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Philippine trade year-on-year performance

FOREIGN SALES of Philippine goods grew for the 11th straight month last October, but the double-digit increase in merchandise imports drove the monthly trade gap to its biggest on record, the government reported yesterday. Read the full story.

October trade gap biggest on record as imports outpace exports in growth

Tax reform measure remains in bicam

TAX REFORM remained with the bicameral conference committee reconciling the House and Senate bills Tuesday night, senior legislators said.

“Not today. Wala pa, hindi pa namin napipirmahan (we have not signed),” House Majority Floor Leader Rodolfo C. Fariñas said of the Tax Reform for Acceleration and Inclusion (TRAIN) measure.

According to Senate Majority Floor Leader Vicente C. Sotto III, “Magulo pa. Hindi pa pipirma. Saka ‘yung mga bicam members, may mga tsine-check pa.” (It’s still not in order. We’re not yet signing. And the bicameral committee members are still checking some things.)

Mr. Sotto said it is still possible to have the measure ratified before the year ends if the bicameral committee members can “straighten out their issues.”  Minde Nyl R. dela Cruz

Fullerton Health announces Philippines market entry through the acquisition of Intellicare Group

Singapore – Fullerton Healthcare Corporation Limited (Fullerton Health) have announced that it has entered into agreements to acquire a 60% stake in the Intellicare Group, one of the leading managed care providers in the Philippines. The Philippines is an important market in Asia Pacific for Fullerton Health, underpinned by attractive underlying growth drivers. Completion of the transaction is subject to the fulfilment of certain conditions and is expected to complete in early 2018.

The Intellicare Group was founded in 1995 and is strategically aligned with Fullerton Health’s vision of being Asia Pacific’s preeminent total healthcare solution provider. The Intellicare Group comprises three companies: Asalus, a health maintenance organisation (“HMO”) engaged in the delivery of managed healthcare services via comprehensive, systematic and prevention-oriented health maintenance programmes; Avega, a provider of third party administration services to corporates as well as small and medium enterprises; and Aventus, a chain of nine outpatient multi-speciality clinics.

Dr Michael Tan, Co-Founder and Group CEO of Fullerton Health, commented: “Today is an important milestone for Fullerton Health and takes us into our eighth country in Asia Pacific. With a population of over 100 million people, the Philippines offers great growth potential for the company, and the potential synergies between our two businesses, together with our operational and technological capabilities, will allow us to deliver increased benefits and services to even more corporates and patients across the country. This acquisition reinforces our strategy of developing a strong presence in markets across the region, and I would like to take this opportunity to welcome the Intellicare Group to the Fullerton Health family.”

Mario M. Silos, Chairman and President of Intellicare Group, said: “The investment by Fullerton Health, establishing them as our majority shareholder, is an exciting development for the Intellicare Group. It will enable us to tap into their expansive network and wealth of experience across Asia Pacific to ensure that we are delivering the most sophisticated care possible to corporates and patients throughout the Philippines. As the country’s preeminent HMO, we arecommitted to leading the managed healthcare space. Fullerton Health shares our values of ensuring that healthcare is efficient, accessible, affordable and compassionate, and the synergies created through this acquisition will enable us to uphold each of these and enhance our innovative and holistic approach to managed healthcare.”

Factory output down 6.5% in October, worst since 2011

Factory output declined in October, the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) reported this morning.

Preliminary results of the PSA’s Monthly Integrated Survey of Selected Industries (MISSI) showed that in October, factory output – as measured by the Volume of Production Index (VoPI) – contracted by 6.5%, the worst turnout since December 2011 when factory output declined by 7.7%.

This was lower than the revised 4.1% contraction recorded in September and a reversal of the 9.9% growth posted a year ago.

Sectors that posted double-digit declines were: chemical products (-61.0%), tobacco products (-39.4%), textiles (-28.3%), footwear and wearing apparel (-27.5%) and paper and paper products (-18.9%).

Average capacity utilization, which is the extent by which industry resources are being used in the production of goods, was estimated at 83.8%. Eleven of the 20 sectors registered capacity utilization rates of 80% and above. — Christine Joyce S. Castañeda

This e‑Learning startup aims to be the Uber of edtech industry

The Generation Y, where the much debated‑about millennials belong to, is said to be the most entrepreneurial generation. A big chunk of this demographic prefers running their own businesses rather than working for an established company.

Research conducted by the team behind Bizcool, an e‑Learning platform launched just last November, led to the same conclusion.

The results of the study, which tapped 500 respondents with age ranging from 18 to 45 years old, showed that 65.2% or 326 respondents are “extremely” into running their own business.

“[A large] demographic of the millennials, they extremely value entrepreneurship, but we don’t have enough access to education. Workshops cost around ₱3,000 for a three‑hour workshop, but it’s still not that intensive,” Bizcool CEO Marvin Perol told the media in an interview.

With such premise came the idea of launching the platform, which aims to bring “affordable and accessible” education about entrepreneurship to the digital space.

Bizcool offers 11 online courses covering fundamental information on establishing and operating a business. Its courses include “My Coffee Shop,” “My Bakeshop,” “My Eatery,” and “My Online Store,” which all cover the kinds of businesses that respondents of the study think are the most ideal ventures.

Each course, which can be availed at a starting rate of ₱1,129, includes five modules, 38 tutorial videos, 41 PDF files, and three worksheets on average.

Perol, who owns a video equipment‑rental business, said the platform aims to help budding entrepreneurs address such perennial concerns as lack of capital through reading materials on how to raise funds and how to create a business plan and financial forecast.

“We’re targeting individuals who are not very particular with academic portfolio, they want to really jump into business right now, that’s their personality profile. But we are continuously studying the market,” he said.

But while many millennials are keen to build their own business, Vincent Velasquez, a college professor and co‑founder, said they dismiss the idea of learning the ropes of entrepreneurship through a conventional, classroom‑setting manner.

Art Samantha Gonzales

This is why the team assured that the contents of the modules for each course are “less academic and more practical” while retaining the theoretical lessons of entrepreneurship.

“Somehow, along the way, in doing our research we had an insight that millennials are not necessarily into studying, they just want to put up their own business, so we wanted to include less academic, more practical tools and concepts that they can really apply,” Velasquez said.

“For the most part we consulted entrepreneurs and business consultants, so for every product we conducted research for the content,” he added.

JJ Ingco, co‑founder who also teaches in a university, said the workshops will also be their marketing tools to attract more people to enrol in the digital courses.

“We’re in the business of creating e‑Learning products. However, when it (Bizcool) was made, we found out that social aspect was something important as well to people, because for the longest time, we learned through schools and that transition from personal or social aspects to digital is quite drastic at this point in time,” Ingco said.

The team currently focuses on gaining traction in Metro Manila to expand the business to the whole Southeast Asia and eventually become the edtech industry’s Uber or Alibaba.

“We want to build a community of startups. Eventually we want to be an ecosystem builder, we want to get these educators, investors to come in to the platform and increase our value over time. We have two types of users—the students and contributors and educators,” Perol said.

How big data can benefit retailers according to Adobomall and Kris Aquino

Adobomall is the newest contender in the Philippine online shopping market, challenging e‑commerce giants Lazada and Zalora with brandname stores that can make it seem close as possible to shopping in a real‑life mall — and with none other than media giant Kris Aquino as brand ambassador.

The goal of Adobomall is to bring the feeling of visiting an actual brick and mortar mall — something that Innerworks CEO and Adobomall founder Walt Steven Young believes has become very much a part of modern Filipino culture. That’s why every visit to every online shopfront in Adobomall is different: Audiophile’s storefront will look different from Kipling’s from Chris Sports’, just like how they would look different in an actual mall.

But making a new e‑commerce platform isn’t as easy as “if you build it, they will come.” There has to be a reason for these merchants to want to sell on your online mall. So what Adobomall did to set itself apart from the e‑commerce platform is deliver real‑time customer insight and information— big data— to their merchants.

That could be the key ticket to attracting that sector. With real‑time information on the number of clicks or visitors their store gets, how long people linger on certain displays and which products are popular, merchants can be able to make key decisions that could net them more profit.

“The numbers will be integrated every time they look at [their store],” Young told SparkUp. “When they know their numbers, they can easily adjust. They don’t need to wait for month or a week or for someone to count for them. It’s in their hands.”

The practical application to big data came from Aquino herself, as she cited how knowing consumer trends is beneficial to two of her business ventures: cinema food staples Potato Corner and Nacho Bimby. “Something like this where you would know what’s moving would make it easier for you to calibrate what you have to order,” she told SparkUp. “Kasi sa amin, we have to place those orders on a weekly basis. So with [Adobomall’s] set‑up it would make it so much faster as a retailer because then you would know what’s moving faster, and you don’t want to get stuck with inventory that’s not moving.”

“You really need to know what your consumer habits are,” Aquino said, adding that consumer trends would also make it easier for retailers to combine operations and services that would not only make inventory move faster but also give customers more value for their money. “So if you put your store inside Adobomall, what’s going to happen is that your data will be given to you. And then you’ll know that wow eto yung gumalaw. This is what people are buying. So this I know is what I should order, especially because some orders take time.”

Why is it important to keep your products moving? “Inventory takes cash, and I don’t want my cash to sleep,” the celebrity explained. “Everyone wants to make money, and what Walt is going to do is he’ll assist those who are selling to know what to stock.”

That’s not all the data Adobomall will provide its merchants. They will also provide data on which products people are looking at but not buying. “You know that they want it,” Young explained. “Now you can decide if it’s because of a price issue or another issue, and you can fix it to see what works.” Lingering, or how long a customer stayed to look at a particular item, is also another number that big data can provide that can be beneficial to a brick and mortar retailer, to show whether or not the product is something that people buy not on impulse but after careful planning and consideration.

Currently Adobomall has three “floors” dedicated to brand‑centered stores (ex. Barbie, Apple, Samsung), authentic retailers (ex. Audiophile, Chris Sports, Kipling) and restaurants (ex. Coffee ean and Tea Leaf, Sangkap, Sobremesa). With several promotions this Christmas season, the e‑commerce platform promises to provide real great finds coupled with as close an experience to brick and mortar mall shopping you could have on an online platform.


For #realgreatfinds, visit www.adobomall.com or download their app on Android or iPhone.

Exports up 6.6% in October, top target

Merchandise exports grew by 6.6% to $5.366 billion in October, bringing total exports on track to beat the official target, data from Philippine Statistics Authority showed this morning.

Growth in exports receipts in October accelerated from the 4.9% growth recorded in the previous month, but was slower from 9.7% growth during the same month last year. The October print was also way above the official five percent growth target for this year.

Electronic products, which account for more than half of the total outbound shipments, expanded by 13.8% to $2.857 billion in October alone.

Trade was recorded with a $2.845 billion deficit in October as import payments  beat exports receipts, which grew 13.1% from the same month a year ago to $8.211 billion.

Imports of capital and consumer goods grew by 2.6% and 14.8% in October, respectively, to $2.667 billion and $1.478 billion.

Raw materials and intermediate goods — which accounts 39.1% of the total imports — increased by 22.2% to $3.213 billion.

China was the Philippines’ biggest source of goods in October which valued at $1.572 billion. Japan, on the other hand, is the country’s largest market for exports at $871.36 million. — Ranier Olson R. Reusora

Unemployment rate rises to 5% in October

Preliminary results of the latest Labor Force Survey (LFS) conducted by the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) showed the unemployment rate at 5% in October, a rise from 4.7% recorded in the same month last year. This was equivalent to 2.19 million Filipinos, up from 2.04 million a year earlier. 

Meanwhile, the underemployment rate – proportion of those who are looking for additional jobs or more hours of work – fell to 15.9% from 18.0%.

The size of the labor force, which is the population Filipinos 15 years and older, was estimated at 70.4 million. Labor force participation rate eased at 62.1% from 63.6%.

The country’s employment rate – proportion of the employed to the total labor force – slightly dropped to 95% from 95.3% recorded in the same month last year.

By industry, employment rate in the service sector, which has the largest share in the employed population, expanded to 57% from 54.6%. However, the agriculture sector which is the second largest, saw reduction in the number of workers to 25.0% from 28.3%. The portion of the industry sector went up to 18.1% from 17.1%. — Arianne Kristel R. Pelagio

Philippines moves further up investment grade

By Melissa Luz T. Lopez
Senior Reporter

THE PHILIPPINES bagged a credit rating upgrade from Fitch Ratings on the back of continued solid economic growth, supported by optimism over infrastructure and tax reform plans.

The international debt watcher gave a “BBB” rating with a “stable” outlook for the Philippines’ long-term issuer rating, it said in a statement issued late Sunday. This is one notch above minimum investment grade and matches the ratings earlier given by Moody’s Investors Service and S&P Global Ratings.

Fitch had previously pegged the Philippines’ ratings at “BBB-” with “positive” outlook since September 2015, two years since the country was deemed investment grade. The new rating marks the first major upgrade secured under the Duterte administration.

Ratings for senior unsecured foreign and local currency bonds, as well as short-term ratings were also hiked by a notch.

A higher credit rating helps reduce borrowing costs for the economy, as it lowers the default risk priced in for loans extended to the Philippines.

“Strong and consistent macroeconomic performance has continued, underpinned by sound policies that are supporting high and sustainable growth rates,” Fitch said.

“Strong growth momentum remains supported by domestic demand and, more recently, by higher investment spending.”

Investor sentiment has also proven resilient despite political uncertainties, supporting “solid” domestic demand and investment inflows.

“As such, there is no evidence so far that incidents of violence associated with the administration’s campaign against the illegal drug trade have undermined investor confidence.”

Fitch expects annual gross domestic product (GDP) growth at 6.8% for both 2018 and 2019, keeping the Philippines as one of Asia’s fastest-growing major economies.

However, the debt watcher also flagged overheating risks amid rapid growth on the back of brisk loan growth and a wider trade deficit, saying: “Continued strong credit growth raises the risk of credit misallocation and asset bubbles, but we believe that the authorities are aware of such risks and prepared to act to curb excessive risk-taking.“

Officials of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) have moved to allay concerns about overheating, noting that robust credit growth is merely keeping up with increased production and business activities.

TAX REFORM CRUCIAL
Looking ahead, sustaining the growth momentum is seen assured with bigger infrastructure spending as part of the P8.4-trillion “Build, Build, Build” program until 2022, further boosted by fresh revenue streams expected from the tax reform program being pursued by the Executive.

“Fitch expects the Philippines’ fiscal profile to improve as a result of the government’s tax reform initiative,” the credit rater added, noting that expected passage of the first tax package will be a “net revenue positive” for the economy.

The first of up to five tax reform packages — designed to broaden the value-added tax base and raise levies on fuel, cars and sugary drinks — will add an equivalent of 0.5-0.8% of GDP to overall revenues, offsetting the reduction in personal income tax collections.

That, in turn, is expected to address the “long-standing weakness” in the country’s fiscal profile, Fitch said. General government revenues are pegged at 18.5% of GDP, well below the 28.8% median for similarly rated economies.

The first tax reform program is currently being finalized by lawmakers in a series of bicameral meetings in time for legislative ratification before the end of sessions this week.

The Finance department hopes to secure President Rodrigo R. Duterte’s signature on the draft law this month, which will take effect on Jan. 1, 2018.

Despite increased state spending, the debt watcher expects sound fiscal policies to persist, supported by a declining debt burden, manageable inflation, ample dollar reserves and monetary policy continuity.

The Philippines’ current account will shift to a narrow deficit at about 0.5% of GDP amid strong imports, but will remain manageable given steady inflows from business process outsourcing, foreign direct investments and worker remittances.

Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Ernesto M. Pernia said in a press release that the development provides more impetus for the government to “ease… entry of foreign investments to take advantage of foreigners’ interest in our country.”

In a separate statement, Finance Secretary Carlos G. Dominguez III anticipated “more positive rating actions” over the next couple of years. He committed that the government will pursue “crucial” reforms on taxation, infrastructure and foreign investments.

BSP Governor Nestor A. Espenilla, Jr. said the credit rating upgrade affirms the expanding productive capacity of the Philippine economy, with domestic conditions and external buffers proving supportive of stronger activity.

FDIs steady year to date as September flows surge

FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENTS (FDI) to the Philippines surged in September amid sustained optimism from offshore investors, with both intercompany lending and equity capital picking up from a year ago, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) reported yesterday.

Net FDI jumped 61.8% to $754 million that month from the $466-million inflow in September 2016, although it was 37.3% less than August’s $1.203-billion tally.

FDIs steady year to date as September flows surge

The central bank attributed the strong growth in investment flows to robust investor confidence in the Philippines in the face of “strong macroeconomic fundamentals” and “high growth prospects.”

Inflows in September, in turn, helped fuel rapid economic expansion in the third quarter that clocked 6.9%, beating market expectations amid increased investments that made up for softer consumer spending growth in the same period.

FDIs are a key source of capital for the local economy, generating more jobs for Filipinos as these flows fuel business expansion.

September also saw the Senate Committee on Ways and Means approving its version of the first of up to five planned tax reform packages, four months after a counterpart measure cleared the House of Representatives on May 31, bringing the priority measure closer to the January 2018 implementation targeted by the Department of Finance.

The same month saw the United States Congress also extend the government debt limit for three months and provide some $15 billion in much-needed hurricane-related aid.

Foreign investors continued to pour more funds into their local affiliates in September, with placements in the latters’ debt instruments nearly doubling to $513 million from $293 million a year ago.

Net equity placements went up a third to $182 million from $138 million year on year.

Gross equity inflows reached $194 million, partly offset by $12 million in capital withdrawn. That compared to $157 million gross inflows a year ago, against $19 million in outbound funds.

More companies also chose to reinvest earnings that month at $59 million, 68% more than the $35 million the year prior.

The United States, Singapore, the Netherlands, China and Japan were the biggest sources of foreign capital in September, with funds going to construction; professional, scientific and technical sector; manufacturing; real estate; as well as accommodation and food service, the BSP said.

September’s FDI tally pulled the nine-month haul to $5.839 billion, close to matching the $5.85 billion in investments received in the year-ago nine-month period. Bigger inflows over the past few months are placing the current figure on track to match 2016’s total investments.

Security Bank Corp. economist Angelo B. Taningco said the latest FDI tally reflects positive market sentiment towards the “medium- to long-term prospects” of the Philippine economy, fuelled by optimism over the tax reform and public infrastructure spending plans of the administration.

“I believe the BSP’s $8-billion target for the year is feasible, as I expect FDI net inflows to remain buoyant for the last three months of the year,” he said in an e-mail.

As of its June review, the central bank expected net FDI inflows to slightly surpass the $7.93 billion recorded in 2016 to hit a fresh record high. — Melissa Luz T. Lopez

Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand seek to boost local currency settlement, cut reliance on dollar

JAKARTA — The central banks of Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand launched a framework on Monday aimed at increasing direct settlement of transactions in their local currencies to reduce the current dependence on the US dollar.

The regulatory framework is “part of the continuous effort to promote a wider use of local currencies to facilitate and boost trade and investment in these countries,” the three said in a joint statement issued in Jakarta on Monday.

A number of banks will be allowed to carry out such settlements, including three of Indonesia’s state-controlled banks, Malaysia’s CIMB Bank Bhd and Malayan Banking Bhd and their Indonesian and Thai affiliates, as well as Bangkok Bank PCL.

Bank Indonesia Governor Agus Martowardojo said 94% of Indonesian exports and 78% of imports were settled in US dollars and the new framework aimed to diversify to other currencies.

“If this diversification in trade could be more varied, of course it would allow better stability for the Indonesian financial system,” Mr. Martowardojo told reporters.

He said direct settlement would mean banks in the three countries could complete transactions without using dollars, improving their operational efficiency.

Malaysia and Thailand are among Indonesia’s top three Southeast Asian trade partners, with non-oil and gas exports amounting to a combined $10.3 billion in January to October, data from Indonesia’s statistics bureau showed.

In the same period, Indonesia imported $11.9 billion worth of goods from Malaysia and Thailand.

Mr. Martowardojo said Bank of Indonesia was looking at applying similar settlement policies to other currencies, such as those of Indonesia’s top 10 trading partners. — Reuters

Philab eyes majority stake in drug manufacturer

PHILAB Holdings Corp. is acquiring a majority stake in local pharmaceutical firm Sydenham Laboratories, Inc. (SLI) in an effort to widen the range of products the company offers.

In a statement issued Monday, the listed firm said it will purchase 67% of SLI, subject to closing requirements of the Philippine Stock Exchange and Securities and Exchange Commission.

“The acquisition of (SLI) enables Philab Holdings to broaden our service offering to the Filipinos. SLI’s specialty in manufacturing pharmaceutical products will enhance our product services, especially in providing universal health care for the Filipinos and expanding the generics line,” Philab Chairman and President Hector Thomas A. Navasero said in a statement.

SLI is the sole company in the country that manufactures hormone-based drugs, and also specializes in oral drug preparation in dosage forms. The company has over 40 years in the medical industry alongside more than 300 certificates of product registration. Its products focus on those for the central nervous system, endocrine system, and cardiovascular system, among others.

Philab plans to maximize synergies with SLI through the launch of a program supporting precision medicine once it closes the acquisition deal. Among Philab’s objectives in acquiring SLI is to develop a new area of pharmacogenomics, which will determine the most effective medication therapy treatment based on a person’s genetic makeup. 

“The future of pharmaceuticals will be personalized through your genetic makeup. It is the goal of Philab Holdings through the acquisition of (SLI) to lead in precision medicine and pharmacogenics in Asia,” Mr. Navasero said.

For its part, SLI said partnering with Philab will result to a more competitive quality of medical products in the Philippine health care market.

“This collaboration will enhance the quality of our product array by delivering more options to the community,” SLI Finance and Administrative Director Nina Atienza said in a statement.

Philab did not disclose the acquisition value for SLI.

On the other hand, the company said its board of directors has also approved the issuance of 100 million common shares out of its unissued authorized capital stock at P2.50 apiece in favor of Epitrek Ventures Ltd.

With this transaction, Philab’s outstanding capital stock will increase to 2.16 billion common shares. Epitrek’s stake in Philab, meanwhile, will increase to 9.2%.

The subscription will allow Philab to raise P250 million, which it said will be used to fund the company’s growth capital, expansion plans, and health care related acquisitions.

“Philab Holdings will focus in rolling out technology that will advance affordable primary health care, diagnostics, and genetics facilities in rural areas,” the company said.

Philab narrowed its net loss attributable to the parent to P107 million in the first nine months of 2017 compared to a loss of P860 million from year-ago levels. Revenues were recorded at P155 million for the period.

Shares in Philab were up by 58 centavos or 18.01% to close at P3.80 apiece at the stock exchange on Monday. — A.B. Francia