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PHL, Hong Kong central banks to boost cooperation

Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas main office in Manila. — BW FILE PHOTO

THE BANGKO SENTRAL ng Pilipinas (BSP) and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) are looking to strengthen their cooperation on various areas of central banking.

BSP Governor Eli M. Remolona, Jr. and HKMA Chief Executive Eddie Yue on March 28 led a high-level bilateral meeting to exchange views, the Philippine central bank said in a statement late on Monday.

“The BSP and HKMA also explored potential collaborative activities moving forward, to further broaden and enhance their longstanding cooperation and bilateral ties,” it said.

The bilateral meeting was hosted by the BSP.

“Officials from the two institutions discussed and shared insights on capital market development, digital payments and connectivity, digital banking, and sustainable finance,” the BSP said.

“In particular, the meeting covered issues such as bond market and ecosystem; multilateral digital payment projects; cybersecurity risk management and consumer protection; digital financial literacy; climate risk stress testing and other green finance initiatives,” it added. — A.M.C. Sy

AyalaLand Logistics Holdings Corp. to hold 2025 Annual Stockholders’ Meeting virtually on April 24

 


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AREIT, Inc. to conduct 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders virtually on April 24

 


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PNB to hold 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on April 29 through remote communication

 


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PSEi may drop as US rolls out reciprocal tariffs

BW FILE PHOTO

PHILIPPINE SHARES could drop when trading resumes on Wednesday as global markets brace for the unveiling of the Trump administration’s planned reciprocal tariffs.

On Monday, the benchmark Philippine Stock Exchange index (PSEi) rose by 0.54% or 33.28 points to 6,180.72, while the broader all shares index increased by 0.29% or 10.93 points to 3,677.88.

Philippine financial markets were closed on Tuesday in observance of Eid’l Fitr.

“We expect the broader market to trade cautiously with a downward bias, as several key economic and market-moving events unfold. Notably, ‘Liberation Day’ on April 2, when US President Donald J. Trump is set to announce reciprocal tariffs, could introduce additional volatility,” DragonFi Securities, Inc. Equity Research Analyst Jarrod Leighton M. Tin said in a Viber message.

“For ‘Liberation Day,’ investors are hopeful that Trump’s reciprocal tariffs will be moderate, as harsher measures could heighten concerns about US stagflation.”

Asian equities rose on Tuesday following Wall Street’s overnight gains as markets awaited details of Mr. Trump’s reciprocal tariffs, Reuters reported.

Regional stocks found some respite on the first day of April after being battered in March by worries that Mr. Trump’s trade war could trigger stagflation or even a US recession.

Investors are nervously awaiting April 2, a day Mr. Trump has dubbed “Liberation Day,” when he has promised to unveil a massive reciprocal tariff plan.

Meanwhile, the release of March Philippine inflation data on April 4 (Friday) could help boost market sentiment, Rizal Commercial Banking Corp. Chief Economist Michael L. Ricafort said in a Viber message.

“Inflation could slightly ease, and that could support possible 25-basis-point local policy rate cut on April 10,” Mr. Ricafort said.

Headline inflation likely settled within 1.7% to 2.5% last month, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas said on Monday. If realized, this would be slower than the 3.7% inflation print in March 2024.

A BusinessWorld poll of 18 analysts conducted last week yielded a median estimate of 2% for the March consumer price index.

Mr. Tin added that other market catalysts for this week include Philippine labor data and a scheduled speech by US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell.

“Despite market uncertainty and a general downward bias, we see strong opportunities in defensive sectors. Investors are likely to seek stability in sectors that hedge against uncertainty, including utilities real estate investment trusts, telecommunications, and even gold miners,” he said. “In this uncertain landscape, defensive positioning remains key.”

Mr. Ricafort put the PSEi’s support at 6,000 and minor resistance at 6,275-6,530. — Revin Mikhael D. Ochave with Reuters

USTR says PHL agri tariffs ‘inhibit’ US farm exports

REUTERS

By Justine Irish D. Tabile, Reporter

THE tariffs set by the Philippines on farm commodities have served to “significantly inhibit” US agricultural exports, the Office of the US Trade Representative (USTR) said in a report.

The USTR made the assessment in the 2025 National Trade Estimate (NTE), which it submitted on Monday to US President Donald J. Trump and Congress, ahead of a White House announcement on the tariffs it plans to impose on its trading partners.

Mr. Trump has indicated his intention to impose “reciprocal tariffs,” charging trading partners tariffs equivalent to what US exports are levied.

The Philippine practice of periodically reviewing its import tariffs on rice following Executive Order (EO) No. 62 is generating “market uncertainty,” the USTR added.

Citing the order signed by President Ferdinand R. Marcos, Jr. on June 20, 2024, the USTR said that EO 62 gives the Philippine government flexibility in the face of changes in the economic environment, but also raises uncertainty in terms of “whether the rice tariff rate will be extended or modified.”

EO 62 modified the tariff schedule for various products until 2028 to augment supply, manage prices, and address inflationary pressures.

EO 62 extends the lower tariffs imposed on imported pork and mechanically deboned meat at 15% within the minimum access volume (MAV) quota and 25% for shipments exceeding the quota; and on corn at 5% within the quota and 15% beyond it. The import duty on rice was set at a uniform rate of 15%, subject to a review every four months starting July 7, 2024.

“No American president in modern history has recognized the wide-ranging and harmful foreign trade barriers American exporters face more than President Trump,” US Trade Representative Jamieson Green said in a statement.

“Under his leadership, this administration is working diligently to address these unfair and non-reciprocal practices, helping restore fairness and put hardworking American businesses and workers first in the global market,” he added.

According to the NTE, the Philippines’ average most favored nation (MFN) applied tariff rate was 6% in 2023, averaging 9.6% for agricultural products and 5.5% for non-agricultural products, representing a decline from 2022 levels, according to the NTE.

“Under the MAV system, the Philippines has scheduled tariff-rate quotas on select agricultural products, including sugar, corn, coffee and coffee extracts, potatoes, pork, and poultry products, with in-quota tariffs ranging from 30% to 50%,” according to the NTE.

The report also found that the Philippine government distributed the initial allocation of the 2024 MAV in tranches, which caused “uncertainty for importers” and is contrary to the allocation method set out by an administrative order.

“In 2024, the distribution also commenced approximately one month later than the prescribed period under the Administrative Order No. 1 (1998), and the last tranche was released on Aug. 15, 2024,” it added.

The NTE is an annual report submitted to the US President and Congress by March 31 that details foreign trade barriers faced by US exporters and USTR’s efforts to reduce those barriers.

Aside from tariff barriers, the report also outlines non-tariff barriers, technical barriers, and sanitary and phytosanitary barriers, services barriers, and investment barriers, among others.

“The findings of the 2025 NTE underscore President Trump’s America First Trade Policy and the President’s 2025 Trade Policy Agenda,” the USTR said.

Citing President Trump’s 2025 Trade Policy Agenda, Philippine Trade Undersecretary Allan B. Gepty noted that Philippine and US trade policy align with or complement each other in many aspects.

“Notably, the US emphasizes the value and importance of security, which is also aligned with our priorities. In terms of trade, the Philippines is a strong advocate of a strategic trade regime where we regulate trade in dual goods or strategic goods,” he said via Viber message.

He said that it’s Philippine policy to prevent the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, maintain international peace and security, and promote economic growth by facilitating trade and investment.

“It is also important that we ensure that the international supply chain is stable and secure,” he said.

“For example, the implementation of the country’s Strategic Trade Management Act has facilitated the execution of multiple contracts regarding intangible transfers of nuclear technology from US companies to Philippine business process outsourcing firms,” he added.

“On agriculture, noting US interest to export agricultural products, it may be worth noting that the US is the country’s major source of agricultural products, accounting for around 20%. This means that the US is a reliable partner of the Philippines even in food security,” he added.

“In sum, there is an imperative need to pursue stronger Philippine-US economic relations not only to boost the respective production capabilities of the two economies fueled by innovation but also to ensure a stable and secure supply chain,” he added.

Impact of Trump tariffs on PHL expected to be ‘mild’

REUTERS

By Aubrey Rose A. Inosante, Reporter

THE Trump administration’s plan to impose reciprocal tariffs on all countries it trades with will not be as severe on the Philippines compared with other trading partners that maintain large surpluses with the US, analysts said.

“The direct impact of US tariffs on the Philippines is quite mild relative to other economies. Not only is the tariff differential with the US low but the smaller share of trade in gross domestic product provides insulation,” ANZ Research Chief Economist Sanjay Mathur said on Tuesday in statement e-mailed to BusinessWorld.

US President Donald J. Trump is expected to make his tariff announcement on April 2. He has indicated that the US will charge its trading partners “reciprocal” tariffs — levying rates on goods shipped to the US equivalent to those charged on US goods going the other way.

The US remained the top destination for Philippine-made goods, with exports valued at $12.14 billion or 16.6% of total export sales. Overall, the Philippines had a trade deficit of $54.33 billion with all trading partners in 2024.

Mr. Mathur warned of secondary impacts if tariffs result in slower global trade growth, with uncertainty weighing on investment activity, he said.

“The impact on Philippines GDP growth will be moderate. The greater challenge for the Philippines is more to do with private consumption. Both fiscal and monetary policies should focus on boosting domestic demand,” Mr. Mathur said.

In 2024, the economy grew by a weaker-than-expected 5.6%, against 5.5% in 2023. The government target for 2024 had been 6-6.5%.

Economic managers have widened the GDP growth target to 6-8% between 2025 and 2028, due to “evolving domestic and global uncertainties.”

Former Tariff commissioner George N. Manzano said the Philippines, which mainly exports electronics, need not worry much about reciprocal tariffs except in agricultural products.

“Now, when it comes to electronics, since we are part of the Information Technology Agreement (ITA)” covering integrated circuits, automatic data processing machines, electrical conductors — “the tariffs are really low there. In the US, their tariffs are usually duty-free. In the Philippines, we have 0% and 3%,” Mr. Manzano said.

“If the US imposes reciprocal tariffs, they will only raise it a little on our top electronics exports,” he added.

The Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) lists electronics products as the country’s top commodity export. The category accounted for more than half of total exports in 2024.

Nevertheless, BMI Country Risk Analyst Shi Cheng Low said Mr. Trump’s reciprocal tariff threats “pose clear downside risks to growth” for the Philippines.

She said that higher tariffs could make the country’s export goods more expensive and less competitive in the US market, weighing down on demand.

“We think that the immediate response from Philippine lawmakers is to negotiate and lower trade barriers with the US when push comes to shove. Of course, the extent of its impact on the economy will only be made much clearer when more details are released tomorrow by the Trump administration,” she said.

Philippine Ambassador to the US Jose Manuel D. Romualdez in February said the Philippines should pursue a “sectoral” free trade agreement (FTA) with the US instead of a traditional FTA with broad scope.

World Bank Senior Economist Jaffar Al-Rikabi said the Philippines is still in wait-and-see mode on trade, with uncertainty tending to temper investment.

“For a country like the Philippines, the global economy creates opportunities, not only risks. And one example of an opportunity is the ability of the country to attract firms that are moving out of China, for example, or looking to add more resilience to their supply chains,” he said in an interview on March 26. 

Oikonomia Advisory and Research, Inc.  Economist Reinielle Matt M. Erece said the reciprocal tariffs will result in tit-for-tat retaliations that may lead to supply chain issues, slowing down economies.

“The impact of these tariffs on the Philippines will be mixed. Directly, this can decrease our exports, which is a concern as the US is one of the largest importers of Philippine products,” he said.

He said higher inflation expectations in the US could turn the Federal Reserve hawkish, with adverse effects on the peso.

The Fed in March held its benchmark overnight rate steady in the 4.25%-4.5% range amid expectations of rising prices in the face of a looming tariff war.

In a statement issued to BusinessWorld, the Department of Budget and Management (DBM) said the Philippines is expected to withstand the effects of both the US tariffs and the retaliation from other nations.

“In any case, still, DBM ensures that resources and the budget have sufficient buffers and programs that can counter the negative effects of global economic uncertainty,” it added.

Moody’s Analytics expects Philippine growth to remain among the highest in the Asia-Pacific, though its US exposure has the potential to slow growth.

“Malaysia, Thailand and Vietnam are among the countries whose economies could be hit hardest by an escalation of US-China trade tensions given their close trade and supply-chain ties with China, and relatively high exports to the US,” it said in a report on March 31.

Proposed RoW office seen unlikely to ease delays

PHILIPPINE STAR/EDD GUMBAN

By Ashley Erika O. Jose, Reporter

THE proposed Right-of-Way (RoW) Office will have little to no impact in averting delays in the government’s big-ticket infrastructure projects, according to analysts.

“The Department of Public Works and Highways (DPWH) has existing capabilities in addressing and completing their road right-of-way acquisition activities and that goes for other agencies as well,” Nigel Paul C. Villarete, senior adviser on public-private partnerships at the technical advisory group Libra Konsult, Inc. said via Viber.

In March, the Private Sector Advisory Council (PSAC) recommended establishing a Right-of-Way office to streamline land acquisition and fast-track infrastructure development.

The RoW office, which will be under the Office of the President, aims to expedite RoW acquisition in the face of legal disputes, backlogs, and poor inter-agency coordination.

Rene S. Santiago, former president of the Transportation Science Society of the Philippines, said dedicated RoW office won’t make a difference given the existing capabilities within the DPWH.

The DPWH currently has a RoW acquisition and enforcement office overseeing land acquisition for infrastructure projects. It is tasked with ensuring that the rights of property owners and project-affected persons are protected.

“RoW issues are not solely due to the sluggish political will of agency heads or teams, but RoW is mostly stymied by legal proceedings on communities affected by involuntary displacement,” Terry L. Ridon, a public investment analyst and convenor of think tank InfraWatch PH, said via Viber.

Mr. Ridon said the government must establish a coordinating office for important flagship and priority projects to monitor and resolve the particular causes of delays.

Libra Konsult’s Mr. Villarete said he is not entirely against the idea, but the proposal will not result in a significant improvement in the difficulties being encountered.

“There might be a better option and that is to institutionalize DPWH’s road RoW capability to cater to other agencies as well, especially those which don’t have road RoW offices,” Mr. Villarete said.

PSAC’s proposal calls for coordination among government agencies in addressing disputes for projects involving transportation, telecommunications, water, and energy.

“Agencies differ in requirements and while DPWH is the one which requires very heavy road RoW action, others require none. Maybe another option is to expand and institutionalize this DPWH expertise and capability to assist other agencies in their requirements,” Mr. Villarete said.

The Department of Transportation (DoTr) has said that big-ticket railway projects will face major challenges in being completed by 2028 due to RoW acquisition issues.

The Department of Justice (DoJ) has issued a legal opinion that compensation rules set by development partners for persons displaced by foreign-funded projects apply only if the loan agreement was signed prior to the effectivity of the Right-of-Way Act (Republic Act No. 10752).

The opinion was issued to clarify the compensation rules governing projects entered into by the DoTr and entities like the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA).

JICA-funded projects must comply with a framework known as the Guidelines for Environmental and Social Consideration, which provides that: “people who must be resettled involuntarily and people whose means of livelihood will be hindered or lost must be sufficiently compensated and supported by project proponents etc. in a timely manner. Prior compensation, at full replacement cost, must be provided as much as possible.”

The DoJ said the Right-of-Way Act has its own process for acquiring RoW for national infrastructure projects, including rules for negotiated sales and payment schedules for affected property owners.

The Philippine standard for compensating landowners displaced for government projects, according to the Constitution, is fair market value instead of full replacement cost.

Manufacturers’ supply chain worries multiply as tariff walls start going up

A worker uses a microscope at an electronics manufacturing assembly plant in Biñan, Laguna, April 20, 2016. — REUTERS

MANUFACTURERS, already worried about the lack of resilience in their supply chains, are bracing for further disruption as trading partners start erecting tariff barriers.

“Supply chain security (is a challenge) because right now you are seeing a lot of disruption,” according to Earl Lawrence S. Qua, president of the Electronics Industry Association of the Philippines.

“Tariffs are creating new barriers, and we feel that there are counter tariffs coming in once the initial tariffs are made. So it could have a cascading effect. Of course, it is something we are just projecting at the moment, but it is hard to predict,” he added.

He said that the electronics industry is more exposed to global events, being export-oriented.

“Not many companies are making big decisions at the moment. So you are looking at a potential US slowdown. Those are the things that we are paying attention to as far as growth is concerned,” he said.

However, he said the Philippines could both benefit and be potentially affected negatively by the US tariffs.

“Having said that, if you look at the trade balance between the US and the Philippines compared to, let’s say, China, Mexico, and Vietnam, we’re fairly balanced in trade,” he said.

“We’re not very high on the list of potential targets for additional tariffs. So we as a country might benefit from that. There’s some insulation, but it’s very hard to predict the actions of the current US administration,” he added.

Jimmy T. Chan, Metalworking Industries Association of the Philippines – Metro Manila president, cited smuggling and lack of standardization as key issues.

“These two are very urgent, and if they can be resolved, I think it would benefit the manufacturing industry, particularly the metal sector,” he said.

He said the Bureau of Philippine Standards is not implementing standards in terms of which products can be used as roofing material.

Philippine Chamber of Food Manufacturers, Inc. Marites T. Directo said the industry’s biggest issue is logistics, which she identified as a significant cost apart from cost of materials.

“Disruption in transportation routes due to conflicts affects timely delivery of goods and increases freight costs, while fluctuations in currency rates affect fuel prices, resulting in an increase in distribution costs,” she said.

“Availability (of materials) due to climate change and accessibility of inputs leads to shortages and price increases. All of these will have an impact on manufacturing costs,” she added. — Justine Irish D. Tabile

Producers agree to hold prices steady — DTI

PHILIPPINE STAR/MIGUEL DE GUZMAN

THE Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) said manufacturers of basic necessities and prime commodities have agreed to not raise prices for the time being.

“With regard to the suggested retail prices (SRP), there will be no price increase because we had good talks with the manufacturer. They are very cooperative,” Trade Secretary Ma. Cristina A. Roque told BusinessWorld.

She said some manufacturers have filed requests to raise prices with the DTI.

“Of course, we have to expect that (there will be requests) because the prices of raw materials are going up. But for now, there is no price increase,” she added.

On Feb. 6, the department released its last SRP bulletin covering 191 stock-keeping units across 28 categories.

In the bulletin, 40% of the products posted price increases, while prices declined for 3%. Some 56% were unchanged while one decreased in quantity while holding prices steady.

Ms. Roque had no updates regarding the streamlining of the SRP bulletin.

The DTI in July 2024 said that it is proposing to delist some of the products being monitored in the SRP bulletin.

The delisting was intended to leave sardines, powdered milk, bread, laundry soap, instant noodles, processed and canned pork, beef, poultry meat, and toilet soap in the SRP bulletin. — Justine Irish D. Tabile

Charoen Pokphand PHL to supply 100 hogs per day in pilot program

REUTERS

THE government-run Food Terminal, Inc. (FTI) has signed a hog supply deal with the Philippine arm of Thailand’s Charoen Pokphand Foods PLC (CP Foods) to help stabilize pork prices in Metro Manila, as the government struggles to enforce its suggested price caps on the commodity.

A memorandum of agreement signed by FTI President Joseph Lo and CP Foods Chief Operating Officer Nattakorn Sujipittham calls for CP Foods to initially supply 100 live hogs each day at a discount.

The hogs will be sent directly to a slaughterhouse in Caloocan.

The hogs will then be processed into carcass form, for delivery to various wet markets.

“This partnership aims to stabilize pork prices in Metro Manila, where consumers have been grappling with rising food costs,” the Department of Agriculture (DA) said in a statement.

CP Foods was deemed to be capable of supplying the volume needed for the pilot, it added.

“We needed a company that can guarantee the volume we need at the price we were looking at to achieve our goals.”

CP Foods, a leading integrated agro-industrial and food company, in November announced a P10-billion plan to build 20 new breeding farms to help increase pork production.

The DA on March 10 imposed a maximum suggested retail price for pork of P300 per kilo for fresh carcasses, P350 for kasim (shoulder) and pigue (leg), and P380 for liempo (belly).

“Compliance with the MSRP on pork has remained low,” the DA said, with dealers giving various reasons for breaching the price ceiling,” the DA said.

The level of compliance with the pork MSRP was about 30%, according to a survey of 170 stalls monitored by the authorities, the DA has said.

The Philippine Statistics Authority reported that the price of fresh liempo in the March 1-5 period rose to P384.08 per kilo from P378.84 in the previous monitoring period of Feb. 15-17 and P375.02 a month earlier. — Kyle Aristophere T. Atienza

GOCC subsidies top P4B in Jan.

PHILIPPINE STAR/BOY SANTOS

SUBSIDIES provided to state-run firms rose to P4.39 billion in January, the Bureau of the Treasury said, after zero subsidies were issued to government-owned and -controlled corporations (GOCCs) a year earlier.

In January, the National Food Authority received subsidies of P2.25 billion, followed by the National Irrigation Administration, which got P1.09 billion.

Other GOCCs that received at least P100 million were the Philippine Heart Center (P184 million), the Philippine Rice Research Institute (P156 million), the National Kidney and Transplant Institute (P124 million) and the Philippine Children’s Medical Center (P116 million).

The Light Rail Transit Authority received P74 million, the Small Business Corp. P63 million and the Philippine Coconut Authority with P61 million.

Other recipients of subsidies were the Lung Center of the Philippines (P59 million), the National Dairy Authority (P35 million), the Cultural Center of the Philippines (P34 million), the Development Academy of the Philippines (P28 million), the Philippine Institute for Development Studies (P24 million), and the Center for International Trade Expositions and Missions (P20 million).

Receiving subsidies of less than P20 million were the People’s Television Network, Inc. (P18 million), the Metropolitan Waterworks and Sewerage System (P14 million), and the Aurora Pacific Economic Zone and Freeport Authority (P10 million).

The Philippine Institute of Traditional and Alternative Health Care received P9 million, the Southern Philippines Development Authority P7 million, the Philippine Center for Economic Development P5 million, and the Philippine Tax Academy P5 million.

The Zamboanga City Special Economic Zone Authority received P4 million.

The Philippine Health Insurance Corp. was stripped of subsidies in 2025.

The government provides subsidies to GOCCs to help cover operational expenses not supported by revenue.

Subsidies to GOCCs totaled P138.8 billion last year, down from P163.5 billion in 2023. — Aubrey Rose A. Inosante