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Jaywalking shouldn’t be a crime, and now it isn’t — in California

THE “Freedom to Walk Act” adopted this month by California warms my libertarian heart. Contrary to some reports, the state hasn’t legalized jaywalking. But by protecting the rights of pedestrians who cross the street illegally but safely, the legislation challenges a century of thinking about roads.

It’s about time.

The idea that jaywalking is bad is the result of decades of indoctrination by the victors in a century-long struggle over control of the street. As the journalist Tom Vanderbilt puts it, “the word jaywalking is often used as a sort of blanket justification for the dominating presence of cars on city streets” and “reflects a social bias against those people not in cars.”

It’s a bias with a history; and a history that involves bias.

Nowadays, we tend to take it for granted that pedestrians should be kept out of traffic, but matters were not always thus. In 1915, the New York Times editorialized that requiring that walkers cross only at corners would be “silly and intolerable” and inappropriate for “this complicated town.”

It was hardly an extreme view. At the time, streets were still contested territory. Most urbanites considered them public spaces, where anyone should be free to stroll. Ranged against this notion stood a coalition of interest groups — car dealers and auto clubs, among others — who insisted that safety required that pedestrians stay off the roads. In his excellent book on the battle, the historian Peter D. Norton summarizes the campaign this way: “motordom defended motorists as a persecuted minority suffering under a majority tyranny.”

These pro-regulation forces were determined to change public opinion. “Because jaywalker bore the right connotation of rural backwardness, it was just the tool for the reeducation effort,” Norton notes. But the main argument involved public safety. If drivers were maiming and killing pedestrians, the fault obviously lay with the victims.

The elites were soon on board. Civil engineers began designing streets with automobile traffic in mind. Governments in turn adopted new safety rules. By the late 1920s, jaywalking had been outlawed across the country. But the laws were rarely enforced.

After World War II, the popularity of the automobile — and the rise in traffic fatalities — led cities across the country to either adopt new regulations or revive the ones they had. When New York City’s ban took effect in August 1958, the Times reported with evident glee that city police issued 479 summonses on the first day.

In the end, the streets-are-for-cars forces prevailed. But, as so often, the nation took the benefits for granted without considering the costs. Now we know a lot more.

We know, for example, that although laws against jaywalking are generally defended on safety grounds, the data are more complex than we tend to think. (That’s a fascinating topic, but one for another day.) We also know that the sparkling new jaywalking laws often provided the legal excuse for arresting peaceful civil-rights demonstrators; and for exercising ordinary racial prejudice.

In 1962, a Black student at Ohio State University was locked up for jaywalking while two White friends who crossed the street alongside her were unaccosted. In a similar vein, a 1957 letter to an Indianapolis newspaper complained about the enforcement of jaywalking laws by police officers watching Black pedestrians “from the shadows.”

The problem hasn’t gone away. Many cash-strapped municipalities have used jaywalking laws to raise revenue, a practice that tends disproportionately to burden the marginalized.

Finally, let’s not forget a fundamental libertarian caution: Every law, no matter how innocuous, carries the potential for violent enforcement, because enforcement entails an interaction between the citizen and the armed representative of state authority. In fact, in 1966, the Boston Globe reported that one George H. Calustian, the first person arrested under the city’s new jaywalking law, had been fined $20 for jaywalking … and $100 for assaulting a police officer.

It’s fantasy to imagine that we can perfect these interactions so that they never turn sour.

That’s why, on the first day of law school, I always warn my students to support only laws for which they are, in principle, willing to kill. This isn’t an argument that we shouldn’t have laws; it’s an argument that we should be realistic in our expectations.

If that sounds extreme, consider: The softening of California’s law was sparked in large part by a 2020 incident where police in San Clemente shot and killed a Black homeless man who’d been stopped for jaywalking. The episode was hardly unique. In 2018, Sacramento agreed to pay $550,000 to settle a claim that one of its officers savagely beat a Black suspect who’d been arrested for the same offense. Atlanta faces a lawsuit by a Black man who was tasered during a jaywalking stop. During a 2014 anti-jaywalking campaign on Manhattan’s Upper West Side, an 84-year-old Asian-American restaurateur was knocked unconscious by police and woke up handcuffed to a hospital bed.

Anecdotes aren’t the same as data, but one needn’t be anti-police — I’m certainly not — to recognize that the fewer laws we have, the less chance for an interaction between police and public that could end in tragedy.

California’s reform of its jaywalking laws to favor walkers is … well … a step in the right direction.

BLOOMBERG OPINION

Filipinas head to South America, Europe as part of World Cup preps

FILIPINAS (a.k.a Malditas) — PFF

PHILIPPINE Football Federation (PFF) officials reiterated the goal in the 2023 FIFA Women’s World Cup is to “play to win” and vowed to get the Filipinas battle-ready for the global showpiece.

In this regard, an intensive buildup highlighted by friendlies against elite opposition from South America and even Europe is being lined up over the next eight months leading to the July 20 to Aug. 20 extravaganza.

The 53rd-ranked Filipinas are up against No. 12 Norway, No. 21 Switzerland and No. 22 co-host New Zealand in the Group A preliminaries to be held in the cities of Dunedin, Wellington and Auckland.

“We’re the lowest-ranked team but I think we have a fighting chance, based on the results of our friendlies so far,” PFF President Nonong Araneta said during yesterday’s PSA Forum.

The Filipinas faced New Zealand last month in a friendly in California where they took a one-goal advantage before conceding, 2-1. Prior to this, they narrowly lost to No. 27 Ireland, 1-0, beat Bosnia and Herzegovina twice (3-0 and 2-1) and posted a draw (1-1) and a loss (2-1) to No. 37 Costa Rica.

“We’re happy with the draw. We’ll just move on from here and we might have to play more with some European teams to adapt to the European style. We have to play European teams on the level of Switzerland and Norway,” said Mr. Araneta.

The PFF is making the most of the FIFA international days to get the Pinay booters in action.

Next month, PFF General Secretary Edwin Gastanes said the Filipinas will head to South America for a camp and two matches against a side that has competed in the World Cup and the Tokyo Olympics. Aside from friendlies, Alen Stajcic’s charges are also set to shoot for a breakthrough gold in the Southeast Asian Games in Cambodia in May and possibly a pocket tournament against Euro sides in Manila in June as part of their World Cup buildup.

“The motto of all football teams is play to win and our team will play to win in the World Cup,” said Mr. Gastanes. “I’ve seen the development of the team. This is different from the January 2022 team because they’ve been training regularly and their fitness level is going up.”

Mr. Gastanes also revealed that FIFA has selected the Philippines as one of the stops of the FWWC Trophy Tour — the first time the country is getting such honors. — Olmin Leyba

Second round of UAAP elimination resumes on Saturday

WITH UP rising as the only team to create a separation from the pack, the second round is expected to feature a royal rumble en route to the Final Four. — PHILIPPINE STAR/ RUSSELL PALMA

AFTER an unpredictable first round, teams get a much-needed calm before the storm as the UAAP Season 85 will not resume to action until this weekend for the crucial second phase of the elimination round.

Originally slated to play during Wednesdays, the UAAP is taking an off for now to give squads ample time to recharge and prepare for the resumption on Saturday featuring La Salle (3-4) against Santo Tomas (1-6) and Ateneo (5-2) versus at Adamson (3-4).

Reigning champion and pacesetting University of the Philippines (6-1) then follows suit on Sunday against National U (5-2) in a revenge bid while University of the East (3-4) clashes against Far Eastern U (2-5).

With UP rising as the only team to create a separation from the pack, the second round is expected to feature a royal rumble en route to the Final Four as perennial contenders stumbled while new forces sprung surprises and rose to the ladder.

One of them was La Salle, which after ruling the PBA D-League Aspirants’ Cup got off to a shaky start only at 3-4 card for a share of fourth to sixth spot with Adamson and this season’s revelation UE.

FEU, owner of the longest active Final Four streak (8 seasons in a row), also tripped to 0-5 salvo before stringing two straight wins to stay alive while NU and UE made heads turn with an impressive first-round play.

NU, then the hottest squad with four straight wins, could have actually snatched the No. 1 spot from UP if not for a 47-44 loss against FEU entering the second round.

Coach Goldwin Monteverde said the unpredictable first-round result was what he expected as early as the preseason, thus bracing his wards for an even all-out war as teams gun for each other’s heads in playoff positioning.

Other notable schedules in the second round feature the iconic Ateneo-La Salle rivalry match on Nov. 5 as well as the Battle of Katipunan II between Season 84 finalists Ateneo and UP on Nov. 26 to end the eliminations.

The UAAP, which is tipped to lend Carl Tamayo, Kevin Quiambao and Ange Kouame, will take a break from Nov. 6 to 16 to give way for the campaign of Gilas Pilipinas in the fifth window of the 2023 FIBA World Cup Asian Qualifiers slated Nov. 10-13 in the Middle East. — John Bryan Ulanday

Carlos Yulo ready for gymnastics world championship in Liverpool

CARLOS EDRIEL YULO — GYMNASTICS ASSOCIATION OF THE PHILIPPINES

FILIPINO pocket-sized wonder Carlos Edriel Yulo has set himself lofty goals as he braces for the 41st FIG Artistic Gymnastics World Championships slated Oct. 29 to Nov. 6 in Liverpool, England.

“My goal is to finish in the top six in the individual all-around and hopefully three gold medals in the events I won in the World Championships,” said Mr. Yulo, who left his training camp in Paris, France and flew to Liverpool yesterday, during Monday night’s online presser set up by the Gymnastics Association of the Philippines.

The apparatuses Mr. Yulo was referring to were floor exercise and vault where he struck gold in Stuttgart, Germany three years ago and vault in Kitakyushu, Japan last year and parallel bars where swooped down on a silver also in Kitakyushu.

Mr. Yulo vowed to especially focus in redeeming himself from his forgettable fifth-place performance in his pet floor exercise in Kitakyushu where he made one glaring mistake after he fell and stumbled out of the mat that cost him a medal.

“We made upgrades in floor and vault and we will try new elements,” said the quintuple Southeast Asian Games gold winner.

Mr. Yulo said he is already fully healed after injuring two fingers in his right hand two months ago and will come into full strength in the Liverpool tilt where he is expected to face world and Olympic champions including world individual all-around titlist Zhang Boheng of China.

“I don’t fear it (re-injuring his fingers). But it will be decided in how well I fare during practices,” he said.

Mr. Yulo’s coach, Japanese Munehiro Kugimiya agrees.

“He’s very good now and he has no more problems with his fingers,” said Mr. Kugimiya of Mr. Yulo. “In Liverpool, he will try the highest element in vault and will target 85 points in all-around.

“If he can do that, he can get in the top six or eight in the all-around,” he added. — Joey Villar

Filipino athlete skips his way to second jump-rope record

RYAN ALONZO — PHILSTAR FILE PHOTO

FILIPINO athlete Ryan Alonzo has set a second Guinness World Record in the high-intensity activity of jump rope, the organization said in October.

Nicknamed “Skipman”, the 35-year old completed 3,731 consecutive crossovers, which are done by crossing the arms in and out while skipping over the rope as it goes around the body. The previous record was 2,405 consecutive crossovers.

Alonzo’s earlier record was set in 2021, when he performed 40,980 double-under skips in 12 hours. That involves the rope passing around the body twice in a single jump.

Endurance was a common factor in setting the two records, he said, crediting previous marathon training with helping him prepare both physically and mentally.

Jump rope, or skipping, is usually used as a warm-up for other sports but some athletes around the world engage in the activity competitively. — Reuters

‘I am not retired,’ Serena says

SERENA WILLIAMS — REUTERS

SERENA Williams on Monday said she has not retired from tennis and that the chances of her returning are “very high” after she previously indicated that she would step away from the sport after last month’s US Open.

“I am not retired,” Ms. Williams said at a conference in San Francisco while promoting her investment company, Serena Ventures. “The chances (of a return) are very high. You can come to my house, I have a court.”

Ms. Williams, 41, said she was “evolving away from tennis” in an essay in August and, while she did not confirm the US Open as her farewell event, she was given lavish tributes before each match in New York and waved an emotional goodbye after losing in the third round.

The 23-time Grand Slam champion, who took the tennis world by storm as a teenager and is considered by many the greatest of all time, said not preparing for a tournament after the US Open did not feel natural to her.

“I still haven’t really thought about (retirement),” Ms. Williams said.

“But I did wake up the other day and go on the court and (considered) for the first time in my life that I’m not playing for a competition, and it felt really weird”. — Reuters

Padao-Gilbuena tandem moves to last-16 in men’s double

YOUTHFUL sensation Jude Michael Padao continued to make heads turn as he teamed up with Harvey Gilbuena as they bested Jackey Mirabueno and Vince Serino, 6-2, 6-4, yesterday to advance to the round-of-16 in the men’s doubles of the PCA Open Tennis Championships in Plaza Dilao, Paco.

Mr. Padao, a 16-year-old gem of a find from Digos, Davao del Sur, and Mr. Gilbuena, however, may run into a collision course with the top-ranked Johnny Arcilla and Ronard Joven, who were battling Jules and Alex Lazaro at press time.

The honor student at Corjeso College, who made it to the main draw as a qualifier, has been making a noise in the men’s singles after he eked out a giant-sized 6-2, 2-6, 6-3 win over 11th seed Alberto Villamor the day before to join the big boys in the next round.

It was a win that came a couple of days after Mr. Padao slew Rodolfo Barquin, a two-time UAAP champion when he was still with University of the East, in another three-setter, 6-4, 3-6, 6-3, in the opener last Saturday.

And Mr. Padao isn’t about to slow down. “I will keep going for a win,” said Mr. Padao in this meet bankrolled by Smart/PLDT, official ball Dunlop, Manila councilor Jong Isip, San Jose Salt, W. L. Food Products, Palawan Pawnshop and Pagcor.

Interestlingly, Mr. Padao was the last of the qualifiers and joined an elite group in the next phase headed by former champions Mr. Arcilla, who won nine times here, Jeson Patrombon (2018) and Joseph Victorino (2002).

In men’s doubles, second seed Leander Lazaro and Fritz Verdad dumped Jose Bernardo and Mateo Rivas, 6-2, 6-0, to surge through the round-of-16 in this tilt backed by GAC Motors, GIMACA Convenience Store and Development Corp., Ourzen Chicken, HEAD, Ms. Rina Caniza, Mr. Benito Tan, Primo Dept Fuel Station, Kaizan Steel Trading, Cazneau, Inc. and Knaut Art Glass.

Also making the cut were Kristian Tesorio and Rafael Liangco, who edged John Altiche and John Jeric Accion, 6-4, 5-7, 10-5; Alberto Villamor and Rash Manatad, who downed Andrei Cagamat and Elvin Geluz, 6-4, 6-0; John Tomacruz and Franklin Encarnacion, who waylaid Mathew Crisosto and Maraphael Teng, 6-0, 6-4; Alexis Acabao and Erik Tangub, who ousted Gab Bandoquillo and Feb Deja, 6-3, 7-5; and Jose Antonio Tria and Bryan Saarenas, who slammed Abdulqouhar Allian and Argil Lance Canizares, 6-3, 6-2. — Joey Villar

Olympic qualified athletes will train a full month in France before the Games

FILIPINO athletes who will make the 2024 Paris Olympics cut will earn the privilege of training a full month before the quadrennial games in the French capital.

“The goal is to have our qualified athletes to be in Paris at least one month before the Olympics,” said Philippine Olympic Committee president Abraham Tolentino, who in Paris to make an early reservation.

“It’s not only us [Philippines] who’s making a reservation for a training facility, but several other countries as well. It’s first come, first served so we’re making sure we get the best one for our athletes,” he added.

The mayor from Tagaytay was impressed with the state-of-the-art facilities in Paris.

“I personally inspected the venues to make sure they’re fitted to the needs of our athletes,” said the PhilCycling chief. “We wanted a 3-in-1 facility, which should be at least 10 minutes to and from the athletes accommodation or should also be equipped with a kitchen.”

Mr. Tolentino said they would ask the Philippine Sports Commission chared by Noli Wala to shoulder the one-month pre-Olympics training camp aside from actual participation.

“We will ask the PSC to cover the expenses as part of the Olympic journey,” he said.

The country is optimistic it could eclipse, if not match, its historic performance in the 2021 Tokyo Games—a breakthrough gold by lifter Hidilyn Diaz-Naranjo and two silvers and a bronze by boxers Nesthy Petecio, Carlo Paalam and Eumir Marcial respectively. — Joey Villar

Losing scoring title to LeBron will be a ‘bitter pill’ for Kareem, says Magic

LOS ANGELES — Lakers’ forward LeBron James is on track to surpass Kareem Abdul-Jabbar as the NBA’s all-time leading scorer this season and when he does it is unlikely to sit well with the Hall of Fame center, Magic Johnson said.

James needs 1,244 points to eclipse Abdul-Jabbar, who has held the record since April 1984.

“I don’t think well,” Johnson said when asked in a podcast how he thinks Abdul-Jabbar will handle losing the title he has held for nearly four decades.

“Let’s be honest. And the fact that it’s a dude playing for the Lakers too. It’s a dude playing in LA. I think it will be a hard pill to swallow.”

Abdul-Jabbar, a six-time champion and six-time MVP whose signature “skyhook” shot was nearly unstoppable, is sometimes unfairly overlooked in conversations over the greatest ever to play the game but his advocates have always been able to point to the scoring title.

Johnson said Abdul-Jabbar probably never believed anyone would surpass his total of 38,387 regular season points.

“I think he thought he was going to have it forever,” Johnson said.

James raised eyebrows earlier this month when he was asked about his thoughts on potentially passing Abdul-Jabbar and his relationship with him and offered a short and frosty reply.

“No thoughts and no relationship,” James said.

Abdul-Jabbar, who like James is a vocal advocate for social justice causes, criticized James when he said that getting the COVID-19 vaccine was a personal choice. He has also called some of James’ on-court celebrations “stupid and childish.”

Johnson said he wishes the pair had a better relationship and believes they will come together down the road.

“I think that one day that’s going to happen, and if I can play a part in that, I would love to,” Johnson said.

“But let him pass him first. Let that soak in for a minute, and then put the two men together because they are going to find out they are similar.” — Reuters

Aaron Judge at crux of Yankees’ offseason of uncertainty

ABRUPTLY swept out of the MLB playoffs by the Houston Astros, an offseason of uncertainty is underway for the New York Yankees.

At the top of the list of questions for team president Brian Cashman: Will Aaron Judge be back?

Projections for Judge’s free-agent contract awaiting are in the $350 million — or higher — range, and the Yankees opted not to meet the slugger’s asking price in the offseason. Judge turned down a deal worth a total of $213 million before spring training.

Judge led baseball in home runs by 16, setting the American League record with 62 homers.

“Incredible. Just an incredible season and someone that I’ve grown close with and just admire and respect and hopefully we’ll see him in pinstripes for a long time,” Yankees manager Aaron Boone said. “I don’t even want to think about the alternative right now.”

Judge, 30, will have alternatives with the New York Mets, San Francisco Giants and Chicago Cubs reportedly on the list of expected bidders.

Ace right-hander Gerrit Cole knows what it feels like to be in Judge’s position. He left the Houston Astros to join the Yankees on a landmark $324 million deal with the Yankees.

Cole said he’s had several conversations with Judge about what to expect and reflections of how to handle the immense gravity of the situation. He said it comes down to patience.

“Take your time,” Cole said of what he told Judge about the weeks ahead.

After Judge went 1-for-16 in the postseason series with Houston, he heard boos at Yankee Stadium. But first baseman Anthony Rizzo, who re-signed with the Yankees in free agency last winter, said Judge earned every penny with the numbers he put up during the 162-game regular season. Judge posted an OPS of 1.111 and drove in 131 runs.

“The money he’s brought to this organization, this franchise, to the game of baseball — I’m sure just the money alone in September and him chasing 62 was enough to easily pay him,’’ Rizzo said.

At the moment, Judge said he wasn’t in position to look forward. He was too busy kicking himself Sunday night.

“For not bringing home that championship,” he said.

Judge, closer Aroldis Chapman, Rizzo and starter Luis Severino are among the players who can reach free agency next month. Outfielder Andrew Benintendi and starter Jameson Taillon can also hit the open market, as can reliever Zack Britton. — Reuters

New York Yankees

The Yankees didn’t even have one last, great dramatic moment to turn to in the end. With two outs in the bottom of the ninth inning, presumptive American League Most Valuable Player awardee Aaron Judge had a chance to extend the Championship Series with a home run blast akin to his whopping 62 in the regular season. If nothing else, his spectacular run in a contract year showed that he was built for dramatic moments such as that which faced him. And so he calmly stood against noted Astros closer Ryan Pressly. Last June, he got the better of the right-handed pitcher by driving the go-ahead winner via a walk-off single. This time around, his best option was to go yard.

As things turned out, Judge — and, by extension, the Yankees — didn’t have one more superb shot in him. Four pitches later, he was gone; the groundout that sent them all packing for yet another early exit, by their perennially lofty standards, proved more telling than any of his hits that came before it. Once again, they were upended by their hated rivals. And once again, they wound up being irrelevant. Their savior cooled down considerably in the postseason, and it was an arguably predictable offshoot of his night-in, night-out stints under the klieg lights.

To be sure, fans will, no doubt, consider the Yankees’ 2022 campaign for what it was — an avenue for Judge’s brush with immortality. Even as titles are admittedly significant, they take a back seat to individual accomplishments that stand the test of time. That said, the Bombers cannot but be disappointed with the outcome. Never mind that their difficulties in the Division Series against the lowly Guardians telegraphed their plight. And forget that their litany of excuses includes those deemed reasonable even by their most vociferous critics.

The Yankees should have an interesting offseason, and not simply because they’re, well, the Yankees. Needless to say, their first order of the day is to sign Judge to a new contract, preferably for the long term. So what if he’s 30? If there’s anything the year they had showed, it’s that he moves the needle for them — for better or worse. He may have had a forgettable playoff stint, but he underscored his professionalism and work ethic from Day One. They would do well to ensure that he stays in pinstripes. Else, they risk being mired in mediocrity, blinded by the birds in the bush to see with clarity the one in the hand.

 

Anthony L. Cuaycong has been writing Courtside since BusinessWorld introduced a Sports section in 1994. He is a consultant on strategic planning, operations and Human Resources management, corporate communications, and business development.

From a failing UK economy to party rifts: Sunak’s uphill battle

British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak — REUTERS

RISHI SUNAK became the UK’s third Conservative prime minister (PM)within just four months, and the role is increasingly looking like a poisoned chalice.

His victory on Monday puts him in charge of an unenviable cocktail of problems including a struggling economy, a long-running energy squeeze and a divided party that’s slumped in the polls.

Gilts rallied on Monday on the news, pushing the 10-year yield to the lowest in almost three weeks, a sign that market confidence could be rebuilt under Mr. Sunak’s premiership. But any policy action will be closely watched by a market that has lost faith in the government and is highly sensitive to fiscal change.

In his first public comments as leader, Mr. Sunak called on his party to unite to deal with a “profound economic challenge.” Here’s a list of the many tests that face the newest occupier of No. 10 Downing Street:

ECONOMY
Mr. Sunak takes the reins against a recessionary backdrop and inflation running at a double-digit pace. Surveys on Monday showed private-sector activity shrank in October, another round of bad numbers after weak retail sales last week.

Meanwhile, households are struggling amid a worsening cost-of-living crisis. As prices for goods and services surge more quickly than wages, workers and families are left with less money to spend. Real earnings are down almost 3% in the past year.

Mr. Sunak also needs to tread carefully with fiscal measures to avoid detonating another dramatic reaction in the gilt market. The recent market turmoil in the wake of his predecessor’s tax giveaway sent bond yields jumping, with implications for borrowing costs not just for the government, but households and businesses too.

ENERGY CRISIS
Persistently high energy prices spurred by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine will present a problem to both businesses and households when government support runs out in April 2023.

If prices don’t decline by then, or an alternative energy support package is not put in place, inflation could reach 15% or higher, according to some forecasts. Household energy bills could increase twofold, putting further pressure on incomes at a time the economy is stuck in a recession.

HOUSING MARKET
The relentless rise in mortgage costs is one of the headaches that Mr. Sunak will inherit upon taking office. It’s already having an effect on the property market, where demand is slowing sharply and price growth has cooled, particularly in London.

Higher mortgage rates will also squeeze those looking to refinance in the coming year, and Mr. Sunak will be under pressure to ease the burden given many households are already under strain from rising energy costs and soaring inflation.

PUBLIC SERVICES
Chronic underfunding and a growing malaise among civil servants and public-sector workers make spending cuts controversial, limiting Mr. Sunak’s political headroom.

The UK already saw a wave of strikes throughout the summer — adding to a picture of “broken Britain” — as workers pushed back against below-inflation wage rises.

Recent signals the government will have to push through an austerity program and cut spending has already led to calls from trade unions to protest against any such measures. Mr. Sunak will need to balance the need for budget cuts against the risk of sparking more industrial action over the winter, as well as giving the opposition Labor Party another stick to use against the government.

HEALTHCARE
Overflowing hospitals and long ambulance waits have become the norm in the UK, and the expected winter surge in hospital admissions threatens to overwhelm health services already stricken with underfunding and staff shortages.

The removal of the Health and Social Care levy cuts £13 billion of additional funding for the National Health Service (NHS) that might have gone toward improving social care to free up hospital beds. That’s money, or savings, that will have to be found elsewhere in the budget.

On top of all that, NHS staff are seeing their wages eroded by rising inflation, and are threatening strike action over pay.

PENSIONS AND BENEFITS
With inflation above 10% and still yet to peak, the government is under pressure to raise benefit payments in line with inflation and uphold the so-called triple lock formula on pensions. It dictates that payments rise in line with inflation, earnings growth, or 2.5%, whichever is the highest.

If uprated in line with inflation, welfare spending could reach £277 billion, around half of which being pensions, hitting the budget hard at a time when fiscal headroom is already scarce.

BREXIT
Brexit remains a thorn in the side of the Conservative Party, with the new premier under pressure to deliver on new trade deals and growth.

The Northern Ireland protocol — which removes the need for a hard border with the Republic of Ireland by keeping the region in the European single market for goods — is a particular sticking point, with businesses pushing back against the increased red tape and costs associated with the new arrangement.

BANKING TAX
Uncertainty rankles banks around whether a planned cut in the banking surcharge from 8% to 3% will still take place under Mr. Sunak’s leadership. Amid a squeeze on spending, the government can little afford to lose more income to the Treasury coffers.

Banks claim the cut is needed to keep London competitive against other financial centers, with analysis from PwC stating that alongside corporation and other employment taxes, UK banks may pay a higher rate than any financial center that competes with London. Chancellor Jeremy Hunt, who is likely to keep his position, hasn’t quelled speculation about the tax, saying he’ll wait to address the issue during his fiscal statement on Oct. 31.

PARTY DIVISIONS
And finally, though importantly, Mr. Sunak will be tasked with uniting a Conservative Party that is now bitterly divided by infighting, failed leaderships and deep ideological differences. Any hope of competing against Labour at the next general election in 2024 will depend on rebuilding bridges within the party.

He also risks political impotency if he doesn’t succeed in uniting the Tories behind his political agenda. The specter of former Prime Minister Boris Johnson still lingers on, with some Johnson loyalists still blaming Mr. Sunak for his downfall. Mr. Sunak said Monday in his short address that “stability and unity” were needed to get through the current difficulties. — Bloomberg