americans said that they thought it was true that “a group of Satan-worshipping elites who run a child sex ring are trying to control our politics and media,” and another 37% said they weren’t sure.

Why would anyone believe this, let alone so many people?

One reason is that believers discover the details of this conspiracy theory for themselves by solving puzzles and finding clues called “drops.” Game designer Reed Berkowitz says he quickly recognized QAnon as a kind of a game known as an alternate reality game. These are fictional stories that send people out into the real world to gather clues. On the way, players encounter others who are engaged in the same hunt.

Berkowitz doesn’t just think QAnon is like a game — he thinks it is a game, though he says it was intended to fool people into thinking it’s real. When people find drops, they are meant to look like valuable, high-level leaks.

The drops are designed to make people feel a sense of discovery, something believers find highly rewarding. In a piece he wrote for Medium, Berkowitz argues that when people think they’ve found an idea themselves, they become attached to it. And they get pleasure from it.

When I talked to him by phone, he said alternate reality games use something called rabbit holes to send people in search of clues. The games can lead to phone calls and real meetings between players. Reality and fantasy blend, but the players recognize they are taking part in a game.

QAnon, he says, looks like something created with a purpose in mind. “I absolutely think that somebody is designing it and promoting it,” he says. The purpose is propaganda. The game leads people to distrust mainstream media, politicians, and medicine, including COVID-19 vaccination campaigns. It also leads them to antisemitic and racist beliefs. Players may or may not believe the literal truth of the blood-draining story, but they tend to be bonded by ideology and feelings of distrust.

The community reinforces those ties, says Berkowitz. “If you’re suddenly involved in this community of people who supports you and believes that you’re valuable… this keeps you coming back.” The game is designed to reward people with social credit when they figure out the “correct” answer, which is the answer the QAnon designer or designers had planned all along.

And of course, we’re more isolated than we’ve been in recent history — missing the diversity of social interactions that in normal life keeps us from falling into ideological rabbit holes.

Simon DeDeo, a social scientist at Carnegie Mellon University, says people too easily dismiss believers in conspiracy theories as stupid. And that makes it hard to understand why these explanations draw people in.

In a paper published in Trends in Cognitive Science, he and a colleague explore the different factors that make explanations valuable. One that applies particularly well to conspiracy theories such as QAnon is called co-explanation, an ability to link seemingly disparate phenomena with a single explanation. The world’s great scientific theories do it, too — from Darwin’s evolution to the theory of electromagnetism to quantum mechanics tying together matter and light.

Conspiracy theories also tie up lots of little loose threads this way, just like a satisfying whodunit. “What something like QAnon does is hijack that source of joy we get from solving a murder mystery,” DeDeo says. But conspiracy believers tend to put too much weight on co-explanation. “Fundamentally, they have the right values… These values are virtues mostly, except when the value is overemphasized,” he says.

Facebook, Reddit, YouTube, and Twitter are the perfect soil for this sort of thing to bloom, bringing together users seduced by the lure of discovery. If people are engaged in QAnon, social media gives them more, until people are storming the US Capitol.

Now that social media is becoming many people’s only social outlet, we can expect more conspiracy theories to spread.

There is no new normal without real-world social interactions. There’s only a new abnormal.

Listen to Faye Flam’s interviews with Berkowitz and DeDeo on her podcast, Follow the Science, available on Spotify, iTunes, or wherever you get your podcasts.

BLOOMBERG OPINION

Australia reopens NZ ‘travel bubble’

SYDNEY —  Australia reopened its “travel bubble” with New Zealand (NZ) on Sunday after the neighboring country reported no new locally acquired COVID-19 cases, but added new screening measures as it marked its longest infection-free run since the outbreak began.

The decision marks the resumption of the only international arrivals into Australia who do not require 14 days in hotel quarantine.

Australia had paused quarantine exemptions for trans-Tasman arrivals six days earlier after New Zealand reported its first new case in months.

Arrivals from New Zealand “are now judged to be sufficiently low risk, given New Zealand’s strong public health response to COVID-19,” acting Australian Chief Medical Officer Michael Kidd told reporters.

However, Australia would require screening of travelers from New Zealand before and after flights for the next 10 days, Mr. Kidd added, “given there is still a small risk of further associated cases being detected and with an abundance of caution.”

The resumption came as Australia marked two weeks without a locally acquired case of the virus, which has infected 29,000 in the country and killed 909.

Australia, which has closed its borders to all countries but New Zealand since March 2020, is now planning a vaccination program starting late February.

On Sunday, Health Minister Greg Hunt said the government would invite the country’s roughly 5,800 community pharmacies this week to apply for a federally-funded program to pay them to administer inoculations, along with doctors and hospital health workers.

“That means more points of presence for Australians in terms of where they can receive their COVID-19 vaccine,” Mr. Hunt said.

“This is potentially life-saving medication. The medicines can work with differing degrees of effectiveness, but all up, this can improve lives, extend lives, or save lives.”

The government plans to start vaccinating priority groups like older and indigenous Australians with a shot developed by Pfizer, Inc. and BioNTech SE from late February.

The plan also involves a vaccine developed by AstraZeneca Plc, although that product has not yet been approved by Australia’s Therapeutic Goods Administration. Pharmacists involved in the program would receive training to administer the AstraZeneca vaccine, with first shots planned in May, Mr. Hunt said.  Reuters

UK offers Hong Kong residents route to citizenship

HONG KONG — Hong Kong residents can apply from Sunday for a new visa offering them an opportunity to become British citizens after Beijing’s imposition of a national security law in the Asian financial hub last year.

The move comes as China and Hong Kong have said they will no longer recognize the British National Overseas (BNO) passport as a valid travel document from Sunday, Jan. 31.

Britain and China have been arguing for months about what London and Washington say is an attempt to silence dissent in Hong Kong after pro-democracy protests in 2019 and 2020.

Britain says it is fulfilling a historic and moral commitment to Hong Kong people after Beijing imposed the security law on the semi-autonomous city that Britain says breaches the terms of agreements under which the colony was handed back to China in 1997. The UK government forecasts the new visa could attract more than 300,000 people and their dependents to Britain. Beijing said it would make them second-class citizens.

The scheme, which was first announced last year, allows those with BNO status to live, study and work in Britain for five years and eventually apply for citizenship.

BNO is a special status created under British law in 1987 that specifically relates to Hong Kong.

China says the West’s views on its actions over Hong Kong are clouded by misinformation and an imperial handover. — Reuters

Germany now ordering vaccines for 2022

BERLIN — Germany is ordering vaccines for 2022 in case regular or booster doses are needed to keep the population immune against variants of COVID-19, Health Minister Jens Spahn said on Saturday, amid growing frustration in Europe at the slow pace of vaccination.

Speaking at an online town hall of healthcare workers, Mr. Spahn defended the progress made on procuring and administering vaccines, saying 2.3 million of Germany’s 83 million people had already received a dose.

European governments have faced criticism over supply and production bottlenecks as vaccine makers AstraZeneca, Pfizer and Moderna have all announced cuts to delivery volumes just as they were expected to ramp up production.

Germany — Europe’s largest economy — has been crippled by a second lockdown introduced in November, and many in the general public are looking enviously at the faster pace of vaccination in Britain, Israel and the United States.

“We are now actually ordering further vaccines for 2022, to have at least some on hand,” Mr. Spahn said. “Nobody knows if we’ll need a booster… With production capacities now being extended, we’ll order vaccines as a precaution. If we don’t need them, good, but if we do then they’ll be available.” 

Some of Germany’s powerful regional premiers joined the chorus of criticism of the federal government on Saturday, ahead of Monday’s meeting of a new vaccination task force that will bring national and regional players around the same table with pharma companies and European Union (EU) representatives.

Bavarian premier Markus Soeder proposed new rules allowing the state to have more say in directing vaccine supplies to those who need them most.

“We need an emergency vaccine economy in which the state sets clear rules,” he told Die Welt newspaper, calling for authorities to consider authorizing Chinese and Russian vaccines for use in Europe.

Authorities reported 13,321 new infections in Germany on Saturday and 794 deaths, though the number of cases per 100,000 people over seven days fell by three to 91. The government says the number must be below 50 to prevent hospitals from being overwhelmed. — Reuters

Terrafirma says it is trading star player to be more competitive

By Michael Angelo S. Murillo, Senior Reporter

ADDITION by subtraction.

That seems to be the reason behind the decision of Terrafirma Dyip in trying to send star player CJ Perez to another Philippine Basketball Association (PBA) team; a move that is currently the center of much talk in the league.

On Friday, the Dyip rocked the PBA with its decision to send top player and league scoring leader Perez to San Miguel for three role players and the Beermen’s first-round pick in this year’s rookie draft set for March 14.

It was a decision that brought out mixed reactions, particularly from the fans, with some expressing their disagreement to the deal, viewing it as “one-sided” that needed to be revised if not disallowed altogether.

The deal that will send Mr. Perez to San Miguel for role players Matt Ganuelas-Rosser, Russel Escoto, Gelo Alolino and the Beermen’s rookie pick (no. 8) in this year’s draft was already sent to the PBA office and is in the process of being evaluated by the league’s trade committee.

Speaking on The Chasedown program on Cignal TV on Saturday, Terrafirma governor Bobby Rosales moved to explain their decision to trade Mr. Perez, saying it is a not popular move but something needed to be done from their end.

The PBA vice-chairman said Terrafirma is looking to find the needed pieces to be “complete” and competitive, and after reviewing their program, they came to a conclusion to make the tough decision to trade away their best player to see their recalibration through.

“The decision [to trade CJ] started after the bubble conference. We can say it was a disappointing showing for us. We were expecting good things as management thought we had the materials to at least be competitive. But it did not happen,” said Mr. Rosales, whose club finished last anew with a 1-10 record in the lone PBA tournament last year.

“So after the conference, the management was disappointed. So we reviewed our program. It was a long process for the management and the coaches. So we came to a conclusion that we still have missing pieces and we needed certain players,” he added.

Mr. Rosales admitted that getting players they need would not be easy and that they had to come up with a strategy that would give them more options.

“Without question, CJ Perez is a good player and it would be hard to compare him to other players. But the strategy was to complete the team. And to get something of value, you have to give away something of value,” he said.

The Terrafirma team official said they are high on the eighth pick they will be getting from San Miguel, in addition to the top overall pick they hold, considering how talent-rich this year’s rookie draft pool is.

“We have a lot of positions to fill and we have to look for ways to go about it and one of which is the rookie draft. Unfortunately, we have only one pick in the first round then we next pick in the third round. There are so many talents in the pool in this year’s draft and we don’t want to miss out on that,” Mr. Rosales said.

“We have a list of players we are looking at. But we know we are weak in the center position. And we need height and firepower.”

Terrafirma received trade feelers from other teams as well, Mr. Rosales said without elaborating, but nothing concrete came out of them.

Given the flak they have been getting from fans for their decision, Mr. Rosales said they believe it is a fair trade and they hope it works for them.

“Many will not agree with it and we respect their opinion, but it’s a legitimate trade that will go through the process.”

Los Angeles Lakers fend off late Boston Celtics’ flurry, 96-95

LA LAKERS’ ANTHONY DAVIS (3)

ANTHONY Davis had 27 points and 14 rebounds in his return from a quad injury, LeBron James scored 21 and the Los Angeles Lakers survived a late rally by the host Boston Celtics to win 96-95 Saturday night.

Kemba Walker missed what would have been a game-winning shot for the Celtics with 2.7 seconds left, and Daniel Theis whiffed on the follow up as the Lakers avoided blowing a seven-point lead with 1:40 remaining.

Montrezl Harrell added 16 points for Los Angeles, which snapped a two-game losing streak. Davis had missed the team’s matchup in Detroit two nights prior.

Jayson Tatum had 30 points and Jaylen Brown scored 28 for Boston, which lost for the fifth time in its last seven games.

A Dennis Schröder three-point play put the Lakers ahead 96-89, but two Walker free throws and back-to-back buckets from Tatum got the Celtics within one with 32.8 seconds to go.

Walker blocked a shot by Davis with 10.8 seconds remaining, but couldn’t convert on the other end to seal the result.

The Lakers scored eight unanswered to begin the fourth quarter, surging ahead 79-78. During the run, Celtics guard Marcus Smart strained his left calf while defending Harrell underneath the rim. Smart received assistance in heading to the locker room and did not return. He reportedly will have an MRI on Sunday.

Minutes later, on a Brown layup to put Boston ahead 83-81, Davis took an elbow to the groin and hit the court. The big man stayed in the contest after a timeout, his jumper with 6:12 to go tying the game at 85.

Neither team led by more than three in the third until Boston ended the period with an 8-1 stretch, entering the fourth up 78-71.

The first half was tight to start until the Lakers used a 9-1 run in the second for the game’s first double-digit lead at 41-31. The Celtics battled back, knotting the score at 47 on a 3-pointer by Brown with 1:47 left. James completed a three-point play with 7.1 ticks remaining for a 52-49 Los Angeles lead at the break.

The Lakers led 28-24 after one. — Reuters

SBP working on Gilas Pilipinas requirements for Doha window of the Asia Cup Qualifiers

FROM busy preparing as host of the third window of the FIBA Asia Cup Qualifiers (ACQ) here, the Samahang Basketbol ng Pilipinas (SBP) is now turning its attention to working on the requirements of the Philippine national men’s basketball team for the now-relocated event in Qatar.

Originally set to take place at Clark City in Angeles City, Pampanga, next month, the FIBA ACQ window is now to be played in Doha after the SBP made the tough decision to pull the plug on the country’s hosting in consideration of the prevailing conditions with the coronavirus pandemic.

The SBP, in consultation with the Inter-Agency Task Force for the Management of Emerging Infectious Diseases (IATF-EID), said the hosting was rendered impossible with the current health and safety protocols in place.

In particular, the ongoing travel ban on incoming foreigners from countries with known cases of the new variants of the coronavirus.  

The Clark window was set to host teams from Group A, which has Korea, Indonesia, and Thailand, along with the Philippines, and Group C, which has New Zealand, Australia, Guam, and Hong Kong.

The competition was to be done under a “bubble” setup from Feb. 18 to 22, similar to that staged by the Philippine Basketball Association (PBA) last year.

No longer hosting, the local federation, through special assistant to the SBP president Ryan Gregorio, said focus is now on having the requirements of Gilas Pilipinas ready in time for the Doha competition.

“Logistically, it’s a challenge since now we have to get the passports of those who will be joining and getting the other requirements of Doha for the window. I understand only 25 people are allowed for every delegation and we have to be there days prior to the competition to observe health and safety protocols. Hopefully, we can address all them,” said Mr. Gregorio on The Chasedown program on Cignal TV on Saturday.

Doha will also be the venue for matches in Group B and Group E.

Gilas Pilipinas is currently at the INSPIRE Sports Academy in Calamba, Laguna, for its training bubble in preparation for the third window where it is angling to improve on its 3-0 record and formalize its entry in the Asia Cup with at least one victory.

It is set to play three matches in Doha, two against Korea (2-0) and one versus Indonesia (1-2). Thailand (0-4) remains winless in the grouping.

Mr. Gregorio shared that there was disappointment initially among the players in the bubble after hearing of the cancellation of the Clark bubble, but that they are moving on and determined to make things happen in the third window.

“There was disappointment, of course. But the players are wired that they are representing the country and that they have to be ready, regardless where it will be. They know it’s for the country and we’re happy how they are responding,” he said.

SBP is also working on having National Basketball Association G League player Kai Sotto in the country at the soonest possible time, Mr. Gregorio said, so he can join the pool in training.

“We’re working to bring Kai Sotto as soon as possible for the window. There are a lot of moving parts and it is taking longer than expected because of the pandemic. But hopefully, by next week, he’ll be here.”

In Gilas training, waiting for 18-year-old Sotto are a pool of players composed of PBA and cadet members. — Michael Angelo S. Murillo

Aussie Open to be allowed 30,000 fans

SYDNEY — The Australian Open will be allowed to admit up to 30,000 fans a day, around 50% of the usual attendance, when the Grand Slam gets underway on Feb. 8, Victoria state sports minister Martin Pakula said on Saturday.

The limit will be reduced to 25,000 over the last five days of the tournament when there are fewer matches, but Mr. Pakula said the announcement would ensure some of the biggest crowds for a sporting event since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic.

“It’ll mean that over the 14 days, we will have up to 390,000 people here at Melbourne Park and that’s about 50% of the average over the last three years,” he told reporters at the venue for the tournament.

“It will not be the same as the last few years, but it will be the most significant international event with crowds that the world has seen in many, many months.”

Mr. Pakula said the decision was a testament to the job the people of Victoria had done in containing the new coronavirus after enduring one of the longest and strictest lockdowns in the world.

It has been 24 days since Victoria reported a locally acquired COVID-19 infection, while Australia as a whole posted a 13th straight day without a community case on Saturday. The Australian government said the country remained on track to start its vaccine rollout from late February despite reports of supply problems in Europe.

More than 1,000 people, players and their entourages, were obliged to undergo 14 days of quarantine on their arrival in Australia ahead of the year’s first Grand Slam. — Reuters

Bettor places $2.3-M wager on Bucs to cover in SB LV

ONE bettor apparently is taking Bruce Arians’ “No risk it, no biscuit” mantra to heart.

A Nevada bettor placed a $2.3-million wager on Arians’ underdog Tampa Bay Buccaneers to cover the 3.5-point spread against the reigning champion Kansas City Chiefs in Super Bowl (SB) LV on Feb. 7.

Darren Rovell of the Action Network reported that the wager was placed on the BetMGM mobile app. The unnamed bettor will pocket a $2-million profit should the Buccaneers cover in their “home” game against the Chiefs.

That sum of money eclipses the largest reported wager on last year’s Super Bowl, a $750,000 bet on the Chiefs.

“This was a bet we were very happy to receive,” Jason Scott, vice-president of trading for BetMGM, told ESPN. “We had previously written several other six-figure bets, all on Kansas City, and the public is certainly behind Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes.” — Reuters

Luck out

The Lakers headed into their set-to yesterday bent on snapping out of their first losing run of the 2020-21 season of the National Basketball Association. The fact that they managed to go through a full fourth of their campaign to defend their title before suffering from consecutive setbacks may well be deemed an achievement by some quarters, but not by them. For all the handicaps that came with the shortest turnaround in league history, they understood both the privilege and the burden of the embarrassment of riches their roster provides. And so their objective yesterday was clear; they had to win, period.

As things turned out, the Lakers needed strong defense in the payoff period to eke out the victory they sought. They didn’t play particulate well, and, were in fact, fresh off an atrocious third quarter in which they scored 10 less points with a disjointed offense. Still, they managed to buckle down to work and put the clamps on the Celtics until a favorable outcome appeared to be in sight with a minute and a half left in the match. Then, for some reason, they sputtered and very nearly snatched defeat from the throes of triumph. Only sheer luck prevented them from absorbing yet another loss; guard Kemba Walker, still without legs on monitored minutes, muffed a trademark fadeaway in the left pocket, while center Daniel Theis failed to can the followup shot at the buzzer.

Clearly, the Lakers have hit a rough patch. They remained confident in the post-mortem, but they know they dodged a bullet. They didn’t need to exert a lot of effort digging out of a deep hole against the Sixers. They should have won handily against the otherwise-overmatched Pistons, the absence of All-Star Anthony Davis notwithstanding. And they couldn’t find any semblance of consistency in both ends of the floor yesterday. Granted, they’re taking the long view. And, granted, they’re bound to get better given the talent at their disposal. That said, good habits need time to develop — and time is a luxury these days, especially in the face of a pandemic.

Were the playoffs to start today, the Lakers would be the third seed. Not bad, but nowhere near good enough vis-a-vis the strength of the competition. Their missteps, however few, have already brought them down notches in the standings; imagine if they continue their roller-coaster ride. True, they deserve the benefit of the doubt as defending champions. And, true, they have the ultimate trump card in LeBron James. Then again, they’re nothing if not vulnerable now, and the sooner they get their acts together, the better their path back to the top will be.

 

Anthony L. Cuaycong has been writing Courtside since BusinessWorld introduced a Sports section in 1994. He is a consultant on strategic planning, operations and Human Resources management, corporate communications, and business development.

Philippines cheers bishops’ offer to help allay COVID-19 vaccine fears

MANILA – The Philippines’ health ministry on Sunday welcomed the offer of the country’s group of Catholic bishops to help in the coronavirus vaccination drive of the government, which is struggling to persuade many Filipinos to get the shots.

The Catholic Bishops’ Conference of the Philippines (CBCP) has offered to transform church facilities in the country into COVID-19 vaccination sites, and said its members were also willing to get vaccinated in public to help build confidence in the campaign.

“We are happy with the CBCP’s offer,” Health Secretary Francisco Duque said in a statement. “Churches really can be alternative sites to areas that lack facility, especially those in hard-to-reach municipalities.”

The health ministry has acknowledged they face an uphill struggle to persuade many people to take the vaccine shots, on top of the logistical difficulties in reaching 2,000 inhabited islands with precarious health systems.

“We can offer our church facilities to help in this massive and complicated and very challenging programme of vaccination,” Archbishop Romulo Valles, CBCP president, was quoted as saying on Thursday by the official news service of the CBCP Media Office.

The Southeast Asian country, among the world’s laggards in its vaccination rollout, aims to start immunisations next month. It has the second-worst coronavirus outbreak in the region with more than half a million infections and over 10,000 deaths.

The church remains influential in the Catholic-majority country, although its relationship with the current administration has not been as cordial as with previous leaderships.

President Rodrigo Duterte has repeatedly lambasted the church, which had criticised him over his bloody war on drugs. – Reuters

Duterte signs law strengthening anti-money laundering regulations

President Rodrigo R. Duterte on Friday night signed a law giving authorities more power to go after suspected cases of money laundering, a move that would allow the Philippines avoid being gray-listed by the Financial Action Task Force (FATF).

Republic Act (RA) No. 11521 further strengthens the Anti-Money Laundering Act (AMLA) of 2001, including giving additional powers to the Anti Money Laundering Council (AMLC) and expanding the list of covered persons.

Once published, the law will take effect immediately to allow the Philippines to meet the Feb. 1 deadline set by the FATF to implement tougher action against “dirty money.”

Congress on Jan. 20 ratified the Bicameral Conference Committee report that reconciled House Bill No. 7904 and Senate Bill No. 1945.

Under RA 11521, tax crime involving an excess of P25 million was included in the list of predicate crimes.

The AMLC will be given additional but limited investigative powers, such as the power to apply before a competent court for a search and seizure warrant, and a subpoena.

It also gives AMLC the authority to preserve, manage or dispose of assets pursuant to a freeze order, preservation order or judgment of forfeiture. The AMLC may also implement targeted financial sanctions against the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction and its financing.

Real estate developers and brokers, as well as Philippine offshore gaming operators (POGOs) and their service providers were also included as covered persons under AMLA.

The law also raised the amount for covered transactions to a a single cash transaction involving an excess of P7.5 million or its equivalent in other currencies.

The FATF, a global dirty money watchdog, gave the Philippine government until Feb. 1 this year to enact and implement the changes to the AMLA in order to address gaps in countering money laundering and terrorist financing. The initial deadline was originally set in October 2020, but was extended due to the coronavirus pandemic.

Quirino Rep. Junie E. Cua, who heads the House committee on banks and financial intermediaries, said the law would help the Philippines avoid being included in the gray list of the FATF.

“I am elated that the law has finally been signed. We are now safe from being included in the gray list of FATF,” he told BusinessWorld on Friday night.

The AMLA was first passed in September 2001 and was amended in 2003 to address concerns over the high threshold level for covered transactions, the coverage of institutions and bank secrecy.

Lawmakers then lowered the threshold for covered transactions to P500,000 from P4 million, empowered the central bank to examine deposits or investments with any banking institutions without a court order during a periodic or special examination, and allowed the law to be applied retroactively.

Congress again amended the law in 2012 by allowing the issuance of a freeze order and empowered the AMLC to conduct a bank inquiry within 24 hours after filing a court action. – Kyle Aristophere T. Atienza